Opinion Poll by Forsa, 4–10 May 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 27.0% 25.7–28.3% 25.3–28.7% 25.0–29.0% 24.4–29.7%
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 19.5% 18.4–20.7% 18.1–21.1% 17.8–21.4% 17.3–22.0%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 15.0% 14.0–16.1% 13.7–16.4% 13.5–16.7% 13.0–17.2%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 11.0% 10.1–12.0% 9.9–12.3% 9.7–12.5% 9.3–13.0%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 10.0% 9.2–10.9% 8.9–11.2% 8.7–11.4% 8.3–11.9%
Die Linke 9.2% 6.0% 5.3–6.8% 5.2–7.0% 5.0–7.2% 4.7–7.5%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 4.5% 3.9–5.2% 3.7–5.3% 3.6–5.5% 3.4–5.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 205 196–216 193–219 191–222 186–228
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 149 140–158 137–161 135–163 132–169
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 114 106–122 104–125 102–128 99–132
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 84 77–91 75–93 74–95 71–99
Alternative für Deutschland 94 76 70–83 68–85 66–87 64–91
Die Linke 69 46 40–51 39–53 38–55 0–57
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 34 30–39 28–41 28–42 26–44

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100%  
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 100%  
171 0% 100%  
172 0% 100%  
173 0% 100%  
174 0% 100%  
175 0% 100%  
176 0% 100%  
177 0% 100%  
178 0% 100%  
179 0% 100%  
180 0% 100%  
181 0% 100%  
182 0% 99.9%  
183 0.1% 99.9%  
184 0.1% 99.8%  
185 0.1% 99.7%  
186 0.2% 99.6%  
187 0.3% 99.4%  
188 0.4% 99.1%  
189 0.5% 98.7%  
190 0.6% 98%  
191 0.8% 98%  
192 0.9% 97%  
193 1.4% 96%  
194 2% 95%  
195 2% 93%  
196 2% 91%  
197 4% 89%  
198 3% 85%  
199 4% 82%  
200 5% 78%  
201 5% 73%  
202 4% 68%  
203 5% 64%  
204 5% 59%  
205 4% 54% Median
206 5% 50%  
207 5% 45%  
208 5% 40%  
209 4% 35%  
210 4% 31%  
211 4% 27%  
212 4% 23%  
213 3% 19%  
214 3% 16%  
215 2% 13%  
216 2% 11%  
217 2% 8%  
218 2% 7%  
219 0.9% 5%  
220 0.8% 4%  
221 0.9% 3%  
222 0.4% 3%  
223 0.4% 2%  
224 0.4% 2%  
225 0.3% 1.3%  
226 0.2% 1.0%  
227 0.2% 0.8%  
228 0.1% 0.6%  
229 0.1% 0.5%  
230 0.1% 0.4%  
231 0.1% 0.2%  
232 0% 0.2%  
233 0% 0.2%  
234 0% 0.1%  
235 0% 0.1%  
236 0% 0.1%  
237 0% 0.1%  
238 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 99.9%  
129 0.1% 99.9%  
130 0.1% 99.8%  
131 0.2% 99.7%  
132 0.3% 99.5%  
133 0.4% 99.2%  
134 0.5% 98.8%  
135 0.8% 98%  
136 1.0% 97%  
137 2% 96%  
138 2% 95%  
139 2% 93%  
140 3% 92%  
141 3% 89%  
142 4% 85%  
143 4% 82%  
144 4% 77%  
145 6% 73%  
146 4% 67%  
147 6% 62%  
148 5% 57%  
149 5% 51% Median
150 8% 47%  
151 5% 39%  
152 5% 34%  
153 4% 29%  
154 5% 25%  
155 5% 21%  
156 3% 16%  
157 2% 13%  
158 2% 11%  
159 3% 9%  
160 1.3% 7%  
161 1.1% 5%  
162 1.2% 4%  
163 0.9% 3%  
164 0.6% 2%  
165 0.3% 2%  
166 0.3% 1.2%  
167 0.2% 0.9%  
168 0.2% 0.7%  
169 0.1% 0.5%  
170 0.1% 0.4%  
171 0.1% 0.3%  
172 0% 0.2%  
173 0.1% 0.2%  
174 0% 0.1%  
175 0% 0.1%  
176 0% 0%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
95 0% 100%  
96 0.1% 99.9%  
97 0.1% 99.9%  
98 0.1% 99.8%  
99 0.2% 99.6%  
100 0.4% 99.4%  
101 0.8% 99.0%  
102 0.9% 98%  
103 1.3% 97%  
104 2% 96%  
105 2% 94%  
106 3% 92%  
107 3% 89%  
108 4% 86%  
109 4% 83%  
110 4% 79%  
111 5% 75%  
112 6% 70%  
113 7% 64%  
114 9% 58% Median
115 6% 49%  
116 7% 43%  
117 6% 36%  
118 6% 30%  
119 5% 24%  
120 3% 19%  
121 3% 16%  
122 2% 12%  
123 2% 10%  
124 2% 7%  
125 1.3% 6%  
126 1.2% 5%  
127 0.9% 3%  
128 0.9% 3%  
129 0.4% 2%  
130 0.4% 1.2%  
131 0.3% 0.9%  
132 0.2% 0.5%  
133 0.1% 0.3%  
134 0.1% 0.2%  
135 0.1% 0.2%  
136 0% 0.1%  
137 0% 0.1%  
138 0% 0.1%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 0.2% 99.8%  
71 0.3% 99.6%  
72 0.7% 99.2%  
73 0.9% 98%  
74 2% 98%  
75 2% 96%  
76 3% 94%  
77 3% 91%  
78 4% 88%  
79 5% 84%  
80 5% 79% Last Result
81 6% 74%  
82 7% 68%  
83 7% 61%  
84 8% 54% Median
85 8% 46%  
86 5% 38%  
87 6% 33%  
88 7% 27%  
89 5% 21%  
90 4% 16%  
91 4% 12%  
92 3% 8%  
93 1.3% 6%  
94 1.3% 5%  
95 1.0% 3%  
96 0.6% 2%  
97 0.5% 2%  
98 0.4% 1.1%  
99 0.3% 0.7%  
100 0.2% 0.4%  
101 0.1% 0.3%  
102 0.1% 0.2%  
103 0% 0.1%  
104 0% 0.1%  
105 0% 0%  

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100%  
61 0.1% 99.9%  
62 0.1% 99.9%  
63 0.2% 99.8%  
64 0.4% 99.5%  
65 0.7% 99.2%  
66 1.3% 98%  
67 1.4% 97%  
68 2% 96%  
69 3% 94%  
70 3% 91%  
71 6% 88%  
72 5% 82%  
73 6% 77%  
74 7% 71%  
75 7% 64%  
76 8% 57% Median
77 8% 49%  
78 7% 41%  
79 7% 34%  
80 5% 26%  
81 5% 21%  
82 4% 17%  
83 3% 13%  
84 3% 10%  
85 2% 7%  
86 2% 5%  
87 1.2% 3%  
88 0.6% 2%  
89 0.3% 1.4%  
90 0.3% 1.0%  
91 0.2% 0.7%  
92 0.2% 0.4%  
93 0.1% 0.3%  
94 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100%  
1 0% 98%  
2 0% 98%  
3 0% 98%  
4 0% 98%  
5 0% 98%  
6 0% 98%  
7 0% 98%  
8 0% 98%  
9 0% 98%  
10 0% 98%  
11 0% 98%  
12 0% 98%  
13 0% 98%  
14 0% 98%  
15 0% 98%  
16 0% 98%  
17 0% 98%  
18 0% 98%  
19 0% 98%  
20 0% 98%  
21 0% 98%  
22 0% 98%  
23 0% 98%  
24 0% 98%  
25 0% 98%  
26 0% 98%  
27 0% 98%  
28 0% 98%  
29 0% 98%  
30 0% 98%  
31 0% 98%  
32 0% 98%  
33 0% 98%  
34 0% 98%  
35 0% 98%  
36 0% 98%  
37 0% 98%  
38 0.6% 98%  
39 3% 97%  
40 5% 94%  
41 5% 90%  
42 7% 85%  
43 6% 77%  
44 7% 71%  
45 8% 64%  
46 9% 56% Median
47 13% 47%  
48 9% 34%  
49 8% 25%  
50 4% 17%  
51 3% 13%  
52 3% 10%  
53 2% 7%  
54 2% 5%  
55 1.3% 3%  
56 0.7% 1.4%  
57 0.3% 0.7%  
58 0.2% 0.4%  
59 0.1% 0.2%  
60 0.1% 0.1%  
61 0% 0.1%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
24 0.1% 100%  
25 0.3% 99.8%  
26 0.5% 99.6%  
27 1.4% 99.1%  
28 3% 98%  
29 4% 95%  
30 6% 91%  
31 8% 85%  
32 8% 77%  
33 10% 69%  
34 11% 58% Median
35 10% 48%  
36 8% 38%  
37 9% 29%  
38 7% 21%  
39 5% 14%  
40 3% 9%  
41 3% 6%  
42 1.4% 3%  
43 0.9% 2%  
44 0.5% 0.9%  
45 0.2% 0.5%  
46 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
47 0.1% 0.1%  
48 0% 0.1%  
49 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 503 100% 493–513 490–517 488–523 483–543
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 472 100% 462–483 459–487 457–492 452–511
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 404 100% 393–415 390–419 387–424 382–438
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 389 100% 378–400 375–404 372–408 367–422
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 382 99.9% 371–392 367–396 365–401 360–418
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 366 89% 354–376 350–380 346–382 334–387
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 343 11% 333–355 329–359 327–363 322–375
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 320 0.1% 309–332 306–335 304–339 298–349
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 298 0% 287–308 283–312 281–316 276–327
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 267 0% 257–278 253–281 251–285 246–294
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 259 0% 249–270 246–274 243–278 239–286
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 199 0% 189–208 186–211 184–215 179–222
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 160 0% 151–169 147–172 142–174 117–179

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
466 0% 100% Last Result
467 0% 100%  
468 0% 100%  
469 0% 100%  
470 0% 100%  
471 0% 100%  
472 0% 100%  
473 0% 100%  
474 0% 100%  
475 0% 100%  
476 0% 100%  
477 0% 100%  
478 0% 99.9%  
479 0% 99.9%  
480 0.1% 99.9%  
481 0.1% 99.8%  
482 0.1% 99.7%  
483 0.3% 99.6%  
484 0.3% 99.3%  
485 0.3% 99.0%  
486 0.5% 98.7%  
487 0.7% 98%  
488 0.7% 98%  
489 1.0% 97%  
490 1.2% 96%  
491 2% 95%  
492 2% 93%  
493 3% 91%  
494 3% 88%  
495 2% 86%  
496 3% 84%  
497 4% 80%  
498 5% 76%  
499 5% 71%  
500 4% 66%  
501 6% 63%  
502 5% 56% Median
503 5% 51%  
504 5% 46%  
505 5% 41%  
506 4% 36%  
507 5% 33%  
508 4% 28%  
509 3% 24%  
510 3% 20%  
511 3% 17%  
512 2% 14%  
513 2% 12%  
514 2% 9%  
515 1.3% 8%  
516 1.2% 6%  
517 0.6% 5%  
518 0.8% 5%  
519 0.5% 4%  
520 0.4% 3%  
521 0.2% 3%  
522 0.2% 3%  
523 0.2% 3%  
524 0.1% 2%  
525 0.1% 2%  
526 0.1% 2%  
527 0.1% 2%  
528 0% 2%  
529 0.1% 2%  
530 0.1% 2%  
531 0.1% 2%  
532 0.1% 2%  
533 0.1% 2%  
534 0.1% 2%  
535 0.1% 1.4%  
536 0.1% 1.3%  
537 0.1% 1.2%  
538 0.1% 1.1%  
539 0.1% 1.0%  
540 0.1% 0.9%  
541 0.1% 0.8%  
542 0.1% 0.7%  
543 0.2% 0.6%  
544 0% 0.5%  
545 0.1% 0.4%  
546 0.1% 0.3%  
547 0.1% 0.3%  
548 0.1% 0.2%  
549 0% 0.2%  
550 0% 0.1%  
551 0% 0.1%  
552 0% 0.1%  
553 0% 0.1%  
554 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 100%  
436 0% 100%  
437 0% 100%  
438 0% 100%  
439 0% 100%  
440 0% 100%  
441 0% 100%  
442 0% 100%  
443 0% 100%  
444 0% 100%  
445 0% 100%  
446 0% 100%  
447 0% 99.9%  
448 0.1% 99.9%  
449 0.1% 99.8%  
450 0.1% 99.8%  
451 0.1% 99.7%  
452 0.2% 99.5%  
453 0.3% 99.3%  
454 0.3% 99.1%  
455 0.6% 98.8%  
456 0.6% 98%  
457 0.7% 98%  
458 1.0% 97%  
459 1.1% 96%  
460 1.4% 95%  
461 2% 93%  
462 3% 92%  
463 2% 89%  
464 3% 87%  
465 3% 84%  
466 4% 81%  
467 4% 77%  
468 4% 73%  
469 5% 69%  
470 4% 64%  
471 5% 60%  
472 5% 55% Median
473 5% 50%  
474 4% 45%  
475 5% 40%  
476 5% 36%  
477 5% 31%  
478 3% 27%  
479 4% 24%  
480 3% 20%  
481 2% 16%  
482 2% 14%  
483 2% 12%  
484 2% 10%  
485 2% 8%  
486 1.1% 7%  
487 0.9% 5%  
488 0.6% 5%  
489 0.6% 4%  
490 0.3% 3%  
491 0.4% 3%  
492 0.2% 3%  
493 0.1% 2%  
494 0.1% 2%  
495 0.1% 2%  
496 0.1% 2%  
497 0.1% 2%  
498 0.2% 2%  
499 0.1% 2%  
500 0.1% 2%  
501 0.1% 2%  
502 0.1% 1.5%  
503 0.1% 1.3%  
504 0.1% 1.2%  
505 0.1% 1.2%  
506 0.1% 1.1%  
507 0.1% 1.0%  
508 0.1% 0.8%  
509 0.1% 0.8%  
510 0.2% 0.7%  
511 0% 0.5%  
512 0.1% 0.5%  
513 0% 0.4%  
514 0.1% 0.3%  
515 0% 0.3%  
516 0.1% 0.2%  
517 0% 0.2%  
518 0% 0.1%  
519 0% 0.1%  
520 0% 0.1%  
521 0% 0.1%  
522 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
300 0% 100% Last Result
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 99.9%  
378 0% 99.9%  
379 0.1% 99.9%  
380 0.1% 99.8%  
381 0.1% 99.7%  
382 0.2% 99.6%  
383 0.2% 99.4%  
384 0.3% 99.2%  
385 0.4% 98.9%  
386 0.5% 98.5%  
387 0.7% 98%  
388 0.7% 97%  
389 1.4% 97%  
390 1.4% 95%  
391 2% 94%  
392 1.0% 92%  
393 2% 91%  
394 2% 89%  
395 2% 86%  
396 4% 84%  
397 4% 80%  
398 5% 77%  
399 3% 72%  
400 4% 69%  
401 4% 65%  
402 4% 61%  
403 5% 56% Median
404 4% 51%  
405 4% 47%  
406 4% 43%  
407 5% 38%  
408 4% 33%  
409 3% 29%  
410 5% 27%  
411 3% 22%  
412 2% 19%  
413 3% 17%  
414 3% 14%  
415 1.0% 11%  
416 2% 10%  
417 1.5% 8%  
418 1.1% 7%  
419 1.0% 6%  
420 0.8% 5%  
421 0.5% 4%  
422 0.5% 3%  
423 0.3% 3%  
424 0.4% 3%  
425 0.2% 2%  
426 0.2% 2%  
427 0.3% 2%  
428 0.2% 2%  
429 0.2% 1.4%  
430 0.1% 1.2%  
431 0.1% 1.1%  
432 0% 1.0%  
433 0.1% 0.9%  
434 0.1% 0.9%  
435 0.1% 0.8%  
436 0.1% 0.7%  
437 0% 0.6%  
438 0.1% 0.5%  
439 0.1% 0.5%  
440 0.1% 0.4%  
441 0.1% 0.3%  
442 0% 0.3%  
443 0% 0.3%  
444 0% 0.2%  
445 0.1% 0.2%  
446 0% 0.1%  
447 0% 0.1%  
448 0% 0.1%  
449 0% 0.1%  
450 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 99.9%  
363 0% 99.9%  
364 0.1% 99.9%  
365 0.1% 99.8%  
366 0.1% 99.7%  
367 0.2% 99.5%  
368 0.3% 99.4%  
369 0.3% 99.1%  
370 0.5% 98.8%  
371 0.6% 98%  
372 0.6% 98%  
373 0.7% 97%  
374 1.0% 96%  
375 1.3% 95%  
376 1.4% 94%  
377 2% 93%  
378 2% 91%  
379 3% 88%  
380 4% 85%  
381 3% 81%  
382 3% 79%  
383 4% 76%  
384 3% 72%  
385 3% 69%  
386 4% 65%  
387 6% 61%  
388 3% 55% Median
389 7% 51%  
390 4% 44%  
391 5% 40%  
392 4% 36%  
393 4% 32%  
394 3% 28%  
395 3% 24%  
396 3% 22%  
397 3% 18%  
398 3% 16%  
399 1.4% 13%  
400 2% 11%  
401 2% 9%  
402 2% 8%  
403 0.7% 6%  
404 1.1% 6%  
405 0.8% 4%  
406 0.4% 4%  
407 0.4% 3%  
408 0.5% 3%  
409 0.2% 2%  
410 0.2% 2%  
411 0.2% 2%  
412 0.2% 2%  
413 0.1% 2%  
414 0.2% 1.4%  
415 0.1% 1.2%  
416 0.1% 1.1%  
417 0.1% 1.0%  
418 0.1% 0.9%  
419 0.1% 0.8%  
420 0% 0.7%  
421 0.1% 0.6%  
422 0.1% 0.5%  
423 0% 0.4%  
424 0.1% 0.4%  
425 0% 0.3%  
426 0.1% 0.3%  
427 0% 0.2%  
428 0% 0.2%  
429 0% 0.1%  
430 0% 0.1%  
431 0% 0.1%  
432 0% 0.1%  
433 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 99.9% Majority
356 0.1% 99.9%  
357 0.1% 99.8%  
358 0.1% 99.8%  
359 0.2% 99.7%  
360 0.3% 99.5%  
361 0.3% 99.2%  
362 0.3% 99.0%  
363 0.3% 98.7%  
364 0.8% 98%  
365 1.1% 98%  
366 0.9% 96%  
367 0.9% 96%  
368 1.0% 95%  
369 2% 94%  
370 2% 92%  
371 2% 90%  
372 3% 89%  
373 3% 86%  
374 2% 83%  
375 5% 81%  
376 4% 76%  
377 6% 72%  
378 2% 66%  
379 4% 64%  
380 5% 60%  
381 5% 55% Median
382 5% 50%  
383 3% 46%  
384 3% 42%  
385 8% 39%  
386 4% 31%  
387 3% 27%  
388 4% 24%  
389 3% 20%  
390 2% 17%  
391 3% 14%  
392 2% 12%  
393 1.5% 10%  
394 1.5% 8%  
395 0.7% 7%  
396 1.2% 6%  
397 1.0% 5%  
398 0.5% 4%  
399 0.6% 3%  
400 0.3% 3%  
401 0.4% 3%  
402 0.2% 2%  
403 0.2% 2%  
404 0.1% 2%  
405 0.1% 2%  
406 0.1% 2%  
407 0.1% 1.4%  
408 0.1% 1.3%  
409 0.1% 1.3%  
410 0% 1.2%  
411 0% 1.1%  
412 0.1% 1.1%  
413 0% 1.0%  
414 0.1% 1.0%  
415 0.1% 0.8%  
416 0.1% 0.8%  
417 0.1% 0.7%  
418 0.1% 0.5%  
419 0.1% 0.4%  
420 0.1% 0.3%  
421 0% 0.3%  
422 0.1% 0.2%  
423 0.1% 0.2%  
424 0% 0.1%  
425 0% 0.1%  
426 0% 0%  
427 0% 0%  
428 0% 0%  
429 0% 0%  
430 0% 0%  
431 0% 0%  
432 0% 0%  
433 0% 0%  
434 0% 0%  
435 0% 0%  
436 0% 0%  
437 0% 0%  
438 0% 0%  
439 0% 0%  
440 0% 0%  
441 0% 0%  
442 0% 0%  
443 0% 0%  
444 0% 0%  
445 0% 0%  
446 0% 0%  
447 0% 0%  
448 0% 0%  
449 0% 0%  
450 0% 0%  
451 0% 0%  
452 0% 0%  
453 0% 0%  
454 0% 0%  
455 0% 0%  
456 0% 0%  
457 0% 0%  
458 0% 0%  
459 0% 0%  
460 0% 0%  
461 0% 0%  
462 0% 0%  
463 0% 0%  
464 0% 0%  
465 0% 0%  
466 0% 0%  
467 0% 0%  
468 0% 0%  
469 0% 0%  
470 0% 0%  
471 0% 0%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 99.9%  
327 0% 99.9%  
328 0% 99.9%  
329 0% 99.8%  
330 0% 99.8%  
331 0% 99.8%  
332 0.1% 99.7%  
333 0.1% 99.6%  
334 0.1% 99.6%  
335 0.2% 99.5%  
336 0.1% 99.3%  
337 0.1% 99.3%  
338 0.2% 99.2%  
339 0.1% 99.0%  
340 0.1% 98.9%  
341 0.1% 98.9%  
342 0.1% 98.7%  
343 0.2% 98.6%  
344 0.3% 98%  
345 0.3% 98%  
346 0.3% 98%  
347 0.6% 97%  
348 0.5% 97%  
349 0.7% 96%  
350 1.0% 96%  
351 0.7% 95%  
352 1.4% 94%  
353 1.2% 92%  
354 2% 91%  
355 1.4% 89% Majority
356 2% 87%  
357 4% 85%  
358 2% 82%  
359 4% 80%  
360 2% 76%  
361 6% 73%  
362 4% 67%  
363 4% 63%  
364 3% 59%  
365 6% 56% Median
366 5% 50%  
367 6% 45%  
368 4% 40%  
369 5% 36%  
370 3% 31%  
371 4% 28%  
372 3% 24%  
373 3% 21%  
374 3% 18%  
375 2% 14%  
376 2% 12%  
377 2% 10%  
378 1.3% 8%  
379 1.3% 6%  
380 1.3% 5%  
381 0.9% 4%  
382 0.6% 3%  
383 0.6% 2%  
384 0.3% 2%  
385 0.4% 1.4%  
386 0.3% 0.9%  
387 0.2% 0.7%  
388 0.1% 0.5%  
389 0.1% 0.4%  
390 0.1% 0.2%  
391 0% 0.2%  
392 0% 0.1%  
393 0% 0.1%  
394 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 99.9%  
318 0% 99.9%  
319 0.1% 99.8%  
320 0.1% 99.8%  
321 0.1% 99.6%  
322 0.2% 99.5%  
323 0.3% 99.3%  
324 0.4% 99.1%  
325 0.3% 98.6%  
326 0.6% 98%  
327 0.6% 98%  
328 0.9% 97%  
329 1.3% 96%  
330 1.3% 95%  
331 1.3% 94%  
332 2% 92%  
333 2% 90%  
334 2% 88%  
335 3% 86%  
336 3% 82%  
337 3% 79%  
338 4% 76%  
339 3% 72%  
340 5% 69%  
341 4% 64%  
342 6% 60%  
343 5% 55% Median
344 6% 50%  
345 3% 44%  
346 4% 41%  
347 4% 37%  
348 6% 33%  
349 2% 27%  
350 4% 24%  
351 2% 20%  
352 4% 18%  
353 2% 15%  
354 1.4% 13%  
355 2% 11% Majority
356 1.2% 9%  
357 1.4% 8%  
358 0.7% 6%  
359 1.0% 5%  
360 0.7% 4%  
361 0.5% 4%  
362 0.6% 3%  
363 0.3% 3%  
364 0.3% 2%  
365 0.3% 2%  
366 0.2% 2%  
367 0.1% 1.4%  
368 0.1% 1.3%  
369 0.1% 1.1%  
370 0.1% 1.1%  
371 0.2% 1.0%  
372 0.1% 0.8%  
373 0.1% 0.7%  
374 0.2% 0.7%  
375 0.1% 0.5%  
376 0.1% 0.4%  
377 0.1% 0.4%  
378 0% 0.3%  
379 0% 0.2%  
380 0% 0.2%  
381 0% 0.2%  
382 0% 0.1%  
383 0% 0.1%  
384 0% 0.1%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 99.9%  
294 0% 99.9%  
295 0.1% 99.9%  
296 0.1% 99.8%  
297 0.1% 99.7%  
298 0.2% 99.6%  
299 0.2% 99.4%  
300 0.3% 99.2%  
301 0.4% 99.0%  
302 0.5% 98.6%  
303 0.6% 98%  
304 0.8% 98%  
305 1.5% 97%  
306 1.1% 95%  
307 1.2% 94%  
308 2% 93%  
309 2% 91%  
310 2% 89%  
311 2% 87%  
312 5% 85%  
313 3% 80%  
314 5% 77%  
315 4% 72%  
316 4% 68%  
317 3% 64%  
318 4% 61%  
319 5% 57% Median
320 4% 52%  
321 5% 48%  
322 5% 42%  
323 4% 38%  
324 4% 34%  
325 4% 30%  
326 3% 25%  
327 3% 22%  
328 3% 19%  
329 2% 16%  
330 2% 14%  
331 2% 12%  
332 3% 10%  
333 1.0% 8%  
334 1.3% 7%  
335 1.0% 5%  
336 0.6% 4%  
337 0.7% 4%  
338 0.5% 3%  
339 0.4% 3%  
340 0.3% 2%  
341 0.3% 2%  
342 0.2% 2%  
343 0.2% 1.3%  
344 0.2% 1.1%  
345 0.1% 0.9%  
346 0.1% 0.8%  
347 0.1% 0.7%  
348 0.1% 0.6%  
349 0.1% 0.5%  
350 0.1% 0.4%  
351 0.1% 0.3%  
352 0.1% 0.3%  
353 0% 0.2%  
354 0% 0.2%  
355 0% 0.1% Majority
356 0% 0.1%  
357 0% 0.1%  
358 0% 0.1%  
359 0% 0.1%  
360 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 99.9%  
272 0% 99.9%  
273 0% 99.9%  
274 0.1% 99.8%  
275 0.2% 99.7%  
276 0.2% 99.6%  
277 0.3% 99.4%  
278 0.4% 99.1%  
279 0.2% 98.7%  
280 0.5% 98.5%  
281 0.6% 98%  
282 2% 97%  
283 1.3% 96%  
284 1.1% 95%  
285 0.8% 93%  
286 2% 93%  
287 2% 91%  
288 4% 89%  
289 2% 85%  
290 3% 83%  
291 3% 79%  
292 3% 77%  
293 5% 74%  
294 5% 69%  
295 6% 64%  
296 4% 58%  
297 3% 54% Median
298 4% 51%  
299 6% 47%  
300 6% 42%  
301 6% 36%  
302 3% 30%  
303 3% 27%  
304 2% 24%  
305 3% 22%  
306 5% 18%  
307 2% 14%  
308 2% 12%  
309 1.1% 9%  
310 1.1% 8%  
311 1.0% 7%  
312 1.4% 6%  
313 1.0% 5%  
314 0.8% 4%  
315 0.3% 3%  
316 0.2% 3%  
317 0.3% 2%  
318 0.4% 2%  
319 0.3% 2%  
320 0.2% 1.4%  
321 0.1% 1.2%  
322 0% 1.1%  
323 0.1% 1.1%  
324 0.1% 1.0%  
325 0.2% 0.9%  
326 0.1% 0.6%  
327 0.1% 0.5%  
328 0% 0.4%  
329 0% 0.4%  
330 0% 0.4%  
331 0.1% 0.3%  
332 0.1% 0.2%  
333 0% 0.1%  
334 0% 0.1%  
335 0% 0.1%  
336 0% 0.1%  
337 0% 0.1%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0% Majority
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 99.9%  
243 0% 99.9%  
244 0.1% 99.8%  
245 0.1% 99.7%  
246 0.2% 99.6%  
247 0.2% 99.5%  
248 0.3% 99.3%  
249 0.4% 99.0%  
250 0.6% 98.6%  
251 0.8% 98%  
252 0.6% 97%  
253 2% 96%  
254 2% 95%  
255 1.4% 93%  
256 2% 92%  
257 3% 90%  
258 3% 88%  
259 3% 85%  
260 3% 81%  
261 4% 78%  
262 4% 75%  
263 4% 71%  
264 4% 67%  
265 4% 63%  
266 4% 59%  
267 6% 55% Median
268 4% 48%  
269 5% 44%  
270 5% 40%  
271 5% 35%  
272 5% 30%  
273 4% 25%  
274 3% 21%  
275 3% 19%  
276 2% 16%  
277 2% 13%  
278 3% 11%  
279 1.4% 9%  
280 1.1% 7%  
281 1.2% 6%  
282 0.9% 5%  
283 0.7% 4%  
284 0.6% 3%  
285 0.5% 3%  
286 0.3% 2%  
287 0.3% 2%  
288 0.2% 2%  
289 0.2% 1.5%  
290 0.2% 1.2%  
291 0.2% 1.1%  
292 0.1% 0.8%  
293 0.1% 0.7%  
294 0.1% 0.6%  
295 0.1% 0.5%  
296 0.1% 0.4%  
297 0% 0.3%  
298 0% 0.3%  
299 0.1% 0.2%  
300 0% 0.1%  
301 0% 0.1%  
302 0% 0.1%  
303 0% 0.1%  
304 0% 0.1%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 99.9%  
235 0% 99.9%  
236 0.1% 99.9%  
237 0.1% 99.8%  
238 0.1% 99.7%  
239 0.2% 99.5%  
240 0.3% 99.3%  
241 0.3% 99.1%  
242 0.7% 98.8%  
243 0.8% 98%  
244 0.7% 97%  
245 1.0% 97%  
246 1.4% 96%  
247 2% 94%  
248 1.2% 93%  
249 2% 91%  
250 3% 89%  
251 2% 87%  
252 3% 84%  
253 5% 81%  
254 3% 76%  
255 5% 73%  
256 4% 68%  
257 5% 63%  
258 4% 59%  
259 5% 55% Median
260 4% 50%  
261 5% 46%  
262 4% 41%  
263 5% 37%  
264 6% 33%  
265 4% 26%  
266 3% 22%  
267 3% 20%  
268 3% 17%  
269 2% 14%  
270 2% 12%  
271 2% 10%  
272 1.4% 8%  
273 1.0% 7%  
274 2% 6%  
275 0.8% 4%  
276 0.5% 4%  
277 0.4% 3%  
278 0.6% 3%  
279 0.3% 2%  
280 0.3% 2%  
281 0.3% 1.4%  
282 0.2% 1.1%  
283 0.1% 0.9%  
284 0.1% 0.7%  
285 0.1% 0.6%  
286 0.1% 0.5%  
287 0.1% 0.4%  
288 0.1% 0.3%  
289 0% 0.2%  
290 0% 0.2%  
291 0% 0.1%  
292 0% 0.1%  
293 0% 0.1%  
294 0% 0.1%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0%  
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
174 0% 100%  
175 0% 99.9%  
176 0.1% 99.9%  
177 0.1% 99.8%  
178 0.1% 99.7%  
179 0.2% 99.6%  
180 0.3% 99.4%  
181 0.4% 99.1%  
182 0.5% 98.7%  
183 0.7% 98%  
184 1.1% 98%  
185 1.1% 96%  
186 1.5% 95%  
187 2% 94%  
188 2% 92%  
189 3% 90%  
190 3% 88%  
191 3% 85%  
192 3% 82%  
193 4% 78%  
194 4% 74%  
195 5% 70%  
196 5% 65%  
197 4% 60%  
198 6% 56% Median
199 5% 50%  
200 6% 45%  
201 5% 39%  
202 5% 34%  
203 5% 30%  
204 3% 24%  
205 3% 21%  
206 4% 18%  
207 3% 15%  
208 2% 12%  
209 2% 10%  
210 2% 8%  
211 1.3% 6%  
212 0.8% 5%  
213 0.8% 4%  
214 0.7% 3%  
215 0.5% 3%  
216 0.4% 2%  
217 0.4% 2%  
218 0.3% 1.2%  
219 0.1% 0.9%  
220 0.2% 0.8%  
221 0.1% 0.6%  
222 0.2% 0.5%  
223 0.1% 0.4%  
224 0.1% 0.3%  
225 0% 0.2%  
226 0% 0.2%  
227 0% 0.1%  
228 0% 0.1%  
229 0% 0.1%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 99.9%  
111 0% 99.9%  
112 0.1% 99.9%  
113 0% 99.8%  
114 0.1% 99.8%  
115 0.1% 99.7%  
116 0.1% 99.7%  
117 0.1% 99.6%  
118 0% 99.5%  
119 0.2% 99.4%  
120 0.1% 99.3%  
121 0.2% 99.2%  
122 0.2% 99.0%  
123 0.1% 98.8%  
124 0.1% 98.7%  
125 0.1% 98.6%  
126 0.1% 98.5%  
127 0.1% 98%  
128 0.1% 98%  
129 0% 98%  
130 0.1% 98%  
131 0.1% 98%  
132 0% 98%  
133 0% 98%  
134 0% 98%  
135 0% 98%  
136 0% 98%  
137 0% 98%  
138 0% 98%  
139 0% 98%  
140 0.1% 98%  
141 0.1% 98%  
142 0.2% 98%  
143 0.3% 97%  
144 0.3% 97%  
145 0.5% 97%  
146 0.7% 96%  
147 0.7% 96%  
148 1.2% 95%  
149 1.5% 94%  
150 2% 92%  
151 3% 91%  
152 2% 88%  
153 4% 86%  
154 3% 82%  
155 4% 78%  
156 5% 75%  
157 4% 69%  
158 6% 65%  
159 6% 59%  
160 5% 53% Median
161 5% 48%  
162 5% 43%  
163 6% 38%  
164 5% 32%  
165 4% 27%  
166 4% 23%  
167 3% 19%  
168 4% 16%  
169 2% 12%  
170 2% 9%  
171 2% 7%  
172 2% 6%  
173 1.2% 4%  
174 0.7% 3%  
175 0.6% 2%  
176 0.5% 2%  
177 0.3% 1.2%  
178 0.3% 0.9%  
179 0.2% 0.6%  
180 0.1% 0.4%  
181 0.1% 0.3%  
182 0.1% 0.2%  
183 0% 0.1%  
184 0% 0.1%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations