Opinion Poll by INSA and YouGov, 17–21 May 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 23.0% 21.6–24.5% 21.2–24.9% 20.9–25.3% 20.2–26.0%
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 19.5% 18.2–20.9% 17.8–21.3% 17.5–21.7% 16.9–22.4%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 17.0% 15.8–18.4% 15.4–18.7% 15.1–19.1% 14.6–19.7%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 13.0% 11.9–14.3% 11.6–14.6% 11.4–14.9% 10.9–15.5%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 12.0% 11.0–13.2% 10.7–13.5% 10.4–13.8% 9.9–14.4%
Die Linke 9.2% 6.0% 5.2–6.9% 5.0–7.1% 4.8–7.3% 4.5–7.8%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 4.5% 3.8–5.3% 3.7–5.5% 3.5–5.7% 3.2–6.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 172 161–183 158–186 155–189 151–196
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 146 136–156 133–159 130–162 126–168
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 127 118–137 115–140 113–143 108–148
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 97 89–106 86–109 85–112 81–116
Alternative für Deutschland 94 90 82–99 79–101 78–104 74–108
Die Linke 69 45 39–51 37–53 0–55 0–58
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 34 29–39 28–41 26–43 24–45

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 99.9%  
147 0.1% 99.9%  
148 0.1% 99.8%  
149 0.1% 99.8%  
150 0.1% 99.7%  
151 0.2% 99.5%  
152 0.3% 99.3%  
153 0.4% 99.0%  
154 0.5% 98.7%  
155 0.9% 98%  
156 0.9% 97%  
157 0.9% 96%  
158 1.4% 96%  
159 2% 94%  
160 1.2% 92%  
161 2% 91%  
162 2% 88%  
163 3% 86%  
164 2% 83%  
165 6% 81%  
166 3% 75%  
167 3% 72%  
168 4% 69%  
169 4% 65%  
170 4% 60%  
171 4% 56%  
172 5% 52% Median
173 5% 47%  
174 4% 42%  
175 6% 38%  
176 5% 32%  
177 3% 27%  
178 2% 24%  
179 4% 21%  
180 2% 18%  
181 2% 15%  
182 2% 13%  
183 3% 11%  
184 1.2% 9%  
185 2% 8%  
186 1.2% 6%  
187 0.8% 5%  
188 0.5% 4%  
189 0.9% 3%  
190 0.4% 2%  
191 0.5% 2%  
192 0.4% 2%  
193 0.3% 1.3%  
194 0.2% 0.9%  
195 0.2% 0.7%  
196 0.2% 0.6%  
197 0.1% 0.4%  
198 0.1% 0.3%  
199 0.1% 0.3%  
200 0% 0.1%  
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0.1%  
204 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 99.9%  
123 0.1% 99.9%  
124 0.1% 99.8%  
125 0.1% 99.7%  
126 0.3% 99.6%  
127 0.2% 99.4%  
128 0.3% 99.1%  
129 0.5% 98.8%  
130 1.0% 98%  
131 0.7% 97%  
132 1.1% 97%  
133 2% 96%  
134 2% 94%  
135 1.1% 92%  
136 2% 90%  
137 4% 88%  
138 3% 84%  
139 4% 82%  
140 4% 78%  
141 3% 74%  
142 6% 70%  
143 5% 65%  
144 3% 60%  
145 5% 57%  
146 7% 52% Median
147 3% 46%  
148 4% 43%  
149 6% 39%  
150 4% 33%  
151 4% 29%  
152 5% 26%  
153 4% 21%  
154 3% 17%  
155 4% 15%  
156 2% 11%  
157 1.5% 9%  
158 2% 7%  
159 1.0% 6%  
160 0.6% 5%  
161 1.2% 4%  
162 0.8% 3%  
163 0.4% 2%  
164 0.3% 2%  
165 0.3% 1.4%  
166 0.2% 1.1%  
167 0.2% 0.9%  
168 0.2% 0.6%  
169 0.1% 0.4%  
170 0.1% 0.3%  
171 0.1% 0.2%  
172 0% 0.2%  
173 0% 0.1%  
174 0% 0.1%  
175 0% 0.1%  
176 0% 0.1%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
104 0% 100%  
105 0.1% 99.9%  
106 0.1% 99.9%  
107 0.2% 99.8%  
108 0.2% 99.6%  
109 0.2% 99.5%  
110 0.5% 99.2%  
111 0.4% 98.8%  
112 0.6% 98%  
113 1.5% 98%  
114 0.7% 96%  
115 2% 96%  
116 2% 94%  
117 1.1% 91%  
118 3% 90%  
119 4% 87%  
120 2% 83%  
121 5% 81%  
122 5% 76%  
123 3% 71%  
124 5% 68%  
125 6% 63%  
126 4% 57%  
127 6% 52% Median
128 5% 46%  
129 3% 41%  
130 7% 38%  
131 4% 31%  
132 4% 28%  
133 5% 23%  
134 2% 18%  
135 3% 16%  
136 4% 14%  
137 1.0% 10%  
138 2% 9%  
139 2% 7%  
140 0.5% 5%  
141 1.1% 5%  
142 1.1% 4%  
143 0.3% 3%  
144 0.6% 2%  
145 0.6% 2%  
146 0.2% 1.0%  
147 0.2% 0.8%  
148 0.2% 0.6%  
149 0.1% 0.4%  
150 0.1% 0.4%  
151 0.1% 0.3%  
152 0.1% 0.2%  
153 0% 0.1% Last Result
154 0% 0.1%  
155 0% 0.1%  
156 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0% 100%  
78 0.1% 99.9%  
79 0.1% 99.9%  
80 0.2% 99.8% Last Result
81 0.3% 99.6%  
82 0.5% 99.3%  
83 0.6% 98.8%  
84 0.7% 98%  
85 1.2% 98%  
86 2% 96%  
87 2% 94%  
88 2% 92%  
89 3% 90%  
90 3% 87%  
91 3% 84%  
92 5% 81%  
93 6% 76%  
94 4% 71%  
95 5% 66%  
96 6% 61%  
97 7% 55% Median
98 7% 48%  
99 5% 40%  
100 4% 35%  
101 6% 31%  
102 4% 25%  
103 4% 21%  
104 3% 17%  
105 2% 14%  
106 2% 11%  
107 2% 9%  
108 1.4% 7%  
109 1.4% 6%  
110 1.4% 5%  
111 0.6% 3%  
112 0.6% 3%  
113 0.5% 2%  
114 0.6% 1.4%  
115 0.2% 0.8%  
116 0.2% 0.5%  
117 0.1% 0.4%  
118 0.1% 0.3%  
119 0.1% 0.2%  
120 0% 0.1%  
121 0% 0.1%  
122 0% 0%  

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0% 100%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0.1% 99.9%  
73 0.1% 99.8%  
74 0.3% 99.6%  
75 0.4% 99.3%  
76 0.5% 99.0%  
77 0.9% 98%  
78 1.2% 98%  
79 1.4% 96%  
80 2% 95%  
81 3% 93%  
82 3% 90%  
83 3% 87%  
84 4% 84%  
85 5% 80%  
86 6% 75%  
87 5% 69%  
88 5% 64%  
89 6% 58%  
90 7% 52% Median
91 6% 45%  
92 5% 39%  
93 5% 34%  
94 6% 29% Last Result
95 4% 23%  
96 4% 19%  
97 3% 16%  
98 3% 13%  
99 2% 10%  
100 1.5% 8%  
101 2% 6%  
102 1.1% 5%  
103 0.9% 4%  
104 0.8% 3%  
105 0.7% 2%  
106 0.4% 1.4%  
107 0.3% 1.0%  
108 0.2% 0.7%  
109 0.2% 0.4%  
110 0.1% 0.3%  
111 0.1% 0.2%  
112 0.1% 0.1%  
113 0% 0.1%  
114 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 5% 100%  
1 0% 95%  
2 0% 95%  
3 0% 95%  
4 0% 95%  
5 0% 95%  
6 0% 95%  
7 0% 95%  
8 0% 95%  
9 0% 95%  
10 0% 95%  
11 0% 95%  
12 0% 95%  
13 0% 95%  
14 0% 95%  
15 0% 95%  
16 0% 95%  
17 0% 95%  
18 0% 95%  
19 0% 95%  
20 0% 95%  
21 0% 95%  
22 0% 95%  
23 0% 95%  
24 0% 95%  
25 0% 95%  
26 0% 95%  
27 0% 95%  
28 0% 95%  
29 0% 95%  
30 0% 95%  
31 0% 95%  
32 0% 95%  
33 0% 95%  
34 0% 95%  
35 0% 95%  
36 0% 95%  
37 0.2% 95%  
38 2% 95%  
39 5% 92%  
40 7% 88%  
41 5% 81%  
42 8% 75%  
43 8% 67%  
44 9% 59%  
45 7% 51% Median
46 8% 43%  
47 8% 36%  
48 7% 27%  
49 5% 20%  
50 4% 15%  
51 3% 11%  
52 3% 8%  
53 1.4% 5%  
54 1.5% 4%  
55 0.9% 3%  
56 0.7% 2%  
57 0.4% 1.0%  
58 0.2% 0.6%  
59 0.2% 0.4%  
60 0.1% 0.2%  
61 0.1% 0.1%  
62 0% 0.1%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.1% 100%  
23 0.2% 99.9%  
24 0.5% 99.7%  
25 0.7% 99.3%  
26 2% 98.6%  
27 1.0% 96%  
28 5% 95%  
29 2% 90%  
30 12% 88%  
31 4% 76%  
32 11% 72%  
33 5% 61%  
34 16% 56% Median
35 7% 40%  
36 8% 33%  
37 5% 25%  
38 6% 20%  
39 6% 14%  
40 2% 8%  
41 2% 6%  
42 1.0% 4%  
43 2% 3%  
44 0.3% 1.3%  
45 0.5% 0.9%  
46 0.1% 0.5% Last Result
47 0.2% 0.3%  
48 0.1% 0.1%  
49 0% 0.1%  
50 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 478 100% 465–491 462–499 460–508 454–520
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 448 100% 436–462 432–468 429–477 424–488
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 403 100% 391–418 387–424 384–430 378–442
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 396 100% 383–410 379–416 376–423 371–436
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 367 88% 353–381 350–387 347–392 342–403
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 352 38% 338–365 335–370 331–375 325–385
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 342 12% 328–356 322–359 317–362 306–367
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 306 0% 293–320 290–325 287–329 282–340
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 298 0% 286–313 282–317 279–321 273–332
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 277 0% 264–291 261–294 258–299 252–307
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 269 0% 257–282 253–287 251–292 245–301
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 224 0% 212–236 209–240 207–245 201–252
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 171 0% 159–182 150–185 136–188 126–193

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
446 0% 100%  
447 0% 99.9%  
448 0% 99.9%  
449 0% 99.9%  
450 0% 99.9%  
451 0.1% 99.8%  
452 0.1% 99.8%  
453 0.1% 99.7%  
454 0.3% 99.5%  
455 0.2% 99.3%  
456 0.4% 99.1%  
457 0.4% 98.7%  
458 0.3% 98%  
459 0.5% 98%  
460 0.8% 98%  
461 0.7% 97%  
462 2% 96%  
463 1.4% 94%  
464 2% 93%  
465 2% 91%  
466 1.3% 89% Last Result
467 3% 88%  
468 2% 86%  
469 2% 84%  
470 3% 81%  
471 4% 78%  
472 4% 75%  
473 4% 71%  
474 2% 67%  
475 6% 64%  
476 2% 59%  
477 3% 56%  
478 4% 53%  
479 5% 49% Median
480 4% 45%  
481 4% 41%  
482 5% 36%  
483 5% 32%  
484 3% 27%  
485 3% 25%  
486 3% 22%  
487 2% 19%  
488 2% 17%  
489 2% 15%  
490 2% 13%  
491 2% 11%  
492 1.2% 10%  
493 0.8% 8%  
494 0.9% 8%  
495 0.6% 7%  
496 0.3% 6%  
497 0.3% 6%  
498 0.2% 5%  
499 0.5% 5%  
500 0.3% 5%  
501 0.1% 4%  
502 0.2% 4%  
503 0.5% 4%  
504 0.1% 4%  
505 0% 3%  
506 0% 3%  
507 0.6% 3%  
508 0.5% 3%  
509 0% 2%  
510 0.1% 2%  
511 0.3% 2%  
512 0.2% 2%  
513 0% 2%  
514 0% 2%  
515 0.4% 2%  
516 0.4% 1.1%  
517 0% 0.7%  
518 0% 0.7%  
519 0.1% 0.7%  
520 0.1% 0.6%  
521 0.1% 0.5%  
522 0% 0.4%  
523 0.1% 0.4%  
524 0.1% 0.3%  
525 0% 0.2%  
526 0% 0.1%  
527 0% 0.1%  
528 0.1% 0.1%  
529 0% 0.1%  
530 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 99.9%  
418 0% 99.9%  
419 0% 99.9%  
420 0.1% 99.8%  
421 0.1% 99.8%  
422 0.1% 99.7%  
423 0.1% 99.6%  
424 0.2% 99.5%  
425 0.2% 99.3%  
426 0.4% 99.1%  
427 0.4% 98.7%  
428 0.3% 98%  
429 0.9% 98%  
430 0.8% 97%  
431 0.7% 96%  
432 1.3% 96%  
433 0.6% 94%  
434 2% 94%  
435 1.1% 92%  
436 2% 91%  
437 2% 89%  
438 2% 87%  
439 3% 85%  
440 2% 82%  
441 4% 80%  
442 3% 76%  
443 3% 73%  
444 4% 70%  
445 3% 65%  
446 6% 62%  
447 3% 56%  
448 5% 53%  
449 5% 48% Median
450 2% 43%  
451 4% 40%  
452 3% 36%  
453 4% 33%  
454 2% 29%  
455 3% 27%  
456 2% 24%  
457 2% 21%  
458 3% 19%  
459 1.5% 16%  
460 3% 15%  
461 2% 12%  
462 1.0% 10%  
463 1.0% 9%  
464 0.8% 8%  
465 1.0% 7%  
466 0.4% 6%  
467 0.6% 6%  
468 0.5% 5%  
469 0.3% 5%  
470 0.3% 5%  
471 0.2% 4%  
472 0.3% 4%  
473 0.3% 4%  
474 0.5% 3%  
475 0.2% 3%  
476 0.2% 3%  
477 0.2% 3%  
478 0.1% 2%  
479 0.2% 2%  
480 0.1% 2%  
481 0.1% 2%  
482 0.2% 2%  
483 0.1% 2%  
484 0.1% 1.4%  
485 0.1% 1.3%  
486 0.3% 1.2%  
487 0.1% 0.9%  
488 0.3% 0.8%  
489 0.1% 0.5%  
490 0.1% 0.4%  
491 0.1% 0.4%  
492 0% 0.3%  
493 0% 0.3%  
494 0% 0.2%  
495 0% 0.2%  
496 0% 0.2%  
497 0% 0.1%  
498 0% 0.1%  
499 0% 0.1%  
500 0% 0.1%  
501 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 99.9%  
373 0% 99.9%  
374 0.1% 99.9%  
375 0% 99.8%  
376 0.1% 99.8%  
377 0.1% 99.7%  
378 0.1% 99.6%  
379 0.2% 99.5%  
380 0.2% 99.3%  
381 0.3% 99.0%  
382 0.3% 98.7%  
383 0.8% 98%  
384 0.6% 98%  
385 0.7% 97%  
386 0.9% 96%  
387 0.8% 96%  
388 1.0% 95%  
389 2% 94%  
390 1.1% 92%  
391 2% 91%  
392 3% 89%  
393 2% 86%  
394 3% 84%  
395 2% 81%  
396 2% 79%  
397 5% 77%  
398 4% 72%  
399 3% 68%  
400 4% 66%  
401 4% 62%  
402 3% 58%  
403 5% 55%  
404 3% 50% Median
405 4% 47%  
406 6% 43%  
407 4% 38%  
408 3% 34%  
409 3% 31%  
410 3% 28%  
411 5% 26%  
412 2% 21%  
413 2% 19%  
414 2% 17%  
415 2% 15%  
416 1.4% 14%  
417 2% 12%  
418 1.0% 10%  
419 1.3% 9%  
420 0.9% 8%  
421 0.6% 7%  
422 0.7% 7%  
423 0.7% 6%  
424 0.6% 5%  
425 0.3% 5%  
426 0.4% 4%  
427 0.3% 4%  
428 0.3% 4%  
429 0.4% 3%  
430 0.6% 3%  
431 0.1% 2%  
432 0.2% 2%  
433 0.2% 2%  
434 0.1% 2%  
435 0.3% 2%  
436 0.1% 1.3%  
437 0.1% 1.2%  
438 0.1% 1.0%  
439 0.1% 0.9%  
440 0.2% 0.8%  
441 0.1% 0.6%  
442 0.1% 0.6%  
443 0.1% 0.5%  
444 0.1% 0.4%  
445 0% 0.3%  
446 0% 0.3%  
447 0% 0.3%  
448 0.1% 0.2%  
449 0% 0.1%  
450 0% 0.1%  
451 0% 0.1%  
452 0% 0.1%  
453 0% 0.1%  
454 0% 0.1%  
455 0% 0%  
456 0% 0%  
457 0% 0%  
458 0% 0%  
459 0% 0%  
460 0% 0%  
461 0% 0%  
462 0% 0%  
463 0% 0%  
464 0% 0%  
465 0% 0%  
466 0% 0%  
467 0% 0%  
468 0% 0%  
469 0% 0%  
470 0% 0%  
471 0% 0%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
300 0% 100% Last Result
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 99.9%  
365 0% 99.9%  
366 0% 99.9%  
367 0% 99.8%  
368 0.1% 99.8%  
369 0.1% 99.7%  
370 0.1% 99.7%  
371 0.2% 99.6%  
372 0.4% 99.4%  
373 0.6% 99.0%  
374 0.5% 98%  
375 0.3% 98%  
376 0.3% 98%  
377 0.7% 97%  
378 0.9% 97%  
379 0.8% 96%  
380 1.0% 95%  
381 1.3% 94%  
382 2% 93%  
383 2% 91%  
384 0.9% 89%  
385 1.3% 88%  
386 2% 87%  
387 4% 85%  
388 8% 81%  
389 2% 72%  
390 3% 70%  
391 2% 67%  
392 3% 65%  
393 3% 62%  
394 3% 59%  
395 4% 55%  
396 6% 51% Median
397 4% 45%  
398 4% 40%  
399 1.4% 36%  
400 1.4% 35%  
401 3% 34%  
402 5% 31%  
403 6% 26%  
404 2% 20%  
405 2% 18%  
406 1.2% 16%  
407 2% 15%  
408 0.9% 13%  
409 2% 13%  
410 1.0% 11%  
411 2% 10%  
412 1.1% 8%  
413 1.0% 7%  
414 0.3% 6%  
415 0.7% 6%  
416 0.7% 5%  
417 0.5% 4%  
418 0.3% 4%  
419 0.4% 4%  
420 0.2% 3%  
421 0.2% 3%  
422 0.2% 3%  
423 0.3% 3%  
424 0.6% 2%  
425 0.2% 2%  
426 0.1% 2%  
427 0.1% 2%  
428 0.1% 1.4%  
429 0.2% 1.4%  
430 0.1% 1.2%  
431 0.2% 1.1%  
432 0.2% 0.9%  
433 0.1% 0.8%  
434 0% 0.7%  
435 0.2% 0.7%  
436 0% 0.5%  
437 0.1% 0.5%  
438 0.1% 0.4%  
439 0.1% 0.4%  
440 0.2% 0.3%  
441 0% 0.1%  
442 0% 0.1%  
443 0% 0.1%  
444 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 99.9%  
336 0% 99.9%  
337 0.1% 99.9%  
338 0.1% 99.8%  
339 0.1% 99.8%  
340 0.1% 99.7%  
341 0.1% 99.6%  
342 0.3% 99.5%  
343 0.2% 99.2%  
344 0.3% 99.0%  
345 0.3% 98.7%  
346 0.6% 98%  
347 0.7% 98%  
348 0.6% 97%  
349 0.8% 97%  
350 1.3% 96%  
351 2% 94%  
352 1.2% 93%  
353 2% 92%  
354 1.5% 90%  
355 3% 88% Majority
356 1.4% 85%  
357 3% 84%  
358 3% 82%  
359 2% 79%  
360 3% 76%  
361 3% 74%  
362 5% 70%  
363 3% 65%  
364 4% 62%  
365 4% 59%  
366 5% 55%  
367 5% 50% Median
368 3% 46%  
369 3% 43%  
370 4% 39%  
371 5% 35%  
372 3% 30%  
373 3% 27%  
374 2% 24%  
375 3% 22%  
376 3% 19%  
377 2% 17%  
378 1.2% 15%  
379 1.4% 13%  
380 2% 12%  
381 1.0% 10%  
382 1.2% 9%  
383 0.9% 8%  
384 1.0% 7%  
385 0.7% 6%  
386 0.6% 6%  
387 0.6% 5%  
388 0.7% 5%  
389 0.3% 4%  
390 0.4% 4%  
391 0.2% 3%  
392 0.5% 3%  
393 0.2% 2%  
394 0.3% 2%  
395 0.4% 2%  
396 0.1% 2%  
397 0.2% 1.5%  
398 0.1% 1.3%  
399 0.3% 1.2%  
400 0.1% 0.9%  
401 0.1% 0.8%  
402 0.2% 0.7%  
403 0.1% 0.6%  
404 0.1% 0.5%  
405 0% 0.4%  
406 0.1% 0.4%  
407 0.1% 0.3%  
408 0% 0.2%  
409 0% 0.2%  
410 0% 0.2%  
411 0% 0.1%  
412 0% 0.1%  
413 0% 0.1%  
414 0% 0.1%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 99.9%  
321 0% 99.9%  
322 0.1% 99.9%  
323 0.1% 99.8%  
324 0.1% 99.7%  
325 0.1% 99.6%  
326 0.1% 99.5%  
327 0.2% 99.4%  
328 0.4% 99.2%  
329 0.2% 98.7%  
330 0.7% 98.5%  
331 0.4% 98%  
332 0.5% 97%  
333 0.9% 97%  
334 0.8% 96%  
335 1.0% 95%  
336 1.3% 94%  
337 2% 93%  
338 1.5% 91%  
339 2% 89%  
340 2% 87%  
341 2% 85%  
342 2% 83%  
343 3% 81%  
344 3% 78%  
345 4% 75%  
346 2% 71%  
347 4% 69%  
348 4% 64%  
349 3% 61%  
350 4% 57%  
351 3% 53%  
352 4% 50% Median
353 4% 47%  
354 4% 42%  
355 4% 38% Majority
356 4% 34%  
357 3% 31%  
358 3% 28%  
359 3% 25%  
360 2% 21%  
361 3% 19%  
362 2% 16%  
363 2% 14%  
364 2% 12%  
365 1.5% 10%  
366 0.5% 9%  
367 2% 8%  
368 0.6% 7%  
369 0.9% 6%  
370 0.8% 5%  
371 0.6% 4%  
372 0.6% 4%  
373 0.4% 3%  
374 0.3% 3%  
375 0.3% 3%  
376 0.2% 2%  
377 0.2% 2%  
378 0.3% 2%  
379 0.1% 2%  
380 0.1% 2%  
381 0.2% 1.4%  
382 0.2% 1.2%  
383 0.3% 1.0%  
384 0.1% 0.6%  
385 0.1% 0.6%  
386 0.1% 0.5%  
387 0.1% 0.4%  
388 0.1% 0.3%  
389 0% 0.3%  
390 0% 0.2%  
391 0% 0.2%  
392 0% 0.2%  
393 0% 0.1%  
394 0% 0.1%  
395 0% 0.1%  
396 0% 0.1%  
397 0% 0.1%  
398 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 99.9%  
297 0% 99.9%  
298 0% 99.9%  
299 0% 99.9%  
300 0% 99.8%  
301 0% 99.8%  
302 0.1% 99.8%  
303 0.1% 99.7%  
304 0% 99.6%  
305 0.1% 99.6%  
306 0.1% 99.5%  
307 0.2% 99.4%  
308 0.1% 99.3%  
309 0.1% 99.2%  
310 0.3% 99.1%  
311 0.1% 98.8%  
312 0.2% 98.7%  
313 0.1% 98.5%  
314 0.4% 98%  
315 0.3% 98%  
316 0.2% 98%  
317 0.5% 98%  
318 0.2% 97%  
319 0.4% 97%  
320 0.3% 96%  
321 0.7% 96%  
322 0.6% 95%  
323 0.6% 95%  
324 0.7% 94%  
325 1.0% 94%  
326 0.9% 93%  
327 1.2% 92%  
328 1.0% 91%  
329 2% 90%  
330 1.4% 88%  
331 1.2% 87%  
332 2% 85%  
333 3% 83%  
334 3% 81%  
335 2% 78%  
336 3% 76%  
337 3% 73%  
338 5% 70%  
339 4% 65%  
340 3% 61%  
341 3% 57%  
342 5% 54%  
343 5% 50%  
344 4% 45% Median
345 4% 41%  
346 3% 38%  
347 5% 35%  
348 3% 30%  
349 3% 26%  
350 2% 24%  
351 3% 21%  
352 3% 18%  
353 1.4% 16%  
354 3% 15%  
355 1.5% 12% Majority
356 2% 10%  
357 1.2% 8%  
358 2% 7%  
359 1.3% 6%  
360 0.8% 4%  
361 0.6% 3%  
362 0.7% 3%  
363 0.6% 2%  
364 0.3% 2%  
365 0.3% 1.3%  
366 0.2% 1.0%  
367 0.3% 0.8%  
368 0.1% 0.5%  
369 0.1% 0.4%  
370 0.1% 0.3%  
371 0.1% 0.2%  
372 0.1% 0.2%  
373 0% 0.1%  
374 0% 0.1%  
375 0% 0.1%  
376 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 99.9%  
277 0% 99.9%  
278 0.1% 99.9%  
279 0.1% 99.8%  
280 0.1% 99.7%  
281 0.1% 99.6%  
282 0.2% 99.5%  
283 0.2% 99.3%  
284 0.3% 99.1%  
285 0.4% 98.8%  
286 0.5% 98%  
287 0.5% 98%  
288 0.7% 97%  
289 1.0% 97%  
290 1.1% 96%  
291 1.1% 95%  
292 2% 94%  
293 2% 92%  
294 1.1% 90%  
295 3% 89%  
296 2% 86%  
297 3% 84%  
298 2% 82%  
299 4% 80%  
300 3% 76%  
301 3% 73%  
302 4% 70%  
303 4% 66%  
304 4% 62%  
305 4% 59%  
306 5% 54%  
307 3% 49% Median
308 6% 47%  
309 3% 41%  
310 4% 38%  
311 3% 34%  
312 2% 31%  
313 3% 29%  
314 4% 25%  
315 2% 21%  
316 3% 19%  
317 2% 16%  
318 2% 14%  
319 3% 13%  
320 1.2% 10%  
321 0.9% 9%  
322 2% 8%  
323 0.7% 7%  
324 0.7% 6%  
325 0.7% 5%  
326 0.6% 5%  
327 0.4% 4%  
328 0.7% 4%  
329 0.5% 3%  
330 0.4% 2%  
331 0.3% 2%  
332 0.3% 2%  
333 0.2% 1.5%  
334 0.1% 1.3%  
335 0.1% 1.1%  
336 0.2% 1.1%  
337 0.2% 0.9%  
338 0.1% 0.7%  
339 0% 0.6%  
340 0.1% 0.6%  
341 0.2% 0.5%  
342 0% 0.3%  
343 0.1% 0.3%  
344 0% 0.2%  
345 0% 0.2%  
346 0% 0.1%  
347 0% 0.1%  
348 0% 0.1%  
349 0% 0.1%  
350 0% 0.1%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0% Majority
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 99.9%  
269 0% 99.9%  
270 0.1% 99.9%  
271 0.1% 99.8%  
272 0.1% 99.7%  
273 0.2% 99.7%  
274 0.2% 99.5%  
275 0.3% 99.3%  
276 0.3% 99.0%  
277 0.3% 98.7%  
278 0.6% 98%  
279 0.8% 98%  
280 0.6% 97%  
281 0.8% 96%  
282 1.0% 96%  
283 1.0% 95%  
284 1.2% 94%  
285 2% 92%  
286 2% 91%  
287 2% 89%  
288 2% 87%  
289 2% 85%  
290 3% 83%  
291 3% 79%  
292 4% 76%  
293 3% 72%  
294 2% 69%  
295 5% 67%  
296 4% 62%  
297 4% 58%  
298 5% 54%  
299 4% 50% Median
300 4% 45%  
301 4% 42%  
302 4% 38%  
303 3% 33%  
304 2% 30%  
305 2% 27%  
306 4% 26%  
307 3% 22%  
308 2% 19%  
309 2% 17%  
310 2% 15%  
311 1.4% 13%  
312 1.3% 11%  
313 1.2% 10%  
314 2% 9%  
315 1.1% 7%  
316 1.1% 6%  
317 0.9% 5%  
318 0.6% 4%  
319 0.5% 4%  
320 0.4% 3%  
321 0.5% 3%  
322 0.3% 2%  
323 0.3% 2%  
324 0.1% 2%  
325 0.2% 2%  
326 0.2% 1.3%  
327 0.1% 1.1%  
328 0.2% 1.0%  
329 0.1% 0.8%  
330 0.1% 0.7%  
331 0.1% 0.6%  
332 0% 0.5%  
333 0.1% 0.5%  
334 0% 0.4%  
335 0.1% 0.4%  
336 0% 0.2%  
337 0.1% 0.2%  
338 0% 0.1%  
339 0% 0.1%  
340 0% 0.1%  
341 0% 0.1%  
342 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 99.9%  
248 0% 99.9%  
249 0.1% 99.9%  
250 0.1% 99.8%  
251 0.2% 99.7%  
252 0.2% 99.5%  
253 0.2% 99.4%  
254 0.2% 99.2%  
255 0.2% 98.9%  
256 0.4% 98.7%  
257 0.5% 98%  
258 0.6% 98%  
259 0.8% 97%  
260 0.4% 96%  
261 1.4% 96%  
262 1.3% 95%  
263 2% 93%  
264 3% 92%  
265 3% 89%  
266 4% 87%  
267 2% 83%  
268 2% 81%  
269 2% 79%  
270 2% 77%  
271 3% 75%  
272 2% 72%  
273 5% 70%  
274 3% 65%  
275 4% 61%  
276 4% 57%  
277 6% 54% Median
278 5% 48%  
279 5% 42%  
280 4% 37%  
281 5% 34%  
282 2% 29%  
283 2% 27%  
284 2% 24%  
285 3% 22%  
286 2% 19%  
287 2% 17%  
288 2% 16%  
289 1.2% 14%  
290 2% 13%  
291 2% 10%  
292 1.3% 9%  
293 1.3% 7%  
294 1.2% 6%  
295 0.8% 5%  
296 0.3% 4%  
297 0.8% 4%  
298 0.3% 3%  
299 0.5% 3%  
300 0.3% 2%  
301 0.2% 2%  
302 0.2% 2%  
303 0.3% 1.3%  
304 0.2% 1.1%  
305 0.3% 0.9%  
306 0.1% 0.6%  
307 0% 0.5%  
308 0.2% 0.5%  
309 0% 0.3%  
310 0% 0.3%  
311 0% 0.3%  
312 0% 0.2%  
313 0% 0.2%  
314 0% 0.1%  
315 0% 0.1%  
316 0% 0.1%  
317 0% 0.1%  
318 0% 0.1%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 99.9%  
241 0% 99.9%  
242 0% 99.9%  
243 0.1% 99.8%  
244 0.1% 99.7%  
245 0.2% 99.6%  
246 0.2% 99.5%  
247 0.3% 99.3%  
248 0.4% 99.0%  
249 0.4% 98.6%  
250 0.7% 98%  
251 0.8% 98%  
252 0.8% 97%  
253 1.1% 96%  
254 1.1% 95%  
255 1.3% 94%  
256 1.4% 92%  
257 2% 91%  
258 2% 89%  
259 2% 87%  
260 2% 85%  
261 2% 83%  
262 4% 80%  
263 3% 76%  
264 3% 73%  
265 3% 70%  
266 6% 67%  
267 4% 61%  
268 3% 58%  
269 5% 55%  
270 4% 50% Median
271 3% 46%  
272 4% 43%  
273 5% 39%  
274 4% 34%  
275 4% 31%  
276 3% 27%  
277 4% 24%  
278 3% 20%  
279 1.4% 17%  
280 2% 16%  
281 2% 14%  
282 2% 11%  
283 1.0% 10%  
284 1.3% 9%  
285 1.3% 8%  
286 0.9% 6%  
287 0.6% 5%  
288 0.7% 5%  
289 0.6% 4%  
290 0.5% 4%  
291 0.4% 3%  
292 0.3% 3%  
293 0.5% 2%  
294 0.5% 2%  
295 0.1% 1.3%  
296 0.2% 1.1%  
297 0.1% 0.9%  
298 0.1% 0.8%  
299 0.1% 0.7%  
300 0.1% 0.6%  
301 0.1% 0.5%  
302 0.1% 0.4%  
303 0% 0.3%  
304 0% 0.2%  
305 0% 0.2%  
306 0% 0.2%  
307 0% 0.1%  
308 0% 0.1%  
309 0% 0.1%  
310 0% 0.1%  
311 0% 0.1%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0%  
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
195 0% 100%  
196 0% 99.9%  
197 0% 99.9%  
198 0% 99.9%  
199 0.1% 99.8%  
200 0.1% 99.7%  
201 0.1% 99.6%  
202 0.2% 99.5%  
203 0.3% 99.3%  
204 0.5% 99.0%  
205 0.5% 98.5%  
206 0.5% 98%  
207 0.6% 98%  
208 1.2% 97%  
209 1.0% 96%  
210 1.1% 95%  
211 2% 94%  
212 2% 92%  
213 2% 90%  
214 3% 88%  
215 3% 85%  
216 3% 82%  
217 2% 79%  
218 4% 77%  
219 3% 72%  
220 4% 69%  
221 4% 65%  
222 3% 61%  
223 6% 58%  
224 5% 52% Median
225 3% 47%  
226 3% 44%  
227 5% 41%  
228 4% 36%  
229 4% 32%  
230 3% 29%  
231 4% 25%  
232 3% 21%  
233 2% 19% Last Result
234 2% 16%  
235 2% 14%  
236 2% 12%  
237 1.5% 10%  
238 1.2% 8%  
239 2% 7%  
240 0.8% 6%  
241 0.6% 5%  
242 0.6% 4%  
243 0.5% 4%  
244 0.5% 3%  
245 0.3% 3%  
246 0.3% 2%  
247 0.4% 2%  
248 0.3% 2%  
249 0.2% 1.3%  
250 0.2% 1.1%  
251 0.2% 0.8%  
252 0.2% 0.6%  
253 0.1% 0.5%  
254 0.1% 0.3%  
255 0.1% 0.2%  
256 0% 0.1%  
257 0% 0.1%  
258 0% 0.1%  
259 0% 0.1%  
260 0% 0.1%  
261 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 99.9%  
119 0% 99.9%  
120 0% 99.9%  
121 0% 99.9%  
122 0% 99.8%  
123 0.1% 99.8%  
124 0.1% 99.7%  
125 0% 99.6%  
126 0.2% 99.6%  
127 0.1% 99.3%  
128 0.1% 99.2%  
129 0.2% 99.2%  
130 0.3% 98.9%  
131 0.1% 98.6%  
132 0.3% 98.5%  
133 0.3% 98%  
134 0.1% 98%  
135 0.3% 98%  
136 0.4% 98%  
137 0.1% 97%  
138 0.2% 97%  
139 0.3% 97%  
140 0.2% 97%  
141 0.2% 96%  
142 0.1% 96%  
143 0.1% 96%  
144 0.1% 96%  
145 0.3% 96%  
146 0.1% 95%  
147 0.1% 95%  
148 0.1% 95%  
149 0.1% 95%  
150 0.2% 95%  
151 0.1% 95%  
152 0.4% 95%  
153 0.3% 94%  
154 0.4% 94%  
155 0.4% 94%  
156 0.5% 93%  
157 0.9% 93%  
158 1.4% 92%  
159 1.3% 90%  
160 2% 89%  
161 2% 87%  
162 2% 85%  
163 4% 84%  
164 3% 80%  
165 3% 77%  
166 4% 74%  
167 3% 70%  
168 4% 67%  
169 5% 63%  
170 4% 58%  
171 5% 54%  
172 6% 49% Median
173 4% 43%  
174 4% 39%  
175 5% 35%  
176 3% 30%  
177 4% 27%  
178 3% 23%  
179 3% 20%  
180 4% 17%  
181 2% 13%  
182 2% 11%  
183 2% 9%  
184 1.4% 7%  
185 1.2% 6%  
186 1.0% 5%  
187 0.5% 4%  
188 1.1% 3%  
189 0.6% 2%  
190 0.3% 2%  
191 0.4% 1.3%  
192 0.2% 0.9%  
193 0.2% 0.7%  
194 0.1% 0.5%  
195 0.1% 0.4%  
196 0.1% 0.3%  
197 0.1% 0.2%  
198 0% 0.1%  
199 0% 0.1%  
200 0% 0.1%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations