Opinion Poll by Kantar, 28 July–3 August 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 22.0% 20.6–23.5% 20.3–23.9% 19.9–24.2% 19.3–25.0%
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 19.5% 18.2–20.9% 17.8–21.3% 17.5–21.6% 16.9–22.3%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 18.0% 16.7–19.3% 16.4–19.7% 16.0–20.1% 15.5–20.7%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 13.0% 11.9–14.2% 11.6–14.6% 11.4–14.9% 10.9–15.5%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 11.0% 10.0–12.1% 9.7–12.4% 9.4–12.7% 9.0–13.3%
Die Linke 9.2% 6.0% 5.3–6.9% 5.1–7.2% 4.9–7.4% 4.6–7.8%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 4.5% 3.9–5.3% 3.7–5.5% 3.6–5.7% 3.3–6.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 163 155–176 152–180 150–183 145–190
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 146 136–156 133–159 131–162 126–168
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 136 126–145 123–148 121–151 116–157
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 98 90–107 87–110 85–112 81–116
Alternative für Deutschland 94 83 75–91 73–93 71–95 67–99
Die Linke 69 46 40–52 38–54 0–55 0–59
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 37 32–43 31–45 30–46 28–49

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 99.9%  
141 0% 99.9%  
142 0.1% 99.9%  
143 0.1% 99.8%  
144 0.1% 99.7%  
145 0.2% 99.6%  
146 0.2% 99.5%  
147 0.3% 99.2%  
148 0.4% 98.9%  
149 0.5% 98.5%  
150 1.0% 98%  
151 1.0% 97%  
152 1.2% 96%  
153 2% 95%  
154 3% 93%  
155 2% 90%  
156 4% 88%  
157 4% 84%  
158 4% 81%  
159 5% 76%  
160 5% 72%  
161 6% 67%  
162 5% 60%  
163 5% 55% Median
164 5% 50%  
165 5% 45%  
166 5% 40%  
167 4% 35%  
168 4% 31%  
169 3% 27%  
170 3% 24%  
171 3% 21%  
172 2% 18%  
173 2% 16%  
174 2% 14%  
175 2% 12%  
176 1.4% 10%  
177 2% 9%  
178 1.1% 7%  
179 0.9% 6%  
180 0.8% 5%  
181 0.8% 5%  
182 0.6% 4%  
183 0.7% 3%  
184 0.4% 2%  
185 0.4% 2%  
186 0.4% 2%  
187 0.2% 1.2%  
188 0.3% 1.0%  
189 0.2% 0.7%  
190 0.1% 0.5%  
191 0.1% 0.4%  
192 0.1% 0.3%  
193 0% 0.2%  
194 0.1% 0.2%  
195 0% 0.1%  
196 0% 0.1%  
197 0% 0.1%  
198 0% 0.1%  
199 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 99.9%  
123 0.1% 99.9%  
124 0.1% 99.8%  
125 0.1% 99.8%  
126 0.2% 99.7%  
127 0.3% 99.5%  
128 0.3% 99.2%  
129 0.6% 98.9%  
130 0.7% 98%  
131 0.6% 98%  
132 1.2% 97%  
133 1.0% 96%  
134 2% 95%  
135 2% 93%  
136 4% 91%  
137 2% 87%  
138 4% 86%  
139 3% 82%  
140 5% 80%  
141 4% 75%  
142 6% 71%  
143 3% 65%  
144 7% 62%  
145 4% 55%  
146 5% 51% Median
147 4% 46%  
148 6% 42%  
149 5% 36%  
150 4% 31%  
151 4% 27%  
152 3% 23%  
153 3% 20%  
154 3% 17%  
155 3% 14%  
156 2% 11%  
157 2% 9%  
158 1.3% 7%  
159 1.2% 6%  
160 0.9% 5%  
161 0.9% 4%  
162 0.7% 3%  
163 0.5% 2%  
164 0.5% 2%  
165 0.3% 1.4%  
166 0.2% 1.1%  
167 0.3% 0.9%  
168 0.2% 0.6%  
169 0.1% 0.5%  
170 0.1% 0.3%  
171 0.1% 0.2%  
172 0% 0.2%  
173 0% 0.1%  
174 0% 0.1%  
175 0% 0.1%  
176 0% 0.1%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 99.9%  
113 0.1% 99.9%  
114 0.1% 99.8%  
115 0.1% 99.7%  
116 0.3% 99.6%  
117 0.3% 99.3%  
118 0.4% 99.0%  
119 0.5% 98.6%  
120 0.6% 98%  
121 1.0% 98%  
122 0.9% 96%  
123 1.4% 96%  
124 2% 94%  
125 2% 93%  
126 2% 91%  
127 2% 89%  
128 3% 86%  
129 4% 83%  
130 4% 79%  
131 4% 76%  
132 3% 72%  
133 6% 69%  
134 5% 62%  
135 5% 57%  
136 5% 52% Median
137 5% 47%  
138 5% 42%  
139 5% 37%  
140 5% 32%  
141 3% 26%  
142 4% 23%  
143 4% 19%  
144 3% 15%  
145 3% 12%  
146 2% 9%  
147 1.4% 8%  
148 1.3% 6%  
149 2% 5%  
150 0.9% 3%  
151 0.4% 3%  
152 0.4% 2%  
153 0.3% 2% Last Result
154 0.4% 1.3%  
155 0.2% 0.9%  
156 0.1% 0.7%  
157 0.1% 0.5%  
158 0.1% 0.4%  
159 0.1% 0.3%  
160 0% 0.2%  
161 0% 0.1%  
162 0% 0.1%  
163 0% 0.1%  
164 0% 0.1%  
165 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 99.9%  
79 0.1% 99.9%  
80 0.1% 99.8% Last Result
81 0.2% 99.7%  
82 0.3% 99.5%  
83 0.4% 99.2%  
84 0.9% 98.8%  
85 1.1% 98%  
86 1.1% 97%  
87 1.3% 96%  
88 2% 94%  
89 2% 92%  
90 3% 91%  
91 4% 88%  
92 5% 84%  
93 4% 79%  
94 5% 75%  
95 7% 70%  
96 6% 63%  
97 6% 57%  
98 5% 51% Median
99 5% 46%  
100 5% 42%  
101 7% 37%  
102 4% 29%  
103 4% 25%  
104 4% 21%  
105 4% 16%  
106 2% 13%  
107 2% 10%  
108 2% 8%  
109 1.4% 6%  
110 1.1% 5%  
111 1.1% 4%  
112 1.0% 3%  
113 0.6% 2%  
114 0.4% 1.4%  
115 0.4% 1.0%  
116 0.2% 0.7%  
117 0.1% 0.5%  
118 0.1% 0.4%  
119 0.1% 0.3%  
120 0.1% 0.2%  
121 0% 0.1%  
122 0% 0.1%  
123 0% 0.1%  
124 0% 0%  

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100%  
64 0.1% 99.9%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0.2% 99.8%  
67 0.2% 99.6%  
68 0.5% 99.5%  
69 0.4% 99.0%  
70 0.9% 98.6%  
71 0.8% 98%  
72 2% 97%  
73 1.4% 95%  
74 2% 94%  
75 2% 92%  
76 3% 89%  
77 3% 86%  
78 5% 83%  
79 5% 77%  
80 5% 72%  
81 6% 67%  
82 6% 60%  
83 7% 55% Median
84 6% 48%  
85 6% 42%  
86 5% 35%  
87 6% 30%  
88 4% 24%  
89 5% 20%  
90 3% 15%  
91 3% 12%  
92 2% 9%  
93 2% 7%  
94 1.2% 5% Last Result
95 1.4% 4%  
96 0.6% 2%  
97 0.6% 2%  
98 0.3% 1.1%  
99 0.4% 0.8%  
100 0.1% 0.5%  
101 0.1% 0.4%  
102 0.1% 0.2%  
103 0.1% 0.2%  
104 0% 0.1%  
105 0% 0.1%  
106 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 4% 100%  
1 0% 96%  
2 0% 96%  
3 0% 96%  
4 0% 96%  
5 0% 96%  
6 0% 96%  
7 0% 96%  
8 0% 96%  
9 0% 96%  
10 0% 96%  
11 0% 96%  
12 0% 96%  
13 0% 96%  
14 0% 96%  
15 0% 96%  
16 0% 96%  
17 0% 96%  
18 0% 96%  
19 0% 96%  
20 0% 96%  
21 0% 96%  
22 0% 96%  
23 0% 96%  
24 0% 96%  
25 0% 96%  
26 0% 96%  
27 0% 96%  
28 0% 96%  
29 0% 96%  
30 0% 96%  
31 0% 96%  
32 0% 96%  
33 0% 96%  
34 0% 96%  
35 0% 96%  
36 0% 96%  
37 0.1% 96%  
38 2% 96%  
39 3% 94%  
40 4% 90%  
41 5% 86%  
42 6% 81%  
43 8% 74%  
44 8% 67%  
45 9% 59%  
46 7% 50% Median
47 8% 43%  
48 8% 34%  
49 7% 27%  
50 5% 20%  
51 4% 15%  
52 3% 11%  
53 3% 8%  
54 2% 5%  
55 1.3% 4%  
56 0.7% 2%  
57 0.6% 2%  
58 0.4% 1.0%  
59 0.3% 0.6%  
60 0.1% 0.3%  
61 0.1% 0.2%  
62 0% 0.1%  
63 0% 0.1%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.1% 100%  
26 0.1% 99.9%  
27 0.2% 99.8%  
28 0.7% 99.6%  
29 1.1% 98.9%  
30 2% 98%  
31 3% 96%  
32 5% 93%  
33 6% 88%  
34 7% 82%  
35 9% 75%  
36 9% 66%  
37 10% 58% Median
38 9% 48%  
39 9% 39%  
40 8% 30%  
41 6% 23%  
42 5% 17%  
43 4% 12%  
44 3% 8%  
45 2% 5%  
46 1.4% 3% Last Result
47 0.8% 2%  
48 0.5% 1.2%  
49 0.3% 0.7%  
50 0.1% 0.4%  
51 0.1% 0.2%  
52 0.1% 0.1%  
53 0% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 482 100% 472–496 468–502 465–513 460–526
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 443 100% 437–463 436–466 434–470 419–490
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 417 100% 404–430 400–435 397–443 392–455
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 398 100% 385–412 381–417 379–423 373–436
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 364 83% 351–378 348–383 345–388 339–401
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 345 19% 338–364 336–368 333–372 323–387
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 345 17% 331–358 326–361 321–364 308–370
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 319 0.3% 306–332 303–337 300–342 294–352
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 300 0% 287–313 284–318 281–322 275–332
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 281 0% 269–294 266–298 263–303 257–312
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 266 0% 255–279 251–283 247–287 242–295
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 234 0% 222–246 218–249 215–253 210–262
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 182 0% 168–191 162–194 148–196 134–201

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
453 0% 100%  
454 0% 99.9%  
455 0% 99.9%  
456 0% 99.9%  
457 0.1% 99.8%  
458 0.1% 99.8%  
459 0.1% 99.7%  
460 0.1% 99.6%  
461 0.2% 99.4%  
462 0.3% 99.2%  
463 0.2% 98.9%  
464 0.5% 98.6%  
465 0.7% 98%  
466 0.8% 97% Last Result
467 1.2% 97%  
468 1.1% 95%  
469 1.2% 94%  
470 1.5% 93%  
471 1.4% 92%  
472 3% 90%  
473 3% 87%  
474 4% 85%  
475 3% 81%  
476 2% 78%  
477 3% 75%  
478 3% 72%  
479 3% 69%  
480 6% 65%  
481 4% 59%  
482 6% 55% Median
483 4% 49%  
484 4% 45%  
485 3% 41%  
486 4% 37%  
487 3% 34%  
488 4% 30%  
489 3% 27%  
490 4% 24%  
491 2% 20%  
492 2% 18%  
493 2% 15%  
494 2% 14%  
495 1.5% 12%  
496 1.4% 11%  
497 0.9% 9%  
498 1.3% 8%  
499 0.7% 7%  
500 0.7% 6%  
501 0.4% 6%  
502 0.4% 5%  
503 0.3% 5%  
504 0.2% 4%  
505 0.3% 4%  
506 0.2% 4%  
507 0.2% 4%  
508 0.2% 3%  
509 0.2% 3%  
510 0.1% 3%  
511 0.2% 3%  
512 0.1% 3%  
513 0.2% 3%  
514 0.2% 2%  
515 0.2% 2%  
516 0.2% 2%  
517 0.1% 2%  
518 0.2% 2%  
519 0.2% 2%  
520 0.1% 1.5%  
521 0.2% 1.3%  
522 0.1% 1.2%  
523 0.2% 1.0%  
524 0.2% 0.8%  
525 0.1% 0.7%  
526 0.1% 0.6%  
527 0.1% 0.5%  
528 0.1% 0.4%  
529 0.1% 0.3%  
530 0% 0.2%  
531 0.1% 0.2%  
532 0% 0.2%  
533 0% 0.1%  
534 0% 0.1%  
535 0% 0.1%  
536 0% 0.1%  
537 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 99.9%  
416 0.1% 99.9%  
417 0.1% 99.8%  
418 0.1% 99.7%  
419 0.1% 99.6%  
420 0.1% 99.5%  
421 0.2% 99.4%  
422 0.1% 99.2%  
423 0.1% 99.1%  
424 0.1% 99.0%  
425 0.1% 98.9%  
426 0.1% 98.8%  
427 0% 98.7%  
428 0% 98.7%  
429 0% 98.7%  
430 0.1% 98.6%  
431 0.1% 98.6%  
432 0.2% 98%  
433 0.6% 98%  
434 0.8% 98%  
435 2% 97%  
436 3% 95%  
437 4% 93%  
438 5% 88%  
439 8% 83%  
440 6% 75%  
441 7% 68%  
442 8% 61%  
443 10% 53%  
444 7% 43% Median
445 6% 36%  
446 4% 30%  
447 2% 26%  
448 2% 23%  
449 1.2% 21%  
450 0.8% 20%  
451 0.4% 19%  
452 0.2% 19%  
453 0.1% 19%  
454 0.2% 19%  
455 0.3% 19%  
456 0.5% 18%  
457 0.7% 18%  
458 0.9% 17%  
459 1.0% 16%  
460 1.4% 15%  
461 2% 14%  
462 1.4% 12%  
463 2% 10%  
464 1.4% 9%  
465 1.3% 7%  
466 1.1% 6%  
467 1.0% 5%  
468 0.6% 4%  
469 0.4% 3%  
470 0.5% 3%  
471 0.2% 2%  
472 0.2% 2%  
473 0.1% 2%  
474 0.1% 2%  
475 0% 2%  
476 0% 2%  
477 0% 2%  
478 0% 2%  
479 0% 2%  
480 0% 1.5%  
481 0% 1.5%  
482 0% 1.5%  
483 0.1% 1.4%  
484 0.1% 1.4%  
485 0.1% 1.3%  
486 0.1% 1.2%  
487 0.1% 1.0%  
488 0.1% 0.9%  
489 0.1% 0.8%  
490 0.2% 0.7%  
491 0.1% 0.5%  
492 0.1% 0.3%  
493 0.1% 0.2%  
494 0.1% 0.2%  
495 0% 0.1%  
496 0% 0.1%  
497 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 99.9%  
386 0% 99.9%  
387 0% 99.9%  
388 0% 99.8%  
389 0.1% 99.8%  
390 0.1% 99.7%  
391 0.1% 99.6%  
392 0.2% 99.5%  
393 0.2% 99.3%  
394 0.3% 99.2%  
395 0.3% 98.8%  
396 0.5% 98.6%  
397 0.6% 98%  
398 0.5% 97%  
399 1.2% 97%  
400 0.8% 96%  
401 0.9% 95%  
402 2% 94%  
403 1.2% 92%  
404 2% 91%  
405 2% 89%  
406 2% 87%  
407 4% 85%  
408 2% 81%  
409 3% 79%  
410 3% 76%  
411 3% 73%  
412 4% 70%  
413 3% 66%  
414 4% 62%  
415 5% 58%  
416 3% 53%  
417 5% 50% Median
418 3% 45%  
419 4% 42%  
420 3% 38%  
421 3% 35%  
422 4% 32%  
423 2% 29%  
424 4% 26%  
425 3% 22%  
426 2% 19%  
427 3% 18%  
428 2% 14%  
429 2% 13%  
430 2% 11%  
431 0.7% 9%  
432 1.4% 9%  
433 0.7% 7%  
434 0.7% 7%  
435 1.1% 6%  
436 0.5% 5%  
437 0.5% 4%  
438 0.3% 4%  
439 0.2% 4%  
440 0.3% 3%  
441 0.1% 3%  
442 0.3% 3%  
443 0.3% 3%  
444 0.2% 2%  
445 0.2% 2%  
446 0.3% 2%  
447 0.1% 2%  
448 0.2% 2%  
449 0.1% 1.4%  
450 0.2% 1.3%  
451 0.1% 1.0%  
452 0.1% 1.0%  
453 0.2% 0.9%  
454 0.1% 0.7%  
455 0.2% 0.6%  
456 0.1% 0.5%  
457 0% 0.4%  
458 0% 0.4%  
459 0% 0.3%  
460 0% 0.3%  
461 0% 0.2%  
462 0% 0.2%  
463 0% 0.2%  
464 0.1% 0.1%  
465 0% 0.1%  
466 0% 0.1%  
467 0% 0%  
468 0% 0%  
469 0% 0%  
470 0% 0%  
471 0% 0%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
300 0% 100% Last Result
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 99.9%  
368 0% 99.9%  
369 0% 99.9%  
370 0.1% 99.8%  
371 0.1% 99.7%  
372 0.1% 99.6%  
373 0.2% 99.6%  
374 0.2% 99.3%  
375 0.3% 99.1%  
376 0.2% 98.8%  
377 0.5% 98.6%  
378 0.4% 98%  
379 0.9% 98%  
380 0.6% 97%  
381 1.2% 96%  
382 1.0% 95%  
383 1.4% 94%  
384 1.4% 93%  
385 2% 91%  
386 1.4% 89%  
387 3% 88%  
388 2% 85%  
389 3% 83%  
390 3% 80%  
391 3% 76%  
392 5% 73%  
393 3% 69%  
394 4% 66%  
395 3% 61%  
396 3% 59%  
397 4% 55% Median
398 4% 52%  
399 3% 47%  
400 5% 45%  
401 4% 39%  
402 4% 35%  
403 4% 32%  
404 3% 27%  
405 2% 24%  
406 3% 22%  
407 2% 19%  
408 2% 17%  
409 1.4% 15%  
410 2% 13%  
411 1.4% 11%  
412 1.2% 10%  
413 1.3% 9%  
414 0.8% 8%  
415 0.9% 7%  
416 0.6% 6%  
417 0.8% 5%  
418 0.5% 4%  
419 0.4% 4%  
420 0.4% 3%  
421 0.2% 3%  
422 0.3% 3%  
423 0.1% 3%  
424 0.2% 2%  
425 0.1% 2%  
426 0.3% 2%  
427 0.1% 2%  
428 0.1% 2%  
429 0.1% 2%  
430 0.2% 1.4%  
431 0.2% 1.2%  
432 0.1% 0.9%  
433 0.1% 0.8%  
434 0.1% 0.7%  
435 0.1% 0.6%  
436 0% 0.5%  
437 0% 0.5%  
438 0.1% 0.4%  
439 0% 0.3%  
440 0% 0.3%  
441 0% 0.3%  
442 0.1% 0.2%  
443 0% 0.2%  
444 0% 0.1%  
445 0% 0.1%  
446 0% 0.1%  
447 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 99.9%  
334 0% 99.9%  
335 0.1% 99.9%  
336 0.1% 99.8%  
337 0.1% 99.7%  
338 0.2% 99.7%  
339 0.2% 99.5%  
340 0.2% 99.4%  
341 0.3% 99.2%  
342 0.2% 98.9%  
343 0.4% 98.6%  
344 0.5% 98%  
345 0.6% 98%  
346 0.6% 97%  
347 1.0% 96%  
348 0.9% 95%  
349 1.5% 95%  
350 1.4% 93%  
351 2% 92%  
352 2% 90%  
353 2% 88%  
354 3% 86%  
355 3% 83% Majority
356 3% 80%  
357 3% 77%  
358 2% 75%  
359 4% 72%  
360 4% 68%  
361 4% 64%  
362 4% 60%  
363 4% 57%  
364 4% 52% Median
365 5% 48%  
366 4% 43%  
367 4% 40%  
368 4% 36%  
369 3% 32%  
370 3% 30%  
371 3% 26%  
372 3% 23%  
373 2% 20%  
374 3% 19%  
375 2% 16%  
376 2% 14%  
377 1.4% 12%  
378 2% 11%  
379 1.1% 9%  
380 1.2% 8%  
381 0.7% 7%  
382 0.7% 6%  
383 0.7% 5%  
384 0.4% 4%  
385 0.6% 4%  
386 0.4% 3%  
387 0.4% 3%  
388 0.3% 3%  
389 0.3% 2%  
390 0.2% 2%  
391 0.3% 2%  
392 0.2% 2%  
393 0.3% 1.5%  
394 0.1% 1.2%  
395 0.1% 1.1%  
396 0.2% 1.0%  
397 0.1% 0.8%  
398 0.1% 0.7%  
399 0.1% 0.7%  
400 0.1% 0.6%  
401 0.1% 0.5%  
402 0.1% 0.4%  
403 0.1% 0.3%  
404 0% 0.2%  
405 0% 0.2%  
406 0% 0.2%  
407 0% 0.1%  
408 0% 0.1%  
409 0% 0.1%  
410 0% 0.1%  
411 0% 0.1%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 99.9%  
317 0% 99.9%  
318 0.1% 99.9%  
319 0.1% 99.8%  
320 0.1% 99.8%  
321 0.1% 99.7%  
322 0.1% 99.6%  
323 0.1% 99.5%  
324 0.1% 99.4%  
325 0.1% 99.3%  
326 0.1% 99.2%  
327 0.1% 99.1%  
328 0.1% 99.0%  
329 0.1% 98.8%  
330 0.2% 98.7%  
331 0.3% 98.5%  
332 0.3% 98%  
333 0.5% 98%  
334 0.8% 97%  
335 0.9% 97%  
336 2% 96%  
337 3% 94%  
338 2% 91%  
339 4% 89%  
340 6% 85%  
341 5% 79%  
342 5% 74%  
343 6% 68%  
344 7% 62%  
345 7% 55%  
346 6% 48% Median
347 6% 43%  
348 4% 37%  
349 4% 32%  
350 3% 29%  
351 2% 25%  
352 2% 23%  
353 1.2% 21%  
354 0.9% 20%  
355 0.7% 19% Majority
356 0.7% 19%  
357 0.7% 18%  
358 0.8% 17%  
359 0.6% 16%  
360 1.1% 16%  
361 1.3% 15%  
362 1.2% 13%  
363 1.2% 12%  
364 2% 11%  
365 1.2% 9%  
366 1.2% 8%  
367 1.2% 7%  
368 1.0% 6%  
369 0.9% 5%  
370 0.6% 4%  
371 0.5% 3%  
372 0.5% 3%  
373 0.2% 2%  
374 0.2% 2%  
375 0.1% 2%  
376 0.1% 2%  
377 0.1% 1.5%  
378 0.1% 1.4%  
379 0% 1.3%  
380 0.1% 1.3%  
381 0.1% 1.2%  
382 0.1% 1.1%  
383 0.2% 1.0%  
384 0.1% 0.8%  
385 0.1% 0.7%  
386 0.1% 0.6%  
387 0.2% 0.5%  
388 0.1% 0.3%  
389 0% 0.3%  
390 0.1% 0.2%  
391 0% 0.1%  
392 0% 0.1%  
393 0% 0.1%  
394 0% 0.1%  
395 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 99.9%  
300 0% 99.9%  
301 0% 99.9%  
302 0% 99.9%  
303 0% 99.9%  
304 0% 99.8%  
305 0% 99.8%  
306 0.1% 99.8%  
307 0.1% 99.7%  
308 0.1% 99.6%  
309 0.1% 99.5%  
310 0.1% 99.4%  
311 0.1% 99.3%  
312 0.1% 99.3%  
313 0.2% 99.2%  
314 0.1% 99.0%  
315 0.1% 98.9%  
316 0.3% 98.8%  
317 0.2% 98.5%  
318 0.3% 98%  
319 0.2% 98%  
320 0.3% 98%  
321 0.3% 98%  
322 0.4% 97%  
323 0.4% 97%  
324 0.6% 97%  
325 0.4% 96%  
326 0.7% 96%  
327 0.7% 95%  
328 0.7% 94%  
329 1.2% 93%  
330 1.1% 92%  
331 2% 91%  
332 1.4% 89%  
333 2% 88%  
334 2% 86%  
335 3% 84%  
336 2% 81%  
337 3% 80%  
338 3% 77%  
339 3% 74%  
340 3% 70%  
341 4% 68%  
342 4% 64%  
343 4% 60%  
344 5% 57%  
345 4% 52% Median
346 4% 48%  
347 4% 43%  
348 4% 40%  
349 4% 36%  
350 4% 32%  
351 2% 28%  
352 3% 25%  
353 3% 23%  
354 3% 20%  
355 3% 17% Majority
356 2% 14%  
357 2% 12%  
358 2% 10%  
359 1.4% 8%  
360 1.5% 7%  
361 0.9% 5%  
362 1.0% 5%  
363 0.6% 4%  
364 0.6% 3%  
365 0.5% 2%  
366 0.4% 2%  
367 0.2% 1.4%  
368 0.3% 1.1%  
369 0.2% 0.8%  
370 0.2% 0.6%  
371 0.2% 0.5%  
372 0.1% 0.3%  
373 0.1% 0.3%  
374 0.1% 0.2%  
375 0% 0.1%  
376 0% 0.1%  
377 0% 0.1%  
378 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 99.9%  
289 0% 99.9%  
290 0.1% 99.9%  
291 0.1% 99.8%  
292 0.1% 99.8%  
293 0.1% 99.7%  
294 0.2% 99.5%  
295 0.2% 99.4%  
296 0.3% 99.2%  
297 0.4% 98.9%  
298 0.4% 98%  
299 0.6% 98%  
300 0.7% 98%  
301 0.8% 97%  
302 0.8% 96%  
303 1.2% 95%  
304 1.1% 94%  
305 2% 93%  
306 2% 91%  
307 3% 90%  
308 2% 87%  
309 3% 85%  
310 2% 82%  
311 2% 80%  
312 4% 78%  
313 3% 74%  
314 4% 70%  
315 3% 67%  
316 5% 64%  
317 3% 59%  
318 3% 55%  
319 6% 52% Median
320 3% 46%  
321 4% 43%  
322 4% 39%  
323 4% 36%  
324 3% 31%  
325 2% 28%  
326 4% 26%  
327 2% 21%  
328 2% 19%  
329 2% 17%  
330 3% 15%  
331 1.1% 13%  
332 2% 12%  
333 1.4% 10%  
334 1.2% 8%  
335 1.1% 7%  
336 1.0% 6%  
337 0.7% 5%  
338 0.6% 4%  
339 0.6% 4%  
340 0.4% 3%  
341 0.4% 3%  
342 0.3% 3%  
343 0.3% 2%  
344 0.3% 2%  
345 0.2% 2%  
346 0.2% 1.4%  
347 0.1% 1.2%  
348 0.2% 1.1%  
349 0.1% 0.9%  
350 0.1% 0.7%  
351 0.1% 0.7%  
352 0.2% 0.6%  
353 0.1% 0.4%  
354 0% 0.3%  
355 0% 0.3% Majority
356 0% 0.3%  
357 0% 0.2%  
358 0% 0.2%  
359 0% 0.1%  
360 0% 0.1%  
361 0% 0.1%  
362 0% 0.1%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 99.9%  
271 0% 99.9%  
272 0.1% 99.9%  
273 0.1% 99.8%  
274 0.1% 99.7%  
275 0.2% 99.6%  
276 0.2% 99.4%  
277 0.2% 99.2%  
278 0.4% 99.0%  
279 0.2% 98.6%  
280 0.5% 98%  
281 0.7% 98%  
282 0.7% 97%  
283 1.1% 96%  
284 0.8% 95%  
285 1.0% 95%  
286 3% 94%  
287 2% 91%  
288 2% 89%  
289 2% 87%  
290 2% 85%  
291 3% 84%  
292 3% 81%  
293 3% 78%  
294 5% 75%  
295 2% 70%  
296 4% 68%  
297 6% 64%  
298 3% 59%  
299 5% 55% Median
300 3% 50%  
301 4% 47%  
302 4% 44%  
303 3% 40%  
304 5% 36%  
305 3% 31%  
306 2% 28%  
307 4% 26%  
308 2% 22%  
309 3% 20%  
310 2% 17%  
311 1.5% 15%  
312 2% 13%  
313 1.4% 11%  
314 2% 10%  
315 1.1% 8%  
316 0.8% 7%  
317 0.9% 6%  
318 0.6% 5%  
319 0.6% 5%  
320 0.8% 4%  
321 0.4% 3%  
322 0.3% 3%  
323 0.3% 2%  
324 0.5% 2%  
325 0.2% 2%  
326 0.2% 1.4%  
327 0.2% 1.2%  
328 0.1% 1.1%  
329 0.1% 1.0%  
330 0.2% 0.8%  
331 0.1% 0.7%  
332 0.1% 0.5%  
333 0.1% 0.5%  
334 0.1% 0.4%  
335 0.1% 0.3%  
336 0% 0.3%  
337 0.1% 0.2%  
338 0% 0.2%  
339 0% 0.1%  
340 0% 0.1%  
341 0% 0.1%  
342 0% 0.1%  
343 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 99.9%  
252 0% 99.9%  
253 0% 99.9%  
254 0% 99.8%  
255 0.1% 99.8%  
256 0.1% 99.7%  
257 0.2% 99.6%  
258 0.2% 99.4%  
259 0.3% 99.2%  
260 0.3% 98.9%  
261 0.5% 98.6%  
262 0.4% 98%  
263 0.6% 98%  
264 1.0% 97%  
265 1.0% 96%  
266 1.1% 95%  
267 2% 94%  
268 2% 92%  
269 0.8% 90%  
270 2% 89%  
271 3% 87%  
272 3% 85%  
273 3% 81%  
274 3% 78%  
275 5% 75%  
276 3% 70%  
277 3% 68%  
278 4% 65%  
279 5% 61%  
280 4% 56%  
281 4% 52% Median
282 5% 48%  
283 4% 43%  
284 2% 39%  
285 3% 36%  
286 4% 34%  
287 4% 30%  
288 3% 25%  
289 3% 23%  
290 3% 20%  
291 2% 17%  
292 2% 14%  
293 2% 13%  
294 1.4% 11%  
295 2% 10%  
296 1.2% 8%  
297 1.1% 7%  
298 0.9% 6%  
299 0.8% 5%  
300 0.6% 4%  
301 0.5% 4%  
302 0.5% 3%  
303 0.4% 3%  
304 0.3% 2%  
305 0.3% 2%  
306 0.2% 2%  
307 0.3% 1.3%  
308 0.2% 1.1%  
309 0.1% 0.9%  
310 0.1% 0.8%  
311 0.1% 0.7%  
312 0.1% 0.6%  
313 0.1% 0.5%  
314 0% 0.4%  
315 0.1% 0.4%  
316 0% 0.3%  
317 0.1% 0.2%  
318 0% 0.2%  
319 0% 0.1%  
320 0% 0.1%  
321 0% 0.1%  
322 0% 0.1%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 99.9%  
237 0% 99.9%  
238 0% 99.9%  
239 0% 99.9%  
240 0.1% 99.8%  
241 0.1% 99.7%  
242 0.2% 99.6%  
243 0.2% 99.5%  
244 0.4% 99.3%  
245 0.3% 98.8%  
246 0.4% 98.6%  
247 0.7% 98%  
248 0.6% 97%  
249 0.8% 97%  
250 0.7% 96%  
251 1.1% 95%  
252 1.2% 94%  
253 1.1% 93%  
254 2% 92%  
255 3% 90%  
256 3% 87%  
257 2% 85%  
258 4% 82%  
259 4% 78%  
260 3% 75%  
261 3% 71%  
262 3% 68%  
263 4% 65%  
264 4% 61%  
265 3% 58%  
266 6% 55% Median
267 4% 49%  
268 4% 45%  
269 4% 41%  
270 4% 37%  
271 4% 32%  
272 3% 28%  
273 4% 25%  
274 2% 22%  
275 3% 20%  
276 2% 17%  
277 2% 15%  
278 3% 14%  
279 2% 11%  
280 1.1% 10%  
281 2% 9%  
282 1.0% 7%  
283 1.4% 6%  
284 0.5% 5%  
285 0.7% 4%  
286 0.5% 3%  
287 0.5% 3%  
288 0.3% 2%  
289 0.3% 2%  
290 0.3% 2%  
291 0.3% 2%  
292 0.2% 1.2%  
293 0.2% 1.0%  
294 0.1% 0.8%  
295 0.2% 0.7%  
296 0.1% 0.5%  
297 0.1% 0.4%  
298 0.1% 0.3%  
299 0% 0.3%  
300 0% 0.2%  
301 0% 0.2%  
302 0% 0.2%  
303 0% 0.1%  
304 0% 0.1%  
305 0% 0.1%  
306 0% 0.1%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0%  
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 99.9%  
205 0% 99.9%  
206 0% 99.9%  
207 0.1% 99.8%  
208 0.1% 99.8%  
209 0.1% 99.7%  
210 0.2% 99.5%  
211 0.2% 99.3%  
212 0.3% 99.1%  
213 0.3% 98.9%  
214 0.5% 98.5%  
215 0.6% 98%  
216 0.7% 97%  
217 1.0% 97%  
218 0.9% 96%  
219 1.2% 95%  
220 1.2% 94%  
221 2% 92%  
222 2% 91%  
223 3% 89%  
224 2% 86%  
225 3% 84%  
226 3% 80%  
227 2% 78%  
228 5% 75%  
229 3% 71%  
230 4% 68%  
231 5% 64%  
232 5% 59%  
233 4% 54% Last Result
234 4% 50% Median
235 4% 47%  
236 3% 43%  
237 5% 40%  
238 5% 35%  
239 4% 30%  
240 2% 26%  
241 4% 24%  
242 2% 20%  
243 3% 18%  
244 2% 15%  
245 2% 13%  
246 2% 11%  
247 2% 9%  
248 1.2% 7%  
249 0.6% 6%  
250 0.9% 5%  
251 0.6% 4%  
252 0.6% 3%  
253 0.6% 3%  
254 0.4% 2%  
255 0.3% 2%  
256 0.4% 2%  
257 0.1% 1.2%  
258 0.2% 1.0%  
259 0.1% 0.9%  
260 0.1% 0.8%  
261 0.2% 0.7%  
262 0.1% 0.5%  
263 0.1% 0.4%  
264 0.1% 0.3%  
265 0% 0.2%  
266 0% 0.2%  
267 0% 0.2%  
268 0% 0.1%  
269 0% 0.1%  
270 0% 0.1%  
271 0% 0.1%  
272 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 99.9%  
128 0% 99.9%  
129 0.1% 99.9%  
130 0% 99.8%  
131 0.1% 99.8%  
132 0.1% 99.7%  
133 0.1% 99.7%  
134 0.2% 99.6%  
135 0.1% 99.4%  
136 0.1% 99.4%  
137 0.1% 99.3%  
138 0.1% 99.2%  
139 0.2% 99.1%  
140 0.2% 98.9%  
141 0.1% 98.7%  
142 0.1% 98.6%  
143 0.1% 98%  
144 0.1% 98%  
145 0.1% 98%  
146 0.3% 98%  
147 0.1% 98%  
148 0.1% 98%  
149 0.3% 97%  
150 0.1% 97%  
151 0.1% 97%  
152 0.1% 97%  
153 0.1% 97%  
154 0.2% 97%  
155 0.1% 97%  
156 0.1% 96%  
157 0.2% 96%  
158 0.1% 96%  
159 0.3% 96%  
160 0.3% 96%  
161 0.2% 95%  
162 0.4% 95%  
163 0.5% 95%  
164 0.5% 94%  
165 0.8% 94%  
166 1.1% 93%  
167 0.8% 92%  
168 1.3% 91%  
169 2% 90%  
170 1.4% 88%  
171 2% 87%  
172 2% 85%  
173 2% 83%  
174 3% 81%  
175 3% 78%  
176 3% 75%  
177 4% 72%  
178 3% 68%  
179 4% 65%  
180 6% 61%  
181 4% 55%  
182 5% 51% Median
183 5% 45%  
184 5% 40%  
185 4% 35%  
186 4% 31%  
187 4% 26%  
188 3% 22%  
189 4% 19%  
190 3% 15%  
191 2% 11%  
192 2% 9%  
193 1.4% 7%  
194 1.4% 6%  
195 1.2% 4%  
196 0.6% 3%  
197 0.6% 2%  
198 0.5% 2%  
199 0.3% 1.3%  
200 0.3% 1.0%  
201 0.2% 0.7%  
202 0.1% 0.5%  
203 0.1% 0.4%  
204 0.1% 0.3%  
205 0.1% 0.2%  
206 0% 0.1%  
207 0% 0.1%  
208 0% 0.1%  
209 0% 0.1%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations