Opinion Poll by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, 27–29 July 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 22.7% 21.0–24.5% 20.5–25.0% 20.1–25.5% 19.3–26.4%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 21.0% 19.3–22.7% 18.8–23.3% 18.4–23.7% 17.7–24.6%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 16.0% 14.5–17.6% 14.1–18.1% 13.8–18.5% 13.1–19.3%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 11.0% 9.8–12.4% 9.4–12.8% 9.2–13.2% 8.6–13.9%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 10.0% 8.9–11.4% 8.6–11.8% 8.3–12.2% 7.7–12.8%
Die Linke 9.2% 7.0% 6.1–8.2% 5.8–8.6% 5.5–8.9% 5.1–9.5%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 5.3% 4.5–6.4% 4.2–6.7% 4.0–6.9% 3.7–7.5%
Freie Wähler 0.0% 3.0% 2.4–3.9% 2.2–4.1% 2.1–4.3% 1.8–4.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 172 159–185 155–188 151–192 146–199
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 159 147–171 143–176 139–178 134–186
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 122 110–133 107–136 104–139 99–146
Alternative für Deutschland 94 83 74–94 71–97 70–100 65–105
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 76 67–86 65–90 63–92 59–97
Die Linke 69 53 45–62 44–64 42–67 39–71
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 43 36–51 35–53 33–55 31–59
Freie Wähler 0 0 0 0 0 0

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 99.9%  
141 0% 99.9%  
142 0% 99.9%  
143 0.1% 99.8%  
144 0.1% 99.8%  
145 0.1% 99.7%  
146 0.2% 99.6%  
147 0.2% 99.4%  
148 0.2% 99.2%  
149 0.5% 98.9%  
150 0.4% 98%  
151 0.6% 98%  
152 0.6% 97%  
153 0.8% 97%  
154 0.8% 96%  
155 1.1% 95%  
156 0.9% 94%  
157 2% 93%  
158 2% 92%  
159 2% 90%  
160 2% 88%  
161 3% 86%  
162 2% 84%  
163 3% 82%  
164 2% 78%  
165 5% 76%  
166 3% 71%  
167 4% 68%  
168 2% 64%  
169 3% 62%  
170 3% 59%  
171 3% 56%  
172 4% 53% Median
173 4% 48%  
174 5% 44%  
175 4% 39%  
176 5% 35%  
177 4% 30%  
178 2% 26%  
179 3% 24%  
180 2% 21%  
181 2% 19%  
182 2% 17%  
183 3% 15%  
184 2% 12%  
185 2% 10%  
186 1.4% 8%  
187 0.8% 7%  
188 1.3% 6%  
189 1.0% 5%  
190 0.7% 4%  
191 0.5% 3%  
192 0.4% 3%  
193 0.4% 2%  
194 0.3% 2%  
195 0.3% 1.5%  
196 0.2% 1.2%  
197 0.2% 0.9%  
198 0.2% 0.8%  
199 0.1% 0.6%  
200 0.2% 0.5% Last Result
201 0.1% 0.3%  
202 0.1% 0.3%  
203 0.1% 0.2%  
204 0% 0.1%  
205 0% 0.1%  
206 0% 0.1%  
207 0% 0.1%  
208 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 99.9%  
129 0% 99.9%  
130 0.1% 99.9%  
131 0.1% 99.8%  
132 0.1% 99.7%  
133 0.1% 99.6%  
134 0.2% 99.5%  
135 0.2% 99.3%  
136 0.4% 99.1%  
137 0.5% 98.7%  
138 0.4% 98%  
139 0.5% 98%  
140 0.8% 97%  
141 0.8% 97%  
142 0.5% 96%  
143 1.3% 95%  
144 0.9% 94%  
145 1.1% 93%  
146 1.4% 92%  
147 3% 91%  
148 1.2% 88%  
149 2% 86%  
150 2% 84%  
151 3% 82%  
152 2% 80%  
153 5% 78%  
154 4% 72%  
155 3% 69%  
156 3% 65%  
157 6% 62%  
158 5% 56%  
159 4% 51% Median
160 4% 47%  
161 5% 44%  
162 3% 38%  
163 2% 35%  
164 8% 33%  
165 2% 26%  
166 3% 23%  
167 2% 20%  
168 4% 18%  
169 1.3% 14%  
170 1.5% 12%  
171 2% 11%  
172 0.8% 9%  
173 0.9% 8%  
174 1.2% 7%  
175 0.7% 6%  
176 0.9% 6%  
177 1.2% 5%  
178 1.0% 3%  
179 0.4% 2%  
180 0.3% 2%  
181 0.5% 2%  
182 0.2% 1.3%  
183 0.2% 1.1%  
184 0.2% 0.9%  
185 0.1% 0.7%  
186 0.1% 0.6%  
187 0.1% 0.4%  
188 0.1% 0.3%  
189 0% 0.2%  
190 0% 0.2%  
191 0% 0.1%  
192 0% 0.1%  
193 0% 0.1%  
194 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 99.9%  
95 0% 99.9%  
96 0.1% 99.9%  
97 0.1% 99.8%  
98 0.2% 99.7%  
99 0.2% 99.6%  
100 0.3% 99.4%  
101 0.4% 99.1%  
102 0.3% 98.7%  
103 0.4% 98%  
104 0.8% 98%  
105 0.7% 97%  
106 0.9% 96%  
107 1.2% 96%  
108 1.0% 94%  
109 1.5% 93%  
110 3% 92%  
111 4% 88%  
112 4% 85%  
113 4% 81%  
114 3% 77%  
115 4% 73%  
116 3% 69%  
117 2% 67%  
118 3% 64%  
119 4% 61%  
120 3% 57%  
121 3% 55%  
122 4% 52% Median
123 5% 47%  
124 4% 42%  
125 5% 38%  
126 5% 34%  
127 4% 28%  
128 5% 24%  
129 2% 19%  
130 2% 17%  
131 4% 15%  
132 1.2% 12%  
133 2% 10%  
134 1.3% 8%  
135 0.8% 7%  
136 1.0% 6%  
137 1.0% 5%  
138 0.8% 4%  
139 0.6% 3%  
140 0.6% 2%  
141 0.3% 2%  
142 0.3% 1.4%  
143 0.3% 1.1%  
144 0.1% 0.9%  
145 0.2% 0.8%  
146 0.2% 0.6%  
147 0.1% 0.4%  
148 0.1% 0.3%  
149 0.1% 0.2%  
150 0% 0.2%  
151 0% 0.1%  
152 0% 0.1%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100%  
61 0% 99.9%  
62 0.1% 99.9%  
63 0.1% 99.8%  
64 0.1% 99.7%  
65 0.2% 99.6%  
66 0.2% 99.4%  
67 0.4% 99.2%  
68 0.5% 98.8%  
69 0.7% 98%  
70 2% 98%  
71 0.9% 96%  
72 3% 95%  
73 1.4% 92%  
74 2% 91%  
75 2% 88%  
76 3% 86%  
77 7% 82%  
78 2% 76%  
79 6% 73%  
80 3% 67%  
81 6% 64%  
82 4% 58%  
83 5% 54% Median
84 5% 49%  
85 3% 45%  
86 4% 41%  
87 3% 37%  
88 7% 35%  
89 5% 27%  
90 5% 23%  
91 3% 18%  
92 2% 15%  
93 3% 13%  
94 1.1% 10% Last Result
95 3% 9%  
96 1.1% 6%  
97 1.0% 5%  
98 0.8% 4%  
99 0.7% 3%  
100 0.9% 3%  
101 0.3% 2%  
102 0.4% 1.4%  
103 0.2% 1.0%  
104 0.2% 0.8%  
105 0.2% 0.6%  
106 0.1% 0.4%  
107 0.1% 0.3%  
108 0% 0.2%  
109 0% 0.1%  
110 0% 0.1%  
111 0% 0.1%  
112 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0% 100%  
55 0.1% 99.9%  
56 0.1% 99.9%  
57 0.1% 99.8%  
58 0.2% 99.7%  
59 0.5% 99.6%  
60 0.2% 99.1%  
61 0.6% 98.9%  
62 0.7% 98%  
63 0.6% 98%  
64 1.1% 97%  
65 3% 96%  
66 2% 93%  
67 3% 91%  
68 4% 88%  
69 3% 84%  
70 3% 81%  
71 4% 78%  
72 4% 74%  
73 3% 69%  
74 5% 66%  
75 7% 61%  
76 5% 54% Median
77 7% 49%  
78 4% 42%  
79 3% 38%  
80 5% 35% Last Result
81 5% 29%  
82 5% 24%  
83 2% 19%  
84 3% 17%  
85 2% 14%  
86 2% 11%  
87 2% 10%  
88 1.4% 8%  
89 1.3% 7%  
90 1.0% 6%  
91 2% 5%  
92 1.1% 3%  
93 0.3% 2%  
94 0.4% 1.4%  
95 0.2% 1.0%  
96 0.2% 0.8%  
97 0.2% 0.6%  
98 0.2% 0.4%  
99 0.1% 0.2%  
100 0% 0.2%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0% 0.1%  
103 0% 0.1%  
104 0% 0.1%  
105 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100%  
1 0% 99.7%  
2 0% 99.7%  
3 0% 99.7%  
4 0% 99.7%  
5 0% 99.7%  
6 0% 99.7%  
7 0% 99.7%  
8 0% 99.7%  
9 0% 99.7%  
10 0% 99.7%  
11 0% 99.7%  
12 0% 99.7%  
13 0% 99.7%  
14 0% 99.7%  
15 0% 99.7%  
16 0% 99.7%  
17 0% 99.7%  
18 0% 99.7%  
19 0% 99.7%  
20 0% 99.7%  
21 0% 99.7%  
22 0% 99.7%  
23 0% 99.7%  
24 0% 99.7%  
25 0% 99.7%  
26 0% 99.7%  
27 0% 99.7%  
28 0% 99.7%  
29 0% 99.7%  
30 0% 99.7%  
31 0% 99.7%  
32 0% 99.7%  
33 0% 99.7%  
34 0% 99.7%  
35 0% 99.7%  
36 0% 99.7%  
37 0% 99.7%  
38 0.1% 99.7%  
39 0.3% 99.6%  
40 0.6% 99.3%  
41 1.1% 98.6%  
42 0.5% 98%  
43 1.4% 97%  
44 2% 96%  
45 4% 94%  
46 5% 90%  
47 3% 85%  
48 3% 82%  
49 5% 79%  
50 6% 74%  
51 8% 69%  
52 8% 61%  
53 4% 53% Median
54 4% 49%  
55 5% 45%  
56 10% 40%  
57 4% 30%  
58 4% 26%  
59 3% 22%  
60 3% 19%  
61 4% 15%  
62 2% 12%  
63 3% 9%  
64 1.0% 6%  
65 0.9% 5%  
66 1.1% 4%  
67 1.0% 3%  
68 0.5% 2%  
69 0.5% 1.4% Last Result
70 0.3% 1.0%  
71 0.2% 0.7%  
72 0.1% 0.5%  
73 0.1% 0.3%  
74 0.1% 0.2%  
75 0% 0.1%  
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.1% 100%  
29 0.1% 99.9%  
30 0.2% 99.8%  
31 0.4% 99.6%  
32 0.7% 99.2%  
33 1.0% 98%  
34 1.4% 97%  
35 2% 96%  
36 4% 94%  
37 4% 90%  
38 4% 86%  
39 5% 82%  
40 7% 77%  
41 7% 70%  
42 8% 63%  
43 6% 54% Median
44 8% 49%  
45 9% 41%  
46 7% 32% Last Result
47 4% 26%  
48 4% 22%  
49 5% 18%  
50 3% 13%  
51 2% 11%  
52 2% 8%  
53 2% 6%  
54 2% 5%  
55 0.7% 3%  
56 0.6% 2%  
57 0.6% 2%  
58 0.5% 1.3%  
59 0.3% 0.8%  
60 0.2% 0.5%  
61 0.1% 0.3%  
62 0.1% 0.2%  
63 0% 0.1%  
64 0% 0.1%  
65 0% 0%  

Freie Wähler

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Wähler page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.2%  
2 0% 0.2%  
3 0% 0.2%  
4 0% 0.2%  
5 0% 0.2%  
6 0% 0.2%  
7 0% 0.2%  
8 0% 0.2%  
9 0% 0.2%  
10 0% 0.2%  
11 0% 0.2%  
12 0% 0.2%  
13 0% 0.2%  
14 0% 0.2%  
15 0% 0.2%  
16 0% 0.2%  
17 0% 0.2%  
18 0% 0.2%  
19 0% 0.2%  
20 0% 0.2%  
21 0% 0.2%  
22 0% 0.2%  
23 0% 0.2%  
24 0% 0.2%  
25 0% 0.2%  
26 0% 0.2%  
27 0% 0.2%  
28 0% 0.2%  
29 0% 0.2%  
30 0% 0.2%  
31 0% 0.2%  
32 0% 0.2%  
33 0% 0.2%  
34 0% 0.2%  
35 0% 0.2%  
36 0% 0.2%  
37 0% 0.2%  
38 0.1% 0.1%  
39 0% 0.1%  
40 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 495 100% 481–509 476–514 473–517 466–525
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 451 100% 435–465 431–470 428–474 421–482
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 413 100% 398–428 394–432 390–436 382–445
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 375 96% 360–391 356–395 352–398 344–407
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 375 94% 359–389 354–393 350–398 343–405
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 356 54% 342–372 337–376 332–381 326–388
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 336 7% 321–352 318–356 313–360 306–368
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 334 4% 318–349 314–353 311–357 301–364
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 299 0% 284–314 280–319 277–323 269–330
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 292 0% 277–307 272–311 270–315 261–322
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 280 0% 265–295 261–300 257–303 250–312
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 197 0% 184–211 180–216 177–220 171–227
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 174 0% 161–188 159–191 155–196 146–202

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
455 0% 100%  
456 0% 99.9%  
457 0% 99.9%  
458 0% 99.9%  
459 0% 99.9%  
460 0.1% 99.9%  
461 0% 99.8%  
462 0% 99.8%  
463 0.1% 99.8%  
464 0% 99.7%  
465 0.1% 99.6%  
466 0.1% 99.5% Last Result
467 0.2% 99.4%  
468 0.3% 99.3%  
469 0.1% 99.0%  
470 0.2% 98.9%  
471 0.5% 98.6%  
472 0.5% 98%  
473 0.4% 98%  
474 0.4% 97%  
475 1.1% 97%  
476 1.1% 96%  
477 0.6% 95%  
478 1.1% 94%  
479 1.5% 93%  
480 0.9% 91%  
481 1.4% 90%  
482 2% 89%  
483 2% 88%  
484 4% 86%  
485 2% 82%  
486 2% 80%  
487 4% 79%  
488 2% 75%  
489 3% 73%  
490 3% 70%  
491 5% 67%  
492 4% 62%  
493 2% 58%  
494 2% 56%  
495 4% 53%  
496 2% 50% Median
497 4% 47%  
498 5% 44%  
499 2% 39%  
500 3% 36%  
501 4% 33%  
502 4% 29%  
503 3% 26%  
504 2% 23%  
505 2% 21%  
506 3% 19%  
507 1.2% 15%  
508 2% 14%  
509 3% 12%  
510 2% 10%  
511 1.1% 8%  
512 1.1% 7%  
513 0.7% 6%  
514 1.1% 5%  
515 0.7% 4%  
516 0.7% 3%  
517 0.4% 3%  
518 0.6% 2%  
519 0.4% 2%  
520 0.1% 1.3%  
521 0.2% 1.2%  
522 0.3% 1.0%  
523 0.1% 0.7%  
524 0.1% 0.6%  
525 0.1% 0.5%  
526 0.1% 0.4%  
527 0% 0.4%  
528 0% 0.3%  
529 0% 0.3%  
530 0% 0.3%  
531 0% 0.2%  
532 0% 0.2%  
533 0% 0.2%  
534 0% 0.2%  
535 0% 0.2%  
536 0% 0.2%  
537 0% 0.1%  
538 0% 0.1%  
539 0% 0.1%  
540 0% 0.1%  
541 0% 0.1%  
542 0% 0.1%  
543 0% 0.1%  
544 0% 0.1%  
545 0% 0.1%  
546 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 99.9%  
413 0% 99.9%  
414 0% 99.9%  
415 0% 99.9%  
416 0.1% 99.8%  
417 0% 99.7%  
418 0.1% 99.7%  
419 0% 99.6%  
420 0.1% 99.6%  
421 0.1% 99.6%  
422 0.2% 99.4%  
423 0.4% 99.3%  
424 0.5% 98.9%  
425 0.2% 98%  
426 0.2% 98%  
427 0.2% 98%  
428 0.3% 98%  
429 0.4% 97%  
430 0.8% 97%  
431 3% 96%  
432 0.5% 93%  
433 0.9% 93%  
434 1.2% 92%  
435 1.2% 91%  
436 1.2% 90%  
437 1.1% 89%  
438 2% 87%  
439 3% 85%  
440 3% 83%  
441 3% 80%  
442 2% 77%  
443 2% 75%  
444 5% 73%  
445 1.0% 68%  
446 2% 67%  
447 4% 65%  
448 2% 61%  
449 2% 59%  
450 6% 57% Median
451 6% 51%  
452 4% 45%  
453 2% 40%  
454 2% 39%  
455 1.5% 37%  
456 2% 36%  
457 6% 34%  
458 4% 28%  
459 3% 24%  
460 3% 21%  
461 2% 18%  
462 1.2% 16%  
463 1.2% 15%  
464 0.9% 14%  
465 3% 13%  
466 1.4% 10%  
467 1.1% 8%  
468 1.0% 7%  
469 1.1% 6%  
470 2% 5%  
471 0.5% 4%  
472 0.3% 3%  
473 0.3% 3%  
474 0.6% 3%  
475 0.3% 2%  
476 0.2% 2%  
477 0.2% 2%  
478 0.7% 1.4%  
479 0.1% 0.7%  
480 0.1% 0.6%  
481 0.1% 0.6%  
482 0.1% 0.5%  
483 0% 0.4%  
484 0% 0.4%  
485 0.1% 0.4%  
486 0.1% 0.3%  
487 0.1% 0.2%  
488 0% 0.2%  
489 0% 0.2%  
490 0% 0.2%  
491 0% 0.1%  
492 0% 0.1%  
493 0% 0.1%  
494 0% 0.1%  
495 0% 0.1%  
496 0% 0.1%  
497 0% 0.1%  
498 0% 0.1%  
499 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 99.9%  
374 0% 99.9%  
375 0% 99.9%  
376 0% 99.9%  
377 0% 99.9%  
378 0% 99.8%  
379 0.1% 99.8%  
380 0.1% 99.7%  
381 0.1% 99.6%  
382 0.1% 99.6%  
383 0.1% 99.5%  
384 0.2% 99.4%  
385 0.2% 99.2%  
386 0.1% 99.0%  
387 0.4% 98.9%  
388 0.2% 98%  
389 0.5% 98%  
390 0.5% 98%  
391 0.7% 97%  
392 0.8% 97%  
393 0.4% 96%  
394 0.7% 95%  
395 2% 95%  
396 0.9% 92%  
397 0.8% 92%  
398 2% 91%  
399 1.2% 89%  
400 2% 88%  
401 2% 86%  
402 1.0% 84%  
403 3% 83%  
404 5% 81%  
405 2% 76%  
406 6% 74%  
407 2% 68%  
408 2% 66%  
409 3% 64%  
410 2% 61%  
411 4% 59%  
412 4% 54%  
413 3% 50% Median
414 4% 47%  
415 4% 43%  
416 2% 39%  
417 4% 37%  
418 2% 33%  
419 2% 31%  
420 5% 29%  
421 2% 24%  
422 1.2% 22%  
423 4% 21%  
424 2% 17%  
425 1.5% 15%  
426 2% 14%  
427 0.9% 12%  
428 2% 11%  
429 1.1% 9%  
430 1.0% 8%  
431 2% 7%  
432 0.7% 5%  
433 0.5% 4%  
434 0.9% 4%  
435 0.4% 3%  
436 0.4% 3%  
437 0.2% 2%  
438 0.4% 2%  
439 0.2% 2%  
440 0.3% 1.4%  
441 0.1% 1.1%  
442 0.2% 1.0%  
443 0.1% 0.7%  
444 0.1% 0.6%  
445 0.2% 0.5%  
446 0.1% 0.4%  
447 0% 0.3%  
448 0% 0.3%  
449 0% 0.3%  
450 0% 0.2%  
451 0% 0.2%  
452 0% 0.2%  
453 0% 0.1%  
454 0% 0.1%  
455 0% 0.1%  
456 0% 0.1%  
457 0% 0.1%  
458 0% 0.1%  
459 0% 0.1%  
460 0% 0.1%  
461 0% 0.1%  
462 0% 0%  
463 0% 0%  
464 0% 0%  
465 0% 0%  
466 0% 0%  
467 0% 0%  
468 0% 0%  
469 0% 0%  
470 0% 0%  
471 0% 0%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 99.9%  
338 0% 99.9%  
339 0% 99.9%  
340 0.1% 99.9%  
341 0.1% 99.8%  
342 0.1% 99.8%  
343 0.1% 99.7%  
344 0.1% 99.6%  
345 0.2% 99.5%  
346 0.1% 99.3%  
347 0.3% 99.2%  
348 0.3% 98.9%  
349 0.3% 98.6%  
350 0.3% 98%  
351 0.4% 98%  
352 0.4% 98%  
353 0.4% 97%  
354 1.4% 97%  
355 0.3% 96% Majority
356 1.5% 95%  
357 0.3% 94%  
358 1.1% 93%  
359 1.3% 92%  
360 2% 91%  
361 1.2% 89%  
362 3% 88%  
363 2% 85%  
364 3% 83%  
365 2% 80%  
366 2% 78%  
367 3% 76%  
368 1.2% 73%  
369 4% 71%  
370 2% 67%  
371 4% 65%  
372 3% 61%  
373 3% 57%  
374 4% 54% Median
375 3% 51%  
376 2% 48%  
377 3% 46%  
378 3% 42%  
379 2% 40%  
380 2% 37%  
381 3% 35%  
382 2% 32%  
383 5% 30%  
384 1.2% 25%  
385 3% 24%  
386 2% 21%  
387 3% 19%  
388 1.4% 15%  
389 1.4% 14%  
390 2% 13%  
391 2% 11%  
392 0.8% 8%  
393 2% 7%  
394 0.8% 6%  
395 0.5% 5%  
396 1.0% 5%  
397 0.6% 4%  
398 0.6% 3%  
399 0.4% 2%  
400 0.3% 2%  
401 0.3% 2%  
402 0.3% 1.4%  
403 0.1% 1.1%  
404 0.2% 1.0%  
405 0.1% 0.8%  
406 0.1% 0.7%  
407 0.1% 0.6%  
408 0.1% 0.5%  
409 0.1% 0.4%  
410 0% 0.3%  
411 0.1% 0.3%  
412 0% 0.2%  
413 0% 0.2%  
414 0% 0.2%  
415 0% 0.2%  
416 0% 0.1%  
417 0% 0.1%  
418 0% 0.1%  
419 0% 0.1%  
420 0% 0.1% Last Result
421 0% 0.1%  
422 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 99.9%  
336 0% 99.9%  
337 0% 99.9%  
338 0% 99.9%  
339 0.1% 99.8%  
340 0.1% 99.8%  
341 0.1% 99.7%  
342 0.1% 99.6%  
343 0.1% 99.5%  
344 0.2% 99.5%  
345 0.2% 99.3%  
346 0.2% 99.1%  
347 0.2% 98.9%  
348 0.5% 98.7%  
349 0.4% 98%  
350 0.4% 98%  
351 0.5% 97%  
352 0.5% 97%  
353 0.7% 96%  
354 2% 96%  
355 0.8% 94% Majority
356 0.7% 93%  
357 1.0% 93%  
358 0.8% 92%  
359 3% 91%  
360 2% 88%  
361 0.9% 86%  
362 2% 85%  
363 2% 83%  
364 3% 81%  
365 3% 78%  
366 2% 76%  
367 2% 74%  
368 1.5% 72%  
369 6% 70%  
370 4% 64%  
371 2% 60%  
372 2% 58%  
373 3% 57%  
374 3% 54% Median
375 6% 50%  
376 1.4% 44%  
377 3% 43%  
378 3% 40%  
379 4% 37%  
380 5% 33%  
381 1.0% 29%  
382 3% 27%  
383 3% 25%  
384 4% 22%  
385 2% 18%  
386 2% 16%  
387 0.7% 14%  
388 2% 14%  
389 2% 12%  
390 2% 10%  
391 0.5% 7%  
392 0.7% 7%  
393 1.3% 6%  
394 1.0% 5%  
395 0.5% 4%  
396 0.3% 3%  
397 0.3% 3%  
398 0.6% 3%  
399 0.6% 2%  
400 0.4% 2%  
401 0.1% 1.3%  
402 0.1% 1.1%  
403 0.1% 1.0%  
404 0.3% 0.9%  
405 0.1% 0.6%  
406 0% 0.5%  
407 0.1% 0.4%  
408 0.1% 0.4%  
409 0.1% 0.3%  
410 0% 0.2%  
411 0% 0.2%  
412 0% 0.2%  
413 0% 0.2%  
414 0% 0.1%  
415 0% 0.1%  
416 0% 0.1%  
417 0% 0.1%  
418 0% 0.1%  
419 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
300 0% 100% Last Result
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 99.9%  
319 0% 99.9%  
320 0% 99.9%  
321 0% 99.9%  
322 0.1% 99.8%  
323 0.1% 99.8%  
324 0.1% 99.7%  
325 0.1% 99.6%  
326 0.1% 99.5%  
327 0.2% 99.4%  
328 0.5% 99.2%  
329 0.2% 98.7%  
330 0.3% 98.5%  
331 0.5% 98%  
332 0.4% 98%  
333 0.6% 97%  
334 0.6% 97%  
335 0.3% 96%  
336 0.6% 96%  
337 0.8% 95%  
338 2% 94%  
339 1.0% 93%  
340 0.5% 92%  
341 1.0% 91%  
342 2% 90%  
343 2% 89%  
344 2% 87%  
345 2% 85%  
346 3% 83%  
347 3% 80%  
348 4% 77%  
349 4% 73%  
350 1.1% 69%  
351 2% 68%  
352 5% 66%  
353 2% 61%  
354 4% 58%  
355 2% 54% Majority
356 2% 52%  
357 4% 50% Median
358 3% 46%  
359 2% 43%  
360 1.1% 41%  
361 3% 40%  
362 2% 37%  
363 4% 35%  
364 3% 31%  
365 2% 28%  
366 0.8% 26%  
367 4% 25%  
368 3% 21%  
369 4% 17%  
370 1.2% 14%  
371 2% 12%  
372 2% 11%  
373 2% 9%  
374 1.1% 7%  
375 0.5% 6%  
376 0.5% 5%  
377 0.7% 5%  
378 0.6% 4%  
379 0.8% 4%  
380 0.3% 3%  
381 0.5% 3%  
382 0.2% 2%  
383 0.6% 2%  
384 0.2% 1.2%  
385 0.2% 1.0%  
386 0.1% 0.8%  
387 0.1% 0.7%  
388 0.1% 0.6%  
389 0.1% 0.4%  
390 0% 0.3%  
391 0% 0.3%  
392 0% 0.2%  
393 0% 0.2%  
394 0% 0.2%  
395 0% 0.1%  
396 0% 0.1%  
397 0% 0.1%  
398 0% 0.1%  
399 0% 0.1%  
400 0% 0.1%  
401 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 99.9%  
299 0% 99.9%  
300 0% 99.9%  
301 0% 99.9%  
302 0% 99.8%  
303 0% 99.8%  
304 0% 99.7%  
305 0.1% 99.7%  
306 0.2% 99.6%  
307 0.1% 99.4%  
308 0.2% 99.3%  
309 0.2% 99.1%  
310 0.3% 98.9%  
311 0.4% 98.6%  
312 0.5% 98%  
313 0.4% 98%  
314 0.5% 97%  
315 0.5% 97%  
316 0.4% 96%  
317 0.9% 96%  
318 1.3% 95%  
319 0.8% 94%  
320 3% 93%  
321 1.4% 90%  
322 2% 89%  
323 1.0% 87%  
324 2% 86%  
325 1.4% 84%  
326 2% 82%  
327 4% 81%  
328 2% 77%  
329 2% 75%  
330 5% 73%  
331 3% 69%  
332 3% 65%  
333 4% 62%  
334 4% 58%  
335 2% 54%  
336 2% 52%  
337 3% 49% Median
338 2% 47%  
339 4% 45%  
340 3% 40%  
341 4% 37%  
342 4% 33%  
343 5% 29%  
344 2% 24%  
345 2% 22%  
346 2% 20%  
347 2% 18%  
348 1.5% 17%  
349 3% 15%  
350 2% 13%  
351 0.8% 11%  
352 1.3% 10%  
353 1.2% 9%  
354 1.1% 8%  
355 2% 7% Majority
356 1.1% 5%  
357 0.4% 4%  
358 0.5% 4%  
359 0.3% 3%  
360 0.8% 3%  
361 0.3% 2%  
362 0.6% 2%  
363 0.3% 1.5%  
364 0.2% 1.2%  
365 0.1% 1.0%  
366 0.1% 0.9%  
367 0.2% 0.8%  
368 0.1% 0.6%  
369 0.1% 0.5%  
370 0.1% 0.3%  
371 0% 0.3%  
372 0% 0.3%  
373 0% 0.2%  
374 0.1% 0.2%  
375 0% 0.1%  
376 0% 0.1%  
377 0% 0.1%  
378 0% 0.1%  
379 0% 0.1%  
380 0% 0.1%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 99.9% Last Result
290 0% 99.9%  
291 0% 99.9%  
292 0% 99.9%  
293 0% 99.9%  
294 0% 99.9%  
295 0% 99.8%  
296 0% 99.8%  
297 0% 99.8%  
298 0.1% 99.8%  
299 0.1% 99.7%  
300 0.1% 99.6%  
301 0.1% 99.6%  
302 0.1% 99.5%  
303 0.1% 99.4%  
304 0.1% 99.3%  
305 0.2% 99.1%  
306 0.1% 99.0%  
307 0.3% 98.8%  
308 0.3% 98.5%  
309 0.3% 98%  
310 0.4% 98%  
311 0.6% 98%  
312 0.6% 97%  
313 1.0% 96%  
314 0.5% 95%  
315 0.8% 95%  
316 2% 94%  
317 0.8% 92%  
318 2% 92%  
319 2% 89%  
320 1.4% 87%  
321 1.4% 86%  
322 3% 85%  
323 2% 81%  
324 3% 79%  
325 1.2% 76%  
326 5% 75%  
327 2% 70%  
328 3% 68%  
329 2% 65%  
330 2% 63%  
331 3% 60%  
332 3% 58%  
333 2% 54%  
334 3% 52% Median
335 4% 49%  
336 3% 45%  
337 3% 42%  
338 4% 39%  
339 2% 35%  
340 4% 33%  
341 1.2% 28%  
342 3% 27%  
343 2% 24%  
344 2% 22%  
345 3% 20%  
346 2% 17%  
347 3% 15%  
348 1.2% 12%  
349 2% 11%  
350 1.3% 9%  
351 1.1% 8%  
352 0.3% 7%  
353 1.5% 6%  
354 0.3% 5%  
355 1.4% 4% Majority
356 0.4% 3%  
357 0.3% 3%  
358 0.3% 2%  
359 0.3% 2%  
360 0.3% 2%  
361 0.3% 1.3%  
362 0.3% 1.0%  
363 0.1% 0.7%  
364 0.2% 0.7%  
365 0.1% 0.5%  
366 0.1% 0.4%  
367 0.1% 0.3%  
368 0% 0.2%  
369 0.1% 0.2%  
370 0% 0.1%  
371 0% 0.1%  
372 0% 0.1%  
373 0% 0.1%  
374 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 99.9%  
263 0% 99.9%  
264 0% 99.9%  
265 0.1% 99.8%  
266 0% 99.8%  
267 0.1% 99.7%  
268 0.1% 99.6%  
269 0.2% 99.5%  
270 0.1% 99.4%  
271 0.1% 99.2%  
272 0.3% 99.1%  
273 0.2% 98.8%  
274 0.3% 98.6%  
275 0.3% 98%  
276 0.4% 98%  
277 0.9% 98%  
278 0.5% 97%  
279 0.7% 96%  
280 0.9% 95%  
281 1.4% 95%  
282 1.1% 93%  
283 2% 92%  
284 2% 90%  
285 1.2% 88%  
286 4% 87%  
287 2% 83%  
288 2% 81%  
289 4% 79%  
290 1.3% 75%  
291 3% 74%  
292 3% 71%  
293 2% 68%  
294 3% 66%  
295 3% 63%  
296 2% 60%  
297 3% 58%  
298 3% 54% Median
299 2% 51%  
300 3% 49%  
301 4% 46%  
302 2% 42%  
303 3% 40%  
304 5% 37%  
305 2% 33%  
306 5% 30%  
307 3% 25%  
308 2% 23%  
309 4% 21%  
310 2% 17%  
311 1.2% 15%  
312 3% 14%  
313 1.3% 11%  
314 2% 10%  
315 1.2% 9%  
316 0.7% 7%  
317 1.0% 7%  
318 0.7% 6%  
319 0.7% 5%  
320 0.4% 4%  
321 0.7% 4%  
322 0.6% 3%  
323 0.5% 3%  
324 0.3% 2%  
325 0.3% 2%  
326 0.3% 2%  
327 0.4% 1.3%  
328 0.2% 0.9%  
329 0.1% 0.7%  
330 0.1% 0.6%  
331 0.1% 0.5%  
332 0.1% 0.4%  
333 0.1% 0.3%  
334 0% 0.2%  
335 0% 0.2%  
336 0% 0.1%  
337 0% 0.1%  
338 0% 0.1%  
339 0% 0.1%  
340 0% 0.1% Last Result
341 0% 0.1%  
342 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 99.9%  
255 0% 99.9%  
256 0% 99.9%  
257 0% 99.9%  
258 0.1% 99.9%  
259 0% 99.8%  
260 0.1% 99.7%  
261 0.1% 99.6%  
262 0.1% 99.5%  
263 0.1% 99.4%  
264 0.2% 99.3%  
265 0.1% 99.1%  
266 0.4% 98.9%  
267 0.3% 98.5%  
268 0.4% 98%  
269 0.3% 98%  
270 1.2% 98%  
271 0.7% 96%  
272 0.9% 96%  
273 1.1% 95%  
274 0.8% 94%  
275 0.9% 93%  
276 2% 92%  
277 2% 90%  
278 0.9% 88%  
279 2% 87%  
280 3% 85%  
281 2% 83%  
282 2% 80%  
283 4% 78%  
284 1.2% 74%  
285 3% 73%  
286 5% 70%  
287 4% 66%  
288 4% 61%  
289 2% 58%  
290 1.2% 55%  
291 2% 54% Median
292 4% 52%  
293 4% 47%  
294 4% 43%  
295 3% 39%  
296 1.2% 36%  
297 5% 35%  
298 3% 30%  
299 3% 27%  
300 2% 24%  
301 2% 22%  
302 0.9% 21%  
303 4% 20%  
304 3% 16%  
305 1.3% 13%  
306 1.0% 12%  
307 2% 11%  
308 0.8% 9%  
309 2% 8%  
310 0.9% 6%  
311 0.7% 5%  
312 0.8% 5%  
313 0.5% 4%  
314 0.4% 3%  
315 0.8% 3%  
316 0.3% 2%  
317 0.3% 2%  
318 0.3% 2%  
319 0.3% 1.3%  
320 0.3% 1.1%  
321 0.2% 0.8%  
322 0.1% 0.6%  
323 0% 0.5%  
324 0.1% 0.4%  
325 0.1% 0.3%  
326 0% 0.3% Last Result
327 0% 0.2%  
328 0% 0.2%  
329 0% 0.2%  
330 0% 0.1%  
331 0% 0.1%  
332 0% 0.1%  
333 0% 0.1%  
334 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 99.9%  
243 0% 99.9%  
244 0% 99.9%  
245 0% 99.9%  
246 0% 99.8%  
247 0.1% 99.8%  
248 0.1% 99.7%  
249 0.1% 99.7%  
250 0.1% 99.6%  
251 0.1% 99.5%  
252 0.2% 99.3%  
253 0.4% 99.2%  
254 0.2% 98.8%  
255 0.2% 98.6%  
256 0.3% 98%  
257 0.6% 98%  
258 0.4% 97%  
259 0.6% 97%  
260 0.8% 97%  
261 1.0% 96%  
262 1.1% 95%  
263 2% 94%  
264 1.3% 92%  
265 1.3% 91%  
266 3% 89%  
267 2% 86%  
268 3% 85%  
269 2% 82%  
270 1.5% 80%  
271 4% 79%  
272 2% 75%  
273 3% 73%  
274 2% 70%  
275 4% 68%  
276 2% 64%  
277 3% 61%  
278 3% 59%  
279 4% 56%  
280 3% 52%  
281 4% 49% Median
282 1.2% 46%  
283 3% 45%  
284 3% 41%  
285 3% 38%  
286 5% 35%  
287 2% 30%  
288 3% 28%  
289 2% 25%  
290 3% 23%  
291 3% 20%  
292 3% 17%  
293 2% 14%  
294 2% 12%  
295 2% 10%  
296 0.5% 8%  
297 1.2% 8%  
298 0.8% 7%  
299 0.5% 6%  
300 1.4% 5%  
301 0.3% 4%  
302 0.7% 4%  
303 0.6% 3%  
304 0.2% 2%  
305 0.5% 2%  
306 0.2% 2%  
307 0.2% 1.3%  
308 0.2% 1.1%  
309 0.2% 0.9%  
310 0.1% 0.7%  
311 0% 0.6%  
312 0.2% 0.5%  
313 0% 0.3%  
314 0% 0.3%  
315 0.1% 0.3%  
316 0.1% 0.2%  
317 0% 0.1%  
318 0% 0.1%  
319 0% 0.1%  
320 0% 0.1%  
321 0% 0.1%  
322 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 99.9%  
165 0% 99.9%  
166 0.1% 99.9%  
167 0% 99.8%  
168 0% 99.8%  
169 0.1% 99.8%  
170 0.1% 99.7%  
171 0.1% 99.6%  
172 0.4% 99.5%  
173 0.3% 99.1%  
174 0.2% 98.7%  
175 0.4% 98.5%  
176 0.6% 98%  
177 0.5% 98%  
178 1.0% 97%  
179 0.4% 96%  
180 0.6% 96%  
181 0.9% 95%  
182 1.3% 94%  
183 0.6% 93%  
184 2% 92%  
185 3% 90%  
186 1.4% 87%  
187 4% 86%  
188 3% 82%  
189 3% 79%  
190 2% 76%  
191 3% 74%  
192 1.4% 71%  
193 4% 70%  
194 4% 65%  
195 3% 61%  
196 5% 58%  
197 4% 53%  
198 4% 50% Median
199 5% 46%  
200 2% 41%  
201 2% 38%  
202 3% 36%  
203 3% 33%  
204 3% 30%  
205 3% 27%  
206 3% 24%  
207 4% 21%  
208 3% 17%  
209 2% 14%  
210 2% 13%  
211 2% 11%  
212 0.7% 9%  
213 1.1% 9%  
214 0.6% 7%  
215 1.3% 7%  
216 0.7% 6%  
217 1.1% 5%  
218 0.9% 4%  
219 0.4% 3%  
220 0.5% 3%  
221 0.4% 2%  
222 0.4% 2%  
223 0.3% 1.3%  
224 0.2% 1.0%  
225 0.1% 0.8%  
226 0.2% 0.7%  
227 0.1% 0.5%  
228 0.1% 0.4%  
229 0.1% 0.3%  
230 0% 0.2%  
231 0% 0.2%  
232 0% 0.1%  
233 0% 0.1% Last Result
234 0% 0.1%  
235 0% 0.1%  
236 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 99.9%  
123 0% 99.9%  
124 0% 99.9%  
125 0% 99.9%  
126 0% 99.9%  
127 0% 99.9%  
128 0% 99.9%  
129 0% 99.9%  
130 0% 99.8%  
131 0% 99.8%  
132 0% 99.8%  
133 0% 99.8%  
134 0% 99.8%  
135 0% 99.8%  
136 0% 99.8%  
137 0% 99.8%  
138 0% 99.8%  
139 0% 99.8%  
140 0% 99.8%  
141 0% 99.7%  
142 0% 99.7%  
143 0% 99.7%  
144 0% 99.7%  
145 0.1% 99.6%  
146 0.1% 99.6%  
147 0.1% 99.5%  
148 0% 99.4%  
149 0.1% 99.3%  
150 0.2% 99.2%  
151 0.2% 99.0%  
152 0.4% 98.9%  
153 0.5% 98%  
154 0.4% 98%  
155 0.9% 98%  
156 0.4% 97%  
157 0.5% 96%  
158 0.6% 96%  
159 0.6% 95%  
160 1.3% 95%  
161 3% 93%  
162 3% 90%  
163 3% 86%  
164 3% 84%  
165 2% 81%  
166 2% 79%  
167 1.3% 77%  
168 3% 76%  
169 3% 73%  
170 4% 71%  
171 5% 67%  
172 5% 62%  
173 4% 57%  
174 3% 52%  
175 2% 49% Median
176 2% 47%  
177 2% 45%  
178 4% 43%  
179 5% 39%  
180 7% 34%  
181 2% 27%  
182 2% 25%  
183 3% 22%  
184 0.9% 19%  
185 1.4% 18%  
186 3% 17%  
187 2% 14%  
188 3% 12%  
189 2% 9%  
190 1.4% 7%  
191 1.1% 6%  
192 0.6% 5%  
193 0.6% 4%  
194 0.4% 3%  
195 0.4% 3%  
196 0.5% 3%  
197 0.3% 2%  
198 0.7% 2%  
199 0.3% 1.1%  
200 0.2% 0.9%  
201 0.1% 0.7%  
202 0.1% 0.5%  
203 0.1% 0.4%  
204 0.1% 0.4%  
205 0% 0.3%  
206 0.1% 0.2%  
207 0.1% 0.2%  
208 0% 0.1%  
209 0% 0.1%  
210 0% 0.1%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations