Opinion Poll by Infratest dimap, 7–9 June 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 22.7% 21.3–24.3% 20.9–24.7% 20.5–25.1% 19.9–25.8%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 20.0% 18.6–21.5% 18.2–21.9% 17.9–22.2% 17.3–23.0%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 14.0% 12.8–15.3% 12.5–15.7% 12.2–16.0% 11.7–16.6%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 12.0% 10.9–13.2% 10.6–13.6% 10.3–13.9% 9.9–14.5%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 12.0% 10.9–13.2% 10.6–13.6% 10.3–13.9% 9.9–14.5%
Die Linke 9.2% 7.0% 6.2–8.0% 5.9–8.3% 5.7–8.5% 5.3–9.0%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 5.2% 4.5–6.1% 4.3–6.4% 4.2–6.6% 3.8–7.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 173 162–184 159–188 156–190 151–196
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 152 141–163 138–166 136–169 131–174
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 107 97–116 95–119 93–121 89–126
Alternative für Deutschland 94 92 83–100 80–103 79–106 75–110
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 92 83–101 80–103 79–106 75–110
Die Linke 69 54 47–61 45–63 44–65 41–69
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 40 35–46 33–48 32–50 29–53

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 99.9%  
147 0.1% 99.9%  
148 0.1% 99.9%  
149 0.1% 99.8%  
150 0.1% 99.7%  
151 0.2% 99.6%  
152 0.2% 99.4%  
153 0.3% 99.1%  
154 0.5% 98.9%  
155 0.6% 98%  
156 0.7% 98%  
157 0.8% 97%  
158 1.2% 96%  
159 1.2% 95%  
160 2% 94%  
161 2% 92%  
162 2% 90%  
163 3% 88%  
164 3% 86%  
165 3% 83%  
166 3% 80%  
167 4% 76%  
168 5% 73%  
169 4% 68%  
170 5% 64%  
171 3% 59%  
172 5% 56%  
173 4% 50% Median
174 5% 46%  
175 4% 42%  
176 4% 38%  
177 5% 34%  
178 3% 29%  
179 3% 26%  
180 4% 23%  
181 3% 19%  
182 3% 16%  
183 2% 14%  
184 2% 11%  
185 2% 10%  
186 2% 8%  
187 1.0% 6%  
188 1.1% 5%  
189 1.0% 4%  
190 0.7% 3%  
191 0.5% 2%  
192 0.5% 2%  
193 0.3% 1.4%  
194 0.3% 1.1%  
195 0.2% 0.8%  
196 0.2% 0.6%  
197 0.1% 0.4%  
198 0.1% 0.3%  
199 0.1% 0.2%  
200 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0.1%  
204 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 99.9%  
128 0.1% 99.9%  
129 0.1% 99.8%  
130 0.1% 99.7%  
131 0.1% 99.6%  
132 0.2% 99.5%  
133 0.2% 99.2%  
134 0.5% 99.0%  
135 0.5% 98.5%  
136 0.9% 98%  
137 0.9% 97%  
138 1.3% 96%  
139 1.4% 95%  
140 2% 94%  
141 2% 91%  
142 2% 90%  
143 2% 88%  
144 3% 85%  
145 3% 82%  
146 5% 80%  
147 4% 75%  
148 5% 70%  
149 3% 65%  
150 5% 62%  
151 5% 57%  
152 6% 52% Median
153 3% 46%  
154 4% 43%  
155 5% 39%  
156 4% 34%  
157 4% 29%  
158 3% 25%  
159 4% 22%  
160 2% 18%  
161 3% 16%  
162 2% 13%  
163 2% 11%  
164 2% 9%  
165 2% 7%  
166 1.1% 6%  
167 1.0% 5%  
168 0.9% 4%  
169 0.7% 3%  
170 0.3% 2%  
171 0.5% 2%  
172 0.3% 1.2%  
173 0.2% 0.9%  
174 0.2% 0.7%  
175 0.1% 0.5%  
176 0.1% 0.4%  
177 0.1% 0.2%  
178 0.1% 0.2%  
179 0% 0.1%  
180 0% 0.1%  
181 0% 0.1%  
182 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 99.9%  
86 0.1% 99.9%  
87 0.1% 99.8%  
88 0.1% 99.7%  
89 0.2% 99.6%  
90 0.4% 99.3%  
91 0.5% 99.0%  
92 0.8% 98%  
93 0.7% 98%  
94 1.4% 97%  
95 2% 96%  
96 1.5% 94%  
97 3% 92%  
98 2% 89%  
99 4% 87%  
100 4% 83%  
101 4% 80%  
102 5% 76%  
103 4% 71%  
104 7% 67%  
105 4% 60%  
106 5% 56%  
107 7% 51% Median
108 4% 44%  
109 6% 40%  
110 4% 34%  
111 5% 30%  
112 4% 25%  
113 4% 21%  
114 3% 18%  
115 3% 15%  
116 3% 12%  
117 2% 8%  
118 2% 7%  
119 1.4% 5%  
120 0.8% 4%  
121 1.0% 3%  
122 0.4% 2%  
123 0.5% 2%  
124 0.3% 1.2%  
125 0.2% 0.8%  
126 0.2% 0.6%  
127 0.1% 0.4%  
128 0.1% 0.3%  
129 0.1% 0.2%  
130 0% 0.1%  
131 0% 0.1%  
132 0% 0.1%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0.1% 99.9%  
73 0.1% 99.8%  
74 0.1% 99.7%  
75 0.3% 99.7%  
76 0.4% 99.4%  
77 0.5% 98.9%  
78 0.6% 98%  
79 1.5% 98%  
80 2% 96%  
81 1.3% 95%  
82 1.2% 93%  
83 3% 92%  
84 5% 89%  
85 3% 84%  
86 5% 81%  
87 6% 76%  
88 5% 70%  
89 3% 65%  
90 4% 62%  
91 5% 57%  
92 6% 53% Median
93 6% 46%  
94 7% 40% Last Result
95 6% 34%  
96 3% 27%  
97 3% 24%  
98 3% 21%  
99 5% 18%  
100 3% 13%  
101 2% 10%  
102 2% 8%  
103 2% 6%  
104 0.7% 4%  
105 0.4% 3%  
106 0.8% 3%  
107 0.9% 2%  
108 0.6% 1.4%  
109 0.2% 0.8%  
110 0.1% 0.5%  
111 0.1% 0.4%  
112 0.1% 0.3%  
113 0% 0.2%  
114 0% 0.1%  
115 0% 0.1%  
116 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100%  
72 0.1% 99.9%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 0.1% 99.8%  
75 0.2% 99.6%  
76 0.3% 99.4%  
77 0.4% 99.1%  
78 0.8% 98.7%  
79 1.3% 98%  
80 2% 97% Last Result
81 2% 94%  
82 2% 93%  
83 2% 91%  
84 4% 88%  
85 3% 85%  
86 4% 81%  
87 4% 77%  
88 6% 74%  
89 5% 68%  
90 4% 63%  
91 4% 59%  
92 5% 54% Median
93 12% 50%  
94 5% 38%  
95 6% 33%  
96 5% 27%  
97 4% 22%  
98 5% 19%  
99 2% 14%  
100 2% 12%  
101 2% 10%  
102 3% 8%  
103 1.2% 5%  
104 0.7% 4%  
105 0.7% 3%  
106 0.5% 3%  
107 0.9% 2%  
108 0.4% 1.4%  
109 0.3% 1.0%  
110 0.3% 0.7%  
111 0.1% 0.4%  
112 0.1% 0.3%  
113 0% 0.2%  
114 0.1% 0.1%  
115 0% 0.1%  
116 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 0% 99.9%  
5 0% 99.9%  
6 0% 99.9%  
7 0% 99.9%  
8 0% 99.9%  
9 0% 99.9%  
10 0% 99.9%  
11 0% 99.9%  
12 0% 99.9%  
13 0% 99.9%  
14 0% 99.9%  
15 0% 99.9%  
16 0% 99.9%  
17 0% 99.9%  
18 0% 99.9%  
19 0% 99.9%  
20 0% 99.9%  
21 0% 99.9%  
22 0% 99.9%  
23 0% 99.9%  
24 0% 99.9%  
25 0% 99.9%  
26 0% 99.9%  
27 0% 99.9%  
28 0% 99.9%  
29 0% 99.9%  
30 0% 99.9%  
31 0% 99.9%  
32 0% 99.9%  
33 0% 99.9%  
34 0% 99.9%  
35 0% 99.9%  
36 0% 99.9%  
37 0% 99.9%  
38 0% 99.9%  
39 0.1% 99.9%  
40 0.2% 99.8%  
41 0.3% 99.5%  
42 0.6% 99.2%  
43 0.9% 98.6%  
44 1.4% 98%  
45 2% 96%  
46 3% 94%  
47 4% 91%  
48 4% 87%  
49 5% 83%  
50 6% 78%  
51 7% 72%  
52 7% 65%  
53 7% 58%  
54 9% 51% Median
55 9% 42%  
56 5% 33%  
57 5% 28%  
58 4% 23%  
59 4% 19%  
60 3% 15%  
61 3% 12%  
62 3% 8%  
63 2% 6%  
64 1.1% 4%  
65 0.8% 3%  
66 0.6% 2%  
67 0.3% 1.1%  
68 0.3% 0.8%  
69 0.2% 0.5% Last Result
70 0.1% 0.3%  
71 0.1% 0.2%  
72 0% 0.1%  
73 0% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.1% 100%  
28 0.2% 99.9%  
29 0.3% 99.7%  
30 0.7% 99.4%  
31 1.1% 98.7%  
32 2% 98%  
33 3% 96%  
34 3% 93%  
35 6% 90%  
36 6% 84%  
37 6% 78%  
38 9% 72%  
39 7% 63%  
40 10% 56% Median
41 8% 46%  
42 7% 38%  
43 7% 31%  
44 5% 24%  
45 5% 19%  
46 4% 14% Last Result
47 3% 10%  
48 2% 7%  
49 1.4% 5%  
50 1.3% 3%  
51 0.8% 2%  
52 0.4% 1.2%  
53 0.3% 0.8%  
54 0.2% 0.5%  
55 0.1% 0.3%  
56 0.1% 0.2%  
57 0% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 470 100% 460–485 456–487 451–490 448–497
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 457 100% 444–470 441–473 438–476 432–482
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 411 100% 398–425 394–428 392–432 386–437
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 397 100% 384–410 381–413 376–416 371–423
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 365 84% 353–378 349–382 346–386 339–392
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 351 33% 337–364 333–367 330–370 325–377
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 319 0% 307–333 303–337 300–340 294–347
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 312 0% 299–325 296–328 293–333 286–338
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 305 0% 291–319 288–321 285–325 280–331
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 305 0% 292–318 289–322 286–324 279–331
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 258 0% 246–272 243–275 240–278 234–284
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 198 0% 186–210 183–213 181–216 175–222
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 160 0% 149–171 146–174 144–177 139–183

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
441 0% 100%  
442 0% 99.9%  
443 0% 99.9%  
444 0% 99.9%  
445 0% 99.8%  
446 0.1% 99.8%  
447 0.1% 99.7%  
448 0.3% 99.6%  
449 0.7% 99.3%  
450 0.5% 98.6%  
451 0.7% 98%  
452 0.3% 97%  
453 0.4% 97%  
454 0.7% 97%  
455 0.8% 96%  
456 1.0% 95%  
457 0.9% 94%  
458 0.9% 93%  
459 1.1% 93%  
460 2% 91%  
461 2% 90%  
462 3% 88%  
463 2% 85%  
464 1.5% 83%  
465 3% 82%  
466 5% 79% Last Result
467 6% 74%  
468 11% 68%  
469 5% 58%  
470 3% 53%  
471 3% 50%  
472 2% 47% Median
473 5% 45%  
474 3% 40%  
475 4% 37%  
476 2% 33%  
477 2% 31%  
478 2% 29%  
479 3% 27%  
480 3% 23%  
481 2% 21%  
482 1.1% 19%  
483 2% 18%  
484 3% 16%  
485 3% 13%  
486 4% 10%  
487 2% 6%  
488 1.1% 4%  
489 0.5% 3%  
490 0.4% 3%  
491 0.4% 2%  
492 0.5% 2%  
493 0.3% 1.3%  
494 0.2% 1.0%  
495 0.1% 0.7%  
496 0.1% 0.7%  
497 0.1% 0.5%  
498 0.1% 0.4%  
499 0% 0.3%  
500 0% 0.3%  
501 0% 0.2%  
502 0% 0.2%  
503 0.1% 0.2%  
504 0% 0.1%  
505 0% 0.1%  
506 0% 0.1%  
507 0% 0.1%  
508 0% 0.1%  
509 0% 0.1%  
510 0% 0.1%  
511 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 99.9%  
427 0% 99.9%  
428 0.1% 99.9%  
429 0.1% 99.8%  
430 0.1% 99.7%  
431 0.1% 99.7%  
432 0.1% 99.5%  
433 0.3% 99.4%  
434 0.2% 99.2%  
435 0.3% 99.0%  
436 0.5% 98.6%  
437 0.4% 98%  
438 0.6% 98%  
439 0.8% 97%  
440 1.1% 96%  
441 1.1% 95%  
442 1.3% 94%  
443 2% 93%  
444 1.4% 91%  
445 3% 90%  
446 2% 87%  
447 2% 85%  
448 3% 83%  
449 3% 80%  
450 4% 77%  
451 3% 73%  
452 2% 70%  
453 3% 67%  
454 4% 64%  
455 4% 60%  
456 3% 56%  
457 5% 53% Median
458 4% 48%  
459 4% 44%  
460 3% 40%  
461 5% 37%  
462 3% 32%  
463 3% 29%  
464 3% 26%  
465 3% 22%  
466 3% 20%  
467 3% 17%  
468 2% 15%  
469 2% 12%  
470 2% 10%  
471 2% 9%  
472 1.1% 7%  
473 1.0% 6%  
474 1.0% 5%  
475 0.8% 4%  
476 0.6% 3%  
477 0.5% 2%  
478 0.5% 2%  
479 0.3% 1.4%  
480 0.2% 1.0%  
481 0.2% 0.8%  
482 0.1% 0.6%  
483 0.1% 0.5%  
484 0.1% 0.3%  
485 0.1% 0.3%  
486 0% 0.2%  
487 0% 0.2%  
488 0% 0.1%  
489 0% 0.1%  
490 0% 0.1%  
491 0% 0.1%  
492 0% 0.1%  
493 0% 0.1%  
494 0% 0.1%  
495 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 99.9%  
380 0% 99.9%  
381 0% 99.9%  
382 0.1% 99.9%  
383 0.1% 99.8%  
384 0.1% 99.8%  
385 0.1% 99.6%  
386 0.2% 99.6%  
387 0.2% 99.4%  
388 0.3% 99.2%  
389 0.2% 98.8%  
390 0.6% 98.6%  
391 0.4% 98%  
392 0.9% 98%  
393 0.8% 97%  
394 1.0% 96%  
395 1.3% 95%  
396 1.3% 94%  
397 1.4% 92%  
398 2% 91%  
399 1.3% 89%  
400 3% 88%  
401 2% 85%  
402 2% 83%  
403 2% 81%  
404 4% 79%  
405 2% 75%  
406 4% 73%  
407 3% 69%  
408 3% 66%  
409 5% 62%  
410 5% 58%  
411 3% 53%  
412 4% 50% Median
413 4% 46%  
414 3% 42%  
415 4% 39%  
416 3% 35%  
417 4% 32%  
418 3% 28%  
419 3% 25%  
420 2% 22%  
421 3% 20%  
422 2% 17%  
423 2% 15%  
424 2% 13%  
425 3% 11%  
426 1.3% 8%  
427 1.3% 7%  
428 1.3% 6%  
429 0.8% 4%  
430 0.5% 4%  
431 0.6% 3%  
432 0.6% 3%  
433 0.6% 2%  
434 0.2% 1.4%  
435 0.3% 1.2%  
436 0.1% 0.8%  
437 0.2% 0.7%  
438 0.1% 0.5%  
439 0.1% 0.4%  
440 0.1% 0.3%  
441 0% 0.2%  
442 0% 0.2%  
443 0% 0.2%  
444 0% 0.1%  
445 0% 0.1%  
446 0% 0.1%  
447 0% 0.1%  
448 0% 0%  
449 0% 0%  
450 0% 0%  
451 0% 0%  
452 0% 0%  
453 0% 0%  
454 0% 0%  
455 0% 0%  
456 0% 0%  
457 0% 0%  
458 0% 0%  
459 0% 0%  
460 0% 0%  
461 0% 0%  
462 0% 0%  
463 0% 0%  
464 0% 0%  
465 0% 0%  
466 0% 0%  
467 0% 0%  
468 0% 0%  
469 0% 0%  
470 0% 0%  
471 0% 0%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 99.9%  
364 0% 99.9%  
365 0% 99.9%  
366 0% 99.9%  
367 0% 99.9%  
368 0.1% 99.8%  
369 0.1% 99.8%  
370 0.1% 99.7%  
371 0.2% 99.6%  
372 0.2% 99.4%  
373 0.3% 99.2%  
374 0.3% 98.8%  
375 0.6% 98.5%  
376 0.6% 98%  
377 0.4% 97%  
378 0.5% 97%  
379 0.5% 96%  
380 0.6% 96%  
381 0.7% 95%  
382 2% 95%  
383 3% 93%  
384 2% 90%  
385 3% 88%  
386 3% 85%  
387 2% 82%  
388 3% 80%  
389 3% 76%  
390 2% 74%  
391 3% 72%  
392 2% 69%  
393 3% 66%  
394 3% 64%  
395 3% 61%  
396 5% 58%  
397 6% 52% Median
398 6% 47%  
399 5% 41%  
400 3% 35%  
401 3% 32%  
402 2% 30%  
403 2% 28%  
404 2% 25%  
405 3% 23%  
406 3% 20%  
407 3% 18%  
408 2% 15%  
409 1.5% 13%  
410 3% 11%  
411 1.4% 9%  
412 2% 7%  
413 1.3% 5%  
414 0.7% 4%  
415 0.6% 3%  
416 0.3% 3%  
417 0.5% 2%  
418 0.3% 2%  
419 0.3% 2%  
420 0.3% 1.3% Last Result
421 0.3% 1.1%  
422 0.2% 0.7%  
423 0.1% 0.5%  
424 0.1% 0.4%  
425 0.1% 0.3%  
426 0.1% 0.2%  
427 0% 0.2%  
428 0% 0.1%  
429 0% 0.1%  
430 0% 0.1%  
431 0% 0.1%  
432 0% 0.1%  
433 0% 0.1%  
434 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 99.9%  
334 0% 99.9%  
335 0.1% 99.9%  
336 0.1% 99.8%  
337 0% 99.7%  
338 0.1% 99.7%  
339 0.2% 99.6%  
340 0.1% 99.4%  
341 0% 99.2%  
342 0.3% 99.2%  
343 0.6% 98.9%  
344 0.1% 98%  
345 0.2% 98%  
346 1.2% 98%  
347 0.8% 97%  
348 0.1% 96%  
349 1.5% 96%  
350 2% 94%  
351 0.8% 92%  
352 0.4% 91%  
353 4% 91%  
354 3% 87%  
355 0.2% 84% Majority
356 3% 83%  
357 5% 80%  
358 1.3% 74%  
359 0.7% 73%  
360 5% 72%  
361 6% 68%  
362 0.4% 62%  
363 2% 61%  
364 8% 59%  
365 2% 50% Median
366 0.5% 48%  
367 4% 48%  
368 8% 43%  
369 0.6% 35%  
370 2% 35%  
371 8% 33%  
372 3% 26%  
373 0.4% 23%  
374 4% 22%  
375 5% 19%  
376 0.7% 14%  
377 0.8% 13%  
378 3% 12%  
379 2% 9%  
380 0.2% 7%  
381 1.3% 7%  
382 2% 6%  
383 0.4% 4%  
384 0.3% 4%  
385 0.7% 3%  
386 0.9% 3%  
387 0.1% 2%  
388 0.4% 2%  
389 0.5% 1.4%  
390 0.1% 0.8%  
391 0.1% 0.7%  
392 0.2% 0.7%  
393 0.1% 0.4%  
394 0% 0.3%  
395 0.1% 0.3%  
396 0.1% 0.2%  
397 0% 0.1%  
398 0% 0.1%  
399 0% 0.1%  
400 0% 0.1%  
401 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
300 0% 100% Last Result
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 99.9%  
319 0% 99.9%  
320 0% 99.9%  
321 0% 99.9%  
322 0% 99.8%  
323 0.1% 99.8%  
324 0.1% 99.6%  
325 0.2% 99.5%  
326 0.2% 99.4%  
327 0.4% 99.1%  
328 0.3% 98.8%  
329 0.5% 98%  
330 0.6% 98%  
331 0.8% 97%  
332 0.7% 97%  
333 1.2% 96%  
334 0.9% 95%  
335 2% 94%  
336 1.2% 92%  
337 2% 91%  
338 2% 90%  
339 2% 88%  
340 2% 86%  
341 3% 84%  
342 2% 81%  
343 3% 79%  
344 2% 76%  
345 4% 74%  
346 3% 70%  
347 3% 67%  
348 5% 64%  
349 5% 59%  
350 4% 54%  
351 5% 50% Median
352 4% 45%  
353 4% 41%  
354 3% 36%  
355 4% 33% Majority
356 4% 30%  
357 2% 26%  
358 3% 24%  
359 3% 21%  
360 2% 19%  
361 2% 16%  
362 2% 15%  
363 2% 12%  
364 2% 10%  
365 1.5% 8%  
366 1.0% 7%  
367 1.3% 6%  
368 0.9% 5%  
369 0.5% 4%  
370 0.9% 3%  
371 0.5% 2%  
372 0.4% 2%  
373 0.3% 1.5%  
374 0.3% 1.2%  
375 0.2% 0.9%  
376 0.2% 0.7%  
377 0.1% 0.5%  
378 0.1% 0.4%  
379 0.1% 0.3%  
380 0.1% 0.2%  
381 0% 0.2%  
382 0% 0.1%  
383 0% 0.1%  
384 0% 0.1%  
385 0% 0.1%  
386 0% 0.1%  
387 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 99.9%  
289 0% 99.9%  
290 0.1% 99.9%  
291 0.1% 99.8%  
292 0.1% 99.8%  
293 0.1% 99.7%  
294 0.1% 99.6%  
295 0.2% 99.4%  
296 0.3% 99.2%  
297 0.3% 99.0%  
298 0.6% 98.7%  
299 0.5% 98%  
300 0.7% 98%  
301 0.8% 97%  
302 1.1% 96%  
303 0.7% 95%  
304 1.2% 94%  
305 1.3% 93%  
306 1.3% 92%  
307 2% 90%  
308 2% 89%  
309 2% 87%  
310 2% 85%  
311 2% 83%  
312 3% 80%  
313 3% 78%  
314 4% 74%  
315 2% 70%  
316 6% 68%  
317 5% 62%  
318 4% 57%  
319 4% 53%  
320 4% 49% Median
321 3% 45%  
322 4% 42%  
323 4% 38%  
324 3% 35%  
325 4% 32%  
326 3% 28%  
327 3% 25%  
328 2% 22%  
329 3% 20%  
330 2% 17%  
331 2% 15%  
332 2% 13%  
333 1.2% 11%  
334 2% 10%  
335 1.2% 8%  
336 1.4% 7%  
337 1.1% 5%  
338 1.0% 4%  
339 0.5% 3%  
340 0.7% 3%  
341 0.4% 2%  
342 0.4% 2%  
343 0.3% 1.3%  
344 0.2% 1.0%  
345 0.2% 0.8%  
346 0.1% 0.6%  
347 0.1% 0.5%  
348 0.1% 0.4%  
349 0.1% 0.3%  
350 0.1% 0.2%  
351 0% 0.2%  
352 0% 0.1%  
353 0% 0.1%  
354 0% 0.1%  
355 0% 0% Majority
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 99.9%  
278 0% 99.9%  
279 0% 99.9%  
280 0% 99.9%  
281 0% 99.9%  
282 0% 99.9%  
283 0.1% 99.8%  
284 0.1% 99.8%  
285 0.1% 99.7%  
286 0.1% 99.6%  
287 0.2% 99.5%  
288 0.3% 99.3%  
289 0.3% 98.9% Last Result
290 0.3% 98.7%  
291 0.3% 98%  
292 0.5% 98%  
293 0.3% 98%  
294 0.6% 97%  
295 0.7% 97%  
296 1.3% 96%  
297 2% 95%  
298 1.4% 93%  
299 3% 91%  
300 1.5% 89%  
301 2% 87%  
302 3% 85%  
303 3% 82%  
304 3% 80%  
305 2% 77%  
306 2% 75%  
307 2% 72%  
308 3% 70%  
309 3% 68%  
310 5% 65%  
311 6% 59%  
312 6% 53%  
313 5% 48% Median
314 3% 42%  
315 3% 39%  
316 3% 36%  
317 2% 34%  
318 3% 31%  
319 2% 28%  
320 3% 26%  
321 3% 24%  
322 2% 20%  
323 3% 18%  
324 3% 15%  
325 2% 12%  
326 3% 10%  
327 2% 7%  
328 0.7% 5%  
329 0.6% 5%  
330 0.5% 4%  
331 0.5% 4%  
332 0.4% 3%  
333 0.6% 3%  
334 0.6% 2%  
335 0.3% 1.5%  
336 0.3% 1.2%  
337 0.2% 0.8%  
338 0.2% 0.6%  
339 0.1% 0.4%  
340 0.1% 0.3%  
341 0.1% 0.2%  
342 0% 0.2%  
343 0% 0.1%  
344 0% 0.1%  
345 0% 0.1%  
346 0% 0.1%  
347 0% 0.1%  
348 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 99.9%  
274 0% 99.9%  
275 0% 99.9%  
276 0% 99.9%  
277 0.1% 99.8%  
278 0.1% 99.7%  
279 0.1% 99.7%  
280 0.2% 99.5%  
281 0.2% 99.3%  
282 0.3% 99.1%  
283 0.5% 98.8%  
284 0.5% 98%  
285 0.8% 98%  
286 0.7% 97%  
287 0.8% 96%  
288 0.9% 96%  
289 1.2% 95%  
290 2% 93%  
291 2% 92%  
292 2% 90%  
293 2% 88%  
294 2% 86%  
295 1.3% 83%  
296 2% 82%  
297 3% 80%  
298 3% 76%  
299 4% 74%  
300 3% 70%  
301 3% 67%  
302 3% 64%  
303 5% 61%  
304 4% 55%  
305 5% 51% Median
306 5% 46%  
307 3% 41%  
308 3% 38%  
309 4% 35%  
310 3% 32%  
311 3% 29%  
312 2% 26%  
313 3% 23%  
314 2% 20%  
315 2% 18%  
316 2% 16%  
317 1.5% 14%  
318 2% 13%  
319 2% 10%  
320 1.3% 8%  
321 2% 7%  
322 0.8% 5%  
323 0.7% 4%  
324 0.6% 3%  
325 0.7% 3%  
326 0.5% 2% Last Result
327 0.4% 2%  
328 0.3% 1.3%  
329 0.2% 1.0%  
330 0.2% 0.8%  
331 0.2% 0.6%  
332 0.1% 0.4%  
333 0.1% 0.3%  
334 0% 0.3%  
335 0.1% 0.2%  
336 0% 0.2%  
337 0% 0.1%  
338 0% 0.1%  
339 0% 0.1%  
340 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 99.9%  
275 0.1% 99.9%  
276 0.1% 99.8%  
277 0.1% 99.8%  
278 0.1% 99.7%  
279 0.1% 99.5%  
280 0.2% 99.4%  
281 0.2% 99.2%  
282 0.2% 99.0%  
283 0.3% 98.8%  
284 0.4% 98.6%  
285 0.3% 98%  
286 0.6% 98%  
287 0.6% 97%  
288 1.1% 97%  
289 1.4% 96%  
290 2% 94%  
291 3% 93%  
292 2% 90%  
293 2% 88%  
294 3% 86%  
295 2% 83%  
296 3% 81%  
297 2% 78%  
298 3% 76%  
299 2% 73%  
300 3% 71%  
301 3% 68%  
302 3% 65%  
303 4% 62%  
304 6% 58%  
305 5% 52% Median
306 5% 47%  
307 4% 42%  
308 4% 37%  
309 3% 33%  
310 3% 30%  
311 2% 26%  
312 2% 24%  
313 2% 22%  
314 2% 19%  
315 2% 17%  
316 2% 15%  
317 2% 13%  
318 2% 12%  
319 2% 10%  
320 1.1% 8%  
321 1.4% 7%  
322 0.9% 5%  
323 1.1% 4%  
324 0.8% 3%  
325 0.5% 2%  
326 0.5% 2%  
327 0.4% 2%  
328 0.2% 1.2%  
329 0.2% 1.0%  
330 0.1% 0.7%  
331 0.1% 0.6%  
332 0.1% 0.5%  
333 0.1% 0.4%  
334 0.1% 0.3%  
335 0.1% 0.2%  
336 0.1% 0.2%  
337 0% 0.1%  
338 0% 0.1%  
339 0% 0.1%  
340 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 99.9%  
229 0% 99.9%  
230 0% 99.9%  
231 0.1% 99.8%  
232 0.1% 99.8%  
233 0.1% 99.7%  
234 0.2% 99.6%  
235 0.2% 99.4%  
236 0.3% 99.2%  
237 0.3% 98.9%  
238 0.3% 98.6%  
239 0.6% 98%  
240 0.8% 98%  
241 0.7% 97%  
242 1.1% 96%  
243 1.0% 95%  
244 1.2% 94%  
245 1.1% 93%  
246 2% 92%  
247 2% 90%  
248 2% 88%  
249 3% 86%  
250 2% 83%  
251 3% 81%  
252 4% 78%  
253 3% 74%  
254 4% 71%  
255 5% 67%  
256 6% 63%  
257 2% 56%  
258 6% 54%  
259 3% 48% Median
260 4% 44%  
261 3% 41%  
262 3% 37%  
263 3% 34%  
264 3% 31%  
265 2% 28%  
266 3% 26%  
267 2% 22%  
268 3% 20%  
269 3% 17%  
270 2% 15%  
271 2% 13%  
272 2% 11%  
273 2% 9%  
274 2% 7%  
275 1.3% 6%  
276 0.9% 4%  
277 0.5% 3%  
278 0.8% 3%  
279 0.5% 2%  
280 0.2% 2%  
281 0.4% 1.4%  
282 0.2% 1.0%  
283 0.2% 0.8%  
284 0.1% 0.6%  
285 0.1% 0.4%  
286 0.1% 0.4%  
287 0.1% 0.3%  
288 0.1% 0.2%  
289 0% 0.2%  
290 0% 0.1%  
291 0% 0.1%  
292 0% 0.1%  
293 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 99.9%  
171 0% 99.9%  
172 0.1% 99.9%  
173 0.1% 99.8%  
174 0.1% 99.8%  
175 0.2% 99.6%  
176 0.2% 99.5%  
177 0.3% 99.3%  
178 0.4% 99.0%  
179 0.5% 98.6%  
180 0.4% 98%  
181 0.7% 98%  
182 1.3% 97%  
183 0.9% 96%  
184 1.1% 95%  
185 2% 94%  
186 2% 92%  
187 2% 90%  
188 2% 88%  
189 3% 86%  
190 3% 83%  
191 3% 80%  
192 3% 77%  
193 5% 74%  
194 4% 70%  
195 4% 66%  
196 3% 62%  
197 6% 59%  
198 4% 53%  
199 3% 49% Median
200 7% 47%  
201 4% 40%  
202 3% 36%  
203 3% 33%  
204 5% 30%  
205 4% 25%  
206 2% 21%  
207 4% 19%  
208 2% 16%  
209 2% 13%  
210 2% 11%  
211 2% 10%  
212 2% 8%  
213 0.9% 6%  
214 0.7% 5%  
215 0.9% 4%  
216 1.0% 3%  
217 0.4% 2%  
218 0.3% 2%  
219 0.3% 1.4%  
220 0.4% 1.1%  
221 0.1% 0.7%  
222 0.2% 0.6%  
223 0.1% 0.5%  
224 0.1% 0.4%  
225 0.1% 0.3%  
226 0.1% 0.2%  
227 0% 0.1%  
228 0% 0.1%  
229 0% 0.1%  
230 0% 0.1%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 99.9%  
119 0% 99.9%  
120 0% 99.9%  
121 0% 99.9%  
122 0% 99.9%  
123 0% 99.9%  
124 0% 99.9%  
125 0% 99.9%  
126 0% 99.9%  
127 0% 99.9%  
128 0% 99.9%  
129 0% 99.9%  
130 0% 99.9%  
131 0% 99.9%  
132 0% 99.9%  
133 0% 99.9%  
134 0% 99.9%  
135 0% 99.8%  
136 0.1% 99.8%  
137 0.1% 99.7%  
138 0.1% 99.6%  
139 0.2% 99.5%  
140 0.3% 99.4%  
141 0.3% 99.0%  
142 0.4% 98.7%  
143 0.6% 98%  
144 0.9% 98%  
145 0.6% 97%  
146 2% 96%  
147 1.1% 95%  
148 1.4% 94%  
149 2% 92%  
150 3% 90%  
151 2% 87%  
152 3% 85%  
153 3% 82%  
154 3% 78%  
155 5% 76%  
156 4% 70%  
157 3% 66%  
158 3% 63%  
159 6% 59%  
160 4% 53%  
161 5% 49% Median
162 4% 44%  
163 4% 39%  
164 4% 36%  
165 6% 32%  
166 2% 26%  
167 4% 24%  
168 3% 20%  
169 3% 17%  
170 2% 14%  
171 3% 12%  
172 1.5% 9%  
173 1.2% 8%  
174 2% 6%  
175 0.9% 5%  
176 0.8% 4%  
177 0.9% 3%  
178 0.4% 2%  
179 0.3% 2%  
180 0.5% 1.4%  
181 0.2% 0.9%  
182 0.2% 0.7%  
183 0.1% 0.5%  
184 0.1% 0.4%  
185 0.1% 0.3%  
186 0.1% 0.2%  
187 0% 0.1%  
188 0% 0.1%  
189 0% 0.1%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations