Opinion Poll by Allensbach, 18–26 August 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 24.0% 22.3–25.8% 21.9–26.2% 21.5–26.7% 20.7–27.5%
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 21.1% 19.5–22.8% 19.1–23.3% 18.7–23.7% 18.0–24.5%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 17.0% 15.5–18.5% 15.1–19.0% 14.8–19.4% 14.1–20.1%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 10.5% 9.4–11.8% 9.0–12.2% 8.8–12.5% 8.3–13.2%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 10.5% 9.4–11.8% 9.0–12.2% 8.8–12.5% 8.3–13.2%
Die Linke 9.2% 6.0% 5.1–7.0% 4.9–7.3% 4.7–7.6% 4.3–8.1%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 4.9% 4.1–5.9% 3.9–6.2% 3.7–6.4% 3.4–6.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 180 168–194 163–198 160–202 155–209
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 159 147–172 143–176 140–179 135–186
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 127 117–140 114–143 111–146 106–153
Alternative für Deutschland 94 80 70–89 68–92 66–94 62–100
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 79 70–88 68–91 66–94 62–100
Die Linke 69 45 39–52 0–55 0–56 0–61
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 40 34–47 33–49 31–51 29–55

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 99.9%  
152 0.1% 99.9%  
153 0.1% 99.8% Last Result
154 0.1% 99.7%  
155 0.1% 99.6%  
156 0.3% 99.5%  
157 0.3% 99.2%  
158 0.5% 98.9%  
159 0.6% 98%  
160 0.6% 98%  
161 0.8% 97%  
162 0.6% 96%  
163 1.1% 96%  
164 1.1% 95%  
165 1.1% 94%  
166 1.1% 93%  
167 1.2% 92%  
168 2% 90%  
169 1.4% 89%  
170 2% 87%  
171 2% 86%  
172 3% 84%  
173 2% 81%  
174 4% 79%  
175 3% 75%  
176 4% 72%  
177 4% 68%  
178 5% 64%  
179 5% 59%  
180 5% 54% Median
181 6% 49%  
182 5% 43%  
183 4% 38%  
184 5% 35%  
185 5% 30%  
186 3% 25%  
187 2% 22%  
188 2% 19%  
189 2% 18%  
190 1.4% 16%  
191 1.1% 14%  
192 1.3% 13%  
193 2% 12%  
194 0.9% 10%  
195 1.1% 9%  
196 0.9% 8%  
197 1.1% 7%  
198 1.1% 6%  
199 0.9% 5%  
200 0.7% 4%  
201 0.7% 3%  
202 0.3% 3%  
203 0.5% 2%  
204 0.4% 2%  
205 0.3% 1.4%  
206 0.2% 1.1%  
207 0.2% 0.9%  
208 0.1% 0.7%  
209 0.1% 0.6%  
210 0.1% 0.4%  
211 0.1% 0.4%  
212 0.1% 0.3%  
213 0.1% 0.2%  
214 0.1% 0.2%  
215 0% 0.1%  
216 0% 0.1%  
217 0% 0.1%  
218 0% 0.1%  
219 0% 0.1%  
220 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 99.9%  
130 0% 99.9%  
131 0% 99.9%  
132 0.1% 99.9%  
133 0.1% 99.8%  
134 0.1% 99.7%  
135 0.2% 99.5%  
136 0.2% 99.4%  
137 0.2% 99.1%  
138 0.4% 98.9%  
139 0.5% 98%  
140 0.7% 98%  
141 0.7% 97%  
142 1.0% 97%  
143 1.0% 96%  
144 1.4% 95%  
145 2% 93%  
146 2% 92%  
147 2% 90%  
148 2% 88%  
149 3% 86%  
150 3% 83%  
151 3% 80%  
152 3% 77%  
153 4% 74%  
154 3% 70%  
155 5% 67%  
156 4% 62%  
157 4% 58%  
158 3% 54%  
159 5% 51% Median
160 5% 46%  
161 3% 42%  
162 4% 39%  
163 3% 34%  
164 3% 31%  
165 4% 28%  
166 3% 24%  
167 2% 21%  
168 3% 18%  
169 2% 16%  
170 2% 14%  
171 2% 12%  
172 2% 10%  
173 1.2% 8%  
174 1.0% 7%  
175 0.8% 6%  
176 1.0% 5%  
177 0.8% 4%  
178 0.6% 3%  
179 0.4% 3%  
180 0.6% 2%  
181 0.4% 2%  
182 0.3% 1.4%  
183 0.3% 1.2%  
184 0.2% 0.9%  
185 0.1% 0.7%  
186 0.1% 0.6%  
187 0.1% 0.5%  
188 0.1% 0.4%  
189 0% 0.3%  
190 0% 0.2%  
191 0% 0.2%  
192 0% 0.1%  
193 0% 0.1%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0.1%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 99.9%  
102 0% 99.9%  
103 0.1% 99.9%  
104 0.1% 99.8%  
105 0.1% 99.7%  
106 0.2% 99.5%  
107 0.3% 99.3%  
108 0.3% 99.1%  
109 0.5% 98.7%  
110 0.5% 98%  
111 0.7% 98%  
112 1.1% 97%  
113 0.8% 96%  
114 1.3% 95%  
115 1.5% 94%  
116 2% 92%  
117 2% 91%  
118 3% 88%  
119 2% 86%  
120 4% 83%  
121 3% 79%  
122 4% 76%  
123 5% 73%  
124 4% 67%  
125 5% 64%  
126 5% 58%  
127 6% 53% Median
128 4% 47%  
129 5% 43%  
130 3% 39%  
131 4% 36%  
132 4% 32%  
133 3% 28%  
134 3% 25%  
135 4% 22%  
136 2% 18%  
137 3% 16%  
138 2% 13%  
139 2% 12%  
140 2% 10%  
141 1.0% 8%  
142 1.3% 7%  
143 1.1% 6%  
144 0.5% 4%  
145 0.9% 4%  
146 0.5% 3%  
147 0.4% 2%  
148 0.6% 2%  
149 0.3% 2%  
150 0.2% 1.2%  
151 0.3% 1.0%  
152 0.2% 0.7%  
153 0.1% 0.5%  
154 0.2% 0.5%  
155 0.1% 0.3%  
156 0% 0.3%  
157 0.1% 0.2%  
158 0% 0.1%  
159 0% 0.1%  
160 0% 0.1%  
161 0% 0.1%  
162 0% 0%  

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0% 100%  
59 0.1% 99.9%  
60 0.1% 99.8%  
61 0.2% 99.7%  
62 0.2% 99.6%  
63 0.4% 99.4%  
64 0.8% 99.1%  
65 0.6% 98%  
66 0.8% 98%  
67 0.8% 97%  
68 2% 96%  
69 3% 94%  
70 3% 92%  
71 2% 89%  
72 3% 87%  
73 4% 84%  
74 5% 80%  
75 6% 75%  
76 3% 69%  
77 3% 66%  
78 6% 62%  
79 6% 57%  
80 11% 50% Median
81 3% 39%  
82 3% 36%  
83 4% 34%  
84 7% 30%  
85 5% 23%  
86 3% 18%  
87 2% 15%  
88 2% 13%  
89 3% 12%  
90 2% 9%  
91 1.4% 7%  
92 0.9% 6%  
93 1.2% 5%  
94 1.4% 3% Last Result
95 0.5% 2%  
96 0.3% 2%  
97 0.2% 1.2%  
98 0.2% 1.1%  
99 0.3% 0.8%  
100 0.2% 0.5%  
101 0.1% 0.3%  
102 0.1% 0.2%  
103 0% 0.2%  
104 0% 0.1%  
105 0% 0.1%  
106 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 99.9%  
59 0.1% 99.9%  
60 0.1% 99.9%  
61 0.1% 99.8%  
62 0.2% 99.6%  
63 0.4% 99.4%  
64 0.4% 99.0%  
65 0.9% 98.6%  
66 1.0% 98%  
67 1.1% 97%  
68 1.5% 95%  
69 2% 94%  
70 2% 92%  
71 3% 90%  
72 4% 87%  
73 4% 83%  
74 6% 79%  
75 6% 73%  
76 5% 67%  
77 5% 62%  
78 6% 58%  
79 4% 52% Median
80 4% 47% Last Result
81 4% 43%  
82 4% 40%  
83 5% 35%  
84 5% 30%  
85 5% 26%  
86 4% 20%  
87 4% 16%  
88 4% 13%  
89 1.5% 9%  
90 1.5% 7%  
91 1.1% 6%  
92 0.8% 5%  
93 1.0% 4%  
94 0.5% 3%  
95 0.5% 2%  
96 0.6% 2%  
97 0.3% 1.4%  
98 0.2% 1.1%  
99 0.2% 0.9%  
100 0.1% 0.6%  
101 0.1% 0.5%  
102 0.1% 0.3%  
103 0.1% 0.2%  
104 0.1% 0.1%  
105 0% 0.1%  
106 0% 0.1%  
107 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 8% 100%  
1 0% 92%  
2 0% 92%  
3 0% 92%  
4 0% 92%  
5 0% 92%  
6 0% 92%  
7 0% 92%  
8 0% 92%  
9 0% 92%  
10 0% 92%  
11 0% 92%  
12 0% 92%  
13 0% 92%  
14 0% 92%  
15 0% 92%  
16 0% 92%  
17 0% 92%  
18 0% 92%  
19 0% 92%  
20 0% 92%  
21 0% 92%  
22 0% 92%  
23 0% 92%  
24 0% 92%  
25 0% 92%  
26 0% 92%  
27 0% 92%  
28 0% 92%  
29 0% 92%  
30 0% 92%  
31 0% 92%  
32 0% 92%  
33 0% 92%  
34 0% 92%  
35 0% 92%  
36 0% 92%  
37 0.3% 92%  
38 2% 92%  
39 5% 90%  
40 5% 85%  
41 6% 80%  
42 5% 75%  
43 10% 70%  
44 7% 59%  
45 5% 52% Median
46 6% 47%  
47 7% 41%  
48 7% 34%  
49 5% 27%  
50 4% 22%  
51 4% 18%  
52 4% 13%  
53 2% 10%  
54 2% 7%  
55 2% 5%  
56 1.2% 4%  
57 0.8% 2%  
58 0.4% 2%  
59 0.4% 1.3%  
60 0.3% 0.9%  
61 0.2% 0.6%  
62 0.1% 0.4%  
63 0.1% 0.2%  
64 0.1% 0.1%  
65 0% 0.1%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0% 100%  
27 0.1% 99.9%  
28 0.3% 99.8%  
29 0.4% 99.6%  
30 0.9% 99.2%  
31 1.3% 98%  
32 2% 97%  
33 3% 95%  
34 3% 92%  
35 4% 89%  
36 7% 85%  
37 7% 78%  
38 6% 71%  
39 8% 65%  
40 7% 57% Median
41 10% 50%  
42 6% 40%  
43 5% 34%  
44 7% 28%  
45 4% 21%  
46 4% 18% Last Result
47 4% 13%  
48 3% 9%  
49 2% 7%  
50 1.4% 5%  
51 1.0% 3%  
52 0.7% 2%  
53 0.4% 1.5%  
54 0.4% 1.0%  
55 0.2% 0.6%  
56 0.1% 0.4%  
57 0.1% 0.2%  
58 0.1% 0.2%  
59 0% 0.1%  
60 0% 0.1%  
61 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 507 100% 492–523 489–534 485–546 479–554
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 458 100% 444–475 440–485 436–492 429–505
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 405 100% 391–422 387–431 383–438 376–452
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 386 99.8% 372–404 368–411 364–417 357–431
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 380 98% 364–396 359–404 356–409 349–420
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 358 62% 343–375 338–381 335–387 327–398
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Die Linke 289 351 38% 334–366 328–371 322–374 311–382
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 327 3% 312–343 308–349 304–355 297–368
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 220 308 0.1% 293–324 289–330 285–335 279–347
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 278 0% 264–294 260–299 256–305 250–315
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 279 0% 264–294 260–299 256–304 250–314
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 259 0% 246–274 241–280 238–284 231–294
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 225 0% 206–238 196–243 187–246 175–253

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
466 0% 100% Last Result
467 0% 100%  
468 0% 100%  
469 0% 100%  
470 0% 100%  
471 0% 100%  
472 0% 99.9%  
473 0% 99.9%  
474 0% 99.9%  
475 0% 99.9%  
476 0.1% 99.8%  
477 0.1% 99.7%  
478 0.1% 99.6%  
479 0.1% 99.5%  
480 0.2% 99.4%  
481 0.2% 99.2%  
482 0.3% 99.0%  
483 0.4% 98.7%  
484 0.6% 98%  
485 0.4% 98%  
486 0.6% 97%  
487 0.7% 97%  
488 0.8% 96%  
489 1.0% 95%  
490 1.0% 94%  
491 1.4% 93%  
492 2% 92%  
493 1.4% 90%  
494 2% 88%  
495 3% 86%  
496 3% 83%  
497 2% 80%  
498 3% 78%  
499 3% 75%  
500 3% 72%  
501 3% 69%  
502 3% 66%  
503 3% 63%  
504 2% 60%  
505 3% 57%  
506 4% 54% Median
507 3% 50%  
508 3% 47%  
509 4% 44%  
510 3% 40%  
511 4% 37%  
512 4% 33%  
513 3% 29%  
514 3% 26%  
515 3% 22%  
516 2% 19%  
517 2% 17%  
518 1.3% 16%  
519 2% 14%  
520 0.9% 13%  
521 0.8% 12%  
522 0.8% 11%  
523 0.5% 10%  
524 0.4% 10%  
525 0.6% 9%  
526 0.5% 9%  
527 0.3% 8%  
528 0.6% 8%  
529 0.4% 8%  
530 0.4% 7%  
531 0.5% 7%  
532 0.7% 6%  
533 0.5% 6%  
534 0.3% 5%  
535 0.2% 5%  
536 0.2% 5%  
537 0.1% 4%  
538 0.2% 4%  
539 0.3% 4%  
540 0.2% 4%  
541 0.1% 3%  
542 0.2% 3%  
543 0.2% 3%  
544 0.2% 3%  
545 0.2% 3%  
546 0.3% 3%  
547 0.3% 2%  
548 0.4% 2%  
549 0.3% 2%  
550 0.2% 1.3%  
551 0.2% 1.1%  
552 0.2% 0.8%  
553 0.1% 0.7%  
554 0.1% 0.6%  
555 0.1% 0.5%  
556 0.1% 0.4%  
557 0.1% 0.3%  
558 0.1% 0.2%  
559 0% 0.2%  
560 0% 0.1%  
561 0% 0.1%  
562 0% 0.1%  
563 0% 0.1%  
564 0% 0.1%  
565 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 99.9%  
423 0% 99.9%  
424 0% 99.9%  
425 0% 99.9%  
426 0.1% 99.8%  
427 0% 99.7%  
428 0.1% 99.7%  
429 0.1% 99.6%  
430 0.2% 99.5%  
431 0.2% 99.3%  
432 0.3% 99.1%  
433 0.4% 98.8%  
434 0.5% 98%  
435 0.4% 98%  
436 0.6% 98%  
437 0.6% 97%  
438 0.5% 96%  
439 0.7% 96%  
440 0.8% 95%  
441 0.7% 94%  
442 1.0% 94%  
443 1.2% 93%  
444 2% 91%  
445 2% 90%  
446 2% 87%  
447 2% 85%  
448 2% 82%  
449 2% 80%  
450 2% 78%  
451 3% 76%  
452 2% 73%  
453 3% 71%  
454 2% 68%  
455 5% 66%  
456 5% 61%  
457 3% 56%  
458 6% 53% Median
459 5% 47%  
460 2% 42%  
461 4% 40%  
462 2% 36%  
463 2% 34%  
464 2% 32%  
465 3% 30%  
466 3% 27%  
467 2% 25%  
468 3% 23%  
469 3% 20%  
470 1.5% 17%  
471 2% 16%  
472 2% 14%  
473 0.6% 12%  
474 0.7% 11%  
475 0.8% 11%  
476 0.3% 10%  
477 0.6% 10%  
478 0.9% 9%  
479 0.4% 8% Last Result
480 0.7% 8%  
481 0.7% 7%  
482 0.4% 6%  
483 0.3% 6%  
484 0.5% 6%  
485 0.5% 5%  
486 0.3% 5%  
487 0.3% 4%  
488 0.2% 4%  
489 0.6% 4%  
490 0.4% 3%  
491 0.1% 3%  
492 0.5% 3%  
493 0.5% 2%  
494 0.2% 2%  
495 0.1% 2%  
496 0.2% 2%  
497 0.1% 1.4%  
498 0.2% 1.4%  
499 0% 1.2%  
500 0.1% 1.1%  
501 0.3% 1.1%  
502 0.1% 0.8%  
503 0.1% 0.7%  
504 0.2% 0.7%  
505 0.1% 0.5%  
506 0% 0.4%  
507 0.1% 0.4%  
508 0.1% 0.3%  
509 0% 0.2%  
510 0% 0.2%  
511 0.1% 0.1%  
512 0% 0.1%  
513 0% 0.1%  
514 0% 0.1%  
515 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 99.9%  
370 0% 99.9%  
371 0% 99.9%  
372 0% 99.9%  
373 0% 99.8%  
374 0.1% 99.8%  
375 0.2% 99.7%  
376 0.1% 99.6%  
377 0.2% 99.4%  
378 0.2% 99.3%  
379 0.3% 99.1%  
380 0.3% 98.8%  
381 0.4% 98%  
382 0.5% 98%  
383 0.4% 98%  
384 0.5% 97%  
385 0.5% 97%  
386 0.8% 96%  
387 0.9% 95%  
388 1.0% 95%  
389 1.4% 94%  
390 2% 92%  
391 1.4% 91%  
392 2% 89%  
393 3% 87% Last Result
394 2% 84%  
395 2% 82%  
396 1.3% 81%  
397 2% 79%  
398 3% 78%  
399 2% 75%  
400 3% 73%  
401 5% 70%  
402 6% 66%  
403 5% 60%  
404 3% 54%  
405 3% 51% Median
406 4% 49%  
407 3% 45%  
408 3% 42%  
409 2% 38%  
410 2% 36%  
411 3% 34%  
412 3% 31%  
413 3% 28%  
414 2% 26%  
415 2% 24%  
416 3% 22%  
417 2% 20%  
418 3% 18%  
419 2% 15%  
420 1.3% 13%  
421 1.0% 12%  
422 1.1% 11%  
423 0.6% 10%  
424 0.8% 9%  
425 0.6% 8%  
426 0.6% 8%  
427 0.6% 7%  
428 0.6% 6%  
429 0.4% 6%  
430 0.3% 5%  
431 0.4% 5%  
432 0.5% 5%  
433 0.4% 4%  
434 0.4% 4%  
435 0.2% 3%  
436 0.4% 3%  
437 0.2% 3%  
438 0.2% 3%  
439 0.1% 2%  
440 0.3% 2%  
441 0.2% 2%  
442 0.2% 2%  
443 0.1% 2%  
444 0.1% 1.4%  
445 0.1% 1.4%  
446 0.1% 1.2%  
447 0.1% 1.1%  
448 0.1% 1.0%  
449 0.1% 0.9%  
450 0.2% 0.8%  
451 0.1% 0.6%  
452 0.2% 0.5%  
453 0.1% 0.4%  
454 0.1% 0.2%  
455 0% 0.2%  
456 0% 0.1%  
457 0% 0.1%  
458 0% 0.1%  
459 0% 0.1%  
460 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
300 0% 100% Last Result
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 99.9%  
351 0% 99.9%  
352 0% 99.9%  
353 0% 99.8%  
354 0.1% 99.8%  
355 0.1% 99.8% Majority
356 0.1% 99.7%  
357 0.1% 99.5%  
358 0.1% 99.5%  
359 0.2% 99.3%  
360 0.4% 99.2%  
361 0.3% 98.8%  
362 0.2% 98.5%  
363 0.5% 98%  
364 0.5% 98%  
365 0.7% 97%  
366 0.6% 97%  
367 0.6% 96%  
368 1.0% 95%  
369 1.1% 94%  
370 1.2% 93%  
371 1.2% 92%  
372 2% 91%  
373 2% 89%  
374 2% 87%  
375 1.0% 85%  
376 2% 84%  
377 3% 81%  
378 3% 78%  
379 3% 75%  
380 2% 72%  
381 2% 70%  
382 5% 67%  
383 3% 62%  
384 2% 59%  
385 3% 57%  
386 4% 54% Median
387 4% 50%  
388 3% 45%  
389 2% 43%  
390 3% 41%  
391 4% 37%  
392 3% 34%  
393 2% 31%  
394 2% 28%  
395 2% 27%  
396 3% 24%  
397 1.4% 21%  
398 1.2% 20%  
399 2% 19%  
400 2% 16%  
401 1.5% 14%  
402 0.9% 13%  
403 0.9% 12%  
404 1.2% 11%  
405 1.2% 10%  
406 0.9% 9%  
407 0.9% 8%  
408 0.6% 7%  
409 0.4% 6%  
410 0.7% 6%  
411 0.4% 5%  
412 0.4% 5%  
413 0.5% 4%  
414 0.4% 4%  
415 0.2% 4%  
416 0.3% 3%  
417 0.6% 3%  
418 0.2% 2%  
419 0.1% 2%  
420 0.1% 2%  
421 0.3% 2%  
422 0.2% 2%  
423 0.1% 2%  
424 0.1% 1.4%  
425 0.1% 1.3%  
426 0.3% 1.3%  
427 0.2% 1.0%  
428 0.1% 0.8%  
429 0.1% 0.7%  
430 0% 0.7%  
431 0.2% 0.6%  
432 0.1% 0.4%  
433 0% 0.3%  
434 0% 0.3%  
435 0% 0.2%  
436 0.1% 0.2%  
437 0% 0.1%  
438 0% 0.1%  
439 0% 0.1%  
440 0% 0.1%  
441 0% 0.1%  
442 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 99.9%  
343 0% 99.9%  
344 0% 99.9%  
345 0% 99.9%  
346 0.1% 99.8%  
347 0.1% 99.8%  
348 0.1% 99.7%  
349 0.1% 99.6%  
350 0.2% 99.5%  
351 0.3% 99.3%  
352 0.4% 99.0%  
353 0.2% 98.6%  
354 0.3% 98%  
355 0.6% 98% Majority
356 0.7% 98%  
357 0.4% 97%  
358 0.8% 96%  
359 0.9% 96%  
360 0.7% 95%  
361 0.7% 94%  
362 1.0% 93%  
363 1.4% 92%  
364 1.2% 91%  
365 1.3% 90%  
366 1.5% 88%  
367 2% 87%  
368 2% 85%  
369 3% 83%  
370 2% 81%  
371 2% 79%  
372 4% 77%  
373 3% 73%  
374 3% 70%  
375 3% 68%  
376 6% 65%  
377 3% 59%  
378 4% 57%  
379 3% 53% Median
380 6% 50%  
381 2% 44%  
382 3% 42%  
383 2% 38%  
384 5% 36%  
385 3% 31%  
386 2% 28%  
387 3% 26%  
388 3% 23%  
389 2% 20%  
390 0.8% 18%  
391 2% 17%  
392 1.5% 16%  
393 1.1% 14%  
394 1.0% 13%  
395 1.3% 12%  
396 0.8% 11%  
397 0.9% 10%  
398 0.6% 9%  
399 1.0% 8% Last Result
400 0.6% 7%  
401 0.9% 7%  
402 0.4% 6%  
403 0.5% 6%  
404 0.6% 5%  
405 0.8% 4%  
406 0.3% 4%  
407 0.3% 3%  
408 0.5% 3%  
409 0.3% 3%  
410 0.2% 2%  
411 0.3% 2%  
412 0.2% 2%  
413 0.2% 1.5%  
414 0.2% 1.3%  
415 0.2% 1.1%  
416 0.1% 1.0%  
417 0.2% 0.9%  
418 0.1% 0.7%  
419 0.1% 0.6%  
420 0% 0.5%  
421 0.1% 0.5%  
422 0% 0.4%  
423 0.1% 0.3%  
424 0% 0.3%  
425 0% 0.3%  
426 0% 0.2%  
427 0% 0.2%  
428 0% 0.2%  
429 0% 0.1%  
430 0% 0.1%  
431 0% 0.1%  
432 0% 0.1%  
433 0% 0.1%  
434 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 99.9%  
321 0% 99.9%  
322 0% 99.9%  
323 0.1% 99.9%  
324 0% 99.8%  
325 0% 99.8%  
326 0.1% 99.8%  
327 0.2% 99.7%  
328 0.1% 99.5%  
329 0.1% 99.4%  
330 0.3% 99.3%  
331 0.5% 99.0%  
332 0.3% 98.6%  
333 0.1% 98%  
334 0.5% 98%  
335 0.8% 98%  
336 0.6% 97%  
337 0.3% 96%  
338 1.0% 96%  
339 2% 95%  
340 0.7% 93%  
341 0.4% 93%  
342 1.4% 92%  
343 4% 91%  
344 2% 87%  
345 1.1% 86%  
346 2% 85%  
347 3% 83%  
348 2% 80%  
349 1.3% 77%  
350 2% 76%  
351 5% 74%  
352 3% 69%  
353 1.1% 66%  
354 3% 65%  
355 5% 62% Majority
356 4% 56%  
357 2% 53%  
358 4% 51% Median
359 5% 47%  
360 3% 42%  
361 1.4% 39%  
362 3% 38%  
363 4% 35%  
364 3% 31%  
365 1.4% 28%  
366 2% 27%  
367 3% 24%  
368 2% 21%  
369 2% 19%  
370 1.5% 17%  
371 2% 16%  
372 1.1% 14%  
373 1.0% 13%  
374 1.0% 12%  
375 2% 11%  
376 0.9% 9%  
377 0.6% 8%  
378 0.7% 7%  
379 0.8% 7%  
380 0.7% 6%  
381 0.7% 5%  
382 0.3% 5%  
383 0.4% 4%  
384 0.4% 4%  
385 0.4% 3%  
386 0.3% 3%  
387 0.4% 3%  
388 0.2% 2%  
389 0.2% 2%  
390 0.1% 2%  
391 0.2% 2%  
392 0.4% 2%  
393 0.1% 1.2%  
394 0.1% 1.1%  
395 0.1% 1.0%  
396 0.1% 0.9%  
397 0.2% 0.7%  
398 0% 0.5%  
399 0% 0.5%  
400 0.1% 0.4%  
401 0.1% 0.4%  
402 0% 0.3%  
403 0.1% 0.3%  
404 0% 0.2%  
405 0% 0.2%  
406 0% 0.1%  
407 0% 0.1%  
408 0% 0.1%  
409 0% 0.1%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 99.9%  
302 0% 99.9%  
303 0% 99.9%  
304 0% 99.9%  
305 0% 99.8%  
306 0.1% 99.8%  
307 0% 99.7%  
308 0.1% 99.7%  
309 0.1% 99.6%  
310 0% 99.6%  
311 0% 99.5%  
312 0.2% 99.5%  
313 0.1% 99.3%  
314 0.1% 99.1%  
315 0.1% 99.0%  
316 0.1% 98.9%  
317 0.4% 98.8%  
318 0.2% 98%  
319 0.1% 98%  
320 0.2% 98%  
321 0.2% 98%  
322 0.4% 98%  
323 0.3% 97%  
324 0.4% 97%  
325 0.4% 97%  
326 0.4% 96%  
327 0.3% 96%  
328 0.7% 95%  
329 0.7% 95%  
330 0.8% 94%  
331 0.7% 93%  
332 0.6% 93%  
333 0.9% 92%  
334 2% 91%  
335 1.0% 89%  
336 1.0% 88%  
337 1.1% 87%  
338 2% 86%  
339 1.5% 84%  
340 2% 83%  
341 2% 81%  
342 3% 79%  
343 2% 76%  
344 1.4% 73%  
345 3% 72%  
346 4% 69%  
347 3% 65%  
348 1.4% 62%  
349 3% 61%  
350 5% 58%  
351 4% 53%  
352 2% 49% Median
353 4% 47%  
354 5% 44%  
355 3% 38% Majority
356 1.1% 35%  
357 3% 34%  
358 5% 31%  
359 2% 26%  
360 1.3% 24%  
361 2% 23%  
362 3% 20%  
363 2% 17%  
364 1.1% 15%  
365 2% 14%  
366 4% 13%  
367 1.4% 9%  
368 0.4% 8%  
369 0.7% 7%  
370 2% 7%  
371 1.0% 5%  
372 0.3% 4%  
373 0.6% 4%  
374 0.8% 3%  
375 0.5% 2%  
376 0.1% 2%  
377 0.3% 2%  
378 0.5% 1.4%  
379 0.3% 1.0%  
380 0.1% 0.7%  
381 0.1% 0.6%  
382 0.2% 0.5%  
383 0.1% 0.3%  
384 0% 0.2%  
385 0% 0.2%  
386 0.1% 0.2%  
387 0% 0.1%  
388 0% 0.1%  
389 0% 0.1%  
390 0% 0.1%  
391 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 99.9%  
291 0% 99.9%  
292 0% 99.9%  
293 0.1% 99.9%  
294 0% 99.8%  
295 0.1% 99.8%  
296 0.1% 99.7%  
297 0.1% 99.6%  
298 0.2% 99.5%  
299 0.2% 99.3%  
300 0.2% 99.1%  
301 0.3% 98.9%  
302 0.3% 98.6%  
303 0.4% 98%  
304 0.6% 98%  
305 0.6% 97%  
306 0.6% 97%  
307 0.8% 96%  
308 1.2% 95%  
309 0.9% 94%  
310 1.2% 93%  
311 1.0% 92%  
312 2% 91%  
313 1.3% 89% Last Result
314 2% 88%  
315 2% 85%  
316 2% 84%  
317 3% 82%  
318 3% 79%  
319 4% 76%  
320 3% 72%  
321 2% 69%  
322 2% 67%  
323 5% 65%  
324 2% 60%  
325 5% 58%  
326 2% 53% Median
327 6% 52%  
328 2% 46%  
329 5% 44%  
330 3% 39%  
331 3% 36%  
332 3% 33%  
333 2% 30%  
334 4% 28%  
335 2% 24%  
336 2% 23%  
337 1.4% 20%  
338 3% 19%  
339 1.0% 16%  
340 2% 15%  
341 0.7% 13%  
342 1.5% 12%  
343 1.0% 10%  
344 1.3% 10%  
345 0.6% 8%  
346 0.9% 8%  
347 0.6% 7%  
348 0.5% 6%  
349 0.6% 6%  
350 0.4% 5%  
351 0.6% 4%  
352 0.4% 4%  
353 0.5% 3%  
354 0.2% 3%  
355 0.4% 3% Majority
356 0.2% 2%  
357 0.3% 2%  
358 0.1% 2%  
359 0.2% 2%  
360 0.1% 1.5%  
361 0.2% 1.4%  
362 0% 1.1%  
363 0.2% 1.1%  
364 0.1% 0.9%  
365 0.1% 0.8%  
366 0.2% 0.8%  
367 0.1% 0.6%  
368 0.1% 0.5%  
369 0.1% 0.4%  
370 0.1% 0.3%  
371 0% 0.2%  
372 0% 0.2%  
373 0.1% 0.1%  
374 0% 0.1%  
375 0% 0.1%  
376 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 99.9%  
273 0% 99.9%  
274 0% 99.9%  
275 0.1% 99.8%  
276 0.1% 99.8%  
277 0.1% 99.7%  
278 0.1% 99.6%  
279 0.2% 99.5%  
280 0.2% 99.4%  
281 0.2% 99.2%  
282 0.3% 99.0%  
283 0.4% 98.7%  
284 0.4% 98%  
285 0.6% 98%  
286 0.6% 97%  
287 0.7% 97%  
288 0.9% 96%  
289 1.0% 95%  
290 1.2% 94%  
291 1.3% 93%  
292 1.3% 92%  
293 1.3% 90%  
294 2% 89%  
295 3% 87%  
296 2% 85%  
297 2% 83%  
298 2% 81%  
299 3% 78%  
300 2% 75%  
301 3% 73%  
302 3% 70%  
303 4% 67%  
304 3% 63%  
305 3% 60%  
306 3% 56%  
307 4% 54% Median
308 3% 50%  
309 3% 47%  
310 3% 44%  
311 4% 41%  
312 3% 37%  
313 3% 34%  
314 3% 31%  
315 3% 28%  
316 2% 25%  
317 3% 23%  
318 2% 20%  
319 2% 19%  
320 2% 17%  
321 2% 15%  
322 1.2% 13%  
323 2% 12%  
324 1.1% 10%  
325 0.9% 9%  
326 0.7% 8%  
327 0.8% 8%  
328 1.0% 7%  
329 0.7% 6%  
330 0.5% 5%  
331 0.6% 5%  
332 0.5% 4%  
333 0.3% 4%  
334 0.3% 3%  
335 0.5% 3%  
336 0.4% 2%  
337 0.1% 2%  
338 0.2% 2%  
339 0.4% 2%  
340 0.3% 1.4%  
341 0.1% 1.1%  
342 0.1% 1.0%  
343 0.2% 0.9%  
344 0.1% 0.8%  
345 0% 0.6%  
346 0.1% 0.6%  
347 0.2% 0.5%  
348 0.1% 0.3%  
349 0% 0.3%  
350 0% 0.3%  
351 0.1% 0.2%  
352 0% 0.1%  
353 0% 0.1%  
354 0% 0.1%  
355 0% 0.1% Majority
356 0% 0.1%  
357 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 99.9%  
244 0% 99.9%  
245 0% 99.9%  
246 0% 99.9%  
247 0.1% 99.8%  
248 0.1% 99.7%  
249 0.1% 99.6%  
250 0.1% 99.5%  
251 0.2% 99.4%  
252 0.2% 99.2%  
253 0.4% 99.0%  
254 0.4% 98.7%  
255 0.5% 98%  
256 0.4% 98%  
257 0.6% 97%  
258 0.7% 97%  
259 0.7% 96%  
260 1.1% 95%  
261 1.3% 94%  
262 0.7% 93%  
263 2% 92%  
264 1.2% 90%  
265 2% 89%  
266 1.2% 87%  
267 3% 86%  
268 2% 83%  
269 4% 81%  
270 2% 78%  
271 4% 76%  
272 2% 72%  
273 4% 70%  
274 2% 66%  
275 5% 64%  
276 2% 59%  
277 5% 57%  
278 3% 52% Median
279 4% 49%  
280 2% 45%  
281 4% 43%  
282 2% 38%  
283 4% 36%  
284 2% 32%  
285 3% 30%  
286 2% 27%  
287 3% 26%  
288 2% 22%  
289 2% 20%  
290 1.5% 18%  
291 3% 17%  
292 0.7% 14%  
293 2% 13%  
294 1.0% 11%  
295 1.5% 10%  
296 1.3% 8%  
297 1.0% 7%  
298 0.6% 6%  
299 0.7% 6%  
300 0.4% 5%  
301 0.7% 4%  
302 0.3% 4%  
303 0.5% 3%  
304 0.2% 3%  
305 0.5% 3%  
306 0.3% 2%  
307 0.3% 2%  
308 0.3% 2%  
309 0.1% 1.3%  
310 0.2% 1.2%  
311 0.2% 1.0%  
312 0.1% 0.8%  
313 0.1% 0.7%  
314 0.1% 0.6%  
315 0.1% 0.5%  
316 0% 0.4%  
317 0.1% 0.4%  
318 0% 0.3%  
319 0.1% 0.2%  
320 0% 0.2%  
321 0% 0.2%  
322 0% 0.1%  
323 0% 0.1%  
324 0% 0.1%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 99.9%  
244 0% 99.9%  
245 0% 99.9%  
246 0.1% 99.9%  
247 0.1% 99.8%  
248 0.1% 99.7%  
249 0.1% 99.7%  
250 0.1% 99.5%  
251 0.2% 99.4%  
252 0.2% 99.2%  
253 0.2% 99.0%  
254 0.4% 98.7%  
255 0.2% 98%  
256 0.8% 98%  
257 0.7% 97%  
258 0.8% 97%  
259 0.7% 96%  
260 1.1% 95%  
261 1.2% 94%  
262 1.1% 93%  
263 1.2% 92%  
264 1.3% 91%  
265 1.4% 89%  
266 3% 88%  
267 2% 85%  
268 2% 83%  
269 2% 81%  
270 3% 79%  
271 3% 76%  
272 3% 73%  
273 3% 71%  
274 4% 68%  
275 4% 64%  
276 3% 60%  
277 4% 57%  
278 3% 53%  
279 3% 51% Median
280 5% 48%  
281 3% 43%  
282 4% 40%  
283 4% 37%  
284 3% 33%  
285 3% 30%  
286 2% 27%  
287 3% 24%  
288 1.2% 22%  
289 3% 21%  
290 1.5% 17%  
291 2% 16%  
292 2% 14%  
293 1.5% 13%  
294 2% 11%  
295 0.8% 10%  
296 1.2% 9%  
297 0.9% 8%  
298 1.0% 7%  
299 0.8% 6%  
300 0.5% 5%  
301 0.4% 4%  
302 0.8% 4%  
303 0.4% 3%  
304 0.4% 3%  
305 0.3% 2%  
306 0.2% 2%  
307 0.3% 2%  
308 0.2% 1.5%  
309 0.2% 1.3%  
310 0.2% 1.2%  
311 0.1% 0.9%  
312 0.2% 0.8%  
313 0.1% 0.6%  
314 0.1% 0.5%  
315 0% 0.5%  
316 0.1% 0.4%  
317 0.1% 0.4%  
318 0.1% 0.3%  
319 0% 0.2%  
320 0% 0.2%  
321 0% 0.1%  
322 0% 0.1%  
323 0% 0.1%  
324 0% 0.1%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0%  
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 99.9%  
226 0.1% 99.9%  
227 0% 99.9%  
228 0% 99.8%  
229 0.1% 99.8%  
230 0.1% 99.7%  
231 0.1% 99.6%  
232 0.2% 99.5%  
233 0.2% 99.3% Last Result
234 0.3% 99.1%  
235 0.3% 98.7%  
236 0.4% 98%  
237 0.4% 98%  
238 0.5% 98%  
239 0.5% 97%  
240 0.7% 97%  
241 1.0% 96%  
242 1.2% 95%  
243 1.0% 94%  
244 1.3% 93%  
245 1.2% 92%  
246 2% 90%  
247 2% 89%  
248 2% 87%  
249 3% 85%  
250 3% 82%  
251 2% 80%  
252 4% 77%  
253 3% 73%  
254 3% 70%  
255 3% 68%  
256 4% 65%  
257 5% 61%  
258 2% 56%  
259 6% 53% Median
260 2% 47%  
261 4% 45%  
262 3% 41%  
263 3% 38%  
264 3% 35%  
265 2% 32%  
266 3% 29%  
267 3% 26%  
268 2% 23%  
269 2% 21%  
270 2% 19%  
271 2% 17%  
272 2% 15%  
273 2% 13%  
274 2% 12%  
275 1.3% 10%  
276 1.0% 9%  
277 0.7% 8%  
278 0.6% 7%  
279 0.8% 6%  
280 0.8% 6%  
281 0.9% 5%  
282 0.6% 4%  
283 0.4% 3%  
284 0.4% 3%  
285 0.4% 2%  
286 0.2% 2%  
287 0.2% 2%  
288 0.1% 2%  
289 0.2% 2%  
290 0.2% 1.3%  
291 0.3% 1.1%  
292 0.1% 0.9%  
293 0.2% 0.8%  
294 0.1% 0.6%  
295 0.1% 0.5%  
296 0.1% 0.4%  
297 0% 0.4%  
298 0% 0.3%  
299 0% 0.3%  
300 0.1% 0.2%  
301 0% 0.2%  
302 0% 0.2%  
303 0% 0.1%  
304 0% 0.1%  
305 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 99.9%  
169 0% 99.9%  
170 0% 99.9%  
171 0.1% 99.9%  
172 0.1% 99.8%  
173 0.1% 99.7%  
174 0.1% 99.6%  
175 0.1% 99.6%  
176 0.1% 99.5%  
177 0.2% 99.4%  
178 0.2% 99.3%  
179 0.1% 99.1%  
180 0.1% 99.0%  
181 0.1% 98.8%  
182 0.1% 98.8%  
183 0.1% 98.7%  
184 0.3% 98.6%  
185 0.2% 98%  
186 0.4% 98%  
187 0.4% 98%  
188 0.1% 97%  
189 0.1% 97%  
190 0.1% 97%  
191 0.3% 97%  
192 0.3% 97%  
193 0.5% 96%  
194 0.4% 96%  
195 0.4% 96%  
196 0.3% 95%  
197 0.4% 95%  
198 0.5% 94%  
199 0.5% 94%  
200 0.4% 93%  
201 0.3% 93%  
202 0.4% 93%  
203 0.5% 92%  
204 0.4% 92%  
205 0.8% 91%  
206 0.9% 91%  
207 0.6% 90%  
208 0.9% 89%  
209 1.3% 88%  
210 0.8% 87%  
211 1.2% 86%  
212 1.1% 85%  
213 0.9% 84%  
214 2% 83%  
215 2% 81%  
216 3% 79%  
217 2% 77%  
218 3% 75%  
219 2% 72%  
220 3% 70%  
221 5% 68%  
222 4% 63% Last Result
223 5% 59%  
224 3% 54%  
225 4% 51% Median
226 4% 47%  
227 5% 43%  
228 4% 38%  
229 4% 33%  
230 3% 29%  
231 3% 26%  
232 3% 23%  
233 3% 20%  
234 2% 18%  
235 2% 16%  
236 2% 13%  
237 1.5% 12%  
238 1.1% 10%  
239 1.2% 9%  
240 1.1% 8%  
241 0.7% 7%  
242 0.8% 6%  
243 0.8% 5%  
244 0.8% 4%  
245 0.5% 4%  
246 0.6% 3%  
247 0.4% 2%  
248 0.4% 2%  
249 0.4% 2%  
250 0.2% 1.2%  
251 0.3% 1.0%  
252 0.2% 0.7%  
253 0.1% 0.5%  
254 0.1% 0.4%  
255 0.1% 0.3%  
256 0.1% 0.2%  
257 0% 0.1%  
258 0% 0.1%  
259 0% 0.1%  
260 0% 0.1%  
261 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations