Opinion Poll by Allensbach, 1–13 May 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 24.0% 22.3–25.7% 21.8–26.2% 21.4–26.7% 20.7–27.5%
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 22.3% 20.7–24.0% 20.2–24.5% 19.8–25.0% 19.1–25.8%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 16.0% 14.6–17.5% 14.2–18.0% 13.9–18.4% 13.2–19.1%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 10.0% 8.9–11.3% 8.6–11.7% 8.3–12.0% 7.8–12.7%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 10.0% 8.9–11.3% 8.6–11.7% 8.3–12.0% 7.8–12.7%
Die Linke 9.2% 6.5% 5.6–7.6% 5.4–7.9% 5.2–8.2% 4.8–8.8%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 5.2% 4.4–6.2% 4.1–6.4% 4.0–6.7% 3.6–7.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 181 167–193 164–198 162–201 155–208
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 168 155–180 152–185 150–187 144–194
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 120 110–132 106–135 104–138 99–144
Alternative für Deutschland 94 76 67–85 65–88 63–90 59–96
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 76 67–85 65–88 63–90 59–95
Die Linke 69 50 43–57 41–60 39–62 0–65
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 40 33–46 31–49 30–50 27–54

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 99.9%  
151 0% 99.9%  
152 0% 99.9%  
153 0.1% 99.8%  
154 0.2% 99.8%  
155 0.2% 99.6%  
156 0.2% 99.4%  
157 0.2% 99.2%  
158 0.2% 98.9%  
159 0.3% 98.7%  
160 0.3% 98%  
161 0.5% 98%  
162 0.6% 98%  
163 1.1% 97%  
164 1.4% 96%  
165 2% 94%  
166 2% 92%  
167 1.2% 91%  
168 1.1% 90%  
169 2% 89%  
170 2% 87%  
171 3% 85%  
172 3% 82%  
173 4% 79%  
174 3% 75%  
175 5% 71%  
176 3% 66%  
177 2% 63%  
178 3% 60%  
179 3% 58%  
180 4% 54%  
181 5% 51% Median
182 7% 46%  
183 4% 39%  
184 3% 34%  
185 3% 32%  
186 2% 28%  
187 2% 27%  
188 3% 24%  
189 2% 22%  
190 3% 19%  
191 4% 17%  
192 3% 13%  
193 2% 10%  
194 0.9% 8%  
195 0.9% 8%  
196 0.6% 7%  
197 0.9% 6%  
198 0.7% 5%  
199 1.1% 5%  
200 0.8% 3%  
201 0.6% 3%  
202 0.4% 2%  
203 0.2% 2%  
204 0.3% 1.4%  
205 0.2% 1.1%  
206 0.3% 1.0%  
207 0.1% 0.7%  
208 0.2% 0.6%  
209 0.1% 0.3%  
210 0.1% 0.2%  
211 0% 0.2%  
212 0% 0.1%  
213 0% 0.1%  
214 0% 0.1%  
215 0% 0.1%  
216 0% 0.1%  
217 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 99.9%  
139 0% 99.9%  
140 0% 99.9%  
141 0.1% 99.8%  
142 0.1% 99.8%  
143 0.2% 99.7%  
144 0.2% 99.5%  
145 0.2% 99.3%  
146 0.3% 99.0%  
147 0.3% 98.7%  
148 0.3% 98%  
149 0.5% 98%  
150 0.7% 98%  
151 1.3% 97%  
152 1.3% 96%  
153 2% 94%  
154 1.4% 92%  
155 1.5% 91%  
156 2% 90%  
157 2% 88%  
158 2% 86%  
159 3% 84%  
160 4% 81%  
161 3% 78%  
162 5% 75%  
163 4% 70%  
164 3% 66%  
165 3% 63%  
166 4% 60%  
167 4% 57%  
168 4% 52% Median
169 6% 48%  
170 4% 43%  
171 4% 39%  
172 3% 34%  
173 3% 31%  
174 3% 29%  
175 3% 26%  
176 3% 23%  
177 4% 20%  
178 3% 16%  
179 2% 13%  
180 2% 12%  
181 1.3% 10%  
182 1.0% 9%  
183 1.2% 8%  
184 1.2% 6%  
185 1.2% 5%  
186 1.1% 4%  
187 0.7% 3%  
188 0.3% 2%  
189 0.3% 2%  
190 0.3% 2%  
191 0.3% 1.4%  
192 0.2% 1.1%  
193 0.2% 0.9%  
194 0.2% 0.6%  
195 0.1% 0.4%  
196 0.1% 0.3%  
197 0% 0.2%  
198 0% 0.2%  
199 0% 0.2%  
200 0% 0.1% Last Result
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 99.9%  
96 0% 99.9%  
97 0.1% 99.8%  
98 0.1% 99.8%  
99 0.2% 99.7%  
100 0.2% 99.5%  
101 0.3% 99.3%  
102 0.4% 99.0%  
103 0.5% 98.5%  
104 1.1% 98%  
105 1.0% 97%  
106 1.2% 96%  
107 1.0% 95%  
108 1.2% 94%  
109 2% 93%  
110 2% 91%  
111 3% 89%  
112 4% 86%  
113 4% 82%  
114 4% 79%  
115 4% 75%  
116 5% 71%  
117 5% 66%  
118 5% 61%  
119 4% 57%  
120 4% 53% Median
121 6% 49%  
122 4% 44%  
123 5% 39%  
124 5% 35%  
125 5% 30%  
126 3% 25%  
127 3% 23%  
128 2% 19%  
129 2% 17%  
130 3% 15%  
131 2% 12%  
132 2% 10%  
133 1.1% 8%  
134 2% 7%  
135 0.9% 5%  
136 0.9% 4%  
137 0.4% 3%  
138 0.6% 3%  
139 0.5% 2%  
140 0.4% 2%  
141 0.4% 2%  
142 0.3% 1.2%  
143 0.3% 0.8%  
144 0.2% 0.5%  
145 0.1% 0.4%  
146 0.1% 0.2%  
147 0% 0.2%  
148 0% 0.1%  
149 0% 0.1%  
150 0% 0.1%  
151 0% 0.1%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0% 100%  
56 0.1% 99.9%  
57 0.1% 99.8%  
58 0.2% 99.8%  
59 0.2% 99.6%  
60 0.4% 99.4%  
61 0.4% 99.0%  
62 0.7% 98.6%  
63 0.9% 98%  
64 1.2% 97%  
65 2% 96%  
66 3% 94%  
67 3% 91%  
68 4% 88%  
69 4% 84%  
70 5% 80%  
71 5% 75%  
72 4% 70%  
73 4% 65%  
74 4% 61%  
75 4% 57%  
76 5% 52% Median
77 5% 48%  
78 5% 43%  
79 5% 38%  
80 7% 32%  
81 5% 26%  
82 3% 21%  
83 4% 18%  
84 3% 14%  
85 3% 11%  
86 2% 8%  
87 2% 7%  
88 1.4% 5%  
89 0.9% 4%  
90 0.7% 3%  
91 0.5% 2%  
92 0.4% 2%  
93 0.3% 1.3%  
94 0.3% 1.0% Last Result
95 0.2% 0.7%  
96 0.1% 0.5%  
97 0.1% 0.4%  
98 0.1% 0.3%  
99 0.1% 0.2%  
100 0% 0.1%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0% 100%  
56 0.1% 99.9%  
57 0.1% 99.8%  
58 0.2% 99.8%  
59 0.2% 99.6%  
60 0.4% 99.4%  
61 0.4% 99.0%  
62 0.9% 98.6%  
63 1.2% 98%  
64 1.3% 97%  
65 2% 95%  
66 3% 94%  
67 3% 91%  
68 2% 88%  
69 4% 86%  
70 4% 81%  
71 5% 77%  
72 6% 73%  
73 5% 67%  
74 6% 62%  
75 5% 56%  
76 5% 50% Median
77 4% 46%  
78 5% 41%  
79 4% 36%  
80 5% 32% Last Result
81 4% 27%  
82 4% 23%  
83 3% 18%  
84 4% 16%  
85 3% 12%  
86 2% 8%  
87 1.3% 7%  
88 1.4% 5%  
89 1.0% 4%  
90 0.6% 3%  
91 0.6% 2%  
92 0.4% 2%  
93 0.4% 1.2%  
94 0.2% 0.8%  
95 0.2% 0.6%  
96 0.1% 0.4%  
97 0.1% 0.3%  
98 0.1% 0.2%  
99 0.1% 0.2%  
100 0% 0.1%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0% 0.1%  
103 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100%  
1 0% 98%  
2 0% 98%  
3 0% 98%  
4 0% 98%  
5 0% 98%  
6 0% 98%  
7 0% 98%  
8 0% 98%  
9 0% 98%  
10 0% 98%  
11 0% 98%  
12 0% 98%  
13 0% 98%  
14 0% 98%  
15 0% 98%  
16 0% 98%  
17 0% 98%  
18 0% 98%  
19 0% 98%  
20 0% 98%  
21 0% 98%  
22 0% 98%  
23 0% 98%  
24 0% 98%  
25 0% 98%  
26 0% 98%  
27 0% 98%  
28 0% 98%  
29 0% 98%  
30 0% 98%  
31 0% 98%  
32 0% 98%  
33 0% 98%  
34 0% 98%  
35 0% 98%  
36 0% 98%  
37 0% 98%  
38 0.6% 98%  
39 0.9% 98%  
40 1.3% 97%  
41 2% 95%  
42 3% 94%  
43 4% 91%  
44 5% 87%  
45 6% 82%  
46 8% 75%  
47 6% 67%  
48 6% 61%  
49 5% 55%  
50 6% 51% Median
51 6% 45%  
52 7% 39%  
53 7% 32%  
54 6% 25%  
55 5% 19%  
56 3% 14%  
57 2% 10%  
58 1.4% 8%  
59 1.4% 7%  
60 1.4% 5%  
61 1.0% 4%  
62 1.0% 3%  
63 0.7% 2%  
64 0.4% 1.1%  
65 0.2% 0.7%  
66 0.1% 0.5%  
67 0.1% 0.3%  
68 0.1% 0.2%  
69 0% 0.2% Last Result
70 0% 0.1%  
71 0% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
24 0% 100%  
25 0.1% 99.9%  
26 0.2% 99.9%  
27 0.3% 99.7%  
28 0.5% 99.4%  
29 0.8% 98.9%  
30 1.3% 98%  
31 2% 97%  
32 3% 95%  
33 4% 91%  
34 6% 87%  
35 6% 81%  
36 6% 75%  
37 6% 69%  
38 6% 63%  
39 7% 58%  
40 7% 51% Median
41 9% 44%  
42 8% 34%  
43 6% 26%  
44 5% 20%  
45 4% 15%  
46 3% 12% Last Result
47 2% 9%  
48 2% 7%  
49 2% 5%  
50 1.1% 3%  
51 0.9% 2%  
52 0.5% 1.3%  
53 0.3% 0.9%  
54 0.2% 0.6%  
55 0.2% 0.4%  
56 0.1% 0.3%  
57 0.1% 0.2%  
58 0% 0.1%  
59 0% 0.1%  
60 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 508 100% 494–522 491–526 488–531 480–551
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 463 100% 449–478 444–481 442–487 436–503
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 403 100% 389–419 384–424 381–428 375–440
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 387 99.8% 373–403 368–407 366–411 358–422
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 376 98% 362–392 358–396 355–401 347–416
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 359 69% 344–373 341–379 337–384 330–394
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 350 31% 336–365 330–368 325–372 315–379
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 328 2% 313–343 309–347 305–351 299–361
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 300 0% 286–315 282–320 279–324 271–333
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 283 0% 268–297 264–303 262–307 254–314
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 283 0% 269–298 265–302 261–306 255–314
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 197 0% 184–210 180–214 177–217 171–223
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 170 0% 157–183 153–186 148–190 126–195

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
466 0% 100% Last Result
467 0% 100%  
468 0% 100%  
469 0% 100%  
470 0% 100%  
471 0% 100%  
472 0% 100%  
473 0% 100%  
474 0% 99.9%  
475 0% 99.9%  
476 0% 99.9%  
477 0% 99.9%  
478 0.1% 99.8%  
479 0.1% 99.7%  
480 0.1% 99.6%  
481 0.2% 99.5%  
482 0.1% 99.2%  
483 0.2% 99.1%  
484 0.3% 98.9%  
485 0.4% 98.6%  
486 0.3% 98%  
487 0.4% 98%  
488 0.4% 98%  
489 0.5% 97%  
490 0.7% 97%  
491 1.0% 96%  
492 2% 95%  
493 1.4% 93%  
494 2% 92%  
495 3% 90%  
496 2% 87%  
497 3% 85%  
498 2% 82%  
499 2% 80%  
500 3% 77%  
501 3% 75%  
502 3% 72%  
503 2% 68%  
504 4% 66%  
505 3% 62%  
506 3% 60%  
507 4% 56%  
508 4% 53%  
509 4% 48% Median
510 4% 44%  
511 5% 41%  
512 4% 35%  
513 4% 31%  
514 2% 27%  
515 3% 25%  
516 3% 22%  
517 2% 19%  
518 2% 17%  
519 2% 16%  
520 1.2% 14%  
521 2% 13%  
522 1.2% 11%  
523 1.3% 10%  
524 2% 9%  
525 1.1% 7%  
526 1.2% 6%  
527 0.8% 5%  
528 0.5% 4%  
529 0.3% 3%  
530 0.3% 3%  
531 0.2% 3%  
532 0.2% 2%  
533 0.2% 2%  
534 0.2% 2%  
535 0.1% 2%  
536 0.1% 2%  
537 0.1% 2%  
538 0% 2%  
539 0.1% 2%  
540 0.1% 1.5%  
541 0.1% 1.4%  
542 0.1% 1.3%  
543 0.1% 1.3%  
544 0.1% 1.1%  
545 0.1% 1.0%  
546 0.2% 0.9%  
547 0.1% 0.8%  
548 0.1% 0.7%  
549 0% 0.6%  
550 0% 0.5%  
551 0% 0.5%  
552 0.1% 0.5%  
553 0% 0.4%  
554 0.1% 0.4%  
555 0.1% 0.4%  
556 0.1% 0.3%  
557 0% 0.3%  
558 0.1% 0.2%  
559 0% 0.2%  
560 0% 0.1%  
561 0% 0.1%  
562 0% 0.1%  
563 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 99.9%  
429 0% 99.9%  
430 0% 99.9%  
431 0% 99.9%  
432 0% 99.8%  
433 0.1% 99.8%  
434 0% 99.7%  
435 0.1% 99.6%  
436 0.1% 99.5%  
437 0.2% 99.4%  
438 0.2% 99.1%  
439 0.3% 98.9%  
440 0.4% 98.6%  
441 0.6% 98%  
442 0.8% 98%  
443 0.7% 97%  
444 1.3% 96%  
445 1.0% 95%  
446 1.0% 94%  
447 1.0% 93%  
448 1.3% 92%  
449 1.2% 90%  
450 1.2% 89%  
451 1.3% 88%  
452 1.4% 87%  
453 2% 85%  
454 2% 84%  
455 3% 82%  
456 3% 79%  
457 3% 76%  
458 4% 73%  
459 3% 69%  
460 6% 67%  
461 5% 61%  
462 4% 55%  
463 3% 51%  
464 4% 47%  
465 3% 43% Median
466 2% 40%  
467 4% 38%  
468 2% 34%  
469 2% 32%  
470 3% 30%  
471 3% 27%  
472 3% 24%  
473 3% 21%  
474 2% 19%  
475 2% 17%  
476 2% 15%  
477 2% 13%  
478 2% 11%  
479 2% 9%  
480 0.9% 7%  
481 1.0% 6%  
482 0.6% 5%  
483 0.5% 4%  
484 0.4% 4%  
485 0.5% 3%  
486 0.3% 3%  
487 0.2% 3%  
488 0.2% 2%  
489 0.3% 2%  
490 0.2% 2%  
491 0.1% 2%  
492 0.1% 2%  
493 0.1% 1.5%  
494 0.1% 1.4%  
495 0.1% 1.4%  
496 0.1% 1.2%  
497 0.1% 1.1%  
498 0% 1.1%  
499 0% 1.0%  
500 0% 1.0%  
501 0.2% 1.0%  
502 0.1% 0.8%  
503 0.2% 0.6%  
504 0.1% 0.5%  
505 0% 0.4%  
506 0% 0.3%  
507 0.1% 0.3%  
508 0.1% 0.3%  
509 0.1% 0.2%  
510 0% 0.2%  
511 0% 0.1%  
512 0% 0.1%  
513 0% 0.1%  
514 0% 0.1%  
515 0% 0.1%  
516 0% 0.1%  
517 0% 0.1%  
518 0% 0.1%  
519 0% 0.1%  
520 0% 0.1%  
521 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 99.9%  
369 0% 99.9%  
370 0% 99.9%  
371 0.1% 99.8%  
372 0.1% 99.8%  
373 0% 99.7%  
374 0.1% 99.6%  
375 0.2% 99.5%  
376 0.3% 99.3%  
377 0.2% 99.1%  
378 0.1% 98.9%  
379 0.3% 98.8%  
380 0.8% 98.5%  
381 0.5% 98%  
382 0.2% 97%  
383 0.3% 97%  
384 2% 97%  
385 1.4% 95%  
386 0.5% 94%  
387 0.4% 93%  
388 2% 93%  
389 3% 91%  
390 2% 89%  
391 0.5% 87%  
392 1.0% 86%  
393 4% 85%  
394 5% 81%  
395 0.6% 76%  
396 1.2% 75%  
397 3% 74%  
398 6% 71%  
399 3% 65%  
400 1.0% 62%  
401 2% 61%  
402 6% 59%  
403 4% 52%  
404 1.2% 48% Median
405 2% 47%  
406 6% 45%  
407 4% 39%  
408 2% 35%  
409 0.7% 33%  
410 5% 32%  
411 5% 28%  
412 2% 23%  
413 1.1% 21%  
414 2% 20%  
415 3% 18%  
416 2% 14%  
417 0.4% 12%  
418 0.4% 12%  
419 2% 11%  
420 3% 9%  
421 0.6% 7%  
422 0.2% 6%  
423 0.8% 6%  
424 1.3% 5%  
425 0.7% 4%  
426 0.1% 3%  
427 0.2% 3%  
428 0.4% 3%  
429 0.5% 2%  
430 0.2% 2%  
431 0.1% 2%  
432 0.2% 2%  
433 0.3% 1.4%  
434 0.1% 1.1%  
435 0.1% 1.0%  
436 0.1% 0.9%  
437 0.1% 0.8%  
438 0.1% 0.8%  
439 0.1% 0.6%  
440 0.1% 0.5%  
441 0% 0.5%  
442 0.1% 0.4%  
443 0% 0.3%  
444 0% 0.3%  
445 0% 0.3%  
446 0% 0.3%  
447 0% 0.2%  
448 0% 0.2%  
449 0% 0.2%  
450 0% 0.1%  
451 0% 0.1%  
452 0% 0.1%  
453 0% 0.1%  
454 0% 0%  
455 0% 0%  
456 0% 0%  
457 0% 0%  
458 0% 0%  
459 0% 0%  
460 0% 0%  
461 0% 0%  
462 0% 0%  
463 0% 0%  
464 0% 0%  
465 0% 0%  
466 0% 0%  
467 0% 0%  
468 0% 0%  
469 0% 0%  
470 0% 0%  
471 0% 0%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 99.9%  
351 0% 99.9%  
352 0% 99.9%  
353 0% 99.9%  
354 0% 99.9%  
355 0.1% 99.8% Majority
356 0.1% 99.7%  
357 0.1% 99.7%  
358 0.2% 99.6%  
359 0.1% 99.4%  
360 0.3% 99.3%  
361 0.1% 99.0%  
362 0.3% 98.9%  
363 0.1% 98.6%  
364 0.3% 98%  
365 0.6% 98%  
366 1.0% 98%  
367 1.2% 97%  
368 1.0% 95%  
369 0.9% 94%  
370 0.6% 93%  
371 1.0% 93%  
372 1.2% 92%  
373 1.1% 91%  
374 1.1% 90%  
375 1.5% 88%  
376 1.3% 87%  
377 4% 86%  
378 2% 81%  
379 4% 79%  
380 3% 75%  
381 3% 72%  
382 4% 69%  
383 3% 66%  
384 3% 62%  
385 3% 59%  
386 5% 56%  
387 3% 51%  
388 6% 48%  
389 3% 42% Median
390 3% 39%  
391 2% 36%  
392 2% 34%  
393 2% 32%  
394 2% 31%  
395 2% 29%  
396 2% 27%  
397 2% 25%  
398 2% 24%  
399 3% 21%  
400 3% 19%  
401 3% 16%  
402 1.5% 13%  
403 1.4% 11%  
404 0.6% 10%  
405 2% 9%  
406 1.2% 8%  
407 2% 6%  
408 0.8% 5%  
409 0.7% 4%  
410 0.4% 3%  
411 0.3% 3%  
412 0.3% 2%  
413 0.2% 2%  
414 0.2% 2%  
415 0.2% 2%  
416 0.1% 2%  
417 0.1% 1.4%  
418 0.2% 1.3%  
419 0.1% 1.0%  
420 0.2% 0.9%  
421 0.1% 0.7%  
422 0.1% 0.5%  
423 0% 0.5%  
424 0.1% 0.5%  
425 0% 0.4%  
426 0.1% 0.4%  
427 0% 0.3%  
428 0% 0.2%  
429 0% 0.2%  
430 0% 0.2%  
431 0% 0.1%  
432 0% 0.1%  
433 0% 0.1%  
434 0% 0.1%  
435 0% 0.1%  
436 0% 0.1%  
437 0% 0.1%  
438 0% 0.1%  
439 0% 0.1%  
440 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
300 0% 100% Last Result
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 99.9%  
341 0% 99.9%  
342 0% 99.9%  
343 0.1% 99.9%  
344 0.1% 99.8%  
345 0% 99.7%  
346 0.1% 99.7%  
347 0.2% 99.6%  
348 0.2% 99.4%  
349 0.1% 99.2%  
350 0.1% 99.2%  
351 0.4% 99.0%  
352 0.5% 98.7%  
353 0.2% 98%  
354 0.3% 98%  
355 0.8% 98% Majority
356 1.1% 97%  
357 0.3% 96%  
358 0.6% 95%  
359 1.5% 95%  
360 2% 93%  
361 0.6% 91%  
362 1.0% 91%  
363 2% 90%  
364 4% 88%  
365 0.6% 84%  
366 2% 84%  
367 4% 81%  
368 3% 77%  
369 1.2% 74%  
370 1.1% 73%  
371 4% 72%  
372 7% 67%  
373 2% 60%  
374 2% 59%  
375 4% 57%  
376 5% 53%  
377 2% 48% Median
378 1.1% 45%  
379 4% 44%  
380 7% 41%  
381 3% 34%  
382 0.9% 31%  
383 3% 30%  
384 4% 27%  
385 2% 23%  
386 0.4% 21%  
387 2% 20%  
388 3% 18%  
389 2% 15%  
390 0.5% 13%  
391 2% 12%  
392 2% 11%  
393 1.1% 8%  
394 0.1% 7%  
395 2% 7%  
396 1.1% 6%  
397 0.4% 4%  
398 0.1% 4%  
399 0.5% 4%  
400 0.9% 3%  
401 0.4% 3%  
402 0.1% 2%  
403 0.3% 2%  
404 0.3% 2%  
405 0.1% 1.4%  
406 0% 1.3%  
407 0.2% 1.3%  
408 0.2% 1.1%  
409 0.1% 0.9%  
410 0% 0.8%  
411 0.1% 0.8%  
412 0.1% 0.7%  
413 0.1% 0.6%  
414 0% 0.5%  
415 0% 0.5%  
416 0.1% 0.5%  
417 0.1% 0.5%  
418 0.1% 0.3%  
419 0% 0.2%  
420 0% 0.2%  
421 0.1% 0.2%  
422 0% 0.1%  
423 0% 0.1%  
424 0% 0.1%  
425 0% 0.1%  
426 0% 0.1%  
427 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 99.9%  
323 0% 99.9%  
324 0% 99.9%  
325 0% 99.9%  
326 0.1% 99.9%  
327 0.1% 99.8%  
328 0.1% 99.8%  
329 0.1% 99.7%  
330 0.2% 99.5%  
331 0.2% 99.3%  
332 0.2% 99.1%  
333 0.3% 98.8%  
334 0.3% 98.6%  
335 0.2% 98%  
336 0.3% 98%  
337 0.3% 98%  
338 0.5% 97%  
339 0.5% 97%  
340 0.9% 96%  
341 1.1% 95%  
342 1.3% 94%  
343 2% 93%  
344 2% 91%  
345 2% 89%  
346 2% 87%  
347 2% 85%  
348 2% 83%  
349 2% 81%  
350 2% 79%  
351 2% 78%  
352 2% 76%  
353 2% 73%  
354 3% 71%  
355 4% 69% Majority
356 6% 65%  
357 4% 59%  
358 4% 55%  
359 4% 51%  
360 5% 47% Median
361 3% 42%  
362 3% 39%  
363 2% 36%  
364 2% 34%  
365 2% 33%  
366 2% 30%  
367 3% 28%  
368 3% 26%  
369 3% 23%  
370 3% 20%  
371 3% 17%  
372 2% 14%  
373 2% 12%  
374 1.2% 10%  
375 1.0% 9%  
376 1.1% 8%  
377 0.6% 7%  
378 0.7% 6%  
379 0.6% 5%  
380 0.6% 5%  
381 0.4% 4%  
382 0.7% 4%  
383 0.3% 3%  
384 0.5% 3%  
385 0.3% 2%  
386 0.2% 2%  
387 0.3% 1.5%  
388 0.2% 1.2%  
389 0.1% 1.0%  
390 0.1% 0.9%  
391 0.1% 0.8%  
392 0.1% 0.7%  
393 0.1% 0.6%  
394 0.1% 0.6%  
395 0.1% 0.5%  
396 0.1% 0.3%  
397 0.1% 0.2%  
398 0% 0.2%  
399 0% 0.2%  
400 0% 0.1%  
401 0% 0.1%  
402 0% 0.1%  
403 0% 0.1%  
404 0% 0.1%  
405 0% 0.1%  
406 0% 0.1%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 99.9%  
305 0% 99.9%  
306 0% 99.9%  
307 0% 99.9%  
308 0% 99.9%  
309 0% 99.9%  
310 0% 99.9%  
311 0% 99.8%  
312 0.1% 99.8%  
313 0.1% 99.8%  
314 0.1% 99.7%  
315 0.1% 99.5%  
316 0.1% 99.4%  
317 0.1% 99.4%  
318 0.1% 99.3%  
319 0.1% 99.2%  
320 0.1% 99.1%  
321 0.2% 99.0%  
322 0.3% 98.8%  
323 0.2% 98.5%  
324 0.3% 98%  
325 0.5% 98%  
326 0.3% 97%  
327 0.7% 97%  
328 0.4% 96%  
329 0.6% 96%  
330 0.6% 95%  
331 0.7% 95%  
332 0.6% 94%  
333 1.1% 93%  
334 1.0% 92%  
335 1.2% 91%  
336 2% 90%  
337 2% 88%  
338 3% 86%  
339 3% 83%  
340 3% 80%  
341 3% 77%  
342 3% 74%  
343 2% 72%  
344 2% 70%  
345 2% 67%  
346 2% 66%  
347 3% 64%  
348 3% 61%  
349 5% 58%  
350 4% 53%  
351 4% 49% Median
352 4% 45%  
353 6% 41%  
354 4% 35%  
355 3% 31% Majority
356 2% 29%  
357 2% 27%  
358 2% 24%  
359 2% 22%  
360 2% 21%  
361 2% 19%  
362 2% 17%  
363 2% 15%  
364 2% 13%  
365 2% 11%  
366 2% 9%  
367 1.3% 7%  
368 1.1% 6%  
369 0.9% 5%  
370 0.5% 4%  
371 0.5% 3%  
372 0.3% 3%  
373 0.3% 2%  
374 0.2% 2%  
375 0.3% 2%  
376 0.3% 1.4%  
377 0.2% 1.2%  
378 0.2% 0.9%  
379 0.2% 0.7%  
380 0.1% 0.5%  
381 0.1% 0.3%  
382 0.1% 0.2%  
383 0.1% 0.2%  
384 0% 0.1%  
385 0% 0.1%  
386 0% 0.1%  
387 0% 0.1%  
388 0% 0.1%  
389 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 99.9%  
292 0% 99.9%  
293 0% 99.9%  
294 0% 99.9%  
295 0.1% 99.8%  
296 0.1% 99.8%  
297 0.1% 99.7%  
298 0.1% 99.6%  
299 0.2% 99.5%  
300 0.2% 99.4%  
301 0.3% 99.2%  
302 0.3% 98.9%  
303 0.3% 98.7%  
304 0.5% 98%  
305 0.5% 98%  
306 0.7% 97%  
307 0.8% 97%  
308 0.7% 96%  
309 0.7% 95%  
310 0.8% 95%  
311 1.0% 94%  
312 3% 93%  
313 1.1% 90%  
314 3% 89%  
315 2% 86%  
316 2% 85%  
317 2% 83%  
318 2% 81%  
319 3% 78%  
320 3% 75%  
321 2% 73%  
322 3% 70%  
323 3% 67%  
324 4% 64%  
325 4% 61%  
326 3% 57%  
327 2% 54%  
328 4% 51% Median
329 4% 48%  
330 3% 44%  
331 4% 41%  
332 2% 37%  
333 3% 34%  
334 3% 31%  
335 4% 28%  
336 2% 24%  
337 3% 22%  
338 2% 20%  
339 2% 18%  
340 2% 16%  
341 2% 14%  
342 1.4% 12%  
343 2% 11%  
344 2% 9%  
345 1.3% 8%  
346 1.0% 6%  
347 0.9% 5%  
348 0.5% 4%  
349 0.6% 4%  
350 0.4% 3%  
351 0.6% 3%  
352 0.3% 2%  
353 0.3% 2%  
354 0.2% 2%  
355 0.2% 2% Majority
356 0.2% 1.3%  
357 0.2% 1.1%  
358 0.2% 1.0%  
359 0.1% 0.8%  
360 0.1% 0.7%  
361 0.1% 0.6%  
362 0.1% 0.5%  
363 0.1% 0.4%  
364 0% 0.3%  
365 0% 0.3%  
366 0% 0.3%  
367 0% 0.3%  
368 0% 0.2%  
369 0% 0.2%  
370 0% 0.2%  
371 0% 0.1%  
372 0% 0.1%  
373 0% 0.1%  
374 0% 0.1%  
375 0% 0.1%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 99.9%  
266 0% 99.9%  
267 0% 99.9%  
268 0.1% 99.9%  
269 0% 99.8%  
270 0.1% 99.8%  
271 0.2% 99.7%  
272 0.2% 99.5%  
273 0.1% 99.3%  
274 0.2% 99.2%  
275 0.2% 99.0%  
276 0.3% 98.8%  
277 0.3% 98%  
278 0.5% 98%  
279 0.5% 98%  
280 0.5% 97%  
281 0.9% 97%  
282 2% 96%  
283 1.1% 94%  
284 0.8% 93%  
285 0.9% 92%  
286 2% 91%  
287 1.3% 89%  
288 2% 88%  
289 2% 86%  
290 2% 83%  
291 2% 82%  
292 2% 80%  
293 5% 78%  
294 5% 73%  
295 2% 69%  
296 3% 67%  
297 3% 63%  
298 4% 60%  
299 3% 56%  
300 4% 53%  
301 2% 49% Median
302 2% 46%  
303 5% 45%  
304 5% 40%  
305 4% 36%  
306 2% 32%  
307 2% 29%  
308 4% 27%  
309 3% 24%  
310 2% 21%  
311 2% 19%  
312 2% 17%  
313 1.0% 15%  
314 2% 14%  
315 2% 12%  
316 2% 10%  
317 0.8% 8%  
318 0.9% 7%  
319 1.4% 6%  
320 0.9% 5%  
321 0.4% 4%  
322 0.5% 4%  
323 0.5% 3%  
324 0.3% 3%  
325 0.4% 2%  
326 0.4% 2%  
327 0.3% 2%  
328 0.2% 1.5%  
329 0.2% 1.3%  
330 0.2% 1.1%  
331 0.2% 0.9%  
332 0.1% 0.7%  
333 0.1% 0.6%  
334 0.1% 0.5%  
335 0% 0.4%  
336 0.1% 0.3%  
337 0% 0.3%  
338 0.1% 0.2%  
339 0% 0.2%  
340 0% 0.2%  
341 0% 0.2%  
342 0% 0.1%  
343 0% 0.1%  
344 0% 0.1%  
345 0% 0.1%  
346 0% 0.1%  
347 0% 0.1%  
348 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 99.9%  
249 0% 99.9%  
250 0% 99.9%  
251 0% 99.9%  
252 0% 99.8%  
253 0.2% 99.8%  
254 0.2% 99.6%  
255 0% 99.4%  
256 0.1% 99.3%  
257 0.3% 99.2%  
258 0.3% 98.9%  
259 0.3% 98.6%  
260 0.2% 98%  
261 0.2% 98%  
262 0.5% 98%  
263 2% 97%  
264 1.4% 96%  
265 0.2% 94%  
266 1.3% 94%  
267 2% 93%  
268 1.2% 91%  
269 1.1% 89%  
270 0.8% 88%  
271 1.1% 88%  
272 2% 87%  
273 4% 85%  
274 4% 81%  
275 1.0% 77%  
276 2% 76%  
277 6% 73%  
278 2% 67%  
279 3% 64%  
280 1.4% 61%  
281 1.4% 60%  
282 4% 59%  
283 6% 55%  
284 4% 49% Median
285 1.5% 44%  
286 3% 43%  
287 7% 40%  
288 3% 33%  
289 2% 30%  
290 1.5% 28%  
291 1.3% 26%  
292 3% 25%  
293 3% 22%  
294 3% 19%  
295 0.9% 16%  
296 1.3% 15%  
297 4% 14%  
298 2% 10%  
299 1.0% 8%  
300 0.5% 7%  
301 0.6% 7%  
302 1.0% 6%  
303 1.0% 5%  
304 0.6% 4%  
305 0.3% 4%  
306 0.6% 3%  
307 0.8% 3%  
308 0.3% 2%  
309 0.2% 2%  
310 0.2% 1.4%  
311 0.1% 1.2%  
312 0.1% 1.1%  
313 0.2% 0.9%  
314 0.3% 0.8%  
315 0% 0.5%  
316 0.1% 0.5%  
317 0.1% 0.4%  
318 0.1% 0.3%  
319 0% 0.2%  
320 0% 0.2%  
321 0% 0.1%  
322 0% 0.1%  
323 0% 0.1%  
324 0% 0.1%  
325 0% 0.1%  
326 0% 0%  
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 99.9%  
249 0.1% 99.9%  
250 0.1% 99.9%  
251 0% 99.8%  
252 0.1% 99.8%  
253 0.1% 99.7%  
254 0.1% 99.6%  
255 0.1% 99.5%  
256 0.2% 99.4%  
257 0.2% 99.2%  
258 0.2% 99.0%  
259 0.3% 98.8%  
260 0.7% 98%  
261 0.4% 98%  
262 0.3% 97%  
263 0.9% 97%  
264 0.8% 96%  
265 0.8% 95%  
266 1.3% 95%  
267 1.3% 93%  
268 1.4% 92%  
269 1.0% 91%  
270 2% 90%  
271 2% 88%  
272 2% 85%  
273 2% 83%  
274 3% 81%  
275 2% 78%  
276 3% 76%  
277 4% 73%  
278 2% 69%  
279 3% 66%  
280 4% 63%  
281 4% 60%  
282 2% 55%  
283 4% 53%  
284 3% 50% Median
285 3% 46%  
286 3% 43%  
287 5% 40%  
288 4% 35%  
289 3% 31%  
290 3% 28%  
291 3% 25%  
292 2% 22%  
293 2% 20%  
294 2% 18%  
295 2% 16%  
296 1.2% 14%  
297 2% 13%  
298 2% 11%  
299 2% 9%  
300 0.9% 7%  
301 1.0% 6%  
302 0.8% 5%  
303 0.5% 5%  
304 0.7% 4%  
305 0.5% 3%  
306 0.4% 3%  
307 0.3% 2%  
308 0.5% 2%  
309 0.3% 2%  
310 0.2% 1.4%  
311 0.2% 1.2%  
312 0.1% 1.0%  
313 0.2% 0.9%  
314 0.2% 0.6%  
315 0.1% 0.5%  
316 0.1% 0.4%  
317 0% 0.3%  
318 0% 0.3%  
319 0% 0.2%  
320 0.1% 0.2%  
321 0% 0.1%  
322 0% 0.1%  
323 0% 0.1%  
324 0% 0.1%  
325 0% 0.1%  
326 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 99.9%  
166 0% 99.9%  
167 0.1% 99.9%  
168 0.1% 99.8%  
169 0.1% 99.7%  
170 0.1% 99.6%  
171 0.1% 99.6%  
172 0.2% 99.4%  
173 0.4% 99.2%  
174 0.6% 98.8%  
175 0.3% 98%  
176 0.3% 98%  
177 0.5% 98%  
178 0.7% 97%  
179 1.2% 96%  
180 1.1% 95%  
181 0.9% 94%  
182 1.0% 93%  
183 2% 92%  
184 4% 91%  
185 4% 87%  
186 2% 83%  
187 2% 81%  
188 2% 79%  
189 3% 77%  
190 4% 74%  
191 5% 71%  
192 4% 66%  
193 2% 62%  
194 2% 60%  
195 3% 57%  
196 5% 55% Median
197 8% 50%  
198 3% 42%  
199 4% 39%  
200 1.3% 35%  
201 2% 34%  
202 4% 31%  
203 4% 27%  
204 4% 24%  
205 1.3% 20%  
206 1.0% 19%  
207 3% 18%  
208 2% 15%  
209 3% 13%  
210 2% 10%  
211 1.0% 9%  
212 1.1% 8%  
213 1.1% 7%  
214 2% 6%  
215 0.7% 4%  
216 0.5% 3%  
217 0.4% 3%  
218 0.3% 2%  
219 0.6% 2%  
220 0.3% 2%  
221 0.4% 1.2%  
222 0.3% 0.8%  
223 0.1% 0.5%  
224 0.1% 0.5%  
225 0% 0.4%  
226 0.1% 0.4%  
227 0.1% 0.2%  
228 0% 0.2%  
229 0% 0.1%  
230 0% 0.1%  
231 0% 0.1%  
232 0% 0.1%  
233 0% 0.1% Last Result
234 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 99.9%  
115 0% 99.9%  
116 0% 99.9%  
117 0% 99.9%  
118 0% 99.9%  
119 0% 99.9%  
120 0% 99.8%  
121 0% 99.8%  
122 0% 99.8%  
123 0% 99.8%  
124 0.1% 99.7%  
125 0.2% 99.7%  
126 0.2% 99.5%  
127 0.2% 99.3%  
128 0.1% 99.1%  
129 0% 99.0%  
130 0% 99.0%  
131 0.1% 99.0%  
132 0.1% 98.9%  
133 0% 98.8%  
134 0% 98.8%  
135 0% 98.8%  
136 0% 98.8%  
137 0.1% 98.7%  
138 0.1% 98.7%  
139 0.1% 98.6%  
140 0% 98%  
141 0% 98%  
142 0.1% 98%  
143 0.1% 98%  
144 0.1% 98%  
145 0.1% 98%  
146 0.2% 98%  
147 0.2% 98%  
148 0.2% 98%  
149 0.3% 97%  
150 0.4% 97%  
151 0.5% 97%  
152 0.8% 96%  
153 0.8% 95%  
154 0.8% 95%  
155 2% 94%  
156 1.4% 92%  
157 2% 91%  
158 2% 89%  
159 3% 86%  
160 3% 84%  
161 2% 81%  
162 2% 78%  
163 4% 76%  
164 2% 73%  
165 3% 70%  
166 3% 67%  
167 3% 64%  
168 4% 61%  
169 3% 56%  
170 4% 53% Median
171 6% 49%  
172 4% 43%  
173 4% 39%  
174 6% 36%  
175 3% 30%  
176 3% 27%  
177 4% 23%  
178 1.4% 20%  
179 3% 18%  
180 2% 15%  
181 2% 13%  
182 1.4% 12%  
183 2% 10%  
184 1.0% 9%  
185 1.4% 8%  
186 1.2% 6%  
187 0.8% 5%  
188 1.0% 4%  
189 0.6% 3%  
190 0.6% 3%  
191 0.5% 2%  
192 0.4% 1.4%  
193 0.3% 1.0%  
194 0.2% 0.8%  
195 0.1% 0.6%  
196 0.1% 0.5%  
197 0.1% 0.3%  
198 0.1% 0.3%  
199 0.1% 0.2%  
200 0% 0.2%  
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0.1%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations