Opinion Poll by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, 22–24 June 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 23.6% 21.9–25.4% 21.4–25.9% 21.0–26.4% 20.2–27.3%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 22.0% 20.4–23.8% 19.9–24.3% 19.5–24.8% 18.8–25.7%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 14.0% 12.6–15.5% 12.3–15.9% 11.9–16.3% 11.3–17.1%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 10.0% 8.9–11.4% 8.6–11.8% 8.3–12.1% 7.8–12.8%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 10.0% 8.9–11.4% 8.6–11.8% 8.3–12.1% 7.8–12.8%
Die Linke 9.2% 7.0% 6.1–8.2% 5.8–8.6% 5.6–8.8% 5.2–9.4%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 5.4% 4.6–6.4% 4.3–6.7% 4.1–7.0% 3.8–7.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 181 168–195 165–199 161–201 155–208
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 169 157–182 153–186 150–189 144–196
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 108 97–119 94–122 92–125 87–130
Alternative für Deutschland 94 78 69–87 67–90 64–92 59–99
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 77 68–86 66–90 64–92 60–98
Die Linke 69 54 47–63 45–65 43–67 40–72
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 42 35–49 33–51 32–54 29–57

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 99.9%  
150 0% 99.9%  
151 0.1% 99.9%  
152 0.1% 99.8%  
153 0.1% 99.8%  
154 0.1% 99.7%  
155 0.1% 99.5%  
156 0.1% 99.4%  
157 0.1% 99.3%  
158 0.3% 99.1%  
159 0.5% 98.8%  
160 0.5% 98%  
161 0.7% 98%  
162 0.6% 97%  
163 0.7% 97%  
164 0.6% 96%  
165 1.2% 95%  
166 1.4% 94%  
167 2% 93%  
168 2% 91%  
169 2% 89%  
170 2% 87%  
171 1.3% 85%  
172 2% 84%  
173 2% 82%  
174 5% 79%  
175 6% 75%  
176 5% 68%  
177 5% 64%  
178 3% 59%  
179 3% 56%  
180 3% 54%  
181 4% 51% Median
182 5% 47%  
183 4% 42%  
184 5% 38%  
185 3% 33%  
186 2% 30%  
187 2% 28%  
188 2% 26%  
189 3% 24%  
190 4% 21%  
191 3% 18%  
192 2% 15%  
193 2% 13%  
194 1.1% 11%  
195 1.0% 10%  
196 1.3% 9%  
197 1.3% 8%  
198 2% 7%  
199 1.2% 5%  
200 0.9% 4% Last Result
201 0.5% 3%  
202 0.3% 2%  
203 0.3% 2%  
204 0.3% 2%  
205 0.4% 1.5%  
206 0.3% 1.1%  
207 0.3% 0.8%  
208 0.1% 0.5%  
209 0.1% 0.4%  
210 0.1% 0.3%  
211 0% 0.2%  
212 0% 0.2%  
213 0% 0.1%  
214 0% 0.1%  
215 0% 0.1%  
216 0% 0.1%  
217 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 99.9%  
140 0.1% 99.9%  
141 0% 99.8%  
142 0.1% 99.8%  
143 0.1% 99.7%  
144 0.2% 99.6%  
145 0.2% 99.4%  
146 0.3% 99.2%  
147 0.3% 98.9%  
148 0.4% 98.6%  
149 0.5% 98%  
150 0.6% 98%  
151 0.9% 97%  
152 0.5% 96%  
153 1.4% 96%  
154 0.8% 94%  
155 2% 93%  
156 1.1% 91%  
157 3% 90%  
158 1.3% 88%  
159 4% 86%  
160 2% 83%  
161 4% 81%  
162 3% 77%  
163 2% 74%  
164 5% 72%  
165 2% 67%  
166 5% 65%  
167 2% 59%  
168 7% 57%  
169 2% 51% Median
170 6% 49%  
171 2% 43%  
172 5% 41%  
173 2% 35%  
174 4% 33%  
175 2% 29%  
176 4% 27%  
177 3% 23%  
178 3% 20%  
179 2% 17%  
180 2% 15%  
181 3% 14%  
182 1.3% 11%  
183 2% 10%  
184 0.7% 8%  
185 2% 7%  
186 0.7% 5%  
187 1.1% 5%  
188 0.4% 3%  
189 0.7% 3%  
190 0.4% 2%  
191 0.5% 2%  
192 0.3% 2%  
193 0.3% 1.2%  
194 0.2% 1.0%  
195 0.1% 0.7%  
196 0.2% 0.6%  
197 0.1% 0.4%  
198 0.1% 0.4%  
199 0% 0.3%  
200 0.1% 0.2%  
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0.1%  
204 0% 0.1%  
205 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 99.9%  
83 0.1% 99.9%  
84 0.1% 99.9%  
85 0.1% 99.8%  
86 0.1% 99.7%  
87 0.2% 99.5%  
88 0.3% 99.3%  
89 0.4% 99.1%  
90 0.5% 98.7%  
91 0.7% 98%  
92 0.7% 98%  
93 1.1% 97%  
94 1.4% 96%  
95 2% 94%  
96 2% 93%  
97 2% 91%  
98 3% 89%  
99 3% 86%  
100 4% 83%  
101 3% 79%  
102 4% 76%  
103 4% 72%  
104 4% 68%  
105 4% 64%  
106 5% 60%  
107 5% 55%  
108 5% 50% Median
109 4% 45%  
110 6% 41%  
111 4% 35%  
112 4% 31%  
113 4% 27%  
114 3% 23%  
115 3% 20%  
116 2% 17%  
117 3% 15%  
118 2% 12%  
119 2% 10%  
120 2% 8%  
121 1.3% 7%  
122 1.0% 5%  
123 0.9% 4%  
124 0.7% 3%  
125 0.7% 3%  
126 0.3% 2%  
127 0.4% 2%  
128 0.2% 1.1%  
129 0.2% 0.9%  
130 0.2% 0.7%  
131 0.1% 0.5%  
132 0.1% 0.4%  
133 0.1% 0.3%  
134 0.1% 0.2%  
135 0% 0.1%  
136 0% 0.1%  
137 0% 0.1%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0.1% 100%  
57 0.2% 99.9%  
58 0.1% 99.7%  
59 0.3% 99.7%  
60 0.3% 99.3%  
61 0.3% 99.0%  
62 0.4% 98.6%  
63 0.3% 98%  
64 0.6% 98%  
65 0.7% 97%  
66 1.1% 97%  
67 2% 95%  
68 3% 94%  
69 4% 90%  
70 2% 86%  
71 6% 83%  
72 3% 78%  
73 3% 75%  
74 3% 72%  
75 3% 69%  
76 7% 65%  
77 4% 59%  
78 11% 55% Median
79 5% 44%  
80 12% 39%  
81 5% 28%  
82 5% 23%  
83 3% 18%  
84 1.5% 14%  
85 1.5% 13%  
86 1.1% 11%  
87 1.5% 10%  
88 1.3% 9%  
89 2% 8%  
90 2% 6%  
91 0.7% 4%  
92 1.3% 3%  
93 0.3% 2%  
94 0.5% 2% Last Result
95 0.2% 1.2%  
96 0.1% 1.0%  
97 0.2% 0.9%  
98 0.1% 0.7%  
99 0.2% 0.6%  
100 0.1% 0.4%  
101 0.2% 0.3%  
102 0% 0.1%  
103 0.1% 0.1%  
104 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 99.9%  
57 0.1% 99.9%  
58 0.1% 99.8%  
59 0.2% 99.7%  
60 0.2% 99.5%  
61 0.4% 99.3%  
62 0.5% 98.9%  
63 0.9% 98%  
64 0.9% 98%  
65 1.1% 97%  
66 1.1% 96%  
67 2% 95%  
68 3% 92%  
69 2% 89%  
70 4% 87%  
71 3% 82%  
72 2% 79%  
73 6% 77%  
74 8% 71%  
75 3% 64%  
76 8% 60%  
77 4% 53% Median
78 4% 48%  
79 5% 45%  
80 9% 39% Last Result
81 2% 31%  
82 6% 29%  
83 3% 23%  
84 3% 20%  
85 2% 17%  
86 5% 15%  
87 0.9% 10%  
88 2% 9%  
89 1.0% 7%  
90 2% 6%  
91 0.6% 4%  
92 1.3% 3%  
93 0.3% 2%  
94 0.5% 2%  
95 0.2% 1.4%  
96 0.6% 1.2%  
97 0.1% 0.6%  
98 0.2% 0.5%  
99 0.1% 0.3%  
100 0.1% 0.3%  
101 0.1% 0.2%  
102 0.1% 0.1%  
103 0% 0.1%  
104 0% 0.1%  
105 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100%  
1 0% 99.7%  
2 0% 99.7%  
3 0% 99.7%  
4 0% 99.7%  
5 0% 99.7%  
6 0% 99.7%  
7 0% 99.7%  
8 0% 99.7%  
9 0% 99.7%  
10 0% 99.7%  
11 0% 99.7%  
12 0% 99.7%  
13 0% 99.7%  
14 0% 99.7%  
15 0% 99.7%  
16 0% 99.7%  
17 0% 99.7%  
18 0% 99.7%  
19 0% 99.7%  
20 0% 99.7%  
21 0% 99.7%  
22 0% 99.7%  
23 0% 99.7%  
24 0% 99.7%  
25 0% 99.7%  
26 0% 99.7%  
27 0% 99.7%  
28 0% 99.7%  
29 0% 99.7%  
30 0% 99.7%  
31 0% 99.7%  
32 0% 99.7%  
33 0% 99.7%  
34 0% 99.7%  
35 0% 99.7%  
36 0% 99.7%  
37 0% 99.7%  
38 0% 99.7%  
39 0.2% 99.7%  
40 0.4% 99.5%  
41 0.4% 99.1%  
42 0.6% 98.7%  
43 1.2% 98%  
44 2% 97%  
45 2% 95%  
46 2% 94%  
47 4% 91%  
48 4% 88%  
49 3% 84%  
50 5% 81%  
51 6% 76%  
52 5% 70%  
53 7% 64%  
54 9% 58% Median
55 7% 48%  
56 8% 41%  
57 5% 33%  
58 4% 28%  
59 5% 24%  
60 3% 19%  
61 3% 16%  
62 3% 13%  
63 3% 10%  
64 2% 8%  
65 1.2% 6%  
66 1.2% 5%  
67 1.0% 3%  
68 0.5% 2%  
69 0.6% 2% Last Result
70 0.4% 1.2%  
71 0.3% 0.8%  
72 0.2% 0.6%  
73 0.1% 0.4%  
74 0.1% 0.2%  
75 0.1% 0.2%  
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.1% 100%  
27 0.1% 99.9%  
28 0.1% 99.8%  
29 0.3% 99.6%  
30 0.5% 99.4%  
31 1.0% 98.9%  
32 2% 98%  
33 2% 96%  
34 5% 95%  
35 3% 90%  
36 3% 87%  
37 4% 84%  
38 6% 79%  
39 9% 74%  
40 6% 65%  
41 5% 58%  
42 7% 53% Median
43 8% 46%  
44 7% 37%  
45 5% 31%  
46 4% 26% Last Result
47 7% 22%  
48 4% 15%  
49 2% 11%  
50 2% 9%  
51 1.5% 6%  
52 1.4% 5%  
53 0.8% 4%  
54 0.6% 3%  
55 0.8% 2%  
56 0.5% 1.3%  
57 0.3% 0.8%  
58 0.2% 0.5%  
59 0.1% 0.3%  
60 0.1% 0.2%  
61 0% 0.1%  
62 0% 0.1%  
63 0% 0.1%  
64 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 499 100% 486–514 482–518 478–521 471–529
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 468 100% 457–485 451–489 447–492 440–499
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 408 100% 393–423 388–427 385–431 378–440
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 391 99.9% 378–408 373–412 369–415 362–423
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 378 98% 363–393 359–397 355–401 348–409
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 355 52% 337–371 335–374 333–377 323–385
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 331 2% 316–346 312–350 308–354 300–361
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 331 2% 316–345 311–350 307–354 301–362
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 300 0% 285–316 281–320 277–324 271–332
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 299 0% 287–313 280–321 276–324 270–332
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 277 0% 262–291 258–295 254–300 247–307
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 185 0% 172–198 169–202 165–206 159–213
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 162 0% 150–174 146–178 143–181 135–188

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
463 0% 100%  
464 0% 99.9%  
465 0% 99.9%  
466 0% 99.9% Last Result
467 0.1% 99.9%  
468 0.1% 99.8%  
469 0.1% 99.8%  
470 0.1% 99.7%  
471 0.1% 99.6%  
472 0.2% 99.4%  
473 0.2% 99.3%  
474 0.3% 99.1%  
475 0.2% 98.8%  
476 0.3% 98.6%  
477 0.4% 98%  
478 0.6% 98%  
479 0.5% 97%  
480 0.6% 97%  
481 0.8% 96%  
482 1.0% 95%  
483 0.8% 94%  
484 1.0% 94%  
485 1.4% 93%  
486 1.5% 91%  
487 2% 90%  
488 3% 88%  
489 3% 85%  
490 2% 82%  
491 2% 80%  
492 3% 78%  
493 3% 75%  
494 3% 72%  
495 5% 69%  
496 5% 63%  
497 3% 59%  
498 3% 56%  
499 4% 53%  
500 4% 50% Median
501 2% 46%  
502 6% 44%  
503 3% 38%  
504 3% 35%  
505 3% 32%  
506 3% 28%  
507 2% 25%  
508 2% 23%  
509 2% 20%  
510 2% 18%  
511 2% 16%  
512 2% 14%  
513 2% 12%  
514 2% 10%  
515 0.8% 8%  
516 1.2% 8%  
517 1.2% 6%  
518 0.7% 5%  
519 1.0% 4%  
520 0.7% 3%  
521 0.5% 3%  
522 0.4% 2%  
523 0.4% 2%  
524 0.2% 1.4%  
525 0.3% 1.2%  
526 0.2% 0.9%  
527 0.1% 0.8%  
528 0.1% 0.6%  
529 0% 0.5%  
530 0.1% 0.5%  
531 0.1% 0.4%  
532 0.1% 0.4%  
533 0% 0.3%  
534 0% 0.3%  
535 0% 0.2%  
536 0% 0.2%  
537 0% 0.2%  
538 0% 0.2%  
539 0% 0.2%  
540 0.1% 0.2%  
541 0% 0.1%  
542 0% 0.1%  
543 0% 0.1%  
544 0% 0.1%  
545 0% 0.1%  
546 0% 0.1%  
547 0% 0.1%  
548 0% 0.1%  
549 0% 0.1%  
550 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 99.9%  
435 0% 99.9%  
436 0% 99.9%  
437 0.1% 99.8%  
438 0.1% 99.8%  
439 0.1% 99.7%  
440 0.2% 99.6%  
441 0.2% 99.4%  
442 0.3% 99.2%  
443 0.3% 98.9%  
444 0.3% 98.7%  
445 0.3% 98%  
446 0.5% 98%  
447 0.3% 98%  
448 0.4% 97%  
449 0.5% 97%  
450 0.6% 96%  
451 0.7% 96%  
452 0.6% 95%  
453 0.7% 94%  
454 1.0% 94%  
455 1.1% 93%  
456 0.9% 91%  
457 2% 91%  
458 2% 89%  
459 2% 87%  
460 3% 85%  
461 3% 82%  
462 3% 78%  
463 4% 75%  
464 4% 71%  
465 4% 67%  
466 5% 63%  
467 5% 58%  
468 4% 53%  
469 4% 50% Median
470 4% 45%  
471 3% 41%  
472 4% 38%  
473 2% 34%  
474 3% 32%  
475 2% 29%  
476 2% 27%  
477 2% 25%  
478 2% 23%  
479 1.4% 21%  
480 2% 20%  
481 1.4% 18%  
482 2% 16%  
483 2% 15%  
484 1.3% 13%  
485 2% 11%  
486 1.1% 9%  
487 2% 8%  
488 1.4% 7%  
489 0.9% 5%  
490 1.1% 4%  
491 0.4% 3%  
492 0.8% 3%  
493 0.4% 2%  
494 0.3% 2%  
495 0.3% 1.3%  
496 0.1% 1.0%  
497 0.2% 0.8%  
498 0.1% 0.6%  
499 0.1% 0.5%  
500 0.1% 0.5%  
501 0% 0.4%  
502 0% 0.4%  
503 0% 0.3%  
504 0% 0.3%  
505 0% 0.3%  
506 0% 0.2%  
507 0% 0.2%  
508 0% 0.2%  
509 0% 0.2%  
510 0% 0.2%  
511 0% 0.1%  
512 0% 0.1%  
513 0% 0.1%  
514 0% 0.1%  
515 0% 0.1%  
516 0% 0.1%  
517 0% 0.1%  
518 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 99.9%  
371 0% 99.9%  
372 0% 99.9%  
373 0% 99.9%  
374 0% 99.8%  
375 0.1% 99.8%  
376 0.1% 99.7%  
377 0.1% 99.6%  
378 0.2% 99.5%  
379 0.1% 99.4%  
380 0.2% 99.2%  
381 0.3% 99.1%  
382 0.3% 98.8%  
383 0.3% 98.5%  
384 0.4% 98%  
385 0.6% 98%  
386 0.5% 97%  
387 0.5% 97%  
388 1.3% 96%  
389 0.8% 95%  
390 0.8% 94%  
391 2% 93%  
392 1.3% 92%  
393 1.1% 90%  
394 2% 89%  
395 3% 87%  
396 0.9% 85%  
397 2% 84%  
398 3% 81%  
399 3% 79%  
400 2% 76%  
401 5% 74%  
402 2% 70%  
403 2% 68%  
404 4% 66%  
405 4% 62%  
406 2% 58%  
407 4% 56%  
408 5% 52% Median
409 1.5% 47%  
410 2% 45%  
411 6% 43%  
412 2% 37%  
413 4% 35%  
414 4% 32%  
415 3% 28%  
416 2% 25%  
417 3% 23%  
418 2% 20%  
419 2% 18%  
420 2% 16%  
421 2% 14%  
422 0.9% 12%  
423 1.4% 11%  
424 2% 9%  
425 1.0% 7%  
426 0.6% 6%  
427 1.5% 6%  
428 0.4% 4%  
429 0.6% 4%  
430 0.7% 3%  
431 0.6% 3%  
432 0.2% 2%  
433 0.3% 2%  
434 0.4% 2%  
435 0.1% 1.2%  
436 0.2% 1.1%  
437 0.2% 0.9%  
438 0.1% 0.7%  
439 0% 0.6%  
440 0.1% 0.5%  
441 0.1% 0.4%  
442 0% 0.3%  
443 0% 0.3%  
444 0.1% 0.2%  
445 0% 0.2%  
446 0% 0.2%  
447 0% 0.1%  
448 0% 0.1%  
449 0% 0.1%  
450 0% 0.1%  
451 0% 0.1%  
452 0% 0.1%  
453 0% 0.1%  
454 0% 0.1%  
455 0% 0%  
456 0% 0%  
457 0% 0%  
458 0% 0%  
459 0% 0%  
460 0% 0%  
461 0% 0%  
462 0% 0%  
463 0% 0%  
464 0% 0%  
465 0% 0%  
466 0% 0%  
467 0% 0%  
468 0% 0%  
469 0% 0%  
470 0% 0%  
471 0% 0%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 99.9%  
355 0% 99.9% Majority
356 0% 99.9%  
357 0% 99.9%  
358 0.1% 99.8%  
359 0.1% 99.8%  
360 0.1% 99.7%  
361 0.1% 99.6%  
362 0.2% 99.5%  
363 0.2% 99.3%  
364 0.2% 99.1%  
365 0.3% 99.0%  
366 0.4% 98.7%  
367 0.4% 98%  
368 0.2% 98%  
369 0.5% 98%  
370 0.5% 97%  
371 0.5% 97%  
372 0.6% 96%  
373 0.8% 96%  
374 0.7% 95%  
375 0.7% 94%  
376 1.1% 93%  
377 1.2% 92%  
378 1.4% 91%  
379 2% 90%  
380 2% 88%  
381 2% 86%  
382 2% 84%  
383 3% 82%  
384 4% 79%  
385 2% 75%  
386 5% 73%  
387 4% 68%  
388 4% 64%  
389 5% 60%  
390 4% 55%  
391 3% 51%  
392 4% 48% Median
393 4% 44%  
394 4% 40%  
395 2% 37%  
396 3% 34%  
397 2% 32%  
398 2% 29%  
399 2% 27%  
400 2% 26%  
401 2% 23%  
402 2% 22%  
403 2% 20%  
404 1.1% 18%  
405 2% 17%  
406 1.4% 14%  
407 2% 13%  
408 2% 11%  
409 0.6% 9%  
410 2% 9%  
411 1.1% 7%  
412 1.0% 6%  
413 1.0% 5%  
414 0.7% 4%  
415 0.6% 3%  
416 0.5% 2%  
417 0.4% 2%  
418 0.4% 2%  
419 0.2% 1.2%  
420 0.2% 0.9%  
421 0.1% 0.8%  
422 0.1% 0.6%  
423 0.1% 0.5%  
424 0.1% 0.4%  
425 0% 0.4%  
426 0% 0.3%  
427 0% 0.3%  
428 0% 0.2%  
429 0% 0.2%  
430 0% 0.2%  
431 0% 0.2%  
432 0% 0.1%  
433 0% 0.1%  
434 0% 0.1%  
435 0% 0.1%  
436 0% 0.1%  
437 0% 0.1%  
438 0% 0.1%  
439 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 99.9%  
341 0% 99.9%  
342 0% 99.9%  
343 0% 99.9%  
344 0% 99.8%  
345 0.1% 99.8%  
346 0.1% 99.7%  
347 0.1% 99.6%  
348 0.1% 99.5%  
349 0.2% 99.4%  
350 0.2% 99.2%  
351 0.2% 99.0%  
352 0.3% 98.8%  
353 0.4% 98.6%  
354 0.6% 98%  
355 0.4% 98% Majority
356 0.4% 97%  
357 1.0% 97%  
358 0.8% 96%  
359 0.8% 95%  
360 0.8% 94%  
361 1.0% 93%  
362 1.5% 92%  
363 2% 91%  
364 1.5% 89%  
365 2% 88%  
366 1.2% 85%  
367 3% 84%  
368 3% 81%  
369 3% 79%  
370 2% 76%  
371 3% 74%  
372 4% 71%  
373 2% 67%  
374 4% 65%  
375 4% 61%  
376 2% 57%  
377 4% 55%  
378 4% 51% Median
379 4% 47%  
380 4% 43%  
381 2% 39%  
382 3% 37%  
383 3% 34%  
384 3% 31%  
385 3% 28%  
386 2% 25%  
387 3% 23%  
388 2% 20%  
389 2% 18%  
390 2% 16%  
391 3% 14%  
392 1.3% 12%  
393 2% 10%  
394 1.4% 9%  
395 1.0% 7%  
396 0.8% 6%  
397 0.9% 6%  
398 0.8% 5%  
399 0.7% 4%  
400 0.5% 3%  
401 0.4% 3%  
402 0.5% 2%  
403 0.4% 2%  
404 0.2% 1.5%  
405 0.3% 1.3%  
406 0.2% 1.0%  
407 0.1% 0.8%  
408 0.1% 0.7%  
409 0.1% 0.6%  
410 0.1% 0.5%  
411 0.1% 0.4%  
412 0.1% 0.3%  
413 0% 0.3%  
414 0% 0.2%  
415 0% 0.2%  
416 0% 0.2%  
417 0% 0.1%  
418 0% 0.1%  
419 0% 0.1%  
420 0% 0.1% Last Result
421 0% 0.1%  
422 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
300 0% 100% Last Result
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 99.9%  
317 0.1% 99.9%  
318 0.1% 99.8%  
319 0.1% 99.8%  
320 0.1% 99.7%  
321 0.1% 99.6%  
322 0.1% 99.6%  
323 0.1% 99.5%  
324 0% 99.5%  
325 0% 99.4%  
326 0% 99.4%  
327 0% 99.4%  
328 0.1% 99.3%  
329 0.2% 99.2%  
330 0.3% 99.0%  
331 0.4% 98.8%  
332 0.6% 98%  
333 0.9% 98%  
334 1.3% 97%  
335 2% 96%  
336 2% 94%  
337 2% 92%  
338 2% 90%  
339 2% 88%  
340 2% 86%  
341 1.4% 84%  
342 1.2% 83%  
343 0.8% 81%  
344 0.5% 81%  
345 0.5% 80%  
346 0.5% 80%  
347 0.9% 79%  
348 1.2% 78%  
349 2% 77%  
350 2% 75%  
351 4% 73%  
352 5% 69%  
353 5% 63%  
354 7% 58% Median
355 7% 52% Majority
356 6% 45%  
357 6% 39%  
358 4% 32%  
359 5% 28%  
360 3% 23%  
361 1.4% 20%  
362 1.4% 19%  
363 0.8% 17%  
364 0.6% 16%  
365 0.4% 16%  
366 0.6% 15%  
367 0.6% 15%  
368 1.2% 14%  
369 1.0% 13%  
370 1.4% 12%  
371 2% 11%  
372 1.2% 9%  
373 2% 8%  
374 1.0% 6%  
375 1.5% 5%  
376 0.8% 3%  
377 0.8% 3%  
378 0.4% 2%  
379 0.4% 1.4%  
380 0.2% 1.0%  
381 0.2% 0.8%  
382 0.1% 0.7%  
383 0.1% 0.6%  
384 0% 0.6%  
385 0% 0.5%  
386 0% 0.5%  
387 0% 0.4%  
388 0% 0.4%  
389 0.1% 0.4%  
390 0% 0.3%  
391 0% 0.2%  
392 0.1% 0.2%  
393 0% 0.2%  
394 0% 0.1%  
395 0% 0.1%  
396 0% 0.1%  
397 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 99.9% Last Result
290 0% 99.9%  
291 0% 99.9%  
292 0% 99.9%  
293 0% 99.9%  
294 0% 99.8%  
295 0% 99.8%  
296 0% 99.8%  
297 0.1% 99.7%  
298 0.1% 99.7%  
299 0.1% 99.6%  
300 0.1% 99.5%  
301 0.1% 99.4%  
302 0.1% 99.3%  
303 0.2% 99.2%  
304 0.3% 99.0%  
305 0.2% 98.7%  
306 0.4% 98.5%  
307 0.5% 98%  
308 0.4% 98%  
309 0.5% 97%  
310 0.7% 97%  
311 0.8% 96%  
312 0.9% 95%  
313 0.8% 94%  
314 1.0% 94%  
315 1.4% 93%  
316 2% 91%  
317 1.3% 90%  
318 3% 88%  
319 2% 86%  
320 2% 84%  
321 2% 82%  
322 3% 80%  
323 2% 77%  
324 3% 75%  
325 3% 72%  
326 3% 69%  
327 3% 66%  
328 2% 63%  
329 4% 61%  
330 4% 57%  
331 4% 53% Median
332 4% 49%  
333 2% 45%  
334 4% 43%  
335 4% 39%  
336 2% 35%  
337 4% 33%  
338 3% 29%  
339 2% 26%  
340 3% 24%  
341 3% 21%  
342 3% 19%  
343 1.2% 16%  
344 2% 15%  
345 1.5% 12%  
346 2% 11%  
347 1.5% 9%  
348 1.0% 8%  
349 0.8% 7%  
350 0.8% 6%  
351 0.8% 5%  
352 1.0% 4%  
353 0.4% 3%  
354 0.4% 3%  
355 0.6% 2% Majority
356 0.4% 2%  
357 0.3% 1.4%  
358 0.2% 1.2%  
359 0.2% 1.0%  
360 0.2% 0.8%  
361 0.1% 0.6%  
362 0.1% 0.5%  
363 0.1% 0.4%  
364 0.1% 0.3%  
365 0% 0.2%  
366 0% 0.2%  
367 0% 0.1%  
368 0% 0.1%  
369 0% 0.1%  
370 0% 0.1%  
371 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 99.9%  
294 0% 99.9%  
295 0% 99.9%  
296 0% 99.9%  
297 0.1% 99.8%  
298 0.1% 99.8%  
299 0.1% 99.7%  
300 0.1% 99.6%  
301 0.2% 99.5%  
302 0.2% 99.3%  
303 0.2% 99.1%  
304 0.4% 98.9%  
305 0.4% 98.5%  
306 0.4% 98%  
307 0.4% 98%  
308 0.5% 97%  
309 0.7% 97%  
310 0.5% 96%  
311 0.9% 96%  
312 0.6% 95%  
313 1.4% 94%  
314 2% 93%  
315 1.1% 91%  
316 0.9% 90%  
317 2% 89%  
318 3% 87%  
319 2% 84%  
320 2% 82%  
321 4% 81%  
322 3% 77%  
323 2% 74%  
324 3% 72%  
325 5% 69%  
326 3% 63%  
327 2% 61%  
328 3% 59%  
329 2% 55%  
330 2% 53%  
331 3% 52% Median
332 3% 48%  
333 2% 45%  
334 6% 43%  
335 4% 37%  
336 2% 33%  
337 4% 32%  
338 4% 28%  
339 2% 24%  
340 2% 22%  
341 3% 20%  
342 2% 16%  
343 1.4% 14%  
344 1.3% 13%  
345 2% 11%  
346 1.2% 9%  
347 0.8% 8%  
348 0.8% 7%  
349 1.1% 6%  
350 0.8% 5%  
351 0.6% 4%  
352 0.6% 4%  
353 0.5% 3%  
354 0.5% 3%  
355 0.4% 2% Majority
356 0.3% 2%  
357 0.3% 2%  
358 0.2% 1.3%  
359 0.3% 1.1%  
360 0.1% 0.8%  
361 0.2% 0.7%  
362 0.1% 0.5%  
363 0.1% 0.4%  
364 0.1% 0.3%  
365 0.1% 0.3%  
366 0% 0.2%  
367 0% 0.2%  
368 0% 0.1%  
369 0% 0.1%  
370 0% 0.1%  
371 0% 0.1%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 99.9%  
265 0% 99.9%  
266 0% 99.9%  
267 0.1% 99.9%  
268 0.1% 99.8%  
269 0% 99.7%  
270 0% 99.6%  
271 0.2% 99.6%  
272 0.3% 99.4%  
273 0.2% 99.1%  
274 0.1% 99.0%  
275 0.4% 98.9%  
276 0.5% 98%  
277 0.5% 98%  
278 0.2% 97%  
279 0.3% 97%  
280 1.2% 97%  
281 1.3% 96%  
282 0.5% 94%  
283 0.4% 94%  
284 1.1% 94%  
285 3% 93%  
286 1.4% 90%  
287 0.6% 88%  
288 2% 88%  
289 4% 86%  
290 3% 82%  
291 0.7% 79%  
292 2% 78%  
293 5% 76%  
294 5% 72%  
295 2% 67%  
296 1.1% 66%  
297 4% 64%  
298 6% 60%  
299 4% 54%  
300 0.8% 50% Median
301 3% 50%  
302 6% 47%  
303 4% 40%  
304 1.2% 36%  
305 1.5% 35%  
306 5% 34%  
307 4% 28%  
308 1.3% 25%  
309 0.8% 23%  
310 3% 23%  
311 4% 19%  
312 1.3% 16%  
313 0.7% 15%  
314 1.3% 14%  
315 3% 13%  
316 2% 10%  
317 0.5% 8%  
318 0.8% 8%  
319 1.4% 7%  
320 1.2% 6%  
321 0.5% 4%  
322 0.3% 4%  
323 0.6% 4%  
324 0.8% 3%  
325 0.4% 2%  
326 0.1% 2% Last Result
327 0.2% 2%  
328 0.5% 1.4%  
329 0.2% 0.9%  
330 0.1% 0.7%  
331 0.1% 0.6%  
332 0.2% 0.5%  
333 0.1% 0.4%  
334 0% 0.3%  
335 0% 0.2%  
336 0% 0.2%  
337 0.1% 0.2%  
338 0% 0.1%  
339 0% 0.1%  
340 0% 0.1%  
341 0% 0.1%  
342 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 99.9%  
264 0% 99.9%  
265 0.1% 99.9%  
266 0.1% 99.8%  
267 0% 99.8%  
268 0% 99.7%  
269 0.1% 99.7%  
270 0.3% 99.6%  
271 0.2% 99.3%  
272 0.1% 99.1%  
273 0.2% 99.0%  
274 0.5% 98.8%  
275 0.6% 98%  
276 0.2% 98%  
277 0.1% 97%  
278 0.5% 97%  
279 1.0% 97%  
280 0.8% 96%  
281 0.4% 95%  
282 0.3% 95%  
283 0.7% 94%  
284 1.5% 94%  
285 1.2% 92%  
286 0.6% 91%  
287 0.4% 90%  
288 2% 90%  
289 3% 88%  
290 2% 85%  
291 0.7% 84%  
292 1.1% 83%  
293 3% 82%  
294 6% 79%  
295 3% 73%  
296 0.7% 70%  
297 4% 69%  
298 8% 65%  
299 7% 57%  
300 2% 50%  
301 3% 48% Median
302 5% 45%  
303 6% 39%  
304 4% 34%  
305 1.4% 29%  
306 2% 28%  
307 4% 26%  
308 4% 22%  
309 2% 18%  
310 0.4% 16%  
311 1.1% 16%  
312 3% 14%  
313 2% 12%  
314 0.6% 10%  
315 0.4% 9%  
316 1.0% 9%  
317 1.2% 8%  
318 0.9% 7%  
319 0.4% 6%  
320 0.3% 5%  
321 0.7% 5%  
322 1.0% 4%  
323 0.8% 3%  
324 0.2% 3%  
325 0.2% 2%  
326 0.3% 2%  
327 0.6% 2%  
328 0.3% 1.2%  
329 0.1% 1.0%  
330 0.2% 0.9%  
331 0.2% 0.7%  
332 0.1% 0.5%  
333 0% 0.4%  
334 0% 0.3%  
335 0.1% 0.3%  
336 0.1% 0.2%  
337 0.1% 0.2%  
338 0% 0.1%  
339 0% 0.1%  
340 0% 0.1% Last Result
341 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 99.9%  
241 0% 99.9%  
242 0% 99.9%  
243 0.1% 99.9%  
244 0% 99.8%  
245 0.1% 99.8%  
246 0.1% 99.7%  
247 0.1% 99.6%  
248 0.2% 99.4%  
249 0.1% 99.3%  
250 0.2% 99.2%  
251 0.3% 98.9%  
252 0.3% 98.7%  
253 0.4% 98%  
254 0.6% 98%  
255 0.6% 97%  
256 0.8% 97%  
257 0.8% 96%  
258 1.0% 95%  
259 0.6% 94%  
260 1.4% 94%  
261 1.0% 92%  
262 2% 91%  
263 2% 90%  
264 2% 88%  
265 2% 86%  
266 2% 84%  
267 3% 82%  
268 2% 79%  
269 3% 77%  
270 2% 73%  
271 2% 71%  
272 4% 68%  
273 3% 64%  
274 4% 61%  
275 3% 57%  
276 3% 54%  
277 3% 51% Median
278 4% 48%  
279 3% 44%  
280 3% 41%  
281 4% 38%  
282 3% 34%  
283 4% 31%  
284 3% 27%  
285 2% 24%  
286 3% 22%  
287 2% 19%  
288 2% 17%  
289 2% 15%  
290 1.3% 13%  
291 2% 12%  
292 1.0% 10%  
293 2% 9%  
294 0.9% 7%  
295 1.2% 6%  
296 0.5% 5%  
297 0.8% 4%  
298 0.4% 4%  
299 0.6% 3%  
300 0.4% 3%  
301 0.4% 2%  
302 0.3% 2%  
303 0.3% 1.4%  
304 0.2% 1.1%  
305 0.2% 0.9%  
306 0.1% 0.7%  
307 0.1% 0.6%  
308 0.1% 0.5%  
309 0.1% 0.4%  
310 0.1% 0.3%  
311 0.1% 0.2%  
312 0% 0.2%  
313 0% 0.1%  
314 0% 0.1%  
315 0% 0.1%  
316 0% 0.1%  
317 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 99.9%  
154 0% 99.9%  
155 0% 99.9%  
156 0.1% 99.8%  
157 0.1% 99.8%  
158 0.1% 99.7%  
159 0.1% 99.6%  
160 0.2% 99.5%  
161 0.2% 99.2%  
162 0.3% 99.0%  
163 0.4% 98.7%  
164 0.4% 98%  
165 0.5% 98%  
166 0.6% 97%  
167 0.9% 97%  
168 0.8% 96%  
169 1.0% 95%  
170 1.3% 94%  
171 2% 93%  
172 2% 91%  
173 2% 89%  
174 2% 88%  
175 2% 85%  
176 3% 83%  
177 2% 80%  
178 4% 78%  
179 3% 74%  
180 3% 71%  
181 5% 68%  
182 3% 63%  
183 3% 60%  
184 4% 57%  
185 5% 52% Median
186 4% 48%  
187 4% 44%  
188 4% 40%  
189 4% 36%  
190 3% 32%  
191 3% 29%  
192 2% 25%  
193 3% 23%  
194 2% 19%  
195 2% 17%  
196 2% 15%  
197 1.2% 12%  
198 2% 11%  
199 1.3% 9%  
200 1.3% 8%  
201 1.0% 6%  
202 1.0% 5%  
203 0.6% 4%  
204 0.7% 4%  
205 0.5% 3%  
206 0.5% 3%  
207 0.4% 2%  
208 0.3% 2%  
209 0.3% 1.4%  
210 0.3% 1.2%  
211 0.1% 0.9%  
212 0.2% 0.7%  
213 0.1% 0.6%  
214 0.1% 0.4%  
215 0.1% 0.3%  
216 0.1% 0.3%  
217 0% 0.2%  
218 0% 0.1%  
219 0% 0.1%  
220 0% 0.1%  
221 0% 0.1%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 99.9%  
109 0% 99.9%  
110 0% 99.9%  
111 0% 99.9%  
112 0% 99.9%  
113 0% 99.9%  
114 0% 99.9%  
115 0% 99.9%  
116 0% 99.9%  
117 0% 99.8%  
118 0% 99.8%  
119 0% 99.8%  
120 0% 99.8%  
121 0% 99.8%  
122 0% 99.8%  
123 0% 99.8%  
124 0% 99.8%  
125 0% 99.8%  
126 0% 99.8%  
127 0% 99.8%  
128 0% 99.7%  
129 0% 99.7%  
130 0% 99.7%  
131 0% 99.7%  
132 0% 99.7%  
133 0% 99.6%  
134 0% 99.6%  
135 0.1% 99.6%  
136 0.1% 99.5%  
137 0.1% 99.4%  
138 0.2% 99.2%  
139 0.2% 99.1%  
140 0.4% 98.9%  
141 0.3% 98.5%  
142 0.5% 98%  
143 0.6% 98%  
144 0.5% 97%  
145 0.8% 97%  
146 1.1% 96%  
147 1.4% 95%  
148 1.2% 93%  
149 2% 92%  
150 2% 91%  
151 2% 89%  
152 3% 87%  
153 2% 84%  
154 3% 81%  
155 3% 78%  
156 4% 76%  
157 4% 72%  
158 3% 68%  
159 4% 64%  
160 4% 60%  
161 4% 57%  
162 5% 53% Median
163 4% 48%  
164 5% 45%  
165 3% 39%  
166 4% 36%  
167 4% 33%  
168 4% 29%  
169 3% 25%  
170 3% 21%  
171 3% 18%  
172 2% 15%  
173 2% 13%  
174 2% 12%  
175 1.5% 10%  
176 1.4% 8%  
177 1.0% 7%  
178 1.0% 6%  
179 0.9% 5%  
180 0.7% 4%  
181 0.7% 3%  
182 0.4% 2%  
183 0.4% 2%  
184 0.3% 2%  
185 0.3% 1.3%  
186 0.2% 1.0%  
187 0.2% 0.8%  
188 0.2% 0.6%  
189 0.1% 0.4%  
190 0.1% 0.4%  
191 0.1% 0.3%  
192 0.1% 0.2%  
193 0% 0.1%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0.1%  
196 0% 0.1%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations