Opinion Poll by Redfield & Wilton Strategies, 5–6 May 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 21.0% 19.6–22.5% 19.2–23.0% 18.9–23.3% 18.2–24.1%
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 17.9% 16.6–19.4% 16.2–19.8% 15.9–20.1% 15.3–20.9%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 16.0% 14.7–17.4% 14.4–17.8% 14.1–18.1% 13.5–18.8%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 12.0% 10.9–13.3% 10.6–13.6% 10.3–13.9% 9.8–14.6%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 11.0% 10.0–12.2% 9.7–12.6% 9.4–12.9% 8.9–13.5%
Die Linke 9.2% 11.0% 10.0–12.2% 9.7–12.6% 9.4–12.9% 8.9–13.5%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 4.1% 3.5–4.9% 3.3–5.1% 3.1–5.3% 2.9–5.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 159 149–171 145–173 144–178 138–183
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 137 126–147 123–150 120–153 116–158
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 122 112–131 109–134 107–137 102–143
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 92 83–101 80–103 79–106 75–110
Alternative für Deutschland 94 84 76–93 73–95 71–97 68–102
Die Linke 69 84 76–93 73–95 71–97 68–102
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 31 26–37 25–39 24–40 22–44

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 99.9%  
134 0% 99.9%  
135 0% 99.9%  
136 0.1% 99.9%  
137 0.2% 99.8%  
138 0.3% 99.5%  
139 0.2% 99.3%  
140 0.2% 99.0%  
141 0.1% 98.8%  
142 0.2% 98.7%  
143 0.6% 98%  
144 2% 98%  
145 2% 96%  
146 1.5% 94%  
147 0.6% 92%  
148 0.7% 92%  
149 2% 91%  
150 3% 89%  
151 4% 87%  
152 5% 83%  
153 3% 77%  
154 2% 74%  
155 1.0% 73%  
156 4% 72%  
157 8% 67%  
158 9% 59%  
159 5% 51% Median
160 2% 45%  
161 2% 43%  
162 2% 41%  
163 2% 40%  
164 6% 37%  
165 9% 31%  
166 5% 23%  
167 1.4% 17%  
168 0.7% 16%  
169 2% 15%  
170 3% 14%  
171 2% 11%  
172 2% 9%  
173 1.4% 6%  
174 0.4% 5%  
175 0.2% 4%  
176 0.4% 4%  
177 1.3% 4%  
178 1.2% 3%  
179 0.5% 1.4%  
180 0.2% 0.8%  
181 0.1% 0.7%  
182 0.1% 0.6%  
183 0.1% 0.5%  
184 0.1% 0.5%  
185 0.2% 0.3%  
186 0.1% 0.2%  
187 0% 0.1%  
188 0% 0.1%  
189 0% 0.1%  
190 0% 0.1%  
191 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 99.9%  
113 0.1% 99.9%  
114 0.1% 99.8%  
115 0.2% 99.8%  
116 0.2% 99.6%  
117 0.2% 99.4%  
118 0.4% 99.2%  
119 0.4% 98.8%  
120 1.0% 98%  
121 0.8% 97%  
122 1.0% 97%  
123 1.4% 96%  
124 2% 94%  
125 2% 93%  
126 2% 91%  
127 2% 89%  
128 3% 86%  
129 4% 84%  
130 3% 80%  
131 5% 77%  
132 4% 72%  
133 4% 68%  
134 5% 64%  
135 4% 59%  
136 5% 55%  
137 7% 50% Median
138 4% 43%  
139 3% 39%  
140 7% 36%  
141 3% 30%  
142 4% 27%  
143 3% 23%  
144 4% 20%  
145 3% 16%  
146 2% 13%  
147 2% 11%  
148 2% 9%  
149 1.2% 7%  
150 1.3% 6%  
151 1.0% 4%  
152 0.6% 3%  
153 0.9% 3%  
154 0.5% 2%  
155 0.3% 1.5%  
156 0.3% 1.1%  
157 0.2% 0.8%  
158 0.2% 0.6%  
159 0.1% 0.4%  
160 0.1% 0.3%  
161 0.1% 0.2%  
162 0.1% 0.1%  
163 0% 0.1%  
164 0% 0.1%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0%  
175 0% 0%  
176 0% 0%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
97 0% 100%  
98 0.1% 99.9%  
99 0.1% 99.9%  
100 0.1% 99.8%  
101 0.1% 99.7%  
102 0.2% 99.6%  
103 0.2% 99.4%  
104 0.3% 99.2%  
105 0.3% 98.9%  
106 0.4% 98.6%  
107 0.8% 98%  
108 1.2% 97%  
109 1.2% 96%  
110 2% 95%  
111 2% 93%  
112 3% 91%  
113 5% 88%  
114 5% 83%  
115 4% 78%  
116 3% 74%  
117 4% 70%  
118 5% 66%  
119 5% 62%  
120 3% 57%  
121 3% 54%  
122 3% 51% Median
123 5% 47%  
124 5% 43%  
125 4% 38%  
126 5% 34%  
127 4% 29%  
128 5% 25%  
129 4% 20%  
130 4% 15%  
131 2% 11%  
132 2% 9%  
133 2% 7%  
134 2% 6%  
135 1.0% 4%  
136 0.5% 3%  
137 0.5% 3%  
138 0.3% 2%  
139 0.4% 2%  
140 0.4% 1.4%  
141 0.2% 1.0%  
142 0.2% 0.8%  
143 0.2% 0.6%  
144 0.2% 0.4%  
145 0.1% 0.3%  
146 0.1% 0.2%  
147 0% 0.1%  
148 0% 0.1%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 99.9%  
72 0.1% 99.9%  
73 0.1% 99.8%  
74 0.1% 99.7%  
75 0.3% 99.6%  
76 0.4% 99.3%  
77 0.5% 98.9%  
78 0.9% 98%  
79 0.9% 98%  
80 2% 97% Last Result
81 2% 95%  
82 2% 93%  
83 3% 91%  
84 3% 89%  
85 3% 85%  
86 5% 82%  
87 4% 77%  
88 6% 73%  
89 4% 68%  
90 7% 63%  
91 6% 57%  
92 6% 51% Median
93 5% 45%  
94 5% 40%  
95 5% 35%  
96 4% 30%  
97 4% 26%  
98 4% 21%  
99 3% 17%  
100 3% 14%  
101 2% 10%  
102 2% 9%  
103 1.5% 6%  
104 1.1% 5%  
105 1.1% 4%  
106 0.6% 3%  
107 0.5% 2%  
108 0.6% 2%  
109 0.2% 0.9%  
110 0.3% 0.8%  
111 0.1% 0.5%  
112 0.1% 0.3%  
113 0.1% 0.2%  
114 0% 0.1%  
115 0% 0.1%  
116 0% 0.1%  
117 0% 0%  

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0.1% 99.8%  
67 0.2% 99.8%  
68 0.3% 99.6%  
69 0.5% 99.2%  
70 0.7% 98.8%  
71 0.8% 98%  
72 1.3% 97%  
73 1.1% 96%  
74 3% 95%  
75 2% 92%  
76 3% 90%  
77 3% 87%  
78 4% 84%  
79 7% 81%  
80 4% 74%  
81 7% 70%  
82 5% 63%  
83 6% 58%  
84 6% 52% Median
85 7% 47%  
86 6% 40%  
87 5% 34%  
88 4% 29%  
89 4% 25%  
90 4% 21%  
91 3% 17%  
92 4% 14%  
93 2% 10%  
94 2% 8% Last Result
95 2% 7%  
96 1.1% 5%  
97 1.2% 4%  
98 0.6% 2%  
99 0.5% 2%  
100 0.4% 1.3%  
101 0.2% 0.9%  
102 0.2% 0.6%  
103 0.1% 0.4%  
104 0.1% 0.3%  
105 0.1% 0.2%  
106 0% 0.1%  
107 0% 0.1%  
108 0% 0.1%  
109 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.2% 99.8%  
68 0.3% 99.6%  
69 0.5% 99.3% Last Result
70 0.6% 98.8%  
71 1.0% 98%  
72 1.1% 97%  
73 2% 96%  
74 2% 94%  
75 2% 92%  
76 3% 90%  
77 3% 88%  
78 4% 85%  
79 4% 81%  
80 6% 77%  
81 6% 71%  
82 7% 64%  
83 7% 58%  
84 7% 51% Median
85 6% 44%  
86 6% 39%  
87 5% 33%  
88 4% 28%  
89 4% 24%  
90 3% 20%  
91 4% 17%  
92 2% 14%  
93 3% 11%  
94 2% 8%  
95 2% 6%  
96 1.2% 5%  
97 0.9% 3%  
98 0.9% 2%  
99 0.4% 2%  
100 0.3% 1.2%  
101 0.2% 0.8%  
102 0.2% 0.6%  
103 0.1% 0.4%  
104 0.1% 0.3%  
105 0.1% 0.2%  
106 0% 0.1%  
107 0% 0.1%  
108 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0% 100%  
20 0.1% 99.9%  
21 0.3% 99.8%  
22 0.6% 99.5%  
23 1.1% 99.0%  
24 2% 98%  
25 3% 96%  
26 4% 93%  
27 6% 89%  
28 8% 83%  
29 9% 75%  
30 8% 66%  
31 8% 58% Median
32 10% 50%  
33 9% 40%  
34 8% 31%  
35 6% 23%  
36 5% 18%  
37 4% 13%  
38 3% 9%  
39 2% 6%  
40 1.4% 4%  
41 1.0% 2%  
42 0.5% 1.4%  
43 0.4% 0.9%  
44 0.2% 0.5%  
45 0.1% 0.3%  
46 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
47 0% 0.1%  
48 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 449 100% 436–462 433–465 430–469 423–474
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 420 100% 406–432 403–436 399–439 393–446
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 381 99.5% 368–394 364–398 361–401 355–408
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 373 96% 360–386 356–390 353–393 346–400
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 365 85% 352–378 348–382 345–386 339–392
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 344 15% 331–357 327–361 323–364 317–370
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 327 0.4% 314–341 311–344 308–348 301–354
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 290 0% 276–302 273–306 270–309 264–316
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 281 0% 268–294 264–298 261–301 255–308
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 260 0% 248–273 244–276 240–280 235–285
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 252 0% 239–265 236–269 233–271 227–278
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 213 0% 201–226 199–230 195–233 190–238
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 207 0% 194–219 189–221 187–223 183–231

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 99.9%  
418 0.1% 99.9%  
419 0% 99.9%  
420 0.1% 99.8%  
421 0.1% 99.8%  
422 0.1% 99.7%  
423 0.1% 99.6%  
424 0.2% 99.5%  
425 0.2% 99.3%  
426 0.2% 99.1%  
427 0.5% 98.8%  
428 0.3% 98%  
429 0.5% 98%  
430 0.9% 98%  
431 0.5% 97%  
432 0.6% 96%  
433 2% 96%  
434 2% 94%  
435 1.0% 92%  
436 2% 91%  
437 2% 89%  
438 2% 87%  
439 2% 85%  
440 3% 83%  
441 2% 80%  
442 3% 78%  
443 3% 74%  
444 4% 71%  
445 3% 67%  
446 5% 64%  
447 3% 60%  
448 5% 57%  
449 4% 52% Median
450 5% 48%  
451 3% 44%  
452 3% 41%  
453 5% 38%  
454 3% 33%  
455 3% 30%  
456 4% 27%  
457 3% 23%  
458 2% 20%  
459 4% 19%  
460 2% 15%  
461 2% 13%  
462 1.4% 11%  
463 1.0% 9%  
464 2% 8%  
465 2% 6%  
466 0.6% 5% Last Result
467 0.8% 4%  
468 0.7% 3%  
469 0.5% 3%  
470 0.6% 2%  
471 0.5% 2%  
472 0.1% 1.1%  
473 0.3% 1.0%  
474 0.2% 0.7%  
475 0.1% 0.4%  
476 0.1% 0.4%  
477 0.1% 0.3%  
478 0% 0.2%  
479 0% 0.1%  
480 0% 0.1%  
481 0% 0.1%  
482 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 99.9%  
388 0% 99.9%  
389 0% 99.9%  
390 0.1% 99.8%  
391 0.1% 99.8%  
392 0.1% 99.7%  
393 0.2% 99.6% Last Result
394 0.2% 99.4%  
395 0.2% 99.3%  
396 0.3% 99.0%  
397 0.3% 98.7%  
398 0.3% 98%  
399 0.7% 98%  
400 0.7% 97%  
401 0.7% 97%  
402 0.9% 96%  
403 0.8% 95%  
404 1.4% 94%  
405 2% 93%  
406 2% 91%  
407 1.5% 89%  
408 2% 88%  
409 2% 86%  
410 3% 84%  
411 2% 80%  
412 3% 78%  
413 2% 75%  
414 4% 73%  
415 4% 69%  
416 3% 65%  
417 5% 62%  
418 3% 58%  
419 4% 55% Median
420 5% 51%  
421 4% 46%  
422 4% 42%  
423 3% 38%  
424 4% 36%  
425 3% 31%  
426 5% 28%  
427 3% 23%  
428 2% 20%  
429 2% 18%  
430 2% 16%  
431 2% 13%  
432 1.4% 11%  
433 1.4% 10%  
434 1.2% 9%  
435 2% 7%  
436 0.9% 6%  
437 1.0% 5%  
438 0.6% 4%  
439 0.5% 3%  
440 0.6% 2%  
441 0.5% 2%  
442 0.3% 1.3%  
443 0.2% 1.0%  
444 0.2% 0.8%  
445 0.1% 0.7%  
446 0.2% 0.5%  
447 0.1% 0.3%  
448 0.1% 0.3%  
449 0% 0.2%  
450 0% 0.1%  
451 0% 0.1%  
452 0% 0.1%  
453 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 99.9%  
350 0% 99.9%  
351 0% 99.9%  
352 0.1% 99.8%  
353 0.1% 99.7%  
354 0.1% 99.6%  
355 0.1% 99.5% Majority
356 0.2% 99.4%  
357 0.2% 99.2%  
358 0.3% 99.0%  
359 0.6% 98.8%  
360 0.3% 98%  
361 0.4% 98%  
362 0.6% 97%  
363 1.3% 97%  
364 1.0% 96%  
365 0.9% 95%  
366 1.3% 94%  
367 2% 92%  
368 1.5% 91%  
369 2% 89%  
370 2% 87%  
371 2% 85%  
372 2% 83%  
373 3% 81%  
374 4% 78%  
375 3% 74%  
376 3% 71%  
377 3% 68%  
378 4% 65%  
379 4% 61%  
380 4% 57%  
381 4% 53%  
382 4% 50% Median
383 4% 45%  
384 3% 42%  
385 4% 39%  
386 4% 35%  
387 3% 31%  
388 3% 27%  
389 3% 25%  
390 3% 22%  
391 3% 19%  
392 2% 16%  
393 2% 14%  
394 2% 11%  
395 1.4% 10%  
396 1.3% 8%  
397 1.4% 7%  
398 1.2% 6%  
399 0.8% 5%  
400 0.6% 4%  
401 0.9% 3%  
402 0.5% 2%  
403 0.4% 2%  
404 0.3% 2%  
405 0.3% 1.2%  
406 0.2% 0.9%  
407 0.2% 0.7%  
408 0.1% 0.5%  
409 0.1% 0.4%  
410 0.1% 0.3%  
411 0.1% 0.2%  
412 0% 0.2%  
413 0% 0.1%  
414 0% 0.1%  
415 0% 0.1%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0%  
421 0% 0%  
422 0% 0%  
423 0% 0%  
424 0% 0%  
425 0% 0%  
426 0% 0%  
427 0% 0%  
428 0% 0%  
429 0% 0%  
430 0% 0%  
431 0% 0%  
432 0% 0%  
433 0% 0%  
434 0% 0%  
435 0% 0%  
436 0% 0%  
437 0% 0%  
438 0% 0%  
439 0% 0%  
440 0% 0%  
441 0% 0%  
442 0% 0%  
443 0% 0%  
444 0% 0%  
445 0% 0%  
446 0% 0%  
447 0% 0%  
448 0% 0%  
449 0% 0%  
450 0% 0%  
451 0% 0%  
452 0% 0%  
453 0% 0%  
454 0% 0%  
455 0% 0%  
456 0% 0%  
457 0% 0%  
458 0% 0%  
459 0% 0%  
460 0% 0%  
461 0% 0%  
462 0% 0%  
463 0% 0%  
464 0% 0%  
465 0% 0%  
466 0% 0%  
467 0% 0%  
468 0% 0%  
469 0% 0%  
470 0% 0%  
471 0% 0%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
300 0% 100% Last Result
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 99.9%  
341 0.1% 99.9%  
342 0% 99.9%  
343 0.1% 99.8%  
344 0.1% 99.8%  
345 0.1% 99.7%  
346 0.1% 99.6%  
347 0.2% 99.5%  
348 0.2% 99.3%  
349 0.2% 99.1%  
350 0.3% 98.9%  
351 0.5% 98.5%  
352 0.5% 98%  
353 0.6% 98%  
354 0.8% 97%  
355 0.8% 96% Majority
356 1.1% 95%  
357 1.1% 94%  
358 1.4% 93%  
359 1.4% 92%  
360 2% 90%  
361 2% 88%  
362 2% 87%  
363 2% 84%  
364 3% 82%  
365 2% 79%  
366 3% 77%  
367 3% 74%  
368 4% 71%  
369 3% 67%  
370 4% 64%  
371 4% 60%  
372 4% 56%  
373 6% 52% Median
374 3% 47%  
375 3% 43%  
376 4% 40%  
377 3% 37%  
378 2% 34%  
379 5% 31%  
380 3% 27%  
381 3% 23%  
382 3% 21%  
383 2% 18%  
384 2% 15%  
385 2% 13%  
386 2% 11%  
387 2% 10%  
388 1.0% 8%  
389 1.2% 7%  
390 0.8% 5%  
391 0.8% 4%  
392 0.8% 4%  
393 0.6% 3%  
394 0.3% 2%  
395 0.5% 2%  
396 0.4% 1.5%  
397 0.1% 1.0%  
398 0.2% 0.9%  
399 0.2% 0.7%  
400 0.1% 0.5%  
401 0.1% 0.4%  
402 0.1% 0.3%  
403 0.1% 0.2%  
404 0% 0.2%  
405 0% 0.1%  
406 0% 0.1%  
407 0% 0.1%  
408 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 99.9%  
333 0% 99.9%  
334 0.1% 99.9%  
335 0.1% 99.9%  
336 0% 99.8%  
337 0.1% 99.7%  
338 0.1% 99.6%  
339 0.1% 99.5%  
340 0.2% 99.4%  
341 0.3% 99.2%  
342 0.4% 98.9%  
343 0.6% 98.5%  
344 0.3% 98%  
345 0.5% 98%  
346 0.7% 97%  
347 0.9% 96%  
348 0.7% 95%  
349 1.2% 95%  
350 1.4% 94%  
351 1.4% 92%  
352 2% 91%  
353 2% 89%  
354 2% 87%  
355 2% 85% Majority
356 3% 82%  
357 3% 79%  
358 4% 77%  
359 2% 73%  
360 4% 71%  
361 3% 67%  
362 3% 64%  
363 3% 60%  
364 4% 57%  
365 5% 53% Median
366 5% 48%  
367 4% 43%  
368 2% 40%  
369 5% 37%  
370 3% 33%  
371 3% 30%  
372 3% 27%  
373 3% 24%  
374 3% 21%  
375 3% 18%  
376 2% 16%  
377 2% 14%  
378 2% 12%  
379 2% 10%  
380 1.3% 8%  
381 1.5% 7%  
382 0.6% 6%  
383 0.9% 5%  
384 0.7% 4%  
385 0.7% 3%  
386 0.4% 3%  
387 0.6% 2%  
388 0.3% 2%  
389 0.4% 1.4%  
390 0.2% 0.9%  
391 0.2% 0.7%  
392 0.1% 0.5%  
393 0.1% 0.4%  
394 0.1% 0.3%  
395 0% 0.2%  
396 0.1% 0.2%  
397 0% 0.1%  
398 0% 0.1%  
399 0% 0.1%  
400 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 99.9%  
312 0% 99.9%  
313 0.1% 99.9%  
314 0% 99.8%  
315 0.1% 99.8%  
316 0.1% 99.7%  
317 0.1% 99.6%  
318 0.2% 99.5%  
319 0.2% 99.3%  
320 0.4% 99.1%  
321 0.3% 98.6%  
322 0.6% 98%  
323 0.4% 98%  
324 0.7% 97%  
325 0.7% 97%  
326 0.9% 96%  
327 0.6% 95%  
328 1.5% 94%  
329 1.3% 93%  
330 2% 92%  
331 2% 90%  
332 2% 88%  
333 2% 86%  
334 3% 84%  
335 3% 82%  
336 3% 79%  
337 3% 76%  
338 3% 73%  
339 3% 70%  
340 5% 67%  
341 2% 63%  
342 4% 60%  
343 5% 57%  
344 5% 52% Median
345 4% 47%  
346 3% 43%  
347 3% 40%  
348 3% 36%  
349 4% 33%  
350 2% 29%  
351 4% 27%  
352 3% 23%  
353 3% 21%  
354 2% 18%  
355 2% 15% Majority
356 2% 13%  
357 2% 11%  
358 1.4% 9%  
359 1.4% 8%  
360 1.2% 6%  
361 0.7% 5%  
362 0.9% 5%  
363 0.7% 4%  
364 0.5% 3%  
365 0.3% 2%  
366 0.6% 2%  
367 0.4% 1.5%  
368 0.3% 1.1%  
369 0.2% 0.8%  
370 0.1% 0.6%  
371 0.1% 0.5%  
372 0.1% 0.4%  
373 0% 0.3%  
374 0.1% 0.2%  
375 0.1% 0.1%  
376 0% 0.1%  
377 0% 0.1%  
378 0% 0.1%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 99.9%  
296 0% 99.9%  
297 0.1% 99.9%  
298 0% 99.8%  
299 0.1% 99.8%  
300 0.1% 99.7%  
301 0.2% 99.6%  
302 0.2% 99.4%  
303 0.2% 99.2%  
304 0.2% 99.1%  
305 0.5% 98.8%  
306 0.5% 98%  
307 0.3% 98%  
308 0.6% 98%  
309 0.8% 97%  
310 0.9% 96%  
311 1.0% 95%  
312 0.9% 94%  
313 2% 93% Last Result
314 2% 91%  
315 2% 89%  
316 2% 88%  
317 2% 86%  
318 3% 83%  
319 3% 81%  
320 2% 78%  
321 3% 75%  
322 4% 73%  
323 4% 69%  
324 3% 65%  
325 4% 62%  
326 4% 58%  
327 5% 54% Median
328 2% 49%  
329 3% 47%  
330 5% 44%  
331 4% 39%  
332 3% 35%  
333 3% 31%  
334 4% 29%  
335 3% 25%  
336 3% 22%  
337 2% 19%  
338 2% 17%  
339 3% 15%  
340 2% 12%  
341 2% 10%  
342 1.3% 9%  
343 2% 8%  
344 0.9% 6%  
345 0.6% 5%  
346 0.8% 4%  
347 0.8% 3%  
348 0.6% 3%  
349 0.4% 2%  
350 0.4% 2%  
351 0.4% 1.4%  
352 0.2% 1.0%  
353 0.2% 0.8%  
354 0.2% 0.6%  
355 0.1% 0.4% Majority
356 0.1% 0.3%  
357 0% 0.2%  
358 0% 0.2%  
359 0% 0.1%  
360 0% 0.1%  
361 0% 0.1%  
362 0% 0.1%  
363 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 99.9%  
258 0% 99.9%  
259 0% 99.9%  
260 0.1% 99.9%  
261 0.1% 99.8%  
262 0.1% 99.7%  
263 0.1% 99.6%  
264 0.2% 99.6%  
265 0.1% 99.4%  
266 0.2% 99.3%  
267 0.4% 99.0%  
268 0.3% 98.7%  
269 0.5% 98%  
270 0.6% 98%  
271 0.8% 97%  
272 0.9% 97%  
273 1.2% 96%  
274 1.3% 94%  
275 1.3% 93%  
276 2% 92%  
277 2% 90%  
278 2% 87%  
279 3% 85%  
280 3% 82%  
281 2% 80%  
282 4% 77%  
283 3% 73%  
284 3% 70%  
285 3% 67%  
286 4% 64%  
287 3% 60%  
288 3% 57%  
289 4% 55%  
290 3% 50% Median
291 3% 47%  
292 4% 44%  
293 3% 40%  
294 5% 37%  
295 4% 32%  
296 3% 28%  
297 2% 25%  
298 4% 23%  
299 2% 19%  
300 2% 17%  
301 4% 15%  
302 2% 11%  
303 1.3% 10%  
304 2% 8%  
305 1.1% 7%  
306 1.1% 6%  
307 0.9% 4%  
308 0.7% 4%  
309 0.4% 3%  
310 0.5% 2%  
311 0.3% 2%  
312 0.4% 2%  
313 0.3% 1.2%  
314 0.2% 0.9%  
315 0.1% 0.7%  
316 0.1% 0.6%  
317 0.1% 0.4%  
318 0.1% 0.3%  
319 0.1% 0.2%  
320 0.1% 0.2%  
321 0% 0.1%  
322 0% 0.1%  
323 0% 0.1%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0%  
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0% Majority
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 99.9%  
251 0% 99.9%  
252 0.1% 99.9%  
253 0.1% 99.8%  
254 0.1% 99.7%  
255 0.2% 99.6%  
256 0.2% 99.5%  
257 0.2% 99.2%  
258 0.3% 99.0%  
259 0.4% 98.8%  
260 0.3% 98%  
261 0.6% 98%  
262 0.6% 97%  
263 0.7% 97%  
264 1.2% 96%  
265 0.9% 95%  
266 2% 94%  
267 1.4% 92%  
268 2% 91%  
269 2% 89%  
270 2% 87%  
271 2% 85%  
272 3% 82%  
273 3% 80%  
274 3% 77%  
275 3% 74%  
276 4% 71%  
277 3% 67%  
278 4% 64%  
279 4% 60%  
280 4% 56%  
281 4% 52% Median
282 4% 48%  
283 3% 44%  
284 5% 41%  
285 4% 37%  
286 2% 32%  
287 4% 30%  
288 3% 26%  
289 3% 23%  
290 2% 20%  
291 2% 19%  
292 2% 16%  
293 3% 14%  
294 2% 12%  
295 0.9% 9%  
296 2% 8%  
297 1.1% 7%  
298 1.3% 6%  
299 0.8% 4%  
300 0.9% 4%  
301 0.6% 3%  
302 0.4% 2%  
303 0.4% 2%  
304 0.3% 1.4%  
305 0.2% 1.1%  
306 0.2% 0.9%  
307 0.2% 0.7%  
308 0.1% 0.5%  
309 0.1% 0.4%  
310 0.1% 0.3%  
311 0.1% 0.2%  
312 0% 0.1%  
313 0% 0.1%  
314 0% 0.1%  
315 0% 0.1%  
316 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 99.9%  
230 0% 99.9%  
231 0% 99.9%  
232 0.1% 99.8%  
233 0.1% 99.8%  
234 0.1% 99.6%  
235 0.2% 99.6%  
236 0.3% 99.4%  
237 0.4% 99.1%  
238 0.4% 98.7%  
239 0.5% 98%  
240 0.6% 98%  
241 0.6% 97%  
242 0.6% 97%  
243 0.8% 96%  
244 0.7% 95%  
245 1.2% 94%  
246 1.2% 93%  
247 2% 92%  
248 3% 90%  
249 3% 87%  
250 4% 85%  
251 2% 81%  
252 4% 79%  
253 2% 75%  
254 3% 73%  
255 3% 70%  
256 3% 68%  
257 3% 65%  
258 4% 62%  
259 6% 58%  
260 5% 52% Median
261 6% 47%  
262 4% 42%  
263 4% 38%  
264 3% 33%  
265 3% 30%  
266 2% 27%  
267 2% 25%  
268 3% 23%  
269 2% 20%  
270 3% 18%  
271 2% 15%  
272 2% 12%  
273 2% 10%  
274 2% 8%  
275 1.1% 7%  
276 1.0% 6%  
277 0.7% 4%  
278 0.7% 4%  
279 0.5% 3%  
280 0.6% 3%  
281 0.4% 2%  
282 0.4% 2%  
283 0.4% 1.3%  
284 0.2% 0.9%  
285 0.2% 0.7%  
286 0.1% 0.5%  
287 0.1% 0.4%  
288 0.1% 0.3%  
289 0% 0.2%  
290 0% 0.2%  
291 0% 0.1%  
292 0% 0.1%  
293 0% 0.1%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 99.9%  
222 0% 99.9%  
223 0% 99.9%  
224 0.1% 99.8%  
225 0.1% 99.8%  
226 0.1% 99.7%  
227 0.2% 99.5%  
228 0.3% 99.4%  
229 0.2% 99.1%  
230 0.3% 98.9%  
231 0.4% 98.6%  
232 0.5% 98%  
233 0.6% 98%  
234 0.9% 97%  
235 0.7% 96%  
236 2% 96%  
237 1.0% 94%  
238 2% 93%  
239 2% 91%  
240 2% 89%  
241 2% 87%  
242 2% 86%  
243 2% 84%  
244 3% 81%  
245 3% 78%  
246 4% 75%  
247 4% 71%  
248 4% 68%  
249 5% 64%  
250 5% 59%  
251 3% 54%  
252 4% 52% Median
253 4% 48%  
254 4% 44%  
255 3% 40%  
256 5% 37%  
257 4% 32%  
258 3% 29%  
259 3% 26%  
260 4% 23%  
261 2% 19%  
262 3% 17%  
263 2% 14%  
264 2% 12%  
265 2% 11%  
266 1.0% 9%  
267 1.4% 8%  
268 1.0% 6%  
269 1.0% 5%  
270 1.0% 4%  
271 0.8% 3%  
272 0.4% 2%  
273 0.3% 2%  
274 0.4% 2%  
275 0.2% 1.1%  
276 0.3% 1.0%  
277 0.2% 0.7%  
278 0.1% 0.5%  
279 0.1% 0.4%  
280 0.1% 0.3%  
281 0.1% 0.2%  
282 0% 0.2%  
283 0% 0.1%  
284 0% 0.1%  
285 0% 0.1%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0%  
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
183 0% 100%  
184 0% 99.9%  
185 0% 99.9%  
186 0.1% 99.9%  
187 0.1% 99.8%  
188 0.1% 99.7%  
189 0.1% 99.6%  
190 0.3% 99.5%  
191 0.2% 99.2%  
192 0.3% 99.0%  
193 0.3% 98.7%  
194 0.3% 98%  
195 0.8% 98%  
196 1.0% 97%  
197 0.7% 96%  
198 0.5% 96%  
199 2% 95%  
200 3% 93%  
201 1.3% 90%  
202 2% 89%  
203 3% 87%  
204 4% 85%  
205 3% 81%  
206 2% 78%  
207 4% 76%  
208 4% 72%  
209 3% 68%  
210 3% 65%  
211 3% 62%  
212 4% 60%  
213 6% 56%  
214 5% 49% Median
215 2% 45%  
216 4% 43%  
217 8% 39%  
218 3% 31%  
219 2% 28%  
220 4% 26%  
221 5% 23%  
222 3% 18%  
223 1.4% 15%  
224 2% 14%  
225 1.3% 12%  
226 3% 11%  
227 1.4% 8%  
228 0.7% 7%  
229 0.7% 6%  
230 2% 5%  
231 1.0% 4%  
232 0.2% 3%  
233 0.6% 3% Last Result
234 0.7% 2%  
235 0.3% 1.3%  
236 0.1% 1.0%  
237 0.2% 0.9%  
238 0.3% 0.7%  
239 0.1% 0.4%  
240 0.1% 0.3%  
241 0% 0.2%  
242 0% 0.2%  
243 0.1% 0.1%  
244 0% 0.1%  
245 0% 0.1%  
246 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
176 0% 100%  
177 0% 99.9%  
178 0.1% 99.9%  
179 0.1% 99.8%  
180 0.1% 99.7%  
181 0.1% 99.6%  
182 0% 99.6%  
183 0.1% 99.5%  
184 0.2% 99.4%  
185 0.2% 99.2%  
186 0.6% 99.0%  
187 0.9% 98%  
188 1.0% 97%  
189 2% 96%  
190 0.8% 95%  
191 1.5% 94%  
192 1.1% 92%  
193 0.3% 91%  
194 1.0% 91%  
195 2% 90%  
196 2% 88%  
197 5% 86%  
198 5% 81%  
199 5% 76%  
200 7% 71%  
201 2% 64%  
202 3% 62%  
203 2% 59%  
204 0.9% 57%  
205 2% 56%  
206 3% 54% Median
207 5% 51%  
208 9% 47%  
209 4% 38%  
210 6% 34%  
211 6% 28%  
212 2% 22%  
213 2% 20%  
214 0.8% 17%  
215 0.9% 17%  
216 2% 16%  
217 0.9% 14%  
218 2% 13%  
219 3% 11%  
220 2% 8%  
221 2% 6%  
222 1.0% 4% Last Result
223 0.5% 3%  
224 0.4% 2%  
225 0.1% 2%  
226 0.2% 2%  
227 0.2% 1.5%  
228 0.1% 1.2%  
229 0.4% 1.1%  
230 0.2% 0.7%  
231 0.2% 0.5%  
232 0.1% 0.3%  
233 0% 0.2%  
234 0% 0.1%  
235 0% 0.1%  
236 0% 0.1%  
237 0% 0.1%  
238 0% 0.1%  
239 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations