Opinion Poll by INSA and YouGov, 28–31 May 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 21.5% 20.4–22.7% 20.1–23.1% 19.8–23.4% 19.3–23.9%
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 19.5% 18.4–20.7% 18.1–21.0% 17.8–21.3% 17.3–21.9%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 15.5% 14.5–16.6% 14.2–16.9% 14.0–17.1% 13.5–17.7%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 13.5% 12.5–14.5% 12.3–14.8% 12.1–15.0% 11.6–15.5%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 11.0% 10.1–11.9% 9.9–12.2% 9.7–12.4% 9.3–12.9%
Die Linke 9.2% 6.5% 5.9–7.3% 5.7–7.5% 5.5–7.7% 5.2–8.1%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 6.0% 5.3–6.7% 5.2–6.9% 5.0–7.1% 4.7–7.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 163 154–172 152–174 150–176 146–181
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 148 140–156 137–158 135–161 131–165
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 117 110–125 108–127 106–129 102–133
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 102 95–109 93–112 91–114 88–117
Alternative für Deutschland 94 83 77–90 75–92 73–94 70–97
Die Linke 69 50 45–55 43–57 42–58 40–61
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 45 41–51 39–52 38–54 36–56

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 99.9%  
143 0.1% 99.9%  
144 0.1% 99.8%  
145 0.1% 99.7%  
146 0.3% 99.6%  
147 0.4% 99.3%  
148 0.5% 98.9%  
149 0.7% 98%  
150 0.7% 98%  
151 1.3% 97%  
152 2% 96%  
153 2% 94%  
154 2% 92%  
155 2% 90%  
156 3% 87%  
157 5% 84%  
158 4% 79%  
159 7% 75%  
160 4% 69%  
161 5% 64%  
162 5% 60%  
163 7% 54% Median
164 6% 47%  
165 7% 41%  
166 3% 34%  
167 5% 31%  
168 5% 25%  
169 4% 20%  
170 3% 16%  
171 3% 13%  
172 2% 10%  
173 2% 8%  
174 1.5% 6%  
175 1.4% 5%  
176 0.9% 3%  
177 0.9% 2%  
178 0.3% 2%  
179 0.5% 1.3%  
180 0.2% 0.8%  
181 0.2% 0.6%  
182 0.1% 0.4%  
183 0.1% 0.3%  
184 0.1% 0.2%  
185 0% 0.1%  
186 0% 0.1%  
187 0% 0.1%  
188 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
127 0% 100%  
128 0.1% 99.9%  
129 0.1% 99.9%  
130 0.2% 99.8%  
131 0.2% 99.6%  
132 0.3% 99.4%  
133 0.4% 99.1%  
134 0.7% 98.7%  
135 0.8% 98%  
136 1.3% 97%  
137 1.4% 96%  
138 2% 94%  
139 2% 93%  
140 3% 91%  
141 4% 88%  
142 4% 84%  
143 6% 79%  
144 6% 73%  
145 6% 67%  
146 6% 62%  
147 5% 56%  
148 5% 50% Median
149 6% 46%  
150 4% 40%  
151 6% 36%  
152 4% 29%  
153 6% 26%  
154 4% 20%  
155 4% 16%  
156 3% 12%  
157 2% 9%  
158 2% 7%  
159 1.4% 5%  
160 0.8% 4%  
161 0.8% 3%  
162 0.5% 2%  
163 0.5% 1.5%  
164 0.3% 1.0%  
165 0.2% 0.7%  
166 0.2% 0.5%  
167 0.1% 0.3%  
168 0.1% 0.2%  
169 0.1% 0.1%  
170 0% 0.1%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0%  
175 0% 0%  
176 0% 0%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 99.9%  
100 0.1% 99.9%  
101 0.1% 99.8%  
102 0.3% 99.7%  
103 0.2% 99.4%  
104 0.6% 99.2%  
105 0.7% 98.7%  
106 1.4% 98%  
107 0.6% 97%  
108 2% 96%  
109 3% 94%  
110 4% 91%  
111 2% 86%  
112 5% 84%  
113 6% 80%  
114 8% 74%  
115 3% 66%  
116 6% 63%  
117 8% 57% Median
118 9% 49%  
119 4% 40%  
120 4% 36%  
121 7% 31%  
122 6% 24%  
123 3% 18%  
124 2% 15%  
125 4% 13%  
126 3% 9%  
127 1.5% 6%  
128 0.8% 5%  
129 2% 4%  
130 0.8% 2%  
131 0.5% 2%  
132 0.2% 1.1%  
133 0.4% 0.9%  
134 0.2% 0.5%  
135 0.1% 0.3%  
136 0% 0.2%  
137 0.1% 0.1%  
138 0% 0.1%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0% 100% Last Result
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0.1% 99.9%  
86 0.1% 99.9%  
87 0.2% 99.8%  
88 0.3% 99.6%  
89 0.4% 99.3%  
90 0.6% 98.9%  
91 0.9% 98%  
92 1.4% 97%  
93 2% 96%  
94 3% 94%  
95 3% 92%  
96 4% 88%  
97 4% 85%  
98 5% 81%  
99 6% 76%  
100 7% 69%  
101 7% 62%  
102 7% 55% Median
103 7% 48%  
104 7% 41%  
105 6% 34%  
106 5% 28%  
107 5% 22%  
108 5% 17%  
109 3% 13%  
110 2% 10%  
111 2% 8%  
112 2% 5%  
113 1.3% 4%  
114 0.8% 3%  
115 0.6% 2%  
116 0.4% 1.2%  
117 0.3% 0.7%  
118 0.2% 0.5%  
119 0.1% 0.3%  
120 0.1% 0.2%  
121 0% 0.1%  
122 0% 0.1%  
123 0% 0%  

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 0.2% 99.7%  
71 0.5% 99.5%  
72 0.6% 99.0%  
73 0.9% 98%  
74 2% 97%  
75 2% 96%  
76 3% 94%  
77 3% 91%  
78 5% 87%  
79 6% 82%  
80 5% 76%  
81 6% 71%  
82 7% 64%  
83 9% 57% Median
84 7% 48%  
85 7% 40%  
86 7% 34%  
87 5% 27%  
88 5% 22%  
89 4% 16%  
90 3% 12%  
91 3% 9%  
92 2% 6%  
93 1.2% 4%  
94 1.0% 3% Last Result
95 0.7% 2%  
96 0.5% 1.2%  
97 0.2% 0.7%  
98 0.2% 0.5%  
99 0.1% 0.3%  
100 0.1% 0.1%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0% 0.1%  
103 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 0% 99.9%  
5 0% 99.9%  
6 0% 99.9%  
7 0% 99.9%  
8 0% 99.9%  
9 0% 99.9%  
10 0% 99.9%  
11 0% 99.9%  
12 0% 99.9%  
13 0% 99.9%  
14 0% 99.9%  
15 0% 99.9%  
16 0% 99.9%  
17 0% 99.9%  
18 0% 99.9%  
19 0% 99.9%  
20 0% 99.9%  
21 0% 99.9%  
22 0% 99.9%  
23 0% 99.9%  
24 0% 99.9%  
25 0% 99.9%  
26 0% 99.9%  
27 0% 99.9%  
28 0% 99.9%  
29 0% 99.9%  
30 0% 99.9%  
31 0% 99.9%  
32 0% 99.9%  
33 0% 99.9%  
34 0% 99.9%  
35 0% 99.9%  
36 0% 99.9%  
37 0% 99.9%  
38 0.1% 99.9%  
39 0.2% 99.8%  
40 0.5% 99.6%  
41 1.2% 99.1%  
42 2% 98%  
43 2% 96%  
44 3% 94%  
45 6% 90%  
46 8% 84%  
47 9% 76%  
48 7% 68%  
49 8% 60%  
50 9% 52% Median
51 12% 43%  
52 9% 30%  
53 5% 22%  
54 4% 17%  
55 5% 12%  
56 3% 8%  
57 2% 5%  
58 1.1% 3%  
59 0.7% 2%  
60 0.6% 1.3%  
61 0.3% 0.7%  
62 0.2% 0.3%  
63 0.1% 0.1%  
64 0% 0.1%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0% 100%  
34 0.1% 99.9%  
35 0.2% 99.9%  
36 0.5% 99.7%  
37 0.7% 99.2%  
38 2% 98%  
39 2% 97%  
40 4% 94%  
41 5% 90%  
42 7% 85%  
43 9% 78%  
44 10% 70%  
45 10% 59% Median
46 10% 49% Last Result
47 10% 40%  
48 7% 30%  
49 7% 23%  
50 5% 16%  
51 4% 11%  
52 3% 7%  
53 2% 4%  
54 1.2% 3%  
55 0.6% 2%  
56 0.5% 0.9%  
57 0.2% 0.5%  
58 0.1% 0.2%  
59 0.1% 0.1%  
60 0% 0.1%  
61 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 474 100% 464–484 461–487 459–489 454–493
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 459 100% 449–468 446–471 443–474 439–479
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 413 100% 403–423 400–426 397–429 392–434
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 383 100% 373–393 369–396 367–398 361–404
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 379 99.9% 369–389 366–392 363–395 358–401
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 356 58% 346–367 343–370 340–372 336–378
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 330 0.1% 320–340 317–343 314–346 308–351
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 311 0% 301–321 298–324 295–327 290–332
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 296 0% 285–306 282–309 280–312 275–317
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 280 0% 270–291 268–294 265–296 260–301
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 277 0% 267–287 264–290 261–292 256–297
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 220 0% 210–229 208–232 205–234 201–239
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 167 0% 158–176 156–178 154–181 149–185

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
449 0% 100%  
450 0.1% 99.9%  
451 0.1% 99.9%  
452 0.1% 99.8%  
453 0.2% 99.7%  
454 0.2% 99.5%  
455 0.3% 99.3%  
456 0.3% 99.0%  
457 0.5% 98.7%  
458 0.4% 98%  
459 0.9% 98%  
460 0.7% 97%  
461 2% 96%  
462 1.1% 95%  
463 2% 93%  
464 3% 92%  
465 2% 89%  
466 3% 87% Last Result
467 4% 83%  
468 5% 79%  
469 3% 74%  
470 5% 72%  
471 5% 66%  
472 4% 61%  
473 7% 57% Median
474 2% 50%  
475 9% 48%  
476 3% 39%  
477 6% 36%  
478 3% 30%  
479 6% 27%  
480 3% 22%  
481 3% 18%  
482 3% 16%  
483 2% 13%  
484 2% 10%  
485 2% 8%  
486 2% 7%  
487 1.2% 5%  
488 1.1% 4%  
489 1.0% 3%  
490 0.5% 2%  
491 0.4% 1.4%  
492 0.3% 1.0%  
493 0.2% 0.7%  
494 0.1% 0.5%  
495 0.1% 0.4%  
496 0% 0.3%  
497 0.1% 0.3%  
498 0% 0.2%  
499 0% 0.2%  
500 0% 0.2%  
501 0% 0.1%  
502 0% 0.1%  
503 0% 0.1%  
504 0% 0.1%  
505 0% 0.1%  
506 0% 0.1%  
507 0% 0.1%  
508 0% 0.1%  
509 0% 0.1%  
510 0% 0.1%  
511 0% 0.1%  
512 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 99.9%  
434 0% 99.9%  
435 0% 99.9%  
436 0.1% 99.8%  
437 0.1% 99.8%  
438 0.1% 99.6%  
439 0.3% 99.5%  
440 0.3% 99.3%  
441 0.3% 98.9%  
442 0.6% 98.6%  
443 0.6% 98%  
444 1.2% 97%  
445 0.9% 96%  
446 1.4% 95%  
447 1.4% 94%  
448 2% 93%  
449 2% 91%  
450 2% 88%  
451 4% 86%  
452 3% 82%  
453 4% 79%  
454 4% 75%  
455 6% 71%  
456 4% 66%  
457 5% 61%  
458 4% 56% Median
459 5% 52%  
460 5% 46%  
461 6% 42%  
462 4% 36%  
463 5% 32%  
464 5% 26%  
465 3% 21%  
466 3% 18%  
467 3% 15%  
468 2% 12%  
469 3% 10%  
470 1.2% 7%  
471 2% 6%  
472 0.9% 4%  
473 1.0% 4%  
474 0.6% 3%  
475 0.4% 2%  
476 0.3% 2%  
477 0.4% 1.2%  
478 0.1% 0.8%  
479 0.3% 0.7%  
480 0.1% 0.4%  
481 0.1% 0.4%  
482 0% 0.2%  
483 0% 0.2%  
484 0% 0.2%  
485 0% 0.2%  
486 0% 0.1%  
487 0% 0.1%  
488 0% 0.1%  
489 0% 0.1%  
490 0% 0.1%  
491 0% 0.1%  
492 0% 0.1%  
493 0% 0.1%  
494 0% 0.1%  
495 0% 0.1%  
496 0% 0.1%  
497 0% 0.1%  
498 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 99.9%  
388 0% 99.9%  
389 0% 99.9%  
390 0.1% 99.8%  
391 0.1% 99.7%  
392 0.2% 99.6%  
393 0.2% 99.5%  
394 0.2% 99.2%  
395 0.4% 99.0%  
396 0.8% 98.6%  
397 0.5% 98%  
398 0.7% 97%  
399 1.1% 97%  
400 1.4% 96%  
401 1.5% 94%  
402 2% 93%  
403 2% 91%  
404 2% 88%  
405 3% 86%  
406 4% 83%  
407 3% 79%  
408 2% 76%  
409 7% 74%  
410 4% 67%  
411 6% 63%  
412 5% 57% Median
413 5% 52%  
414 3% 47%  
415 6% 44%  
416 4% 37%  
417 5% 33%  
418 4% 28%  
419 4% 24%  
420 3% 20%  
421 4% 17%  
422 2% 14%  
423 3% 12%  
424 1.5% 9%  
425 2% 8%  
426 1.1% 6%  
427 1.2% 5%  
428 1.0% 3%  
429 0.6% 3%  
430 0.3% 2%  
431 0.4% 2%  
432 0.4% 1.2%  
433 0.2% 0.8%  
434 0.1% 0.6%  
435 0.1% 0.5%  
436 0.1% 0.3%  
437 0% 0.3%  
438 0.1% 0.2%  
439 0% 0.2%  
440 0% 0.1%  
441 0% 0.1%  
442 0% 0.1%  
443 0% 0.1%  
444 0% 0.1%  
445 0% 0.1%  
446 0% 0.1%  
447 0% 0.1%  
448 0% 0%  
449 0% 0%  
450 0% 0%  
451 0% 0%  
452 0% 0%  
453 0% 0%  
454 0% 0%  
455 0% 0%  
456 0% 0%  
457 0% 0%  
458 0% 0%  
459 0% 0%  
460 0% 0%  
461 0% 0%  
462 0% 0%  
463 0% 0%  
464 0% 0%  
465 0% 0%  
466 0% 0%  
467 0% 0%  
468 0% 0%  
469 0% 0%  
470 0% 0%  
471 0% 0%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
300 0% 100% Last Result
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 99.9%  
358 0% 99.9%  
359 0.1% 99.9%  
360 0.1% 99.8%  
361 0.2% 99.7%  
362 0.2% 99.5%  
363 0.3% 99.3%  
364 0.4% 99.1%  
365 0.5% 98.7%  
366 0.6% 98%  
367 0.8% 98%  
368 0.8% 97%  
369 1.1% 96%  
370 1.1% 95%  
371 2% 94%  
372 2% 92%  
373 2% 90%  
374 3% 88%  
375 3% 85%  
376 3% 82%  
377 4% 79%  
378 3% 75%  
379 5% 71%  
380 4% 66%  
381 5% 62%  
382 4% 57% Median
383 6% 52%  
384 7% 46%  
385 5% 40%  
386 4% 34%  
387 5% 31%  
388 3% 26%  
389 5% 23%  
390 2% 18%  
391 3% 16%  
392 2% 13%  
393 2% 10%  
394 2% 9%  
395 1.2% 7%  
396 1.4% 6%  
397 0.8% 4%  
398 0.9% 3%  
399 0.5% 2%  
400 0.4% 2%  
401 0.4% 2%  
402 0.3% 1.2%  
403 0.2% 0.8%  
404 0.2% 0.6%  
405 0.1% 0.5%  
406 0.1% 0.3%  
407 0.1% 0.3%  
408 0% 0.2%  
409 0% 0.2%  
410 0% 0.1%  
411 0% 0.1%  
412 0% 0.1%  
413 0% 0.1%  
414 0% 0.1%  
415 0% 0.1%  
416 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 99.9%  
354 0% 99.9%  
355 0.1% 99.9% Majority
356 0.1% 99.8%  
357 0.1% 99.7%  
358 0.1% 99.6%  
359 0.2% 99.4%  
360 0.3% 99.2%  
361 0.4% 98.9%  
362 0.3% 98.5%  
363 1.2% 98%  
364 0.8% 97%  
365 1.1% 96%  
366 1.3% 95%  
367 2% 94%  
368 1.2% 92%  
369 2% 91%  
370 3% 88%  
371 4% 86%  
372 3% 82%  
373 3% 79%  
374 6% 76%  
375 3% 70%  
376 4% 67%  
377 5% 63%  
378 5% 58% Median
379 4% 53%  
380 7% 49%  
381 5% 42%  
382 3% 36%  
383 4% 33%  
384 5% 29%  
385 4% 24%  
386 2% 20%  
387 3% 18%  
388 3% 15%  
389 2% 12%  
390 1.4% 10%  
391 2% 8%  
392 2% 6%  
393 0.9% 5%  
394 1.1% 4%  
395 0.6% 3%  
396 0.6% 2%  
397 0.4% 2%  
398 0.3% 1.2%  
399 0.3% 0.9%  
400 0.1% 0.6%  
401 0.2% 0.5%  
402 0.1% 0.4%  
403 0.1% 0.3%  
404 0% 0.2%  
405 0% 0.2%  
406 0% 0.1%  
407 0% 0.1%  
408 0% 0.1%  
409 0% 0.1%  
410 0% 0.1%  
411 0% 0.1%  
412 0% 0.1%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 99.9%  
332 0% 99.9%  
333 0.1% 99.8%  
334 0.1% 99.8%  
335 0.2% 99.7%  
336 0.2% 99.5%  
337 0.3% 99.3%  
338 0.3% 99.0%  
339 0.6% 98.7%  
340 0.6% 98%  
341 0.8% 97%  
342 0.7% 97%  
343 1.4% 96%  
344 2% 95%  
345 2% 93%  
346 1.5% 91%  
347 3% 89%  
348 3% 87%  
349 4% 84%  
350 4% 80%  
351 4% 76%  
352 4% 73%  
353 4% 69%  
354 7% 65%  
355 3% 58% Majority
356 5% 55% Median
357 4% 49%  
358 5% 45%  
359 4% 40%  
360 5% 35%  
361 4% 30%  
362 4% 26%  
363 5% 23%  
364 3% 18%  
365 3% 16%  
366 2% 13%  
367 2% 11%  
368 2% 8%  
369 1.4% 6%  
370 0.8% 5%  
371 1.1% 4%  
372 0.8% 3%  
373 0.7% 2%  
374 0.4% 2%  
375 0.3% 1.3%  
376 0.3% 1.0%  
377 0.2% 0.7%  
378 0.1% 0.5%  
379 0.1% 0.4%  
380 0.1% 0.3%  
381 0.1% 0.2%  
382 0% 0.2%  
383 0% 0.1%  
384 0% 0.1%  
385 0% 0.1%  
386 0% 0.1%  
387 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 99.9%  
299 0% 99.9%  
300 0% 99.9%  
301 0% 99.9%  
302 0% 99.9%  
303 0% 99.9%  
304 0% 99.9%  
305 0% 99.8%  
306 0.1% 99.8%  
307 0.1% 99.7%  
308 0.2% 99.6%  
309 0.1% 99.5%  
310 0.3% 99.4%  
311 0.3% 99.1%  
312 0.4% 98.8%  
313 0.6% 98%  
314 0.6% 98%  
315 1.1% 97%  
316 0.9% 96%  
317 2% 95%  
318 2% 94%  
319 1.4% 92%  
320 2% 90%  
321 3% 88%  
322 3% 85%  
323 2% 82%  
324 4% 80%  
325 5% 76%  
326 4% 71%  
327 3% 67%  
328 5% 64%  
329 7% 58%  
330 4% 51% Median
331 5% 47%  
332 5% 42%  
333 4% 37%  
334 3% 33%  
335 6% 30%  
336 3% 24%  
337 3% 21%  
338 4% 18%  
339 3% 14%  
340 2% 12%  
341 1.2% 9%  
342 2% 8%  
343 1.3% 6%  
344 1.1% 5%  
345 0.8% 4%  
346 1.2% 3%  
347 0.3% 2%  
348 0.4% 1.5%  
349 0.3% 1.1%  
350 0.2% 0.8%  
351 0.1% 0.6%  
352 0.1% 0.4%  
353 0.1% 0.3%  
354 0.1% 0.2%  
355 0% 0.1% Majority
356 0% 0.1%  
357 0% 0.1%  
358 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 99.9%  
286 0.1% 99.9%  
287 0.1% 99.9%  
288 0.1% 99.8%  
289 0.1% 99.7%  
290 0.2% 99.6%  
291 0.2% 99.4%  
292 0.3% 99.2%  
293 0.5% 99.0%  
294 0.6% 98.5%  
295 0.7% 98%  
296 0.6% 97%  
297 0.9% 97%  
298 2% 96%  
299 1.3% 94%  
300 3% 93%  
301 2% 90%  
302 3% 88%  
303 3% 85%  
304 4% 82%  
305 3% 79%  
306 5% 75%  
307 3% 70%  
308 6% 67%  
309 5% 61%  
310 6% 56% Median
311 5% 50%  
312 4% 45%  
313 5% 41%  
314 6% 36%  
315 3% 31%  
316 5% 28%  
317 4% 22%  
318 3% 18%  
319 2% 16%  
320 2% 13%  
321 2% 11%  
322 2% 9%  
323 1.0% 7%  
324 1.2% 6%  
325 1.0% 5%  
326 1.0% 4%  
327 0.6% 3%  
328 0.4% 2%  
329 0.4% 2%  
330 0.3% 1.1%  
331 0.2% 0.8%  
332 0.2% 0.6%  
333 0.1% 0.4%  
334 0.1% 0.3%  
335 0% 0.2%  
336 0.1% 0.2%  
337 0% 0.1%  
338 0% 0.1%  
339 0% 0.1%  
340 0% 0.1%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0% Majority
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
270 0% 100%  
271 0.1% 99.9%  
272 0.1% 99.9%  
273 0.1% 99.8%  
274 0.1% 99.7%  
275 0.2% 99.6%  
276 0.2% 99.4%  
277 0.3% 99.2%  
278 0.3% 98.9%  
279 0.7% 98.5%  
280 0.6% 98%  
281 0.8% 97%  
282 2% 96%  
283 1.2% 95%  
284 1.3% 93%  
285 2% 92%  
286 2% 90%  
287 3% 88%  
288 4% 85%  
289 2% 81%  
290 5% 79%  
291 4% 74%  
292 4% 69%  
293 5% 65%  
294 4% 61%  
295 6% 57% Median
296 5% 51%  
297 5% 45%  
298 5% 41%  
299 5% 36%  
300 3% 30%  
301 4% 27%  
302 3% 23%  
303 3% 20%  
304 3% 17%  
305 3% 14%  
306 2% 11%  
307 2% 9%  
308 1.2% 6%  
309 1.0% 5%  
310 0.9% 4%  
311 0.8% 3%  
312 0.6% 3%  
313 0.4% 2%  
314 0.4% 1.4%  
315 0.3% 1.1%  
316 0.2% 0.8%  
317 0.1% 0.5%  
318 0.1% 0.4%  
319 0.1% 0.3%  
320 0.1% 0.2%  
321 0% 0.1%  
322 0% 0.1%  
323 0% 0.1%  
324 0% 0.1%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 99.9%  
257 0.1% 99.9%  
258 0.1% 99.8%  
259 0.1% 99.8%  
260 0.2% 99.6%  
261 0.2% 99.4%  
262 0.3% 99.2%  
263 0.5% 98.9%  
264 0.5% 98%  
265 0.6% 98%  
266 0.9% 97%  
267 0.9% 96%  
268 2% 95%  
269 2% 94%  
270 3% 92%  
271 3% 89%  
272 2% 86%  
273 4% 84%  
274 3% 80%  
275 3% 77%  
276 5% 74%  
277 6% 69%  
278 6% 64%  
279 4% 58%  
280 5% 54% Median
281 5% 48%  
282 6% 44%  
283 3% 38%  
284 4% 35%  
285 5% 31%  
286 5% 27%  
287 4% 22%  
288 3% 18%  
289 4% 16%  
290 2% 12%  
291 2% 10%  
292 2% 8%  
293 1.0% 6%  
294 1.2% 5%  
295 0.9% 4%  
296 1.2% 3%  
297 0.4% 2%  
298 0.5% 2%  
299 0.3% 1.2%  
300 0.3% 0.9%  
301 0.1% 0.6%  
302 0.1% 0.5%  
303 0.1% 0.3%  
304 0.1% 0.3%  
305 0% 0.2%  
306 0% 0.1%  
307 0% 0.1%  
308 0% 0.1%  
309 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 99.9%  
253 0.1% 99.9%  
254 0.1% 99.8%  
255 0.1% 99.8%  
256 0.2% 99.6%  
257 0.2% 99.4%  
258 0.3% 99.2%  
259 0.4% 98.9%  
260 0.4% 98%  
261 0.8% 98%  
262 0.9% 97%  
263 0.9% 96%  
264 1.3% 96%  
265 2% 94%  
266 2% 92%  
267 2% 91%  
268 3% 89%  
269 3% 86%  
270 4% 83%  
271 3% 80%  
272 4% 76%  
273 6% 72%  
274 5% 67%  
275 7% 62%  
276 4% 55% Median
277 6% 51%  
278 4% 45%  
279 5% 40%  
280 5% 35%  
281 4% 30%  
282 4% 26%  
283 4% 22%  
284 3% 18%  
285 2% 15%  
286 2% 13%  
287 2% 11%  
288 2% 9%  
289 1.5% 7%  
290 1.1% 5%  
291 0.7% 4%  
292 1.2% 4%  
293 0.6% 2%  
294 0.5% 2%  
295 0.3% 1.4%  
296 0.3% 1.0%  
297 0.3% 0.8%  
298 0.2% 0.5%  
299 0.1% 0.3%  
300 0.1% 0.3%  
301 0% 0.2%  
302 0% 0.1%  
303 0% 0.1%  
304 0% 0.1%  
305 0% 0.1%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0%  
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
195 0% 100%  
196 0% 99.9%  
197 0% 99.9%  
198 0.1% 99.9%  
199 0.1% 99.8%  
200 0.2% 99.7%  
201 0.2% 99.5%  
202 0.3% 99.3%  
203 0.5% 99.0%  
204 0.6% 98.5%  
205 0.7% 98%  
206 1.0% 97%  
207 1.2% 96%  
208 1.5% 95%  
209 1.5% 94%  
210 3% 92%  
211 3% 89%  
212 3% 86%  
213 4% 83%  
214 4% 80%  
215 4% 76%  
216 6% 72%  
217 4% 66%  
218 6% 61%  
219 4% 55% Median
220 5% 51%  
221 6% 46%  
222 5% 39%  
223 4% 34%  
224 4% 30%  
225 4% 26%  
226 4% 21%  
227 3% 18%  
228 3% 14%  
229 3% 12%  
230 2% 9%  
231 1.3% 7%  
232 2% 6%  
233 1.0% 4% Last Result
234 1.0% 3%  
235 0.6% 2%  
236 0.5% 2%  
237 0.3% 1.3%  
238 0.3% 1.0%  
239 0.2% 0.7%  
240 0.1% 0.5%  
241 0.1% 0.4%  
242 0.1% 0.2%  
243 0% 0.2%  
244 0% 0.1%  
245 0% 0.1%  
246 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 99.9%  
125 0% 99.9%  
126 0% 99.9%  
127 0% 99.9%  
128 0% 99.9%  
129 0% 99.9%  
130 0% 99.9%  
131 0% 99.9%  
132 0% 99.9%  
133 0% 99.9%  
134 0% 99.9%  
135 0% 99.9%  
136 0% 99.9%  
137 0% 99.9%  
138 0% 99.9%  
139 0% 99.9%  
140 0% 99.9%  
141 0% 99.9%  
142 0% 99.9%  
143 0% 99.9%  
144 0% 99.9%  
145 0% 99.8%  
146 0% 99.8%  
147 0.1% 99.8%  
148 0.1% 99.7%  
149 0.2% 99.6%  
150 0.2% 99.4%  
151 0.4% 99.2%  
152 0.5% 98.9%  
153 0.8% 98%  
154 1.0% 98%  
155 0.8% 97%  
156 2% 96%  
157 2% 94%  
158 2% 92%  
159 2% 90%  
160 4% 88%  
161 5% 83%  
162 3% 78%  
163 5% 75%  
164 7% 70%  
165 7% 63%  
166 4% 57%  
167 6% 52% Median
168 6% 46%  
169 5% 40%  
170 6% 36%  
171 4% 30%  
172 5% 25%  
173 4% 21%  
174 4% 17%  
175 2% 13%  
176 2% 11%  
177 2% 8%  
178 0.9% 6%  
179 1.2% 5%  
180 1.1% 4%  
181 0.7% 3%  
182 0.4% 2%  
183 0.5% 1.5%  
184 0.3% 1.0%  
185 0.2% 0.6%  
186 0.2% 0.5%  
187 0.1% 0.3%  
188 0.1% 0.2%  
189 0% 0.1%  
190 0% 0.1%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

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