Opinion Poll by Forsa, 8–14 June 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 22.7% 21.5–24.0% 21.2–24.4% 20.9–24.7% 20.3–25.3%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 21.0% 19.8–22.2% 19.5–22.6% 19.2–22.9% 18.7–23.5%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 14.0% 13.0–15.1% 12.7–15.4% 12.5–15.6% 12.0–16.2%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 14.0% 13.0–15.1% 12.7–15.4% 12.5–15.6% 12.0–16.2%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 9.0% 8.2–9.9% 8.0–10.2% 7.8–10.4% 7.4–10.8%
Die Linke 9.2% 7.0% 6.3–7.8% 6.1–8.0% 5.9–8.2% 5.6–8.6%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 5.3% 4.6–6.0% 4.5–6.2% 4.3–6.4% 4.1–6.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 173 163–182 161–185 159–187 155–192
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 160 151–169 149–172 146–174 142–179
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 106 99–115 97–117 95–118 92–122
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 107 99–114 97–117 96–119 92–122
Alternative für Deutschland 94 69 62–75 61–77 59–79 57–82
Die Linke 69 54 48–59 46–61 45–62 43–66
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 40 35–45 34–47 33–48 31–51

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
150 0% 100%  
151 0.1% 99.9%  
152 0% 99.9%  
153 0.1% 99.8%  
154 0.2% 99.8%  
155 0.2% 99.5%  
156 0.3% 99.3%  
157 0.7% 99.0%  
158 0.3% 98%  
159 0.5% 98%  
160 2% 97%  
161 0.9% 96%  
162 1.2% 95%  
163 4% 94%  
164 2% 90%  
165 1.4% 88%  
166 6% 87%  
167 4% 81%  
168 2% 77%  
169 7% 75%  
170 6% 68%  
171 3% 62%  
172 8% 59%  
173 6% 51% Median
174 2% 45%  
175 8% 43%  
176 6% 36%  
177 2% 29%  
178 5% 27%  
179 4% 22%  
180 2% 18%  
181 3% 16%  
182 4% 13%  
183 1.1% 9%  
184 2% 8%  
185 2% 6%  
186 0.5% 4%  
187 1.3% 4%  
188 0.7% 2%  
189 0.2% 1.5%  
190 0.3% 1.3%  
191 0.4% 0.9%  
192 0.1% 0.5%  
193 0.1% 0.4%  
194 0.2% 0.3%  
195 0% 0.1%  
196 0% 0.1%  
197 0% 0.1%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 99.9%  
139 0.1% 99.9%  
140 0.1% 99.9%  
141 0.1% 99.8%  
142 0.3% 99.6%  
143 0.2% 99.4%  
144 0.5% 99.2%  
145 0.5% 98.6%  
146 0.7% 98%  
147 1.0% 97%  
148 1.3% 96%  
149 2% 95%  
150 2% 93%  
151 3% 91%  
152 3% 89%  
153 4% 86%  
154 3% 82%  
155 5% 79%  
156 5% 73%  
157 5% 69%  
158 7% 64%  
159 5% 57%  
160 6% 53% Median
161 5% 47%  
162 6% 42%  
163 5% 35%  
164 5% 31%  
165 4% 25%  
166 4% 21%  
167 3% 17%  
168 3% 14%  
169 3% 12%  
170 2% 8%  
171 2% 7%  
172 1.2% 5%  
173 1.2% 4%  
174 0.8% 3%  
175 0.5% 2%  
176 0.4% 1.4%  
177 0.3% 1.0%  
178 0.2% 0.7%  
179 0.2% 0.5%  
180 0.1% 0.3%  
181 0.1% 0.2%  
182 0% 0.1%  
183 0% 0.1%  
184 0% 0.1%  
185 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
88 0% 100%  
89 0.1% 99.9%  
90 0.1% 99.9%  
91 0.2% 99.7%  
92 0.3% 99.5%  
93 0.3% 99.2%  
94 0.6% 98.9%  
95 0.9% 98%  
96 2% 97%  
97 2% 95%  
98 2% 94%  
99 2% 92%  
100 4% 90%  
101 6% 85%  
102 5% 79%  
103 5% 74%  
104 4% 69%  
105 8% 66%  
106 8% 57% Median
107 6% 49%  
108 5% 43%  
109 4% 37%  
110 8% 33%  
111 5% 26%  
112 5% 21%  
113 3% 16%  
114 2% 13%  
115 2% 10%  
116 2% 8%  
117 2% 5%  
118 1.0% 3%  
119 0.6% 2%  
120 0.5% 2%  
121 0.5% 1.3%  
122 0.4% 0.8%  
123 0.2% 0.5%  
124 0.1% 0.3%  
125 0.1% 0.2%  
126 0.1% 0.1%  
127 0.1% 0.1%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0% 100% Last Result
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0.1% 100%  
89 0.1% 99.9%  
90 0.1% 99.8%  
91 0.2% 99.7%  
92 0.2% 99.6%  
93 0.4% 99.3%  
94 0.4% 98.9%  
95 0.6% 98.5%  
96 1.1% 98%  
97 3% 97%  
98 3% 94%  
99 4% 91%  
100 4% 87%  
101 5% 84%  
102 4% 78%  
103 4% 74%  
104 4% 70%  
105 4% 67%  
106 6% 63%  
107 8% 57% Median
108 11% 49%  
109 7% 39%  
110 7% 32%  
111 7% 25%  
112 5% 19%  
113 3% 14%  
114 2% 11%  
115 2% 10%  
116 2% 8%  
117 2% 6%  
118 1.4% 4%  
119 0.8% 3%  
120 0.6% 2%  
121 0.6% 1.4%  
122 0.4% 0.8%  
123 0.1% 0.4%  
124 0.1% 0.3%  
125 0% 0.2%  
126 0.1% 0.2%  
127 0% 0.1%  
128 0% 0.1%  
129 0% 0%  

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0% 100%  
54 0.1% 99.9%  
55 0.1% 99.9%  
56 0.2% 99.8%  
57 0.5% 99.6%  
58 0.7% 99.1%  
59 1.0% 98%  
60 2% 97%  
61 2% 96%  
62 4% 93%  
63 4% 90%  
64 4% 85%  
65 6% 81%  
66 7% 75%  
67 9% 68%  
68 8% 59%  
69 8% 51% Median
70 8% 43%  
71 7% 35%  
72 6% 28%  
73 5% 21%  
74 4% 16%  
75 4% 13%  
76 3% 9%  
77 2% 6%  
78 2% 4%  
79 0.9% 3%  
80 0.7% 2%  
81 0.4% 1.1%  
82 0.3% 0.7%  
83 0.2% 0.4%  
84 0.1% 0.2%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0% Last Result

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0% 100%  
41 0.1% 99.9%  
42 0.3% 99.8%  
43 0.4% 99.6%  
44 0.6% 99.1%  
45 1.2% 98%  
46 3% 97%  
47 2% 95%  
48 5% 93%  
49 5% 87%  
50 5% 83%  
51 11% 78%  
52 7% 67%  
53 10% 60%  
54 10% 50% Median
55 8% 40%  
56 7% 32%  
57 6% 24%  
58 4% 18%  
59 4% 14%  
60 4% 9%  
61 1.3% 6%  
62 2% 5%  
63 0.9% 2%  
64 0.6% 2%  
65 0.4% 0.9%  
66 0.3% 0.6%  
67 0.1% 0.3%  
68 0.1% 0.2%  
69 0% 0.1% Last Result
70 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.1% 100%  
30 0.2% 99.9%  
31 0.4% 99.7%  
32 0.9% 99.3%  
33 2% 98%  
34 2% 97%  
35 5% 94%  
36 5% 90%  
37 6% 84%  
38 13% 78%  
39 10% 65%  
40 9% 55% Median
41 11% 46%  
42 10% 35%  
43 6% 25%  
44 5% 19%  
45 5% 14%  
46 3% 9% Last Result
47 2% 6%  
48 2% 4%  
49 0.8% 2%  
50 0.5% 1.2%  
51 0.4% 0.8%  
52 0.2% 0.4%  
53 0.1% 0.2%  
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 480 100% 470–490 467–493 464–496 460–500
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 480 100% 470–490 467–493 465–495 460–500
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 427 100% 416–437 413–440 411–443 406–448
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 389 100% 378–399 375–403 373–405 367–411
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 373 98.7% 363–384 359–387 357–390 352–395
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 300 373 98.8% 363–384 360–387 357–390 352–395
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 320 0% 309–331 307–333 304–337 299–342
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 320 0% 310–331 306–334 304–336 298–342
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 320 0% 310–331 306–334 304–336 299–342
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 282 0% 272–292 269–296 266–298 261–304
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 266 0% 256–277 253–280 251–283 246–288
Freie Demokratische Partei – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 233 213 0% 204–223 201–226 199–229 194–234
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 160 0% 151–169 149–172 147–174 142–179

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 100%  
436 0% 100%  
437 0% 100%  
438 0% 100%  
439 0% 100%  
440 0% 100%  
441 0% 100%  
442 0% 100%  
443 0% 100%  
444 0% 100%  
445 0% 100%  
446 0% 100%  
447 0% 100%  
448 0% 100%  
449 0% 100%  
450 0% 100%  
451 0% 100%  
452 0% 100%  
453 0% 100%  
454 0% 100%  
455 0% 99.9%  
456 0.1% 99.9%  
457 0.1% 99.8%  
458 0.1% 99.8%  
459 0.1% 99.6%  
460 0.3% 99.5%  
461 0.2% 99.2%  
462 0.5% 99.0%  
463 0.5% 98%  
464 0.8% 98%  
465 0.7% 97%  
466 1.1% 97%  
467 1.1% 95%  
468 2% 94%  
469 2% 93%  
470 2% 91%  
471 2% 89%  
472 2% 87%  
473 3% 84%  
474 4% 81%  
475 4% 77%  
476 4% 74%  
477 5% 70%  
478 6% 65%  
479 5% 59%  
480 6% 54% Median
481 5% 48%  
482 7% 43%  
483 4% 35%  
484 6% 32%  
485 2% 26%  
486 5% 24%  
487 2% 18%  
488 3% 16%  
489 2% 13%  
490 2% 11%  
491 2% 8%  
492 1.3% 7%  
493 1.0% 5%  
494 1.1% 4%  
495 0.7% 3%  
496 0.7% 3%  
497 0.6% 2%  
498 0.4% 1.3%  
499 0.2% 0.9%  
500 0.3% 0.7%  
501 0.1% 0.4%  
502 0.1% 0.3%  
503 0.1% 0.2%  
504 0% 0.1%  
505 0% 0.1%  
506 0% 0.1%  
507 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
454 0% 100%  
455 0% 99.9%  
456 0% 99.9%  
457 0.1% 99.8%  
458 0.1% 99.8%  
459 0.1% 99.6%  
460 0.2% 99.5%  
461 0.2% 99.3%  
462 0.4% 99.1%  
463 0.6% 98.7%  
464 0.6% 98%  
465 1.0% 98%  
466 0.9% 97% Last Result
467 1.4% 96%  
468 1.1% 94%  
469 2% 93%  
470 2% 91%  
471 3% 89%  
472 5% 86%  
473 3% 82%  
474 3% 79%  
475 4% 76%  
476 6% 72%  
477 5% 66%  
478 5% 61%  
479 5% 57% Median
480 6% 51%  
481 4% 45%  
482 4% 41%  
483 4% 36%  
484 4% 32%  
485 4% 28%  
486 4% 24%  
487 4% 21%  
488 3% 16%  
489 3% 14%  
490 2% 11%  
491 2% 9%  
492 1.3% 7%  
493 1.5% 5%  
494 1.1% 4%  
495 0.8% 3%  
496 0.5% 2%  
497 0.5% 2%  
498 0.4% 1.1%  
499 0.2% 0.7%  
500 0.2% 0.6%  
501 0.1% 0.4%  
502 0.1% 0.3%  
503 0% 0.2%  
504 0.1% 0.1%  
505 0% 0.1%  
506 0% 0.1%  
507 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 99.9%  
401 0% 99.9%  
402 0.1% 99.9%  
403 0.1% 99.8%  
404 0.1% 99.7%  
405 0.2% 99.7%  
406 0.2% 99.5%  
407 0.3% 99.3%  
408 0.4% 99.1%  
409 0.5% 98.7%  
410 0.5% 98%  
411 1.0% 98%  
412 0.9% 97%  
413 0.9% 96%  
414 1.2% 95%  
415 3% 94%  
416 2% 91%  
417 2% 89%  
418 3% 86%  
419 3% 84%  
420 3% 81%  
421 3% 78%  
422 5% 75%  
423 6% 70%  
424 4% 64%  
425 4% 60%  
426 5% 56% Median
427 4% 51%  
428 5% 47%  
429 5% 42%  
430 5% 37%  
431 5% 32%  
432 4% 28%  
433 3% 23%  
434 3% 21%  
435 3% 18%  
436 4% 15%  
437 2% 11%  
438 2% 9%  
439 2% 8%  
440 1.0% 5%  
441 0.7% 4%  
442 1.0% 4%  
443 0.7% 3%  
444 0.5% 2%  
445 0.4% 1.5%  
446 0.3% 1.0%  
447 0.2% 0.7%  
448 0.2% 0.6%  
449 0.1% 0.4%  
450 0.1% 0.3%  
451 0.1% 0.2%  
452 0.1% 0.1%  
453 0% 0.1%  
454 0% 0.1%  
455 0% 0%  
456 0% 0%  
457 0% 0%  
458 0% 0%  
459 0% 0%  
460 0% 0%  
461 0% 0%  
462 0% 0%  
463 0% 0%  
464 0% 0%  
465 0% 0%  
466 0% 0%  
467 0% 0%  
468 0% 0%  
469 0% 0%  
470 0% 0%  
471 0% 0%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 99.9%  
363 0% 99.9%  
364 0% 99.9%  
365 0.1% 99.8%  
366 0.2% 99.8%  
367 0.2% 99.6%  
368 0.3% 99.4%  
369 0.2% 99.1%  
370 0.3% 99.0%  
371 0.3% 98.7%  
372 0.7% 98%  
373 1.1% 98%  
374 0.9% 97%  
375 1.2% 96%  
376 1.1% 94%  
377 2% 93%  
378 2% 92%  
379 2% 90%  
380 4% 87%  
381 2% 83%  
382 3% 81%  
383 3% 78%  
384 4% 75%  
385 5% 71%  
386 5% 65%  
387 6% 60%  
388 3% 54%  
389 4% 51% Median
390 3% 47%  
391 5% 44%  
392 5% 38%  
393 6% 34%  
394 2% 27%  
395 4% 25%  
396 2% 20%  
397 4% 18%  
398 2% 15%  
399 4% 12%  
400 1.0% 9%  
401 2% 8%  
402 0.8% 6%  
403 1.1% 5%  
404 0.9% 4%  
405 0.9% 3%  
406 0.6% 2%  
407 0.6% 2%  
408 0.2% 1.2%  
409 0.2% 0.9%  
410 0.2% 0.7%  
411 0.2% 0.5%  
412 0.1% 0.3%  
413 0% 0.2%  
414 0% 0.2%  
415 0% 0.1%  
416 0% 0.1%  
417 0% 0.1%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 99.9%  
348 0% 99.9%  
349 0.1% 99.8%  
350 0.1% 99.8%  
351 0.1% 99.7%  
352 0.2% 99.5%  
353 0.3% 99.3%  
354 0.3% 99.1%  
355 0.5% 98.7% Majority
356 0.6% 98%  
357 0.6% 98%  
358 1.0% 97%  
359 1.0% 96%  
360 1.3% 95%  
361 2% 94%  
362 2% 92%  
363 2% 90%  
364 3% 88%  
365 2% 85%  
366 4% 83%  
367 5% 79%  
368 3% 74%  
369 5% 72%  
370 5% 67%  
371 4% 62%  
372 5% 58%  
373 4% 53% Median
374 6% 49%  
375 5% 43%  
376 5% 39%  
377 4% 34%  
378 4% 30%  
379 5% 27%  
380 3% 22%  
381 3% 19%  
382 2% 16%  
383 2% 13%  
384 2% 11%  
385 1.5% 8%  
386 1.4% 7%  
387 1.1% 5%  
388 0.9% 4%  
389 0.9% 3%  
390 0.6% 3%  
391 0.5% 2%  
392 0.3% 1.5%  
393 0.4% 1.2%  
394 0.2% 0.7%  
395 0.1% 0.6%  
396 0.1% 0.4%  
397 0.1% 0.3%  
398 0% 0.2%  
399 0.1% 0.1%  
400 0% 0.1%  
401 0% 0.1%  
402 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
300 0% 100% Last Result
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 99.9%  
348 0% 99.9%  
349 0.1% 99.8%  
350 0.1% 99.7%  
351 0.1% 99.7%  
352 0.2% 99.5%  
353 0.3% 99.4%  
354 0.3% 99.1%  
355 0.3% 98.8% Majority
356 0.7% 98%  
357 0.9% 98%  
358 0.8% 97%  
359 1.0% 96%  
360 1.1% 95%  
361 1.1% 94%  
362 2% 93%  
363 3% 91%  
364 2% 88%  
365 3% 86%  
366 4% 83%  
367 4% 79%  
368 3% 76%  
369 4% 72%  
370 4% 68%  
371 5% 64%  
372 3% 59%  
373 6% 56% Median
374 5% 50%  
375 4% 45%  
376 6% 41%  
377 5% 35%  
378 3% 30%  
379 4% 28%  
380 4% 24%  
381 3% 20%  
382 3% 17%  
383 2% 14%  
384 3% 12%  
385 2% 9%  
386 1.4% 7%  
387 2% 6%  
388 0.8% 4%  
389 0.6% 3%  
390 0.6% 3%  
391 0.6% 2%  
392 0.5% 2%  
393 0.2% 1.0%  
394 0.3% 0.8%  
395 0.2% 0.5%  
396 0.1% 0.4%  
397 0.1% 0.3%  
398 0.1% 0.2%  
399 0% 0.1%  
400 0% 0.1%  
401 0% 0.1%  
402 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 99.9%  
295 0.1% 99.9%  
296 0.1% 99.8%  
297 0.1% 99.8%  
298 0.1% 99.7%  
299 0.1% 99.5%  
300 0.2% 99.4%  
301 0.4% 99.2%  
302 0.5% 98.8%  
303 0.7% 98%  
304 0.7% 98%  
305 0.7% 97%  
306 0.8% 96%  
307 2% 95%  
308 3% 94%  
309 2% 91%  
310 2% 89%  
311 2% 87%  
312 3% 85%  
313 3% 82%  
314 3% 78%  
315 6% 75%  
316 5% 69%  
317 4% 65%  
318 6% 61%  
319 4% 55% Median
320 5% 51%  
321 4% 46%  
322 4% 42%  
323 4% 37%  
324 4% 33%  
325 4% 29%  
326 4% 25%  
327 3% 21%  
328 2% 18%  
329 3% 16%  
330 3% 13%  
331 2% 10%  
332 2% 8%  
333 1.2% 6%  
334 0.7% 5%  
335 0.8% 4%  
336 0.8% 3%  
337 0.8% 3%  
338 0.4% 2%  
339 0.4% 1.4%  
340 0.3% 1.0%  
341 0.1% 0.7%  
342 0.2% 0.5%  
343 0.1% 0.4%  
344 0.1% 0.3%  
345 0.1% 0.2%  
346 0% 0.1%  
347 0% 0.1%  
348 0% 0.1%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0% Majority
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 99.9%  
294 0% 99.9%  
295 0% 99.9%  
296 0% 99.8%  
297 0.1% 99.8%  
298 0.2% 99.7%  
299 0.2% 99.5%  
300 0.2% 99.3%  
301 0.2% 99.1%  
302 0.6% 98.8%  
303 0.6% 98%  
304 0.9% 98%  
305 0.9% 97%  
306 1.1% 96%  
307 0.8% 95%  
308 2% 94%  
309 1.0% 92%  
310 4% 91%  
311 2% 88%  
312 4% 85%  
313 2% 82%  
314 4% 80%  
315 2% 75%  
316 6% 73%  
317 5% 66%  
318 5% 62%  
319 3% 56%  
320 4% 53% Median
321 3% 49%  
322 6% 46%  
323 5% 40%  
324 5% 35%  
325 4% 29%  
326 3% 25%  
327 3% 22%  
328 2% 19%  
329 4% 17%  
330 2% 13%  
331 2% 10%  
332 2% 8%  
333 1.1% 7%  
334 1.2% 6%  
335 0.9% 4%  
336 1.1% 3%  
337 0.7% 2%  
338 0.3% 2%  
339 0.3% 1.3%  
340 0.2% 1.0%  
341 0.3% 0.9%  
342 0.2% 0.6%  
343 0.2% 0.4%  
344 0.1% 0.2%  
345 0% 0.2%  
346 0% 0.1%  
347 0% 0.1%  
348 0% 0.1%  
349 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 99.9%  
295 0.1% 99.9%  
296 0.1% 99.8%  
297 0.1% 99.8%  
298 0.1% 99.7%  
299 0.2% 99.5%  
300 0.3% 99.4%  
301 0.4% 99.0%  
302 0.4% 98.7%  
303 0.4% 98%  
304 0.8% 98%  
305 0.8% 97%  
306 1.4% 96%  
307 2% 95%  
308 1.1% 93%  
309 2% 92%  
310 3% 90%  
311 3% 88%  
312 3% 84%  
313 3% 82%  
314 4% 79%  
315 4% 74%  
316 2% 70%  
317 6% 68%  
318 7% 62%  
319 4% 56%  
320 4% 52% Median
321 3% 48%  
322 8% 45%  
323 4% 37%  
324 4% 33%  
325 5% 29%  
326 3% 24% Last Result
327 3% 21%  
328 3% 18%  
329 3% 16%  
330 3% 13%  
331 2% 10%  
332 1.3% 8%  
333 1.2% 7%  
334 1.4% 6%  
335 1.3% 4%  
336 0.6% 3%  
337 0.4% 2%  
338 0.6% 2%  
339 0.4% 1.5%  
340 0.3% 1.1%  
341 0.2% 0.8%  
342 0.2% 0.6%  
343 0.1% 0.4%  
344 0.1% 0.3%  
345 0% 0.2%  
346 0.1% 0.1%  
347 0% 0.1%  
348 0% 0.1%  
349 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 99.9%  
257 0% 99.9%  
258 0.1% 99.9%  
259 0.1% 99.8%  
260 0.1% 99.8%  
261 0.2% 99.7%  
262 0.3% 99.4%  
263 0.2% 99.1%  
264 0.4% 98.9%  
265 0.4% 98.5%  
266 0.6% 98%  
267 1.2% 97%  
268 1.0% 96%  
269 0.9% 95%  
270 1.0% 94%  
271 3% 93%  
272 3% 90%  
273 3% 87%  
274 3% 85%  
275 3% 82%  
276 4% 79%  
277 6% 75%  
278 4% 69%  
279 4% 65%  
280 4% 61%  
281 5% 57%  
282 5% 53% Median
283 7% 47%  
284 4% 41%  
285 3% 36%  
286 4% 33%  
287 4% 29%  
288 4% 25%  
289 3% 21%  
290 2% 17%  
291 3% 16%  
292 3% 13%  
293 2% 10%  
294 1.3% 8%  
295 1.2% 6%  
296 1.1% 5%  
297 0.9% 4%  
298 1.1% 3%  
299 0.4% 2%  
300 0.3% 2%  
301 0.4% 1.3%  
302 0.2% 0.9%  
303 0.2% 0.7%  
304 0.2% 0.5%  
305 0.1% 0.3%  
306 0.1% 0.3%  
307 0.1% 0.2%  
308 0% 0.1%  
309 0% 0.1%  
310 0% 0.1%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0%  
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 99.9%  
242 0% 99.9%  
243 0.1% 99.9%  
244 0.1% 99.8%  
245 0.2% 99.7%  
246 0.2% 99.5%  
247 0.3% 99.4%  
248 0.4% 99.1%  
249 0.4% 98.7%  
250 0.7% 98%  
251 0.6% 98%  
252 0.9% 97%  
253 1.3% 96%  
254 2% 95%  
255 2% 93%  
256 2% 92%  
257 3% 89%  
258 2% 87%  
259 4% 85%  
260 3% 81%  
261 4% 78%  
262 4% 74%  
263 5% 70%  
264 5% 65%  
265 5% 60%  
266 5% 55% Median
267 3% 49%  
268 6% 46%  
269 4% 40%  
270 5% 36%  
271 4% 31%  
272 4% 27%  
273 4% 23%  
274 3% 20%  
275 3% 16%  
276 2% 14%  
277 2% 12%  
278 3% 10%  
279 1.4% 7%  
280 1.3% 6%  
281 1.0% 4%  
282 0.5% 3%  
283 0.8% 3%  
284 0.5% 2%  
285 0.4% 1.5%  
286 0.3% 1.0%  
287 0.2% 0.7%  
288 0.2% 0.5%  
289 0.1% 0.4%  
290 0.1% 0.3%  
291 0% 0.2%  
292 0% 0.1%  
293 0% 0.1%  
294 0% 0.1%  
295 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
189 0% 100%  
190 0% 99.9%  
191 0.1% 99.9%  
192 0.1% 99.8%  
193 0.1% 99.7%  
194 0.1% 99.5%  
195 0.3% 99.4%  
196 0.3% 99.2%  
197 0.7% 98.8%  
198 0.5% 98%  
199 0.9% 98%  
200 1.2% 97%  
201 2% 96%  
202 2% 94%  
203 2% 92%  
204 3% 90%  
205 2% 87%  
206 2% 84%  
207 3% 82%  
208 4% 79%  
209 6% 75%  
210 4% 69%  
211 3% 65%  
212 7% 62%  
213 6% 54% Median
214 5% 49%  
215 4% 44%  
216 4% 40%  
217 5% 35%  
218 5% 30%  
219 3% 26%  
220 5% 23%  
221 3% 18%  
222 4% 15%  
223 2% 11%  
224 2% 9%  
225 2% 8%  
226 1.3% 6%  
227 1.0% 4%  
228 0.7% 3%  
229 0.7% 3%  
230 0.6% 2%  
231 0.4% 1.4%  
232 0.2% 1.0%  
233 0.3% 0.8% Last Result
234 0.2% 0.5%  
235 0.1% 0.3%  
236 0.1% 0.2%  
237 0.1% 0.2%  
238 0% 0.1%  
239 0% 0.1%  
240 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 99.9%  
139 0.1% 99.9%  
140 0.1% 99.9%  
141 0.1% 99.8%  
142 0.2% 99.7%  
143 0.2% 99.5%  
144 0.4% 99.3%  
145 0.6% 98.9%  
146 0.6% 98%  
147 0.6% 98%  
148 2% 97%  
149 2% 95%  
150 2% 94%  
151 2% 92%  
152 3% 90%  
153 3% 87%  
154 4% 84%  
155 5% 80%  
156 4% 75%  
157 6% 71%  
158 5% 65%  
159 6% 60%  
160 6% 54% Median
161 6% 48%  
162 5% 42%  
163 6% 37%  
164 5% 30%  
165 4% 26%  
166 3% 22%  
167 4% 19%  
168 3% 15%  
169 3% 11%  
170 2% 9%  
171 2% 7%  
172 2% 6%  
173 0.9% 4%  
174 1.0% 3%  
175 0.7% 2%  
176 0.4% 2%  
177 0.3% 1.1%  
178 0.3% 0.8%  
179 0.1% 0.5%  
180 0.2% 0.4%  
181 0.1% 0.2%  
182 0.1% 0.2%  
183 0% 0.1%  
184 0% 0.1%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations