Opinion Poll by Forsa, 11–17 May 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 26.0% 24.6–27.5% 24.2–27.9% 23.8–28.2% 23.2–29.0%
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 19.5% 18.3–20.9% 17.9–21.3% 17.6–21.6% 17.0–22.3%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 15.0% 13.9–16.2% 13.5–16.6% 13.3–16.9% 12.8–17.5%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 11.0% 10.0–12.1% 9.7–12.4% 9.5–12.7% 9.1–13.2%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 10.0% 9.1–11.1% 8.8–11.4% 8.6–11.6% 8.2–12.1%
Die Linke 9.2% 6.0% 5.3–6.8% 5.1–7.1% 4.9–7.3% 4.6–7.7%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 4.5% 3.9–5.2% 3.7–5.4% 3.5–5.6% 3.3–6.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 199 190–211 186–215 183–218 178–225
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 151 140–162 138–164 136–167 131–173
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 116 110–122 104–124 101–132 97–137
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 85 77–93 75–96 73–98 70–102
Alternative für Deutschland 94 77 70–85 68–87 66–89 63–94
Die Linke 69 46 41–52 39–54 0–56 0–59
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 35 30–40 28–42 27–43 25–46

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100%  
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 100%  
171 0% 100%  
172 0% 100%  
173 0% 100%  
174 0% 99.9%  
175 0% 99.9%  
176 0% 99.9%  
177 0.1% 99.8%  
178 0.2% 99.7%  
179 0.4% 99.5%  
180 0.3% 99.1%  
181 0.2% 98.8%  
182 0.4% 98.6%  
183 0.7% 98%  
184 1.2% 97%  
185 1.1% 96%  
186 0.6% 95%  
187 0.6% 95%  
188 2% 94%  
189 2% 92%  
190 4% 90%  
191 2% 86%  
192 1.5% 85%  
193 3% 83%  
194 6% 80%  
195 8% 74%  
196 5% 66%  
197 3% 61%  
198 3% 59%  
199 7% 55% Median
200 7% 48%  
201 4% 42%  
202 2% 37%  
203 2% 36%  
204 4% 34%  
205 5% 29%  
206 3% 25%  
207 1.4% 21%  
208 1.0% 20%  
209 3% 19%  
210 4% 16%  
211 2% 12%  
212 1.2% 9%  
213 0.9% 8%  
214 1.5% 7%  
215 2% 6%  
216 0.9% 4%  
217 0.5% 3%  
218 0.4% 3%  
219 0.7% 2%  
220 0.3% 2%  
221 0.2% 1.5%  
222 0.1% 1.3%  
223 0.3% 1.2%  
224 0.3% 0.9%  
225 0.2% 0.6%  
226 0.1% 0.4%  
227 0.1% 0.4%  
228 0.1% 0.3%  
229 0% 0.3%  
230 0% 0.2%  
231 0% 0.2%  
232 0% 0.2%  
233 0.1% 0.1%  
234 0% 0.1%  
235 0% 0.1%  
236 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 99.9%  
128 0% 99.9%  
129 0.1% 99.8%  
130 0.2% 99.7%  
131 0.2% 99.6%  
132 0.3% 99.4%  
133 0.5% 99.1%  
134 0.4% 98.6%  
135 0.7% 98%  
136 1.1% 98%  
137 1.2% 96%  
138 1.1% 95%  
139 2% 94%  
140 2% 92%  
141 2% 90%  
142 4% 88%  
143 3% 84%  
144 3% 81%  
145 2% 78%  
146 7% 76%  
147 4% 69%  
148 4% 65%  
149 5% 61%  
150 5% 55%  
151 3% 51% Median
152 6% 47%  
153 5% 41%  
154 3% 37%  
155 3% 33%  
156 6% 30%  
157 4% 24%  
158 2% 20%  
159 4% 18%  
160 3% 15%  
161 2% 12%  
162 3% 10%  
163 2% 7%  
164 0.9% 6%  
165 0.9% 5%  
166 1.2% 4%  
167 0.6% 3%  
168 0.4% 2%  
169 0.6% 2%  
170 0.3% 1.3%  
171 0.2% 0.9%  
172 0.2% 0.8%  
173 0.1% 0.6%  
174 0.1% 0.4%  
175 0.1% 0.3%  
176 0.1% 0.3%  
177 0% 0.2%  
178 0% 0.1%  
179 0% 0.1%  
180 0% 0.1%  
181 0% 0.1%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
94 0% 100%  
95 0.1% 99.9%  
96 0.2% 99.8%  
97 0.2% 99.7%  
98 0.3% 99.5%  
99 0.6% 99.1%  
100 0.6% 98.5%  
101 0.7% 98%  
102 0.8% 97%  
103 0.9% 96%  
104 1.0% 95%  
105 0.7% 95%  
106 0.7% 94%  
107 0.5% 93%  
108 0.7% 93%  
109 1.0% 92%  
110 2% 91%  
111 3% 89%  
112 4% 86%  
113 6% 82%  
114 7% 76%  
115 10% 68%  
116 10% 58% Median
117 10% 48%  
118 8% 38%  
119 8% 30%  
120 6% 22%  
121 4% 16%  
122 4% 12%  
123 2% 8%  
124 1.1% 6%  
125 0.7% 5%  
126 0.5% 4%  
127 0.2% 4%  
128 0.2% 3%  
129 0.1% 3%  
130 0.2% 3%  
131 0.4% 3%  
132 0.3% 3%  
133 0.4% 2%  
134 0.5% 2%  
135 0.3% 1.3%  
136 0.3% 1.0%  
137 0.3% 0.7%  
138 0.1% 0.4%  
139 0.1% 0.3%  
140 0.1% 0.2%  
141 0% 0.1%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0% 100%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.2% 99.8%  
70 0.3% 99.6%  
71 0.4% 99.3%  
72 0.8% 98.9%  
73 0.9% 98%  
74 1.3% 97%  
75 2% 96%  
76 2% 94%  
77 3% 92%  
78 3% 89%  
79 4% 86%  
80 5% 82% Last Result
81 5% 76%  
82 5% 71%  
83 6% 66%  
84 7% 60%  
85 7% 53% Median
86 6% 45%  
87 5% 40%  
88 5% 35%  
89 5% 30%  
90 5% 24%  
91 4% 19%  
92 3% 15%  
93 3% 12%  
94 2% 9%  
95 2% 7%  
96 1.5% 5%  
97 1.1% 4%  
98 0.6% 3%  
99 0.7% 2%  
100 0.4% 1.3%  
101 0.2% 0.9%  
102 0.2% 0.7%  
103 0.1% 0.4%  
104 0.1% 0.3%  
105 0.1% 0.2%  
106 0% 0.1%  
107 0% 0.1%  
108 0% 0%  

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0% 100%  
60 0.1% 99.9%  
61 0.1% 99.9%  
62 0.1% 99.7%  
63 0.4% 99.6%  
64 0.2% 99.2%  
65 1.2% 99.0%  
66 0.5% 98%  
67 2% 97%  
68 2% 95%  
69 3% 94%  
70 4% 91%  
71 3% 87%  
72 7% 84%  
73 3% 77%  
74 9% 74%  
75 2% 66%  
76 10% 63%  
77 4% 53% Median
78 8% 49%  
79 6% 41%  
80 3% 35%  
81 8% 31%  
82 3% 24%  
83 6% 21%  
84 2% 15%  
85 5% 13%  
86 1.2% 8%  
87 2% 7%  
88 1.2% 5%  
89 1.4% 4%  
90 0.6% 2%  
91 0.4% 2%  
92 0.6% 1.3%  
93 0.1% 0.7%  
94 0.3% 0.6% Last Result
95 0.1% 0.3%  
96 0.1% 0.2%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0% 0.1%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 4% 100%  
1 0% 96%  
2 0% 96%  
3 0% 96%  
4 0% 96%  
5 0% 96%  
6 0% 96%  
7 0% 96%  
8 0% 96%  
9 0% 96%  
10 0% 96%  
11 0% 96%  
12 0% 96%  
13 0% 96%  
14 0% 96%  
15 0% 96%  
16 0% 96%  
17 0% 96%  
18 0% 96%  
19 0% 96%  
20 0% 96%  
21 0% 96%  
22 0% 96%  
23 0% 96%  
24 0% 96%  
25 0% 96%  
26 0% 96%  
27 0% 96%  
28 0% 96%  
29 0% 96%  
30 0% 96%  
31 0% 96%  
32 0% 96%  
33 0% 96%  
34 0% 96%  
35 0% 96%  
36 0% 96%  
37 0% 96%  
38 0.1% 96%  
39 2% 96%  
40 4% 94%  
41 4% 90%  
42 5% 86%  
43 8% 81%  
44 9% 73%  
45 9% 63%  
46 8% 54% Median
47 9% 46%  
48 9% 37%  
49 7% 28%  
50 5% 21%  
51 4% 15%  
52 3% 11%  
53 2% 8%  
54 2% 6%  
55 1.2% 4%  
56 0.9% 3%  
57 0.6% 2%  
58 0.4% 1.2%  
59 0.4% 0.8%  
60 0.2% 0.4%  
61 0.1% 0.3%  
62 0.1% 0.2%  
63 0% 0.1%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0.1% 100%  
24 0.2% 99.9%  
25 0.4% 99.7%  
26 0.8% 99.4%  
27 1.4% 98.6%  
28 3% 97%  
29 3% 94%  
30 5% 91%  
31 7% 86%  
32 8% 79%  
33 11% 71%  
34 8% 60%  
35 10% 52% Median
36 9% 42%  
37 8% 33%  
38 7% 25%  
39 5% 18%  
40 4% 13%  
41 3% 9%  
42 2% 6%  
43 1.5% 4%  
44 1.0% 2%  
45 0.7% 2%  
46 0.4% 0.8% Last Result
47 0.2% 0.4%  
48 0.1% 0.2%  
49 0.1% 0.1%  
50 0% 0.1%  
51 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 500 100% 490–514 486–518 484–533 478–542
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 470 100% 459–482 455–488 452–502 447–515
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 401 100% 389–414 385–419 382–426 377–439
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 384 100% 374–398 369–403 366–413 361–423
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 387 99.9% 375–399 371–403 368–409 361–423
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 361 75% 348–374 343–378 337–380 327–386
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 348 25% 335–361 331–366 329–372 323–382
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 316 0.1% 303–329 301–334 298–337 292–347
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 302 0% 291–314 287–317 283–322 277–334
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 271 0% 258–283 255–287 252–291 247–302
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 263 0% 251–276 247–280 244–284 239–292
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 201 0% 191–211 188–214 184–218 178–228
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 162 0% 152–172 147–175 120–177 115–182

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
466 0% 100% Last Result
467 0% 100%  
468 0% 100%  
469 0% 100%  
470 0% 100%  
471 0% 100%  
472 0% 100%  
473 0% 99.9%  
474 0% 99.9%  
475 0% 99.9%  
476 0.1% 99.8%  
477 0.1% 99.7%  
478 0.2% 99.6%  
479 0.2% 99.5%  
480 0.2% 99.3%  
481 0.6% 99.0%  
482 0.6% 98%  
483 0.4% 98%  
484 0.6% 98%  
485 0.9% 97%  
486 1.1% 96%  
487 1.0% 95%  
488 1.3% 94%  
489 1.1% 93%  
490 2% 91%  
491 2% 90%  
492 2% 88%  
493 4% 86%  
494 3% 82%  
495 5% 78%  
496 3% 73%  
497 5% 70%  
498 6% 65%  
499 4% 58%  
500 7% 54%  
501 4% 47% Median
502 2% 43%  
503 4% 41%  
504 4% 37%  
505 4% 33%  
506 2% 29%  
507 2% 27%  
508 2% 25%  
509 3% 23%  
510 3% 20%  
511 4% 17%  
512 2% 14%  
513 2% 12%  
514 2% 10%  
515 1.4% 9%  
516 1.2% 7%  
517 0.8% 6%  
518 0.5% 5%  
519 0.3% 5%  
520 0.2% 5%  
521 0.2% 4%  
522 0.2% 4%  
523 0.1% 4%  
524 0.1% 4%  
525 0.1% 4%  
526 0.1% 4%  
527 0.1% 4%  
528 0.1% 4%  
529 0.1% 4%  
530 0.4% 3%  
531 0.1% 3%  
532 0.2% 3%  
533 0.2% 3%  
534 0.3% 2%  
535 0.2% 2%  
536 0.2% 2%  
537 0.4% 2%  
538 0.2% 1.2%  
539 0.1% 1.0%  
540 0.2% 0.9%  
541 0.1% 0.7%  
542 0.1% 0.6%  
543 0.1% 0.5%  
544 0% 0.4%  
545 0% 0.4%  
546 0.1% 0.4%  
547 0% 0.3%  
548 0% 0.2%  
549 0% 0.2%  
550 0% 0.2%  
551 0% 0.1%  
552 0% 0.1%  
553 0% 0.1%  
554 0% 0.1%  
555 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 100%  
436 0% 100%  
437 0% 100%  
438 0% 100%  
439 0% 100%  
440 0% 100%  
441 0% 100%  
442 0% 99.9%  
443 0.1% 99.9%  
444 0.1% 99.8%  
445 0.1% 99.8%  
446 0.2% 99.7%  
447 0.2% 99.5%  
448 0.3% 99.3%  
449 0.2% 99.0%  
450 0.4% 98.8%  
451 0.5% 98%  
452 0.5% 98%  
453 0.7% 97%  
454 0.8% 97%  
455 0.9% 96%  
456 1.2% 95%  
457 1.2% 94%  
458 2% 93%  
459 2% 91%  
460 2% 89%  
461 3% 87%  
462 4% 84%  
463 4% 80%  
464 2% 76%  
465 5% 74%  
466 4% 69%  
467 5% 65%  
468 3% 60%  
469 7% 57%  
470 4% 50% Median
471 3% 46%  
472 6% 43%  
473 4% 38%  
474 4% 34%  
475 4% 30%  
476 3% 27%  
477 3% 24%  
478 3% 21%  
479 3% 18%  
480 2% 15%  
481 2% 13%  
482 1.4% 11%  
483 2% 10%  
484 1.4% 8%  
485 0.6% 7%  
486 0.8% 6%  
487 0.5% 6%  
488 0.4% 5%  
489 0.4% 5%  
490 0.3% 4%  
491 0.3% 4%  
492 0.1% 4%  
493 0.2% 4%  
494 0.2% 3%  
495 0.1% 3%  
496 0% 3%  
497 0.1% 3%  
498 0.1% 3%  
499 0% 3%  
500 0.2% 3%  
501 0.1% 3%  
502 0.1% 3%  
503 0.1% 2%  
504 0.2% 2%  
505 0.3% 2%  
506 0% 2%  
507 0.2% 2%  
508 0.4% 2%  
509 0.1% 1.4%  
510 0% 1.2%  
511 0.4% 1.2%  
512 0.1% 0.8%  
513 0.1% 0.7%  
514 0.1% 0.6%  
515 0.2% 0.6%  
516 0.1% 0.3%  
517 0% 0.2%  
518 0.1% 0.2%  
519 0.1% 0.2%  
520 0% 0.1%  
521 0% 0.1%  
522 0% 0.1%  
523 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
300 0% 100% Last Result
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 99.9%  
372 0% 99.9%  
373 0.1% 99.9%  
374 0.1% 99.8%  
375 0.1% 99.7%  
376 0.1% 99.7%  
377 0.2% 99.5%  
378 0.3% 99.3%  
379 0.5% 99.1%  
380 0.3% 98.6%  
381 0.3% 98%  
382 0.5% 98%  
383 0.6% 97%  
384 2% 97%  
385 0.9% 95%  
386 1.0% 94%  
387 2% 93%  
388 1.2% 91%  
389 2% 90%  
390 2% 89%  
391 3% 86%  
392 4% 84%  
393 4% 80%  
394 3% 76%  
395 3% 73%  
396 3% 70%  
397 4% 67%  
398 6% 64%  
399 4% 58%  
400 4% 54% Median
401 5% 50%  
402 3% 45%  
403 3% 42%  
404 4% 39%  
405 4% 35%  
406 4% 31%  
407 3% 27%  
408 3% 24%  
409 2% 21%  
410 2% 19%  
411 2% 16%  
412 2% 14%  
413 2% 12%  
414 1.0% 10%  
415 0.8% 9%  
416 1.4% 9%  
417 0.6% 7%  
418 1.1% 7%  
419 0.6% 5%  
420 0.4% 5%  
421 0.4% 4%  
422 0.6% 4%  
423 0.2% 3%  
424 0.3% 3%  
425 0.3% 3%  
426 0.2% 3%  
427 0.2% 2%  
428 0.1% 2%  
429 0.3% 2%  
430 0.3% 2%  
431 0.1% 1.5%  
432 0.1% 1.4%  
433 0.1% 1.2%  
434 0.2% 1.1%  
435 0.1% 1.0%  
436 0.2% 0.9%  
437 0.1% 0.7%  
438 0.1% 0.6%  
439 0.1% 0.5%  
440 0% 0.4%  
441 0.1% 0.4%  
442 0.1% 0.3%  
443 0% 0.2%  
444 0% 0.2%  
445 0% 0.1%  
446 0% 0.1%  
447 0% 0.1%  
448 0% 0.1%  
449 0% 0.1%  
450 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 99.9%  
357 0% 99.9%  
358 0.1% 99.9%  
359 0.1% 99.8%  
360 0.1% 99.8%  
361 0.3% 99.6%  
362 0.2% 99.4%  
363 0.5% 99.2%  
364 0.4% 98.7%  
365 0.6% 98%  
366 0.6% 98%  
367 0.8% 97%  
368 0.7% 96%  
369 0.6% 96%  
370 1.1% 95%  
371 0.8% 94%  
372 0.8% 93%  
373 1.1% 92%  
374 1.2% 91%  
375 2% 90%  
376 3% 88%  
377 3% 85%  
378 4% 82%  
379 5% 78%  
380 5% 73%  
381 6% 68%  
382 6% 63%  
383 6% 57%  
384 4% 51%  
385 4% 47% Median
386 4% 43%  
387 3% 39%  
388 3% 36%  
389 2% 34%  
390 2% 32%  
391 3% 30%  
392 2% 27%  
393 3% 25%  
394 2% 22%  
395 3% 20%  
396 3% 17%  
397 3% 15%  
398 2% 12%  
399 1.2% 10%  
400 2% 8%  
401 1.1% 7%  
402 0.8% 6%  
403 0.4% 5%  
404 0.5% 5%  
405 0.3% 4%  
406 0.2% 4%  
407 0.2% 4%  
408 0.1% 3%  
409 0.1% 3%  
410 0.2% 3%  
411 0.2% 3%  
412 0.2% 3%  
413 0.1% 3%  
414 0.4% 2%  
415 0.3% 2%  
416 0.1% 2%  
417 0.1% 2%  
418 0.2% 1.4%  
419 0.3% 1.3%  
420 0.1% 1.0%  
421 0.3% 0.9%  
422 0.1% 0.6%  
423 0.1% 0.5%  
424 0% 0.5%  
425 0.1% 0.4%  
426 0% 0.3%  
427 0% 0.3%  
428 0% 0.2%  
429 0% 0.2%  
430 0% 0.2%  
431 0% 0.1%  
432 0% 0.1%  
433 0% 0.1%  
434 0% 0.1%  
435 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 99.9% Majority
356 0% 99.9%  
357 0% 99.9%  
358 0.1% 99.8%  
359 0.1% 99.8%  
360 0.1% 99.7%  
361 0.1% 99.6%  
362 0.2% 99.5%  
363 0.2% 99.3%  
364 0.2% 99.0%  
365 0.3% 98.8%  
366 0.4% 98.5%  
367 0.4% 98%  
368 0.7% 98%  
369 0.5% 97%  
370 0.7% 97%  
371 1.1% 96%  
372 1.1% 95%  
373 1.5% 94%  
374 1.4% 92%  
375 2% 91%  
376 2% 88%  
377 2% 86%  
378 3% 85%  
379 2% 82%  
380 4% 80%  
381 3% 75%  
382 4% 72%  
383 3% 68%  
384 5% 65%  
385 5% 60%  
386 3% 55%  
387 5% 52% Median
388 4% 46%  
389 5% 42%  
390 4% 37%  
391 4% 33%  
392 4% 30%  
393 3% 26%  
394 3% 22%  
395 3% 19%  
396 2% 17%  
397 3% 15%  
398 1.2% 12%  
399 2% 11%  
400 2% 9%  
401 0.7% 7%  
402 1.0% 7%  
403 0.7% 6%  
404 0.5% 5%  
405 0.5% 4%  
406 0.4% 4%  
407 0.4% 3%  
408 0.3% 3%  
409 0.3% 3%  
410 0.3% 2%  
411 0.2% 2%  
412 0.2% 2%  
413 0.1% 2%  
414 0.2% 2%  
415 0.2% 1.5%  
416 0.1% 1.3%  
417 0.1% 1.2%  
418 0.1% 1.1%  
419 0.2% 1.0%  
420 0.1% 0.8%  
421 0.1% 0.7%  
422 0.1% 0.6%  
423 0.1% 0.6%  
424 0.1% 0.5%  
425 0% 0.4%  
426 0.1% 0.4%  
427 0% 0.3%  
428 0.1% 0.3%  
429 0% 0.2%  
430 0% 0.2%  
431 0% 0.1%  
432 0% 0.1%  
433 0% 0.1%  
434 0% 0.1%  
435 0% 0.1%  
436 0% 0%  
437 0% 0%  
438 0% 0%  
439 0% 0%  
440 0% 0%  
441 0% 0%  
442 0% 0%  
443 0% 0%  
444 0% 0%  
445 0% 0%  
446 0% 0%  
447 0% 0%  
448 0% 0%  
449 0% 0%  
450 0% 0%  
451 0% 0%  
452 0% 0%  
453 0% 0%  
454 0% 0%  
455 0% 0%  
456 0% 0%  
457 0% 0%  
458 0% 0%  
459 0% 0%  
460 0% 0%  
461 0% 0%  
462 0% 0%  
463 0% 0%  
464 0% 0%  
465 0% 0%  
466 0% 0%  
467 0% 0%  
468 0% 0%  
469 0% 0%  
470 0% 0%  
471 0% 0%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 99.9%  
318 0% 99.9%  
319 0% 99.9%  
320 0% 99.9%  
321 0% 99.9%  
322 0% 99.8%  
323 0% 99.8%  
324 0% 99.8%  
325 0% 99.7%  
326 0.1% 99.7%  
327 0.1% 99.5%  
328 0.2% 99.4%  
329 0.2% 99.2%  
330 0.1% 99.0%  
331 0.1% 99.0%  
332 0.1% 98.9%  
333 0.2% 98.8%  
334 0.2% 98.5%  
335 0.4% 98%  
336 0.3% 98%  
337 0.3% 98%  
338 0.3% 97%  
339 0.4% 97%  
340 0.4% 97%  
341 0.5% 96%  
342 0.6% 96%  
343 0.8% 95%  
344 0.9% 94%  
345 1.2% 93%  
346 1.0% 92%  
347 1.2% 91%  
348 2% 90%  
349 2% 88%  
350 2% 87%  
351 2% 85%  
352 2% 82%  
353 2% 80%  
354 3% 78%  
355 3% 75% Majority
356 2% 72%  
357 4% 69%  
358 5% 65%  
359 3% 60%  
360 4% 57%  
361 5% 53% Median
362 4% 48%  
363 4% 45%  
364 4% 41%  
365 3% 37%  
366 4% 34%  
367 3% 29%  
368 3% 26%  
369 3% 23%  
370 2% 20%  
371 3% 17%  
372 2% 15%  
373 2% 13%  
374 2% 11%  
375 2% 9%  
376 1.2% 7%  
377 0.9% 6%  
378 1.1% 5%  
379 1.1% 4%  
380 0.6% 3%  
381 0.4% 2%  
382 0.5% 2%  
383 0.4% 1.4%  
384 0.3% 1.0%  
385 0.2% 0.8%  
386 0.1% 0.6%  
387 0.1% 0.5%  
388 0.1% 0.4%  
389 0.1% 0.3%  
390 0% 0.2%  
391 0% 0.1%  
392 0% 0.1%  
393 0% 0.1%  
394 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 99.9%  
318 0% 99.9%  
319 0% 99.9%  
320 0.1% 99.8%  
321 0.1% 99.7%  
322 0.1% 99.6%  
323 0.1% 99.5%  
324 0.2% 99.4%  
325 0.3% 99.2%  
326 0.4% 99.0%  
327 0.5% 98.6%  
328 0.4% 98%  
329 0.6% 98%  
330 1.1% 97%  
331 1.1% 96%  
332 0.9% 95%  
333 1.2% 94%  
334 2% 93%  
335 2% 91%  
336 2% 89%  
337 2% 87%  
338 3% 85%  
339 2% 83%  
340 3% 80%  
341 3% 77%  
342 3% 74%  
343 4% 71%  
344 3% 66%  
345 4% 63%  
346 4% 59%  
347 4% 55%  
348 5% 52% Median
349 4% 47%  
350 3% 43%  
351 5% 40%  
352 4% 35%  
353 2% 31%  
354 3% 28%  
355 3% 25% Majority
356 2% 22%  
357 2% 20%  
358 2% 18%  
359 2% 15%  
360 2% 13%  
361 2% 12%  
362 1.2% 10%  
363 1.0% 9%  
364 1.2% 8%  
365 0.9% 7%  
366 0.8% 6%  
367 0.6% 5%  
368 0.5% 4%  
369 0.4% 4%  
370 0.4% 3%  
371 0.3% 3%  
372 0.3% 3%  
373 0.3% 2%  
374 0.4% 2%  
375 0.2% 2%  
376 0.2% 1.5%  
377 0.1% 1.2%  
378 0.1% 1.1%  
379 0.1% 1.0%  
380 0.2% 1.0%  
381 0.2% 0.8%  
382 0.1% 0.6%  
383 0.1% 0.5%  
384 0% 0.3%  
385 0% 0.3%  
386 0% 0.2%  
387 0% 0.2%  
388 0% 0.2%  
389 0% 0.1%  
390 0% 0.1%  
391 0% 0.1%  
392 0% 0.1%  
393 0% 0.1%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 99.9%  
287 0% 99.9%  
288 0% 99.9%  
289 0% 99.8%  
290 0% 99.8%  
291 0.1% 99.7%  
292 0.2% 99.7%  
293 0.3% 99.5%  
294 0.4% 99.2%  
295 0.4% 98.8%  
296 0.5% 98%  
297 0.4% 98%  
298 0.4% 98%  
299 0.4% 97%  
300 1.4% 97%  
301 2% 95%  
302 2% 94%  
303 2% 91%  
304 2% 89%  
305 2% 87%  
306 2% 85%  
307 2% 84%  
308 2% 82%  
309 6% 80%  
310 5% 74%  
311 5% 69%  
312 4% 64%  
313 3% 60%  
314 3% 57%  
315 2% 54% Median
316 4% 52%  
317 5% 49%  
318 5% 43%  
319 6% 38%  
320 4% 32%  
321 2% 28%  
322 1.5% 26%  
323 1.4% 24%  
324 2% 23%  
325 3% 21%  
326 3% 18%  
327 3% 15%  
328 2% 12%  
329 1.5% 10%  
330 0.5% 9%  
331 0.7% 8%  
332 0.6% 7%  
333 1.1% 7%  
334 0.9% 6%  
335 1.1% 5%  
336 0.8% 4%  
337 0.4% 3%  
338 0.2% 2%  
339 0.2% 2%  
340 0.2% 2%  
341 0.2% 2%  
342 0.3% 2%  
343 0.2% 1.3%  
344 0.2% 1.1%  
345 0.2% 0.8%  
346 0.1% 0.6%  
347 0.1% 0.5%  
348 0% 0.4%  
349 0% 0.4%  
350 0% 0.4%  
351 0.1% 0.3%  
352 0.1% 0.3%  
353 0% 0.2%  
354 0% 0.2%  
355 0% 0.1% Majority
356 0% 0.1%  
357 0% 0.1%  
358 0% 0.1%  
359 0% 0.1%  
360 0% 0.1%  
361 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 99.9%  
272 0% 99.9%  
273 0.1% 99.9%  
274 0.1% 99.8%  
275 0.1% 99.8%  
276 0.1% 99.7%  
277 0.1% 99.5%  
278 0.2% 99.4%  
279 0.1% 99.2%  
280 0.4% 99.1%  
281 0.3% 98.7%  
282 0.5% 98%  
283 0.5% 98%  
284 0.6% 97%  
285 0.6% 97%  
286 1.0% 96%  
287 0.8% 95%  
288 1.3% 94%  
289 1.2% 93%  
290 2% 92%  
291 2% 90%  
292 2% 88%  
293 3% 86%  
294 4% 83%  
295 3% 79%  
296 4% 76%  
297 3% 72%  
298 4% 69%  
299 4% 65%  
300 5% 61%  
301 5% 56%  
302 5% 51% Median
303 5% 46%  
304 4% 42%  
305 5% 37%  
306 4% 33%  
307 4% 28%  
308 3% 24%  
309 3% 21%  
310 3% 19%  
311 2% 16%  
312 2% 14%  
313 1.3% 11%  
314 2% 10%  
315 1.3% 8%  
316 1.2% 7%  
317 0.8% 6%  
318 0.7% 5%  
319 0.4% 4%  
320 0.6% 4%  
321 0.4% 3%  
322 0.4% 3%  
323 0.3% 2%  
324 0.2% 2%  
325 0.4% 2%  
326 0.2% 1.4%  
327 0.1% 1.2%  
328 0.1% 1.1%  
329 0.1% 1.0%  
330 0.1% 0.9%  
331 0.1% 0.8%  
332 0.1% 0.6%  
333 0.1% 0.6%  
334 0.1% 0.5%  
335 0.1% 0.4%  
336 0.1% 0.3%  
337 0% 0.3%  
338 0% 0.2%  
339 0% 0.2%  
340 0% 0.2%  
341 0% 0.1%  
342 0% 0.1%  
343 0% 0.1%  
344 0% 0.1%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0% Majority
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 99.9%  
242 0.1% 99.9%  
243 0.1% 99.9%  
244 0.1% 99.8%  
245 0.1% 99.7%  
246 0.1% 99.6%  
247 0.2% 99.5%  
248 0.2% 99.3%  
249 0.3% 99.1%  
250 0.3% 98.7%  
251 0.5% 98%  
252 0.7% 98%  
253 0.9% 97%  
254 1.1% 96%  
255 1.2% 95%  
256 1.5% 94%  
257 1.3% 92%  
258 2% 91%  
259 2% 90%  
260 2% 88%  
261 3% 86%  
262 2% 83%  
263 3% 81%  
264 4% 77%  
265 4% 73%  
266 3% 69%  
267 4% 66%  
268 3% 62%  
269 5% 59%  
270 4% 54%  
271 4% 51% Median
272 3% 47%  
273 5% 44%  
274 4% 39%  
275 4% 35%  
276 4% 32%  
277 4% 27%  
278 3% 23%  
279 2% 20%  
280 2% 18%  
281 2% 16%  
282 2% 14%  
283 2% 12%  
284 2% 10%  
285 1.1% 8%  
286 2% 7%  
287 0.8% 6%  
288 0.7% 5%  
289 1.0% 4%  
290 0.5% 3%  
291 0.4% 3%  
292 0.5% 2%  
293 0.3% 2%  
294 0.2% 2%  
295 0.2% 1.5%  
296 0.2% 1.2%  
297 0.1% 1.1%  
298 0.2% 1.0%  
299 0.1% 0.8%  
300 0.1% 0.7%  
301 0.1% 0.6%  
302 0.1% 0.5%  
303 0.2% 0.4%  
304 0% 0.3%  
305 0% 0.2%  
306 0% 0.2%  
307 0% 0.2%  
308 0% 0.1%  
309 0% 0.1%  
310 0% 0.1%  
311 0% 0.1%  
312 0% 0.1%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 99.9%  
235 0% 99.9%  
236 0.1% 99.8%  
237 0.1% 99.8%  
238 0.1% 99.7%  
239 0.1% 99.6%  
240 0.2% 99.5%  
241 0.2% 99.2%  
242 0.3% 99.0%  
243 0.6% 98.8%  
244 0.8% 98%  
245 0.7% 97%  
246 0.8% 97%  
247 1.0% 96%  
248 1.3% 95%  
249 1.3% 94%  
250 1.4% 92%  
251 2% 91%  
252 2% 89%  
253 3% 87%  
254 4% 84%  
255 2% 80%  
256 4% 78%  
257 4% 74%  
258 4% 71%  
259 2% 66%  
260 3% 64%  
261 4% 61%  
262 4% 57%  
263 4% 53% Median
264 6% 49%  
265 4% 42%  
266 5% 38%  
267 3% 34%  
268 4% 31%  
269 2% 27%  
270 3% 25%  
271 2% 22%  
272 2% 19%  
273 3% 17%  
274 2% 14%  
275 2% 12%  
276 2% 10%  
277 1.4% 9%  
278 1.0% 7%  
279 0.8% 6%  
280 1.0% 5%  
281 0.7% 4%  
282 0.6% 4%  
283 0.4% 3%  
284 0.5% 3%  
285 0.4% 2%  
286 0.2% 2%  
287 0.3% 2%  
288 0.2% 1.3%  
289 0.2% 1.1%  
290 0.2% 0.9%  
291 0.1% 0.7%  
292 0.1% 0.6%  
293 0.1% 0.5%  
294 0.1% 0.4%  
295 0% 0.3%  
296 0% 0.3%  
297 0.1% 0.3%  
298 0.1% 0.2%  
299 0% 0.1%  
300 0% 0.1%  
301 0% 0.1%  
302 0% 0.1%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0%  
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
172 0% 100%  
173 0% 99.9%  
174 0% 99.9%  
175 0.1% 99.9%  
176 0.1% 99.8%  
177 0.1% 99.7%  
178 0.2% 99.6%  
179 0.2% 99.4%  
180 0.3% 99.3%  
181 0.3% 99.0%  
182 0.3% 98.7%  
183 0.5% 98%  
184 0.4% 98%  
185 0.9% 97%  
186 0.7% 97%  
187 0.7% 96%  
188 0.8% 95%  
189 1.2% 94%  
190 1.3% 93%  
191 2% 92%  
192 2% 90%  
193 3% 88%  
194 2% 85%  
195 4% 82%  
196 3% 79%  
197 5% 75%  
198 5% 70%  
199 7% 65%  
200 5% 59%  
201 5% 54% Median
202 4% 48%  
203 5% 44%  
204 6% 39%  
205 4% 33%  
206 6% 29%  
207 4% 23%  
208 3% 18%  
209 3% 15%  
210 2% 13%  
211 2% 11%  
212 2% 9%  
213 1.3% 7%  
214 1.1% 6%  
215 0.7% 4%  
216 0.5% 4%  
217 0.5% 3%  
218 0.4% 3%  
219 0.3% 2%  
220 0.3% 2%  
221 0.3% 2%  
222 0.2% 1.3%  
223 0.2% 1.2%  
224 0.1% 0.9%  
225 0.1% 0.8%  
226 0.1% 0.7%  
227 0.1% 0.6%  
228 0.1% 0.5%  
229 0.1% 0.4%  
230 0.1% 0.3%  
231 0.1% 0.2%  
232 0% 0.2%  
233 0% 0.1% Last Result
234 0% 0.1%  
235 0% 0.1%  
236 0% 0.1%  
237 0% 0.1%  
238 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 99.9%  
112 0.1% 99.9%  
113 0.2% 99.9%  
114 0.1% 99.7%  
115 0.3% 99.5%  
116 0.7% 99.2%  
117 0.2% 98.5%  
118 0.2% 98%  
119 0.4% 98%  
120 0.2% 98%  
121 0.1% 97%  
122 0.2% 97%  
123 0% 97%  
124 0% 97%  
125 0% 97%  
126 0% 97%  
127 0% 97%  
128 0% 97%  
129 0% 97%  
130 0% 97%  
131 0% 97%  
132 0% 97%  
133 0.2% 97%  
134 0.2% 97%  
135 0% 97%  
136 0.2% 97%  
137 0.2% 96%  
138 0.1% 96%  
139 0.1% 96%  
140 0.2% 96%  
141 0.1% 96%  
142 0.1% 96%  
143 0.1% 96%  
144 0.1% 96%  
145 0.1% 95%  
146 0.4% 95%  
147 0.3% 95%  
148 0.7% 95%  
149 0.8% 94%  
150 1.1% 93%  
151 1.1% 92%  
152 3% 91%  
153 2% 88%  
154 3% 86%  
155 3% 83%  
156 4% 80%  
157 6% 76%  
158 4% 71%  
159 5% 67%  
160 3% 61%  
161 5% 58%  
162 7% 53% Median
163 6% 46%  
164 4% 40%  
165 5% 36%  
166 4% 31%  
167 5% 27%  
168 3% 22%  
169 3% 19%  
170 3% 16%  
171 3% 13%  
172 3% 11%  
173 1.3% 8%  
174 1.4% 7%  
175 1.2% 5%  
176 1.0% 4%  
177 0.8% 3%  
178 0.5% 2%  
179 0.5% 2%  
180 0.4% 1.4%  
181 0.3% 1.0%  
182 0.2% 0.7%  
183 0.1% 0.5%  
184 0.1% 0.4%  
185 0.1% 0.3%  
186 0.1% 0.2%  
187 0% 0.1%  
188 0% 0.1%  
189 0% 0.1%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations