Opinion Poll by Infratest dimap, 30 August–1 September 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 25.0% 23.5–26.6% 23.1–27.0% 22.7–27.4% 22.0–28.1%
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 16.2% 15.0–17.6% 14.6–18.0% 14.3–18.3% 13.8–19.0%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 16.0% 14.8–17.4% 14.4–17.7% 14.1–18.1% 13.6–18.7%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 13.0% 11.9–14.3% 11.6–14.6% 11.3–14.9% 10.8–15.5%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 12.0% 10.9–13.2% 10.6–13.5% 10.3–13.8% 9.8–14.4%
Die Linke 9.2% 6.0% 5.2–6.9% 5.0–7.2% 4.8–7.4% 4.5–7.8%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 3.7% 3.2–4.5% 3.0–4.7% 2.9–4.9% 2.6–5.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 192 179–204 177–207 175–211 169–218
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 125 115–135 112–139 110–141 106–147
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 123 113–133 111–137 108–140 104–145
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 100 91–110 89–112 87–115 83–120
Alternative für Deutschland 94 92 83–101 81–104 79–106 76–111
Die Linke 69 46 40–53 0–55 0–57 0–60
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 32 27–38 26–39 25–41 23–44

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
153 0% 100% Last Result
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 99.9%  
165 0% 99.9%  
166 0% 99.9%  
167 0.1% 99.8%  
168 0.1% 99.7%  
169 0.2% 99.6%  
170 0.3% 99.3%  
171 0.3% 99.1%  
172 0.3% 98.8%  
173 0.3% 98%  
174 0.7% 98%  
175 0.9% 98%  
176 1.1% 97%  
177 1.3% 95%  
178 2% 94%  
179 2% 92%  
180 2% 90%  
181 2% 88%  
182 2% 86%  
183 2% 84%  
184 4% 82%  
185 4% 79%  
186 4% 75%  
187 4% 71%  
188 4% 67%  
189 5% 62%  
190 3% 57%  
191 2% 54%  
192 3% 52% Median
193 4% 49%  
194 3% 45%  
195 7% 42%  
196 6% 35%  
197 4% 29%  
198 3% 25%  
199 2% 22%  
200 3% 20%  
201 2% 18%  
202 2% 16%  
203 2% 14%  
204 3% 12%  
205 2% 10%  
206 1.4% 8%  
207 2% 7%  
208 0.8% 5%  
209 0.4% 4%  
210 0.5% 3%  
211 0.4% 3%  
212 0.3% 2%  
213 0.4% 2%  
214 0.4% 2%  
215 0.3% 1.3%  
216 0.3% 1.0%  
217 0.1% 0.7%  
218 0.1% 0.6%  
219 0.1% 0.5%  
220 0.1% 0.4%  
221 0.1% 0.3%  
222 0.1% 0.2%  
223 0% 0.2%  
224 0.1% 0.2%  
225 0% 0.1%  
226 0% 0.1%  
227 0% 0.1%  
228 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
101 0% 100%  
102 0.1% 99.9%  
103 0.1% 99.9%  
104 0.1% 99.8%  
105 0.2% 99.7%  
106 0.3% 99.5%  
107 0.3% 99.3%  
108 0.4% 99.0%  
109 0.9% 98.6%  
110 0.7% 98%  
111 1.3% 97%  
112 1.3% 96%  
113 2% 94%  
114 2% 93%  
115 3% 91%  
116 4% 89%  
117 3% 85%  
118 4% 82%  
119 3% 78%  
120 3% 74%  
121 5% 71%  
122 6% 66%  
123 4% 60%  
124 4% 55%  
125 6% 51% Median
126 5% 45%  
127 4% 41%  
128 4% 36%  
129 5% 32%  
130 3% 27%  
131 3% 24%  
132 4% 21%  
133 4% 18%  
134 2% 14%  
135 2% 11%  
136 2% 9%  
137 2% 8%  
138 1.3% 6%  
139 1.2% 5%  
140 0.8% 4%  
141 0.6% 3%  
142 0.5% 2%  
143 0.4% 2%  
144 0.5% 1.5%  
145 0.3% 1.0%  
146 0.2% 0.7%  
147 0.1% 0.5%  
148 0.1% 0.4%  
149 0.1% 0.3%  
150 0% 0.2%  
151 0% 0.1%  
152 0% 0.1%  
153 0% 0.1%  
154 0% 0.1%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0%  
175 0% 0%  
176 0% 0%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 99.9%  
101 0.1% 99.9%  
102 0.1% 99.8%  
103 0.2% 99.7%  
104 0.2% 99.6%  
105 0.2% 99.3%  
106 0.4% 99.1%  
107 0.6% 98.7%  
108 0.8% 98%  
109 1.0% 97%  
110 1.1% 96%  
111 2% 95%  
112 2% 94%  
113 3% 91%  
114 3% 89%  
115 3% 86%  
116 3% 84%  
117 4% 81%  
118 4% 77%  
119 4% 73%  
120 5% 68%  
121 6% 63%  
122 6% 57%  
123 5% 51% Median
124 5% 46%  
125 5% 41%  
126 4% 37%  
127 4% 32%  
128 3% 28%  
129 4% 25%  
130 4% 21%  
131 3% 17%  
132 3% 14%  
133 3% 12%  
134 1.5% 9%  
135 1.4% 8%  
136 1.1% 6%  
137 0.9% 5%  
138 0.8% 4%  
139 0.8% 3%  
140 0.7% 3%  
141 0.5% 2%  
142 0.4% 1.4%  
143 0.3% 1.0%  
144 0.2% 0.7%  
145 0.1% 0.5%  
146 0.1% 0.4%  
147 0.1% 0.3%  
148 0% 0.2%  
149 0% 0.2%  
150 0% 0.1%  
151 0% 0.1%  
152 0% 0.1%  
153 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 99.9%  
80 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
81 0.1% 99.8%  
82 0.1% 99.7%  
83 0.2% 99.6%  
84 0.3% 99.3%  
85 0.7% 99.0%  
86 0.7% 98%  
87 0.9% 98%  
88 1.4% 97%  
89 2% 95%  
90 2% 94%  
91 2% 92%  
92 3% 89%  
93 4% 86%  
94 4% 83%  
95 6% 79%  
96 4% 73%  
97 5% 69%  
98 5% 64%  
99 5% 59%  
100 7% 54% Median
101 5% 47%  
102 6% 42%  
103 5% 36%  
104 4% 31%  
105 5% 27%  
106 3% 22%  
107 3% 19%  
108 3% 16%  
109 2% 13%  
110 2% 10%  
111 1.4% 8%  
112 2% 7%  
113 1.3% 5%  
114 1.0% 4%  
115 0.7% 3%  
116 0.5% 2%  
117 0.4% 2%  
118 0.3% 1.1%  
119 0.2% 0.8%  
120 0.2% 0.6%  
121 0.2% 0.4%  
122 0.1% 0.3%  
123 0.1% 0.2%  
124 0% 0.1%  
125 0% 0.1%  
126 0% 0.1%  
127 0% 0%  

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 99.9%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 0.1% 99.8%  
75 0.2% 99.7%  
76 0.3% 99.5%  
77 0.5% 99.2%  
78 0.8% 98.7%  
79 0.9% 98%  
80 1.1% 97%  
81 2% 96%  
82 2% 94%  
83 3% 92%  
84 3% 89%  
85 3% 86%  
86 4% 83%  
87 5% 79%  
88 5% 74%  
89 4% 70%  
90 6% 65%  
91 6% 59%  
92 5% 54% Median
93 5% 48%  
94 6% 44% Last Result
95 5% 38%  
96 6% 33%  
97 4% 27%  
98 4% 23%  
99 3% 19%  
100 4% 15%  
101 2% 12%  
102 2% 9%  
103 1.4% 7%  
104 2% 6%  
105 1.1% 4%  
106 0.7% 3%  
107 0.6% 2%  
108 0.5% 2%  
109 0.4% 1.3%  
110 0.2% 0.9%  
111 0.2% 0.6%  
112 0.1% 0.5%  
113 0.1% 0.3%  
114 0.1% 0.2%  
115 0.1% 0.1%  
116 0% 0.1%  
117 0% 0.1%  
118 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 5% 100%  
1 0% 95%  
2 0% 95%  
3 0% 95%  
4 0% 95%  
5 0% 95%  
6 0% 95%  
7 0% 95%  
8 0% 95%  
9 0% 95%  
10 0% 95%  
11 0% 95%  
12 0% 95%  
13 0% 95%  
14 0% 95%  
15 0% 95%  
16 0% 95%  
17 0% 95%  
18 0% 95%  
19 0% 95%  
20 0% 95%  
21 0% 95%  
22 0% 95%  
23 0% 95%  
24 0% 95%  
25 0% 95%  
26 0% 95%  
27 0% 95%  
28 0% 95%  
29 0% 95%  
30 0% 95%  
31 0% 95%  
32 0% 95%  
33 0% 95%  
34 0% 95%  
35 0% 95%  
36 0% 95%  
37 0% 95%  
38 0.5% 95%  
39 3% 94%  
40 3% 92%  
41 5% 88%  
42 8% 84%  
43 6% 76%  
44 6% 69%  
45 9% 63%  
46 10% 54% Median
47 6% 44%  
48 7% 38%  
49 7% 32%  
50 6% 25%  
51 5% 19%  
52 3% 14%  
53 3% 11%  
54 3% 8%  
55 2% 6%  
56 0.9% 4%  
57 0.9% 3%  
58 0.7% 2%  
59 0.4% 1.0%  
60 0.2% 0.6%  
61 0.2% 0.4%  
62 0.1% 0.2%  
63 0.1% 0.1%  
64 0% 0.1%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0.1% 100%  
22 0.2% 99.9%  
23 0.5% 99.7%  
24 0.9% 99.1%  
25 2% 98%  
26 3% 96%  
27 5% 93%  
28 6% 89%  
29 9% 83%  
30 8% 74%  
31 10% 66%  
32 12% 55% Median
33 8% 44%  
34 8% 36%  
35 8% 27%  
36 6% 20%  
37 3% 14%  
38 3% 10%  
39 3% 7%  
40 2% 4%  
41 1.1% 3%  
42 0.7% 2%  
43 0.4% 1.0%  
44 0.3% 0.6%  
45 0.1% 0.3%  
46 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
47 0% 0.1%  
48 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 471 100% 459–486 455–494 452–504 446–516
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 448 100% 435–463 432–470 429–480 423–492
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 415 100% 401–429 398–436 395–444 388–457
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 380 99.4% 367–395 363–401 360–408 354–419
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Die Linke 289 360 71% 345–374 341–377 332–379 320–387
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 349 29% 335–364 332–368 330–377 322–389
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 349 28% 335–363 332–368 328–375 322–386
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 220 315 0.3% 301–329 298–333 295–341 289–351
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 292 0% 279–306 275–311 272–315 266–325
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 280 0% 267–294 263–299 260–303 254–313
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 257 0% 244–271 241–275 238–280 232–288
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 250 0% 237–263 233–267 230–271 224–280
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 237 0% 223–250 215–254 204–256 192–263

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
439 0% 100%  
440 0% 99.9%  
441 0% 99.9%  
442 0% 99.9%  
443 0.1% 99.8%  
444 0.1% 99.8%  
445 0.1% 99.7%  
446 0.2% 99.5%  
447 0.2% 99.4%  
448 0.3% 99.2%  
449 0.2% 98.9%  
450 0.3% 98.7%  
451 0.5% 98%  
452 0.5% 98%  
453 0.6% 97%  
454 1.0% 97%  
455 1.2% 96%  
456 2% 95%  
457 1.3% 93%  
458 2% 92%  
459 3% 90%  
460 1.3% 87%  
461 2% 86%  
462 2% 84%  
463 3% 82%  
464 3% 79%  
465 3% 76%  
466 4% 72% Last Result
467 4% 68%  
468 5% 64%  
469 3% 59%  
470 4% 56%  
471 4% 52%  
472 2% 49% Median
473 4% 46%  
474 5% 42%  
475 4% 37%  
476 3% 33%  
477 3% 30%  
478 3% 27%  
479 3% 23%  
480 2% 20%  
481 1.5% 19%  
482 2% 17%  
483 2% 15%  
484 2% 13%  
485 1.2% 12%  
486 1.1% 10%  
487 1.1% 9%  
488 0.6% 8%  
489 0.7% 7%  
490 0.4% 7%  
491 0.6% 6%  
492 0.4% 6%  
493 0.2% 5%  
494 0.2% 5%  
495 0.3% 5%  
496 0.2% 5%  
497 0.1% 4%  
498 0.5% 4%  
499 0.2% 4%  
500 0.3% 4%  
501 0.2% 3%  
502 0.2% 3%  
503 0.2% 3%  
504 0.3% 3%  
505 0.3% 2%  
506 0.1% 2%  
507 0.3% 2%  
508 0.2% 2%  
509 0.2% 2%  
510 0.1% 1.4%  
511 0.2% 1.2%  
512 0.1% 1.0%  
513 0.1% 0.9%  
514 0.1% 0.7%  
515 0.1% 0.6%  
516 0.2% 0.5%  
517 0.1% 0.4%  
518 0% 0.3%  
519 0.1% 0.3%  
520 0% 0.2%  
521 0.1% 0.2%  
522 0% 0.1%  
523 0% 0.1%  
524 0% 0.1%  
525 0% 0.1%  
526 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 99.9%  
418 0% 99.9%  
419 0.1% 99.9%  
420 0.1% 99.8%  
421 0.1% 99.7%  
422 0.1% 99.6%  
423 0.1% 99.5%  
424 0.2% 99.4%  
425 0.2% 99.2%  
426 0.3% 98.9%  
427 0.3% 98.6%  
428 0.6% 98%  
429 0.5% 98%  
430 1.0% 97%  
431 0.6% 96%  
432 1.5% 96%  
433 1.2% 94%  
434 1.4% 93%  
435 2% 92%  
436 2% 90%  
437 3% 88%  
438 2% 85%  
439 3% 83%  
440 2% 80%  
441 2% 78%  
442 4% 76%  
443 3% 72%  
444 3% 68%  
445 3% 65%  
446 6% 62%  
447 3% 57%  
448 5% 53%  
449 3% 48% Median
450 2% 44%  
451 4% 42%  
452 4% 38%  
453 4% 34%  
454 2% 30%  
455 2% 28%  
456 4% 26%  
457 3% 22%  
458 2% 19%  
459 2% 17%  
460 1.1% 15%  
461 2% 14%  
462 2% 13%  
463 1.4% 11%  
464 1.0% 10%  
465 0.9% 9%  
466 0.8% 8%  
467 0.5% 7%  
468 0.6% 6%  
469 0.4% 6%  
470 0.4% 5%  
471 0.3% 5%  
472 0.3% 5%  
473 0.3% 4%  
474 0.2% 4%  
475 0.2% 4%  
476 0.2% 4%  
477 0.2% 3%  
478 0.2% 3%  
479 0.3% 3% Last Result
480 0.3% 3%  
481 0.4% 2%  
482 0.2% 2%  
483 0.1% 2%  
484 0.2% 2%  
485 0.2% 2%  
486 0.1% 1.3%  
487 0.3% 1.3%  
488 0.1% 1.0%  
489 0.1% 0.9%  
490 0.1% 0.7%  
491 0% 0.6%  
492 0.1% 0.5%  
493 0.1% 0.4%  
494 0.1% 0.4%  
495 0% 0.3%  
496 0% 0.2%  
497 0% 0.2%  
498 0% 0.1%  
499 0% 0.1%  
500 0% 0.1%  
501 0% 0.1%  
502 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
300 0% 100% Last Result
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 99.9%  
383 0% 99.9%  
384 0.1% 99.9%  
385 0% 99.8%  
386 0.1% 99.8%  
387 0.1% 99.7%  
388 0.1% 99.6%  
389 0.1% 99.5%  
390 0.3% 99.4%  
391 0.3% 99.1%  
392 0.3% 98.8%  
393 0.3% 98%  
394 0.5% 98%  
395 0.7% 98%  
396 0.7% 97%  
397 1.2% 96%  
398 0.8% 95%  
399 1.3% 94%  
400 2% 93%  
401 1.4% 91%  
402 2% 90%  
403 3% 88%  
404 3% 85%  
405 2% 83%  
406 2% 81%  
407 3% 78%  
408 3% 76%  
409 3% 73%  
410 3% 70%  
411 5% 66%  
412 4% 61%  
413 4% 58%  
414 2% 53%  
415 4% 51% Median
416 5% 47%  
417 4% 43%  
418 3% 38%  
419 4% 36%  
420 3% 31%  
421 3% 29%  
422 2% 26%  
423 3% 24%  
424 2% 21%  
425 2% 19%  
426 2% 16%  
427 2% 14%  
428 2% 13%  
429 1.1% 11%  
430 1.1% 10%  
431 1.0% 9%  
432 0.7% 8%  
433 1.0% 7%  
434 0.5% 6%  
435 0.3% 5%  
436 0.4% 5%  
437 0.4% 5%  
438 0.4% 4%  
439 0.3% 4%  
440 0.3% 4%  
441 0.3% 3%  
442 0.2% 3%  
443 0.1% 3%  
444 0.5% 3%  
445 0.2% 2%  
446 0.3% 2%  
447 0.1% 2%  
448 0.1% 2%  
449 0.1% 1.5%  
450 0.1% 1.4%  
451 0.1% 1.2%  
452 0.1% 1.1%  
453 0.1% 1.0%  
454 0.1% 0.8%  
455 0.1% 0.7%  
456 0.1% 0.6%  
457 0.1% 0.5%  
458 0.1% 0.4%  
459 0.1% 0.4%  
460 0.1% 0.3%  
461 0% 0.2%  
462 0.1% 0.2%  
463 0% 0.1%  
464 0% 0.1%  
465 0% 0.1%  
466 0% 0.1%  
467 0% 0.1%  
468 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 99.9%  
349 0% 99.9%  
350 0.1% 99.9%  
351 0.1% 99.8%  
352 0.1% 99.7%  
353 0.1% 99.6%  
354 0.1% 99.5%  
355 0.2% 99.4% Majority
356 0.2% 99.1%  
357 0.2% 98.9%  
358 0.5% 98.7%  
359 0.6% 98%  
360 0.5% 98%  
361 0.8% 97%  
362 1.0% 96%  
363 0.9% 95%  
364 1.4% 94%  
365 1.4% 93%  
366 1.5% 92%  
367 2% 90%  
368 3% 88%  
369 2% 86%  
370 2% 83%  
371 3% 81%  
372 4% 78%  
373 3% 74%  
374 3% 71%  
375 4% 68%  
376 3% 65%  
377 5% 62%  
378 3% 57%  
379 5% 55%  
380 3% 50% Median
381 3% 47%  
382 4% 44%  
383 4% 40%  
384 3% 37%  
385 3% 33%  
386 2% 30%  
387 3% 28%  
388 2% 25%  
389 3% 22%  
390 2% 20%  
391 1.3% 17%  
392 2% 16%  
393 2% 14% Last Result
394 1.1% 12%  
395 2% 11%  
396 0.8% 9%  
397 1.3% 8%  
398 0.7% 7%  
399 0.5% 6%  
400 0.8% 6%  
401 0.4% 5%  
402 0.5% 5%  
403 0.4% 4%  
404 0.3% 4%  
405 0.4% 3%  
406 0.2% 3%  
407 0.4% 3%  
408 0.2% 3%  
409 0.2% 2%  
410 0.2% 2%  
411 0.2% 2%  
412 0.1% 2%  
413 0.5% 2%  
414 0.1% 1.2%  
415 0.1% 1.1%  
416 0.2% 1.0%  
417 0.1% 0.8%  
418 0.2% 0.7%  
419 0.1% 0.5%  
420 0.1% 0.5%  
421 0.1% 0.4%  
422 0% 0.3%  
423 0% 0.3%  
424 0% 0.2%  
425 0% 0.2%  
426 0% 0.1%  
427 0% 0.1%  
428 0% 0.1%  
429 0% 0.1%  
430 0% 0.1%  
431 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 99.9%  
316 0% 99.9%  
317 0.1% 99.9%  
318 0.1% 99.7%  
319 0.1% 99.6%  
320 0% 99.5%  
321 0% 99.5%  
322 0% 99.5%  
323 0% 99.4%  
324 0% 99.4%  
325 0% 99.4%  
326 0% 99.4%  
327 0.4% 99.3%  
328 0.4% 98.9%  
329 0.2% 98%  
330 0.2% 98%  
331 0.3% 98%  
332 0.3% 98%  
333 0.3% 97%  
334 0.3% 97%  
335 0.2% 97%  
336 0.1% 97%  
337 0.1% 97%  
338 0.3% 96%  
339 0.4% 96%  
340 0.6% 96%  
341 0.7% 95%  
342 0.7% 94%  
343 2% 94%  
344 2% 92%  
345 1.0% 90%  
346 1.5% 89%  
347 2% 88%  
348 2% 85%  
349 0.9% 83%  
350 1.2% 82%  
351 1.1% 81%  
352 4% 80%  
353 3% 76%  
354 2% 73%  
355 3% 71% Majority
356 6% 69%  
357 7% 62%  
358 3% 55%  
359 2% 52%  
360 3% 50%  
361 3% 47% Median
362 3% 45%  
363 1.4% 41%  
364 3% 40%  
365 6% 37%  
366 4% 30%  
367 4% 26%  
368 2% 22%  
369 3% 21%  
370 4% 18%  
371 1.4% 14%  
372 0.9% 13%  
373 1.3% 12%  
374 2% 10%  
375 2% 9%  
376 1.3% 7%  
377 1.2% 6%  
378 1.2% 5%  
379 1.0% 3%  
380 0.4% 2%  
381 0.3% 2%  
382 0.4% 2%  
383 0.3% 1.4%  
384 0.3% 1.1%  
385 0.1% 0.8%  
386 0.1% 0.6%  
387 0.2% 0.6%  
388 0.1% 0.4%  
389 0.1% 0.2%  
390 0% 0.2%  
391 0% 0.1%  
392 0% 0.1%  
393 0% 0.1%  
394 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 99.9%  
318 0% 99.9%  
319 0% 99.9%  
320 0.1% 99.8%  
321 0.1% 99.8%  
322 0.2% 99.6%  
323 0.1% 99.4%  
324 0.1% 99.4%  
325 0.3% 99.2%  
326 0.3% 98.9%  
327 0.4% 98.6%  
328 0.3% 98%  
329 0.4% 98%  
330 1.0% 98%  
331 1.2% 97%  
332 1.2% 95%  
333 1.3% 94%  
334 2% 93%  
335 2% 91%  
336 1.3% 90%  
337 0.9% 88%  
338 1.4% 87%  
339 4% 86%  
340 3% 82%  
341 2% 79%  
342 4% 78%  
343 4% 74%  
344 6% 70%  
345 3% 63%  
346 1.4% 60%  
347 3% 59%  
348 3% 55%  
349 3% 53% Median
350 2% 50%  
351 3% 48%  
352 7% 45%  
353 6% 38%  
354 3% 31%  
355 2% 29% Majority
356 3% 27%  
357 4% 24%  
358 1.1% 20%  
359 1.2% 19%  
360 0.9% 18%  
361 2% 17%  
362 2% 15%  
363 1.5% 12%  
364 1.0% 11%  
365 2% 10%  
366 2% 8%  
367 0.7% 6%  
368 0.7% 6%  
369 0.6% 5%  
370 0.4% 4%  
371 0.3% 4%  
372 0.1% 4%  
373 0.1% 3%  
374 0.2% 3%  
375 0.3% 3%  
376 0.3% 3%  
377 0.3% 3%  
378 0.3% 2%  
379 0.2% 2%  
380 0.2% 2%  
381 0.4% 2%  
382 0.4% 1.1%  
383 0% 0.7%  
384 0% 0.6%  
385 0% 0.6%  
386 0% 0.6%  
387 0% 0.6%  
388 0% 0.5%  
389 0% 0.5%  
390 0.1% 0.5%  
391 0.1% 0.4%  
392 0.1% 0.3%  
393 0% 0.1%  
394 0% 0.1%  
395 0% 0.1%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 99.9%  
317 0% 99.9%  
318 0% 99.9%  
319 0.1% 99.8%  
320 0.1% 99.8%  
321 0.1% 99.7%  
322 0.1% 99.6%  
323 0.2% 99.5%  
324 0.3% 99.3%  
325 0.3% 98.9%  
326 0.3% 98.7%  
327 0.4% 98%  
328 0.5% 98%  
329 0.8% 97%  
330 0.9% 97%  
331 0.7% 96%  
332 1.3% 95%  
333 2% 94%  
334 0.9% 92%  
335 2% 91%  
336 2% 89%  
337 3% 88%  
338 2% 85%  
339 2% 83%  
340 3% 81%  
341 3% 78%  
342 3% 75%  
343 4% 72%  
344 3% 68%  
345 4% 66%  
346 5% 62%  
347 5% 57%  
348 2% 53%  
349 5% 50% Median
350 3% 45%  
351 4% 42%  
352 3% 38%  
353 4% 35%  
354 4% 32%  
355 3% 28% Majority
356 1.3% 25%  
357 2% 23%  
358 2% 21%  
359 2% 19%  
360 2% 16%  
361 2% 14%  
362 1.3% 12%  
363 1.5% 11%  
364 0.7% 9%  
365 1.0% 9%  
366 1.0% 8%  
367 0.8% 7%  
368 0.9% 6%  
369 0.6% 5%  
370 0.4% 4%  
371 0.4% 4%  
372 0.3% 4%  
373 0.3% 3%  
374 0.3% 3%  
375 0.4% 3%  
376 0.3% 2%  
377 0.2% 2%  
378 0.1% 2%  
379 0.3% 2%  
380 0.1% 1.3%  
381 0.2% 1.2%  
382 0.3% 1.1%  
383 0.1% 0.8%  
384 0.1% 0.7%  
385 0.1% 0.6%  
386 0.1% 0.5%  
387 0.1% 0.4%  
388 0% 0.4%  
389 0.1% 0.3%  
390 0% 0.3%  
391 0% 0.2%  
392 0.1% 0.2%  
393 0% 0.1%  
394 0% 0.1%  
395 0% 0.1%  
396 0% 0.1%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 99.9%  
284 0% 99.9%  
285 0% 99.9%  
286 0.1% 99.8%  
287 0.1% 99.7%  
288 0.1% 99.6%  
289 0.2% 99.5%  
290 0.2% 99.4%  
291 0.3% 99.1%  
292 0.4% 98.9%  
293 0.4% 98.5%  
294 0.6% 98%  
295 0.6% 98%  
296 0.9% 97%  
297 0.8% 96%  
298 1.2% 95%  
299 1.2% 94%  
300 1.4% 93%  
301 2% 91%  
302 2% 90%  
303 2% 88%  
304 3% 86%  
305 3% 83%  
306 2% 80%  
307 2% 78%  
308 3% 75%  
309 3% 72%  
310 3% 70%  
311 5% 67%  
312 3% 61%  
313 3% 58%  
314 4% 55%  
315 5% 51% Median
316 3% 46%  
317 5% 43%  
318 3% 38%  
319 3% 35%  
320 4% 32%  
321 2% 28%  
322 3% 26%  
323 2% 23%  
324 3% 21%  
325 2% 18%  
326 2% 17%  
327 2% 15%  
328 2% 13%  
329 0.9% 10%  
330 1.3% 9%  
331 1.1% 8%  
332 1.2% 7%  
333 0.8% 6%  
334 0.5% 5%  
335 0.5% 4%  
336 0.3% 4%  
337 0.3% 4%  
338 0.2% 3%  
339 0.3% 3%  
340 0.3% 3%  
341 0.6% 3%  
342 0.4% 2%  
343 0.3% 2%  
344 0.2% 1.3%  
345 0.2% 1.1%  
346 0.2% 0.9%  
347 0.1% 0.7%  
348 0.1% 0.6%  
349 0% 0.6%  
350 0% 0.5%  
351 0.1% 0.5%  
352 0% 0.5%  
353 0% 0.4%  
354 0.1% 0.4%  
355 0.1% 0.3% Majority
356 0.1% 0.2%  
357 0% 0.1%  
358 0% 0.1%  
359 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
233 0% 100% Last Result
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 99.9%  
262 0.1% 99.9%  
263 0.1% 99.8%  
264 0.1% 99.8%  
265 0.1% 99.7%  
266 0.2% 99.6%  
267 0.2% 99.4%  
268 0.2% 99.3%  
269 0.3% 99.0%  
270 0.4% 98.8%  
271 0.6% 98%  
272 0.5% 98%  
273 0.8% 97%  
274 0.7% 96%  
275 1.3% 96%  
276 1.2% 94%  
277 1.0% 93%  
278 2% 92%  
279 2% 90%  
280 2% 88%  
281 2% 86%  
282 2% 84%  
283 2% 82%  
284 3% 80%  
285 3% 76%  
286 3% 73%  
287 4% 70%  
288 4% 66%  
289 4% 62%  
290 4% 58%  
291 3% 54%  
292 4% 50% Median
293 3% 47%  
294 4% 44%  
295 3% 40%  
296 3% 37%  
297 4% 34%  
298 3% 30%  
299 3% 26%  
300 2% 23%  
301 2% 20%  
302 2% 18%  
303 2% 16%  
304 2% 14%  
305 1.3% 12%  
306 1.3% 11%  
307 2% 9%  
308 0.8% 8%  
309 1.1% 7%  
310 0.7% 6%  
311 1.1% 5%  
312 0.5% 4%  
313 0.5% 4%  
314 0.4% 3%  
315 0.5% 3%  
316 0.2% 2%  
317 0.2% 2%  
318 0.2% 2%  
319 0.2% 2%  
320 0.2% 1.3%  
321 0.2% 1.2%  
322 0.1% 0.9%  
323 0.1% 0.8%  
324 0.1% 0.6%  
325 0.1% 0.5%  
326 0.1% 0.5%  
327 0% 0.3%  
328 0% 0.3%  
329 0% 0.3%  
330 0% 0.2%  
331 0.1% 0.2%  
332 0% 0.1%  
333 0% 0.1%  
334 0% 0.1%  
335 0% 0.1%  
336 0% 0.1%  
337 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 99.9%  
250 0% 99.9%  
251 0.1% 99.9%  
252 0.1% 99.8%  
253 0.1% 99.7%  
254 0.2% 99.6%  
255 0.1% 99.5%  
256 0.1% 99.3%  
257 0.3% 99.2%  
258 0.4% 98.9%  
259 0.4% 98.5%  
260 0.7% 98%  
261 0.9% 97%  
262 1.1% 96%  
263 0.9% 95%  
264 0.9% 94%  
265 1.0% 94%  
266 1.2% 93%  
267 2% 91%  
268 2% 90%  
269 3% 88%  
270 2% 85%  
271 5% 83%  
272 2% 78%  
273 3% 76%  
274 3% 73%  
275 3% 70%  
276 3% 67%  
277 3% 64%  
278 4% 61%  
279 6% 56%  
280 4% 50% Median
281 4% 46%  
282 4% 42%  
283 4% 38%  
284 2% 34%  
285 2% 32%  
286 3% 29%  
287 2% 27%  
288 3% 25%  
289 3% 22%  
290 3% 19%  
291 2% 16%  
292 2% 14%  
293 2% 12%  
294 1.1% 10%  
295 1.1% 9%  
296 0.9% 8%  
297 0.8% 7%  
298 0.8% 6%  
299 0.9% 5%  
300 0.8% 5%  
301 0.5% 4%  
302 0.6% 3%  
303 0.3% 3%  
304 0.3% 2%  
305 0.3% 2%  
306 0.2% 2%  
307 0.2% 2%  
308 0.3% 1.4%  
309 0.2% 1.1%  
310 0.2% 0.8%  
311 0.1% 0.7%  
312 0.1% 0.6%  
313 0.1% 0.5% Last Result
314 0% 0.4%  
315 0.1% 0.4%  
316 0% 0.3%  
317 0.1% 0.3%  
318 0.1% 0.2%  
319 0.1% 0.2%  
320 0% 0.1%  
321 0% 0.1%  
322 0% 0.1%  
323 0% 0.1%  
324 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 99.9%  
228 0% 99.9%  
229 0.1% 99.9%  
230 0.1% 99.8%  
231 0.1% 99.7%  
232 0.1% 99.6%  
233 0.2% 99.5%  
234 0.2% 99.3%  
235 0.5% 99.1%  
236 0.4% 98.6%  
237 0.5% 98%  
238 0.5% 98%  
239 0.8% 97%  
240 0.9% 96%  
241 1.0% 96%  
242 2% 95%  
243 1.3% 93%  
244 2% 92%  
245 2% 89%  
246 2% 87%  
247 3% 85%  
248 3% 82%  
249 3% 80%  
250 3% 76%  
251 3% 73%  
252 4% 70%  
253 3% 67%  
254 4% 64%  
255 4% 60%  
256 4% 56%  
257 5% 52% Median
258 3% 47%  
259 4% 43%  
260 3% 40%  
261 3% 37%  
262 4% 34%  
263 4% 30%  
264 2% 26%  
265 3% 23%  
266 3% 20%  
267 2% 18%  
268 1.2% 16%  
269 2% 14%  
270 2% 12%  
271 2% 11%  
272 1.0% 9%  
273 1.1% 8%  
274 0.9% 7%  
275 1.0% 6%  
276 0.7% 5%  
277 0.6% 4%  
278 0.5% 4%  
279 0.3% 3%  
280 0.3% 3%  
281 0.4% 2%  
282 0.2% 2%  
283 0.5% 2%  
284 0.2% 1.3%  
285 0.2% 1.1%  
286 0.1% 0.9%  
287 0.2% 0.8%  
288 0.1% 0.6%  
289 0.1% 0.5%  
290 0% 0.4%  
291 0% 0.4%  
292 0.1% 0.3%  
293 0% 0.2%  
294 0% 0.2%  
295 0% 0.2%  
296 0% 0.1%  
297 0% 0.1%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 99.9%  
220 0% 99.9%  
221 0.1% 99.9%  
222 0.1% 99.8%  
223 0.1% 99.7%  
224 0.1% 99.6%  
225 0.2% 99.5%  
226 0.2% 99.3%  
227 0.4% 99.0%  
228 0.5% 98.7%  
229 0.5% 98%  
230 0.5% 98%  
231 0.6% 97%  
232 0.9% 97%  
233 1.2% 96%  
234 1.1% 95%  
235 1.4% 93%  
236 2% 92%  
237 3% 90%  
238 2% 88%  
239 2% 85%  
240 3% 83%  
241 4% 80%  
242 2% 76%  
243 2% 74%  
244 4% 71%  
245 3% 68%  
246 4% 65%  
247 4% 60%  
248 3% 57%  
249 3% 54% Median
250 7% 50%  
251 3% 43%  
252 4% 40%  
253 5% 37%  
254 4% 31%  
255 3% 28%  
256 2% 25%  
257 2% 23%  
258 3% 21%  
259 2% 18%  
260 1.4% 15%  
261 2% 14%  
262 2% 12%  
263 2% 10%  
264 0.9% 9%  
265 1.5% 8%  
266 0.8% 6%  
267 1.0% 5%  
268 0.5% 5%  
269 0.7% 4%  
270 0.5% 3%  
271 0.5% 3%  
272 0.3% 2%  
273 0.2% 2%  
274 0.2% 2%  
275 0.2% 2%  
276 0.2% 1.4%  
277 0.3% 1.2%  
278 0.1% 0.8%  
279 0.1% 0.7%  
280 0.1% 0.6%  
281 0.1% 0.5%  
282 0.1% 0.4%  
283 0.1% 0.3%  
284 0% 0.2%  
285 0% 0.2%  
286 0% 0.1%  
287 0% 0.1%  
288 0% 0.1%  
289 0% 0.1%  
290 0% 0.1%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0%  
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
182 0% 100%  
183 0% 99.9%  
184 0% 99.9%  
185 0% 99.9%  
186 0% 99.9%  
187 0% 99.9%  
188 0.1% 99.8%  
189 0.1% 99.8%  
190 0% 99.7%  
191 0.1% 99.6%  
192 0.1% 99.5%  
193 0.1% 99.5%  
194 0% 99.4%  
195 0.1% 99.3%  
196 0.1% 99.3%  
197 0.4% 99.2%  
198 0.5% 98.8%  
199 0.1% 98%  
200 0.2% 98%  
201 0.2% 98%  
202 0% 98%  
203 0.2% 98%  
204 0.2% 98%  
205 0.2% 97%  
206 0.3% 97%  
207 0.4% 97%  
208 0.2% 97%  
209 0.2% 96%  
210 0.2% 96%  
211 0.2% 96%  
212 0.2% 96%  
213 0.2% 95%  
214 0.2% 95%  
215 0.2% 95%  
216 0.4% 95%  
217 0.5% 94%  
218 0.5% 94%  
219 0.6% 93%  
220 0.5% 93%  
221 0.7% 92%  
222 1.2% 92% Last Result
223 2% 90%  
224 1.5% 89%  
225 2% 87%  
226 1.4% 85%  
227 2% 84%  
228 2% 82%  
229 2% 80%  
230 3% 77%  
231 3% 75%  
232 3% 72%  
233 3% 69%  
234 5% 65%  
235 5% 60%  
236 5% 56%  
237 3% 51%  
238 3% 48% Median
239 4% 45%  
240 3% 41%  
241 4% 38%  
242 4% 34%  
243 3% 30%  
244 4% 28%  
245 4% 24%  
246 3% 20%  
247 2% 17%  
248 2% 15%  
249 2% 12%  
250 2% 11%  
251 1.2% 9%  
252 1.5% 8%  
253 1.2% 7%  
254 1.2% 5%  
255 1.2% 4%  
256 0.7% 3%  
257 0.5% 2%  
258 0.3% 2%  
259 0.3% 1.4%  
260 0.2% 1.1%  
261 0.2% 0.9%  
262 0.2% 0.7%  
263 0.1% 0.5%  
264 0.1% 0.4%  
265 0.1% 0.3%  
266 0.1% 0.2%  
267 0% 0.1%  
268 0% 0.1%  
269 0% 0.1%  
270 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations