Opinion Poll by Forsa, 18–21 May 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 25.0% 23.6–26.5% 23.2–26.9% 22.9–27.3% 22.3–28.0%
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 19.5% 18.2–20.9% 17.9–21.2% 17.6–21.6% 17.0–22.2%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 14.0% 12.9–15.2% 12.6–15.5% 12.3–15.8% 11.8–16.4%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 13.0% 11.9–14.2% 11.6–14.5% 11.4–14.8% 10.9–15.4%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 10.0% 9.1–11.0% 8.8–11.3% 8.6–11.6% 8.1–12.1%
Die Linke 9.2% 6.0% 5.3–6.8% 5.1–7.1% 4.9–7.3% 4.6–7.7%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 4.5% 3.9–5.3% 3.7–5.5% 3.6–5.7% 3.3–6.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 195 183–205 180–209 177–212 171–219
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 149 139–160 137–163 134–166 130–172
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 109 100–118 98–121 96–123 91–128
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 102 93–110 90–113 88–115 84–120
Alternative für Deutschland 94 74 68–84 67–88 66–90 63–94
Die Linke 69 45 40–52 38–54 0–55 0–59
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 35 30–41 29–42 28–44 26–47

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100%  
166 0% 99.9%  
167 0% 99.9%  
168 0.1% 99.9%  
169 0.1% 99.8%  
170 0.1% 99.7%  
171 0.2% 99.6%  
172 0.2% 99.5%  
173 0.2% 99.3%  
174 0.4% 99.1%  
175 0.4% 98.7%  
176 0.5% 98%  
177 0.8% 98%  
178 0.8% 97%  
179 1.0% 96%  
180 1.2% 95%  
181 1.3% 94%  
182 2% 93%  
183 2% 91%  
184 2% 89%  
185 3% 88%  
186 3% 85%  
187 2% 82%  
188 4% 79%  
189 3% 75%  
190 3% 72%  
191 6% 69%  
192 4% 64%  
193 4% 60%  
194 5% 56%  
195 4% 50% Median
196 5% 46%  
197 5% 42%  
198 3% 36%  
199 5% 33%  
200 4% 28%  
201 3% 24%  
202 4% 21%  
203 3% 18%  
204 2% 15%  
205 3% 13%  
206 2% 10%  
207 1.1% 8%  
208 1.4% 7%  
209 1.1% 5%  
210 0.7% 4%  
211 0.9% 4%  
212 0.5% 3%  
213 0.4% 2%  
214 0.4% 2%  
215 0.2% 1.4%  
216 0.3% 1.2%  
217 0.2% 0.9%  
218 0.2% 0.8%  
219 0.1% 0.6%  
220 0.1% 0.5%  
221 0.1% 0.4%  
222 0.1% 0.3%  
223 0% 0.2%  
224 0% 0.2%  
225 0% 0.1%  
226 0% 0.1%  
227 0% 0.1%  
228 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 99.9%  
127 0.1% 99.9%  
128 0.1% 99.8%  
129 0.1% 99.8%  
130 0.2% 99.6%  
131 0.2% 99.4%  
132 0.5% 99.2%  
133 0.5% 98.7%  
134 0.8% 98%  
135 1.0% 97%  
136 1.1% 96%  
137 2% 95%  
138 2% 94%  
139 2% 91%  
140 4% 89%  
141 2% 85%  
142 3% 83%  
143 3% 80%  
144 5% 76%  
145 4% 71%  
146 6% 67%  
147 4% 61%  
148 5% 57%  
149 6% 52% Median
150 4% 46%  
151 6% 42%  
152 5% 36%  
153 4% 30%  
154 3% 26%  
155 4% 23%  
156 2% 19%  
157 3% 17%  
158 2% 14%  
159 2% 12%  
160 2% 10%  
161 2% 8%  
162 0.9% 6%  
163 1.2% 5%  
164 0.6% 4%  
165 0.7% 4%  
166 0.5% 3%  
167 0.6% 2%  
168 0.4% 2%  
169 0.3% 2%  
170 0.4% 1.2%  
171 0.2% 0.9%  
172 0.2% 0.7%  
173 0.1% 0.5%  
174 0.1% 0.3%  
175 0% 0.2%  
176 0.1% 0.2%  
177 0% 0.1%  
178 0% 0.1%  
179 0% 0.1%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
87 0% 100%  
88 0.1% 99.9%  
89 0.1% 99.9%  
90 0.1% 99.8%  
91 0.2% 99.6%  
92 0.2% 99.5%  
93 0.4% 99.2%  
94 0.6% 98.8%  
95 0.7% 98%  
96 0.8% 98%  
97 1.2% 97%  
98 2% 95%  
99 2% 94%  
100 2% 92%  
101 2% 89%  
102 3% 87%  
103 5% 84%  
104 5% 79%  
105 4% 74%  
106 4% 70%  
107 5% 66%  
108 6% 60%  
109 7% 54% Median
110 5% 48%  
111 4% 43%  
112 6% 39%  
113 6% 33%  
114 6% 27%  
115 4% 21%  
116 2% 18%  
117 3% 16%  
118 3% 13%  
119 2% 9%  
120 1.3% 7%  
121 1.0% 6%  
122 1.2% 5%  
123 1.1% 3%  
124 0.9% 2%  
125 0.3% 1.5%  
126 0.2% 1.2%  
127 0.3% 0.9%  
128 0.2% 0.6%  
129 0.1% 0.4%  
130 0.1% 0.3%  
131 0.1% 0.2%  
132 0% 0.1%  
133 0% 0.1%  
134 0% 0.1%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0% 100% Last Result
81 0.1% 99.9%  
82 0.1% 99.9%  
83 0.1% 99.8%  
84 0.2% 99.7%  
85 0.3% 99.5%  
86 0.4% 99.1%  
87 0.6% 98.7%  
88 0.8% 98%  
89 1.0% 97%  
90 1.5% 96%  
91 2% 95%  
92 2% 93%  
93 3% 91%  
94 3% 88%  
95 3% 85%  
96 4% 82%  
97 6% 78%  
98 5% 73%  
99 6% 68%  
100 6% 62%  
101 5% 56%  
102 7% 51% Median
103 5% 44%  
104 5% 39%  
105 5% 34%  
106 6% 29%  
107 4% 23%  
108 4% 19%  
109 3% 15%  
110 2% 12%  
111 2% 10%  
112 2% 7%  
113 1.2% 5%  
114 1.0% 4%  
115 1.0% 3%  
116 0.6% 2%  
117 0.5% 2%  
118 0.3% 1.1%  
119 0.3% 0.8%  
120 0.2% 0.5%  
121 0.1% 0.4%  
122 0.1% 0.2%  
123 0.1% 0.2%  
124 0% 0.1%  
125 0% 0.1%  
126 0% 0%  

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100%  
61 0.1% 99.9%  
62 0.2% 99.8%  
63 0.3% 99.6%  
64 0.6% 99.3%  
65 1.0% 98.7%  
66 1.3% 98%  
67 3% 96%  
68 4% 93%  
69 4% 90%  
70 5% 85%  
71 7% 80%  
72 7% 74%  
73 9% 67%  
74 10% 58% Median
75 8% 48%  
76 7% 41%  
77 6% 34%  
78 3% 28%  
79 3% 25%  
80 4% 22%  
81 2% 18%  
82 3% 15%  
83 2% 13%  
84 1.4% 11%  
85 1.4% 9%  
86 1.2% 8%  
87 1.1% 7%  
88 1.5% 6%  
89 1.2% 4%  
90 0.7% 3%  
91 0.6% 2%  
92 0.5% 2%  
93 0.3% 1.0%  
94 0.2% 0.7% Last Result
95 0.2% 0.5%  
96 0.1% 0.3%  
97 0.1% 0.2%  
98 0% 0.1%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 5% 100%  
1 0% 95%  
2 0% 95%  
3 0% 95%  
4 0% 95%  
5 0% 95%  
6 0% 95%  
7 0% 95%  
8 0% 95%  
9 0% 95%  
10 0% 95%  
11 0% 95%  
12 0% 95%  
13 0% 95%  
14 0% 95%  
15 0% 95%  
16 0% 95%  
17 0% 95%  
18 0% 95%  
19 0% 95%  
20 0% 95%  
21 0% 95%  
22 0% 95%  
23 0% 95%  
24 0% 95%  
25 0% 95%  
26 0% 95%  
27 0% 95%  
28 0% 95%  
29 0% 95%  
30 0% 95%  
31 0% 95%  
32 0% 95%  
33 0% 95%  
34 0% 95%  
35 0% 95%  
36 0% 95%  
37 0% 95%  
38 0.4% 95%  
39 3% 95%  
40 5% 92%  
41 6% 86%  
42 7% 80%  
43 8% 73%  
44 8% 65%  
45 8% 58% Median
46 8% 50%  
47 8% 42%  
48 8% 34%  
49 7% 26%  
50 5% 19%  
51 4% 14%  
52 3% 10%  
53 2% 7%  
54 2% 5%  
55 1.3% 4%  
56 0.9% 2%  
57 0.5% 1.4%  
58 0.3% 0.9%  
59 0.2% 0.6%  
60 0.1% 0.3%  
61 0.1% 0.2%  
62 0.1% 0.1%  
63 0% 0.1%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0% 100%  
24 0.1% 99.9%  
25 0.3% 99.8%  
26 0.6% 99.6%  
27 1.1% 99.0%  
28 2% 98%  
29 3% 96%  
30 5% 93%  
31 6% 88%  
32 8% 82%  
33 8% 74%  
34 9% 67%  
35 12% 57% Median
36 8% 45%  
37 7% 37%  
38 8% 30%  
39 7% 22%  
40 4% 15%  
41 3% 11%  
42 3% 8%  
43 2% 5%  
44 1.2% 3%  
45 0.8% 2%  
46 0.4% 1.1% Last Result
47 0.3% 0.6%  
48 0.2% 0.4%  
49 0.1% 0.2%  
50 0% 0.1%  
51 0% 0.1%  
52 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 487 100% 476–500 472–508 469–520 463–531
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 479 100% 468–493 464–500 461–512 455–523
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 407 100% 385–414 382–419 379–430 375–436
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 395 100% 382–408 379–415 375–424 370–433
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 378 99.4% 366–392 363–398 359–405 353–416
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 360 73% 348–376 346–383 343–388 338–397
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 349 27% 333–361 326–363 321–366 312–371
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 304 0% 290–316 285–320 281–323 275–332
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 293 0% 281–307 278–311 275–317 269–327
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 285 0% 273–299 270–304 268–309 261–318
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 258 0% 249–277 247–281 245–284 241–289
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 211 0% 199–222 195–225 191–229 186–234
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 155 0% 143–165 133–168 116–170 107–175

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
456 0% 100%  
457 0% 99.9%  
458 0% 99.9%  
459 0% 99.9%  
460 0.1% 99.8%  
461 0.1% 99.8%  
462 0.1% 99.7%  
463 0.1% 99.5%  
464 0.3% 99.4%  
465 0.2% 99.2%  
466 0.3% 98.9% Last Result
467 0.4% 98.6%  
468 0.6% 98%  
469 0.5% 98%  
470 0.6% 97%  
471 1.1% 96%  
472 0.9% 95%  
473 1.1% 94%  
474 1.4% 93%  
475 2% 92%  
476 2% 90%  
477 3% 88%  
478 2% 85%  
479 2% 83%  
480 3% 81%  
481 4% 78%  
482 4% 74%  
483 5% 71%  
484 3% 66%  
485 3% 63%  
486 5% 60%  
487 5% 55%  
488 3% 49% Median
489 5% 46%  
490 4% 41%  
491 4% 37%  
492 5% 33%  
493 3% 28%  
494 2% 25%  
495 4% 23%  
496 3% 19%  
497 2% 16%  
498 2% 14%  
499 2% 12%  
500 1.0% 11%  
501 1.2% 10%  
502 0.8% 8%  
503 0.6% 8%  
504 0.6% 7%  
505 0.4% 6%  
506 0.5% 6%  
507 0.4% 5%  
508 0.2% 5%  
509 0.2% 5%  
510 0.2% 5%  
511 0.2% 5%  
512 0.2% 4%  
513 0.3% 4%  
514 0.1% 4%  
515 0.2% 4%  
516 0.2% 3%  
517 0.2% 3%  
518 0.2% 3%  
519 0.2% 3%  
520 0.1% 3%  
521 0.3% 2%  
522 0.2% 2%  
523 0.1% 2%  
524 0.3% 2%  
525 0.1% 2%  
526 0.3% 2%  
527 0.2% 1.2%  
528 0.1% 1.0%  
529 0.2% 0.9%  
530 0.1% 0.6%  
531 0.1% 0.5%  
532 0.1% 0.4%  
533 0.1% 0.3%  
534 0.1% 0.3%  
535 0% 0.2%  
536 0% 0.1%  
537 0% 0.1%  
538 0% 0.1%  
539 0% 0.1%  
540 0% 0.1%  
541 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 100%  
436 0% 100%  
437 0% 100%  
438 0% 100%  
439 0% 100%  
440 0% 100%  
441 0% 100%  
442 0% 100%  
443 0% 100%  
444 0% 100%  
445 0% 100%  
446 0% 100%  
447 0% 100%  
448 0% 100%  
449 0% 99.9%  
450 0% 99.9%  
451 0.1% 99.9%  
452 0.1% 99.8%  
453 0.1% 99.8%  
454 0.1% 99.7%  
455 0.1% 99.6%  
456 0.1% 99.5%  
457 0.2% 99.3%  
458 0.2% 99.1%  
459 0.5% 98.9%  
460 0.6% 98%  
461 0.5% 98%  
462 0.9% 97%  
463 0.8% 96%  
464 0.6% 96%  
465 1.1% 95%  
466 2% 94%  
467 1.3% 92%  
468 3% 91%  
469 2% 88%  
470 3% 86%  
471 3% 83%  
472 2% 80%  
473 2% 78%  
474 3% 76%  
475 4% 73%  
476 4% 68%  
477 4% 64%  
478 6% 60%  
479 5% 54%  
480 3% 50%  
481 3% 47% Median
482 5% 43%  
483 4% 39%  
484 3% 35%  
485 5% 32%  
486 4% 28%  
487 3% 24%  
488 2% 21%  
489 4% 19%  
490 3% 15%  
491 0.7% 13%  
492 1.0% 12%  
493 2% 11%  
494 1.2% 9%  
495 1.0% 8%  
496 0.8% 7%  
497 0.6% 6%  
498 0.3% 6%  
499 0.2% 5%  
500 0.3% 5%  
501 0.2% 5%  
502 0.3% 5%  
503 0.3% 4%  
504 0.3% 4%  
505 0.1% 4%  
506 0.3% 4%  
507 0.2% 3%  
508 0.3% 3%  
509 0.1% 3%  
510 0.1% 3%  
511 0.2% 3%  
512 0.1% 3%  
513 0.4% 2%  
514 0.2% 2%  
515 0.3% 2%  
516 0.1% 2%  
517 0.1% 1.4%  
518 0.2% 1.3%  
519 0.2% 1.1%  
520 0.1% 0.9%  
521 0.1% 0.8%  
522 0.2% 0.7%  
523 0% 0.5%  
524 0.1% 0.5%  
525 0.1% 0.4%  
526 0.1% 0.3%  
527 0.1% 0.2%  
528 0% 0.2%  
529 0% 0.1%  
530 0% 0.1%  
531 0% 0.1%  
532 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
300 0% 100% Last Result
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0.1% 99.9%  
373 0.1% 99.9%  
374 0.1% 99.8%  
375 0.2% 99.7%  
376 0.5% 99.4%  
377 0.6% 99.0%  
378 0.6% 98%  
379 0.8% 98%  
380 0.9% 97%  
381 1.1% 96%  
382 1.3% 95%  
383 1.4% 94%  
384 1.2% 92%  
385 1.2% 91%  
386 1.0% 90%  
387 0.8% 89%  
388 0.8% 88%  
389 0.4% 87%  
390 0.2% 87%  
391 0.2% 87%  
392 0.1% 86%  
393 0.1% 86%  
394 0.1% 86%  
395 0.1% 86%  
396 0.2% 86%  
397 0.2% 86%  
398 0.4% 86%  
399 0.6% 85%  
400 1.2% 85%  
401 3% 83%  
402 2% 81%  
403 6% 78%  
404 5% 73%  
405 6% 68%  
406 9% 62% Median
407 6% 53%  
408 6% 47%  
409 7% 40%  
410 6% 34%  
411 7% 27%  
412 4% 20%  
413 5% 17%  
414 2% 11%  
415 2% 9%  
416 1.0% 7%  
417 0.5% 6%  
418 0.4% 6%  
419 0.2% 5%  
420 0.1% 5%  
421 0.1% 5%  
422 0.1% 5%  
423 0.1% 5%  
424 0.2% 4%  
425 0.2% 4%  
426 0.3% 4%  
427 0.5% 4%  
428 0.2% 3%  
429 0.4% 3%  
430 0.5% 3%  
431 0.4% 2%  
432 0.3% 2%  
433 0.3% 1.5%  
434 0.3% 1.2%  
435 0.2% 0.9%  
436 0.3% 0.8%  
437 0.1% 0.5%  
438 0.2% 0.4%  
439 0% 0.2%  
440 0% 0.1%  
441 0% 0.1%  
442 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 99.9%  
365 0% 99.9%  
366 0.1% 99.9%  
367 0.1% 99.8%  
368 0.1% 99.7%  
369 0.1% 99.6%  
370 0.2% 99.5%  
371 0.2% 99.4%  
372 0.3% 99.1%  
373 0.3% 98.8%  
374 0.4% 98%  
375 0.6% 98%  
376 0.5% 97%  
377 0.7% 97%  
378 1.3% 96%  
379 0.9% 95%  
380 1.4% 94%  
381 2% 93%  
382 2% 91%  
383 2% 90%  
384 3% 88%  
385 2% 85%  
386 3% 83%  
387 4% 81%  
388 2% 77%  
389 4% 75%  
390 4% 71%  
391 4% 67%  
392 3% 63%  
393 5% 59%  
394 3% 54%  
395 4% 51% Median
396 5% 47%  
397 4% 42%  
398 4% 38%  
399 3% 34%  
400 3% 31%  
401 4% 28%  
402 2% 24%  
403 3% 22%  
404 2% 18%  
405 2% 16%  
406 2% 14%  
407 2% 12%  
408 0.9% 11%  
409 1.0% 10%  
410 2% 9%  
411 0.3% 7%  
412 0.7% 7%  
413 0.8% 6%  
414 0.3% 5%  
415 0.3% 5%  
416 0.5% 5%  
417 0.2% 4%  
418 0.2% 4%  
419 0.2% 4%  
420 0.1% 4%  
421 0.2% 3%  
422 0.4% 3%  
423 0.1% 3%  
424 0.4% 3%  
425 0.3% 2%  
426 0.1% 2%  
427 0.2% 2%  
428 0.4% 2%  
429 0.3% 2%  
430 0.2% 1.2%  
431 0.3% 1.0%  
432 0.1% 0.7%  
433 0.1% 0.6%  
434 0.2% 0.5%  
435 0.1% 0.3%  
436 0.1% 0.2%  
437 0% 0.1%  
438 0% 0.1%  
439 0% 0.1%  
440 0% 0.1%  
441 0% 0.1%  
442 0% 0%  
443 0% 0%  
444 0% 0%  
445 0% 0%  
446 0% 0%  
447 0% 0%  
448 0% 0%  
449 0% 0%  
450 0% 0%  
451 0% 0%  
452 0% 0%  
453 0% 0%  
454 0% 0%  
455 0% 0%  
456 0% 0%  
457 0% 0%  
458 0% 0%  
459 0% 0%  
460 0% 0%  
461 0% 0%  
462 0% 0%  
463 0% 0%  
464 0% 0%  
465 0% 0%  
466 0% 0%  
467 0% 0%  
468 0% 0%  
469 0% 0%  
470 0% 0%  
471 0% 0%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 99.9%  
349 0% 99.9%  
350 0.1% 99.9%  
351 0.1% 99.8%  
352 0.1% 99.7%  
353 0.1% 99.6%  
354 0.1% 99.5%  
355 0.2% 99.4% Majority
356 0.3% 99.2%  
357 0.5% 98.9%  
358 0.4% 98%  
359 0.6% 98%  
360 0.5% 97%  
361 0.7% 97%  
362 1.2% 96%  
363 1.3% 95%  
364 2% 94%  
365 1.4% 92%  
366 1.3% 91%  
367 1.5% 89%  
368 2% 88%  
369 4% 85%  
370 3% 81%  
371 2% 78%  
372 2% 75%  
373 3% 73%  
374 4% 70%  
375 5% 66%  
376 4% 60%  
377 4% 57%  
378 3% 53%  
379 3% 50% Median
380 5% 47%  
381 4% 43%  
382 6% 38%  
383 3% 32%  
384 2% 29%  
385 2% 27%  
386 4% 25%  
387 4% 22%  
388 3% 18%  
389 1.1% 15%  
390 0.8% 14%  
391 1.5% 13%  
392 2% 11%  
393 1.5% 9%  
394 1.0% 8%  
395 0.5% 7%  
396 0.6% 6%  
397 0.5% 6%  
398 0.8% 5%  
399 0.5% 5%  
400 0.5% 4%  
401 0.3% 4%  
402 0.2% 3%  
403 0.2% 3%  
404 0.3% 3%  
405 0.3% 3%  
406 0.2% 2%  
407 0.1% 2%  
408 0.1% 2%  
409 0.2% 2%  
410 0.2% 2%  
411 0.3% 1.4%  
412 0.1% 1.1%  
413 0.1% 1.0%  
414 0.2% 0.9%  
415 0.1% 0.8%  
416 0.2% 0.7%  
417 0.1% 0.5%  
418 0.1% 0.4%  
419 0% 0.3%  
420 0% 0.3%  
421 0.1% 0.3%  
422 0.1% 0.2%  
423 0% 0.1%  
424 0% 0.1%  
425 0% 0.1%  
426 0% 0.1%  
427 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 99.9%  
333 0.1% 99.9%  
334 0% 99.9%  
335 0% 99.8%  
336 0.1% 99.8%  
337 0% 99.7%  
338 0.3% 99.7%  
339 0.2% 99.4%  
340 0.4% 99.1%  
341 0.8% 98.7%  
342 0.2% 98%  
343 1.0% 98%  
344 0.4% 97%  
345 0.7% 96%  
346 2% 96%  
347 0.7% 94%  
348 4% 93%  
349 3% 90%  
350 2% 87%  
351 5% 85%  
352 2% 81%  
353 2% 79%  
354 3% 77%  
355 1.2% 73% Majority
356 6% 72%  
357 2% 66%  
358 7% 64%  
359 6% 58%  
360 2% 51% Median
361 7% 49%  
362 2% 42%  
363 2% 41%  
364 3% 38%  
365 2% 35%  
366 4% 33%  
367 4% 28%  
368 3% 25%  
369 3% 22%  
370 1.2% 18%  
371 2% 17%  
372 1.0% 15%  
373 1.4% 14%  
374 1.1% 13%  
375 1.5% 12%  
376 1.2% 10%  
377 0.9% 9%  
378 1.0% 8%  
379 0.4% 7%  
380 0.5% 7%  
381 0.7% 6%  
382 0.4% 5%  
383 0.5% 5%  
384 0.5% 5%  
385 0.5% 4%  
386 0.5% 4%  
387 0.4% 3%  
388 0.2% 3%  
389 0.4% 2%  
390 0.3% 2%  
391 0.2% 2%  
392 0.1% 2%  
393 0.2% 1.4%  
394 0.1% 1.1%  
395 0.2% 1.0%  
396 0.2% 0.8%  
397 0.1% 0.6%  
398 0.1% 0.5%  
399 0.1% 0.4%  
400 0.1% 0.3%  
401 0% 0.2%  
402 0% 0.2%  
403 0% 0.2%  
404 0% 0.1%  
405 0% 0.1%  
406 0% 0.1%  
407 0% 0.1%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 99.9%  
304 0% 99.9%  
305 0% 99.9%  
306 0% 99.9%  
307 0% 99.8%  
308 0% 99.8%  
309 0.1% 99.8%  
310 0.1% 99.7%  
311 0.1% 99.6%  
312 0.1% 99.5%  
313 0.2% 99.4%  
314 0.2% 99.2%  
315 0.1% 99.0%  
316 0.2% 98.9%  
317 0.1% 98.6%  
318 0.2% 98%  
319 0.3% 98%  
320 0.4% 98%  
321 0.2% 98%  
322 0.4% 97%  
323 0.5% 97%  
324 0.5% 96%  
325 0.5% 96%  
326 0.5% 95%  
327 0.4% 95%  
328 0.7% 95%  
329 0.5% 94%  
330 0.4% 93%  
331 1.0% 93%  
332 0.9% 92%  
333 1.2% 91%  
334 1.5% 90%  
335 1.1% 88%  
336 1.4% 87%  
337 1.0% 86%  
338 2% 85%  
339 1.2% 83%  
340 3% 82%  
341 3% 78%  
342 4% 75%  
343 4% 72%  
344 2% 67%  
345 3% 65%  
346 2% 62%  
347 2% 59%  
348 7% 58%  
349 2% 51% Median
350 6% 49%  
351 7% 42%  
352 2% 36%  
353 6% 34%  
354 1.2% 28%  
355 3% 27% Majority
356 2% 23%  
357 2% 21%  
358 5% 19%  
359 2% 15%  
360 3% 13%  
361 4% 10%  
362 0.7% 7%  
363 2% 6%  
364 0.7% 4%  
365 0.4% 4%  
366 1.0% 3%  
367 0.2% 2%  
368 0.8% 2%  
369 0.4% 1.3%  
370 0.2% 0.9%  
371 0.3% 0.6%  
372 0% 0.3%  
373 0.1% 0.3%  
374 0% 0.2%  
375 0% 0.2%  
376 0.1% 0.1%  
377 0% 0.1%  
378 0% 0.1%  
379 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 99.9%  
271 0.1% 99.9%  
272 0.1% 99.8%  
273 0.1% 99.8%  
274 0.1% 99.7%  
275 0.2% 99.6%  
276 0.1% 99.4%  
277 0.3% 99.3%  
278 0.3% 99.0%  
279 0.4% 98.7%  
280 0.4% 98%  
281 0.8% 98%  
282 0.4% 97%  
283 0.9% 97%  
284 0.5% 96%  
285 0.9% 95%  
286 0.8% 94%  
287 0.9% 94%  
288 1.1% 93%  
289 1.2% 92%  
290 1.1% 90%  
291 1.2% 89%  
292 1.5% 88%  
293 1.4% 87%  
294 2% 85%  
295 2% 83%  
296 3% 81%  
297 1.2% 78%  
298 3% 77%  
299 3% 74%  
300 3% 70%  
301 4% 67%  
302 5% 63%  
303 5% 58%  
304 4% 53% Median
305 3% 49%  
306 4% 46%  
307 5% 42%  
308 4% 36%  
309 5% 33%  
310 3% 28%  
311 4% 25%  
312 3% 21%  
313 3% 18%  
314 3% 15%  
315 2% 13%  
316 2% 10%  
317 2% 9%  
318 0.9% 7%  
319 1.2% 6%  
320 0.8% 5%  
321 0.6% 4%  
322 0.6% 4%  
323 0.6% 3%  
324 0.4% 2%  
325 0.3% 2%  
326 0.2% 2%  
327 0.3% 2%  
328 0.3% 1.3%  
329 0.2% 1.0%  
330 0.1% 0.9%  
331 0.2% 0.8%  
332 0.2% 0.6%  
333 0.1% 0.4%  
334 0.1% 0.3%  
335 0% 0.3%  
336 0% 0.2%  
337 0.1% 0.2%  
338 0% 0.1%  
339 0% 0.1%  
340 0% 0.1%  
341 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 99.9%  
265 0.1% 99.9%  
266 0.1% 99.8%  
267 0.1% 99.8%  
268 0.1% 99.7%  
269 0.2% 99.6%  
270 0.2% 99.4%  
271 0.3% 99.2%  
272 0.3% 98.9%  
273 0.4% 98.6%  
274 0.5% 98%  
275 0.8% 98%  
276 1.0% 97%  
277 0.7% 96%  
278 1.1% 95%  
279 1.2% 94%  
280 2% 93%  
281 2% 91%  
282 2% 89%  
283 2% 87%  
284 2% 85%  
285 4% 83%  
286 3% 80%  
287 4% 76%  
288 3% 73%  
289 4% 70%  
290 4% 66%  
291 5% 62%  
292 3% 57%  
293 6% 54% Median
294 3% 48%  
295 4% 45%  
296 4% 40%  
297 3% 36%  
298 3% 33%  
299 4% 30%  
300 3% 26%  
301 3% 23%  
302 3% 20%  
303 2% 17%  
304 2% 15%  
305 2% 13%  
306 1.1% 11%  
307 2% 10%  
308 1.1% 8%  
309 0.6% 7%  
310 1.0% 7%  
311 0.8% 6%  
312 0.5% 5%  
313 0.5% 4%  
314 0.5% 4%  
315 0.4% 3%  
316 0.4% 3%  
317 0.3% 3%  
318 0.3% 2%  
319 0.2% 2%  
320 0.3% 2%  
321 0.3% 2%  
322 0.2% 1.4%  
323 0.1% 1.2%  
324 0.1% 1.0%  
325 0.2% 0.9%  
326 0.2% 0.8%  
327 0.2% 0.6%  
328 0.1% 0.4%  
329 0% 0.3%  
330 0.1% 0.3%  
331 0% 0.2%  
332 0% 0.2%  
333 0% 0.1%  
334 0% 0.1%  
335 0% 0.1%  
336 0% 0.1%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0% Majority
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 99.9%  
257 0% 99.9%  
258 0.1% 99.9%  
259 0.1% 99.8%  
260 0.1% 99.7%  
261 0.2% 99.6%  
262 0.1% 99.4%  
263 0.2% 99.3%  
264 0.3% 99.1%  
265 0.3% 98.8%  
266 0.4% 98.6%  
267 0.6% 98%  
268 0.9% 98%  
269 0.9% 97%  
270 1.1% 96%  
271 2% 95%  
272 1.2% 93%  
273 2% 92%  
274 2% 90%  
275 3% 88%  
276 3% 85%  
277 2% 82%  
278 3% 80%  
279 3% 78%  
280 4% 75%  
281 3% 71%  
282 3% 68%  
283 6% 64%  
284 4% 59%  
285 5% 54%  
286 4% 49% Median
287 4% 45%  
288 3% 41%  
289 3% 38%  
290 3% 34%  
291 3% 32%  
292 4% 29%  
293 3% 24%  
294 2% 22%  
295 3% 19%  
296 3% 16%  
297 2% 14%  
298 1.3% 11%  
299 1.3% 10%  
300 1.3% 9%  
301 0.9% 7%  
302 0.7% 7%  
303 0.7% 6%  
304 0.7% 5%  
305 0.5% 4%  
306 0.4% 4%  
307 0.4% 3%  
308 0.5% 3%  
309 0.3% 3%  
310 0.4% 2%  
311 0.2% 2%  
312 0.2% 2%  
313 0.4% 2%  
314 0.1% 1.2%  
315 0.2% 1.1%  
316 0.2% 0.8%  
317 0.1% 0.7%  
318 0.1% 0.6%  
319 0.1% 0.5%  
320 0.1% 0.4%  
321 0.1% 0.3%  
322 0.1% 0.3%  
323 0% 0.2%  
324 0% 0.1%  
325 0% 0.1%  
326 0% 0.1% Last Result
327 0% 0.1%  
328 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 99.9%  
238 0% 99.9%  
239 0.1% 99.9%  
240 0.2% 99.8%  
241 0.2% 99.6%  
242 0.3% 99.4%  
243 0.4% 99.1%  
244 0.8% 98.7%  
245 0.8% 98%  
246 1.1% 97%  
247 2% 96%  
248 3% 94%  
249 3% 91%  
250 3% 89%  
251 4% 85%  
252 4% 81%  
253 6% 77%  
254 5% 71%  
255 5% 67%  
256 6% 62%  
257 6% 56%  
258 4% 50% Median
259 6% 47%  
260 4% 41%  
261 5% 37%  
262 3% 31%  
263 3% 29%  
264 3% 25%  
265 2% 23%  
266 1.4% 21%  
267 0.9% 19%  
268 0.6% 18%  
269 0.7% 18%  
270 0.6% 17%  
271 1.0% 17%  
272 1.0% 16%  
273 1.0% 15%  
274 0.8% 14%  
275 1.2% 13%  
276 1.2% 12%  
277 1.1% 10%  
278 1.0% 9%  
279 2% 8%  
280 1.1% 7%  
281 1.0% 6%  
282 0.9% 5%  
283 1.0% 4%  
284 0.7% 3%  
285 0.5% 2%  
286 0.4% 2%  
287 0.3% 1.1%  
288 0.2% 0.8%  
289 0.1% 0.5%  
290 0.1% 0.4%  
291 0.1% 0.3%  
292 0% 0.2%  
293 0% 0.2%  
294 0% 0.2%  
295 0% 0.1%  
296 0% 0.1%  
297 0% 0.1%  
298 0% 0.1%  
299 0% 0.1%  
300 0% 0.1%  
301 0% 0.1%  
302 0% 0.1%  
303 0% 0.1%  
304 0% 0.1%  
305 0% 0.1%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0%  
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
180 0% 100%  
181 0% 99.9%  
182 0% 99.9%  
183 0.1% 99.9%  
184 0.1% 99.7%  
185 0.1% 99.6%  
186 0.2% 99.6%  
187 0.4% 99.4%  
188 0.3% 99.0%  
189 0.3% 98.8%  
190 0.4% 98%  
191 0.6% 98%  
192 0.7% 97%  
193 0.5% 97%  
194 0.6% 96%  
195 2% 96%  
196 1.1% 94%  
197 0.7% 93%  
198 2% 92%  
199 1.4% 90%  
200 2% 89%  
201 2% 87%  
202 3% 85%  
203 2% 82%  
204 3% 81%  
205 4% 78%  
206 4% 74%  
207 4% 70%  
208 3% 66%  
209 4% 63%  
210 6% 59%  
211 5% 53% Median
212 3% 48%  
213 5% 46%  
214 6% 40%  
215 4% 35%  
216 4% 30%  
217 3% 26%  
218 3% 23%  
219 4% 20%  
220 3% 16%  
221 2% 13%  
222 2% 11%  
223 1.1% 9%  
224 1.3% 8%  
225 2% 7%  
226 0.9% 5%  
227 0.6% 4%  
228 0.5% 3%  
229 0.5% 3%  
230 0.6% 2%  
231 0.3% 2%  
232 0.2% 1.2%  
233 0.1% 1.1% Last Result
234 0.5% 0.9%  
235 0.1% 0.5%  
236 0.1% 0.4%  
237 0.1% 0.3%  
238 0% 0.3%  
239 0.1% 0.2%  
240 0% 0.1%  
241 0% 0.1%  
242 0% 0.1%  
243 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 99.9%  
102 0% 99.9%  
103 0.1% 99.9%  
104 0.1% 99.8%  
105 0.1% 99.7%  
106 0.1% 99.6%  
107 0.1% 99.5%  
108 0.1% 99.4%  
109 0.2% 99.3%  
110 0.2% 99.2%  
111 0.3% 99.0%  
112 0.2% 98.7%  
113 0.2% 98.6%  
114 0.5% 98%  
115 0.4% 98%  
116 0.1% 98%  
117 0.2% 97%  
118 0.4% 97%  
119 0.2% 97%  
120 0.2% 97%  
121 0.1% 96%  
122 0.2% 96%  
123 0.2% 96%  
124 0.3% 96%  
125 0.1% 96%  
126 0.1% 96%  
127 0.1% 95%  
128 0.1% 95%  
129 0.1% 95%  
130 0.1% 95%  
131 0.1% 95%  
132 0.1% 95%  
133 0.1% 95%  
134 0.1% 95%  
135 0.1% 95%  
136 0.2% 95%  
137 0.3% 95%  
138 0.3% 94%  
139 0.5% 94%  
140 0.7% 94%  
141 1.3% 93%  
142 1.4% 92%  
143 1.1% 90%  
144 2% 89%  
145 2% 87%  
146 4% 86%  
147 2% 81%  
148 3% 79%  
149 3% 76%  
150 4% 72%  
151 6% 68%  
152 4% 62%  
153 4% 59%  
154 4% 54% Median
155 6% 50%  
156 6% 44%  
157 3% 38%  
158 4% 35%  
159 5% 31%  
160 4% 26%  
161 4% 22%  
162 2% 18%  
163 2% 16%  
164 2% 13%  
165 2% 11%  
166 2% 9%  
167 1.0% 6%  
168 2% 5%  
169 0.7% 4%  
170 0.7% 3%  
171 0.7% 2%  
172 0.4% 2%  
173 0.3% 1.2%  
174 0.3% 0.9%  
175 0.2% 0.6%  
176 0.1% 0.4%  
177 0.1% 0.3%  
178 0.1% 0.2%  
179 0.1% 0.1%  
180 0% 0.1%  
181 0% 0.1%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations