Opinion Poll by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, 18–20 May 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 25.0% 23.4–26.6% 23.0–27.1% 22.6–27.5% 21.9–28.3%
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 19.5% 18.1–21.0% 17.7–21.5% 17.4–21.8% 16.8–22.6%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 14.0% 12.8–15.3% 12.5–15.7% 12.2–16.0% 11.6–16.7%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 11.0% 9.9–12.2% 9.6–12.6% 9.4–12.9% 8.9–13.5%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 11.0% 9.9–12.2% 9.6–12.6% 9.4–12.9% 8.9–13.5%
Die Linke 9.2% 7.0% 6.1–8.0% 5.9–8.3% 5.7–8.6% 5.3–9.1%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 4.5% 3.8–5.3% 3.6–5.6% 3.4–5.8% 3.2–6.2%
Freie Wähler 0.0% 3.0% 2.5–3.7% 2.3–3.9% 2.2–4.1% 2.0–4.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 192 182–203 178–206 175–209 169–217
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 150 140–160 137–163 135–166 129–173
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 108 98–118 96–121 94–123 89–128
Alternative für Deutschland 94 85 76–94 74–96 73–98 68–104
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 85 76–93 74–96 72–98 69–103
Die Linke 69 54 48–61 46–63 45–65 41–69
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 34 29–41 28–42 27–44 24–47
Freie Wähler 0 0 0 0 0 0

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 99.9%  
164 0.1% 99.9%  
165 0.1% 99.9%  
166 0.1% 99.8%  
167 0.1% 99.7%  
168 0.1% 99.7%  
169 0.2% 99.5%  
170 0.2% 99.3%  
171 0.3% 99.1%  
172 0.2% 98.9%  
173 0.4% 98.7%  
174 0.4% 98%  
175 0.6% 98%  
176 0.6% 97%  
177 0.5% 97%  
178 2% 96%  
179 2% 94%  
180 1.2% 93%  
181 1.4% 92%  
182 1.4% 90%  
183 3% 89%  
184 3% 86%  
185 5% 83%  
186 2% 79%  
187 3% 76%  
188 7% 73%  
189 7% 67%  
190 4% 60%  
191 3% 56%  
192 5% 53% Median
193 4% 48%  
194 7% 44%  
195 5% 38%  
196 3% 32%  
197 2% 29%  
198 3% 26%  
199 4% 23%  
200 3% 19%  
201 3% 16%  
202 2% 13%  
203 2% 11%  
204 2% 9%  
205 3% 8%  
206 0.5% 5%  
207 0.7% 5%  
208 0.9% 4%  
209 0.6% 3%  
210 0.6% 2%  
211 0.2% 2%  
212 0.3% 1.5%  
213 0.3% 1.2%  
214 0.2% 1.0%  
215 0.1% 0.8%  
216 0.1% 0.6%  
217 0.1% 0.5%  
218 0.2% 0.5%  
219 0.1% 0.3%  
220 0.1% 0.2%  
221 0% 0.2%  
222 0% 0.1%  
223 0% 0.1%  
224 0% 0.1%  
225 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 99.9%  
125 0.1% 99.9%  
126 0% 99.9%  
127 0.1% 99.8%  
128 0.1% 99.7%  
129 0.2% 99.6%  
130 0.2% 99.5%  
131 0.1% 99.2%  
132 0.6% 99.1%  
133 0.4% 98.6%  
134 0.3% 98%  
135 1.1% 98%  
136 0.5% 97%  
137 1.2% 96%  
138 1.3% 95%  
139 0.8% 94%  
140 4% 93%  
141 1.2% 89%  
142 3% 88%  
143 7% 85%  
144 0.9% 78%  
145 6% 77%  
146 3% 71%  
147 5% 68%  
148 7% 63%  
149 2% 56%  
150 7% 54% Median
151 4% 47%  
152 6% 43%  
153 4% 37%  
154 3% 33%  
155 7% 30%  
156 1.4% 24%  
157 5% 22%  
158 3% 17%  
159 0.8% 13%  
160 5% 13%  
161 0.6% 7%  
162 1.5% 7%  
163 1.0% 5%  
164 0.4% 4%  
165 1.3% 4%  
166 0.3% 3%  
167 0.5% 2%  
168 0.4% 2%  
169 0.1% 1.3%  
170 0.2% 1.2%  
171 0.3% 1.0%  
172 0.1% 0.7%  
173 0.1% 0.6%  
174 0.1% 0.4%  
175 0.1% 0.4%  
176 0% 0.2%  
177 0.1% 0.2%  
178 0% 0.1%  
179 0% 0.1%  
180 0% 0.1%  
181 0% 0.1%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 99.9%  
86 0.1% 99.9%  
87 0.1% 99.8%  
88 0.1% 99.8%  
89 0.3% 99.6%  
90 0.2% 99.4%  
91 0.5% 99.2%  
92 0.4% 98.8%  
93 0.7% 98%  
94 0.9% 98%  
95 1.2% 97%  
96 2% 96%  
97 2% 94%  
98 3% 92%  
99 3% 89%  
100 4% 86%  
101 3% 82%  
102 3% 79%  
103 5% 76%  
104 4% 71%  
105 5% 67%  
106 3% 62%  
107 5% 58%  
108 5% 53% Median
109 4% 48%  
110 5% 44%  
111 8% 39%  
112 6% 31%  
113 3% 25%  
114 3% 21%  
115 3% 18%  
116 3% 15%  
117 2% 12%  
118 2% 10%  
119 2% 9%  
120 0.9% 6%  
121 1.3% 6%  
122 1.0% 4%  
123 1.0% 3%  
124 0.6% 2%  
125 0.4% 2%  
126 0.6% 1.3%  
127 0.1% 0.8%  
128 0.2% 0.6%  
129 0.2% 0.4%  
130 0.1% 0.3%  
131 0.1% 0.2%  
132 0% 0.1%  
133 0% 0.1%  
134 0% 0.1%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0.1% 99.8%  
67 0.2% 99.7%  
68 0.2% 99.6%  
69 0.2% 99.4%  
70 0.4% 99.2%  
71 0.4% 98.8%  
72 0.6% 98%  
73 2% 98%  
74 3% 96%  
75 3% 93%  
76 2% 90%  
77 3% 88%  
78 3% 85%  
79 4% 82%  
80 3% 78%  
81 3% 75%  
82 4% 72%  
83 5% 68%  
84 7% 63%  
85 7% 56% Median
86 6% 49%  
87 7% 43%  
88 11% 36%  
89 3% 24%  
90 2% 21%  
91 2% 19%  
92 3% 17%  
93 3% 14%  
94 2% 11% Last Result
95 1.3% 9%  
96 3% 7%  
97 2% 4%  
98 0.6% 3%  
99 0.9% 2%  
100 0.2% 1.4%  
101 0.2% 1.2%  
102 0.3% 1.0%  
103 0.1% 0.7%  
104 0.1% 0.6%  
105 0.3% 0.5%  
106 0% 0.2%  
107 0.1% 0.2%  
108 0% 0.1%  
109 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.2% 99.8%  
68 0.1% 99.6%  
69 0.4% 99.5%  
70 0.5% 99.1%  
71 0.6% 98.6%  
72 0.9% 98%  
73 1.2% 97%  
74 1.3% 96%  
75 2% 95%  
76 4% 92%  
77 4% 89%  
78 2% 85%  
79 5% 83%  
80 8% 78% Last Result
81 3% 70%  
82 4% 67%  
83 6% 63%  
84 4% 57%  
85 6% 52% Median
86 4% 47%  
87 6% 42%  
88 8% 36%  
89 3% 29%  
90 5% 25%  
91 6% 20%  
92 3% 15%  
93 2% 12%  
94 2% 10%  
95 2% 8%  
96 1.4% 6%  
97 1.1% 4%  
98 0.9% 3%  
99 0.7% 2%  
100 0.4% 2%  
101 0.3% 1.2%  
102 0.3% 1.0%  
103 0.3% 0.7%  
104 0.1% 0.4%  
105 0.1% 0.3%  
106 0.1% 0.2%  
107 0% 0.1%  
108 0% 0.1%  
109 0% 0.1%  
110 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 0% 99.9%  
5 0% 99.9%  
6 0% 99.9%  
7 0% 99.9%  
8 0% 99.9%  
9 0% 99.9%  
10 0% 99.9%  
11 0% 99.9%  
12 0% 99.9%  
13 0% 99.9%  
14 0% 99.9%  
15 0% 99.9%  
16 0% 99.9%  
17 0% 99.9%  
18 0% 99.9%  
19 0% 99.9%  
20 0% 99.9%  
21 0% 99.9%  
22 0% 99.9%  
23 0% 99.9%  
24 0% 99.9%  
25 0% 99.9%  
26 0% 99.9%  
27 0% 99.9%  
28 0% 99.9%  
29 0% 99.9%  
30 0% 99.9%  
31 0% 99.9%  
32 0% 99.9%  
33 0% 99.9%  
34 0% 99.9%  
35 0% 99.9%  
36 0% 99.9%  
37 0% 99.9%  
38 0% 99.9%  
39 0.1% 99.9%  
40 0.1% 99.8%  
41 0.3% 99.7%  
42 0.3% 99.4%  
43 0.8% 99.0%  
44 0.8% 98%  
45 2% 98%  
46 2% 95%  
47 2% 93%  
48 6% 91%  
49 3% 85%  
50 7% 82%  
51 5% 74%  
52 8% 69%  
53 11% 61%  
54 3% 51% Median
55 9% 48%  
56 8% 39%  
57 5% 31%  
58 6% 26%  
59 3% 20%  
60 7% 17%  
61 1.5% 10%  
62 2% 9%  
63 3% 7%  
64 1.1% 4%  
65 1.1% 3%  
66 0.4% 2%  
67 0.7% 2%  
68 0.2% 0.9%  
69 0.2% 0.7% Last Result
70 0.2% 0.5%  
71 0.1% 0.3%  
72 0.1% 0.2%  
73 0% 0.1%  
74 0% 0.1%  
75 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.1% 100%  
23 0.2% 99.9%  
24 0.4% 99.7%  
25 0.5% 99.4%  
26 1.1% 98.9%  
27 2% 98%  
28 3% 96%  
29 4% 93%  
30 4% 89%  
31 5% 85%  
32 14% 80%  
33 7% 65%  
34 10% 58% Median
35 8% 48%  
36 7% 41%  
37 8% 33%  
38 6% 25%  
39 3% 20%  
40 5% 16%  
41 4% 12%  
42 3% 7%  
43 1.0% 4%  
44 1.3% 3%  
45 0.7% 2%  
46 0.4% 1.2% Last Result
47 0.4% 0.8%  
48 0.1% 0.4%  
49 0.1% 0.3%  
50 0.1% 0.2%  
51 0.1% 0.1%  
52 0% 0%  

Freie Wähler

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Wähler page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 485 100% 473–497 469–501 465–505 460–510
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 461 100% 449–474 446–479 443–482 436–488
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 385 99.8% 372–398 368–402 365–405 358–412
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 378 98% 368–387 363–392 357–399 350–407
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 378 98.8% 364–391 360–395 356–398 350–405
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 354 47% 345–363 340–369 334–376 325–382
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 355 53% 346–364 340–369 333–375 327–384
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 300 0% 288–312 284–315 281–319 274–326
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 292 0% 281–304 278–308 274–312 267–320
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 270 0% 261–278 256–284 250–291 243–299
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 270 0% 258–281 255–286 251–289 245–297
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 191 0% 182–204 176–206 174–209 170–218
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 163 0% 151–173 148–177 146–180 140–185

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
451 0% 100%  
452 0% 99.9%  
453 0% 99.9%  
454 0% 99.9%  
455 0% 99.9%  
456 0.1% 99.8%  
457 0% 99.8%  
458 0.1% 99.7%  
459 0.1% 99.7%  
460 0.2% 99.6%  
461 0.2% 99.3%  
462 0.4% 99.2%  
463 0.6% 98.7%  
464 0.3% 98%  
465 0.5% 98%  
466 0.7% 97% Last Result
467 0.5% 97%  
468 0.9% 96%  
469 1.1% 95%  
470 2% 94%  
471 0.8% 93%  
472 1.4% 92%  
473 1.0% 90%  
474 2% 89%  
475 1.2% 87%  
476 2% 86%  
477 8% 83%  
478 5% 76%  
479 3% 71%  
480 3% 68%  
481 3% 65%  
482 3% 62%  
483 3% 59%  
484 4% 56% Median
485 3% 52%  
486 4% 49%  
487 3% 44%  
488 3% 41%  
489 3% 38%  
490 3% 36%  
491 4% 33%  
492 6% 28%  
493 3% 22%  
494 3% 19%  
495 3% 16%  
496 3% 13%  
497 2% 10%  
498 2% 9%  
499 0.9% 7%  
500 1.0% 6%  
501 0.9% 5%  
502 0.6% 4%  
503 0.5% 4%  
504 0.4% 3%  
505 0.4% 3%  
506 0.8% 2%  
507 0.7% 2%  
508 0.3% 1.0%  
509 0.2% 0.7%  
510 0.1% 0.5%  
511 0.1% 0.4%  
512 0% 0.3%  
513 0.1% 0.3%  
514 0% 0.2%  
515 0% 0.2%  
516 0% 0.1%  
517 0% 0.1%  
518 0% 0.1%  
519 0% 0.1%  
520 0% 0.1%  
521 0% 0.1%  
522 0% 0.1%  
523 0% 0.1%  
524 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 99.9%  
431 0% 99.9%  
432 0.1% 99.9%  
433 0.1% 99.8%  
434 0.1% 99.8%  
435 0.1% 99.7%  
436 0.1% 99.6%  
437 0.2% 99.5%  
438 0.2% 99.3%  
439 0.1% 99.1%  
440 0.4% 99.0%  
441 0.3% 98.5%  
442 0.6% 98%  
443 0.9% 98%  
444 0.8% 97%  
445 0.7% 96%  
446 2% 95%  
447 1.4% 94%  
448 2% 92%  
449 2% 91%  
450 2% 89%  
451 1.5% 87%  
452 2% 86%  
453 3% 84%  
454 4% 80%  
455 3% 77%  
456 2% 74%  
457 7% 73%  
458 3% 66%  
459 4% 63%  
460 5% 59%  
461 5% 54% Median
462 4% 48%  
463 2% 44%  
464 2% 42%  
465 3% 40%  
466 4% 36%  
467 3% 33%  
468 3% 30%  
469 3% 27%  
470 4% 24%  
471 3% 20%  
472 3% 17%  
473 2% 14%  
474 3% 12%  
475 1.4% 9%  
476 0.5% 8%  
477 1.0% 7%  
478 0.9% 6%  
479 2% 6%  
480 0.5% 4%  
481 0.4% 3%  
482 0.7% 3%  
483 0.4% 2%  
484 0.4% 2%  
485 0.3% 1.2%  
486 0.3% 0.9%  
487 0.1% 0.6%  
488 0.1% 0.5%  
489 0% 0.4%  
490 0.1% 0.3%  
491 0.1% 0.2%  
492 0% 0.2%  
493 0% 0.2%  
494 0% 0.1%  
495 0% 0.1%  
496 0% 0.1%  
497 0% 0.1%  
498 0% 0.1%  
499 0% 0.1%  
500 0% 0.1%  
501 0% 0.1%  
502 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
300 0% 100% Last Result
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 99.9%  
353 0% 99.9%  
354 0% 99.9%  
355 0.1% 99.8% Majority
356 0.1% 99.8%  
357 0.1% 99.7%  
358 0.1% 99.6%  
359 0.1% 99.5%  
360 0.3% 99.4%  
361 0.2% 99.0%  
362 0.2% 98.8%  
363 0.3% 98.6%  
364 0.3% 98%  
365 0.9% 98%  
366 0.7% 97%  
367 0.6% 96%  
368 1.3% 96%  
369 1.0% 94%  
370 2% 93%  
371 2% 92%  
372 1.0% 90%  
373 2% 89%  
374 2% 87%  
375 2% 85%  
376 4% 83%  
377 3% 79%  
378 4% 76%  
379 2% 72%  
380 3% 70%  
381 4% 67%  
382 3% 63%  
383 2% 59%  
384 3% 57%  
385 9% 54% Median
386 2% 45%  
387 3% 43%  
388 4% 40%  
389 3% 36%  
390 3% 33%  
391 5% 30%  
392 2% 25%  
393 3% 23%  
394 3% 21%  
395 2% 17%  
396 3% 15%  
397 2% 12%  
398 0.9% 10%  
399 1.5% 9%  
400 1.2% 8%  
401 1.0% 7%  
402 0.8% 6%  
403 2% 5%  
404 0.5% 3%  
405 0.8% 3%  
406 0.3% 2%  
407 0.4% 2%  
408 0.2% 1.2%  
409 0.2% 1.0%  
410 0.2% 0.8%  
411 0.1% 0.7%  
412 0.1% 0.5%  
413 0.2% 0.4%  
414 0% 0.2%  
415 0.1% 0.2%  
416 0% 0.2%  
417 0% 0.1%  
418 0% 0.1%  
419 0% 0.1%  
420 0% 0.1%  
421 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 99.9%  
345 0.1% 99.9%  
346 0% 99.9%  
347 0.1% 99.8%  
348 0.1% 99.7%  
349 0.1% 99.6%  
350 0.1% 99.5%  
351 0.3% 99.4%  
352 0.3% 99.1%  
353 0.3% 98.7%  
354 0.2% 98%  
355 0.2% 98% Majority
356 0.3% 98%  
357 0.4% 98%  
358 0.3% 97%  
359 0.5% 97%  
360 0.5% 97%  
361 0.3% 96%  
362 0.6% 96%  
363 0.4% 95%  
364 0.5% 95%  
365 0.4% 94%  
366 0.5% 94%  
367 2% 93%  
368 2% 91%  
369 2% 90%  
370 3% 87%  
371 3% 84%  
372 4% 81%  
373 4% 78%  
374 5% 74%  
375 3% 68%  
376 6% 65%  
377 5% 59% Median
378 7% 54%  
379 10% 47%  
380 5% 37%  
381 5% 31%  
382 5% 26%  
383 3% 21%  
384 3% 18%  
385 3% 15%  
386 2% 12%  
387 1.5% 10%  
388 0.9% 9%  
389 0.7% 8%  
390 1.1% 7%  
391 1.1% 6%  
392 0.3% 5%  
393 0.4% 5%  
394 0.3% 4%  
395 0.3% 4%  
396 0.4% 4%  
397 0.2% 3%  
398 0.5% 3%  
399 0.6% 3%  
400 0.2% 2%  
401 0.3% 2%  
402 0.3% 2%  
403 0.3% 1.3%  
404 0.1% 1.0%  
405 0.2% 0.9%  
406 0.1% 0.7%  
407 0.2% 0.6%  
408 0.1% 0.4%  
409 0.1% 0.4%  
410 0.1% 0.3%  
411 0% 0.2%  
412 0.1% 0.2%  
413 0% 0.1%  
414 0% 0.1%  
415 0% 0.1%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0%  
421 0% 0%  
422 0% 0%  
423 0% 0%  
424 0% 0%  
425 0% 0%  
426 0% 0%  
427 0% 0%  
428 0% 0%  
429 0% 0%  
430 0% 0%  
431 0% 0%  
432 0% 0%  
433 0% 0%  
434 0% 0%  
435 0% 0%  
436 0% 0%  
437 0% 0%  
438 0% 0%  
439 0% 0%  
440 0% 0%  
441 0% 0%  
442 0% 0%  
443 0% 0%  
444 0% 0%  
445 0% 0%  
446 0% 0%  
447 0% 0%  
448 0% 0%  
449 0% 0%  
450 0% 0%  
451 0% 0%  
452 0% 0%  
453 0% 0%  
454 0% 0%  
455 0% 0%  
456 0% 0%  
457 0% 0%  
458 0% 0%  
459 0% 0%  
460 0% 0%  
461 0% 0%  
462 0% 0%  
463 0% 0%  
464 0% 0%  
465 0% 0%  
466 0% 0%  
467 0% 0%  
468 0% 0%  
469 0% 0%  
470 0% 0%  
471 0% 0%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 99.9%  
345 0.1% 99.9%  
346 0% 99.9%  
347 0% 99.8%  
348 0.2% 99.8%  
349 0.1% 99.6%  
350 0.1% 99.5%  
351 0.1% 99.4%  
352 0.1% 99.3%  
353 0.2% 99.2%  
354 0.3% 99.0%  
355 0.6% 98.8% Majority
356 0.7% 98%  
357 0.5% 97%  
358 0.6% 97%  
359 0.8% 96%  
360 0.9% 96%  
361 1.0% 95%  
362 0.6% 94%  
363 2% 93%  
364 1.3% 91%  
365 4% 90%  
366 4% 86%  
367 4% 82%  
368 2% 77%  
369 2% 75%  
370 1.5% 73%  
371 4% 72%  
372 3% 68%  
373 3% 65%  
374 3% 62%  
375 3% 60%  
376 4% 57% Median
377 2% 53%  
378 6% 51%  
379 3% 45%  
380 1.3% 42%  
381 7% 41%  
382 3% 34%  
383 4% 30%  
384 2% 26%  
385 3% 24%  
386 3% 22%  
387 2% 19%  
388 4% 17%  
389 2% 13%  
390 1.3% 11%  
391 0.7% 10%  
392 1.3% 9%  
393 2% 8%  
394 1.2% 6%  
395 0.6% 5%  
396 0.4% 4%  
397 0.7% 4%  
398 1.2% 3%  
399 0.7% 2%  
400 0.3% 1.4%  
401 0.1% 1.1%  
402 0.2% 0.9%  
403 0.1% 0.8%  
404 0.1% 0.7%  
405 0.1% 0.6%  
406 0.1% 0.5%  
407 0% 0.4%  
408 0.1% 0.3%  
409 0.1% 0.2%  
410 0% 0.1%  
411 0% 0.1%  
412 0% 0.1%  
413 0% 0.1%  
414 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 99.9%  
317 0% 99.9%  
318 0% 99.9%  
319 0% 99.9%  
320 0% 99.9%  
321 0.1% 99.9%  
322 0% 99.8%  
323 0% 99.8%  
324 0.2% 99.7%  
325 0.1% 99.6%  
326 0.1% 99.4%  
327 0.1% 99.3%  
328 0.1% 99.2%  
329 0.4% 99.1%  
330 0.3% 98.7%  
331 0.4% 98%  
332 0.2% 98%  
333 0.3% 98%  
334 0.4% 98%  
335 0.4% 97%  
336 0.2% 97%  
337 0.4% 96%  
338 0.3% 96%  
339 0.5% 96%  
340 0.4% 95%  
341 0.5% 95%  
342 0.5% 94%  
343 2% 94%  
344 2% 92%  
345 2% 90%  
346 2% 89%  
347 3% 87%  
348 4% 84%  
349 6% 79%  
350 2% 74%  
351 4% 72%  
352 4% 68%  
353 12% 64%  
354 5% 52% Median
355 4% 47% Majority
356 5% 42%  
357 8% 37%  
358 7% 29%  
359 2% 22%  
360 2% 21%  
361 4% 19%  
362 4% 15%  
363 2% 11%  
364 0.8% 10%  
365 0.9% 9%  
366 2% 8%  
367 0.6% 6%  
368 0.4% 6%  
369 0.4% 5%  
370 0.3% 5%  
371 0.7% 4%  
372 0.5% 4%  
373 0.3% 3%  
374 0.2% 3%  
375 0.2% 3%  
376 0.5% 3%  
377 0.4% 2%  
378 0.2% 2%  
379 0.2% 2%  
380 0.5% 1.3%  
381 0.3% 0.9%  
382 0.2% 0.6%  
383 0.1% 0.5%  
384 0.1% 0.4%  
385 0.1% 0.3%  
386 0% 0.2%  
387 0% 0.1%  
388 0% 0.1%  
389 0% 0.1%  
390 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 99.9%  
322 0% 99.9%  
323 0% 99.9%  
324 0.1% 99.8%  
325 0.1% 99.7%  
326 0.1% 99.6%  
327 0.2% 99.5%  
328 0.3% 99.4%  
329 0.5% 99.1%  
330 0.2% 98.7%  
331 0.2% 98%  
332 0.4% 98%  
333 0.5% 98%  
334 0.2% 97%  
335 0.2% 97%  
336 0.3% 97%  
337 0.5% 97%  
338 0.7% 96%  
339 0.3% 95%  
340 0.4% 95%  
341 0.4% 95%  
342 0.6% 94%  
343 2% 94%  
344 0.9% 92%  
345 0.8% 91%  
346 2% 90%  
347 4% 89%  
348 4% 85%  
349 2% 81%  
350 2% 79%  
351 7% 78%  
352 8% 71%  
353 5% 63%  
354 4% 58% Median
355 5% 53% Majority
356 12% 48%  
357 4% 36%  
358 4% 32%  
359 2% 28%  
360 6% 26%  
361 4% 21%  
362 3% 16%  
363 2% 13%  
364 2% 11%  
365 2% 10%  
366 2% 8%  
367 0.5% 6%  
368 0.5% 6%  
369 0.4% 5%  
370 0.5% 5%  
371 0.3% 4%  
372 0.4% 4%  
373 0.2% 4%  
374 0.4% 3%  
375 0.4% 3%  
376 0.3% 2%  
377 0.2% 2%  
378 0.4% 2%  
379 0.3% 2%  
380 0.4% 1.3%  
381 0.1% 0.9%  
382 0.1% 0.8%  
383 0.1% 0.7%  
384 0.1% 0.6%  
385 0.2% 0.4%  
386 0% 0.3%  
387 0% 0.2%  
388 0.1% 0.2%  
389 0% 0.1%  
390 0% 0.1%  
391 0% 0.1%  
392 0% 0.1%  
393 0% 0.1%  
394 0% 0.1%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 99.9%  
268 0.1% 99.9%  
269 0% 99.9%  
270 0.1% 99.8%  
271 0% 99.8%  
272 0.1% 99.7%  
273 0.1% 99.7%  
274 0.1% 99.6%  
275 0.2% 99.5%  
276 0.2% 99.3%  
277 0.2% 99.1%  
278 0.3% 98.9%  
279 0.5% 98.6%  
280 0.5% 98%  
281 0.5% 98%  
282 1.1% 97%  
283 0.6% 96%  
284 0.9% 95%  
285 0.7% 94%  
286 2% 94%  
287 1.1% 92%  
288 2% 91%  
289 4% 89%  
290 1.1% 85%  
291 3% 84%  
292 2% 82%  
293 4% 79%  
294 3% 75%  
295 2% 72%  
296 4% 70%  
297 4% 66%  
298 4% 61%  
299 4% 57%  
300 4% 53% Median
301 4% 49%  
302 6% 45%  
303 2% 39%  
304 3% 36%  
305 6% 34%  
306 3% 28%  
307 2% 25%  
308 6% 23%  
309 2% 17%  
310 2% 15%  
311 3% 13%  
312 1.2% 10%  
313 2% 9%  
314 2% 8%  
315 1.1% 6%  
316 0.6% 5%  
317 0.7% 4%  
318 0.5% 4%  
319 0.8% 3%  
320 0.4% 2%  
321 0.4% 2%  
322 0.4% 1.5%  
323 0.1% 1.1%  
324 0.3% 1.0%  
325 0.2% 0.7%  
326 0.1% 0.5%  
327 0.1% 0.5%  
328 0.1% 0.4%  
329 0.1% 0.3%  
330 0% 0.2%  
331 0% 0.2%  
332 0% 0.2%  
333 0% 0.1%  
334 0% 0.1%  
335 0% 0.1%  
336 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 99.9%  
261 0% 99.9%  
262 0.1% 99.9%  
263 0% 99.8%  
264 0.1% 99.8%  
265 0.1% 99.7%  
266 0.1% 99.7%  
267 0.1% 99.6%  
268 0.1% 99.4%  
269 0.2% 99.4%  
270 0.1% 99.2%  
271 0.4% 99.0%  
272 0.4% 98.7%  
273 0.4% 98%  
274 0.6% 98%  
275 0.4% 97%  
276 0.7% 97%  
277 0.6% 96%  
278 1.0% 96%  
279 2% 95%  
280 1.1% 93%  
281 3% 91%  
282 2% 89%  
283 2% 87%  
284 2% 85%  
285 3% 83%  
286 2% 79%  
287 2% 77%  
288 5% 74%  
289 6% 69%  
290 3% 63%  
291 6% 59%  
292 4% 53% Median
293 4% 50%  
294 5% 46%  
295 1.0% 41%  
296 5% 40%  
297 2% 35%  
298 7% 32%  
299 4% 26%  
300 3% 22%  
301 4% 19%  
302 1.4% 15%  
303 2% 14%  
304 2% 12%  
305 0.3% 10%  
306 2% 9%  
307 1.2% 7%  
308 1.1% 6%  
309 1.2% 5%  
310 0.4% 4%  
311 0.6% 3%  
312 0.3% 3%  
313 0.3% 2%  
314 0.4% 2%  
315 0.3% 2%  
316 0.4% 1.4%  
317 0.1% 1.1%  
318 0.2% 0.9%  
319 0.2% 0.7%  
320 0.1% 0.5%  
321 0.1% 0.5%  
322 0% 0.4%  
323 0.1% 0.4%  
324 0.1% 0.3%  
325 0% 0.2%  
326 0.1% 0.2%  
327 0% 0.1%  
328 0% 0.1%  
329 0% 0.1%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0% Majority
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
237 0% 100%  
238 0.1% 99.9%  
239 0% 99.9%  
240 0.1% 99.8%  
241 0.1% 99.8%  
242 0.2% 99.7%  
243 0.1% 99.5%  
244 0.3% 99.4%  
245 0.2% 99.1%  
246 0.3% 98.9%  
247 0.3% 98.6%  
248 0.4% 98%  
249 0.3% 98%  
250 0.3% 98%  
251 0.6% 97%  
252 0.3% 97%  
253 0.4% 96%  
254 0.4% 96%  
255 0.4% 96%  
256 0.5% 95%  
257 0.5% 95%  
258 0.8% 94%  
259 1.2% 93%  
260 2% 92%  
261 1.4% 90%  
262 2% 89%  
263 4% 87%  
264 3% 83%  
265 3% 80%  
266 5% 77%  
267 7% 71%  
268 9% 65%  
269 5% 55% Median
270 6% 50%  
271 6% 44%  
272 6% 38%  
273 4% 33%  
274 6% 29%  
275 4% 22%  
276 5% 18%  
277 2% 14%  
278 2% 11%  
279 2% 9%  
280 1.0% 8%  
281 0.7% 7%  
282 0.7% 6%  
283 0.4% 5%  
284 0.5% 5%  
285 0.2% 5%  
286 0.4% 4%  
287 0.2% 4%  
288 0.4% 4%  
289 0.3% 3%  
290 0.3% 3%  
291 0.4% 3%  
292 0.4% 2%  
293 0.3% 2%  
294 0.3% 2%  
295 0.3% 1.4%  
296 0.3% 1.1%  
297 0.1% 0.8%  
298 0.2% 0.7%  
299 0.2% 0.5%  
300 0.1% 0.3%  
301 0.1% 0.2%  
302 0% 0.2%  
303 0% 0.1%  
304 0% 0.1%  
305 0% 0.1%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 99.9%  
239 0.1% 99.9%  
240 0% 99.9%  
241 0.1% 99.8%  
242 0.1% 99.7%  
243 0.1% 99.7%  
244 0.1% 99.6%  
245 0.2% 99.5%  
246 0.3% 99.3%  
247 0.3% 99.0%  
248 0.2% 98.7%  
249 0.3% 98%  
250 0.5% 98%  
251 0.4% 98%  
252 0.7% 97%  
253 0.6% 97%  
254 0.6% 96%  
255 0.6% 95%  
256 2% 95%  
257 1.1% 92%  
258 2% 91%  
259 2% 90%  
260 3% 88%  
261 2% 85%  
262 2% 83%  
263 2% 81%  
264 3% 79%  
265 5% 76%  
266 5% 71%  
267 4% 65%  
268 6% 62%  
269 3% 56% Median
270 5% 54%  
271 3% 49%  
272 7% 46%  
273 8% 40%  
274 2% 32%  
275 5% 30%  
276 3% 25%  
277 4% 22%  
278 2% 18%  
279 2% 16%  
280 3% 14%  
281 2% 10%  
282 1.0% 9%  
283 1.0% 8%  
284 1.2% 7%  
285 0.6% 6%  
286 2% 5%  
287 0.6% 4%  
288 0.4% 3%  
289 0.3% 3%  
290 0.4% 2%  
291 0.3% 2%  
292 0.3% 1.5%  
293 0.2% 1.2%  
294 0.2% 1.0%  
295 0.1% 0.8%  
296 0.2% 0.7%  
297 0.1% 0.5%  
298 0.1% 0.5%  
299 0.1% 0.4%  
300 0.1% 0.3%  
301 0.1% 0.2%  
302 0% 0.1%  
303 0% 0.1%  
304 0% 0.1%  
305 0% 0.1%  
306 0% 0.1%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0%  
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 99.9%  
164 0% 99.9%  
165 0% 99.9%  
166 0% 99.9%  
167 0% 99.9%  
168 0% 99.8%  
169 0.1% 99.8%  
170 0.2% 99.7%  
171 0.3% 99.4%  
172 0.5% 99.1%  
173 0.5% 98.6%  
174 2% 98%  
175 0.7% 96%  
176 0.9% 96%  
177 2% 95%  
178 0.8% 93%  
179 0.8% 92%  
180 0.5% 91%  
181 0.5% 91%  
182 0.9% 90%  
183 0.7% 89%  
184 1.3% 89%  
185 3% 87%  
186 4% 84%  
187 6% 80%  
188 10% 74%  
189 8% 64%  
190 5% 57%  
191 8% 52%  
192 2% 44%  
193 2% 42% Median
194 0.8% 40%  
195 1.1% 39%  
196 0.9% 38%  
197 0.7% 37%  
198 2% 36%  
199 2% 34%  
200 5% 31%  
201 4% 26%  
202 5% 22%  
203 5% 17%  
204 3% 13%  
205 2% 9%  
206 2% 7%  
207 1.2% 5%  
208 0.8% 4%  
209 0.4% 3%  
210 0.2% 2%  
211 0.1% 2%  
212 0.2% 2%  
213 0.3% 2%  
214 0.2% 2%  
215 0.2% 1.4%  
216 0.3% 1.2%  
217 0.2% 0.8%  
218 0.3% 0.7%  
219 0.1% 0.3%  
220 0.1% 0.2%  
221 0.1% 0.1%  
222 0% 0.1%  
223 0% 0.1%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 99.9%  
116 0% 99.9%  
117 0% 99.9%  
118 0% 99.9%  
119 0% 99.9%  
120 0% 99.9%  
121 0% 99.9%  
122 0% 99.9%  
123 0% 99.9%  
124 0% 99.9%  
125 0% 99.9%  
126 0% 99.9%  
127 0% 99.9%  
128 0% 99.9%  
129 0% 99.9%  
130 0% 99.9%  
131 0% 99.9%  
132 0% 99.9%  
133 0% 99.9%  
134 0% 99.9%  
135 0% 99.9%  
136 0% 99.8%  
137 0.1% 99.8%  
138 0.1% 99.7%  
139 0.1% 99.6%  
140 0.1% 99.5%  
141 0.1% 99.4%  
142 0.2% 99.3%  
143 0.3% 99.1%  
144 0.2% 98.8%  
145 0.5% 98.6%  
146 0.6% 98%  
147 2% 97%  
148 2% 96%  
149 1.1% 94%  
150 3% 93%  
151 3% 90%  
152 4% 87%  
153 2% 83%  
154 3% 80%  
155 3% 77%  
156 3% 74%  
157 2% 71%  
158 2% 69%  
159 3% 67%  
160 3% 64%  
161 4% 60%  
162 3% 57% Median
163 7% 53%  
164 6% 46%  
165 6% 40%  
166 5% 35%  
167 2% 29%  
168 7% 27%  
169 4% 20%  
170 2% 16%  
171 2% 14%  
172 1.0% 12%  
173 1.4% 11%  
174 2% 10%  
175 2% 8%  
176 1.2% 7%  
177 0.9% 5%  
178 1.1% 5%  
179 0.3% 3%  
180 0.7% 3%  
181 0.9% 2%  
182 0.4% 1.5%  
183 0.3% 1.1%  
184 0.2% 0.7%  
185 0.1% 0.5%  
186 0.1% 0.4%  
187 0.1% 0.3%  
188 0% 0.2%  
189 0% 0.2%  
190 0% 0.1%  
191 0% 0.1%  
192 0% 0.1%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations