Opinion Poll by Kantar, 26 May–1 June 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 22.0% 20.6–23.5% 20.2–23.9% 19.9–24.2% 19.3–24.9%
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 19.5% 18.2–20.9% 17.8–21.3% 17.5–21.7% 16.9–22.4%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 16.0% 14.8–17.3% 14.5–17.7% 14.2–18.0% 13.6–18.6%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 13.0% 11.9–14.2% 11.6–14.5% 11.3–14.8% 10.8–15.4%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 11.0% 10.0–12.1% 9.7–12.5% 9.5–12.7% 9.0–13.3%
Die Linke 9.2% 7.0% 6.2–7.9% 5.9–8.2% 5.8–8.4% 5.4–8.9%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 4.5% 3.9–5.3% 3.7–5.5% 3.5–5.7% 3.3–6.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 168 156–179 155–180 152–184 147–188
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 149 139–159 136–162 133–164 128–169
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 122 113–131 110–134 108–137 104–142
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 99 90–108 88–110 86–113 82–117
Alternative für Deutschland 94 84 76–92 74–95 72–97 69–101
Die Linke 69 53 47–60 46–62 44–64 41–67
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 34 29–40 28–42 27–43 25–46

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 99.9%  
143 0% 99.9%  
144 0.1% 99.9%  
145 0.1% 99.8%  
146 0.1% 99.7%  
147 0.3% 99.6%  
148 0.5% 99.4%  
149 0.5% 98.8%  
150 0.3% 98%  
151 0.4% 98%  
152 0.7% 98%  
153 0.6% 97%  
154 1.1% 96%  
155 2% 95%  
156 3% 93%  
157 2% 90%  
158 1.4% 87%  
159 2% 86%  
160 2% 84%  
161 2% 81%  
162 5% 79%  
163 7% 75%  
164 7% 68%  
165 3% 60%  
166 3% 57%  
167 4% 54%  
168 3% 50% Median
169 2% 47%  
170 8% 45%  
171 8% 37%  
172 6% 29%  
173 2% 23%  
174 2% 21%  
175 3% 19%  
176 2% 16%  
177 2% 15%  
178 3% 13%  
179 3% 10%  
180 2% 7%  
181 0.6% 5%  
182 0.7% 4%  
183 0.8% 3%  
184 0.4% 3%  
185 0.3% 2%  
186 0.7% 2%  
187 0.6% 1.3%  
188 0.2% 0.7%  
189 0.1% 0.5%  
190 0.1% 0.4%  
191 0.1% 0.3%  
192 0% 0.2%  
193 0% 0.2%  
194 0.1% 0.1%  
195 0% 0.1%  
196 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 99.9%  
126 0% 99.9%  
127 0.1% 99.8%  
128 0.3% 99.7%  
129 0.1% 99.4%  
130 0.3% 99.3%  
131 0.3% 99.0%  
132 0.4% 98.7%  
133 0.9% 98%  
134 1.3% 97%  
135 0.8% 96%  
136 1.1% 95%  
137 2% 94%  
138 2% 92%  
139 2% 91%  
140 2% 89%  
141 3% 86%  
142 3% 84%  
143 6% 81%  
144 8% 75%  
145 3% 67%  
146 4% 64%  
147 5% 59%  
148 4% 54%  
149 7% 50% Median
150 6% 44%  
151 3% 38%  
152 4% 34%  
153 6% 30%  
154 4% 24%  
155 2% 20%  
156 2% 18%  
157 2% 16%  
158 2% 14%  
159 3% 12%  
160 3% 10%  
161 1.1% 7%  
162 1.0% 6%  
163 1.5% 5%  
164 0.8% 3%  
165 0.5% 2%  
166 0.5% 2%  
167 0.2% 1.5%  
168 0.4% 1.3%  
169 0.4% 0.9%  
170 0.1% 0.4%  
171 0.1% 0.3%  
172 0.1% 0.2%  
173 0% 0.2%  
174 0% 0.1%  
175 0% 0.1%  
176 0% 0.1%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 99.9%  
101 0.1% 99.9%  
102 0.1% 99.8%  
103 0.2% 99.7%  
104 0.2% 99.5%  
105 0.3% 99.3%  
106 0.6% 99.0%  
107 0.6% 98%  
108 1.0% 98%  
109 0.9% 97%  
110 2% 96%  
111 2% 94%  
112 2% 92%  
113 3% 90%  
114 3% 87%  
115 3% 84%  
116 4% 81%  
117 4% 77%  
118 5% 73%  
119 7% 68%  
120 5% 61%  
121 4% 57%  
122 6% 52% Median
123 5% 46%  
124 5% 42%  
125 5% 37%  
126 5% 32%  
127 4% 26%  
128 4% 23%  
129 3% 18%  
130 2% 15%  
131 3% 13%  
132 1.3% 9%  
133 2% 8%  
134 1.4% 6%  
135 1.0% 5%  
136 1.0% 4%  
137 0.9% 3%  
138 0.4% 2%  
139 0.4% 1.5%  
140 0.3% 1.1%  
141 0.2% 0.7%  
142 0.2% 0.6%  
143 0.1% 0.3%  
144 0.1% 0.2%  
145 0.1% 0.2%  
146 0% 0.1%  
147 0% 0.1%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 99.9%  
80 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
81 0.2% 99.8%  
82 0.2% 99.6%  
83 0.4% 99.4%  
84 0.4% 99.0%  
85 0.6% 98.7%  
86 0.8% 98%  
87 1.3% 97%  
88 2% 96%  
89 2% 94%  
90 3% 92%  
91 4% 89%  
92 3% 86%  
93 3% 82%  
94 4% 79%  
95 4% 75%  
96 6% 70%  
97 9% 64%  
98 4% 56%  
99 7% 51% Median
100 6% 45%  
101 5% 39%  
102 5% 34%  
103 4% 30%  
104 5% 25%  
105 5% 21%  
106 3% 16%  
107 2% 13%  
108 2% 10%  
109 2% 8%  
110 1.5% 6%  
111 1.0% 5%  
112 1.0% 4%  
113 1.1% 3%  
114 0.4% 2%  
115 0.4% 1.3%  
116 0.3% 0.8%  
117 0.2% 0.6%  
118 0.1% 0.4%  
119 0.1% 0.3%  
120 0.1% 0.2%  
121 0.1% 0.1%  
122 0% 0.1%  
123 0% 0%  

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.1% 99.8%  
68 0.2% 99.7%  
69 0.4% 99.5%  
70 0.5% 99.2%  
71 0.7% 98.7%  
72 0.9% 98%  
73 1.2% 97%  
74 2% 96%  
75 3% 94%  
76 4% 91%  
77 3% 88%  
78 4% 85%  
79 5% 81%  
80 6% 76%  
81 7% 70%  
82 7% 63%  
83 4% 57%  
84 7% 52% Median
85 7% 45%  
86 6% 38%  
87 5% 32%  
88 3% 27%  
89 5% 24%  
90 4% 19%  
91 4% 14%  
92 2% 11%  
93 2% 9%  
94 2% 7% Last Result
95 2% 5%  
96 1.0% 4%  
97 0.7% 3%  
98 0.5% 2%  
99 0.5% 1.5%  
100 0.4% 1.0%  
101 0.2% 0.6%  
102 0.1% 0.4%  
103 0.1% 0.3%  
104 0.1% 0.2%  
105 0.1% 0.1%  
106 0% 0.1%  
107 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 0% 99.9%  
5 0% 99.9%  
6 0% 99.9%  
7 0% 99.9%  
8 0% 99.9%  
9 0% 99.9%  
10 0% 99.9%  
11 0% 99.9%  
12 0% 99.9%  
13 0% 99.9%  
14 0% 99.9%  
15 0% 99.9%  
16 0% 99.9%  
17 0% 99.9%  
18 0% 99.9%  
19 0% 99.9%  
20 0% 99.9%  
21 0% 99.9%  
22 0% 99.9%  
23 0% 99.9%  
24 0% 99.9%  
25 0% 99.9%  
26 0% 99.9%  
27 0% 99.9%  
28 0% 99.9%  
29 0% 99.9%  
30 0% 99.9%  
31 0% 99.9%  
32 0% 99.9%  
33 0% 99.9%  
34 0% 99.9%  
35 0% 99.9%  
36 0% 99.9%  
37 0% 99.9%  
38 0% 99.9%  
39 0.1% 99.9%  
40 0.2% 99.9%  
41 0.4% 99.7%  
42 0.7% 99.3%  
43 1.1% 98.7%  
44 1.1% 98%  
45 1.4% 97%  
46 2% 95%  
47 5% 93%  
48 7% 88%  
49 6% 81%  
50 5% 75%  
51 4% 71%  
52 7% 66%  
53 11% 60% Median
54 10% 49%  
55 7% 39%  
56 5% 31%  
57 5% 27%  
58 4% 22%  
59 5% 18%  
60 4% 13%  
61 3% 8%  
62 1.2% 6%  
63 1.1% 4%  
64 0.8% 3%  
65 0.9% 2%  
66 0.7% 1.5%  
67 0.3% 0.7%  
68 0.2% 0.4%  
69 0.1% 0.3% Last Result
70 0.1% 0.2%  
71 0.1% 0.1%  
72 0% 0.1%  
73 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0.1% 100%  
24 0.2% 99.9%  
25 0.8% 99.7%  
26 0.4% 98.9%  
27 3% 98.5%  
28 1.3% 96%  
29 5% 94%  
30 4% 90%  
31 6% 86%  
32 13% 80%  
33 4% 67%  
34 15% 63% Median
35 4% 48%  
36 14% 44%  
37 5% 30%  
38 8% 25%  
39 5% 16%  
40 2% 11%  
41 3% 9%  
42 1.3% 6%  
43 2% 4%  
44 0.8% 2%  
45 0.8% 2%  
46 0.4% 0.8% Last Result
47 0.2% 0.5%  
48 0.2% 0.3%  
49 0.1% 0.1%  
50 0% 0.1%  
51 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 473 100% 461–484 458–488 455–490 449–496
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 450 100% 438–462 434–465 431–468 425–474
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 404 100% 392–416 388–420 386–423 379–429
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 388 100% 376–400 373–404 369–407 363–413
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 366 88% 354–379 350–382 347–386 341–392
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 351 36% 339–363 335–367 332–370 326–376
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 343 12% 330–355 327–359 323–362 317–368
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 305 0% 293–318 289–321 286–324 281–331
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 289 0% 277–302 274–306 271–308 265–315
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 282 0% 270–295 267–298 264–301 258–307
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 268 0% 257–278 251–284 248–287 244–291
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 221 0% 209–233 206–236 203–239 198–244
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 176 0% 165–186 162–189 159–192 154–198

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
442 0% 100%  
443 0% 99.9%  
444 0% 99.9%  
445 0% 99.9%  
446 0.1% 99.8%  
447 0.1% 99.7%  
448 0.1% 99.6%  
449 0.2% 99.5%  
450 0.3% 99.4%  
451 0.2% 99.1%  
452 0.4% 98.9%  
453 0.6% 98.5%  
454 0.4% 98%  
455 0.7% 98%  
456 0.9% 97%  
457 0.8% 96%  
458 1.4% 95%  
459 1.4% 94%  
460 1.4% 92%  
461 2% 91%  
462 3% 89%  
463 2% 86%  
464 2% 84%  
465 3% 82%  
466 3% 79% Last Result
467 2% 76%  
468 6% 74%  
469 3% 68%  
470 5% 65%  
471 4% 60%  
472 3% 55%  
473 4% 52% Median
474 6% 48%  
475 5% 42%  
476 3% 38%  
477 4% 35%  
478 4% 31%  
479 3% 26%  
480 4% 23%  
481 2% 19%  
482 2% 17%  
483 3% 15%  
484 2% 12%  
485 1.3% 9%  
486 2% 8%  
487 1.1% 6%  
488 0.6% 5%  
489 2% 5%  
490 0.8% 3%  
491 0.3% 2%  
492 0.6% 2%  
493 0.4% 1.5%  
494 0.2% 1.1%  
495 0.3% 0.9%  
496 0.2% 0.7%  
497 0.1% 0.5%  
498 0.1% 0.4%  
499 0.1% 0.3%  
500 0% 0.2%  
501 0% 0.2%  
502 0% 0.1%  
503 0% 0.1%  
504 0% 0.1%  
505 0% 0.1%  
506 0% 0.1%  
507 0% 0.1%  
508 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 99.9%  
421 0% 99.9%  
422 0.1% 99.9%  
423 0.1% 99.8%  
424 0.1% 99.7%  
425 0.2% 99.6%  
426 0.2% 99.4%  
427 0.2% 99.3%  
428 0.3% 99.1%  
429 0.3% 98.8%  
430 0.5% 98%  
431 0.6% 98%  
432 0.7% 97%  
433 1.1% 97%  
434 0.9% 96%  
435 2% 95%  
436 1.2% 93%  
437 2% 92%  
438 2% 90%  
439 2% 88%  
440 3% 86%  
441 3% 84%  
442 2% 81%  
443 5% 79%  
444 3% 74%  
445 3% 71%  
446 5% 68%  
447 4% 63%  
448 4% 59%  
449 3% 55%  
450 5% 52% Median
451 5% 47%  
452 3% 42%  
453 5% 39%  
454 4% 34%  
455 3% 30%  
456 4% 27%  
457 3% 24%  
458 3% 20%  
459 2% 17%  
460 2% 15%  
461 2% 12%  
462 2% 10%  
463 1.3% 8%  
464 1.1% 7%  
465 1.4% 6%  
466 0.8% 4%  
467 0.6% 4%  
468 0.8% 3%  
469 0.6% 2%  
470 0.3% 2%  
471 0.3% 1.2%  
472 0.3% 1.0%  
473 0.2% 0.7%  
474 0.1% 0.5%  
475 0.1% 0.4%  
476 0.1% 0.3%  
477 0% 0.2%  
478 0% 0.2%  
479 0% 0.1%  
480 0% 0.1%  
481 0% 0.1%  
482 0% 0.1%  
483 0% 0.1%  
484 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 99.9%  
374 0% 99.9%  
375 0% 99.9%  
376 0.1% 99.9%  
377 0.1% 99.8%  
378 0.1% 99.7%  
379 0.1% 99.6%  
380 0.1% 99.5%  
381 0.3% 99.4%  
382 0.3% 99.1%  
383 0.3% 98.8%  
384 0.5% 98%  
385 0.3% 98%  
386 0.8% 98%  
387 0.9% 97%  
388 1.0% 96%  
389 1.1% 95%  
390 2% 94%  
391 1.3% 92%  
392 2% 91%  
393 2% 89%  
394 2% 87%  
395 3% 85%  
396 3% 82%  
397 3% 79%  
398 3% 76%  
399 3% 72%  
400 6% 69%  
401 4% 64%  
402 5% 60%  
403 4% 55%  
404 3% 51% Median
405 3% 48%  
406 4% 44%  
407 3% 40%  
408 3% 37%  
409 4% 34%  
410 3% 30%  
411 4% 27%  
412 3% 24%  
413 3% 20%  
414 3% 18%  
415 2% 15%  
416 3% 13%  
417 2% 10%  
418 2% 8%  
419 1.0% 6%  
420 1.1% 5%  
421 0.8% 4%  
422 0.7% 3%  
423 0.7% 3%  
424 0.4% 2%  
425 0.4% 2%  
426 0.3% 1.3%  
427 0.2% 1.1%  
428 0.2% 0.8%  
429 0.1% 0.6%  
430 0.1% 0.5%  
431 0.1% 0.4%  
432 0.1% 0.3%  
433 0.1% 0.2%  
434 0% 0.2%  
435 0% 0.1%  
436 0% 0.1%  
437 0% 0.1%  
438 0% 0.1%  
439 0% 0.1%  
440 0% 0%  
441 0% 0%  
442 0% 0%  
443 0% 0%  
444 0% 0%  
445 0% 0%  
446 0% 0%  
447 0% 0%  
448 0% 0%  
449 0% 0%  
450 0% 0%  
451 0% 0%  
452 0% 0%  
453 0% 0%  
454 0% 0%  
455 0% 0%  
456 0% 0%  
457 0% 0%  
458 0% 0%  
459 0% 0%  
460 0% 0%  
461 0% 0%  
462 0% 0%  
463 0% 0%  
464 0% 0%  
465 0% 0%  
466 0% 0%  
467 0% 0%  
468 0% 0%  
469 0% 0%  
470 0% 0%  
471 0% 0%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
300 0% 100% Last Result
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 99.9%  
358 0% 99.9%  
359 0% 99.9%  
360 0.1% 99.9%  
361 0.1% 99.8%  
362 0.2% 99.7%  
363 0.1% 99.6%  
364 0.2% 99.4%  
365 0.2% 99.3%  
366 0.3% 99.1%  
367 0.4% 98.8%  
368 0.6% 98%  
369 0.5% 98%  
370 0.8% 97%  
371 0.7% 97%  
372 0.8% 96%  
373 1.3% 95%  
374 1.2% 94%  
375 1.3% 93%  
376 2% 91%  
377 2% 89%  
378 2% 87%  
379 3% 85%  
380 3% 82%  
381 3% 79%  
382 3% 76%  
383 3% 73%  
384 3% 69%  
385 5% 67%  
386 5% 62%  
387 3% 57%  
388 4% 53%  
389 5% 49% Median
390 2% 45%  
391 5% 42%  
392 3% 37%  
393 3% 34%  
394 4% 31%  
395 4% 27%  
396 4% 23%  
397 2% 19%  
398 2% 17%  
399 3% 15%  
400 2% 12%  
401 2% 10%  
402 2% 8%  
403 1.1% 6%  
404 0.6% 5%  
405 0.8% 5%  
406 0.8% 4%  
407 0.7% 3%  
408 0.5% 2%  
409 0.3% 2%  
410 0.3% 1.5%  
411 0.2% 1.2%  
412 0.2% 0.9%  
413 0.2% 0.7%  
414 0.1% 0.5%  
415 0.1% 0.4%  
416 0.1% 0.2%  
417 0% 0.2%  
418 0% 0.1%  
419 0% 0.1%  
420 0% 0.1%  
421 0% 0.1%  
422 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 99.9%  
336 0% 99.9%  
337 0% 99.9%  
338 0.1% 99.9%  
339 0.1% 99.8%  
340 0.1% 99.7%  
341 0.2% 99.6%  
342 0.2% 99.4%  
343 0.2% 99.2%  
344 0.3% 99.0%  
345 0.3% 98.7%  
346 0.5% 98%  
347 0.4% 98%  
348 0.7% 97%  
349 1.0% 97%  
350 1.0% 96%  
351 1.4% 95%  
352 1.1% 93%  
353 2% 92%  
354 2% 90%  
355 3% 88% Majority
356 2% 86%  
357 3% 84%  
358 4% 81%  
359 3% 77%  
360 3% 75%  
361 3% 72%  
362 5% 68%  
363 3% 63%  
364 3% 60%  
365 4% 57%  
366 5% 53% Median
367 5% 48%  
368 3% 43%  
369 4% 40%  
370 5% 36%  
371 3% 31%  
372 3% 29%  
373 3% 26%  
374 3% 22%  
375 3% 20%  
376 2% 17%  
377 2% 15%  
378 2% 13%  
379 2% 11%  
380 1.1% 9%  
381 1.3% 8%  
382 1.3% 6%  
383 1.1% 5%  
384 0.6% 4%  
385 0.6% 3%  
386 0.7% 3%  
387 0.4% 2%  
388 0.3% 2%  
389 0.3% 1.2%  
390 0.2% 0.9%  
391 0.2% 0.7%  
392 0.1% 0.5%  
393 0.1% 0.4%  
394 0.1% 0.3%  
395 0% 0.2%  
396 0% 0.2%  
397 0% 0.1%  
398 0% 0.1%  
399 0% 0.1%  
400 0% 0.1%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 99.9%  
321 0% 99.9%  
322 0% 99.9%  
323 0.1% 99.8%  
324 0.1% 99.8%  
325 0.1% 99.7%  
326 0.1% 99.5%  
327 0.2% 99.4%  
328 0.2% 99.2%  
329 0.5% 99.0%  
330 0.4% 98.5%  
331 0.4% 98%  
332 0.5% 98%  
333 0.8% 97%  
334 1.0% 96%  
335 1.1% 96%  
336 1.4% 94%  
337 1.2% 93%  
338 2% 92%  
339 3% 90%  
340 3% 87%  
341 2% 84%  
342 2% 82%  
343 2% 80%  
344 3% 78%  
345 5% 75%  
346 5% 71%  
347 3% 66%  
348 4% 63%  
349 4% 59%  
350 5% 56%  
351 4% 50% Median
352 4% 46%  
353 3% 43%  
354 3% 40%  
355 3% 36% Majority
356 5% 33%  
357 5% 28%  
358 2% 23%  
359 3% 21%  
360 2% 18%  
361 2% 16%  
362 3% 13%  
363 2% 11%  
364 1.3% 9%  
365 1.1% 8%  
366 1.4% 7%  
367 1.4% 5%  
368 0.7% 4%  
369 0.5% 3%  
370 0.5% 3%  
371 0.5% 2%  
372 0.4% 2%  
373 0.4% 1.3%  
374 0.2% 1.0%  
375 0.2% 0.8%  
376 0.2% 0.6%  
377 0.1% 0.4%  
378 0.1% 0.3%  
379 0% 0.2%  
380 0% 0.2%  
381 0% 0.2%  
382 0% 0.1%  
383 0% 0.1%  
384 0% 0.1%  
385 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 99.9%  
311 0% 99.9%  
312 0% 99.9%  
313 0% 99.9%  
314 0% 99.8%  
315 0.1% 99.8%  
316 0.1% 99.7%  
317 0.1% 99.6%  
318 0.2% 99.5%  
319 0.2% 99.3%  
320 0.3% 99.1%  
321 0.3% 98.8%  
322 0.4% 98%  
323 0.7% 98%  
324 0.6% 97%  
325 0.6% 97%  
326 1.1% 96%  
327 1.3% 95%  
328 1.3% 94%  
329 1.1% 92%  
330 2% 91%  
331 2% 89%  
332 2% 87%  
333 2% 85%  
334 3% 83%  
335 3% 80%  
336 3% 78%  
337 3% 74%  
338 3% 71%  
339 5% 69%  
340 4% 64%  
341 3% 60%  
342 5% 57%  
343 5% 52% Median
344 4% 47%  
345 3% 43%  
346 3% 40%  
347 5% 37%  
348 3% 32%  
349 3% 28%  
350 3% 25%  
351 4% 23%  
352 3% 19%  
353 2% 16%  
354 3% 14%  
355 2% 12% Majority
356 2% 10%  
357 1.1% 8%  
358 1.4% 7%  
359 1.0% 5%  
360 1.0% 4%  
361 0.7% 3%  
362 0.4% 3%  
363 0.5% 2%  
364 0.3% 2%  
365 0.3% 1.3%  
366 0.2% 1.0%  
367 0.2% 0.8%  
368 0.2% 0.6%  
369 0.1% 0.4%  
370 0.1% 0.3%  
371 0.1% 0.2%  
372 0% 0.1%  
373 0% 0.1%  
374 0% 0.1%  
375 0% 0.1%  
376 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 99.9%  
276 0% 99.9%  
277 0% 99.9%  
278 0.1% 99.8%  
279 0.1% 99.8%  
280 0.1% 99.7%  
281 0.1% 99.6%  
282 0.3% 99.4%  
283 0.2% 99.2%  
284 0.4% 98.9%  
285 0.3% 98%  
286 0.7% 98%  
287 0.8% 97%  
288 0.6% 97%  
289 1.3% 96%  
290 1.3% 95%  
291 1.1% 93%  
292 1.3% 92%  
293 2% 91%  
294 2% 89%  
295 3% 87%  
296 2% 84%  
297 4% 82%  
298 3% 79%  
299 4% 76%  
300 2% 72%  
301 5% 70%  
302 3% 65%  
303 4% 62%  
304 4% 58%  
305 6% 54% Median
306 3% 47%  
307 4% 44%  
308 3% 40%  
309 4% 37%  
310 4% 33%  
311 3% 29%  
312 3% 26%  
313 3% 23%  
314 2% 20%  
315 3% 17%  
316 1.3% 15%  
317 3% 13%  
318 1.4% 10%  
319 2% 9%  
320 0.9% 7%  
321 1.5% 6%  
322 1.1% 5%  
323 0.7% 4%  
324 0.5% 3%  
325 0.5% 2%  
326 0.4% 2%  
327 0.3% 1.5%  
328 0.3% 1.2%  
329 0.2% 0.9%  
330 0.2% 0.7%  
331 0.1% 0.5%  
332 0.1% 0.4%  
333 0.1% 0.3%  
334 0.1% 0.2%  
335 0.1% 0.2%  
336 0% 0.1%  
337 0% 0.1%  
338 0% 0.1%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0% Majority
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 99.9%  
260 0% 99.9%  
261 0% 99.9%  
262 0.1% 99.8%  
263 0.1% 99.8%  
264 0.1% 99.7%  
265 0.2% 99.6%  
266 0.3% 99.4%  
267 0.3% 99.1%  
268 0.4% 98.8%  
269 0.4% 98%  
270 0.4% 98%  
271 0.5% 98%  
272 0.7% 97%  
273 1.0% 96%  
274 2% 95%  
275 1.3% 94%  
276 2% 93%  
277 2% 91%  
278 2% 89%  
279 2% 87%  
280 2% 85%  
281 3% 83%  
282 3% 80%  
283 4% 77%  
284 4% 73%  
285 2% 70%  
286 4% 68%  
287 4% 64%  
288 4% 60%  
289 6% 56%  
290 5% 50% Median
291 3% 45%  
292 5% 41%  
293 4% 37%  
294 3% 32%  
295 2% 29%  
296 3% 27%  
297 4% 24%  
298 3% 20%  
299 3% 17%  
300 2% 14%  
301 2% 12%  
302 2% 10%  
303 1.3% 8%  
304 1.0% 7%  
305 0.9% 6%  
306 1.3% 5%  
307 0.9% 4%  
308 0.6% 3%  
309 0.6% 2%  
310 0.2% 2%  
311 0.2% 1.4%  
312 0.2% 1.1%  
313 0.2% 0.9%  
314 0.1% 0.7%  
315 0.1% 0.5%  
316 0.1% 0.4%  
317 0.1% 0.2%  
318 0% 0.2%  
319 0% 0.1%  
320 0% 0.1%  
321 0% 0.1%  
322 0% 0.1%  
323 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 99.9%  
253 0% 99.9%  
254 0.1% 99.9%  
255 0.1% 99.8%  
256 0.1% 99.8%  
257 0.1% 99.7%  
258 0.2% 99.6%  
259 0.3% 99.4%  
260 0.3% 99.1%  
261 0.3% 98.9%  
262 0.4% 98.6%  
263 0.4% 98%  
264 0.7% 98%  
265 0.9% 97%  
266 0.7% 96%  
267 2% 95%  
268 1.1% 94%  
269 1.4% 93%  
270 2% 91%  
271 2% 90%  
272 2% 88%  
273 4% 85%  
274 3% 81%  
275 3% 78%  
276 3% 75%  
277 4% 72%  
278 3% 68%  
279 4% 66%  
280 5% 62%  
281 4% 57%  
282 4% 53% Median
283 6% 49%  
284 4% 43%  
285 3% 39%  
286 4% 36%  
287 3% 32%  
288 5% 29%  
289 3% 25%  
290 3% 22%  
291 2% 18%  
292 2% 16%  
293 2% 14%  
294 2% 12%  
295 2% 10%  
296 1.3% 8%  
297 2% 7%  
298 1.2% 5%  
299 0.5% 4%  
300 0.7% 4%  
301 0.7% 3%  
302 0.6% 2%  
303 0.3% 2%  
304 0.5% 1.4%  
305 0.2% 1.0%  
306 0.1% 0.7%  
307 0.1% 0.6%  
308 0.1% 0.5%  
309 0.1% 0.4%  
310 0.1% 0.3%  
311 0.1% 0.2%  
312 0% 0.1%  
313 0% 0.1%  
314 0% 0.1%  
315 0% 0.1%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 99.9%  
237 0% 99.9%  
238 0% 99.9%  
239 0% 99.9%  
240 0% 99.9%  
241 0% 99.9%  
242 0.1% 99.9%  
243 0.2% 99.8%  
244 0.3% 99.7%  
245 0.5% 99.4%  
246 0.5% 98.9%  
247 0.8% 98%  
248 1.0% 98%  
249 0.7% 97%  
250 0.7% 96%  
251 0.4% 95%  
252 0.2% 95%  
253 0.2% 95%  
254 0.3% 94%  
255 0.8% 94%  
256 2% 93%  
257 4% 91%  
258 4% 88%  
259 4% 84%  
260 6% 79%  
261 6% 73%  
262 5% 67%  
263 3% 62%  
264 2% 59%  
265 2% 57%  
266 2% 54%  
267 2% 53% Median
268 1.3% 51%  
269 3% 50%  
270 5% 47%  
271 5% 41%  
272 5% 36%  
273 6% 31%  
274 4% 25%  
275 5% 21%  
276 4% 16%  
277 2% 13%  
278 2% 10%  
279 0.9% 9%  
280 0.6% 8%  
281 0.5% 7%  
282 0.5% 7%  
283 0.6% 6%  
284 0.8% 6%  
285 0.9% 5%  
286 0.9% 4%  
287 0.9% 3%  
288 0.6% 2%  
289 0.5% 1.3%  
290 0.3% 0.8%  
291 0.2% 0.5%  
292 0.1% 0.4%  
293 0% 0.3%  
294 0% 0.2%  
295 0% 0.2%  
296 0% 0.2%  
297 0% 0.2%  
298 0% 0.1%  
299 0% 0.1%  
300 0% 0.1%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0%  
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
192 0% 100%  
193 0% 99.9%  
194 0% 99.9%  
195 0.1% 99.9%  
196 0.1% 99.8%  
197 0.1% 99.7%  
198 0.2% 99.6%  
199 0.2% 99.4%  
200 0.3% 99.2%  
201 0.3% 98.9%  
202 0.5% 98.6%  
203 0.6% 98%  
204 0.9% 97%  
205 0.8% 97%  
206 1.0% 96%  
207 1.3% 95%  
208 2% 93%  
209 2% 92%  
210 2% 90%  
211 2% 87%  
212 3% 85%  
213 5% 83%  
214 2% 78%  
215 3% 76%  
216 6% 73%  
217 4% 68%  
218 5% 64%  
219 4% 59%  
220 3% 55%  
221 4% 52% Median
222 3% 48%  
223 5% 44%  
224 5% 39%  
225 4% 34%  
226 4% 30%  
227 3% 26%  
228 4% 24%  
229 3% 20%  
230 3% 17%  
231 2% 14%  
232 2% 12%  
233 2% 10% Last Result
234 2% 8%  
235 1.0% 6%  
236 1.1% 5%  
237 1.1% 4%  
238 0.8% 3%  
239 0.7% 3%  
240 0.4% 2%  
241 0.3% 1.5%  
242 0.2% 1.1%  
243 0.3% 0.9%  
244 0.2% 0.6%  
245 0.1% 0.5%  
246 0.1% 0.4%  
247 0.1% 0.3%  
248 0.1% 0.2%  
249 0% 0.1%  
250 0% 0.1%  
251 0% 0.1%  
252 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 99.9%  
143 0% 99.9%  
144 0% 99.9%  
145 0% 99.9%  
146 0% 99.9%  
147 0% 99.9%  
148 0% 99.9%  
149 0% 99.9%  
150 0% 99.9%  
151 0.1% 99.8%  
152 0.1% 99.8%  
153 0.1% 99.7%  
154 0.2% 99.6%  
155 0.2% 99.4%  
156 0.3% 99.1%  
157 0.4% 98.8%  
158 0.6% 98%  
159 0.7% 98%  
160 0.7% 97%  
161 1.1% 96%  
162 1.4% 95%  
163 2% 94%  
164 2% 92%  
165 2% 90%  
166 2% 88%  
167 4% 86%  
168 4% 82%  
169 3% 78%  
170 3% 75%  
171 4% 72%  
172 6% 68%  
173 4% 63%  
174 5% 59%  
175 4% 54% Median
176 6% 50%  
177 5% 44%  
178 4% 40%  
179 4% 35%  
180 4% 31%  
181 4% 28%  
182 3% 23%  
183 3% 20%  
184 3% 18%  
185 3% 14%  
186 2% 12%  
187 2% 10%  
188 1.5% 8%  
189 1.3% 6%  
190 1.0% 5%  
191 1.0% 4%  
192 0.7% 3%  
193 0.5% 2%  
194 0.5% 2%  
195 0.3% 1.3%  
196 0.3% 1.0%  
197 0.2% 0.7%  
198 0.1% 0.5%  
199 0.1% 0.4%  
200 0.1% 0.3%  
201 0.1% 0.2%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0.1%  
204 0% 0.1%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations