Opinion Poll by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, 24–26 August 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 22.0% 20.4–23.8% 19.9–24.3% 19.5–24.8% 18.7–25.7%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 20.0% 18.4–21.8% 18.0–22.3% 17.6–22.7% 16.9–23.5%
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 17.9% 16.4–19.6% 16.0–20.1% 15.6–20.5% 14.9–21.3%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 11.0% 9.8–12.4% 9.4–12.8% 9.1–13.1% 8.6–13.8%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 10.0% 8.9–11.4% 8.5–11.8% 8.3–12.1% 7.7–12.8%
Die Linke 9.2% 6.0% 5.1–7.1% 4.9–7.4% 4.7–7.7% 4.3–8.3%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 4.1% 3.4–5.1% 3.2–5.3% 3.0–5.6% 2.7–6.1%
Freie Wähler 0.0% 3.0% 2.3–3.8% 2.2–4.0% 2.0–4.2% 1.8–4.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 171 157–184 154–190 152–194 145–203
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 156 142–169 139–174 136–177 130–184
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 139 127–152 124–155 121–159 115–165
Alternative für Deutschland 94 85 76–96 73–99 71–103 66–108
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 78 69–88 66–91 64–95 59–99
Die Linke 69 47 40–55 0–57 0–59 0–64
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 36 29–42 28–44 27–46 24–50
Freie Wähler 0 0 0 0 0 0

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 99.9%  
139 0% 99.9%  
140 0% 99.9%  
141 0.1% 99.9%  
142 0.1% 99.8%  
143 0.1% 99.7%  
144 0.1% 99.6%  
145 0.2% 99.6%  
146 0.2% 99.4%  
147 0.1% 99.2%  
148 0.3% 99.1%  
149 0.2% 98.9%  
150 0.5% 98.7%  
151 0.3% 98%  
152 1.3% 98%  
153 0.2% 97% Last Result
154 3% 96%  
155 0.5% 94%  
156 3% 93%  
157 3% 91%  
158 3% 88%  
159 4% 85%  
160 6% 82%  
161 2% 76%  
162 2% 74%  
163 3% 72%  
164 2% 69%  
165 4% 66%  
166 1.0% 62%  
167 3% 61%  
168 1.1% 58%  
169 5% 57%  
170 2% 52%  
171 2% 50% Median
172 3% 48%  
173 4% 45%  
174 4% 42%  
175 4% 37%  
176 3% 33%  
177 4% 30%  
178 7% 26%  
179 2% 18%  
180 2% 17%  
181 1.4% 15%  
182 2% 13%  
183 0.9% 12%  
184 1.2% 11%  
185 0.5% 9%  
186 0.9% 9%  
187 0.6% 8%  
188 2% 7%  
189 0.4% 6%  
190 0.9% 5%  
191 0.4% 4%  
192 0.9% 4%  
193 0.5% 3%  
194 0.2% 3%  
195 0.8% 2%  
196 0.1% 2%  
197 0.4% 2%  
198 0.1% 1.2%  
199 0.2% 1.1%  
200 0.1% 0.9%  
201 0.1% 0.7%  
202 0% 0.6%  
203 0.2% 0.6%  
204 0% 0.3%  
205 0.1% 0.3%  
206 0% 0.2%  
207 0.1% 0.2%  
208 0% 0.1%  
209 0% 0.1%  
210 0% 0.1%  
211 0% 0.1%  
212 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 99.9%  
126 0.1% 99.9%  
127 0% 99.9%  
128 0.1% 99.8%  
129 0.1% 99.8%  
130 0.2% 99.6%  
131 0.1% 99.4%  
132 0.4% 99.3%  
133 0.3% 98.9%  
134 0.3% 98.6%  
135 0.5% 98%  
136 0.7% 98%  
137 0.3% 97%  
138 1.4% 97%  
139 1.4% 95%  
140 0.8% 94%  
141 2% 93%  
142 3% 91%  
143 1.4% 88%  
144 3% 87%  
145 2% 84%  
146 1.1% 81%  
147 3% 80%  
148 2% 77%  
149 3% 76%  
150 3% 73%  
151 4% 70%  
152 2% 66%  
153 7% 65%  
154 5% 57%  
155 1.3% 52%  
156 7% 51% Median
157 3% 44%  
158 1.3% 41%  
159 4% 40%  
160 2% 35%  
161 2% 34%  
162 4% 32%  
163 5% 28%  
164 1.3% 23%  
165 5% 22%  
166 2% 17%  
167 1.3% 14%  
168 2% 13%  
169 2% 11%  
170 0.6% 10%  
171 1.1% 9%  
172 0.8% 8%  
173 0.5% 7%  
174 2% 6%  
175 1.1% 5%  
176 0.5% 3%  
177 0.8% 3%  
178 0.7% 2%  
179 0.1% 1.5%  
180 0.3% 1.4%  
181 0.3% 1.1%  
182 0.1% 0.8%  
183 0.2% 0.7%  
184 0.1% 0.5%  
185 0.1% 0.5%  
186 0.1% 0.3%  
187 0% 0.2%  
188 0% 0.2%  
189 0% 0.2%  
190 0% 0.1%  
191 0% 0.1%  
192 0% 0.1%  
193 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
110 0% 100%  
111 0.1% 99.9%  
112 0.1% 99.9%  
113 0.1% 99.8%  
114 0.1% 99.7%  
115 0.2% 99.5%  
116 0.2% 99.3%  
117 0.2% 99.1%  
118 0.6% 98.9%  
119 0.1% 98%  
120 0.5% 98%  
121 0.6% 98%  
122 0.4% 97%  
123 0.9% 97%  
124 1.2% 96%  
125 1.2% 95%  
126 3% 93%  
127 3% 90%  
128 0.6% 88%  
129 2% 87%  
130 4% 85%  
131 1.4% 81%  
132 5% 80%  
133 4% 75%  
134 3% 71%  
135 4% 68%  
136 6% 64%  
137 2% 57%  
138 2% 55%  
139 6% 53% Median
140 7% 47%  
141 3% 40%  
142 3% 37%  
143 3% 34%  
144 3% 31%  
145 2% 28%  
146 3% 26%  
147 2% 24%  
148 2% 22%  
149 4% 19%  
150 3% 16%  
151 2% 13%  
152 2% 11%  
153 2% 9%  
154 1.1% 7%  
155 2% 6%  
156 0.4% 5%  
157 1.0% 4%  
158 0.4% 3%  
159 0.6% 3%  
160 0.2% 2%  
161 0.3% 2%  
162 0.6% 2%  
163 0.2% 1.2%  
164 0.3% 1.0%  
165 0.3% 0.7%  
166 0% 0.5%  
167 0.1% 0.4%  
168 0% 0.3%  
169 0.1% 0.3%  
170 0% 0.2%  
171 0% 0.2%  
172 0% 0.1%  
173 0% 0.1%  
174 0% 0.1%  
175 0% 0.1%  
176 0% 0%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0% Last Result

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 99.9%  
64 0.1% 99.9%  
65 0.1% 99.8%  
66 0.3% 99.7%  
67 0.3% 99.4%  
68 0.5% 99.1%  
69 0.5% 98.7%  
70 0.6% 98%  
71 0.5% 98%  
72 1.3% 97%  
73 2% 96%  
74 2% 94%  
75 2% 92%  
76 4% 90%  
77 4% 86%  
78 3% 82%  
79 6% 79%  
80 5% 73%  
81 3% 69%  
82 3% 66%  
83 4% 63%  
84 8% 59%  
85 6% 51% Median
86 5% 45%  
87 6% 40%  
88 2% 34%  
89 2% 32%  
90 4% 30%  
91 3% 26%  
92 4% 22%  
93 3% 19%  
94 2% 16% Last Result
95 3% 14%  
96 1.3% 11%  
97 2% 9%  
98 2% 7%  
99 0.8% 5%  
100 1.0% 5%  
101 0.5% 4%  
102 0.4% 3%  
103 1.0% 3%  
104 0.5% 2%  
105 0.2% 1.2%  
106 0.3% 1.0%  
107 0.1% 0.6%  
108 0.1% 0.5%  
109 0.1% 0.4%  
110 0.1% 0.3%  
111 0.1% 0.2%  
112 0% 0.1%  
113 0% 0.1%  
114 0% 0.1%  
115 0% 0.1%  
116 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0% 100%  
57 0.1% 99.9%  
58 0.1% 99.8%  
59 0.4% 99.7%  
60 0.3% 99.4%  
61 0.3% 99.1%  
62 0.4% 98.8%  
63 0.3% 98%  
64 1.1% 98%  
65 1.4% 97%  
66 0.9% 96%  
67 2% 95%  
68 2% 92%  
69 3% 90%  
70 2% 87%  
71 3% 85%  
72 4% 82%  
73 3% 77%  
74 4% 74%  
75 4% 70%  
76 4% 66%  
77 12% 63%  
78 7% 51% Median
79 4% 44%  
80 6% 40% Last Result
81 3% 34%  
82 4% 31%  
83 4% 27%  
84 3% 23%  
85 5% 20%  
86 3% 15%  
87 1.2% 12%  
88 2% 11%  
89 0.9% 9%  
90 1.4% 8%  
91 2% 6%  
92 0.4% 4%  
93 0.7% 4%  
94 0.5% 3%  
95 0.9% 3%  
96 0.5% 2%  
97 0.3% 1.3%  
98 0.3% 1.0%  
99 0.2% 0.7%  
100 0.1% 0.5%  
101 0.1% 0.4%  
102 0% 0.3%  
103 0.1% 0.3%  
104 0.1% 0.1%  
105 0% 0.1%  
106 0% 0.1%  
107 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 7% 100%  
1 0% 93%  
2 0% 93%  
3 0% 93%  
4 0% 93%  
5 0% 93%  
6 0% 93%  
7 0% 93%  
8 0% 93%  
9 0% 93%  
10 0% 93%  
11 0% 93%  
12 0% 93%  
13 0% 93%  
14 0% 93%  
15 0% 93%  
16 0% 93%  
17 0% 93%  
18 0% 93%  
19 0% 93%  
20 0% 93%  
21 0% 93%  
22 0% 93%  
23 0% 93%  
24 0% 93%  
25 0% 93%  
26 0% 93%  
27 0% 93%  
28 0% 93%  
29 0% 93%  
30 0% 93%  
31 0% 93%  
32 0% 93%  
33 0% 93%  
34 0% 93%  
35 0% 93%  
36 0% 93%  
37 0% 93%  
38 0.1% 93%  
39 1.2% 93%  
40 4% 92%  
41 6% 88%  
42 4% 82%  
43 4% 77%  
44 5% 74%  
45 9% 69%  
46 9% 60%  
47 5% 51% Median
48 4% 46%  
49 9% 42%  
50 8% 34%  
51 4% 25%  
52 2% 21%  
53 3% 19%  
54 5% 16%  
55 3% 11%  
56 2% 7%  
57 0.8% 6%  
58 1.3% 5%  
59 1.5% 4%  
60 0.7% 2%  
61 0.4% 1.4%  
62 0.2% 1.0%  
63 0.4% 0.9%  
64 0.2% 0.5%  
65 0.1% 0.3%  
66 0.1% 0.2%  
67 0% 0.1%  
68 0% 0.1%  
69 0% 0.1% Last Result
70 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.1% 100%  
23 0.1% 99.9%  
24 0.4% 99.7%  
25 0.8% 99.3%  
26 0.8% 98.6%  
27 2% 98%  
28 3% 95%  
29 4% 92%  
30 4% 88%  
31 3% 84%  
32 6% 81%  
33 8% 75%  
34 7% 67%  
35 9% 60%  
36 8% 52% Median
37 13% 44%  
38 6% 31%  
39 6% 25%  
40 4% 19%  
41 4% 15%  
42 3% 12%  
43 3% 9%  
44 1.4% 6%  
45 2% 5%  
46 0.8% 3% Last Result
47 0.9% 2%  
48 0.6% 2%  
49 0.4% 0.9%  
50 0.2% 0.6%  
51 0.2% 0.4%  
52 0.1% 0.2%  
53 0.1% 0.1%  
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0% 0.1%  
56 0% 0%  

Freie Wähler

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Wähler page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0% 0.1%  
5 0% 0.1%  
6 0% 0.1%  
7 0% 0.1%  
8 0% 0.1%  
9 0% 0.1%  
10 0% 0.1%  
11 0% 0.1%  
12 0% 0.1%  
13 0% 0.1%  
14 0% 0.1%  
15 0% 0.1%  
16 0% 0.1%  
17 0% 0.1%  
18 0% 0.1%  
19 0% 0.1%  
20 0% 0.1%  
21 0% 0.1%  
22 0% 0.1%  
23 0% 0.1%  
24 0% 0.1%  
25 0% 0.1%  
26 0% 0.1%  
27 0% 0.1%  
28 0% 0.1%  
29 0% 0.1%  
30 0% 0.1%  
31 0% 0.1%  
32 0% 0.1%  
33 0% 0.1%  
34 0% 0.1%  
35 0% 0.1%  
36 0% 0.1%  
37 0% 0.1%  
38 0% 0.1%  
39 0% 0.1%  
40 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 500 100% 485–517 480–528 477–537 471–551
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 422 100% 406–441 403–448 399–455 392–469
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 409 100% 391–423 385–431 382–443 375–456
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 403 100% 386–421 385–429 379–441 373–452
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Die Linke 289 372 89% 354–386 348–390 342–395 332–403
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 344 26% 328–362 325–367 320–373 314–388
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 337 11% 323–355 318–361 314–367 306–377
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 330 4% 315–346 309–352 306–358 299–373
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 220 326 3% 310–343 305–349 303–355 295–367
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 261 0% 245–275 241–282 238–285 230–296
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 253 0% 238–268 234–273 230–277 223–289
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 248 0% 234–265 229–271 226–277 219–287
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 216 0% 199–232 188–236 179–240 167–246

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
460 0% 100%  
461 0% 99.9%  
462 0% 99.9%  
463 0% 99.9%  
464 0% 99.9%  
465 0.1% 99.9%  
466 0% 99.8% Last Result
467 0% 99.8%  
468 0.1% 99.7%  
469 0.1% 99.7%  
470 0.1% 99.6%  
471 0.1% 99.5%  
472 0.1% 99.4%  
473 0.3% 99.3%  
474 0.4% 98.9%  
475 0.3% 98%  
476 0.3% 98%  
477 0.5% 98%  
478 1.4% 97%  
479 0.8% 96%  
480 0.3% 95%  
481 0.7% 95%  
482 0.7% 94%  
483 0.7% 94%  
484 0.8% 93%  
485 3% 92%  
486 1.2% 89%  
487 0.8% 88%  
488 2% 87%  
489 2% 85%  
490 4% 83%  
491 3% 79%  
492 3% 76%  
493 4% 73%  
494 1.2% 69%  
495 2% 68%  
496 3% 66%  
497 4% 63%  
498 4% 59%  
499 3% 55%  
500 2% 52%  
501 2% 50%  
502 5% 48% Median
503 6% 43%  
504 6% 37%  
505 4% 31%  
506 2% 28%  
507 2% 26%  
508 1.2% 23%  
509 2% 22%  
510 2% 20%  
511 1.1% 18%  
512 1.1% 17%  
513 1.0% 16%  
514 1.2% 15%  
515 0.6% 14%  
516 2% 13%  
517 2% 11%  
518 0.4% 9%  
519 0.4% 9%  
520 1.4% 8%  
521 0.4% 7%  
522 0.4% 6%  
523 0.3% 6%  
524 0.1% 6%  
525 0.1% 6%  
526 0.1% 5%  
527 0.3% 5%  
528 0.7% 5%  
529 0.3% 4%  
530 0.2% 4%  
531 0.1% 4%  
532 0.2% 4%  
533 0.1% 4%  
534 0.1% 4%  
535 0.3% 3%  
536 0.1% 3%  
537 0.9% 3%  
538 0.2% 2%  
539 0.3% 2%  
540 0.3% 2%  
541 0.1% 1.4%  
542 0.1% 1.3%  
543 0% 1.3%  
544 0.1% 1.2%  
545 0.2% 1.1%  
546 0.1% 0.9%  
547 0.2% 0.8%  
548 0.1% 0.7%  
549 0% 0.6%  
550 0% 0.5%  
551 0% 0.5%  
552 0.2% 0.5%  
553 0% 0.3%  
554 0.1% 0.3%  
555 0% 0.2%  
556 0% 0.2%  
557 0.1% 0.1%  
558 0% 0.1%  
559 0% 0.1%  
560 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 99.9%  
385 0% 99.9%  
386 0% 99.9%  
387 0% 99.9%  
388 0.1% 99.8%  
389 0.1% 99.8%  
390 0.1% 99.7%  
391 0% 99.6%  
392 0.1% 99.6%  
393 0.2% 99.4%  
394 0.3% 99.3%  
395 0.1% 99.0%  
396 0.1% 98.9%  
397 0.3% 98.8%  
398 0.8% 98%  
399 0.9% 98%  
400 0.2% 97%  
401 0.1% 97%  
402 1.0% 96%  
403 4% 95%  
404 1.1% 92%  
405 0.2% 90%  
406 0.2% 90%  
407 1.1% 90%  
408 3% 89%  
409 5% 86%  
410 0.4% 81%  
411 0.3% 81%  
412 1.3% 80%  
413 2% 79%  
414 8% 77%  
415 1.0% 69%  
416 0.7% 68%  
417 1.5% 67%  
418 3% 66%  
419 4% 63%  
420 4% 59%  
421 0.9% 55%  
422 4% 54%  
423 3% 50%  
424 2% 46% Median
425 2% 44%  
426 1.2% 42%  
427 5% 41%  
428 4% 36%  
429 2% 31%  
430 0.3% 29%  
431 0.6% 29%  
432 5% 29%  
433 4% 24%  
434 1.4% 20%  
435 0.2% 19%  
436 0.3% 18%  
437 3% 18%  
438 4% 15%  
439 1.0% 11%  
440 0.2% 10%  
441 0.5% 10%  
442 0.8% 10%  
443 1.4% 9%  
444 0.8% 8%  
445 0.2% 7%  
446 0.2% 7%  
447 0.5% 6%  
448 1.5% 6%  
449 0.5% 4%  
450 0.1% 4%  
451 0.1% 4%  
452 0.2% 4%  
453 0.5% 3%  
454 0.4% 3%  
455 0.1% 3%  
456 0% 2%  
457 0.5% 2%  
458 0.2% 2%  
459 0.2% 2%  
460 0.1% 2%  
461 0.1% 1.5%  
462 0.1% 1.3%  
463 0.1% 1.3%  
464 0.1% 1.1%  
465 0.1% 1.0%  
466 0% 0.9%  
467 0.2% 0.9%  
468 0.1% 0.6%  
469 0.1% 0.6%  
470 0% 0.4%  
471 0.1% 0.4%  
472 0.1% 0.3%  
473 0.1% 0.3%  
474 0% 0.2%  
475 0% 0.2%  
476 0% 0.2%  
477 0% 0.1%  
478 0% 0.1%  
479 0% 0.1% Last Result
480 0% 0.1%  
481 0% 0.1%  
482 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 99.9%  
369 0% 99.9%  
370 0% 99.9%  
371 0.1% 99.9%  
372 0.1% 99.8%  
373 0% 99.8%  
374 0% 99.8%  
375 0.3% 99.7%  
376 0% 99.4%  
377 0% 99.4%  
378 0.6% 99.4%  
379 0.2% 98.8%  
380 0.1% 98.5%  
381 0.6% 98%  
382 0.9% 98%  
383 0.1% 97%  
384 0.4% 97%  
385 2% 97%  
386 0.3% 95%  
387 0.5% 95%  
388 2% 94%  
389 0.7% 93%  
390 0.9% 92%  
391 1.3% 91%  
392 2% 90%  
393 1.1% 88% Last Result
394 1.4% 87%  
395 2% 86%  
396 0.4% 84%  
397 6% 83%  
398 0.6% 78%  
399 1.1% 77%  
400 2% 76%  
401 2% 74%  
402 1.4% 72%  
403 4% 70%  
404 5% 66%  
405 2% 62%  
406 3% 60%  
407 4% 57%  
408 0.6% 53%  
409 4% 53% Median
410 5% 49%  
411 2% 44%  
412 4% 42%  
413 4% 38%  
414 1.4% 34%  
415 1.4% 32%  
416 5% 31%  
417 2% 26%  
418 0.6% 24%  
419 6% 24%  
420 2% 18%  
421 0.6% 16%  
422 2% 15%  
423 4% 14%  
424 0.4% 10%  
425 0.7% 9%  
426 2% 9%  
427 0.7% 7%  
428 0.3% 6%  
429 0.5% 6%  
430 0.1% 5%  
431 0.7% 5%  
432 0.2% 4%  
433 0.2% 4%  
434 0.1% 4%  
435 0.3% 4%  
436 0.1% 4%  
437 0.1% 4%  
438 0.2% 3%  
439 0.2% 3%  
440 0.1% 3%  
441 0.1% 3%  
442 0.2% 3%  
443 0.4% 3%  
444 0.1% 2%  
445 0.1% 2%  
446 0.2% 2%  
447 0.1% 2%  
448 0.3% 2%  
449 0.2% 1.4%  
450 0.2% 1.2%  
451 0.1% 1.0%  
452 0.2% 1.0%  
453 0.1% 0.8%  
454 0.1% 0.7%  
455 0% 0.6%  
456 0.3% 0.5%  
457 0.1% 0.2%  
458 0% 0.2%  
459 0% 0.1%  
460 0.1% 0.1%  
461 0% 0.1%  
462 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
300 0% 100% Last Result
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 99.9%  
365 0% 99.9%  
366 0% 99.9%  
367 0% 99.9%  
368 0.1% 99.9%  
369 0.1% 99.8%  
370 0.1% 99.7%  
371 0% 99.6%  
372 0.1% 99.6%  
373 0.2% 99.6%  
374 0.3% 99.4%  
375 0.3% 99.1%  
376 0% 98.8%  
377 0.1% 98.8%  
378 0.5% 98.7%  
379 0.9% 98%  
380 0.9% 97%  
381 0.2% 96%  
382 0.1% 96%  
383 0.3% 96%  
384 0.7% 96%  
385 3% 95%  
386 2% 92%  
387 0.4% 90%  
388 0.1% 89%  
389 0.5% 89%  
390 4% 89%  
391 4% 85%  
392 2% 81%  
393 0.4% 79%  
394 0.2% 79%  
395 2% 79%  
396 6% 76%  
397 4% 70%  
398 2% 66%  
399 0.2% 65%  
400 0.8% 65%  
401 6% 64%  
402 7% 57%  
403 4% 50%  
404 0.5% 46%  
405 0.4% 45% Median
406 1.4% 45%  
407 3% 44%  
408 11% 41%  
409 1.5% 30%  
410 0.2% 29%  
411 0.6% 29%  
412 4% 28%  
413 4% 24%  
414 3% 20%  
415 1.0% 17%  
416 0.1% 16%  
417 0.8% 16%  
418 2% 15%  
419 2% 13%  
420 1.3% 11%  
421 0.1% 10%  
422 0.2% 10%  
423 0.8% 10%  
424 2% 9%  
425 1.1% 7%  
426 0.2% 6%  
427 0.1% 6%  
428 0.2% 6%  
429 0.5% 5%  
430 0.5% 5%  
431 0.3% 4%  
432 0.2% 4%  
433 0.1% 4%  
434 0.1% 4%  
435 0.4% 4%  
436 0.2% 3%  
437 0.1% 3%  
438 0.1% 3%  
439 0% 3%  
440 0.1% 3%  
441 0.7% 3%  
442 0.6% 2%  
443 0.2% 1.4%  
444 0.2% 1.2%  
445 0.1% 1.0%  
446 0.1% 0.9%  
447 0.1% 0.8%  
448 0% 0.7%  
449 0.1% 0.7%  
450 0% 0.6%  
451 0.1% 0.6%  
452 0.1% 0.6%  
453 0.1% 0.4%  
454 0.2% 0.4%  
455 0.1% 0.2%  
456 0% 0.1%  
457 0% 0.1%  
458 0% 0.1%  
459 0% 0.1%  
460 0% 0.1%  
461 0% 0.1%  
462 0% 0.1%  
463 0% 0.1%  
464 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 99.9%  
319 0% 99.9%  
320 0% 99.9%  
321 0% 99.9%  
322 0% 99.9%  
323 0% 99.8%  
324 0% 99.8%  
325 0% 99.8%  
326 0% 99.8%  
327 0.1% 99.7%  
328 0% 99.7%  
329 0% 99.7%  
330 0.1% 99.6%  
331 0% 99.6%  
332 0.3% 99.5%  
333 0.2% 99.2%  
334 0.1% 99.0%  
335 0.1% 98.9%  
336 0.1% 98.8%  
337 0.2% 98.7%  
338 0.2% 98.6%  
339 0.1% 98%  
340 0.2% 98%  
341 0.2% 98%  
342 0.4% 98%  
343 0.3% 97%  
344 0.4% 97%  
345 0.2% 97%  
346 0.9% 96%  
347 0.6% 96%  
348 0.2% 95%  
349 0.4% 95%  
350 1.2% 94%  
351 1.4% 93%  
352 0.5% 92%  
353 0.7% 91%  
354 1.3% 91%  
355 1.4% 89% Majority
356 2% 88%  
357 2% 86%  
358 1.1% 84%  
359 2% 83%  
360 3% 81%  
361 1.2% 78%  
362 3% 77%  
363 2% 74%  
364 4% 72%  
365 0.9% 68%  
366 2% 67%  
367 2% 65%  
368 4% 63%  
369 2% 59%  
370 2% 57%  
371 4% 55%  
372 4% 51%  
373 2% 46%  
374 0.7% 45% Median
375 2% 44%  
376 6% 43%  
377 4% 36%  
378 2% 32%  
379 2% 30%  
380 6% 28%  
381 2% 22%  
382 2% 20%  
383 2% 18%  
384 2% 16%  
385 3% 13%  
386 1.2% 11%  
387 0.6% 10%  
388 2% 9%  
389 2% 7%  
390 0.5% 5%  
391 0.5% 5%  
392 0.4% 4%  
393 0.7% 4%  
394 0.6% 3%  
395 0.4% 3%  
396 0.2% 2%  
397 0.6% 2%  
398 0.3% 2%  
399 0.1% 1.2%  
400 0.1% 1.1%  
401 0.3% 1.0%  
402 0.2% 0.7%  
403 0.1% 0.5%  
404 0% 0.4%  
405 0.1% 0.4%  
406 0.1% 0.2%  
407 0.1% 0.2%  
408 0% 0.1%  
409 0% 0.1%  
410 0% 0.1%  
411 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 99.9%  
306 0% 99.9%  
307 0% 99.9%  
308 0% 99.9%  
309 0% 99.9%  
310 0% 99.9%  
311 0.1% 99.8%  
312 0.1% 99.7%  
313 0.1% 99.7%  
314 0.1% 99.6%  
315 0.1% 99.5%  
316 0.2% 99.4%  
317 0.2% 99.3%  
318 0.5% 99.1%  
319 1.0% 98.6%  
320 0.2% 98%  
321 0.7% 97%  
322 0.4% 97%  
323 0.5% 96%  
324 0.7% 96%  
325 0.7% 95%  
326 1.3% 94%  
327 3% 93%  
328 3% 90%  
329 3% 87%  
330 2% 85%  
331 2% 83%  
332 1.0% 81%  
333 1.0% 80%  
334 2% 79%  
335 4% 78%  
336 3% 74%  
337 6% 71%  
338 3% 66%  
339 2% 63%  
340 0.8% 61%  
341 4% 61%  
342 2% 57%  
343 1.2% 55%  
344 4% 54%  
345 2% 50%  
346 3% 48% Median
347 2% 45%  
348 2% 44%  
349 2% 42%  
350 3% 40%  
351 4% 37%  
352 2% 33%  
353 3% 31%  
354 2% 28%  
355 1.3% 26% Majority
356 2% 24%  
357 3% 22%  
358 2% 20%  
359 1.4% 17%  
360 1.2% 16%  
361 3% 15%  
362 2% 11%  
363 1.1% 10%  
364 1.3% 9%  
365 0.9% 7%  
366 0.7% 6%  
367 1.1% 6%  
368 0.7% 5%  
369 0.4% 4%  
370 0.5% 4%  
371 0.4% 3%  
372 0.2% 3%  
373 0.6% 3%  
374 0.1% 2%  
375 0.1% 2%  
376 0.2% 2%  
377 0.2% 2%  
378 0.1% 1.4%  
379 0.1% 1.3%  
380 0.1% 1.2%  
381 0.1% 1.2%  
382 0.2% 1.1%  
383 0.1% 0.9%  
384 0% 0.8%  
385 0.1% 0.8%  
386 0.1% 0.7%  
387 0.1% 0.6%  
388 0.1% 0.5%  
389 0% 0.5%  
390 0.1% 0.4%  
391 0% 0.4%  
392 0.1% 0.4%  
393 0% 0.2%  
394 0% 0.2%  
395 0% 0.2%  
396 0.1% 0.1%  
397 0% 0.1%  
398 0% 0.1%  
399 0% 0.1% Last Result
400 0% 0.1%  
401 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 99.9%  
301 0% 99.9%  
302 0.1% 99.9%  
303 0.1% 99.8%  
304 0.1% 99.7%  
305 0% 99.6%  
306 0.1% 99.6%  
307 0.2% 99.4%  
308 0.3% 99.3%  
309 0.1% 99.0%  
310 0.1% 98.9%  
311 0.3% 98.7%  
312 0.6% 98%  
313 0.2% 98%  
314 0.4% 98%  
315 0.6% 97%  
316 0.7% 97%  
317 0.4% 96%  
318 0.5% 96%  
319 0.5% 95%  
320 2% 94%  
321 2% 93%  
322 0.6% 91%  
323 1.2% 90%  
324 3% 89%  
325 2% 86%  
326 2% 84%  
327 2% 82%  
328 2% 80%  
329 6% 78%  
330 2% 72%  
331 2% 70%  
332 4% 68%  
333 6% 64%  
334 2% 57%  
335 0.7% 56%  
336 2% 55%  
337 4% 54%  
338 4% 49% Median
339 2% 45%  
340 2% 43%  
341 4% 41%  
342 2% 37%  
343 2% 35%  
344 0.9% 33%  
345 4% 32%  
346 2% 28%  
347 3% 26%  
348 1.2% 23%  
349 3% 22%  
350 2% 19%  
351 1.1% 17%  
352 2% 16%  
353 2% 14%  
354 1.4% 12%  
355 1.3% 11% Majority
356 0.7% 9%  
357 0.5% 9%  
358 1.4% 8%  
359 1.2% 7%  
360 0.4% 6%  
361 0.2% 5%  
362 0.6% 5%  
363 0.9% 4%  
364 0.2% 4%  
365 0.4% 3%  
366 0.3% 3%  
367 0.4% 3%  
368 0.2% 2%  
369 0.2% 2%  
370 0.1% 2%  
371 0.2% 2%  
372 0.2% 1.4%  
373 0.1% 1.3%  
374 0.1% 1.2%  
375 0.1% 1.1%  
376 0.2% 1.0%  
377 0.3% 0.8%  
378 0% 0.5%  
379 0.1% 0.4%  
380 0% 0.4%  
381 0% 0.3%  
382 0.1% 0.3%  
383 0% 0.3%  
384 0% 0.2%  
385 0% 0.2%  
386 0% 0.2%  
387 0% 0.2%  
388 0% 0.1%  
389 0% 0.1%  
390 0% 0.1%  
391 0% 0.1%  
392 0% 0.1%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 99.9%  
292 0.1% 99.9%  
293 0% 99.9%  
294 0% 99.8%  
295 0% 99.8%  
296 0.2% 99.8%  
297 0% 99.6%  
298 0% 99.5%  
299 0.1% 99.5%  
300 0.3% 99.4%  
301 0.1% 99.1%  
302 0.1% 99.0%  
303 0.6% 98.9%  
304 0.4% 98%  
305 0.2% 98%  
306 0.4% 98%  
307 0.6% 97%  
308 1.2% 97%  
309 0.6% 95%  
310 0.4% 95%  
311 0.9% 94%  
312 1.2% 94%  
313 0.6% 92% Last Result
314 0.7% 92%  
315 2% 91%  
316 2% 89%  
317 2% 88%  
318 0.5% 86%  
319 7% 85%  
320 2% 78%  
321 0.9% 77%  
322 1.0% 76%  
323 5% 75%  
324 2% 70%  
325 0.5% 68%  
326 4% 67%  
327 6% 63%  
328 3% 57%  
329 0.8% 54%  
330 4% 54%  
331 6% 50% Median
332 2% 44%  
333 1.3% 42%  
334 3% 40%  
335 5% 37%  
336 1.5% 33%  
337 0.4% 31%  
338 6% 31%  
339 2% 25%  
340 0.7% 23%  
341 1.3% 22%  
342 5% 21%  
343 3% 15%  
344 0.5% 13%  
345 0.8% 12%  
346 2% 12%  
347 2% 10%  
348 0.6% 8%  
349 0.6% 8%  
350 1.2% 7%  
351 0.5% 6%  
352 0.3% 5%  
353 0.6% 5%  
354 0.7% 4%  
355 0.4% 4% Majority
356 0.2% 3%  
357 0.1% 3%  
358 0.6% 3%  
359 0.1% 2%  
360 0.2% 2%  
361 0.1% 2%  
362 0.2% 2%  
363 0.1% 2%  
364 0.2% 2%  
365 0.1% 1.5%  
366 0.1% 1.4%  
367 0.1% 1.3%  
368 0.4% 1.2%  
369 0.1% 0.8%  
370 0% 0.7%  
371 0% 0.7%  
372 0.1% 0.7%  
373 0.2% 0.5%  
374 0% 0.3%  
375 0% 0.2%  
376 0% 0.2%  
377 0% 0.2%  
378 0% 0.2%  
379 0% 0.1%  
380 0% 0.1%  
381 0% 0.1%  
382 0% 0.1%  
383 0% 0.1%  
384 0% 0.1%  
385 0% 0.1%  
386 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 99.9%  
287 0% 99.9%  
288 0% 99.9%  
289 0% 99.9%  
290 0% 99.8%  
291 0% 99.8%  
292 0.1% 99.8%  
293 0% 99.7%  
294 0.1% 99.6%  
295 0.1% 99.5%  
296 0.1% 99.4%  
297 0.3% 99.3%  
298 0.2% 99.1%  
299 0.3% 98.8%  
300 0.2% 98.6%  
301 0.4% 98%  
302 0.4% 98%  
303 0.5% 98%  
304 0.8% 97%  
305 2% 96%  
306 0.7% 95%  
307 1.2% 94%  
308 1.2% 93%  
309 1.1% 92%  
310 2% 90%  
311 2% 88%  
312 2% 86%  
313 2% 84%  
314 2% 83%  
315 2% 80%  
316 1.0% 78%  
317 2% 77%  
318 5% 75%  
319 2% 71%  
320 2% 68%  
321 3% 66%  
322 1.0% 63%  
323 5% 62%  
324 1.3% 58%  
325 4% 56%  
326 5% 52%  
327 2% 47% Median
328 3% 46%  
329 2% 42%  
330 3% 40%  
331 7% 37%  
332 2% 30%  
333 2% 28%  
334 4% 26%  
335 2% 22%  
336 1.2% 20%  
337 2% 19%  
338 2% 17%  
339 3% 16%  
340 0.7% 13%  
341 0.9% 12%  
342 1.1% 11%  
343 1.0% 10%  
344 1.2% 9%  
345 0.3% 8%  
346 1.1% 8%  
347 0.8% 7%  
348 0.4% 6%  
349 0.6% 5%  
350 0.4% 5%  
351 1.1% 4%  
352 0.2% 3%  
353 0.2% 3%  
354 0.3% 3%  
355 0.2% 3% Majority
356 0.3% 2%  
357 0.4% 2%  
358 0.1% 2%  
359 0.2% 2%  
360 0.2% 1.4%  
361 0.1% 1.2%  
362 0.2% 1.1%  
363 0.1% 0.9%  
364 0% 0.8%  
365 0.1% 0.7%  
366 0.1% 0.7%  
367 0.2% 0.6%  
368 0.1% 0.5%  
369 0% 0.4%  
370 0.1% 0.4%  
371 0.1% 0.3%  
372 0% 0.2%  
373 0% 0.2%  
374 0% 0.2%  
375 0% 0.2%  
376 0% 0.1%  
377 0% 0.1%  
378 0% 0.1%  
379 0% 0.1%  
380 0% 0.1%  
381 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 99.9%  
224 0% 99.9%  
225 0% 99.9%  
226 0% 99.8%  
227 0% 99.8%  
228 0.1% 99.8%  
229 0.1% 99.7%  
230 0.2% 99.6%  
231 0.2% 99.4%  
232 0.5% 99.2%  
233 0.4% 98.8%  
234 0.1% 98%  
235 0.2% 98%  
236 0.2% 98%  
237 0.1% 98%  
238 0.6% 98%  
239 0.9% 97%  
240 0.5% 96%  
241 1.4% 96%  
242 2% 94%  
243 0.8% 93%  
244 0.7% 92%  
245 2% 91%  
246 0.8% 89%  
247 1.3% 88%  
248 2% 87%  
249 0.8% 85%  
250 2% 84%  
251 6% 83%  
252 7% 77%  
253 1.3% 70%  
254 5% 68%  
255 5% 63%  
256 1.4% 59%  
257 1.0% 57%  
258 1.3% 56%  
259 0.8% 55%  
260 4% 54% Median
261 8% 50%  
262 4% 42%  
263 2% 38%  
264 7% 36%  
265 2% 29%  
266 0.7% 27%  
267 2% 27%  
268 2% 25%  
269 0.4% 23%  
270 2% 23%  
271 2% 21%  
272 1.1% 19%  
273 3% 18%  
274 4% 16%  
275 2% 11%  
276 0.6% 9%  
277 1.2% 9%  
278 0.7% 7%  
279 0.3% 7%  
280 0.6% 6%  
281 0.5% 6%  
282 0.5% 5%  
283 1.0% 5%  
284 0.9% 4%  
285 0.7% 3%  
286 0.2% 2%  
287 0.4% 2%  
288 0.1% 2%  
289 0.2% 2%  
290 0.1% 1.3%  
291 0.3% 1.2%  
292 0.2% 0.9%  
293 0.1% 0.7%  
294 0% 0.7%  
295 0.1% 0.6%  
296 0.1% 0.5%  
297 0.1% 0.4%  
298 0.1% 0.3%  
299 0% 0.2%  
300 0% 0.2%  
301 0% 0.2%  
302 0% 0.1%  
303 0% 0.1%  
304 0% 0.1%  
305 0% 0.1%  
306 0% 0.1%  
307 0% 0.1%  
308 0% 0.1%  
309 0% 0.1%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0%  
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 99.9%  
217 0% 99.9%  
218 0% 99.9%  
219 0% 99.9%  
220 0.1% 99.8%  
221 0% 99.7%  
222 0.1% 99.7%  
223 0.2% 99.6%  
224 0.1% 99.3%  
225 0.2% 99.2%  
226 0.4% 99.1%  
227 0.1% 98.7%  
228 0.4% 98.6%  
229 0.5% 98%  
230 0.3% 98%  
231 0.5% 97%  
232 1.2% 97%  
233 0.6% 96%  
234 1.2% 95%  
235 1.4% 94%  
236 0.4% 93%  
237 0.8% 92%  
238 2% 91%  
239 1.4% 89%  
240 1.0% 87%  
241 4% 86%  
242 3% 83%  
243 2% 80%  
244 4% 79%  
245 1.4% 74%  
246 3% 73%  
247 2% 70%  
248 4% 68%  
249 1.3% 64%  
250 8% 63%  
251 2% 54%  
252 2% 52%  
253 2% 50% Median
254 6% 48%  
255 0.7% 42%  
256 3% 42%  
257 6% 39%  
258 2% 33%  
259 1.1% 31%  
260 5% 30%  
261 1.5% 25%  
262 2% 24%  
263 4% 22%  
264 0.9% 18%  
265 3% 17%  
266 2% 15%  
267 0.9% 13%  
268 2% 12%  
269 2% 10%  
270 0.5% 8%  
271 1.2% 7%  
272 0.7% 6%  
273 0.8% 6%  
274 0.5% 5%  
275 0.6% 4%  
276 0.6% 4%  
277 0.6% 3%  
278 0.3% 2%  
279 0.3% 2%  
280 0.2% 2%  
281 0.4% 2%  
282 0.2% 1.3%  
283 0.1% 1.1%  
284 0.2% 1.0%  
285 0.1% 0.9%  
286 0.1% 0.8%  
287 0.1% 0.7%  
288 0.1% 0.6%  
289 0% 0.5%  
290 0.1% 0.5%  
291 0.1% 0.4%  
292 0.1% 0.4%  
293 0.2% 0.3%  
294 0% 0.1%  
295 0% 0.1%  
296 0% 0.1%  
297 0% 0.1%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 99.9%  
212 0% 99.9%  
213 0% 99.9%  
214 0% 99.9%  
215 0.1% 99.8%  
216 0% 99.8%  
217 0.1% 99.7%  
218 0.1% 99.7%  
219 0.1% 99.5%  
220 0.1% 99.4%  
221 0.1% 99.3%  
222 0.2% 99.2%  
223 0.2% 99.0%  
224 0.3% 98.8%  
225 0.3% 98.5%  
226 0.9% 98%  
227 0.6% 97%  
228 0.6% 97%  
229 1.2% 96%  
230 0.6% 95%  
231 0.8% 94%  
232 2% 94%  
233 0.6% 91% Last Result
234 3% 91%  
235 3% 88%  
236 0.9% 85%  
237 4% 84%  
238 2% 80%  
239 3% 78%  
240 2% 75%  
241 1.4% 73%  
242 5% 72%  
243 2% 67%  
244 3% 65%  
245 5% 62%  
246 2% 58%  
247 4% 55%  
248 3% 51%  
249 4% 48% Median
250 2% 44%  
251 2% 42%  
252 5% 40%  
253 2% 35%  
254 5% 34%  
255 4% 29%  
256 3% 25%  
257 2% 21%  
258 0.6% 19%  
259 2% 19%  
260 1.3% 17%  
261 1.3% 15%  
262 2% 14%  
263 1.1% 12%  
264 0.8% 11%  
265 2% 10%  
266 0.8% 8%  
267 0.8% 8%  
268 0.4% 7%  
269 0.7% 6%  
270 0.5% 6%  
271 0.6% 5%  
272 0.3% 5%  
273 0.6% 4%  
274 0.5% 4%  
275 0.5% 3%  
276 0.3% 3%  
277 0.2% 3%  
278 0.3% 2%  
279 0.9% 2%  
280 0.1% 1.1%  
281 0.1% 1.0%  
282 0.1% 0.9%  
283 0.1% 0.8%  
284 0% 0.7%  
285 0.1% 0.7%  
286 0.1% 0.6%  
287 0.1% 0.5%  
288 0.2% 0.4%  
289 0.1% 0.2%  
290 0% 0.1%  
291 0% 0.1%  
292 0% 0.1%  
293 0% 0.1%  
294 0% 0.1%  
295 0% 0.1%  
296 0% 0.1%  
297 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 99.9%  
160 0.1% 99.9%  
161 0% 99.9%  
162 0% 99.8%  
163 0.1% 99.8%  
164 0% 99.7%  
165 0.1% 99.7%  
166 0% 99.6%  
167 0.3% 99.5%  
168 0.1% 99.2%  
169 0.3% 99.2%  
170 0.1% 98.9%  
171 0.2% 98.8%  
172 0.1% 98.6%  
173 0.1% 98.5%  
174 0.1% 98%  
175 0.1% 98%  
176 0.3% 98%  
177 0.1% 98%  
178 0.1% 98%  
179 0.4% 98%  
180 0.4% 97%  
181 0.1% 97%  
182 0.2% 97%  
183 0.3% 97%  
184 0.3% 96%  
185 0.3% 96%  
186 0.2% 96%  
187 0.2% 96%  
188 0.8% 95%  
189 0.2% 95%  
190 0.3% 94%  
191 0.1% 94%  
192 0.3% 94%  
193 0.5% 94%  
194 0.4% 93%  
195 0.3% 93%  
196 0.4% 92%  
197 1.0% 92%  
198 0.3% 91%  
199 1.3% 91%  
200 1.0% 89%  
201 3% 88%  
202 1.2% 86%  
203 3% 85%  
204 2% 81%  
205 1.3% 79%  
206 5% 78%  
207 2% 73%  
208 2% 72%  
209 2% 69%  
210 3% 67%  
211 2% 64%  
212 2% 62%  
213 4% 60%  
214 2% 56%  
215 2% 54%  
216 2% 52%  
217 2% 50%  
218 4% 47% Median
219 1.3% 43%  
220 4% 42%  
221 5% 39%  
222 1.2% 34% Last Result
223 3% 33%  
224 1.0% 30%  
225 2% 29%  
226 4% 27%  
227 5% 23%  
228 2% 17%  
229 1.4% 15%  
230 1.5% 14%  
231 2% 12%  
232 2% 11%  
233 0.7% 8%  
234 1.4% 7%  
235 0.7% 6%  
236 1.5% 5%  
237 0.6% 4%  
238 0.3% 3%  
239 0.3% 3%  
240 0.4% 3%  
241 0.6% 2%  
242 0.3% 2%  
243 0.2% 1.4%  
244 0.2% 1.2%  
245 0.4% 1.0%  
246 0.2% 0.6%  
247 0.1% 0.4%  
248 0.1% 0.3%  
249 0% 0.3%  
250 0.1% 0.2%  
251 0% 0.1%  
252 0% 0.1%  
253 0% 0.1%  
254 0% 0.1%  
255 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations