Opinion Poll by YouGov, 27–31 August 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 24.8% 23.5–26.1% 23.1–26.5% 22.8–26.9% 22.2–27.5%
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 16.1% 15.0–17.3% 14.7–17.6% 14.4–17.9% 13.9–18.5%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 14.9% 13.8–16.0% 13.5–16.3% 13.3–16.6% 12.8–17.2%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 12.9% 11.9–14.0% 11.6–14.3% 11.4–14.6% 10.9–15.1%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 11.9% 10.9–12.9% 10.6–13.2% 10.4–13.5% 10.0–14.0%
Die Linke 9.2% 7.9% 7.1–8.8% 6.9–9.1% 6.7–9.3% 6.4–9.7%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 3.7% 3.2–4.4% 3.0–4.5% 2.9–4.7% 2.7–5.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 190 180–200 177–202 174–205 170–210
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 123 115–132 112–134 110–137 107–141
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 113 106–122 104–125 102–127 98–131
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 99 91–107 89–109 87–111 84–115
Alternative für Deutschland 94 91 83–99 81–101 80–103 76–107
Die Linke 69 61 55–67 53–69 52–71 49–74
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 32 27–36 26–38 25–39 23–41

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
153 0% 100% Last Result
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100%  
166 0% 99.9%  
167 0.1% 99.9%  
168 0.1% 99.8%  
169 0.2% 99.7%  
170 0.2% 99.5%  
171 0.4% 99.3%  
172 0.4% 98.9%  
173 0.5% 98.5%  
174 0.7% 98%  
175 0.8% 97%  
176 1.2% 96%  
177 1.3% 95%  
178 2% 94%  
179 2% 92%  
180 3% 90%  
181 3% 88%  
182 3% 84%  
183 3% 81%  
184 4% 79%  
185 5% 74%  
186 5% 69%  
187 4% 65%  
188 7% 61%  
189 4% 55%  
190 6% 50% Median
191 4% 44%  
192 5% 40%  
193 4% 35%  
194 4% 31%  
195 4% 27%  
196 5% 23%  
197 3% 19%  
198 3% 16%  
199 2% 12%  
200 2% 10%  
201 1.3% 8%  
202 2% 6%  
203 1.1% 5%  
204 0.9% 4%  
205 0.8% 3%  
206 0.6% 2%  
207 0.5% 1.5%  
208 0.2% 1.0%  
209 0.3% 0.8%  
210 0.1% 0.6%  
211 0.1% 0.4%  
212 0.1% 0.3%  
213 0.1% 0.2%  
214 0% 0.1%  
215 0% 0.1%  
216 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
102 0% 100%  
103 0.1% 99.9%  
104 0.1% 99.9%  
105 0.1% 99.8%  
106 0.2% 99.7%  
107 0.3% 99.5%  
108 0.4% 99.2%  
109 0.7% 98.9%  
110 0.8% 98%  
111 1.0% 97%  
112 1.4% 96%  
113 2% 95%  
114 2% 93%  
115 3% 91%  
116 4% 88%  
117 4% 84%  
118 4% 80%  
119 6% 75%  
120 6% 69%  
121 4% 63%  
122 6% 59%  
123 7% 53% Median
124 5% 46%  
125 5% 42%  
126 7% 37%  
127 4% 30%  
128 4% 26%  
129 5% 22%  
130 4% 17%  
131 2% 13%  
132 3% 11%  
133 2% 8%  
134 1.3% 6%  
135 1.1% 5%  
136 1.2% 4%  
137 0.7% 3%  
138 0.5% 2%  
139 0.5% 1.4%  
140 0.3% 0.9%  
141 0.1% 0.5%  
142 0.1% 0.4%  
143 0.1% 0.3%  
144 0% 0.2%  
145 0% 0.1%  
146 0% 0.1%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0%  
175 0% 0%  
176 0% 0%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0.1% 99.9%  
96 0.1% 99.8%  
97 0.2% 99.7%  
98 0.2% 99.6%  
99 0.4% 99.3%  
100 0.6% 98.9%  
101 0.8% 98%  
102 1.3% 98%  
103 1.3% 96%  
104 2% 95%  
105 2% 93%  
106 3% 91%  
107 4% 87%  
108 4% 83%  
109 6% 79%  
110 6% 74%  
111 6% 68%  
112 7% 62%  
113 6% 56% Median
114 5% 49%  
115 6% 44%  
116 5% 38%  
117 5% 33%  
118 4% 29%  
119 4% 24%  
120 4% 20%  
121 3% 16%  
122 3% 13%  
123 2% 10%  
124 2% 8%  
125 2% 6%  
126 1.2% 4%  
127 0.9% 3%  
128 0.7% 2%  
129 0.4% 1.4%  
130 0.4% 1.0%  
131 0.2% 0.6%  
132 0.1% 0.4%  
133 0.1% 0.3%  
134 0.1% 0.2%  
135 0% 0.1%  
136 0% 0.1%  
137 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0% 100% Last Result
81 0.1% 99.9%  
82 0.1% 99.9%  
83 0.2% 99.7%  
84 0.3% 99.6%  
85 0.4% 99.3%  
86 0.7% 98.9%  
87 1.0% 98%  
88 1.3% 97%  
89 2% 96%  
90 2% 94%  
91 3% 92%  
92 3% 89%  
93 4% 85%  
94 5% 81%  
95 5% 77%  
96 6% 72%  
97 6% 66%  
98 7% 59%  
99 6% 53% Median
100 6% 47%  
101 8% 40%  
102 6% 33%  
103 5% 27%  
104 5% 22%  
105 4% 18%  
106 3% 13%  
107 2% 11%  
108 2% 8%  
109 2% 7%  
110 1.2% 5%  
111 1.0% 3%  
112 0.7% 2%  
113 0.5% 2%  
114 0.4% 1.1%  
115 0.3% 0.7%  
116 0.1% 0.4%  
117 0.1% 0.3%  
118 0.1% 0.2%  
119 0% 0.1%  
120 0% 0.1%  
121 0% 0%  

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100%  
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 0.1% 99.8%  
76 0.2% 99.7%  
77 0.4% 99.5%  
78 0.5% 99.1%  
79 1.0% 98.6%  
80 1.2% 98%  
81 2% 96%  
82 2% 95%  
83 3% 93%  
84 3% 90%  
85 5% 86%  
86 5% 82%  
87 6% 77%  
88 5% 71%  
89 9% 66%  
90 6% 57%  
91 6% 51% Median
92 8% 45%  
93 6% 38%  
94 5% 32% Last Result
95 5% 27%  
96 5% 22%  
97 4% 17%  
98 3% 13%  
99 3% 10%  
100 2% 8%  
101 1.4% 5%  
102 1.1% 4%  
103 0.9% 3%  
104 0.5% 2%  
105 0.4% 1.4%  
106 0.4% 1.0%  
107 0.2% 0.6%  
108 0.1% 0.3%  
109 0.1% 0.2%  
110 0.1% 0.1%  
111 0% 0.1%  
112 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.1% 100%  
47 0.1% 99.9%  
48 0.2% 99.8%  
49 0.3% 99.6%  
50 0.7% 99.3%  
51 1.1% 98.6%  
52 2% 98%  
53 3% 96%  
54 3% 93%  
55 4% 91%  
56 5% 86%  
57 6% 82%  
58 7% 76%  
59 7% 68%  
60 9% 61%  
61 9% 53% Median
62 7% 44%  
63 6% 37%  
64 7% 30%  
65 6% 24%  
66 4% 18%  
67 4% 13%  
68 3% 9%  
69 2% 7% Last Result
70 2% 5%  
71 1.1% 3%  
72 0.7% 2%  
73 0.4% 1.2%  
74 0.4% 0.8%  
75 0.2% 0.5%  
76 0.1% 0.3%  
77 0.1% 0.1%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.1% 100%  
23 0.3% 99.8%  
24 0.7% 99.5%  
25 2% 98.8%  
26 3% 97%  
27 4% 94%  
28 8% 89%  
29 9% 82%  
30 10% 72%  
31 11% 62%  
32 11% 51% Median
33 11% 40%  
34 8% 29%  
35 7% 21%  
36 5% 14%  
37 4% 9%  
38 2% 5%  
39 1.3% 3%  
40 0.8% 2%  
41 0.5% 0.9%  
42 0.3% 0.5%  
43 0.1% 0.2%  
44 0.1% 0.1%  
45 0% 0.1%  
46 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 458 100% 447–469 445–472 441–475 436–480
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 443 100% 432–455 429–458 426–459 421–465
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 402 100% 391–413 388–416 385–420 380–425
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 368 93% 356–379 353–382 350–385 345–390
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Die Linke 289 364 88% 353–376 349–379 347–382 342–387
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 345 12% 333–356 330–360 327–362 322–367
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 344 13% 333–356 330–359 327–362 321–367
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 220 303 0% 292–315 289–318 286–320 281–326
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 289 0% 277–300 274–302 271–305 266–310
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 268 0% 258–280 255–283 252–286 247–291
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 254 0% 243–265 240–268 237–271 232–275
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 251 0% 239–261 236–264 234–267 229–272
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 246 0% 235–256 232–260 229–262 225–267

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 99.9%  
432 0.1% 99.9%  
433 0.1% 99.9%  
434 0.1% 99.8%  
435 0.1% 99.7%  
436 0.2% 99.6%  
437 0.3% 99.5%  
438 0.3% 99.2%  
439 0.4% 98.9%  
440 0.5% 98.5%  
441 0.6% 98%  
442 0.7% 97%  
443 0.7% 97%  
444 1.0% 96%  
445 1.3% 95%  
446 2% 94%  
447 2% 92%  
448 2% 90%  
449 3% 88%  
450 3% 85%  
451 3% 81%  
452 4% 79%  
453 4% 75%  
454 5% 71%  
455 4% 67%  
456 3% 63%  
457 5% 59%  
458 5% 54% Median
459 5% 49%  
460 4% 44%  
461 5% 40%  
462 4% 35%  
463 4% 31%  
464 4% 26%  
465 3% 22%  
466 3% 19% Last Result
467 2% 16%  
468 3% 14%  
469 2% 11%  
470 2% 9%  
471 2% 7%  
472 1.2% 6%  
473 1.0% 5%  
474 0.9% 4%  
475 0.7% 3%  
476 0.5% 2%  
477 0.5% 1.4%  
478 0.3% 1.0%  
479 0.2% 0.7%  
480 0.1% 0.5%  
481 0.1% 0.4%  
482 0.1% 0.2%  
483 0% 0.2%  
484 0% 0.1%  
485 0% 0.1%  
486 0% 0.1%  
487 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 99.9%  
417 0.1% 99.9%  
418 0.1% 99.9%  
419 0% 99.8%  
420 0.1% 99.7%  
421 0.2% 99.7%  
422 0.4% 99.4%  
423 0.2% 99.0%  
424 0.2% 98.9%  
425 0.6% 98.6%  
426 0.8% 98%  
427 0.3% 97%  
428 0.9% 97%  
429 2% 96%  
430 1.2% 94%  
431 0.8% 93%  
432 2% 92%  
433 4% 90%  
434 2% 86%  
435 2% 84%  
436 3% 82%  
437 5% 79%  
438 2% 74%  
439 4% 72%  
440 6% 68%  
441 4% 62%  
442 2% 58%  
443 6% 56%  
444 5% 50% Median
445 3% 44%  
446 2% 41%  
447 6% 39%  
448 6% 33%  
449 2% 27%  
450 2% 25%  
451 6% 23%  
452 3% 16%  
453 0.7% 13%  
454 2% 12%  
455 4% 11%  
456 1.4% 7%  
457 0.5% 5%  
458 1.2% 5%  
459 1.5% 4%  
460 0.5% 2%  
461 0.3% 2%  
462 0.4% 2%  
463 0.3% 1.1%  
464 0.2% 0.8%  
465 0.2% 0.6%  
466 0.2% 0.4%  
467 0.1% 0.3%  
468 0% 0.2%  
469 0% 0.1%  
470 0.1% 0.1%  
471 0% 0%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
300 0% 100% Last Result
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 99.9%  
376 0.1% 99.9%  
377 0.1% 99.8%  
378 0% 99.7%  
379 0.1% 99.7%  
380 0.3% 99.6%  
381 0.3% 99.3%  
382 0.3% 99.0%  
383 0.2% 98.7%  
384 0.6% 98.5%  
385 0.8% 98%  
386 0.7% 97%  
387 0.5% 96%  
388 1.3% 96%  
389 2% 95%  
390 2% 93%  
391 1.1% 91%  
392 1.2% 90%  
393 5% 88%  
394 3% 84%  
395 3% 80%  
396 2% 78%  
397 4% 76%  
398 7% 72%  
399 5% 66%  
400 2% 61%  
401 2% 59%  
402 8% 57% Median
403 7% 50%  
404 4% 43%  
405 2% 39%  
406 3% 37%  
407 6% 33%  
408 5% 27%  
409 1.5% 22%  
410 3% 21%  
411 4% 18%  
412 3% 14%  
413 1.3% 11%  
414 0.8% 10%  
415 2% 9%  
416 3% 7%  
417 0.7% 4%  
418 0.3% 4%  
419 0.7% 3%  
420 0.9% 3%  
421 0.7% 2%  
422 0.2% 1.1%  
423 0.1% 0.9%  
424 0.2% 0.8%  
425 0.3% 0.6%  
426 0.1% 0.3%  
427 0% 0.2%  
428 0% 0.2%  
429 0.1% 0.1%  
430 0% 0.1%  
431 0% 0.1%  
432 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 99.9%  
341 0% 99.9%  
342 0.1% 99.9%  
343 0.1% 99.8%  
344 0.1% 99.7%  
345 0.1% 99.6%  
346 0.3% 99.4%  
347 0.3% 99.2%  
348 0.5% 98.9%  
349 0.3% 98%  
350 0.7% 98%  
351 0.7% 97%  
352 0.9% 97%  
353 1.4% 96%  
354 2% 94%  
355 1.4% 93% Majority
356 2% 91%  
357 2% 89%  
358 3% 87%  
359 2% 85%  
360 4% 83%  
361 4% 79%  
362 4% 75%  
363 4% 72%  
364 4% 68%  
365 5% 64%  
366 4% 59%  
367 4% 55% Median
368 5% 50%  
369 4% 45%  
370 4% 41%  
371 4% 37%  
372 4% 33%  
373 4% 30%  
374 3% 25%  
375 4% 23%  
376 2% 18%  
377 3% 16%  
378 2% 13%  
379 2% 11%  
380 2% 9%  
381 1.5% 7%  
382 1.0% 6%  
383 1.2% 5%  
384 0.8% 3%  
385 0.6% 3%  
386 0.5% 2%  
387 0.4% 2%  
388 0.3% 1.2%  
389 0.2% 0.9%  
390 0.2% 0.7%  
391 0.2% 0.5%  
392 0.1% 0.3%  
393 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
394 0% 0.2%  
395 0.1% 0.1%  
396 0% 0.1%  
397 0% 0.1%  
398 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 99.9%  
337 0% 99.9%  
338 0.1% 99.9%  
339 0.1% 99.8%  
340 0.1% 99.8%  
341 0.1% 99.7%  
342 0.2% 99.6%  
343 0.3% 99.4%  
344 0.4% 99.2%  
345 0.4% 98.7%  
346 0.4% 98%  
347 0.8% 98%  
348 1.3% 97%  
349 1.0% 96%  
350 0.8% 95%  
351 1.5% 94%  
352 2% 92%  
353 2% 90%  
354 0.9% 89%  
355 2% 88% Majority
356 4% 86%  
357 3% 82%  
358 2% 79%  
359 3% 77%  
360 4% 74%  
361 9% 70%  
362 4% 61%  
363 2% 56%  
364 5% 54% Median
365 8% 49%  
366 5% 41%  
367 2% 36%  
368 3% 34%  
369 4% 31%  
370 4% 27%  
371 2% 23%  
372 2% 21%  
373 3% 20%  
374 3% 17%  
375 2% 13%  
376 2% 11%  
377 2% 9%  
378 2% 7%  
379 1.2% 5%  
380 0.6% 4%  
381 0.7% 3%  
382 0.9% 3%  
383 0.5% 2%  
384 0.2% 1.1%  
385 0.1% 0.9%  
386 0.2% 0.7%  
387 0.2% 0.6%  
388 0.1% 0.4%  
389 0.1% 0.3%  
390 0.1% 0.2%  
391 0.1% 0.2%  
392 0% 0.1%  
393 0% 0.1%  
394 0% 0.1%  
395 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 99.9%  
317 0% 99.9%  
318 0.1% 99.9%  
319 0.1% 99.8%  
320 0.1% 99.8%  
321 0.1% 99.7%  
322 0.2% 99.6%  
323 0.2% 99.4%  
324 0.1% 99.3%  
325 0.2% 99.1%  
326 0.5% 98.9%  
327 0.9% 98%  
328 0.7% 97%  
329 0.6% 97%  
330 1.2% 96%  
331 2% 95%  
332 2% 93%  
333 2% 91%  
334 2% 89%  
335 3% 87%  
336 3% 83%  
337 2% 80%  
338 2% 79%  
339 4% 77%  
340 4% 73%  
341 3% 69%  
342 2% 66%  
343 5% 64%  
344 8% 59%  
345 5% 51% Median
346 2% 46%  
347 4% 44%  
348 9% 39%  
349 4% 30%  
350 3% 26%  
351 2% 23%  
352 3% 21%  
353 4% 18%  
354 2% 14%  
355 0.9% 12% Majority
356 2% 11%  
357 2% 10%  
358 1.5% 8%  
359 0.8% 6%  
360 1.0% 5%  
361 1.3% 4%  
362 0.8% 3%  
363 0.4% 2%  
364 0.4% 2%  
365 0.4% 1.3%  
366 0.3% 0.8%  
367 0.2% 0.6%  
368 0.1% 0.4%  
369 0.1% 0.3%  
370 0.1% 0.2%  
371 0.1% 0.2%  
372 0% 0.1%  
373 0% 0.1%  
374 0% 0.1%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 99.9%  
318 0.1% 99.9%  
319 0.1% 99.8%  
320 0.1% 99.8%  
321 0.2% 99.7%  
322 0.1% 99.5%  
323 0.2% 99.4%  
324 0.3% 99.1%  
325 0.6% 98.9%  
326 0.4% 98%  
327 0.7% 98%  
328 0.8% 97%  
329 0.9% 96%  
330 1.2% 96%  
331 1.2% 94%  
332 2% 93%  
333 2% 91%  
334 3% 89%  
335 2% 86%  
336 3% 84%  
337 3% 81%  
338 4% 78%  
339 3% 74%  
340 4% 71%  
341 4% 67%  
342 6% 63%  
343 3% 57%  
344 5% 54%  
345 4% 50% Median
346 4% 45%  
347 5% 41%  
348 4% 36%  
349 4% 32%  
350 3% 28%  
351 4% 25%  
352 3% 21%  
353 2% 18%  
354 2% 16%  
355 3% 13% Majority
356 2% 11%  
357 1.2% 9%  
358 2% 7%  
359 1.3% 6%  
360 1.0% 4%  
361 0.9% 3%  
362 0.6% 3%  
363 0.4% 2%  
364 0.5% 2%  
365 0.2% 1.0%  
366 0.2% 0.8%  
367 0.2% 0.6%  
368 0.1% 0.4%  
369 0.1% 0.3%  
370 0.1% 0.2%  
371 0% 0.1%  
372 0% 0.1%  
373 0% 0.1%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 99.9%  
277 0% 99.9%  
278 0.1% 99.9%  
279 0.1% 99.8%  
280 0.1% 99.7%  
281 0.2% 99.6%  
282 0.2% 99.4%  
283 0.4% 99.3%  
284 0.5% 98.8%  
285 0.5% 98%  
286 0.6% 98%  
287 1.0% 97%  
288 0.7% 96%  
289 1.0% 95%  
290 2% 94%  
291 1.3% 93%  
292 2% 92%  
293 3% 90%  
294 2% 87%  
295 2% 85%  
296 3% 83%  
297 3% 80%  
298 5% 77%  
299 4% 72%  
300 5% 68%  
301 6% 63%  
302 4% 57%  
303 5% 53% Median
304 6% 48%  
305 3% 43%  
306 5% 39%  
307 4% 35%  
308 4% 30%  
309 3% 27%  
310 4% 24%  
311 3% 21%  
312 2% 18%  
313 3% 16%  
314 2% 13%  
315 2% 11%  
316 2% 8%  
317 2% 7%  
318 1.0% 5%  
319 1.0% 4%  
320 0.6% 3%  
321 0.6% 2%  
322 0.5% 2%  
323 0.3% 1.3%  
324 0.3% 1.0%  
325 0.2% 0.7%  
326 0.1% 0.5%  
327 0.1% 0.4%  
328 0.1% 0.3%  
329 0.1% 0.2%  
330 0% 0.2%  
331 0% 0.1%  
332 0% 0.1%  
333 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
233 0% 100% Last Result
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 99.9%  
262 0% 99.9%  
263 0.1% 99.9%  
264 0.1% 99.8%  
265 0.1% 99.7%  
266 0.2% 99.6%  
267 0.2% 99.4%  
268 0.4% 99.2%  
269 0.4% 98.9%  
270 0.4% 98%  
271 0.6% 98%  
272 0.9% 97%  
273 1.0% 97%  
274 1.3% 96%  
275 2% 94%  
276 1.2% 93%  
277 2% 91%  
278 3% 90%  
279 2% 87%  
280 3% 85%  
281 4% 82%  
282 3% 78%  
283 3% 75%  
284 4% 72%  
285 4% 68%  
286 5% 64%  
287 4% 59%  
288 5% 56%  
289 5% 51% Median
290 4% 46%  
291 4% 41%  
292 5% 38%  
293 4% 33%  
294 4% 30%  
295 5% 26%  
296 3% 21%  
297 3% 18%  
298 3% 15%  
299 2% 12%  
300 2% 10%  
301 2% 8%  
302 2% 6%  
303 1.0% 5%  
304 0.8% 4%  
305 0.7% 3%  
306 0.5% 2%  
307 0.4% 2%  
308 0.4% 1.3%  
309 0.2% 0.9%  
310 0.2% 0.7%  
311 0.1% 0.5%  
312 0.1% 0.4%  
313 0% 0.3%  
314 0.1% 0.2%  
315 0% 0.1%  
316 0% 0.1%  
317 0% 0.1%  
318 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 99.9%  
243 0% 99.9%  
244 0.1% 99.9%  
245 0.1% 99.8%  
246 0.1% 99.7%  
247 0.2% 99.6%  
248 0.3% 99.4%  
249 0.3% 99.2%  
250 0.3% 98.8%  
251 0.5% 98%  
252 0.5% 98%  
253 1.1% 97%  
254 0.7% 96%  
255 2% 96%  
256 1.1% 94%  
257 2% 93%  
258 3% 91%  
259 3% 88%  
260 4% 86%  
261 3% 82%  
262 2% 79%  
263 5% 76%  
264 4% 72%  
265 4% 68%  
266 5% 64%  
267 4% 59%  
268 5% 54% Median
269 4% 50%  
270 5% 46%  
271 3% 41%  
272 5% 38%  
273 4% 33%  
274 4% 28%  
275 4% 24%  
276 2% 20%  
277 3% 18%  
278 2% 15%  
279 2% 13%  
280 2% 11%  
281 3% 9%  
282 1.1% 7%  
283 0.9% 6%  
284 1.3% 5%  
285 0.8% 3%  
286 0.6% 3%  
287 0.6% 2%  
288 0.3% 1.5%  
289 0.2% 1.1%  
290 0.3% 0.9%  
291 0.1% 0.6%  
292 0.2% 0.5%  
293 0.1% 0.3%  
294 0.1% 0.2%  
295 0% 0.1%  
296 0% 0.1%  
297 0% 0.1%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 99.9%  
228 0% 99.9%  
229 0% 99.9%  
230 0.1% 99.8%  
231 0.1% 99.7%  
232 0.2% 99.6%  
233 0.2% 99.5%  
234 0.2% 99.3%  
235 0.5% 99.0%  
236 0.5% 98.5%  
237 0.6% 98%  
238 0.8% 97%  
239 1.1% 97%  
240 1.2% 96%  
241 1.5% 94%  
242 2% 93%  
243 2% 91%  
244 3% 89%  
245 2% 86%  
246 2% 84%  
247 5% 82%  
248 3% 77%  
249 5% 74%  
250 3% 69%  
251 6% 66%  
252 4% 60%  
253 4% 55%  
254 5% 51% Median
255 4% 46%  
256 6% 42%  
257 3% 36%  
258 4% 33%  
259 4% 30%  
260 3% 25%  
261 3% 22%  
262 2% 18%  
263 4% 16%  
264 2% 12%  
265 2% 10%  
266 2% 8%  
267 0.8% 6%  
268 1.4% 5%  
269 0.8% 4%  
270 0.7% 3%  
271 0.6% 3%  
272 0.5% 2%  
273 0.5% 1.5%  
274 0.2% 1.0%  
275 0.3% 0.8%  
276 0.1% 0.5%  
277 0.1% 0.4%  
278 0.1% 0.3%  
279 0% 0.2%  
280 0.1% 0.2%  
281 0% 0.1%  
282 0% 0.1%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
222 0% 100% Last Result
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 99.9%  
225 0% 99.9%  
226 0.1% 99.9%  
227 0.1% 99.8%  
228 0.1% 99.7%  
229 0.2% 99.6%  
230 0.2% 99.4%  
231 0.3% 99.2%  
232 0.5% 98.9%  
233 0.5% 98%  
234 1.0% 98%  
235 1.0% 97%  
236 2% 96%  
237 1.0% 94%  
238 1.0% 93%  
239 3% 92%  
240 2% 90%  
241 3% 88%  
242 3% 84%  
243 3% 81%  
244 3% 78%  
245 3% 75%  
246 3% 72%  
247 4% 69%  
248 3% 64%  
249 5% 61%  
250 3% 56%  
251 4% 53% Median
252 6% 49%  
253 3% 42%  
254 7% 39%  
255 4% 32%  
256 4% 28%  
257 4% 25%  
258 3% 21%  
259 4% 18%  
260 3% 14%  
261 3% 11%  
262 2% 9%  
263 1.4% 7%  
264 1.4% 6%  
265 0.6% 4%  
266 1.0% 3%  
267 0.6% 3%  
268 0.5% 2%  
269 0.2% 1.4%  
270 0.4% 1.2%  
271 0.2% 0.8%  
272 0.2% 0.7%  
273 0.1% 0.5%  
274 0.1% 0.4%  
275 0.1% 0.3%  
276 0% 0.2%  
277 0.1% 0.1%  
278 0% 0.1%  
279 0% 0.1%  
280 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 99.9%  
221 0% 99.9%  
222 0.1% 99.8%  
223 0.1% 99.8%  
224 0.1% 99.7%  
225 0.3% 99.6%  
226 0.3% 99.3%  
227 0.2% 99.0%  
228 0.6% 98.8%  
229 0.9% 98%  
230 0.5% 97%  
231 1.0% 97%  
232 1.2% 96%  
233 1.2% 95%  
234 2% 93%  
235 3% 91%  
236 1.2% 89%  
237 4% 87%  
238 3% 83%  
239 3% 80%  
240 6% 78%  
241 4% 72%  
242 3% 68%  
243 8% 65%  
244 3% 58%  
245 3% 55%  
246 6% 52% Median
247 4% 46%  
248 4% 41%  
249 5% 37%  
250 4% 32%  
251 2% 28%  
252 4% 26%  
253 4% 21%  
254 2% 17%  
255 3% 15%  
256 2% 12%  
257 1.2% 10%  
258 3% 9%  
259 1.1% 6%  
260 0.8% 5%  
261 1.3% 4%  
262 0.6% 3%  
263 0.4% 2%  
264 0.5% 2%  
265 0.3% 1.4%  
266 0.2% 1.0%  
267 0.4% 0.9%  
268 0.1% 0.5%  
269 0.1% 0.4%  
270 0.1% 0.3%  
271 0.1% 0.2%  
272 0% 0.1%  
273 0% 0.1%  
274 0% 0.1%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0%  
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0% Last Result

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