Opinion Poll by Infratest dimap, 20–21 July 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 23.6% 22.0–25.2% 21.6–25.7% 21.2–26.1% 20.5–26.9%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 19.0% 17.6–20.6% 17.2–21.0% 16.9–21.4% 16.2–22.1%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 16.0% 14.7–17.4% 14.3–17.8% 14.0–18.2% 13.4–18.9%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 12.0% 10.9–13.3% 10.6–13.7% 10.3–14.0% 9.8–14.7%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 10.0% 9.0–11.2% 8.7–11.6% 8.4–11.9% 8.0–12.5%
Die Linke 9.2% 6.0% 5.2–7.0% 5.0–7.2% 4.8–7.5% 4.4–8.0%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 5.5% 4.7–6.4% 4.5–6.7% 4.3–6.9% 4.0–7.4%
Freie Wähler 0.0% 3.0% 2.5–3.8% 2.3–4.0% 2.2–4.2% 2.0–4.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 181 169–194 165–197 162–202 157–208
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 146 135–158 131–162 130–165 124–171
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 122 113–133 110–137 107–140 103–146
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 92 84–102 80–105 79–107 75–114
Alternative für Deutschland 94 77 69–86 67–89 65–92 60–96
Die Linke 69 46 39–53 0–55 0–57 0–61
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 45 39–53 37–55 36–56 33–60
Freie Wähler 0 0 0 0 0 0

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 99.9%  
152 0% 99.9%  
153 0% 99.9%  
154 0% 99.8%  
155 0.1% 99.8%  
156 0.1% 99.7%  
157 0.1% 99.6%  
158 0.2% 99.4%  
159 0.3% 99.3%  
160 0.5% 98.9%  
161 0.3% 98%  
162 0.7% 98%  
163 0.5% 97%  
164 0.7% 97%  
165 2% 96%  
166 1.1% 94%  
167 1.3% 93%  
168 1.0% 92%  
169 3% 91%  
170 2% 88%  
171 4% 86%  
172 2% 82%  
173 3% 80%  
174 2% 77%  
175 3% 75%  
176 6% 72%  
177 3% 65%  
178 2% 63%  
179 3% 60%  
180 3% 58%  
181 8% 55% Median
182 5% 47%  
183 3% 42%  
184 4% 39%  
185 4% 35%  
186 5% 31%  
187 4% 26%  
188 3% 22%  
189 2% 19%  
190 2% 17%  
191 2% 15%  
192 1.4% 13%  
193 1.0% 12%  
194 2% 11%  
195 2% 9%  
196 2% 7%  
197 1.0% 6%  
198 0.4% 5%  
199 0.6% 4%  
200 0.4% 4% Last Result
201 0.7% 3%  
202 0.6% 3%  
203 0.3% 2%  
204 0.2% 2%  
205 0.2% 1.5%  
206 0.3% 1.3%  
207 0.2% 1.0%  
208 0.4% 0.9%  
209 0.1% 0.4%  
210 0.1% 0.4%  
211 0.1% 0.3%  
212 0% 0.2%  
213 0% 0.1%  
214 0% 0.1%  
215 0% 0.1%  
216 0% 0.1%  
217 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 99.9%  
120 0% 99.9%  
121 0% 99.9%  
122 0.1% 99.9%  
123 0.1% 99.8%  
124 0.3% 99.7%  
125 0.3% 99.4%  
126 0.1% 99.1%  
127 0.3% 99.0%  
128 0.5% 98.7%  
129 0.7% 98%  
130 2% 98%  
131 2% 96%  
132 1.4% 94%  
133 0.9% 93%  
134 1.3% 92%  
135 2% 90%  
136 4% 88%  
137 3% 84%  
138 3% 81%  
139 2% 78%  
140 2% 76%  
141 3% 74%  
142 6% 71%  
143 7% 65%  
144 3% 59%  
145 4% 56%  
146 3% 51% Median
147 5% 49%  
148 8% 44%  
149 4% 36%  
150 4% 32%  
151 3% 28%  
152 3% 25%  
153 3% 22%  
154 2% 19%  
155 2% 17%  
156 2% 16%  
157 2% 13%  
158 1.1% 11%  
159 1.4% 10%  
160 1.3% 8%  
161 1.4% 7%  
162 1.3% 6%  
163 1.0% 4%  
164 0.5% 3%  
165 0.4% 3%  
166 0.7% 2%  
167 0.6% 2%  
168 0.2% 1.1%  
169 0.1% 0.9%  
170 0.2% 0.7%  
171 0.1% 0.6%  
172 0.2% 0.5%  
173 0.1% 0.3%  
174 0.1% 0.3%  
175 0% 0.2%  
176 0% 0.2%  
177 0% 0.1%  
178 0% 0.1%  
179 0% 0.1%  
180 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
98 0% 100%  
99 0.1% 99.9%  
100 0.1% 99.8%  
101 0% 99.8%  
102 0.1% 99.7%  
103 0.5% 99.6%  
104 0.2% 99.1%  
105 0.1% 98.9%  
106 0.7% 98.9%  
107 1.5% 98%  
108 0.2% 97%  
109 0.4% 96%  
110 3% 96%  
111 2% 93%  
112 0.4% 91%  
113 2% 91%  
114 5% 89%  
115 4% 84%  
116 0.3% 80%  
117 5% 80%  
118 8% 75%  
119 1.3% 67%  
120 0.9% 66%  
121 10% 65%  
122 7% 55% Median
123 0.8% 48%  
124 3% 48%  
125 11% 45%  
126 3% 34%  
127 0.7% 30%  
128 4% 29%  
129 8% 26%  
130 1.2% 18%  
131 0.7% 17%  
132 3% 16%  
133 4% 13%  
134 0.4% 9%  
135 0.6% 9%  
136 2% 8%  
137 2% 6%  
138 0.2% 4%  
139 0.4% 4%  
140 1.1% 3%  
141 0.7% 2%  
142 0.1% 2%  
143 0.4% 2%  
144 0.4% 1.1%  
145 0.2% 0.7%  
146 0% 0.5%  
147 0.2% 0.5%  
148 0.1% 0.3%  
149 0% 0.2%  
150 0% 0.1%  
151 0% 0.1%  
152 0% 0.1%  
153 0% 0.1% Last Result
154 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0% 100%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0% 99.9%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 0.2% 99.7%  
75 0.2% 99.5%  
76 0.2% 99.4%  
77 0.6% 99.1%  
78 0.6% 98.5%  
79 1.5% 98%  
80 2% 96% Last Result
81 1.1% 95%  
82 2% 93%  
83 2% 92%  
84 3% 90%  
85 3% 87%  
86 2% 84%  
87 4% 81%  
88 7% 77%  
89 4% 71%  
90 5% 66%  
91 6% 62%  
92 6% 56% Median
93 5% 49%  
94 5% 45%  
95 4% 39%  
96 4% 35%  
97 3% 31%  
98 5% 28%  
99 3% 22%  
100 4% 19%  
101 3% 16%  
102 4% 13%  
103 2% 9%  
104 1.3% 7%  
105 1.5% 6%  
106 1.4% 5%  
107 0.6% 3%  
108 0.6% 2%  
109 0.5% 2%  
110 0.3% 1.4%  
111 0.2% 1.0%  
112 0.1% 0.9%  
113 0.2% 0.8%  
114 0.3% 0.6%  
115 0.1% 0.3%  
116 0% 0.2%  
117 0.1% 0.2%  
118 0% 0.1%  
119 0% 0.1%  
120 0% 0%  

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 99.9%  
58 0% 99.9%  
59 0.2% 99.9%  
60 0.2% 99.6%  
61 0.2% 99.5%  
62 0.3% 99.3%  
63 0.7% 99.0%  
64 0.6% 98%  
65 1.3% 98%  
66 1.3% 96%  
67 2% 95%  
68 2% 94%  
69 3% 91%  
70 5% 89%  
71 4% 84%  
72 3% 80%  
73 4% 77%  
74 10% 73%  
75 3% 63%  
76 6% 60%  
77 7% 54% Median
78 4% 46%  
79 5% 43%  
80 8% 38%  
81 3% 30%  
82 3% 27%  
83 7% 24%  
84 3% 17%  
85 2% 14%  
86 3% 12%  
87 2% 8%  
88 1.1% 7%  
89 2% 5%  
90 0.8% 4%  
91 0.5% 3%  
92 0.7% 3%  
93 0.6% 2%  
94 0.2% 1.3% Last Result
95 0.4% 1.1%  
96 0.4% 0.7%  
97 0.1% 0.4%  
98 0.1% 0.2%  
99 0.1% 0.2%  
100 0% 0.1%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0% 0.1%  
103 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 7% 100%  
1 0% 93%  
2 0% 93%  
3 0% 93%  
4 0% 93%  
5 0% 93%  
6 0% 93%  
7 0% 93%  
8 0% 93%  
9 0% 93%  
10 0% 93%  
11 0% 93%  
12 0% 93%  
13 0% 93%  
14 0% 93%  
15 0% 93%  
16 0% 93%  
17 0% 93%  
18 0% 93%  
19 0% 93%  
20 0% 93%  
21 0% 93%  
22 0% 93%  
23 0% 93%  
24 0% 93%  
25 0% 93%  
26 0% 93%  
27 0% 93%  
28 0% 93%  
29 0% 93%  
30 0% 93%  
31 0% 93%  
32 0% 93%  
33 0% 93%  
34 0% 93%  
35 0% 93%  
36 0% 93%  
37 0% 93%  
38 0.6% 93%  
39 3% 92%  
40 4% 90%  
41 6% 86%  
42 9% 80%  
43 6% 72%  
44 5% 66%  
45 7% 60%  
46 8% 54% Median
47 9% 46%  
48 6% 36%  
49 4% 31%  
50 5% 26%  
51 5% 22%  
52 4% 16%  
53 4% 12%  
54 2% 9%  
55 2% 6%  
56 1.4% 4%  
57 1.0% 3%  
58 0.6% 2%  
59 0.3% 1.3%  
60 0.3% 1.0%  
61 0.3% 0.6%  
62 0.2% 0.4%  
63 0.1% 0.2%  
64 0% 0.1%  
65 0% 0.1%  
66 0% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 0.1% 100%  
32 0.2% 99.9%  
33 0.3% 99.7%  
34 0.5% 99.4%  
35 1.3% 98.9%  
36 2% 98%  
37 2% 96%  
38 3% 94%  
39 4% 91%  
40 5% 87%  
41 8% 83%  
42 6% 75%  
43 7% 69%  
44 7% 62%  
45 6% 55% Median
46 8% 49% Last Result
47 9% 41%  
48 7% 32%  
49 4% 25%  
50 3% 21%  
51 4% 17%  
52 3% 13%  
53 3% 10%  
54 2% 7%  
55 2% 5%  
56 1.3% 3%  
57 0.6% 2%  
58 0.5% 2%  
59 0.4% 1.1%  
60 0.3% 0.6%  
61 0.2% 0.3%  
62 0.1% 0.2%  
63 0% 0.1%  
64 0% 0.1%  
65 0% 0%  

Freie Wähler

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Wähler page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 494 100% 481–510 477–523 474–531 468–543
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 464 100% 451–480 447–490 443–498 437–510
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 441 100% 427–459 424–465 420–473 413–488
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 396 100% 381–411 377–418 374–425 367–437
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 371 94% 358–388 353–394 350–400 344–412
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 361 71% 347–377 342–384 339–391 333–404
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 348 31% 334–365 330–371 327–377 321–388
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 319 0.7% 304–334 301–340 297–346 291–357
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 313 0% 298–327 291–332 284–335 272–342
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 303 0% 290–318 285–324 282–329 275–340
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 268 0% 255–284 251–290 248–293 242–304
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 216 0% 203–229 199–234 196–238 190–246
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 168 0% 153–180 137–184 129–187 118–192

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
460 0% 100%  
461 0% 99.9%  
462 0% 99.9%  
463 0.1% 99.9%  
464 0% 99.8%  
465 0.1% 99.8%  
466 0.1% 99.7% Last Result
467 0.1% 99.7%  
468 0.1% 99.5%  
469 0.2% 99.4%  
470 0.3% 99.2%  
471 0.2% 98.9%  
472 0.4% 98.7%  
473 0.6% 98%  
474 0.6% 98%  
475 0.9% 97%  
476 0.4% 96%  
477 1.1% 96%  
478 0.9% 95%  
479 2% 94%  
480 2% 92%  
481 2% 90%  
482 2% 88%  
483 2% 86%  
484 1.4% 84%  
485 3% 83%  
486 2% 80%  
487 4% 78%  
488 4% 74%  
489 4% 70%  
490 4% 67%  
491 6% 63%  
492 4% 57%  
493 2% 53%  
494 4% 51% Median
495 4% 47%  
496 3% 43%  
497 3% 40%  
498 3% 37%  
499 3% 34%  
500 4% 32%  
501 2% 28%  
502 3% 25%  
503 3% 23%  
504 1.3% 19%  
505 2% 18%  
506 1.4% 16%  
507 2% 14%  
508 0.6% 12%  
509 0.9% 11%  
510 0.6% 10%  
511 1.0% 10%  
512 0.5% 9%  
513 0.6% 8%  
514 0.3% 8%  
515 0.7% 7%  
516 0.3% 7%  
517 0.2% 6%  
518 0.2% 6%  
519 0.2% 6%  
520 0.3% 6%  
521 0.3% 5%  
522 0.1% 5%  
523 0.3% 5%  
524 0.2% 5%  
525 0.3% 5%  
526 0.4% 4%  
527 0.2% 4%  
528 0.6% 4%  
529 0.4% 3%  
530 0.1% 3%  
531 0.4% 3%  
532 0.1% 2%  
533 0.3% 2%  
534 0.2% 2%  
535 0.2% 2%  
536 0.3% 2%  
537 0.3% 1.3%  
538 0% 1.0%  
539 0.3% 1.0%  
540 0.1% 0.7%  
541 0% 0.6%  
542 0.1% 0.6%  
543 0.2% 0.5%  
544 0% 0.3%  
545 0% 0.3%  
546 0% 0.3%  
547 0.1% 0.2%  
548 0% 0.2%  
549 0% 0.1%  
550 0.1% 0.1%  
551 0% 0.1%  
552 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 99.9%  
431 0% 99.9%  
432 0% 99.9%  
433 0.1% 99.9%  
434 0.1% 99.8%  
435 0% 99.7%  
436 0.1% 99.7%  
437 0.2% 99.6%  
438 0.3% 99.4%  
439 0.2% 99.1%  
440 0.3% 98.9%  
441 0.2% 98.5%  
442 0.2% 98%  
443 1.1% 98%  
444 0.3% 97%  
445 0.7% 97%  
446 0.5% 96%  
447 1.4% 95%  
448 1.0% 94%  
449 0.7% 93%  
450 2% 92%  
451 0.8% 90%  
452 3% 89%  
453 3% 86%  
454 4% 83%  
455 2% 80%  
456 3% 78%  
457 2% 75%  
458 5% 73%  
459 2% 67%  
460 3% 65%  
461 3% 61%  
462 3% 59%  
463 3% 55%  
464 3% 52% Median
465 3% 49%  
466 4% 46%  
467 4% 43%  
468 4% 39%  
469 3% 35%  
470 4% 31%  
471 2% 28%  
472 2% 26%  
473 3% 24%  
474 3% 21%  
475 2% 18%  
476 2% 15%  
477 0.8% 14%  
478 1.4% 13%  
479 0.7% 11%  
480 1.0% 11%  
481 0.5% 10%  
482 0.6% 9%  
483 0.8% 9%  
484 0.4% 8%  
485 0.3% 7%  
486 0.6% 7%  
487 0.4% 6%  
488 0.7% 6%  
489 0.3% 5%  
490 0.4% 5%  
491 0.2% 5%  
492 0.2% 4%  
493 0.1% 4%  
494 0.2% 4%  
495 0.2% 4%  
496 0.7% 4%  
497 0.4% 3%  
498 0.1% 3%  
499 0.3% 2%  
500 0.2% 2%  
501 0.1% 2%  
502 0.3% 2%  
503 0.4% 2%  
504 0.1% 1.3%  
505 0.1% 1.2%  
506 0.1% 1.1%  
507 0% 1.0%  
508 0.2% 1.0%  
509 0.2% 0.8%  
510 0.2% 0.6%  
511 0.1% 0.4%  
512 0.1% 0.3%  
513 0% 0.2%  
514 0.1% 0.2%  
515 0% 0.1%  
516 0% 0.1%  
517 0% 0.1%  
518 0% 0.1%  
519 0% 0.1%  
520 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 99.9%  
407 0% 99.9%  
408 0% 99.9%  
409 0% 99.9%  
410 0% 99.8%  
411 0.1% 99.8%  
412 0.1% 99.7%  
413 0.1% 99.5%  
414 0.2% 99.5%  
415 0.2% 99.2%  
416 0.2% 99.0%  
417 0.2% 98.8%  
418 0.3% 98.6%  
419 0.6% 98%  
420 0.3% 98%  
421 0.6% 97%  
422 0.5% 97%  
423 1.1% 96%  
424 0.8% 95%  
425 2% 94%  
426 1.2% 93%  
427 2% 91%  
428 2% 89%  
429 2% 87%  
430 2% 85%  
431 6% 84%  
432 2% 77%  
433 1.1% 76%  
434 2% 75%  
435 4% 72%  
436 2% 68%  
437 2% 66%  
438 4% 64%  
439 2% 60%  
440 4% 58% Median
441 5% 55%  
442 5% 50%  
443 3% 45%  
444 5% 42%  
445 3% 37%  
446 2% 34%  
447 3% 31%  
448 4% 28%  
449 2% 24%  
450 1.2% 22%  
451 2% 20%  
452 1.2% 18%  
453 0.8% 17%  
454 1.1% 16%  
455 2% 15%  
456 0.4% 13%  
457 2% 13%  
458 1.0% 11%  
459 1.4% 10%  
460 0.7% 9%  
461 1.2% 8%  
462 0.7% 7%  
463 0.5% 6%  
464 0.2% 5%  
465 0.5% 5%  
466 0.1% 5%  
467 0.3% 5%  
468 0.2% 4%  
469 0.2% 4%  
470 0.4% 4%  
471 0.3% 4%  
472 0.3% 3%  
473 0.4% 3%  
474 0.2% 2%  
475 0.6% 2%  
476 0.2% 2%  
477 0.1% 2%  
478 0.1% 1.4%  
479 0.2% 1.3% Last Result
480 0.1% 1.1%  
481 0.1% 1.0%  
482 0% 0.9%  
483 0% 0.9%  
484 0% 0.9%  
485 0.1% 0.8%  
486 0.2% 0.7%  
487 0% 0.6%  
488 0.1% 0.5%  
489 0% 0.5%  
490 0.2% 0.4%  
491 0% 0.2%  
492 0% 0.2%  
493 0.1% 0.1%  
494 0% 0.1%  
495 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 99.9%  
361 0% 99.9%  
362 0% 99.9%  
363 0.1% 99.9%  
364 0.1% 99.8%  
365 0% 99.7%  
366 0.2% 99.7%  
367 0.1% 99.6%  
368 0.1% 99.4%  
369 0.2% 99.3%  
370 0.2% 99.0%  
371 0.3% 98.8%  
372 0.3% 98.5%  
373 0.5% 98%  
374 0.4% 98%  
375 0.5% 97%  
376 0.8% 97%  
377 1.1% 96%  
378 0.9% 95%  
379 1.2% 94%  
380 0.8% 93%  
381 2% 92%  
382 2% 90%  
383 2% 88%  
384 2% 86%  
385 2% 84%  
386 2% 82%  
387 2% 80%  
388 2% 78%  
389 3% 75%  
390 4% 72%  
391 2% 68%  
392 4% 67%  
393 6% 63%  
394 2% 56%  
395 3% 54% Median
396 3% 50%  
397 4% 47%  
398 3% 43%  
399 3% 41%  
400 5% 38%  
401 3% 33%  
402 2% 30%  
403 4% 28%  
404 2% 24%  
405 1.3% 22%  
406 2% 21%  
407 3% 19%  
408 2% 16%  
409 2% 14%  
410 1.0% 12%  
411 1.3% 11%  
412 0.8% 10%  
413 0.7% 9%  
414 0.8% 8%  
415 0.6% 8%  
416 0.8% 7%  
417 0.7% 6%  
418 0.6% 5%  
419 0.4% 5%  
420 0.5% 4% Last Result
421 0.5% 4%  
422 0.2% 4%  
423 0.4% 3%  
424 0.3% 3%  
425 0.3% 3%  
426 0.1% 2%  
427 0.1% 2%  
428 0.4% 2%  
429 0.1% 2%  
430 0.1% 2%  
431 0.4% 2%  
432 0.1% 1.2%  
433 0.1% 1.1%  
434 0.2% 0.9%  
435 0.1% 0.7%  
436 0% 0.6%  
437 0.1% 0.5%  
438 0% 0.5%  
439 0% 0.4%  
440 0% 0.4%  
441 0.1% 0.4%  
442 0.1% 0.3%  
443 0% 0.2%  
444 0% 0.1%  
445 0% 0.1%  
446 0% 0.1%  
447 0% 0.1%  
448 0% 0.1%  
449 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 99.9%  
338 0% 99.9%  
339 0.1% 99.9%  
340 0.1% 99.8%  
341 0% 99.8%  
342 0.1% 99.7%  
343 0.1% 99.6%  
344 0.2% 99.5%  
345 0.1% 99.3%  
346 0.3% 99.2%  
347 0.1% 99.0%  
348 0.3% 98.8%  
349 0.4% 98%  
350 0.7% 98%  
351 1.0% 97%  
352 0.6% 96%  
353 0.8% 96%  
354 0.8% 95%  
355 0.9% 94% Majority
356 2% 93%  
357 0.8% 91%  
358 2% 91%  
359 1.1% 88%  
360 4% 87%  
361 2% 84%  
362 2% 81%  
363 3% 79%  
364 2% 76%  
365 2% 74%  
366 3% 71%  
367 3% 68%  
368 4% 65%  
369 3% 61%  
370 7% 59%  
371 3% 52%  
372 3% 48% Median
373 2% 45%  
374 3% 43%  
375 2% 39%  
376 4% 37%  
377 3% 34%  
378 3% 31%  
379 3% 27%  
380 3% 24%  
381 3% 22%  
382 2% 19%  
383 1.0% 18%  
384 1.4% 17%  
385 2% 15%  
386 2% 14%  
387 1.0% 12%  
388 1.3% 11%  
389 1.5% 10%  
390 0.9% 8%  
391 1.0% 7%  
392 0.4% 6%  
393 0.5% 6%  
394 0.6% 6%  
395 0.5% 5%  
396 0.4% 5%  
397 0.3% 4%  
398 0.3% 4%  
399 0.7% 3%  
400 0.3% 3%  
401 0.4% 2%  
402 0.2% 2%  
403 0.1% 2%  
404 0.2% 2%  
405 0.1% 2%  
406 0.2% 1.5%  
407 0.1% 1.3%  
408 0.2% 1.2%  
409 0.1% 1.0%  
410 0.3% 1.0%  
411 0% 0.7%  
412 0.1% 0.6%  
413 0% 0.5%  
414 0.1% 0.4%  
415 0% 0.4%  
416 0% 0.3%  
417 0% 0.3%  
418 0.1% 0.3%  
419 0.1% 0.2%  
420 0% 0.1%  
421 0% 0.1%  
422 0% 0.1%  
423 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
300 0% 100% Last Result
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 99.9%  
327 0% 99.9%  
328 0% 99.9%  
329 0% 99.9%  
330 0.1% 99.8%  
331 0.1% 99.8%  
332 0.1% 99.7%  
333 0.3% 99.6%  
334 0.1% 99.3%  
335 0.3% 99.2%  
336 0.2% 99.0%  
337 0.4% 98.8%  
338 0.5% 98%  
339 0.5% 98%  
340 1.1% 97%  
341 0.8% 96%  
342 0.9% 95%  
343 0.9% 94%  
344 0.8% 94%  
345 0.7% 93%  
346 1.4% 92%  
347 2% 91%  
348 2% 89%  
349 2% 86%  
350 2% 84%  
351 2% 82%  
352 2% 80%  
353 3% 78%  
354 4% 75%  
355 3% 71% Majority
356 3% 68%  
357 5% 66%  
358 3% 60%  
359 3% 58%  
360 2% 54% Median
361 2% 52%  
362 3% 50%  
363 3% 47%  
364 6% 45%  
365 3% 39%  
366 3% 35%  
367 4% 32%  
368 2% 28%  
369 3% 26%  
370 3% 24%  
371 2% 21%  
372 2% 19%  
373 1.3% 17%  
374 2% 15%  
375 1.3% 13%  
376 0.9% 12%  
377 2% 11%  
378 0.6% 10%  
379 0.9% 9%  
380 0.7% 8%  
381 0.9% 7%  
382 0.6% 6%  
383 0.5% 6%  
384 0.3% 5%  
385 0.5% 5%  
386 0.1% 5%  
387 0.3% 4%  
388 0.2% 4%  
389 0.6% 4%  
390 0.4% 3%  
391 0.5% 3%  
392 0.5% 2%  
393 0.2% 2%  
394 0.3% 2%  
395 0.1% 1.5%  
396 0.2% 1.4%  
397 0% 1.2%  
398 0.1% 1.2%  
399 0% 1.1%  
400 0% 1.1%  
401 0% 1.0%  
402 0.2% 1.0%  
403 0.1% 0.8%  
404 0.3% 0.7%  
405 0% 0.4%  
406 0% 0.4%  
407 0.2% 0.4%  
408 0% 0.1%  
409 0% 0.1%  
410 0% 0.1%  
411 0% 0.1%  
412 0% 0.1%  
413 0% 0.1%  
414 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 99.9%  
315 0% 99.9%  
316 0.1% 99.9%  
317 0% 99.8%  
318 0.1% 99.8%  
319 0.1% 99.7%  
320 0.1% 99.6%  
321 0.1% 99.5%  
322 0.1% 99.4%  
323 0.3% 99.3%  
324 0.1% 99.0%  
325 0.5% 98.8%  
326 0.5% 98%  
327 1.1% 98%  
328 1.2% 97%  
329 0.4% 96%  
330 0.7% 95%  
331 0.8% 94%  
332 0.9% 94%  
333 2% 93%  
334 2% 91%  
335 1.3% 90%  
336 3% 88%  
337 2% 86%  
338 2% 84%  
339 2% 81%  
340 1.2% 80%  
341 3% 78%  
342 2% 76%  
343 5% 74%  
344 4% 68%  
345 2% 64%  
346 8% 62%  
347 1.5% 54%  
348 3% 53% Median
349 3% 49%  
350 2% 46%  
351 3% 44%  
352 3% 41%  
353 2% 37%  
354 4% 35%  
355 4% 31% Majority
356 4% 27%  
357 2% 24%  
358 2% 21%  
359 1.3% 20%  
360 1.0% 18%  
361 2% 17%  
362 2% 16%  
363 0.9% 14%  
364 2% 13%  
365 1.3% 10%  
366 1.5% 9%  
367 1.2% 8%  
368 0.7% 6%  
369 0.4% 6%  
370 0.3% 5%  
371 0.7% 5%  
372 0.3% 4%  
373 0.6% 4%  
374 0.3% 4%  
375 0.3% 3%  
376 0.2% 3%  
377 0.4% 3%  
378 0.2% 2%  
379 0.2% 2%  
380 0.2% 2%  
381 0.1% 2%  
382 0.4% 2%  
383 0.1% 1.2%  
384 0.2% 1.1%  
385 0.2% 0.9%  
386 0% 0.7%  
387 0% 0.6%  
388 0.2% 0.6%  
389 0% 0.4%  
390 0.1% 0.3%  
391 0% 0.3%  
392 0% 0.2%  
393 0.1% 0.2%  
394 0% 0.1%  
395 0.1% 0.1%  
396 0% 0.1%  
397 0% 0.1%  
398 0% 0.1%  
399 0% 0.1% Last Result
400 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 99.9%  
285 0% 99.9%  
286 0% 99.9%  
287 0.1% 99.9%  
288 0.1% 99.8%  
289 0.1% 99.7%  
290 0.1% 99.6%  
291 0.1% 99.5%  
292 0.4% 99.4%  
293 0.3% 99.1%  
294 0.2% 98.7%  
295 0.1% 98.5%  
296 0.4% 98%  
297 1.0% 98%  
298 0.5% 97%  
299 0.5% 97%  
300 0.7% 96%  
301 1.2% 95%  
302 2% 94%  
303 1.0% 92%  
304 1.3% 91%  
305 1.2% 90%  
306 3% 88%  
307 1.4% 86%  
308 3% 84%  
309 1.5% 82%  
310 5% 80%  
311 3% 75%  
312 3% 73%  
313 2% 70%  
314 2% 67%  
315 3% 65%  
316 3% 62%  
317 3% 59%  
318 5% 56% Median
319 2% 51%  
320 6% 48%  
321 3% 43%  
322 3% 39%  
323 2% 37%  
324 3% 34%  
325 3% 32%  
326 5% 29% Last Result
327 3% 24%  
328 2% 21%  
329 1.5% 19%  
330 2% 18%  
331 1.1% 15%  
332 2% 14%  
333 2% 12%  
334 2% 10%  
335 1.0% 9%  
336 0.7% 8%  
337 0.9% 7%  
338 0.5% 6%  
339 0.5% 6%  
340 0.6% 5%  
341 0.7% 5%  
342 0.3% 4%  
343 0.3% 4%  
344 0.3% 3%  
345 0.2% 3%  
346 0.6% 3%  
347 0.3% 2%  
348 0.3% 2%  
349 0.2% 2%  
350 0.1% 1.4%  
351 0.2% 1.3%  
352 0.1% 1.1%  
353 0.1% 0.9%  
354 0.2% 0.9%  
355 0.1% 0.7% Majority
356 0.1% 0.6%  
357 0.3% 0.5%  
358 0% 0.2%  
359 0% 0.2%  
360 0% 0.1%  
361 0% 0.1%  
362 0% 0.1%  
363 0% 0.1%  
364 0% 0.1%  
365 0% 0.1%  
366 0% 0.1%  
367 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 99.9%  
263 0% 99.9%  
264 0% 99.9%  
265 0% 99.9%  
266 0% 99.9%  
267 0.1% 99.8%  
268 0.1% 99.7%  
269 0% 99.6%  
270 0% 99.6%  
271 0% 99.6%  
272 0.1% 99.5%  
273 0% 99.5%  
274 0.1% 99.4%  
275 0.2% 99.3%  
276 0.1% 99.1%  
277 0.1% 98.9%  
278 0.4% 98.8%  
279 0.1% 98%  
280 0.1% 98%  
281 0.4% 98%  
282 0.1% 98%  
283 0.1% 98%  
284 0.3% 98%  
285 0.3% 97%  
286 0.4% 97%  
287 0.2% 97%  
288 0.5% 96%  
289 0.5% 96% Last Result
290 0.4% 96%  
291 0.6% 95%  
292 0.7% 95%  
293 0.8% 94%  
294 0.6% 93%  
295 0.8% 92%  
296 0.7% 92%  
297 0.8% 91%  
298 1.3% 90%  
299 1.0% 89%  
300 2% 88%  
301 2% 86%  
302 3% 84%  
303 2% 81%  
304 1.3% 79%  
305 2% 78%  
306 4% 76%  
307 2% 72%  
308 3% 70%  
309 5% 67%  
310 3% 62%  
311 3% 59%  
312 4% 57%  
313 3% 53%  
314 3% 50% Median
315 2% 46%  
316 6% 44%  
317 4% 37%  
318 2% 33%  
319 4% 32%  
320 3% 28%  
321 2% 25%  
322 2% 22%  
323 2% 20%  
324 2% 18%  
325 2% 16%  
326 2% 14%  
327 2% 12%  
328 2% 10%  
329 0.8% 8%  
330 1.2% 7%  
331 0.9% 6%  
332 1.1% 5%  
333 0.8% 4%  
334 0.5% 3%  
335 0.4% 3%  
336 0.5% 2%  
337 0.3% 2%  
338 0.3% 1.5%  
339 0.2% 1.2%  
340 0.2% 1.0%  
341 0.1% 0.7%  
342 0.1% 0.6%  
343 0.1% 0.4%  
344 0% 0.3%  
345 0.1% 0.2%  
346 0.1% 0.2%  
347 0% 0.1%  
348 0% 0.1%  
349 0% 0.1%  
350 0% 0.1%  
351 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 99.9%  
270 0% 99.9%  
271 0% 99.9%  
272 0.1% 99.8%  
273 0.1% 99.7%  
274 0.1% 99.7%  
275 0.1% 99.5%  
276 0.1% 99.5%  
277 0.2% 99.4%  
278 0.2% 99.2%  
279 0.2% 99.1%  
280 0.4% 98.9%  
281 0.9% 98%  
282 0.7% 98%  
283 0.3% 97%  
284 0.9% 97%  
285 1.0% 96%  
286 0.6% 95%  
287 0.5% 94%  
288 1.2% 94%  
289 2% 92%  
290 2% 91%  
291 3% 89%  
292 2% 86%  
293 5% 84%  
294 3% 79%  
295 2% 76%  
296 2% 74%  
297 2% 72%  
298 2% 69%  
299 1.3% 68%  
300 2% 66%  
301 4% 65%  
302 7% 61%  
303 7% 54% Median
304 3% 47%  
305 7% 44%  
306 3% 37%  
307 3% 34%  
308 1.0% 31%  
309 1.3% 30%  
310 1.4% 28%  
311 2% 27%  
312 2% 25%  
313 1.5% 23%  
314 3% 22%  
315 4% 18%  
316 3% 15%  
317 1.5% 12%  
318 1.4% 10%  
319 1.4% 9%  
320 0.7% 8%  
321 0.4% 7%  
322 0.4% 7%  
323 0.6% 6%  
324 0.7% 5%  
325 0.4% 5%  
326 0.6% 4%  
327 0.5% 4%  
328 0.8% 3%  
329 0.5% 3%  
330 0.3% 2%  
331 0.3% 2%  
332 0.2% 1.5%  
333 0.2% 1.3%  
334 0% 1.1%  
335 0.1% 1.0%  
336 0.1% 1.0%  
337 0.1% 0.8%  
338 0.1% 0.8%  
339 0.1% 0.7%  
340 0.1% 0.6% Last Result
341 0.2% 0.5%  
342 0.1% 0.3%  
343 0% 0.2%  
344 0% 0.1%  
345 0% 0.1%  
346 0% 0.1%  
347 0% 0.1%  
348 0% 0.1%  
349 0% 0.1%  
350 0% 0.1%  
351 0% 0.1%  
352 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 99.9%  
237 0.1% 99.9%  
238 0.1% 99.8%  
239 0% 99.8%  
240 0.1% 99.7%  
241 0.1% 99.6%  
242 0.1% 99.5%  
243 0.2% 99.4%  
244 0.2% 99.2%  
245 0.2% 99.0%  
246 0.5% 98.8%  
247 0.7% 98%  
248 0.5% 98%  
249 0.8% 97%  
250 0.7% 96%  
251 0.9% 96%  
252 1.2% 95%  
253 1.3% 93%  
254 2% 92%  
255 2% 91%  
256 2% 88%  
257 2% 86%  
258 2% 84%  
259 2% 82%  
260 3% 80%  
261 3% 76%  
262 3% 74%  
263 2% 71%  
264 5% 69%  
265 3% 64%  
266 4% 61%  
267 4% 57%  
268 4% 53% Median
269 5% 49%  
270 2% 44%  
271 3% 41%  
272 2% 38%  
273 3% 36%  
274 3% 33%  
275 2% 30%  
276 3% 28%  
277 3% 25%  
278 2% 21%  
279 3% 19%  
280 2% 16%  
281 2% 14%  
282 2% 13%  
283 0.8% 11%  
284 0.9% 10%  
285 0.9% 9%  
286 0.7% 8%  
287 0.4% 8%  
288 1.5% 7%  
289 0.6% 6%  
290 0.8% 5%  
291 0.6% 4%  
292 0.8% 4%  
293 0.5% 3%  
294 0.2% 2%  
295 0.2% 2%  
296 0.3% 2%  
297 0.1% 2%  
298 0.2% 2%  
299 0.1% 2%  
300 0.3% 1.4%  
301 0.1% 1.0%  
302 0.3% 1.0%  
303 0% 0.7%  
304 0.3% 0.6%  
305 0% 0.3%  
306 0.1% 0.3%  
307 0% 0.2%  
308 0% 0.2%  
309 0% 0.2%  
310 0% 0.1%  
311 0% 0.1%  
312 0% 0.1%  
313 0.1% 0.1%  
314 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
183 0% 100%  
184 0% 99.9%  
185 0% 99.9%  
186 0% 99.9%  
187 0.1% 99.9%  
188 0.1% 99.8%  
189 0.1% 99.7%  
190 0.1% 99.6%  
191 0.1% 99.5%  
192 0.3% 99.3%  
193 0.3% 99.1%  
194 0.3% 98.7%  
195 0.5% 98%  
196 0.8% 98%  
197 0.7% 97%  
198 0.6% 96%  
199 1.3% 96%  
200 2% 94%  
201 1.0% 92%  
202 1.0% 91%  
203 2% 91%  
204 2% 88%  
205 3% 86%  
206 3% 84%  
207 1.3% 81%  
208 2% 80%  
209 5% 78%  
210 4% 72%  
211 5% 68%  
212 3% 64%  
213 3% 61%  
214 3% 58% Median
215 3% 55%  
216 7% 52%  
217 4% 45%  
218 3% 41%  
219 3% 38%  
220 3% 35%  
221 4% 32%  
222 5% 28%  
223 2% 23%  
224 1.2% 21%  
225 2% 20%  
226 3% 18%  
227 3% 15%  
228 2% 12%  
229 0.8% 10%  
230 1.1% 10%  
231 0.8% 8%  
232 1.4% 8%  
233 1.1% 6% Last Result
234 1.2% 5%  
235 0.6% 4%  
236 0.2% 3%  
237 0.2% 3%  
238 0.4% 3%  
239 0.6% 2%  
240 0.6% 2%  
241 0.2% 1.4%  
242 0.1% 1.2%  
243 0.1% 1.1%  
244 0.4% 1.0%  
245 0.1% 0.6%  
246 0% 0.5%  
247 0.1% 0.5%  
248 0.1% 0.4%  
249 0.1% 0.4%  
250 0% 0.3%  
251 0.1% 0.2%  
252 0% 0.1%  
253 0% 0.1%  
254 0% 0.1%  
255 0% 0.1%  
256 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 99.9%  
112 0% 99.9%  
113 0% 99.9%  
114 0.1% 99.9%  
115 0% 99.8%  
116 0% 99.8%  
117 0.3% 99.8%  
118 0.1% 99.6%  
119 0% 99.5%  
120 0% 99.5%  
121 0.3% 99.5%  
122 0.1% 99.2%  
123 0% 99.1%  
124 0% 99.1%  
125 1.0% 99.0%  
126 0.2% 98%  
127 0% 98%  
128 0.1% 98%  
129 1.2% 98%  
130 0.1% 97%  
131 0% 96%  
132 0.1% 96%  
133 0.7% 96%  
134 0.1% 96%  
135 0% 95%  
136 0.1% 95%  
137 0.8% 95%  
138 0.2% 95%  
139 0% 94%  
140 0.4% 94%  
141 0.4% 94%  
142 0.1% 94%  
143 0% 94%  
144 0.2% 93%  
145 0.3% 93%  
146 0.1% 93%  
147 0.3% 93%  
148 0.2% 93%  
149 0.2% 92%  
150 0.6% 92%  
151 0.9% 92%  
152 0.3% 91%  
153 1.1% 90%  
154 0.7% 89%  
155 1.2% 89%  
156 1.0% 87%  
157 2% 86%  
158 2% 84%  
159 2% 83%  
160 2% 81%  
161 4% 79%  
162 2% 74%  
163 3% 72%  
164 5% 69%  
165 2% 64%  
166 5% 62%  
167 3% 57%  
168 5% 54% Median
169 5% 49%  
170 4% 44%  
171 4% 40%  
172 4% 35%  
173 3% 31%  
174 4% 28%  
175 3% 25%  
176 3% 22%  
177 2% 19%  
178 3% 17%  
179 2% 13%  
180 2% 11%  
181 2% 9%  
182 2% 7%  
183 0.7% 6%  
184 1.0% 5%  
185 0.9% 4%  
186 0.3% 3%  
187 0.6% 3%  
188 0.5% 2%  
189 0.5% 2%  
190 0.3% 1.1%  
191 0.1% 0.9%  
192 0.2% 0.7%  
193 0.1% 0.5%  
194 0.1% 0.4%  
195 0% 0.3%  
196 0.1% 0.2%  
197 0% 0.2%  
198 0.1% 0.1%  
199 0% 0.1%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations