Opinion Poll by INSA and YouGov, 23–27 August 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 24.0% 22.5–25.6% 22.1–26.0% 21.7–26.4% 21.0–27.2%
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 17.1% 15.8–18.5% 15.4–18.9% 15.1–19.3% 14.5–20.0%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 17.0% 15.7–18.4% 15.3–18.8% 15.0–19.2% 14.4–19.9%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 13.0% 11.8–14.3% 11.5–14.7% 11.2–15.0% 10.7–15.6%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 11.0% 9.9–12.2% 9.6–12.5% 9.4–12.8% 8.9–13.5%
Die Linke 9.2% 6.0% 5.2–7.0% 5.0–7.2% 4.8–7.5% 4.5–8.0%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 3.9% 3.3–4.7% 3.1–5.0% 3.0–5.2% 2.7–5.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 184 172–197 169–201 166–204 161–211
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 131 121–142 118–146 116–148 111–154
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 131 120–142 117–145 115–148 110–154
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 98 91–110 90–112 87–114 82–122
Alternative für Deutschland 94 85 76–94 74–96 72–99 68–104
Die Linke 69 46 40–53 0–55 0–57 0–61
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 33 28–39 27–41 26–43 24–46

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
153 0% 100% Last Result
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 99.9%  
157 0.1% 99.9%  
158 0.1% 99.8%  
159 0.1% 99.8%  
160 0.1% 99.7%  
161 0.2% 99.5%  
162 0.2% 99.4%  
163 0.4% 99.1%  
164 0.4% 98.7%  
165 0.5% 98%  
166 0.7% 98%  
167 1.0% 97%  
168 1.0% 96%  
169 1.0% 95%  
170 2% 94%  
171 1.0% 92%  
172 2% 91%  
173 2% 89%  
174 4% 87%  
175 2% 83%  
176 4% 82%  
177 3% 78%  
178 3% 75%  
179 3% 72%  
180 5% 69%  
181 4% 64%  
182 4% 60%  
183 4% 57%  
184 5% 53% Median
185 5% 48%  
186 4% 43%  
187 4% 39%  
188 4% 36%  
189 3% 32%  
190 4% 29%  
191 4% 25%  
192 2% 21%  
193 2% 19%  
194 2% 17%  
195 3% 15%  
196 2% 12%  
197 2% 10%  
198 1.5% 9%  
199 1.2% 7%  
200 0.8% 6%  
201 1.2% 5%  
202 0.7% 4%  
203 0.6% 3%  
204 0.4% 3%  
205 0.5% 2%  
206 0.3% 2%  
207 0.3% 1.4%  
208 0.2% 1.1%  
209 0.2% 0.9%  
210 0.1% 0.7%  
211 0.1% 0.5%  
212 0.1% 0.4%  
213 0.1% 0.3%  
214 0.1% 0.3%  
215 0% 0.2%  
216 0% 0.2%  
217 0% 0.1%  
218 0% 0.1%  
219 0% 0.1%  
220 0% 0.1%  
221 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 99.9%  
108 0.1% 99.9%  
109 0.1% 99.8%  
110 0.2% 99.7%  
111 0.2% 99.6%  
112 0.2% 99.4%  
113 0.5% 99.2%  
114 0.5% 98.7%  
115 0.6% 98%  
116 1.1% 98%  
117 1.1% 96%  
118 1.1% 95%  
119 2% 94%  
120 2% 92%  
121 2% 90%  
122 3% 88%  
123 4% 85%  
124 3% 82%  
125 3% 78%  
126 4% 75%  
127 5% 72%  
128 4% 66%  
129 4% 62%  
130 5% 57%  
131 3% 52% Median
132 5% 49%  
133 5% 44%  
134 5% 39%  
135 4% 34%  
136 4% 30%  
137 3% 26%  
138 4% 23%  
139 2% 19%  
140 3% 17%  
141 3% 15%  
142 2% 12%  
143 1.5% 9%  
144 1.4% 8%  
145 1.5% 7%  
146 1.0% 5%  
147 1.0% 4%  
148 0.7% 3%  
149 0.6% 2%  
150 0.3% 2%  
151 0.3% 1.5%  
152 0.4% 1.2%  
153 0.2% 0.8%  
154 0.2% 0.6%  
155 0.1% 0.5%  
156 0.1% 0.4%  
157 0% 0.3%  
158 0.1% 0.2%  
159 0% 0.1%  
160 0% 0.1%  
161 0% 0.1%  
162 0% 0.1%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0%  
175 0% 0%  
176 0% 0%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 99.9%  
107 0.1% 99.9%  
108 0.1% 99.8%  
109 0.1% 99.8%  
110 0.2% 99.7%  
111 0.2% 99.5%  
112 0.3% 99.2%  
113 0.4% 98.9%  
114 0.6% 98%  
115 0.7% 98%  
116 1.1% 97%  
117 1.3% 96%  
118 2% 95%  
119 2% 93%  
120 2% 91%  
121 2% 89%  
122 3% 87%  
123 3% 84%  
124 3% 81%  
125 3% 78%  
126 5% 75%  
127 5% 70%  
128 6% 65%  
129 5% 60%  
130 5% 55%  
131 5% 50% Median
132 5% 45%  
133 4% 40%  
134 5% 36%  
135 4% 31%  
136 4% 27%  
137 3% 23%  
138 3% 20%  
139 3% 18%  
140 2% 15%  
141 2% 13%  
142 2% 11%  
143 2% 9%  
144 2% 7%  
145 1.4% 6%  
146 0.8% 4%  
147 0.7% 3%  
148 0.7% 3%  
149 0.5% 2%  
150 0.4% 2%  
151 0.4% 1.2%  
152 0.2% 0.9%  
153 0.1% 0.7%  
154 0.1% 0.5%  
155 0.1% 0.4%  
156 0.1% 0.3%  
157 0.1% 0.2%  
158 0% 0.1%  
159 0% 0.1%  
160 0% 0.1%  
161 0% 0.1%  
162 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 99.9%  
79 0.1% 99.9%  
80 0.1% 99.8% Last Result
81 0.2% 99.7%  
82 0.3% 99.5%  
83 0.2% 99.2%  
84 0.4% 99.1%  
85 0.4% 98.7%  
86 0.2% 98%  
87 0.9% 98%  
88 1.1% 97%  
89 1.0% 96%  
90 4% 95%  
91 2% 91%  
92 4% 89%  
93 7% 85%  
94 3% 78%  
95 9% 75%  
96 6% 66%  
97 4% 60%  
98 8% 56% Median
99 2% 48%  
100 3% 45%  
101 3% 42%  
102 2% 39%  
103 3% 37%  
104 4% 35%  
105 2% 30%  
106 6% 29%  
107 4% 23%  
108 3% 19%  
109 6% 16%  
110 2% 10%  
111 2% 9%  
112 3% 6%  
113 0.6% 4%  
114 0.9% 3%  
115 0.6% 2%  
116 0.1% 1.4%  
117 0.2% 1.3%  
118 0.1% 1.1%  
119 0.1% 1.0%  
120 0.2% 0.9%  
121 0.2% 0.7%  
122 0.1% 0.6%  
123 0.2% 0.4%  
124 0.1% 0.2%  
125 0.1% 0.1%  
126 0% 0.1%  
127 0% 0%  

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.2% 99.8%  
68 0.2% 99.6%  
69 0.3% 99.4%  
70 0.7% 99.0%  
71 0.8% 98%  
72 0.8% 98%  
73 1.4% 97%  
74 2% 95%  
75 2% 93%  
76 3% 91%  
77 4% 89%  
78 4% 85%  
79 4% 81%  
80 4% 77%  
81 7% 73%  
82 5% 66%  
83 4% 61%  
84 7% 57%  
85 7% 51% Median
86 4% 43%  
87 6% 39%  
88 5% 33%  
89 4% 28%  
90 4% 24%  
91 4% 20%  
92 4% 17%  
93 2% 12%  
94 3% 11% Last Result
95 2% 8%  
96 2% 6%  
97 0.9% 5%  
98 1.1% 4%  
99 0.6% 3%  
100 0.5% 2%  
101 0.3% 1.5%  
102 0.4% 1.2%  
103 0.2% 0.8%  
104 0.2% 0.5%  
105 0.1% 0.3%  
106 0.1% 0.2%  
107 0% 0.2%  
108 0% 0.1%  
109 0% 0.1%  
110 0% 0.1%  
111 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 5% 100%  
1 0% 95%  
2 0% 95%  
3 0% 95%  
4 0% 95%  
5 0% 95%  
6 0% 95%  
7 0% 95%  
8 0% 95%  
9 0% 95%  
10 0% 95%  
11 0% 95%  
12 0% 95%  
13 0% 95%  
14 0% 95%  
15 0% 95%  
16 0% 95%  
17 0% 95%  
18 0% 95%  
19 0% 95%  
20 0% 95%  
21 0% 95%  
22 0% 95%  
23 0% 95%  
24 0% 95%  
25 0% 95%  
26 0% 95%  
27 0% 95%  
28 0% 95%  
29 0% 95%  
30 0% 95%  
31 0% 95%  
32 0% 95%  
33 0% 95%  
34 0% 95%  
35 0% 95%  
36 0% 95%  
37 0% 95%  
38 0.2% 95%  
39 3% 94%  
40 4% 91%  
41 4% 87%  
42 6% 83%  
43 7% 77%  
44 7% 70%  
45 8% 64%  
46 7% 56% Median
47 8% 48%  
48 7% 40%  
49 7% 34%  
50 6% 27%  
51 4% 21%  
52 4% 17%  
53 3% 13%  
54 3% 9%  
55 2% 7%  
56 1.3% 5%  
57 1.0% 3%  
58 0.8% 2%  
59 0.5% 1.4%  
60 0.3% 0.9%  
61 0.2% 0.6%  
62 0.1% 0.4%  
63 0.1% 0.2%  
64 0.1% 0.1%  
65 0% 0.1%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100%  
22 0.1% 99.9%  
23 0.2% 99.8%  
24 0.5% 99.6%  
25 1.1% 99.1%  
26 2% 98%  
27 3% 96%  
28 4% 94%  
29 6% 89%  
30 6% 83%  
31 8% 77%  
32 11% 69%  
33 9% 58% Median
34 8% 50%  
35 10% 41%  
36 7% 32%  
37 6% 24%  
38 5% 19%  
39 4% 14%  
40 3% 9%  
41 2% 6%  
42 1.4% 4%  
43 1.2% 3%  
44 0.7% 2%  
45 0.3% 0.9%  
46 0.3% 0.6% Last Result
47 0.2% 0.3%  
48 0.1% 0.2%  
49 0% 0.1%  
50 0% 0.1%  
51 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 480 100% 465–493 462–503 459–513 453–523
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 448 100% 435–463 431–472 428–480 422–492
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 414 100% 401–430 396–436 393–444 387–455
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 395 100% 381–410 377–417 374–424 368–437
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Die Linke 289 360 68% 345–374 339–377 333–380 321–387
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 349 32% 335–364 332–370 329–376 322–388
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 349 31% 335–364 331–369 328–375 321–386
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 220 314 0.2% 301–330 297–334 293–340 287–349
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 295 0% 282–310 278–315 274–320 269–330
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 283 0% 270–298 267–303 263–308 257–317
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 265 0% 251–279 248–284 244–289 238–297
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 249 0% 236–263 232–268 230–272 224–280
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 230 0% 215–243 206–246 196–249 184–256

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
445 0% 100%  
446 0% 99.9%  
447 0% 99.9%  
448 0% 99.9%  
449 0% 99.9%  
450 0.1% 99.8%  
451 0.1% 99.8%  
452 0.1% 99.7%  
453 0.2% 99.6%  
454 0.1% 99.5%  
455 0.2% 99.3%  
456 0.4% 99.2%  
457 0.4% 98.8%  
458 0.5% 98%  
459 0.6% 98%  
460 0.7% 97%  
461 0.9% 97%  
462 1.3% 96%  
463 1.1% 95%  
464 1.5% 93%  
465 2% 92%  
466 2% 90% Last Result
467 4% 87%  
468 2% 84%  
469 2% 82%  
470 3% 80%  
471 2% 77%  
472 3% 75%  
473 3% 72%  
474 2% 69%  
475 2% 67%  
476 4% 64%  
477 3% 60%  
478 4% 58%  
479 4% 54% Median
480 2% 50%  
481 3% 48%  
482 4% 45%  
483 4% 41%  
484 5% 37%  
485 3% 32%  
486 3% 30%  
487 6% 27%  
488 3% 21%  
489 3% 18%  
490 2% 16%  
491 1.4% 14%  
492 1.4% 12%  
493 2% 11%  
494 0.7% 9%  
495 0.9% 8%  
496 0.5% 7%  
497 0.3% 7%  
498 0.4% 7%  
499 0.3% 6%  
500 0.2% 6%  
501 0.3% 6%  
502 0.2% 5%  
503 0.2% 5%  
504 0.3% 5%  
505 0.4% 5%  
506 0.3% 4%  
507 0.2% 4%  
508 0.3% 4%  
509 0.2% 4%  
510 0.2% 3%  
511 0.4% 3%  
512 0.3% 3%  
513 0.3% 3%  
514 0.4% 2%  
515 0.2% 2%  
516 0.2% 2%  
517 0.2% 1.4%  
518 0.2% 1.2%  
519 0.1% 1.0%  
520 0.1% 0.9%  
521 0.1% 0.7%  
522 0.1% 0.6%  
523 0.1% 0.5%  
524 0.1% 0.5%  
525 0% 0.4%  
526 0% 0.4%  
527 0.1% 0.3%  
528 0% 0.3%  
529 0% 0.2%  
530 0% 0.2%  
531 0% 0.1%  
532 0% 0.1%  
533 0% 0.1%  
534 0% 0.1%  
535 0% 0.1%  
536 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 99.9%  
416 0% 99.9%  
417 0.1% 99.9%  
418 0.1% 99.8%  
419 0.1% 99.8%  
420 0.1% 99.7%  
421 0.1% 99.6%  
422 0.2% 99.5%  
423 0.2% 99.3%  
424 0.2% 99.2%  
425 0.3% 98.9%  
426 0.5% 98.6%  
427 0.4% 98%  
428 0.8% 98%  
429 0.5% 97%  
430 1.1% 96%  
431 0.7% 95%  
432 1.2% 95%  
433 1.0% 93%  
434 2% 92%  
435 2% 90%  
436 2% 89%  
437 2% 87%  
438 2% 84%  
439 4% 83%  
440 2% 79%  
441 4% 77%  
442 2% 74%  
443 4% 71%  
444 4% 67%  
445 3% 63%  
446 5% 60% Median
447 4% 56%  
448 3% 52%  
449 4% 49%  
450 4% 45%  
451 3% 41%  
452 4% 38%  
453 2% 34%  
454 4% 32%  
455 3% 28%  
456 2% 25%  
457 3% 23%  
458 2% 19%  
459 2% 17%  
460 1.2% 15%  
461 2% 14%  
462 0.9% 12%  
463 1.5% 11%  
464 0.9% 10%  
465 0.9% 9%  
466 0.7% 8%  
467 0.6% 7%  
468 0.8% 7%  
469 0.3% 6%  
470 0.4% 6%  
471 0.3% 5%  
472 0.4% 5%  
473 0.4% 5%  
474 0.3% 4%  
475 0.1% 4%  
476 0.2% 4%  
477 0.3% 3%  
478 0.3% 3%  
479 0.3% 3% Last Result
480 0.3% 3%  
481 0.2% 2%  
482 0.2% 2%  
483 0.1% 2%  
484 0.1% 2%  
485 0.2% 2%  
486 0.1% 1.5%  
487 0.1% 1.4%  
488 0.2% 1.2%  
489 0.1% 1.0%  
490 0.3% 1.0%  
491 0.1% 0.6%  
492 0.1% 0.5%  
493 0% 0.4%  
494 0% 0.4%  
495 0% 0.3%  
496 0.1% 0.3%  
497 0% 0.2%  
498 0.1% 0.2%  
499 0% 0.1%  
500 0% 0.1%  
501 0% 0.1%  
502 0% 0.1%  
503 0% 0.1%  
504 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
300 0% 100% Last Result
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 99.9%  
381 0% 99.9%  
382 0% 99.9%  
383 0% 99.9%  
384 0% 99.8%  
385 0.1% 99.8%  
386 0.2% 99.7%  
387 0.1% 99.5%  
388 0.2% 99.4%  
389 0.3% 99.2%  
390 0.2% 98.9%  
391 0.3% 98.7%  
392 0.3% 98%  
393 0.7% 98%  
394 0.6% 97%  
395 1.1% 97%  
396 0.9% 96%  
397 0.8% 95%  
398 1.1% 94%  
399 1.1% 93%  
400 1.1% 92%  
401 2% 91%  
402 3% 89%  
403 2% 86%  
404 3% 84%  
405 4% 81%  
406 2% 78%  
407 3% 76%  
408 2% 73%  
409 4% 70%  
410 4% 67%  
411 5% 63%  
412 3% 58%  
413 4% 55% Median
414 2% 51%  
415 3% 49%  
416 3% 46%  
417 3% 43%  
418 5% 39%  
419 4% 34%  
420 3% 30%  
421 3% 27%  
422 3% 24%  
423 2% 21%  
424 2% 20%  
425 2% 18%  
426 1.0% 16%  
427 3% 15%  
428 1.5% 12%  
429 0.6% 11%  
430 1.0% 10%  
431 0.7% 9%  
432 0.8% 8%  
433 0.8% 8%  
434 0.8% 7%  
435 0.8% 6%  
436 0.5% 5%  
437 0.3% 5%  
438 0.4% 4%  
439 0.5% 4%  
440 0.2% 4%  
441 0.2% 3%  
442 0.1% 3%  
443 0.2% 3%  
444 0.4% 3%  
445 0.3% 2%  
446 0.1% 2%  
447 0.1% 2%  
448 0.3% 2%  
449 0.2% 2%  
450 0.2% 1.5%  
451 0.1% 1.3%  
452 0% 1.2%  
453 0.3% 1.1%  
454 0.3% 0.8%  
455 0.1% 0.5%  
456 0% 0.5%  
457 0% 0.4%  
458 0.1% 0.4%  
459 0.1% 0.3%  
460 0% 0.2%  
461 0% 0.2%  
462 0% 0.2%  
463 0.1% 0.2%  
464 0% 0.1%  
465 0% 0.1%  
466 0% 0.1%  
467 0% 0.1%  
468 0% 0.1%  
469 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 99.9%  
362 0% 99.9%  
363 0% 99.9%  
364 0.1% 99.9%  
365 0% 99.8%  
366 0.1% 99.8%  
367 0.2% 99.7%  
368 0.2% 99.5%  
369 0.1% 99.3%  
370 0.1% 99.2%  
371 0.4% 99.1%  
372 0.4% 98.7%  
373 0.6% 98%  
374 0.4% 98%  
375 0.4% 97%  
376 0.8% 97%  
377 1.5% 96%  
378 1.3% 95%  
379 0.7% 93%  
380 1.2% 93%  
381 2% 91%  
382 2% 90%  
383 3% 88%  
384 1.3% 85%  
385 2% 84%  
386 4% 82%  
387 4% 77%  
388 3% 74%  
389 1.1% 71%  
390 3% 69%  
391 4% 67%  
392 6% 62%  
393 3% 57% Last Result, Median
394 2% 54%  
395 3% 52%  
396 5% 49%  
397 5% 44%  
398 2% 40%  
399 2% 38%  
400 4% 35%  
401 4% 31%  
402 3% 27%  
403 2% 24%  
404 1.3% 23%  
405 3% 21%  
406 3% 19%  
407 2% 16%  
408 0.7% 14%  
409 1.5% 13%  
410 2% 12%  
411 1.4% 10%  
412 0.7% 8%  
413 0.6% 8%  
414 0.6% 7%  
415 0.8% 6%  
416 0.6% 6%  
417 0.5% 5%  
418 0.2% 5%  
419 0.3% 4%  
420 0.4% 4%  
421 0.2% 4%  
422 0.2% 3%  
423 0.6% 3%  
424 0.2% 3%  
425 0.3% 2%  
426 0.2% 2%  
427 0.4% 2%  
428 0.1% 2%  
429 0.2% 1.5%  
430 0.2% 1.3%  
431 0.1% 1.1%  
432 0.1% 1.1%  
433 0.2% 0.9%  
434 0.1% 0.7%  
435 0% 0.6%  
436 0% 0.6%  
437 0.1% 0.6%  
438 0.1% 0.4%  
439 0% 0.3%  
440 0% 0.3%  
441 0.1% 0.2%  
442 0% 0.2%  
443 0% 0.1%  
444 0% 0.1%  
445 0% 0.1%  
446 0% 0.1%  
447 0% 0.1%  
448 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 99.9%  
314 0% 99.9%  
315 0% 99.9%  
316 0% 99.8%  
317 0% 99.8%  
318 0.1% 99.8%  
319 0% 99.7%  
320 0.1% 99.7%  
321 0.2% 99.6%  
322 0.1% 99.4%  
323 0.1% 99.4%  
324 0.1% 99.3%  
325 0.1% 99.2%  
326 0.1% 99.1%  
327 0.2% 98.9%  
328 0.2% 98.7%  
329 0.3% 98.5%  
330 0.2% 98%  
331 0.2% 98%  
332 0.2% 98%  
333 0.6% 98%  
334 0.2% 97%  
335 0.4% 97%  
336 0.4% 96%  
337 0.5% 96%  
338 0.4% 96%  
339 1.0% 95%  
340 0.5% 94%  
341 0.7% 94%  
342 1.0% 93%  
343 1.1% 92%  
344 0.8% 91%  
345 2% 90%  
346 1.3% 88%  
347 1.1% 87%  
348 2% 86%  
349 2% 84%  
350 2% 82%  
351 1.4% 80%  
352 4% 78%  
353 3% 74%  
354 3% 71%  
355 3% 68% Majority
356 5% 66%  
357 2% 60%  
358 2% 59%  
359 5% 56%  
360 3% 52%  
361 2% 49% Median
362 4% 47%  
363 4% 43%  
364 4% 38%  
365 3% 34%  
366 3% 31%  
367 4% 28%  
368 1.3% 25%  
369 3% 23%  
370 4% 20%  
371 0.9% 16%  
372 3% 15%  
373 2% 12%  
374 2% 11%  
375 0.7% 9%  
376 2% 8%  
377 1.0% 6%  
378 0.6% 5%  
379 0.6% 4%  
380 1.3% 4%  
381 0.3% 2%  
382 0.4% 2%  
383 0.4% 2%  
384 0.2% 1.3%  
385 0.2% 1.0%  
386 0.3% 0.9%  
387 0.2% 0.5%  
388 0.1% 0.4%  
389 0.1% 0.3%  
390 0.1% 0.2%  
391 0.1% 0.2%  
392 0% 0.1%  
393 0% 0.1%  
394 0% 0.1%  
395 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 99.9%  
317 0% 99.9%  
318 0.1% 99.9%  
319 0.1% 99.8%  
320 0.1% 99.8%  
321 0.1% 99.7%  
322 0.2% 99.6%  
323 0.3% 99.5%  
324 0.2% 99.1%  
325 0.2% 99.0%  
326 0.4% 98.7%  
327 0.4% 98%  
328 0.3% 98%  
329 1.3% 98%  
330 0.6% 96%  
331 0.6% 96%  
332 1.0% 95%  
333 2% 94%  
334 0.7% 92%  
335 2% 91%  
336 2% 89%  
337 3% 88%  
338 0.9% 85%  
339 4% 84%  
340 3% 80%  
341 1.3% 77%  
342 4% 75%  
343 3% 72%  
344 3% 69%  
345 4% 66%  
346 4% 62%  
347 4% 57% Median
348 2% 53%  
349 3% 51%  
350 5% 48%  
351 2% 44%  
352 2% 41%  
353 5% 40%  
354 3% 34%  
355 3% 32% Majority
356 3% 29%  
357 4% 26%  
358 1.4% 22%  
359 2% 20%  
360 2% 18%  
361 2% 16%  
362 1.1% 14%  
363 1.3% 13%  
364 2% 12%  
365 0.8% 10%  
366 1.1% 9%  
367 1.0% 8%  
368 0.7% 7%  
369 0.5% 6%  
370 1.0% 6%  
371 0.4% 5%  
372 0.5% 4%  
373 0.4% 4%  
374 0.4% 4%  
375 0.2% 3%  
376 0.6% 3%  
377 0.2% 2%  
378 0.2% 2%  
379 0.2% 2%  
380 0.3% 2%  
381 0.2% 1.5%  
382 0.2% 1.3%  
383 0.1% 1.1%  
384 0.1% 0.9%  
385 0.1% 0.8%  
386 0.1% 0.7%  
387 0.1% 0.6%  
388 0.2% 0.6%  
389 0.1% 0.4%  
390 0% 0.3%  
391 0.1% 0.3%  
392 0% 0.2%  
393 0% 0.2%  
394 0% 0.2%  
395 0% 0.1%  
396 0% 0.1%  
397 0% 0.1%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 99.9%  
316 0% 99.9%  
317 0.1% 99.9%  
318 0.1% 99.8%  
319 0.1% 99.8%  
320 0.1% 99.7%  
321 0.1% 99.6%  
322 0.1% 99.5%  
323 0.2% 99.3%  
324 0.3% 99.1%  
325 0.4% 98.8%  
326 0.2% 98%  
327 0.6% 98%  
328 0.6% 98%  
329 0.8% 97%  
330 0.6% 96%  
331 0.9% 96%  
332 2% 95%  
333 0.8% 93%  
334 1.1% 92%  
335 3% 91%  
336 1.1% 88%  
337 3% 87%  
338 2% 84%  
339 3% 82%  
340 2% 79%  
341 3% 77%  
342 2% 74%  
343 4% 72%  
344 3% 68%  
345 4% 65%  
346 4% 61%  
347 3% 58%  
348 4% 55% Median
349 3% 51%  
350 3% 48%  
351 5% 45%  
352 2% 40%  
353 5% 38%  
354 2% 33%  
355 3% 31% Majority
356 2% 27%  
357 3% 25%  
358 2% 22%  
359 2% 20%  
360 3% 18%  
361 2% 15%  
362 2% 13%  
363 1.5% 12%  
364 1.1% 10%  
365 1.1% 9%  
366 1.0% 8%  
367 1.0% 7%  
368 0.7% 6%  
369 0.5% 5%  
370 0.5% 5%  
371 0.5% 4%  
372 0.5% 4%  
373 0.5% 3%  
374 0.3% 3%  
375 0.3% 3%  
376 0.2% 2%  
377 0.2% 2%  
378 0.2% 2%  
379 0.3% 2%  
380 0.1% 1.4%  
381 0.1% 1.2%  
382 0.1% 1.2%  
383 0.2% 1.1%  
384 0.3% 0.9%  
385 0.1% 0.6%  
386 0.1% 0.5%  
387 0% 0.4%  
388 0.1% 0.4%  
389 0% 0.3%  
390 0.1% 0.3%  
391 0% 0.2%  
392 0% 0.2%  
393 0% 0.1%  
394 0% 0.1%  
395 0% 0.1%  
396 0% 0.1%  
397 0% 0.1%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 99.9%  
282 0% 99.9%  
283 0% 99.9%  
284 0.1% 99.8%  
285 0.1% 99.8%  
286 0.1% 99.7%  
287 0.1% 99.6%  
288 0.1% 99.5%  
289 0.2% 99.3%  
290 0.2% 99.1%  
291 0.5% 98.9%  
292 0.4% 98%  
293 0.6% 98%  
294 0.6% 97%  
295 0.9% 97%  
296 0.9% 96%  
297 1.2% 95%  
298 1.0% 94%  
299 1.3% 93%  
300 1.5% 92%  
301 2% 90%  
302 2% 89%  
303 2% 87%  
304 2% 85%  
305 3% 83%  
306 3% 80%  
307 4% 78%  
308 3% 74%  
309 3% 71%  
310 4% 68%  
311 4% 64%  
312 4% 60%  
313 3% 57%  
314 4% 53%  
315 3% 50% Median
316 3% 47%  
317 3% 44%  
318 5% 41%  
319 3% 36%  
320 3% 34%  
321 4% 31%  
322 2% 27%  
323 3% 25%  
324 3% 22%  
325 3% 19%  
326 1.4% 16%  
327 2% 15%  
328 1.4% 13%  
329 1.3% 11%  
330 1.2% 10%  
331 1.1% 9%  
332 1.0% 8%  
333 1.2% 7%  
334 0.6% 6%  
335 0.8% 5%  
336 0.5% 4%  
337 0.5% 4%  
338 0.3% 3%  
339 0.3% 3%  
340 0.3% 3%  
341 0.3% 2%  
342 0.2% 2%  
343 0.2% 2%  
344 0.3% 2%  
345 0.2% 1.3%  
346 0.3% 1.1%  
347 0.1% 0.8%  
348 0.1% 0.6%  
349 0.1% 0.5%  
350 0% 0.5%  
351 0.1% 0.4%  
352 0.1% 0.4%  
353 0% 0.3%  
354 0% 0.3%  
355 0% 0.2% Majority
356 0.1% 0.2%  
357 0% 0.1%  
358 0% 0.1%  
359 0% 0.1%  
360 0% 0.1%  
361 0% 0.1%  
362 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 99.9%  
264 0% 99.9%  
265 0.1% 99.9%  
266 0.1% 99.8%  
267 0.1% 99.7%  
268 0.1% 99.7%  
269 0.1% 99.5%  
270 0.2% 99.4%  
271 0.3% 99.2%  
272 0.4% 98.9%  
273 0.3% 98.5%  
274 0.8% 98%  
275 0.5% 97%  
276 0.7% 97%  
277 1.2% 96%  
278 0.8% 95%  
279 1.2% 94%  
280 1.3% 93%  
281 2% 92%  
282 2% 90%  
283 2% 89%  
284 2% 87%  
285 3% 85%  
286 3% 82%  
287 3% 80%  
288 3% 77%  
289 3% 75%  
290 3% 72%  
291 5% 68%  
292 3% 64%  
293 4% 61%  
294 4% 57%  
295 4% 53% Median
296 4% 49%  
297 3% 46%  
298 4% 43%  
299 3% 39%  
300 3% 35%  
301 3% 32%  
302 3% 29%  
303 3% 26%  
304 2% 23%  
305 2% 21%  
306 2% 19%  
307 2% 16%  
308 2% 14%  
309 1.1% 12%  
310 1.4% 11%  
311 1.2% 10%  
312 1.3% 8%  
313 0.9% 7% Last Result
314 0.8% 6%  
315 0.6% 5%  
316 0.8% 5%  
317 0.7% 4%  
318 0.5% 3%  
319 0.3% 3%  
320 0.3% 3%  
321 0.6% 2%  
322 0.2% 2%  
323 0.2% 2%  
324 0.1% 1.4%  
325 0.2% 1.2%  
326 0.1% 1.0%  
327 0.2% 0.9%  
328 0.1% 0.8%  
329 0.2% 0.7%  
330 0.1% 0.5%  
331 0.1% 0.4%  
332 0% 0.3%  
333 0.1% 0.3%  
334 0% 0.2%  
335 0% 0.2%  
336 0% 0.2%  
337 0% 0.1%  
338 0% 0.1%  
339 0% 0.1%  
340 0% 0.1%  
341 0% 0.1%  
342 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
233 0% 100% Last Result
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 99.9%  
252 0% 99.9%  
253 0.1% 99.9%  
254 0.1% 99.8%  
255 0.1% 99.8%  
256 0.1% 99.7%  
257 0.2% 99.6%  
258 0.3% 99.4%  
259 0.2% 99.2%  
260 0.2% 99.0%  
261 0.3% 98.9%  
262 0.3% 98.5%  
263 1.0% 98%  
264 0.6% 97%  
265 0.6% 97%  
266 0.8% 96%  
267 1.4% 95%  
268 1.5% 94%  
269 1.4% 92%  
270 1.3% 91%  
271 1.4% 90%  
272 3% 88%  
273 3% 86%  
274 2% 83%  
275 2% 80%  
276 3% 78%  
277 4% 76%  
278 4% 72%  
279 3% 68%  
280 2% 64%  
281 3% 62%  
282 4% 59% Median
283 6% 55%  
284 4% 49%  
285 3% 46%  
286 3% 43%  
287 4% 40%  
288 4% 36%  
289 2% 32%  
290 3% 29%  
291 2% 27%  
292 3% 24%  
293 3% 22%  
294 2% 19%  
295 2% 16%  
296 1.3% 15%  
297 2% 13%  
298 2% 11%  
299 2% 9%  
300 0.7% 8%  
301 0.8% 7%  
302 0.9% 7%  
303 0.7% 6%  
304 0.7% 5%  
305 0.6% 4%  
306 0.5% 4%  
307 0.4% 3%  
308 0.4% 3%  
309 0.3% 2%  
310 0.5% 2%  
311 0.3% 2%  
312 0.2% 1.2%  
313 0.2% 1.1%  
314 0.1% 0.9%  
315 0.2% 0.8%  
316 0.2% 0.7%  
317 0.1% 0.5%  
318 0% 0.5%  
319 0.1% 0.4%  
320 0.1% 0.4%  
321 0.1% 0.3%  
322 0% 0.2%  
323 0.1% 0.2%  
324 0% 0.2%  
325 0% 0.1%  
326 0% 0.1%  
327 0% 0.1%  
328 0% 0.1%  
329 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 99.9%  
234 0% 99.9%  
235 0.1% 99.9%  
236 0.1% 99.8%  
237 0.1% 99.7%  
238 0.2% 99.7%  
239 0.1% 99.5%  
240 0.2% 99.4%  
241 0.2% 99.1%  
242 0.6% 99.0%  
243 0.2% 98%  
244 0.7% 98%  
245 0.6% 97%  
246 0.9% 97%  
247 0.6% 96%  
248 1.4% 95%  
249 2% 94%  
250 2% 92%  
251 2% 91%  
252 0.9% 89%  
253 3% 88%  
254 2% 85%  
255 3% 83%  
256 2% 79%  
257 2% 77%  
258 4% 75%  
259 2% 71%  
260 4% 68%  
261 4% 64%  
262 3% 60% Median
263 4% 57%  
264 3% 53%  
265 4% 50%  
266 4% 46%  
267 3% 42%  
268 3% 38%  
269 4% 36%  
270 2% 32%  
271 3% 30%  
272 3% 26%  
273 3% 23%  
274 2% 21%  
275 2% 18%  
276 2% 16%  
277 2% 14%  
278 2% 12%  
279 1.0% 11%  
280 1.2% 10%  
281 1.2% 8%  
282 1.0% 7%  
283 1.1% 6%  
284 0.5% 5%  
285 0.8% 5%  
286 0.4% 4%  
287 0.4% 3%  
288 0.4% 3%  
289 0.4% 3%  
290 0.4% 2%  
291 0.4% 2%  
292 0.2% 1.4%  
293 0.2% 1.2%  
294 0.3% 1.0%  
295 0.1% 0.7%  
296 0.1% 0.6%  
297 0.1% 0.5%  
298 0.1% 0.4%  
299 0.1% 0.4%  
300 0% 0.3%  
301 0.1% 0.3%  
302 0% 0.2%  
303 0% 0.2%  
304 0% 0.1%  
305 0% 0.1%  
306 0% 0.1%  
307 0% 0.1%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 99.9%  
219 0% 99.9%  
220 0% 99.9%  
221 0.1% 99.8%  
222 0.1% 99.8%  
223 0.1% 99.6%  
224 0.1% 99.5%  
225 0.2% 99.4%  
226 0.4% 99.2%  
227 0.4% 98.9%  
228 0.2% 98%  
229 0.4% 98%  
230 0.7% 98%  
231 1.3% 97%  
232 1.1% 96%  
233 0.6% 95%  
234 1.3% 94%  
235 2% 93%  
236 2% 91%  
237 1.2% 89%  
238 1.2% 88%  
239 3% 87%  
240 3% 84%  
241 2% 80%  
242 2% 78%  
243 3% 76%  
244 6% 73%  
245 3% 67%  
246 2% 64%  
247 4% 61%  
248 4% 58%  
249 6% 53% Median
250 3% 47%  
251 3% 45%  
252 3% 42%  
253 5% 39%  
254 3% 34%  
255 2% 31%  
256 2% 29%  
257 4% 27%  
258 4% 22%  
259 2% 19%  
260 0.8% 17%  
261 3% 16%  
262 2% 13%  
263 1.2% 11%  
264 1.1% 10%  
265 1.2% 9%  
266 1.2% 7%  
267 1.3% 6%  
268 0.3% 5%  
269 0.4% 5%  
270 0.8% 4%  
271 0.8% 4%  
272 0.4% 3%  
273 0.3% 2%  
274 0.4% 2%  
275 0.4% 2%  
276 0.2% 1.4%  
277 0.1% 1.1%  
278 0.1% 1.0%  
279 0.2% 1.0%  
280 0.3% 0.7%  
281 0.1% 0.5%  
282 0% 0.4%  
283 0.1% 0.4%  
284 0% 0.3%  
285 0.1% 0.3%  
286 0% 0.2%  
287 0% 0.2%  
288 0% 0.2%  
289 0.1% 0.1%  
290 0% 0.1%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0%  
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
175 0% 100%  
176 0% 99.9%  
177 0.1% 99.9%  
178 0% 99.9%  
179 0% 99.8%  
180 0.1% 99.8%  
181 0% 99.7%  
182 0.1% 99.7%  
183 0.1% 99.6%  
184 0.2% 99.5%  
185 0.2% 99.4%  
186 0.1% 99.2%  
187 0.1% 99.1%  
188 0.3% 99.0%  
189 0.1% 98.7%  
190 0.2% 98.6%  
191 0.2% 98%  
192 0.2% 98%  
193 0.1% 98%  
194 0.1% 98%  
195 0.2% 98%  
196 0.2% 98%  
197 0.1% 97%  
198 0.5% 97%  
199 0.2% 97%  
200 0.3% 96%  
201 0.2% 96%  
202 0.2% 96%  
203 0.2% 96%  
204 0.2% 96%  
205 0.3% 95%  
206 0.4% 95%  
207 0.3% 95%  
208 0.3% 94%  
209 0.3% 94%  
210 0.4% 94%  
211 0.4% 93%  
212 0.6% 93%  
213 0.7% 92%  
214 2% 92%  
215 1.4% 90%  
216 2% 89%  
217 1.5% 87%  
218 1.2% 85%  
219 3% 84%  
220 1.0% 82%  
221 2% 81%  
222 3% 79% Last Result
223 3% 76%  
224 4% 73%  
225 4% 69%  
226 4% 66%  
227 5% 62%  
228 3% 57%  
229 3% 53%  
230 3% 50% Median
231 3% 47%  
232 3% 44%  
233 3% 42%  
234 6% 38%  
235 4% 33%  
236 5% 29%  
237 2% 24%  
238 3% 21%  
239 2% 18%  
240 2% 16%  
241 1.5% 14%  
242 2% 13%  
243 2% 11%  
244 3% 10%  
245 1.3% 7%  
246 2% 6%  
247 0.8% 4%  
248 0.8% 3%  
249 0.6% 3%  
250 0.3% 2%  
251 0.3% 2%  
252 0.2% 2%  
253 0.2% 1.3%  
254 0.3% 1.1%  
255 0.3% 0.8%  
256 0.2% 0.6%  
257 0.1% 0.4%  
258 0.1% 0.2%  
259 0% 0.2%  
260 0% 0.1%  
261 0% 0.1%  
262 0% 0.1%  
263 0% 0.1%  
264 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations