Opinion Poll by Kantar, 23–29 June 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 22.8% 21.4–24.3% 21.0–24.7% 20.7–25.0% 20.0–25.8%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 20.0% 18.7–21.4% 18.3–21.9% 18.0–22.2% 17.4–22.9%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 16.0% 14.8–17.3% 14.5–17.7% 14.2–18.0% 13.6–18.7%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 11.0% 10.0–12.1% 9.7–12.5% 9.5–12.7% 9.0–13.3%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 10.0% 9.1–11.1% 8.8–11.4% 8.6–11.7% 8.1–12.2%
Die Linke 9.2% 7.0% 6.2–7.9% 6.0–8.2% 5.8–8.4% 5.4–8.9%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 5.2% 4.5–6.1% 4.3–6.3% 4.2–6.5% 3.9–6.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 175 164–186 162–189 159–192 154–197
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 154 145–163 140–168 139–170 133–176
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 123 114–133 111–136 109–138 105–143
Alternative für Deutschland 94 85 77–93 74–96 73–98 69–102
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 77 69–85 67–88 66–90 63–94
Die Linke 69 54 47–61 46–63 44–65 42–68
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 40 35–46 33–48 32–50 30–53

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 99.9%  
150 0% 99.9%  
151 0.1% 99.9%  
152 0.1% 99.8%  
153 0.1% 99.7%  
154 0.2% 99.6%  
155 0.3% 99.4%  
156 0.4% 99.1%  
157 0.5% 98.7%  
158 0.6% 98%  
159 0.7% 98%  
160 1.0% 97%  
161 0.9% 96%  
162 1.3% 95%  
163 2% 94%  
164 3% 92%  
165 3% 89%  
166 4% 87%  
167 2% 83%  
168 4% 81%  
169 2% 77%  
170 4% 74%  
171 3% 70%  
172 5% 67%  
173 5% 62%  
174 6% 57%  
175 5% 52% Median
176 4% 46%  
177 4% 42%  
178 4% 38%  
179 4% 34%  
180 4% 30%  
181 4% 27%  
182 3% 23%  
183 4% 20%  
184 3% 16%  
185 3% 13%  
186 2% 11%  
187 2% 9%  
188 1.2% 7%  
189 1.4% 6%  
190 0.8% 5%  
191 0.9% 4%  
192 0.7% 3%  
193 0.6% 2%  
194 0.4% 2%  
195 0.3% 1.1%  
196 0.2% 0.8%  
197 0.2% 0.7%  
198 0.1% 0.5%  
199 0.1% 0.3%  
200 0.1% 0.3% Last Result
201 0.1% 0.2%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0.1%  
204 0% 0.1%  
205 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0.1% 100%  
131 0.1% 99.9%  
132 0.2% 99.8%  
133 0.2% 99.6%  
134 0.1% 99.4%  
135 0.1% 99.3%  
136 0.2% 99.2%  
137 0.4% 99.1%  
138 0.9% 98.6%  
139 2% 98%  
140 2% 96%  
141 1.1% 94%  
142 0.6% 93%  
143 0.6% 93%  
144 2% 92%  
145 3% 90%  
146 5% 87%  
147 5% 82%  
148 6% 76%  
149 2% 71%  
150 1.1% 68%  
151 1.4% 67%  
152 4% 66%  
153 8% 61%  
154 10% 53% Median
155 6% 43%  
156 4% 37%  
157 2% 33%  
158 1.0% 31%  
159 2% 30%  
160 3% 28%  
161 6% 25%  
162 5% 18%  
163 4% 14%  
164 1.1% 9%  
165 0.4% 8%  
166 0.5% 8%  
167 1.3% 7%  
168 2% 6%  
169 1.5% 4%  
170 1.3% 3%  
171 0.5% 2%  
172 0.2% 1.2%  
173 0.1% 1.1%  
174 0.1% 1.0%  
175 0.2% 0.9%  
176 0.2% 0.7%  
177 0.2% 0.4%  
178 0.1% 0.2%  
179 0% 0.1%  
180 0% 0.1%  
181 0% 0.1%  
182 0% 0.1%  
183 0% 0.1%  
184 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
100 0% 100%  
101 0.1% 99.9%  
102 0.1% 99.9%  
103 0.1% 99.8%  
104 0.2% 99.7%  
105 0.2% 99.6%  
106 0.3% 99.4%  
107 0.6% 99.1%  
108 0.5% 98%  
109 1.1% 98%  
110 1.0% 97%  
111 1.3% 96%  
112 2% 95%  
113 2% 92%  
114 3% 91%  
115 3% 88%  
116 2% 85%  
117 4% 82%  
118 4% 79%  
119 4% 74%  
120 6% 70%  
121 6% 65%  
122 5% 58%  
123 7% 54% Median
124 5% 47%  
125 5% 42%  
126 6% 37%  
127 3% 31%  
128 5% 28%  
129 4% 23%  
130 3% 19%  
131 3% 17%  
132 2% 13%  
133 2% 11%  
134 3% 10%  
135 1.2% 7%  
136 2% 6%  
137 1.3% 4%  
138 0.6% 3%  
139 0.7% 2%  
140 0.3% 1.5%  
141 0.3% 1.1%  
142 0.3% 0.8%  
143 0.1% 0.5%  
144 0.1% 0.4%  
145 0.1% 0.3%  
146 0% 0.2%  
147 0% 0.1%  
148 0% 0.1%  
149 0% 0.1%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 99.9%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 0.2% 99.8%  
69 0.2% 99.6%  
70 0.3% 99.4%  
71 0.5% 99.1%  
72 0.9% 98.6%  
73 1.4% 98%  
74 1.4% 96%  
75 2% 95%  
76 2% 93%  
77 4% 91%  
78 4% 88%  
79 5% 84%  
80 5% 79%  
81 5% 75%  
82 6% 70%  
83 7% 64%  
84 5% 57%  
85 6% 51% Median
86 6% 45%  
87 6% 39%  
88 5% 34%  
89 5% 28%  
90 4% 23%  
91 4% 19%  
92 3% 15%  
93 3% 12%  
94 2% 9% Last Result
95 2% 7%  
96 1.5% 5%  
97 0.9% 4%  
98 0.8% 3%  
99 0.6% 2%  
100 0.5% 1.4%  
101 0.3% 0.9%  
102 0.2% 0.6%  
103 0.2% 0.4%  
104 0.1% 0.3%  
105 0.1% 0.2%  
106 0% 0.1%  
107 0% 0.1%  
108 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 99.9%  
60 0.1% 99.9%  
61 0.1% 99.8%  
62 0.2% 99.7%  
63 0.3% 99.5%  
64 0.6% 99.2%  
65 0.7% 98.6%  
66 2% 98%  
67 1.4% 96%  
68 2% 95%  
69 4% 93%  
70 2% 89%  
71 4% 87%  
72 5% 83%  
73 4% 78%  
74 7% 74%  
75 7% 67%  
76 5% 61%  
77 9% 56% Median
78 5% 47%  
79 6% 41%  
80 8% 36% Last Result
81 3% 28%  
82 6% 24%  
83 4% 19%  
84 2% 14%  
85 4% 13%  
86 2% 9%  
87 0.9% 7%  
88 2% 6%  
89 0.9% 4%  
90 0.6% 3%  
91 1.0% 2%  
92 0.3% 1.1%  
93 0.3% 0.9%  
94 0.3% 0.6%  
95 0.1% 0.3%  
96 0.1% 0.2%  
97 0.1% 0.1%  
98 0% 0.1%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100%  
39 0.1% 99.9%  
40 0.1% 99.9%  
41 0.2% 99.7%  
42 0.5% 99.5%  
43 0.7% 99.1%  
44 1.1% 98%  
45 2% 97%  
46 2% 95%  
47 3% 93%  
48 4% 90%  
49 5% 86%  
50 6% 81%  
51 6% 75%  
52 9% 68%  
53 6% 59%  
54 8% 53% Median
55 7% 45%  
56 7% 38%  
57 5% 31%  
58 6% 25%  
59 5% 19%  
60 3% 14%  
61 4% 12%  
62 2% 8%  
63 2% 6%  
64 1.0% 4%  
65 1.1% 3%  
66 0.6% 2%  
67 0.4% 1.1%  
68 0.2% 0.7%  
69 0.2% 0.5% Last Result
70 0.1% 0.3%  
71 0.1% 0.2%  
72 0% 0.1%  
73 0% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0% 100%  
28 0.1% 99.9%  
29 0.3% 99.8%  
30 0.4% 99.5%  
31 1.1% 99.2%  
32 1.5% 98%  
33 2% 97%  
34 3% 94%  
35 4% 92%  
36 5% 87%  
37 8% 82%  
38 6% 74%  
39 10% 68%  
40 9% 58% Median
41 9% 48%  
42 7% 39%  
43 7% 33%  
44 6% 26%  
45 6% 20%  
46 4% 14% Last Result
47 3% 10%  
48 2% 7%  
49 2% 4%  
50 0.9% 3%  
51 0.7% 2%  
52 0.4% 1.2%  
53 0.3% 0.7%  
54 0.2% 0.4%  
55 0.1% 0.2%  
56 0.1% 0.1%  
57 0% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 493 100% 481–504 478–508 475–511 469–516
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 447 100% 434–459 431–462 428–465 422–471
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 416 100% 404–428 400–432 397–435 391–441
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 378 99.2% 365–390 362–394 358–397 353–403
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 370 94% 357–382 354–386 350–389 344–395
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 355 51% 342–367 339–371 335–374 329–380
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 339 5% 326–352 323–355 320–358 314–364
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 331 0.8% 319–344 315–347 312–351 306–356
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 300 0% 288–313 285–316 282–319 276–326
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 293 0% 280–305 277–309 274–312 268–318
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 277 0% 265–290 261–293 259–296 253–302
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 201 0% 189–212 186–215 184–218 178–224
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 177 0% 166–188 164–191 161–195 156–200

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
462 0% 100%  
463 0% 99.9%  
464 0% 99.9%  
465 0% 99.9%  
466 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
467 0.1% 99.8%  
468 0.1% 99.7%  
469 0.2% 99.6%  
470 0.2% 99.4%  
471 0.2% 99.3%  
472 0.3% 99.0%  
473 0.3% 98.7%  
474 0.7% 98%  
475 0.6% 98%  
476 0.8% 97%  
477 0.9% 96%  
478 1.1% 95%  
479 1.4% 94%  
480 2% 93%  
481 1.4% 91%  
482 2% 89%  
483 2% 87%  
484 3% 85%  
485 2% 82%  
486 4% 80%  
487 5% 76%  
488 3% 71%  
489 4% 68%  
490 3% 64%  
491 4% 61%  
492 5% 57% Median
493 5% 52%  
494 5% 47%  
495 3% 42%  
496 4% 39%  
497 4% 34%  
498 4% 30%  
499 4% 27%  
500 3% 23%  
501 4% 20%  
502 2% 17%  
503 3% 14%  
504 2% 12%  
505 2% 10%  
506 2% 8%  
507 1.2% 6%  
508 1.2% 5%  
509 0.7% 4%  
510 0.6% 3%  
511 0.6% 3%  
512 0.5% 2%  
513 0.4% 1.4%  
514 0.3% 1.0%  
515 0.2% 0.8%  
516 0.1% 0.6%  
517 0.1% 0.5%  
518 0.1% 0.3%  
519 0.1% 0.2%  
520 0% 0.2%  
521 0% 0.1%  
522 0% 0.1%  
523 0% 0.1%  
524 0% 0.1%  
525 0% 0.1%  
526 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 99.9%  
417 0% 99.9%  
418 0% 99.9%  
419 0.1% 99.9%  
420 0.1% 99.8%  
421 0.1% 99.7%  
422 0.1% 99.6%  
423 0.2% 99.5%  
424 0.3% 99.3%  
425 0.2% 99.0%  
426 0.4% 98.8%  
427 0.6% 98%  
428 0.4% 98%  
429 0.8% 97%  
430 1.0% 97%  
431 1.0% 96%  
432 1.2% 95%  
433 2% 93%  
434 2% 92%  
435 2% 90%  
436 2% 88%  
437 2% 86%  
438 3% 84%  
439 3% 81%  
440 3% 78%  
441 4% 75%  
442 3% 71%  
443 4% 68%  
444 6% 65%  
445 3% 59%  
446 4% 55% Median
447 4% 52%  
448 4% 48%  
449 4% 44%  
450 4% 40%  
451 5% 36%  
452 3% 31%  
453 4% 28%  
454 2% 24%  
455 4% 22%  
456 2% 18%  
457 3% 16%  
458 2% 13%  
459 2% 11%  
460 2% 9%  
461 2% 8%  
462 1.1% 6%  
463 0.9% 5%  
464 0.6% 4%  
465 0.8% 3%  
466 0.4% 2%  
467 0.5% 2%  
468 0.3% 1.4%  
469 0.3% 1.1%  
470 0.2% 0.8%  
471 0.1% 0.6%  
472 0.1% 0.5%  
473 0.1% 0.3%  
474 0.1% 0.3%  
475 0% 0.2%  
476 0% 0.1%  
477 0% 0.1%  
478 0% 0.1%  
479 0% 0.1%  
480 0% 0.1%  
481 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 99.9%  
386 0% 99.9%  
387 0.1% 99.9%  
388 0.1% 99.8%  
389 0.1% 99.8%  
390 0.2% 99.7%  
391 0.1% 99.6%  
392 0.2% 99.5%  
393 0.3% 99.2%  
394 0.2% 99.0%  
395 0.3% 98.7%  
396 0.4% 98%  
397 0.6% 98%  
398 0.5% 97%  
399 1.1% 97%  
400 0.9% 96%  
401 1.0% 95%  
402 2% 94%  
403 2% 92%  
404 2% 90%  
405 2% 88%  
406 2% 86%  
407 2% 84%  
408 2% 81%  
409 4% 79%  
410 3% 75%  
411 3% 72%  
412 3% 69%  
413 4% 66%  
414 4% 62%  
415 6% 58% Median
416 4% 52%  
417 4% 48%  
418 4% 44%  
419 4% 39%  
420 4% 36%  
421 4% 32%  
422 3% 28%  
423 2% 25%  
424 2% 23%  
425 3% 21%  
426 3% 18%  
427 2% 15%  
428 3% 12%  
429 1.2% 10%  
430 2% 9%  
431 1.2% 7%  
432 1.1% 5%  
433 0.7% 4%  
434 0.7% 4%  
435 0.6% 3%  
436 0.3% 2%  
437 0.6% 2%  
438 0.3% 1.3%  
439 0.2% 1.0%  
440 0.2% 0.8%  
441 0.2% 0.7%  
442 0.1% 0.4%  
443 0.1% 0.3%  
444 0% 0.2%  
445 0% 0.2%  
446 0% 0.1%  
447 0% 0.1%  
448 0% 0.1%  
449 0% 0.1%  
450 0% 0.1%  
451 0% 0%  
452 0% 0%  
453 0% 0%  
454 0% 0%  
455 0% 0%  
456 0% 0%  
457 0% 0%  
458 0% 0%  
459 0% 0%  
460 0% 0%  
461 0% 0%  
462 0% 0%  
463 0% 0%  
464 0% 0%  
465 0% 0%  
466 0% 0%  
467 0% 0%  
468 0% 0%  
469 0% 0%  
470 0% 0%  
471 0% 0%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 99.9%  
347 0% 99.9%  
348 0% 99.9%  
349 0% 99.9%  
350 0.1% 99.8%  
351 0.1% 99.7%  
352 0.1% 99.6%  
353 0.1% 99.5%  
354 0.2% 99.4%  
355 0.3% 99.2% Majority
356 0.4% 98.9%  
357 0.5% 98%  
358 0.5% 98%  
359 0.7% 97%  
360 0.7% 97%  
361 0.8% 96%  
362 1.3% 95%  
363 1.0% 94%  
364 1.2% 93%  
365 2% 92%  
366 2% 90%  
367 3% 88%  
368 2% 85%  
369 3% 83%  
370 4% 80%  
371 4% 76%  
372 4% 73%  
373 4% 69%  
374 3% 66%  
375 4% 63%  
376 3% 59%  
377 5% 55% Median
378 4% 51%  
379 3% 47%  
380 5% 44%  
381 3% 39%  
382 5% 36%  
383 3% 32%  
384 4% 29%  
385 3% 25%  
386 3% 21%  
387 2% 18%  
388 3% 16%  
389 2% 13%  
390 1.4% 11%  
391 2% 10%  
392 1.4% 8%  
393 1.2% 7%  
394 1.0% 6%  
395 1.0% 5%  
396 1.0% 4%  
397 0.6% 3%  
398 0.7% 2%  
399 0.3% 2%  
400 0.3% 1.2%  
401 0.2% 0.9%  
402 0.2% 0.8%  
403 0.2% 0.6%  
404 0.1% 0.4%  
405 0.1% 0.3%  
406 0.1% 0.2%  
407 0.1% 0.2%  
408 0% 0.1%  
409 0% 0.1%  
410 0% 0.1%  
411 0% 0.1%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 99.9%  
339 0% 99.9%  
340 0.1% 99.9%  
341 0% 99.8%  
342 0.1% 99.8%  
343 0.1% 99.7%  
344 0.1% 99.6%  
345 0.2% 99.5%  
346 0.2% 99.3%  
347 0.3% 99.1%  
348 0.3% 98.8%  
349 0.5% 98.5%  
350 0.7% 98%  
351 0.5% 97%  
352 0.9% 97%  
353 0.7% 96%  
354 1.2% 95%  
355 1.5% 94% Majority
356 2% 93%  
357 2% 91%  
358 2% 89%  
359 3% 87%  
360 2% 84%  
361 2% 82%  
362 3% 80%  
363 3% 77%  
364 3% 73%  
365 5% 70%  
366 4% 66%  
367 4% 62%  
368 5% 59%  
369 3% 54% Median
370 4% 50%  
371 5% 47%  
372 4% 42%  
373 4% 38%  
374 4% 34%  
375 4% 31%  
376 3% 27%  
377 2% 24%  
378 4% 22%  
379 2% 18%  
380 2% 16%  
381 2% 14%  
382 2% 11%  
383 1.5% 9%  
384 1.2% 8%  
385 1.3% 7%  
386 0.7% 5%  
387 1.2% 5%  
388 0.7% 3%  
389 0.5% 3%  
390 0.5% 2%  
391 0.4% 2%  
392 0.3% 1.2%  
393 0.2% 1.0%  
394 0.2% 0.8%  
395 0.2% 0.6%  
396 0.1% 0.4%  
397 0.1% 0.3%  
398 0.1% 0.2%  
399 0% 0.2%  
400 0% 0.1%  
401 0% 0.1%  
402 0% 0.1%  
403 0% 0.1%  
404 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
300 0% 100% Last Result
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 99.9%  
324 0% 99.9%  
325 0.1% 99.9%  
326 0% 99.8%  
327 0.1% 99.8%  
328 0.1% 99.7%  
329 0.2% 99.6%  
330 0.2% 99.4%  
331 0.2% 99.3%  
332 0.3% 99.1%  
333 0.3% 98.8%  
334 0.5% 98%  
335 0.8% 98%  
336 0.4% 97%  
337 1.0% 97%  
338 0.8% 96%  
339 1.2% 95%  
340 1.4% 94%  
341 2% 92%  
342 2% 91%  
343 2% 89%  
344 2% 87%  
345 2% 85%  
346 3% 82%  
347 3% 79%  
348 4% 76%  
349 3% 72%  
350 3% 69%  
351 4% 66%  
352 4% 61%  
353 2% 57%  
354 4% 55% Median
355 4% 51% Majority
356 5% 47%  
357 3% 42%  
358 4% 38%  
359 4% 35%  
360 3% 30%  
361 3% 27%  
362 3% 24%  
363 4% 21%  
364 2% 17%  
365 2% 15%  
366 3% 14%  
367 1.4% 11%  
368 2% 9%  
369 1.3% 8%  
370 1.2% 6%  
371 0.9% 5%  
372 0.8% 4%  
373 0.7% 3%  
374 0.5% 3%  
375 0.6% 2%  
376 0.4% 2%  
377 0.2% 1.2%  
378 0.2% 1.0%  
379 0.2% 0.8%  
380 0.1% 0.6%  
381 0.1% 0.4%  
382 0.1% 0.3%  
383 0% 0.2%  
384 0% 0.2%  
385 0% 0.1%  
386 0% 0.1%  
387 0% 0.1%  
388 0% 0.1%  
389 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 99.9%  
309 0% 99.9%  
310 0% 99.9%  
311 0.1% 99.8%  
312 0.1% 99.8%  
313 0.1% 99.7%  
314 0.2% 99.6%  
315 0.3% 99.4%  
316 0.3% 99.1%  
317 0.3% 98.8%  
318 0.5% 98.6%  
319 0.5% 98%  
320 0.8% 98%  
321 0.7% 97%  
322 1.0% 96%  
323 1.1% 95%  
324 1.0% 94%  
325 1.4% 93%  
326 2% 92%  
327 2% 90%  
328 2% 87%  
329 2% 86%  
330 3% 83%  
331 2% 81%  
332 3% 78%  
333 4% 75%  
334 5% 71%  
335 4% 66%  
336 4% 63%  
337 4% 59%  
338 5% 55% Median
339 3% 50%  
340 6% 47%  
341 3% 41%  
342 3% 38%  
343 3% 35%  
344 4% 32%  
345 3% 28%  
346 4% 26%  
347 2% 21%  
348 2% 19%  
349 2% 17%  
350 2% 15%  
351 3% 13%  
352 2% 10%  
353 2% 8%  
354 0.9% 6%  
355 0.8% 5% Majority
356 0.9% 5%  
357 0.9% 4%  
358 0.6% 3%  
359 0.6% 2%  
360 0.3% 2%  
361 0.2% 1.3%  
362 0.3% 1.1%  
363 0.2% 0.9%  
364 0.2% 0.7%  
365 0.1% 0.5%  
366 0.1% 0.3%  
367 0% 0.3%  
368 0.1% 0.2%  
369 0% 0.2%  
370 0% 0.1%  
371 0% 0.1%  
372 0% 0.1%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 99.9%  
300 0% 99.9%  
301 0% 99.9%  
302 0.1% 99.9%  
303 0.1% 99.8%  
304 0.1% 99.8%  
305 0.1% 99.7%  
306 0.2% 99.6%  
307 0.2% 99.4%  
308 0.2% 99.2%  
309 0.3% 99.1%  
310 0.3% 98.8%  
311 0.7% 98%  
312 0.6% 98%  
313 1.0% 97%  
314 1.0% 96%  
315 1.0% 95%  
316 1.2% 94%  
317 1.4% 93%  
318 2% 92%  
319 1.4% 90%  
320 2% 89%  
321 3% 87%  
322 2% 84%  
323 3% 82%  
324 3% 79%  
325 4% 75%  
326 3% 71%  
327 5% 68%  
328 3% 64%  
329 5% 61%  
330 3% 56%  
331 4% 53% Median
332 5% 49%  
333 3% 45%  
334 4% 41%  
335 3% 37%  
336 4% 34%  
337 4% 31%  
338 4% 27%  
339 4% 24%  
340 3% 20%  
341 2% 17%  
342 3% 15%  
343 2% 12%  
344 2% 10%  
345 1.2% 8%  
346 1.0% 7%  
347 1.3% 6%  
348 0.8% 5%  
349 0.7% 4%  
350 0.7% 3%  
351 0.5% 3%  
352 0.5% 2%  
353 0.4% 2%  
354 0.3% 1.1%  
355 0.2% 0.8% Majority
356 0.1% 0.6%  
357 0.1% 0.5%  
358 0.1% 0.4%  
359 0.1% 0.3%  
360 0% 0.2%  
361 0% 0.1%  
362 0% 0.1%  
363 0% 0.1%  
364 0% 0.1%  
365 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 99.9%  
271 0.1% 99.9%  
272 0% 99.9%  
273 0.1% 99.8%  
274 0.1% 99.7%  
275 0.2% 99.7%  
276 0.1% 99.5%  
277 0.3% 99.4%  
278 0.2% 99.1%  
279 0.4% 98.9%  
280 0.4% 98.5%  
281 0.5% 98%  
282 0.7% 98%  
283 0.9% 97%  
284 0.7% 96%  
285 1.3% 95%  
286 1.1% 94%  
287 2% 93%  
288 2% 91%  
289 2% 89%  
290 2% 87%  
291 3% 85%  
292 2% 82%  
293 4% 80%  
294 4% 76%  
295 3% 72%  
296 4% 69%  
297 4% 65%  
298 4% 61%  
299 4% 57%  
300 5% 54% Median
301 4% 49%  
302 4% 45%  
303 5% 42%  
304 3% 37%  
305 3% 34%  
306 3% 31%  
307 4% 28%  
308 3% 24%  
309 4% 22%  
310 2% 17%  
311 2% 15%  
312 2% 13%  
313 2% 11%  
314 2% 10%  
315 2% 8%  
316 1.3% 6%  
317 1.3% 5%  
318 0.6% 4%  
319 0.7% 3%  
320 0.5% 2%  
321 0.4% 2%  
322 0.4% 2%  
323 0.3% 1.1%  
324 0.1% 0.8%  
325 0.2% 0.7%  
326 0.2% 0.5%  
327 0.1% 0.4%  
328 0.1% 0.3%  
329 0.1% 0.2%  
330 0% 0.2%  
331 0% 0.1%  
332 0% 0.1%  
333 0% 0.1%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 99.9%  
264 0% 99.9%  
265 0% 99.9%  
266 0.1% 99.8%  
267 0.1% 99.7%  
268 0.1% 99.6%  
269 0.2% 99.5%  
270 0.3% 99.3%  
271 0.3% 99.0%  
272 0.3% 98.7%  
273 0.6% 98%  
274 0.4% 98%  
275 1.0% 97%  
276 0.8% 96%  
277 1.2% 96%  
278 0.8% 94%  
279 2% 94%  
280 2% 92%  
281 2% 90%  
282 2% 88%  
283 3% 86%  
284 2% 83%  
285 3% 81%  
286 2% 77%  
287 4% 75%  
288 5% 71%  
289 3% 66%  
290 4% 64%  
291 4% 60%  
292 5% 56% Median
293 4% 51%  
294 4% 47%  
295 2% 43%  
296 4% 41%  
297 5% 36%  
298 3% 31%  
299 3% 28%  
300 4% 25%  
301 2% 21%  
302 2% 19%  
303 3% 17%  
304 2% 14%  
305 2% 11%  
306 2% 10%  
307 1.3% 8%  
308 0.9% 7%  
309 1.4% 6%  
310 0.9% 4%  
311 0.8% 4%  
312 0.5% 3%  
313 0.5% 2%  
314 0.2% 2%  
315 0.5% 1.5%  
316 0.2% 1.0%  
317 0.2% 0.8%  
318 0.1% 0.6%  
319 0.1% 0.5%  
320 0.1% 0.4%  
321 0.1% 0.2%  
322 0.1% 0.2%  
323 0% 0.1%  
324 0% 0.1%  
325 0% 0.1%  
326 0% 0.1% Last Result
327 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 99.9%  
248 0% 99.9%  
249 0.1% 99.9%  
250 0.1% 99.8%  
251 0.1% 99.8%  
252 0.2% 99.7%  
253 0.1% 99.5%  
254 0.2% 99.4%  
255 0.2% 99.2%  
256 0.4% 98.9%  
257 0.4% 98.5%  
258 0.6% 98%  
259 0.8% 98%  
260 1.0% 97%  
261 0.8% 96%  
262 1.1% 95%  
263 1.2% 94%  
264 2% 93%  
265 1.5% 91%  
266 3% 89%  
267 2% 87%  
268 2% 84%  
269 3% 82%  
270 3% 79%  
271 4% 76%  
272 4% 73%  
273 5% 69%  
274 4% 64%  
275 5% 61%  
276 3% 56%  
277 5% 53% Median
278 4% 48%  
279 4% 44%  
280 4% 40%  
281 4% 37%  
282 4% 32%  
283 3% 29%  
284 4% 26%  
285 3% 22%  
286 2% 19%  
287 3% 17%  
288 2% 14%  
289 2% 12%  
290 2% 10%  
291 2% 9%  
292 1.3% 7%  
293 1.2% 6%  
294 1.0% 5%  
295 0.5% 3%  
296 0.6% 3%  
297 0.5% 2%  
298 0.4% 2%  
299 0.5% 2%  
300 0.2% 1.1%  
301 0.2% 0.8%  
302 0.2% 0.6%  
303 0.1% 0.4%  
304 0.1% 0.3%  
305 0.1% 0.2%  
306 0.1% 0.2%  
307 0% 0.1%  
308 0% 0.1%  
309 0% 0.1%  
310 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
172 0% 100%  
173 0% 99.9%  
174 0% 99.9%  
175 0% 99.9%  
176 0.1% 99.8%  
177 0.1% 99.7%  
178 0.2% 99.6%  
179 0.2% 99.5%  
180 0.4% 99.3%  
181 0.3% 98.9%  
182 0.6% 98.6%  
183 0.4% 98%  
184 0.7% 98%  
185 1.1% 97%  
186 1.2% 96%  
187 2% 95%  
188 2% 93%  
189 2% 91%  
190 2% 90%  
191 3% 88%  
192 2% 85%  
193 4% 83%  
194 4% 78%  
195 4% 75%  
196 4% 71%  
197 4% 67%  
198 3% 63%  
199 5% 60%  
200 3% 55% Median
201 7% 51%  
202 4% 45%  
203 5% 41%  
204 4% 36%  
205 3% 32%  
206 4% 29%  
207 4% 25%  
208 2% 21%  
209 5% 19%  
210 2% 14%  
211 2% 13%  
212 2% 11%  
213 2% 9%  
214 1.0% 7%  
215 2% 6%  
216 0.5% 4%  
217 1.0% 4%  
218 0.6% 3%  
219 0.4% 2%  
220 0.4% 2%  
221 0.4% 1.4%  
222 0.3% 1.0%  
223 0.2% 0.7%  
224 0.1% 0.5%  
225 0.1% 0.4%  
226 0.1% 0.3%  
227 0% 0.2%  
228 0.1% 0.2%  
229 0% 0.1%  
230 0% 0.1%  
231 0% 0.1%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 99.9%  
148 0% 99.9%  
149 0% 99.9%  
150 0% 99.9%  
151 0% 99.9%  
152 0% 99.9%  
153 0% 99.8%  
154 0.1% 99.8%  
155 0.2% 99.7%  
156 0.3% 99.5%  
157 0.2% 99.2%  
158 0.2% 99.1%  
159 0.4% 98.8%  
160 0.5% 98%  
161 0.9% 98%  
162 1.0% 97%  
163 0.7% 96%  
164 1.5% 95%  
165 2% 94%  
166 3% 92%  
167 2% 89%  
168 2% 87%  
169 3% 85%  
170 4% 82%  
171 5% 78%  
172 3% 74%  
173 3% 71%  
174 3% 68%  
175 7% 64%  
176 6% 58%  
177 4% 52% Median
178 3% 48%  
179 5% 45%  
180 5% 41%  
181 5% 35%  
182 3% 30%  
183 3% 26%  
184 3% 24%  
185 5% 21%  
186 4% 16%  
187 2% 13%  
188 1.2% 11%  
189 2% 10%  
190 2% 8%  
191 1.4% 6%  
192 1.0% 5%  
193 0.5% 4%  
194 0.6% 3%  
195 0.9% 3%  
196 0.6% 2%  
197 0.3% 1.1%  
198 0.2% 0.8%  
199 0.2% 0.7%  
200 0.2% 0.5%  
201 0.1% 0.4%  
202 0% 0.2%  
203 0% 0.2%  
204 0% 0.2%  
205 0% 0.1%  
206 0% 0.1%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations