Opinion Poll by GMS, 11–17 May 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 24.0% 22.3–25.8% 21.8–26.3% 21.4–26.7% 20.7–27.6%
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 21.1% 19.5–22.8% 19.1–23.3% 18.7–23.7% 17.9–24.6%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 15.0% 13.7–16.6% 13.3–17.0% 12.9–17.4% 12.3–18.1%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 11.0% 9.9–12.4% 9.5–12.8% 9.3–13.1% 8.7–13.8%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 11.0% 9.9–12.4% 9.5–12.8% 9.3–13.1% 8.7–13.8%
Die Linke 9.2% 7.0% 6.0–8.1% 5.8–8.4% 5.5–8.7% 5.1–9.3%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 4.9% 4.1–5.9% 3.9–6.1% 3.7–6.4% 3.4–6.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 180 167–193 164–197 161–200 155–207
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 158 146–171 143–175 140–178 135–185
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 113 103–124 100–128 97–131 93–136
Alternative für Deutschland 94 84 74–93 72–96 69–99 65–104
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 83 74–93 71–96 69–99 66–104
Die Linke 69 53 45–61 44–63 42–65 39–70
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 37 31–44 29–46 28–48 25–52

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0.1% 99.9%  
151 0% 99.9%  
152 0.1% 99.8%  
153 0.1% 99.8%  
154 0.1% 99.7%  
155 0.2% 99.6%  
156 0.2% 99.4%  
157 0.3% 99.2%  
158 0.3% 98.9%  
159 0.4% 98.6%  
160 0.5% 98%  
161 0.5% 98%  
162 0.8% 97%  
163 1.0% 96%  
164 1.2% 95%  
165 1.5% 94%  
166 2% 93%  
167 1.3% 91%  
168 2% 90%  
169 3% 88%  
170 3% 86%  
171 3% 83%  
172 3% 80%  
173 3% 77%  
174 3% 75%  
175 3% 71%  
176 4% 68%  
177 4% 64%  
178 6% 60%  
179 4% 55%  
180 4% 51% Median
181 3% 47%  
182 3% 44%  
183 4% 41%  
184 4% 37%  
185 4% 33%  
186 3% 29%  
187 3% 26%  
188 2% 23%  
189 3% 21%  
190 3% 18%  
191 3% 15%  
192 2% 13%  
193 2% 11%  
194 1.1% 9%  
195 0.9% 8%  
196 1.1% 7%  
197 1.2% 6%  
198 0.8% 5%  
199 0.9% 4%  
200 0.4% 3%  
201 0.4% 2%  
202 0.4% 2%  
203 0.3% 2%  
204 0.2% 1.3%  
205 0.3% 1.0%  
206 0.2% 0.7%  
207 0.1% 0.5%  
208 0.1% 0.4%  
209 0.1% 0.3%  
210 0.1% 0.3%  
211 0% 0.2%  
212 0.1% 0.2%  
213 0% 0.1%  
214 0% 0.1%  
215 0% 0.1%  
216 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 99.9%  
130 0% 99.9%  
131 0.1% 99.9%  
132 0.1% 99.8%  
133 0.1% 99.8%  
134 0.2% 99.7%  
135 0.1% 99.5%  
136 0.2% 99.4%  
137 0.4% 99.2%  
138 0.3% 98.8%  
139 0.5% 98.5%  
140 1.0% 98%  
141 0.5% 97%  
142 0.8% 97%  
143 1.3% 96%  
144 1.1% 94%  
145 1.4% 93%  
146 2% 92%  
147 2% 90%  
148 2% 88%  
149 4% 86%  
150 2% 83%  
151 3% 81%  
152 5% 77%  
153 3% 73%  
154 2% 70%  
155 6% 67%  
156 4% 62%  
157 3% 58%  
158 5% 55% Median
159 3% 50%  
160 3% 47%  
161 5% 44%  
162 4% 38%  
163 3% 34%  
164 5% 31%  
165 3% 26%  
166 2% 23%  
167 3% 21%  
168 3% 18%  
169 2% 15%  
170 2% 13%  
171 2% 11%  
172 1.2% 9%  
173 2% 8%  
174 2% 7%  
175 0.7% 5%  
176 0.8% 4%  
177 0.9% 4%  
178 0.3% 3%  
179 0.6% 2%  
180 0.4% 2%  
181 0.2% 1.3%  
182 0.3% 1.1%  
183 0.2% 0.8%  
184 0.1% 0.6%  
185 0.2% 0.5%  
186 0.1% 0.4%  
187 0% 0.2%  
188 0% 0.2%  
189 0.1% 0.2%  
190 0% 0.1%  
191 0% 0.1%  
192 0% 0.1%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
87 0% 100%  
88 0.1% 99.9%  
89 0.1% 99.9%  
90 0.1% 99.8%  
91 0.1% 99.8%  
92 0.1% 99.7%  
93 0.2% 99.5%  
94 0.3% 99.3%  
95 0.5% 99.0%  
96 0.8% 98.5%  
97 0.7% 98%  
98 0.9% 97%  
99 0.9% 96%  
100 1.2% 95%  
101 1.4% 94%  
102 2% 93%  
103 4% 90%  
104 3% 87%  
105 4% 84%  
106 3% 80%  
107 3% 77%  
108 5% 74%  
109 3% 70%  
110 4% 66%  
111 5% 62%  
112 5% 57%  
113 5% 52% Median
114 5% 47%  
115 5% 42%  
116 5% 37%  
117 3% 33%  
118 2% 29%  
119 4% 27%  
120 3% 23%  
121 3% 20%  
122 3% 17%  
123 3% 14%  
124 2% 11%  
125 1.3% 8%  
126 1.1% 7%  
127 1.0% 6%  
128 0.9% 5%  
129 0.9% 4%  
130 0.8% 3%  
131 0.9% 3%  
132 0.4% 2%  
133 0.2% 1.3%  
134 0.2% 1.0%  
135 0.2% 0.8%  
136 0.1% 0.6%  
137 0.1% 0.5%  
138 0.1% 0.3%  
139 0.1% 0.2%  
140 0% 0.1%  
141 0% 0.1%  
142 0% 0.1%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0% 100%  
62 0.1% 99.9%  
63 0.1% 99.9%  
64 0.1% 99.8%  
65 0.2% 99.7%  
66 0.2% 99.5%  
67 0.4% 99.2%  
68 0.6% 98.8%  
69 0.8% 98%  
70 1.2% 97%  
71 1.0% 96%  
72 2% 95%  
73 2% 93%  
74 2% 91%  
75 3% 89%  
76 3% 86%  
77 4% 83%  
78 4% 79%  
79 5% 75%  
80 5% 70%  
81 5% 65%  
82 5% 60%  
83 5% 55%  
84 6% 50% Median
85 5% 44%  
86 5% 39%  
87 5% 34%  
88 4% 29%  
89 4% 25%  
90 4% 21%  
91 2% 17%  
92 3% 15%  
93 2% 11%  
94 2% 9% Last Result
95 2% 8%  
96 1.2% 6%  
97 1.0% 4%  
98 0.9% 3%  
99 0.7% 3%  
100 0.5% 2%  
101 0.3% 1.3%  
102 0.3% 1.0%  
103 0.2% 0.7%  
104 0.2% 0.5%  
105 0.1% 0.3%  
106 0.1% 0.3%  
107 0.1% 0.2%  
108 0% 0.1%  
109 0% 0.1%  
110 0% 0.1%  
111 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 99.9%  
63 0.1% 99.9%  
64 0.1% 99.8%  
65 0.2% 99.7%  
66 0.3% 99.5%  
67 0.4% 99.2%  
68 0.7% 98.9%  
69 0.7% 98%  
70 1.2% 97%  
71 2% 96%  
72 2% 95%  
73 2% 93%  
74 2% 91%  
75 3% 89%  
76 4% 85%  
77 4% 82%  
78 5% 78%  
79 4% 73%  
80 6% 69% Last Result
81 4% 63%  
82 5% 58%  
83 6% 53% Median
84 4% 47%  
85 5% 43%  
86 4% 37%  
87 5% 33%  
88 4% 28%  
89 4% 24%  
90 4% 21%  
91 3% 17%  
92 2% 14%  
93 2% 12%  
94 2% 9%  
95 1.3% 7%  
96 1.4% 6%  
97 1.0% 4%  
98 0.8% 3%  
99 0.7% 3%  
100 0.6% 2%  
101 0.4% 1.4%  
102 0.3% 1.0%  
103 0.3% 0.8%  
104 0.1% 0.5%  
105 0.1% 0.4%  
106 0.1% 0.3%  
107 0% 0.2%  
108 0% 0.1%  
109 0% 0.1%  
110 0% 0.1%  
111 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100%  
1 0% 99.7%  
2 0% 99.7%  
3 0% 99.7%  
4 0% 99.7%  
5 0% 99.7%  
6 0% 99.7%  
7 0% 99.7%  
8 0% 99.7%  
9 0% 99.7%  
10 0% 99.7%  
11 0% 99.7%  
12 0% 99.7%  
13 0% 99.7%  
14 0% 99.7%  
15 0% 99.7%  
16 0% 99.7%  
17 0% 99.7%  
18 0% 99.7%  
19 0% 99.7%  
20 0% 99.7%  
21 0% 99.7%  
22 0% 99.7%  
23 0% 99.7%  
24 0% 99.7%  
25 0% 99.7%  
26 0% 99.7%  
27 0% 99.7%  
28 0% 99.7%  
29 0% 99.7%  
30 0% 99.7%  
31 0% 99.7%  
32 0% 99.7%  
33 0% 99.7%  
34 0% 99.7%  
35 0% 99.7%  
36 0% 99.7%  
37 0% 99.7%  
38 0.1% 99.7%  
39 0.6% 99.6%  
40 0.8% 99.0%  
41 0.6% 98%  
42 1.0% 98%  
43 1.4% 97%  
44 2% 95%  
45 4% 93%  
46 5% 89%  
47 3% 84%  
48 4% 81%  
49 7% 77%  
50 5% 71%  
51 7% 66%  
52 7% 59%  
53 4% 51% Median
54 9% 48%  
55 8% 39%  
56 5% 30%  
57 4% 26%  
58 4% 22%  
59 3% 19%  
60 4% 16%  
61 4% 11%  
62 2% 8%  
63 1.2% 6%  
64 1.2% 5%  
65 1.1% 3%  
66 0.8% 2%  
67 0.6% 2%  
68 0.2% 1.0%  
69 0.3% 0.8% Last Result
70 0.2% 0.6%  
71 0.2% 0.4%  
72 0.1% 0.2%  
73 0% 0.1%  
74 0% 0.1%  
75 0% 0.1%  
76 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0.1% 100%  
24 0.1% 99.9%  
25 0.3% 99.7%  
26 0.6% 99.4%  
27 0.9% 98.8%  
28 2% 98%  
29 2% 96%  
30 3% 94%  
31 4% 91%  
32 6% 88%  
33 6% 82%  
34 7% 76%  
35 7% 69%  
36 8% 62%  
37 8% 54% Median
38 7% 46%  
39 7% 39%  
40 6% 32%  
41 6% 26%  
42 4% 20%  
43 4% 15%  
44 3% 11%  
45 2% 8%  
46 2% 6% Last Result
47 1.3% 4%  
48 1.0% 3%  
49 0.7% 2%  
50 0.5% 1.3%  
51 0.3% 0.8%  
52 0.2% 0.6%  
53 0.1% 0.4%  
54 0.1% 0.2%  
55 0.1% 0.1%  
56 0% 0.1%  
57 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 489 100% 476–503 472–507 468–511 462–518
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 460 100% 445–474 441–478 438–481 431–489
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 392 100% 378–407 373–412 370–416 362–423
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 376 97% 362–392 358–396 354–400 348–408
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 376 97% 362–391 357–395 353–399 346–406
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 363 78% 347–377 344–381 341–385 332–393
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 346 22% 332–362 328–365 324–368 316–377
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 309 0% 295–324 290–328 287–332 280–340
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 293 0% 279–309 275–312 271–316 264–324
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 279 0% 265–294 261–298 257–302 251–309
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 279 0% 265–294 261–298 257–302 250–309
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 196 0% 184–210 180–214 177–217 171–224
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 166 0% 154–179 150–182 147–186 140–192

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
454 0% 100%  
455 0% 99.9%  
456 0% 99.9%  
457 0% 99.9%  
458 0% 99.8%  
459 0.1% 99.8%  
460 0.1% 99.7%  
461 0.1% 99.6%  
462 0.2% 99.5%  
463 0.2% 99.4%  
464 0.3% 99.2%  
465 0.4% 98.8%  
466 0.3% 98% Last Result
467 0.5% 98%  
468 0.4% 98%  
469 0.5% 97%  
470 0.7% 97%  
471 0.8% 96%  
472 1.1% 95%  
473 1.1% 94%  
474 2% 93%  
475 1.3% 92%  
476 3% 90%  
477 2% 87%  
478 1.2% 86%  
479 2% 84%  
480 2% 82%  
481 3% 80%  
482 4% 77%  
483 2% 73%  
484 5% 70%  
485 3% 65%  
486 3% 62%  
487 4% 60%  
488 2% 56% Median
489 3% 53%  
490 3% 50%  
491 4% 47%  
492 4% 43%  
493 5% 39%  
494 3% 34%  
495 3% 31%  
496 4% 28%  
497 2% 23%  
498 2% 21%  
499 2% 19%  
500 2% 17%  
501 3% 15%  
502 2% 12%  
503 1.5% 10%  
504 2% 9%  
505 1.2% 7%  
506 1.0% 6%  
507 1.0% 5%  
508 0.5% 4%  
509 0.7% 4%  
510 0.4% 3%  
511 0.6% 3%  
512 0.5% 2%  
513 0.4% 2%  
514 0.2% 1.2%  
515 0.2% 1.0%  
516 0.1% 0.8%  
517 0.2% 0.7%  
518 0.1% 0.6%  
519 0% 0.5%  
520 0.1% 0.4%  
521 0% 0.4%  
522 0% 0.3%  
523 0% 0.3%  
524 0% 0.3%  
525 0% 0.2%  
526 0% 0.2%  
527 0% 0.2%  
528 0% 0.2%  
529 0% 0.2%  
530 0% 0.2%  
531 0% 0.2%  
532 0% 0.1%  
533 0% 0.1%  
534 0% 0.1%  
535 0% 0.1%  
536 0% 0.1%  
537 0% 0.1%  
538 0% 0.1%  
539 0% 0.1%  
540 0% 0.1%  
541 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 99.9%  
425 0% 99.9%  
426 0% 99.9%  
427 0% 99.8%  
428 0.1% 99.8%  
429 0.1% 99.7%  
430 0.1% 99.7%  
431 0.1% 99.5%  
432 0.2% 99.4%  
433 0.2% 99.2%  
434 0.3% 99.0%  
435 0.3% 98.7%  
436 0.5% 98%  
437 0.4% 98%  
438 0.7% 98%  
439 0.5% 97%  
440 0.9% 96%  
441 0.8% 96%  
442 1.1% 95%  
443 1.3% 94%  
444 1.3% 92%  
445 2% 91%  
446 1.3% 89%  
447 1.4% 88%  
448 3% 86%  
449 3% 84%  
450 3% 81%  
451 3% 78%  
452 2% 76%  
453 3% 74%  
454 3% 70%  
455 4% 67%  
456 4% 64%  
457 3% 59%  
458 4% 57% Median
459 3% 53%  
460 4% 50%  
461 3% 46%  
462 4% 43%  
463 5% 40%  
464 3% 35%  
465 3% 32%  
466 3% 29%  
467 3% 26%  
468 3% 23%  
469 3% 21%  
470 2% 18%  
471 2% 16%  
472 2% 14%  
473 2% 12%  
474 1.5% 10%  
475 1.4% 9%  
476 2% 8%  
477 0.7% 6%  
478 1.0% 5%  
479 0.7% 4%  
480 0.6% 4%  
481 0.6% 3%  
482 0.4% 2%  
483 0.3% 2%  
484 0.2% 2%  
485 0.3% 1.4%  
486 0.2% 1.1%  
487 0.2% 0.9%  
488 0.1% 0.7%  
489 0.1% 0.6%  
490 0.1% 0.5%  
491 0% 0.4%  
492 0.1% 0.3%  
493 0% 0.3%  
494 0% 0.2%  
495 0% 0.2%  
496 0% 0.2%  
497 0% 0.2%  
498 0% 0.2%  
499 0% 0.1%  
500 0% 0.1%  
501 0% 0.1%  
502 0% 0.1%  
503 0% 0.1%  
504 0% 0.1%  
505 0% 0.1%  
506 0% 0.1%  
507 0% 0.1%  
508 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 99.9%  
357 0% 99.9%  
358 0% 99.9%  
359 0% 99.9%  
360 0.1% 99.8%  
361 0.1% 99.7%  
362 0.1% 99.6%  
363 0.1% 99.5%  
364 0.1% 99.4%  
365 0.2% 99.3%  
366 0.2% 99.1%  
367 0.5% 98.9%  
368 0.3% 98%  
369 0.3% 98%  
370 0.5% 98%  
371 0.6% 97%  
372 0.7% 97%  
373 1.2% 96%  
374 0.7% 95%  
375 0.9% 94%  
376 1.2% 93%  
377 2% 92%  
378 2% 90%  
379 2% 88%  
380 2% 87%  
381 2% 85%  
382 3% 83%  
383 3% 80%  
384 2% 78%  
385 3% 75%  
386 2% 72%  
387 2% 70%  
388 4% 68%  
389 4% 64%  
390 5% 60%  
391 2% 55% Median
392 3% 53%  
393 4% 50%  
394 4% 46%  
395 4% 42%  
396 3% 38%  
397 3% 35%  
398 3% 33%  
399 4% 30%  
400 3% 26%  
401 2% 23%  
402 2% 21%  
403 2% 19%  
404 2% 17%  
405 1.5% 15%  
406 2% 13%  
407 2% 11%  
408 0.9% 9%  
409 1.1% 8%  
410 1.2% 7%  
411 0.9% 6%  
412 0.9% 5%  
413 0.7% 4%  
414 0.5% 3%  
415 0.4% 3%  
416 0.6% 3%  
417 0.3% 2%  
418 0.4% 2%  
419 0.1% 1.2%  
420 0.2% 1.1%  
421 0.2% 0.9%  
422 0.1% 0.7%  
423 0.1% 0.6%  
424 0.1% 0.5%  
425 0.1% 0.4%  
426 0% 0.3%  
427 0% 0.3%  
428 0% 0.2%  
429 0% 0.2%  
430 0% 0.2%  
431 0% 0.2%  
432 0% 0.1%  
433 0% 0.1%  
434 0% 0.1%  
435 0% 0.1%  
436 0% 0.1%  
437 0% 0.1%  
438 0% 0%  
439 0% 0%  
440 0% 0%  
441 0% 0%  
442 0% 0%  
443 0% 0%  
444 0% 0%  
445 0% 0%  
446 0% 0%  
447 0% 0%  
448 0% 0%  
449 0% 0%  
450 0% 0%  
451 0% 0%  
452 0% 0%  
453 0% 0%  
454 0% 0%  
455 0% 0%  
456 0% 0%  
457 0% 0%  
458 0% 0%  
459 0% 0%  
460 0% 0%  
461 0% 0%  
462 0% 0%  
463 0% 0%  
464 0% 0%  
465 0% 0%  
466 0% 0%  
467 0% 0%  
468 0% 0%  
469 0% 0%  
470 0% 0%  
471 0% 0%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
300 0% 100% Last Result
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 99.9%  
341 0% 99.9%  
342 0% 99.9%  
343 0.1% 99.9%  
344 0.1% 99.8%  
345 0.1% 99.8%  
346 0.1% 99.7%  
347 0.1% 99.6%  
348 0.1% 99.5%  
349 0.2% 99.4%  
350 0.3% 99.2%  
351 0.3% 98.9%  
352 0.3% 98.7%  
353 0.5% 98%  
354 0.4% 98%  
355 0.6% 97% Majority
356 0.7% 97%  
357 0.6% 96%  
358 1.0% 96%  
359 0.9% 95%  
360 2% 94%  
361 1.1% 92%  
362 2% 91%  
363 2% 89%  
364 2% 87%  
365 2% 85%  
366 2% 83%  
367 2% 80%  
368 3% 78%  
369 2% 75%  
370 3% 72%  
371 3% 69%  
372 4% 66%  
373 3% 63%  
374 3% 59%  
375 3% 56%  
376 3% 53% Median
377 4% 50%  
378 3% 46%  
379 3% 43%  
380 4% 40%  
381 3% 36%  
382 3% 33%  
383 3% 31%  
384 2% 28%  
385 3% 25%  
386 2% 22%  
387 2% 20%  
388 2% 18%  
389 2% 16%  
390 2% 14%  
391 2% 12%  
392 1.4% 11%  
393 2% 9%  
394 1.2% 8%  
395 0.9% 6%  
396 0.7% 6%  
397 0.9% 5%  
398 0.7% 4%  
399 0.6% 3%  
400 0.4% 3%  
401 0.3% 2%  
402 0.4% 2%  
403 0.4% 2%  
404 0.2% 1.2%  
405 0.2% 1.0%  
406 0.1% 0.8%  
407 0.2% 0.7%  
408 0.1% 0.5%  
409 0.1% 0.4%  
410 0.1% 0.4%  
411 0% 0.3%  
412 0.1% 0.3%  
413 0% 0.2%  
414 0% 0.2%  
415 0% 0.2%  
416 0% 0.1%  
417 0% 0.1%  
418 0% 0.1%  
419 0% 0.1%  
420 0% 0.1%  
421 0% 0.1%  
422 0% 0.1%  
423 0% 0.1%  
424 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 99.9%  
340 0% 99.9%  
341 0% 99.9%  
342 0.1% 99.9%  
343 0% 99.8%  
344 0.1% 99.8%  
345 0.1% 99.7%  
346 0.1% 99.6%  
347 0.1% 99.5%  
348 0.2% 99.4%  
349 0.2% 99.2%  
350 0.2% 98.9%  
351 0.4% 98.7%  
352 0.3% 98%  
353 0.8% 98%  
354 0.5% 97%  
355 0.5% 97% Majority
356 0.9% 96%  
357 0.7% 95%  
358 1.2% 95%  
359 0.9% 94%  
360 1.3% 93%  
361 1.4% 91%  
362 2% 90%  
363 2% 88%  
364 2% 86%  
365 3% 84%  
366 2% 82%  
367 3% 80%  
368 3% 77%  
369 2% 74%  
370 3% 72%  
371 3% 69%  
372 3% 65%  
373 4% 62%  
374 3% 59%  
375 3% 55% Median
376 3% 52%  
377 4% 49%  
378 3% 45%  
379 3% 42%  
380 4% 39%  
381 4% 36%  
382 2% 31%  
383 3% 29%  
384 2% 26%  
385 3% 24%  
386 2% 21%  
387 2% 18%  
388 2% 16%  
389 1.5% 14%  
390 2% 12%  
391 1.5% 10%  
392 2% 9%  
393 0.8% 7%  
394 1.1% 7%  
395 1.2% 6%  
396 0.6% 4%  
397 0.6% 4%  
398 0.4% 3%  
399 0.5% 3%  
400 0.4% 2%  
401 0.3% 2%  
402 0.3% 1.5%  
403 0.3% 1.2%  
404 0.1% 0.9%  
405 0.2% 0.8%  
406 0.1% 0.6%  
407 0.1% 0.5%  
408 0.1% 0.4%  
409 0.1% 0.3%  
410 0.1% 0.3%  
411 0% 0.2%  
412 0% 0.2%  
413 0% 0.1%  
414 0% 0.1%  
415 0% 0.1%  
416 0% 0.1%  
417 0% 0.1%  
418 0% 0.1%  
419 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 99.9%  
328 0.1% 99.9%  
329 0.1% 99.8%  
330 0.1% 99.8%  
331 0.1% 99.7%  
332 0.2% 99.6%  
333 0.2% 99.4%  
334 0.1% 99.3%  
335 0.1% 99.1%  
336 0.1% 99.0%  
337 0.2% 98.8%  
338 0.2% 98.7%  
339 0.2% 98%  
340 0.3% 98%  
341 0.5% 98%  
342 0.7% 97%  
343 0.8% 97%  
344 1.4% 96%  
345 2% 95%  
346 2% 93%  
347 2% 91%  
348 2% 89%  
349 2% 87%  
350 2% 85%  
351 1.2% 83%  
352 1.3% 82%  
353 1.1% 81%  
354 1.5% 80%  
355 1.4% 78% Majority
356 2% 77%  
357 2% 75%  
358 4% 73%  
359 4% 68%  
360 4% 64%  
361 6% 60%  
362 4% 54% Median
363 6% 51%  
364 5% 44%  
365 3% 40%  
366 3% 36%  
367 2% 33%  
368 2% 31%  
369 1.2% 29%  
370 2% 28%  
371 1.3% 26%  
372 2% 25%  
373 2% 23%  
374 2% 20%  
375 3% 18%  
376 2% 15%  
377 3% 13%  
378 2% 10%  
379 2% 8%  
380 1.1% 7%  
381 1.2% 6%  
382 0.8% 4%  
383 0.5% 4%  
384 0.3% 3%  
385 0.3% 3%  
386 0.2% 2%  
387 0.2% 2%  
388 0.3% 2%  
389 0.2% 2%  
390 0.3% 1.4%  
391 0.3% 1.1%  
392 0.2% 0.8%  
393 0.2% 0.6%  
394 0.1% 0.5%  
395 0.1% 0.3%  
396 0.1% 0.3%  
397 0% 0.2%  
398 0% 0.1%  
399 0% 0.1%  
400 0% 0.1%  
401 0% 0.1%  
402 0% 0.1%  
403 0% 0.1%  
404 0% 0.1%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 99.9%  
307 0% 99.9%  
308 0% 99.9%  
309 0% 99.9%  
310 0% 99.9%  
311 0% 99.9%  
312 0% 99.9%  
313 0.1% 99.8%  
314 0.1% 99.7%  
315 0.1% 99.7%  
316 0.2% 99.5%  
317 0.2% 99.4%  
318 0.3% 99.2%  
319 0.3% 98.9%  
320 0.2% 98.6%  
321 0.3% 98%  
322 0.2% 98%  
323 0.2% 98%  
324 0.3% 98%  
325 0.3% 97%  
326 0.5% 97%  
327 0.8% 96%  
328 1.2% 96%  
329 1.1% 94%  
330 2% 93%  
331 2% 92%  
332 3% 90%  
333 2% 87%  
334 3% 85%  
335 2% 82%  
336 2% 80%  
337 2% 77%  
338 1.3% 75%  
339 2% 74%  
340 1.2% 72%  
341 2% 71%  
342 2% 69%  
343 3% 67%  
344 3% 64%  
345 5% 60%  
346 6% 56% Median
347 4% 49%  
348 6% 46%  
349 4% 40%  
350 4% 36%  
351 4% 32%  
352 2% 27%  
353 2% 25%  
354 1.4% 23%  
355 1.5% 22% Majority
356 1.1% 20%  
357 1.3% 19%  
358 1.2% 18%  
359 2% 17%  
360 2% 15%  
361 2% 13%  
362 2% 11%  
363 2% 9%  
364 2% 7%  
365 1.4% 5%  
366 0.8% 4%  
367 0.7% 3%  
368 0.5% 3%  
369 0.3% 2%  
370 0.2% 2%  
371 0.2% 2%  
372 0.2% 1.3%  
373 0.1% 1.2%  
374 0.1% 1.0%  
375 0.1% 0.9%  
376 0.2% 0.7%  
377 0.2% 0.6%  
378 0.1% 0.4%  
379 0.1% 0.3%  
380 0.1% 0.2%  
381 0.1% 0.2%  
382 0% 0.1%  
383 0% 0.1%  
384 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 99.9%  
274 0% 99.9%  
275 0% 99.9%  
276 0.1% 99.9%  
277 0.1% 99.8%  
278 0.1% 99.7%  
279 0.1% 99.6%  
280 0.1% 99.6%  
281 0.2% 99.4%  
282 0.2% 99.3%  
283 0.2% 99.0%  
284 0.4% 98.8%  
285 0.3% 98%  
286 0.4% 98%  
287 0.6% 98%  
288 0.6% 97%  
289 0.8% 97%  
290 1.1% 96%  
291 0.8% 95%  
292 1.3% 94%  
293 1.3% 93%  
294 1.2% 91%  
295 2% 90%  
296 1.3% 88%  
297 3% 87%  
298 2% 84%  
299 2% 82%  
300 3% 80%  
301 2% 77%  
302 3% 74%  
303 4% 72%  
304 2% 68%  
305 3% 65%  
306 4% 62%  
307 4% 59%  
308 3% 55% Median
309 3% 52%  
310 4% 49%  
311 4% 44%  
312 3% 41%  
313 3% 37%  
314 3% 35%  
315 4% 32%  
316 3% 28%  
317 2% 26%  
318 3% 24%  
319 2% 21%  
320 3% 19%  
321 2% 16%  
322 1.4% 14%  
323 2% 13%  
324 0.9% 10%  
325 1.3% 9%  
326 2% 8%  
327 0.8% 7%  
328 0.8% 6%  
329 1.0% 5%  
330 0.6% 4%  
331 0.7% 3%  
332 0.4% 3%  
333 0.4% 2%  
334 0.4% 2%  
335 0.3% 2%  
336 0.3% 1.3%  
337 0.1% 0.9%  
338 0.2% 0.8%  
339 0.1% 0.6%  
340 0.1% 0.5%  
341 0.1% 0.4%  
342 0.1% 0.3%  
343 0.1% 0.3%  
344 0% 0.2%  
345 0% 0.2%  
346 0% 0.1%  
347 0% 0.1%  
348 0% 0.1%  
349 0% 0.1%  
350 0% 0.1%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0% Majority
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 99.9%  
259 0% 99.9%  
260 0% 99.9%  
261 0.1% 99.8%  
262 0.1% 99.8%  
263 0.1% 99.7%  
264 0.2% 99.6%  
265 0.2% 99.4%  
266 0.2% 99.3%  
267 0.2% 99.1%  
268 0.3% 98.9%  
269 0.3% 98.6%  
270 0.3% 98%  
271 0.6% 98%  
272 0.4% 97%  
273 0.6% 97%  
274 0.9% 96%  
275 0.8% 95%  
276 1.2% 95%  
277 1.2% 93%  
278 2% 92%  
279 1.3% 90%  
280 3% 89%  
281 2% 86%  
282 3% 84%  
283 2% 82%  
284 2% 79%  
285 2% 77%  
286 3% 75%  
287 2% 72%  
288 3% 70%  
289 4% 67%  
290 3% 63%  
291 4% 61%  
292 3% 56%  
293 4% 53% Median
294 4% 50%  
295 5% 46%  
296 3% 41%  
297 4% 38%  
298 4% 34%  
299 3% 31%  
300 3% 28%  
301 2% 25%  
302 3% 23%  
303 2% 20%  
304 2% 18%  
305 2% 16%  
306 1.4% 15%  
307 1.5% 13%  
308 2% 12%  
309 2% 10%  
310 1.3% 8%  
311 1.2% 7%  
312 1.2% 6%  
313 0.9% 5%  
314 0.7% 4%  
315 0.5% 3%  
316 0.6% 3%  
317 0.3% 2%  
318 0.4% 2%  
319 0.2% 1.4%  
320 0.2% 1.2%  
321 0.2% 1.0%  
322 0.2% 0.8%  
323 0.1% 0.7%  
324 0.1% 0.6%  
325 0.1% 0.5%  
326 0.1% 0.4%  
327 0.1% 0.3%  
328 0% 0.2%  
329 0% 0.2%  
330 0% 0.1%  
331 0% 0.1%  
332 0% 0.1%  
333 0% 0.1%  
334 0% 0.1%  
335 0% 0.1%  
336 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 99.9%  
246 0.1% 99.9%  
247 0.1% 99.8%  
248 0.1% 99.7%  
249 0.1% 99.7%  
250 0% 99.6%  
251 0.1% 99.6%  
252 0.2% 99.4%  
253 0.3% 99.2%  
254 0.5% 98.9%  
255 0.3% 98%  
256 0.5% 98%  
257 0.3% 98%  
258 0.3% 97%  
259 0.4% 97%  
260 0.9% 97%  
261 1.2% 96%  
262 2% 94%  
263 2% 93%  
264 1.1% 91%  
265 1.3% 90%  
266 0.8% 89%  
267 2% 88%  
268 2% 87%  
269 4% 85%  
270 4% 81%  
271 4% 77%  
272 2% 74%  
273 2% 71%  
274 2% 70%  
275 2% 68%  
276 4% 65%  
277 4% 61%  
278 4% 57%  
279 4% 53% Median
280 3% 49%  
281 3% 47%  
282 2% 44%  
283 2% 42%  
284 3% 39%  
285 6% 36%  
286 5% 30%  
287 3% 25%  
288 2% 22%  
289 2% 20%  
290 1.4% 18%  
291 2% 17%  
292 2% 15%  
293 2% 13%  
294 2% 11%  
295 1.4% 9%  
296 1.0% 7%  
297 0.8% 6%  
298 0.6% 6%  
299 0.7% 5%  
300 0.7% 4%  
301 0.7% 4%  
302 0.9% 3%  
303 0.3% 2%  
304 0.3% 2%  
305 0.2% 1.3%  
306 0.2% 1.1%  
307 0.2% 0.9%  
308 0.2% 0.7%  
309 0.1% 0.5%  
310 0.1% 0.4%  
311 0.1% 0.3%  
312 0% 0.2%  
313 0% 0.2%  
314 0% 0.1%  
315 0% 0.1%  
316 0% 0.1%  
317 0% 0.1%  
318 0% 0.1%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0%  
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 99.9%  
245 0% 99.9%  
246 0% 99.9%  
247 0% 99.8%  
248 0% 99.8%  
249 0.1% 99.7%  
250 0.1% 99.6%  
251 0.1% 99.5%  
252 0.2% 99.4%  
253 0.2% 99.2%  
254 0.3% 98.9%  
255 0.3% 98.7%  
256 0.6% 98%  
257 0.5% 98%  
258 0.5% 97%  
259 0.7% 97%  
260 0.6% 96%  
261 1.2% 96%  
262 1.2% 94%  
263 1.3% 93%  
264 1.3% 92%  
265 1.3% 91%  
266 2% 89%  
267 2% 87%  
268 2% 85%  
269 3% 83%  
270 3% 81%  
271 3% 78%  
272 3% 75%  
273 3% 72%  
274 2% 69%  
275 4% 67%  
276 3% 63%  
277 3% 60%  
278 4% 57% Median
279 5% 53%  
280 3% 48%  
281 3% 45%  
282 3% 42%  
283 4% 39%  
284 3% 35%  
285 3% 32%  
286 4% 29%  
287 2% 25%  
288 3% 23%  
289 3% 21%  
290 2% 18%  
291 2% 16%  
292 2% 14%  
293 2% 12%  
294 1.4% 10%  
295 1.4% 9%  
296 0.9% 7%  
297 0.8% 6%  
298 1.0% 6%  
299 0.5% 5%  
300 0.9% 4%  
301 0.5% 3%  
302 0.7% 3%  
303 0.3% 2%  
304 0.4% 2%  
305 0.3% 1.4%  
306 0.2% 1.1%  
307 0.2% 0.9%  
308 0.2% 0.7%  
309 0.1% 0.6%  
310 0.1% 0.4%  
311 0.1% 0.3%  
312 0.1% 0.3%  
313 0% 0.2%  
314 0.1% 0.2%  
315 0% 0.1%  
316 0% 0.1%  
317 0% 0.1%  
318 0% 0.1%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 99.9%  
166 0% 99.9%  
167 0% 99.9%  
168 0.1% 99.8%  
169 0.1% 99.8%  
170 0.1% 99.6%  
171 0.2% 99.5%  
172 0.4% 99.4%  
173 0.2% 99.0%  
174 0.3% 98.8%  
175 0.4% 98.6%  
176 0.6% 98%  
177 0.7% 98%  
178 0.6% 97%  
179 0.7% 96%  
180 1.5% 96%  
181 1.0% 94%  
182 2% 93%  
183 1.1% 91%  
184 2% 90%  
185 3% 88%  
186 2% 84%  
187 2% 82%  
188 3% 81%  
189 3% 77%  
190 3% 74%  
191 3% 71%  
192 3% 68%  
193 3% 65%  
194 6% 62%  
195 3% 56%  
196 4% 54% Median
197 5% 50%  
198 6% 45%  
199 2% 39%  
200 2% 37%  
201 4% 35%  
202 4% 31%  
203 2% 26%  
204 2% 24%  
205 2% 22%  
206 2% 19%  
207 2% 17%  
208 1.3% 14%  
209 1.4% 13%  
210 3% 12%  
211 2% 9%  
212 0.7% 7%  
213 0.9% 6%  
214 1.1% 6%  
215 0.9% 4%  
216 0.6% 4%  
217 0.5% 3%  
218 0.5% 2%  
219 0.4% 2%  
220 0.3% 1.5%  
221 0.1% 1.2%  
222 0.2% 1.1%  
223 0.3% 0.9%  
224 0.1% 0.6%  
225 0% 0.4%  
226 0.1% 0.4%  
227 0.1% 0.3%  
228 0% 0.2%  
229 0% 0.2%  
230 0% 0.1%  
231 0% 0.1%  
232 0% 0.1%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 99.9%  
119 0% 99.9%  
120 0% 99.9%  
121 0% 99.9%  
122 0% 99.9%  
123 0% 99.9%  
124 0% 99.9%  
125 0% 99.9%  
126 0% 99.9%  
127 0% 99.9%  
128 0% 99.8%  
129 0% 99.8%  
130 0% 99.8%  
131 0% 99.8%  
132 0% 99.8%  
133 0% 99.7%  
134 0% 99.7%  
135 0% 99.7%  
136 0% 99.7%  
137 0% 99.7%  
138 0% 99.6%  
139 0.1% 99.6%  
140 0.1% 99.5%  
141 0.1% 99.4%  
142 0.2% 99.3%  
143 0.2% 99.1%  
144 0.4% 98.9%  
145 0.4% 98%  
146 0.3% 98%  
147 0.6% 98%  
148 0.7% 97%  
149 0.9% 96%  
150 0.8% 96%  
151 1.3% 95%  
152 2% 94%  
153 1.2% 92%  
154 2% 91%  
155 3% 89%  
156 3% 86%  
157 3% 83%  
158 3% 81%  
159 4% 77%  
160 3% 73%  
161 2% 70%  
162 5% 68%  
163 4% 64%  
164 3% 59%  
165 3% 56%  
166 5% 53% Median
167 5% 48%  
168 3% 43%  
169 3% 40%  
170 5% 37%  
171 4% 32%  
172 3% 28%  
173 2% 25%  
174 4% 23%  
175 2% 19%  
176 2% 17%  
177 3% 15%  
178 2% 12%  
179 2% 10%  
180 1.2% 9%  
181 1.3% 7%  
182 1.1% 6%  
183 1.0% 5%  
184 0.9% 4%  
185 0.5% 3%  
186 0.6% 3%  
187 0.4% 2%  
188 0.3% 2%  
189 0.3% 1.3%  
190 0.2% 1.0%  
191 0.2% 0.7%  
192 0.1% 0.5%  
193 0.1% 0.4%  
194 0.1% 0.3%  
195 0.1% 0.2%  
196 0.1% 0.2%  
197 0% 0.1%  
198 0% 0.1%  
199 0% 0.1%  
200 0% 0.1%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations