Opinion Poll by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, 31 August–2 September 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 25.0% 23.2–26.9% 22.7–27.4% 22.3–27.9% 21.5–28.8%
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 17.9% 16.3–19.6% 15.9–20.0% 15.5–20.5% 14.8–21.3%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 17.0% 15.5–18.7% 15.1–19.1% 14.7–19.6% 14.0–20.4%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 11.0% 9.8–12.5% 9.5–12.9% 9.2–13.2% 8.6–13.9%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 11.0% 9.8–12.5% 9.5–12.9% 9.2–13.2% 8.6–13.9%
Die Linke 9.2% 7.0% 6.1–8.2% 5.8–8.6% 5.5–8.9% 5.1–9.5%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 4.1% 3.4–5.1% 3.2–5.4% 3.0–5.6% 2.7–6.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 189 176–202 172–208 168–211 162–216
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 135 123–148 120–151 117–154 112–161
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 128 117–140 113–145 111–148 106–153
Alternative für Deutschland 94 84 74–94 72–97 69–100 65–105
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 84 74–94 71–97 69–100 65–105
Die Linke 69 54 46–62 44–65 42–67 39–71
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 35 28–41 27–43 26–45 23–49

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
153 0% 100% Last Result
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 99.9%  
158 0% 99.9%  
159 0.1% 99.9%  
160 0.1% 99.8%  
161 0.1% 99.7%  
162 0.2% 99.6%  
163 0.2% 99.4%  
164 0.4% 99.2%  
165 0.4% 98.8%  
166 0.4% 98%  
167 0.3% 98%  
168 0.6% 98%  
169 0.6% 97%  
170 0.6% 97%  
171 0.5% 96%  
172 0.9% 95%  
173 0.8% 95%  
174 1.2% 94%  
175 1.1% 93%  
176 3% 91%  
177 2% 89%  
178 3% 86%  
179 3% 83%  
180 5% 80%  
181 4% 75%  
182 4% 71%  
183 3% 67%  
184 4% 64%  
185 2% 60%  
186 2% 58%  
187 2% 56%  
188 2% 54%  
189 2% 52% Median
190 3% 49%  
191 3% 46%  
192 3% 43%  
193 4% 40%  
194 4% 36%  
195 5% 32%  
196 4% 26%  
197 4% 23%  
198 3% 19%  
199 2% 16%  
200 2% 13%  
201 1.3% 12%  
202 0.9% 10%  
203 0.9% 9%  
204 0.7% 8%  
205 0.6% 8%  
206 0.6% 7%  
207 1.0% 7%  
208 0.9% 5%  
209 0.8% 5%  
210 0.8% 4%  
211 0.9% 3%  
212 0.6% 2%  
213 0.4% 1.5%  
214 0.3% 1.1%  
215 0.3% 0.8%  
216 0.1% 0.5%  
217 0.1% 0.4%  
218 0% 0.3%  
219 0% 0.3%  
220 0% 0.2%  
221 0% 0.2%  
222 0% 0.2%  
223 0% 0.1%  
224 0% 0.1%  
225 0% 0.1%  
226 0% 0.1%  
227 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 99.9%  
108 0% 99.9%  
109 0.1% 99.9%  
110 0.1% 99.8%  
111 0.1% 99.7%  
112 0.2% 99.5%  
113 0.2% 99.4%  
114 0.4% 99.2%  
115 0.4% 98.8%  
116 0.5% 98%  
117 0.5% 98%  
118 0.9% 97%  
119 1.4% 97%  
120 1.1% 95%  
121 1.2% 94%  
122 1.4% 93%  
123 2% 91%  
124 3% 89%  
125 3% 87%  
126 2% 84%  
127 2% 82%  
128 4% 80%  
129 4% 76%  
130 4% 72%  
131 3% 68%  
132 3% 65%  
133 5% 62%  
134 4% 56%  
135 4% 52% Median
136 4% 48%  
137 4% 45%  
138 5% 41%  
139 5% 36%  
140 3% 31%  
141 2% 28%  
142 3% 26%  
143 3% 22%  
144 3% 19%  
145 2% 16%  
146 1.3% 14%  
147 2% 12%  
148 2% 10%  
149 2% 8%  
150 0.8% 7%  
151 1.0% 6%  
152 1.0% 5%  
153 1.0% 4%  
154 0.6% 3%  
155 0.3% 2%  
156 0.4% 2%  
157 0.4% 2%  
158 0.4% 1.2%  
159 0.2% 0.8%  
160 0.1% 0.6%  
161 0.1% 0.5%  
162 0.1% 0.4%  
163 0.1% 0.3%  
164 0% 0.2%  
165 0% 0.2%  
166 0% 0.1%  
167 0% 0.1%  
168 0% 0.1%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0%  
175 0% 0%  
176 0% 0%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 99.9%  
102 0.1% 99.9%  
103 0.1% 99.8%  
104 0.1% 99.8%  
105 0.1% 99.7%  
106 0.1% 99.6%  
107 0.2% 99.5%  
108 0.3% 99.3%  
109 0.4% 99.0%  
110 0.6% 98.7%  
111 1.1% 98%  
112 1.2% 97%  
113 1.2% 96%  
114 2% 95%  
115 1.3% 93%  
116 1.3% 91%  
117 2% 90%  
118 2% 89%  
119 1.2% 87%  
120 3% 86%  
121 3% 83%  
122 3% 80%  
123 5% 77%  
124 6% 73%  
125 6% 67%  
126 5% 61%  
127 6% 56%  
128 3% 50% Median
129 3% 47%  
130 3% 44%  
131 2% 41%  
132 2% 39%  
133 4% 37%  
134 3% 33%  
135 4% 30%  
136 5% 26%  
137 4% 22%  
138 3% 18%  
139 4% 15%  
140 2% 11%  
141 1.2% 9%  
142 1.1% 8%  
143 0.7% 7%  
144 0.5% 6%  
145 0.7% 5%  
146 0.9% 5%  
147 0.6% 4%  
148 0.8% 3%  
149 0.7% 2%  
150 0.4% 2%  
151 0.4% 1.2%  
152 0.3% 0.8%  
153 0.1% 0.5%  
154 0.1% 0.4%  
155 0.1% 0.3%  
156 0% 0.3%  
157 0% 0.2%  
158 0% 0.2%  
159 0% 0.1%  
160 0% 0.1%  
161 0% 0.1%  
162 0% 0.1%  
163 0% 0%  

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 99.9%  
63 0.1% 99.9%  
64 0.2% 99.8%  
65 0.2% 99.6%  
66 0.3% 99.4%  
67 0.4% 99.1%  
68 0.7% 98.7%  
69 0.7% 98%  
70 1.0% 97%  
71 1.2% 96%  
72 2% 95%  
73 1.2% 93%  
74 3% 92%  
75 2% 89%  
76 4% 86%  
77 4% 83%  
78 3% 79%  
79 6% 76%  
80 6% 70%  
81 5% 65%  
82 5% 60%  
83 5% 55%  
84 4% 50% Median
85 5% 46%  
86 4% 41%  
87 6% 37%  
88 4% 31%  
89 4% 27%  
90 4% 23%  
91 3% 19%  
92 3% 16%  
93 2% 14%  
94 3% 11% Last Result
95 2% 9%  
96 1.2% 7%  
97 1.0% 6%  
98 1.4% 5%  
99 0.7% 3%  
100 0.5% 3%  
101 0.6% 2%  
102 0.5% 2%  
103 0.2% 1.1%  
104 0.3% 0.9%  
105 0.2% 0.6%  
106 0.1% 0.4%  
107 0.1% 0.3%  
108 0.1% 0.2%  
109 0.1% 0.2%  
110 0% 0.1%  
111 0% 0.1%  
112 0% 0.1%  
113 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.1% 100%  
62 0% 99.9%  
63 0.1% 99.9%  
64 0.2% 99.8%  
65 0.1% 99.6%  
66 0.5% 99.4%  
67 0.3% 99.0%  
68 0.6% 98.6%  
69 1.0% 98%  
70 0.6% 97%  
71 2% 96%  
72 2% 95%  
73 1.0% 93%  
74 3% 92%  
75 3% 89%  
76 2% 86%  
77 4% 83%  
78 4% 80%  
79 5% 76%  
80 5% 71% Last Result
81 3% 67%  
82 7% 64%  
83 5% 56%  
84 4% 51% Median
85 6% 47%  
86 5% 41%  
87 3% 36%  
88 6% 33%  
89 4% 27%  
90 3% 23%  
91 4% 20%  
92 3% 16%  
93 3% 13%  
94 2% 11%  
95 1.5% 9%  
96 2% 7%  
97 0.7% 5%  
98 0.6% 4%  
99 1.0% 4%  
100 0.7% 3%  
101 0.4% 2%  
102 0.5% 2%  
103 0.3% 1.1%  
104 0.2% 0.8%  
105 0.2% 0.6%  
106 0.1% 0.5%  
107 0.1% 0.3%  
108 0.1% 0.2%  
109 0.1% 0.2%  
110 0% 0.1%  
111 0% 0.1%  
112 0% 0.1%  
113 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.4% 100%  
1 0% 99.6%  
2 0% 99.6%  
3 0% 99.6%  
4 0% 99.6%  
5 0% 99.6%  
6 0% 99.6%  
7 0% 99.6%  
8 0% 99.6%  
9 0% 99.6%  
10 0% 99.6%  
11 0% 99.6%  
12 0% 99.6%  
13 0% 99.6%  
14 0% 99.6%  
15 0% 99.6%  
16 0% 99.6%  
17 0% 99.6%  
18 0% 99.6%  
19 0% 99.6%  
20 0% 99.6%  
21 0% 99.6%  
22 0% 99.6%  
23 0% 99.6%  
24 0% 99.6%  
25 0% 99.6%  
26 0% 99.6%  
27 0% 99.6%  
28 0% 99.6%  
29 0% 99.6%  
30 0% 99.6%  
31 0% 99.6%  
32 0% 99.6%  
33 0% 99.6%  
34 0% 99.6%  
35 0% 99.6%  
36 0% 99.6%  
37 0% 99.6%  
38 0.1% 99.6%  
39 0.3% 99.5%  
40 0.5% 99.2%  
41 0.8% 98.7%  
42 1.1% 98%  
43 2% 97%  
44 2% 95%  
45 2% 93%  
46 3% 91%  
47 4% 88%  
48 5% 83%  
49 6% 79%  
50 5% 73%  
51 6% 68%  
52 6% 62%  
53 6% 56%  
54 6% 50% Median
55 5% 44%  
56 6% 39%  
57 5% 33%  
58 5% 28%  
59 5% 23%  
60 3% 18%  
61 3% 15%  
62 2% 11%  
63 2% 9%  
64 2% 7%  
65 2% 5%  
66 0.9% 4%  
67 0.8% 3%  
68 0.6% 2%  
69 0.5% 2% Last Result
70 0.4% 1.0%  
71 0.2% 0.7%  
72 0.2% 0.5%  
73 0.1% 0.3%  
74 0.1% 0.2%  
75 0% 0.1%  
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0.1% 100%  
22 0.1% 99.9%  
23 0.3% 99.8%  
24 0.5% 99.4%  
25 1.0% 98.9%  
26 2% 98%  
27 3% 96%  
28 4% 94%  
29 5% 90%  
30 6% 85%  
31 6% 80%  
32 6% 74%  
33 8% 67%  
34 8% 59%  
35 8% 51% Median
36 9% 43%  
37 7% 34%  
38 5% 27%  
39 4% 22%  
40 4% 18%  
41 4% 13%  
42 3% 9%  
43 2% 7%  
44 1.4% 5%  
45 1.0% 3%  
46 0.7% 2% Last Result
47 0.6% 2%  
48 0.3% 1.0%  
49 0.2% 0.6%  
50 0.1% 0.4%  
51 0.1% 0.3%  
52 0.1% 0.1%  
53 0% 0.1%  
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 487 100% 473–502 469–506 465–509 458–519
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 443 100% 428–457 423–462 420–466 412–474
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 402 100% 386–417 382–421 378–425 371–434
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 384 99.1% 367–399 363–402 358–406 351–414
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Die Linke 289 371 91% 355–387 351–391 347–395 339–402
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 359 63% 343–374 339–379 335–383 328–391
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 338 9% 322–354 318–358 314–362 307–370
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 220 318 0.2% 303–333 298–337 294–341 287–350
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 299 0% 284–314 280–318 276–323 269–331
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 272 0% 257–287 254–293 249–295 242–303
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 254 0% 240–269 235–273 232–277 225–285
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 254 0% 239–269 235–273 232–277 224–284
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 242 0% 228–257 224–262 220–266 211–272

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
450 0% 100%  
451 0% 99.9%  
452 0% 99.9%  
453 0% 99.9%  
454 0.1% 99.9%  
455 0.1% 99.8%  
456 0% 99.7%  
457 0.1% 99.7%  
458 0.2% 99.6%  
459 0.1% 99.5%  
460 0.2% 99.3%  
461 0.3% 99.2%  
462 0.3% 98.9%  
463 0.3% 98.6%  
464 0.4% 98%  
465 0.5% 98%  
466 0.4% 97% Last Result
467 0.6% 97%  
468 1.2% 96%  
469 0.7% 95%  
470 0.9% 95%  
471 2% 94%  
472 0.8% 92%  
473 2% 91%  
474 2% 89%  
475 2% 87%  
476 1.3% 86%  
477 3% 84%  
478 2% 81%  
479 3% 80%  
480 3% 77%  
481 4% 74%  
482 2% 70%  
483 4% 68%  
484 4% 64%  
485 2% 60%  
486 3% 58%  
487 5% 55% Median
488 3% 50%  
489 3% 47%  
490 4% 44%  
491 4% 40%  
492 3% 36%  
493 4% 33%  
494 3% 29%  
495 2% 26%  
496 3% 24%  
497 3% 21%  
498 2% 19%  
499 3% 17%  
500 2% 14%  
501 0.9% 12%  
502 2% 11%  
503 2% 9%  
504 0.8% 7%  
505 1.2% 7%  
506 1.0% 5%  
507 0.6% 4%  
508 0.8% 4%  
509 0.6% 3%  
510 0.3% 2%  
511 0.4% 2%  
512 0.3% 2%  
513 0.3% 1.4%  
514 0.1% 1.1%  
515 0.2% 1.0%  
516 0.1% 0.8%  
517 0.1% 0.7%  
518 0.1% 0.6%  
519 0.1% 0.5%  
520 0% 0.4%  
521 0% 0.4%  
522 0% 0.4%  
523 0% 0.3%  
524 0% 0.3%  
525 0% 0.3%  
526 0% 0.3%  
527 0% 0.2%  
528 0% 0.2%  
529 0% 0.2%  
530 0% 0.2%  
531 0% 0.2%  
532 0% 0.1%  
533 0% 0.1%  
534 0% 0.1%  
535 0% 0.1%  
536 0% 0.1%  
537 0% 0.1%  
538 0% 0.1%  
539 0% 0.1%  
540 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 99.9%  
406 0% 99.9%  
407 0% 99.9%  
408 0% 99.9%  
409 0.1% 99.8%  
410 0.1% 99.8%  
411 0.1% 99.7%  
412 0.1% 99.6%  
413 0.2% 99.5%  
414 0.2% 99.3%  
415 0.2% 99.2%  
416 0.3% 98.9%  
417 0.2% 98.6%  
418 0.4% 98%  
419 0.4% 98%  
420 0.5% 98%  
421 0.9% 97%  
422 0.7% 96%  
423 1.1% 96%  
424 0.9% 95%  
425 0.7% 94%  
426 1.2% 93%  
427 1.4% 92%  
428 2% 90%  
429 2% 89%  
430 2% 87%  
431 2% 85%  
432 3% 83%  
433 2% 80%  
434 3% 78%  
435 2% 76%  
436 2% 73%  
437 4% 71%  
438 3% 66%  
439 3% 64%  
440 3% 60%  
441 3% 57%  
442 3% 54%  
443 3% 51% Median
444 3% 48%  
445 3% 44%  
446 4% 41%  
447 3% 38%  
448 5% 35%  
449 3% 30%  
450 2% 27%  
451 3% 25%  
452 2% 23%  
453 2% 20%  
454 2% 18%  
455 2% 16%  
456 2% 14%  
457 2% 11%  
458 1.1% 10%  
459 1.2% 9%  
460 1.1% 7%  
461 0.8% 6%  
462 0.9% 5%  
463 0.7% 5%  
464 0.6% 4%  
465 0.7% 3%  
466 0.3% 3%  
467 0.4% 2%  
468 0.3% 2%  
469 0.3% 2%  
470 0.2% 1.3%  
471 0.2% 1.1%  
472 0.2% 0.9%  
473 0.1% 0.7%  
474 0.1% 0.6%  
475 0.1% 0.5%  
476 0.1% 0.4%  
477 0% 0.3%  
478 0% 0.3%  
479 0% 0.3% Last Result
480 0% 0.2%  
481 0% 0.2%  
482 0% 0.2%  
483 0% 0.2%  
484 0% 0.1%  
485 0% 0.1%  
486 0% 0.1%  
487 0% 0.1%  
488 0% 0.1%  
489 0% 0.1%  
490 0% 0.1%  
491 0% 0.1%  
492 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
300 0% 100% Last Result
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 99.9%  
364 0% 99.9%  
365 0% 99.9%  
366 0% 99.9%  
367 0.1% 99.8%  
368 0.1% 99.8%  
369 0.1% 99.7%  
370 0.1% 99.6%  
371 0.2% 99.5%  
372 0.1% 99.3%  
373 0.2% 99.2%  
374 0.3% 99.0%  
375 0.3% 98.7%  
376 0.3% 98%  
377 0.5% 98%  
378 0.3% 98%  
379 0.6% 97%  
380 0.7% 97%  
381 0.7% 96%  
382 0.9% 95%  
383 1.0% 94%  
384 0.9% 93%  
385 1.4% 92%  
386 1.4% 91%  
387 2% 89%  
388 2% 88%  
389 2% 86%  
390 2% 85%  
391 2% 82%  
392 2% 80%  
393 3% 78%  
394 3% 75%  
395 3% 73%  
396 4% 70%  
397 3% 66%  
398 3% 64%  
399 3% 60%  
400 3% 57%  
401 4% 54% Median
402 3% 50%  
403 4% 47%  
404 3% 43%  
405 3% 40%  
406 3% 37%  
407 3% 33%  
408 3% 31%  
409 2% 28%  
410 3% 26%  
411 2% 22%  
412 3% 20%  
413 2% 18%  
414 2% 16%  
415 2% 13%  
416 2% 12%  
417 1.3% 10%  
418 1.2% 9%  
419 1.0% 8%  
420 1.0% 6%  
421 0.9% 6%  
422 0.9% 5%  
423 0.4% 4%  
424 0.6% 3%  
425 0.6% 3%  
426 0.2% 2%  
427 0.5% 2%  
428 0.2% 2%  
429 0.2% 1.4%  
430 0.2% 1.2%  
431 0.2% 0.9%  
432 0.1% 0.8%  
433 0.1% 0.7%  
434 0.1% 0.5%  
435 0.1% 0.4%  
436 0.1% 0.4%  
437 0.1% 0.3%  
438 0% 0.3%  
439 0% 0.2%  
440 0% 0.2%  
441 0% 0.2%  
442 0% 0.1%  
443 0% 0.1%  
444 0% 0.1%  
445 0% 0.1%  
446 0% 0.1%  
447 0% 0.1%  
448 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 99.9%  
345 0% 99.9%  
346 0% 99.9%  
347 0% 99.9%  
348 0.1% 99.9%  
349 0.1% 99.8%  
350 0.1% 99.7%  
351 0.2% 99.6%  
352 0.1% 99.4%  
353 0% 99.3%  
354 0.1% 99.2%  
355 0.3% 99.1% Majority
356 0.5% 98.9%  
357 0.6% 98%  
358 0.6% 98%  
359 0.3% 97%  
360 0.3% 97%  
361 0.2% 97%  
362 0.6% 96%  
363 1.5% 96%  
364 1.4% 94%  
365 2% 93%  
366 0.7% 91%  
367 0.7% 91%  
368 0.8% 90%  
369 2% 89%  
370 3% 87%  
371 3% 85%  
372 3% 81%  
373 2% 78%  
374 1.1% 76%  
375 1.3% 75%  
376 2% 74%  
377 5% 72%  
378 5% 67%  
379 4% 62%  
380 2% 58%  
381 1.4% 56%  
382 1.3% 54% Median
383 2% 53%  
384 4% 51%  
385 6% 46%  
386 4% 40%  
387 2% 37%  
388 2% 35%  
389 1.3% 33%  
390 2% 32%  
391 5% 30%  
392 4% 25%  
393 4% 21% Last Result
394 2% 18%  
395 0.8% 15%  
396 0.9% 14%  
397 1.3% 13%  
398 2% 12%  
399 2% 10%  
400 2% 8%  
401 0.7% 6%  
402 0.4% 5%  
403 0.3% 5%  
404 0.4% 5%  
405 1.0% 4%  
406 0.7% 3%  
407 0.6% 2%  
408 0.2% 2%  
409 0.2% 2%  
410 0.1% 1.5%  
411 0.1% 1.3%  
412 0.3% 1.2%  
413 0.3% 0.9%  
414 0.2% 0.7%  
415 0.1% 0.5%  
416 0% 0.4%  
417 0% 0.4%  
418 0% 0.3%  
419 0.1% 0.3%  
420 0% 0.3%  
421 0% 0.2%  
422 0% 0.2%  
423 0% 0.1%  
424 0% 0.1%  
425 0% 0.1%  
426 0% 0.1%  
427 0% 0.1%  
428 0% 0.1%  
429 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 99.9%  
330 0% 99.9%  
331 0% 99.9%  
332 0% 99.9%  
333 0% 99.9%  
334 0% 99.8%  
335 0% 99.8%  
336 0.1% 99.8%  
337 0.1% 99.7%  
338 0.1% 99.6%  
339 0.1% 99.6%  
340 0.1% 99.5%  
341 0.2% 99.4%  
342 0.2% 99.2%  
343 0.2% 99.0%  
344 0.3% 98.8%  
345 0.3% 98%  
346 0.3% 98%  
347 0.7% 98%  
348 0.3% 97%  
349 0.7% 97%  
350 0.7% 96%  
351 0.6% 96%  
352 1.2% 95%  
353 0.8% 94%  
354 2% 93%  
355 1.2% 91% Majority
356 1.0% 90%  
357 2% 89%  
358 2% 87%  
359 2% 85%  
360 2% 83%  
361 2% 81%  
362 3% 79%  
363 2% 76%  
364 2% 74%  
365 2% 71%  
366 4% 69%  
367 3% 65%  
368 3% 62%  
369 4% 59%  
370 3% 56%  
371 4% 53% Median
372 2% 49%  
373 4% 47%  
374 3% 43%  
375 3% 40%  
376 4% 37%  
377 3% 33%  
378 2% 29%  
379 3% 28%  
380 3% 25%  
381 3% 22%  
382 2% 19%  
383 2% 17%  
384 2% 15%  
385 2% 14%  
386 2% 12%  
387 2% 10%  
388 1.0% 8%  
389 1.4% 7%  
390 0.6% 6%  
391 1.0% 5%  
392 0.6% 4%  
393 0.7% 4%  
394 0.5% 3%  
395 0.5% 3%  
396 0.4% 2%  
397 0.3% 2%  
398 0.3% 1.4%  
399 0.2% 1.2%  
400 0.2% 1.0%  
401 0.2% 0.7%  
402 0.1% 0.6%  
403 0.1% 0.5%  
404 0.1% 0.4%  
405 0.1% 0.3%  
406 0.1% 0.2%  
407 0% 0.2%  
408 0% 0.1%  
409 0% 0.1%  
410 0% 0.1%  
411 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 99.9%  
321 0% 99.9%  
322 0% 99.9%  
323 0% 99.9%  
324 0% 99.8%  
325 0.1% 99.8%  
326 0.1% 99.7%  
327 0.1% 99.6%  
328 0.1% 99.6%  
329 0.1% 99.4%  
330 0.2% 99.3%  
331 0.3% 99.1%  
332 0.3% 98.8%  
333 0.3% 98.6%  
334 0.4% 98%  
335 0.7% 98%  
336 0.7% 97%  
337 0.5% 96%  
338 0.9% 96%  
339 0.7% 95%  
340 1.1% 94%  
341 1.1% 93%  
342 1.0% 92%  
343 1.4% 91%  
344 2% 90%  
345 2% 88%  
346 2% 86%  
347 2% 84%  
348 2% 83%  
349 3% 80%  
350 3% 78%  
351 2% 75%  
352 4% 73%  
353 2% 69%  
354 4% 66%  
355 4% 63% Majority
356 2% 59%  
357 3% 57%  
358 3% 54%  
359 3% 51% Median
360 3% 48%  
361 3% 44%  
362 3% 41%  
363 3% 38%  
364 2% 35%  
365 2% 33%  
366 4% 30%  
367 3% 26%  
368 2% 23%  
369 3% 21%  
370 2% 19%  
371 2% 16%  
372 2% 14%  
373 2% 12%  
374 1.5% 11%  
375 1.0% 9%  
376 1.2% 8%  
377 1.0% 7%  
378 1.1% 6%  
379 0.7% 5%  
380 0.6% 4%  
381 0.7% 4%  
382 0.4% 3%  
383 0.5% 3%  
384 0.5% 2%  
385 0.3% 2%  
386 0.2% 1.5%  
387 0.2% 1.3%  
388 0.3% 1.1%  
389 0.2% 0.8%  
390 0.1% 0.7%  
391 0.1% 0.6%  
392 0% 0.4%  
393 0.1% 0.4%  
394 0.1% 0.3%  
395 0% 0.2%  
396 0% 0.2%  
397 0% 0.2%  
398 0% 0.1%  
399 0% 0.1% Last Result
400 0% 0.1%  
401 0% 0.1%  
402 0% 0.1%  
403 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 99.9%  
301 0% 99.9%  
302 0% 99.9%  
303 0.1% 99.8%  
304 0.1% 99.8%  
305 0.1% 99.7%  
306 0.1% 99.6%  
307 0.1% 99.5%  
308 0.2% 99.4%  
309 0.2% 99.3%  
310 0.2% 99.0%  
311 0.3% 98.8%  
312 0.3% 98.6%  
313 0.4% 98%  
314 0.5% 98%  
315 0.5% 97%  
316 0.7% 97%  
317 0.6% 96%  
318 1.0% 96%  
319 0.6% 95%  
320 1.4% 94%  
321 1.0% 93%  
322 2% 92%  
323 2% 90%  
324 2% 88%  
325 2% 86%  
326 2% 85%  
327 2% 83%  
328 3% 81%  
329 3% 78%  
330 3% 75%  
331 2% 72%  
332 3% 71%  
333 4% 67%  
334 3% 63%  
335 3% 60%  
336 4% 57%  
337 2% 53%  
338 4% 51% Median
339 3% 47%  
340 4% 44%  
341 3% 41%  
342 3% 38%  
343 4% 35%  
344 2% 31%  
345 2% 29%  
346 2% 26%  
347 3% 24%  
348 2% 21%  
349 2% 19%  
350 2% 17%  
351 2% 15%  
352 2% 13%  
353 1.0% 11%  
354 1.2% 10%  
355 2% 9% Majority
356 0.8% 7%  
357 1.2% 6%  
358 0.6% 5%  
359 0.7% 4%  
360 0.7% 4%  
361 0.3% 3%  
362 0.7% 3%  
363 0.3% 2%  
364 0.3% 2%  
365 0.3% 2%  
366 0.2% 1.2%  
367 0.2% 1.0%  
368 0.2% 0.8%  
369 0.1% 0.6%  
370 0.1% 0.5%  
371 0.1% 0.4%  
372 0.1% 0.4%  
373 0.1% 0.3%  
374 0% 0.2%  
375 0% 0.2%  
376 0% 0.2%  
377 0% 0.1%  
378 0% 0.1%  
379 0% 0.1%  
380 0% 0.1%  
381 0% 0.1%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 99.9%  
281 0% 99.9%  
282 0% 99.9%  
283 0% 99.8%  
284 0.1% 99.8%  
285 0% 99.7%  
286 0.1% 99.7%  
287 0.1% 99.6%  
288 0.1% 99.5%  
289 0.2% 99.3%  
290 0.2% 99.1%  
291 0.4% 98.9%  
292 0.3% 98.5%  
293 0.4% 98%  
294 0.6% 98%  
295 0.7% 97%  
296 0.6% 96%  
297 0.9% 96%  
298 0.6% 95%  
299 0.9% 94%  
300 1.0% 94%  
301 1.0% 93%  
302 1.5% 92%  
303 2% 90%  
304 2% 88%  
305 2% 86%  
306 3% 84%  
307 3% 81%  
308 2% 78%  
309 3% 76%  
310 2% 73%  
311 3% 71%  
312 2% 68%  
313 2% 66%  
314 3% 64%  
315 2% 60%  
316 4% 58%  
317 3% 55% Median
318 3% 52%  
319 6% 49%  
320 3% 43%  
321 5% 40%  
322 3% 35%  
323 3% 33%  
324 3% 29%  
325 2% 27%  
326 2% 24%  
327 1.4% 22%  
328 2% 21%  
329 2% 19%  
330 2% 17%  
331 2% 15%  
332 2% 14%  
333 2% 11%  
334 1.5% 9%  
335 1.2% 8%  
336 1.5% 7%  
337 0.5% 5%  
338 1.1% 5%  
339 0.6% 4%  
340 0.3% 3%  
341 0.4% 3%  
342 0.4% 2%  
343 0.3% 2%  
344 0.3% 2%  
345 0.2% 2%  
346 0.3% 1.3%  
347 0.2% 1.0%  
348 0.2% 0.8%  
349 0.1% 0.6%  
350 0.1% 0.5%  
351 0.1% 0.4%  
352 0% 0.3%  
353 0.1% 0.3%  
354 0% 0.2%  
355 0.1% 0.2% Majority
356 0% 0.1%  
357 0% 0.1%  
358 0% 0.1%  
359 0% 0.1%  
360 0% 0.1%  
361 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 99.9%  
262 0% 99.9%  
263 0% 99.9%  
264 0.1% 99.9%  
265 0% 99.8%  
266 0.1% 99.7%  
267 0.1% 99.6%  
268 0.1% 99.6%  
269 0.1% 99.5%  
270 0.2% 99.4%  
271 0.3% 99.2%  
272 0.5% 99.0%  
273 0.2% 98%  
274 0.4% 98%  
275 0.3% 98%  
276 0.3% 98%  
277 0.8% 97%  
278 0.6% 97%  
279 0.8% 96%  
280 2% 95%  
281 0.7% 93%  
282 1.3% 92%  
283 0.7% 91%  
284 0.8% 90%  
285 2% 89%  
286 2% 87%  
287 3% 85%  
288 3% 82%  
289 2% 79%  
290 1.3% 77%  
291 2% 75%  
292 1.3% 74%  
293 5% 72%  
294 2% 67%  
295 6% 65%  
296 3% 59%  
297 3% 56%  
298 2% 54% Median
299 2% 51%  
300 3% 50%  
301 5% 47%  
302 3% 42%  
303 6% 39%  
304 2% 33%  
305 3% 31%  
306 2% 28%  
307 1.4% 26%  
308 3% 25%  
309 3% 22%  
310 2% 18%  
311 3% 16%  
312 1.2% 13%  
313 0.9% 12% Last Result
314 1.4% 11%  
315 0.5% 10%  
316 2% 9%  
317 1.3% 7%  
318 1.3% 6%  
319 0.6% 5%  
320 0.4% 4%  
321 0.4% 4%  
322 0.5% 3%  
323 0.3% 3%  
324 0.8% 2%  
325 0.2% 2%  
326 0.4% 1.4%  
327 0.1% 1.0%  
328 0.1% 0.9%  
329 0.1% 0.8%  
330 0.1% 0.7%  
331 0.2% 0.5%  
332 0.1% 0.4%  
333 0.1% 0.3%  
334 0% 0.2%  
335 0% 0.1%  
336 0% 0.1%  
337 0% 0.1%  
338 0% 0.1%  
339 0% 0.1%  
340 0% 0.1%  
341 0% 0.1%  
342 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
233 0% 100% Last Result
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 99.9%  
236 0% 99.9%  
237 0% 99.9%  
238 0% 99.9%  
239 0% 99.9%  
240 0.1% 99.8%  
241 0.1% 99.7%  
242 0.1% 99.6%  
243 0.1% 99.4%  
244 0.1% 99.3%  
245 0.1% 99.2%  
246 0.2% 99.1%  
247 0.3% 99.0%  
248 0.7% 98.6%  
249 0.6% 98%  
250 0.7% 97%  
251 0.5% 97%  
252 0.2% 96%  
253 0.6% 96%  
254 0.8% 95%  
255 1.2% 95%  
256 2% 93%  
257 2% 91%  
258 1.3% 89%  
259 0.7% 88%  
260 0.7% 87%  
261 1.4% 86%  
262 2% 85%  
263 5% 83%  
264 4% 78%  
265 2% 74%  
266 2% 72%  
267 1.4% 69%  
268 2% 68%  
269 3% 66%  
270 6% 63%  
271 5% 57%  
272 5% 52%  
273 3% 47% Median
274 1.3% 45%  
275 1.3% 43%  
276 2% 42%  
277 4% 40%  
278 5% 35%  
279 5% 30%  
280 2% 25%  
281 2% 23%  
282 0.9% 21%  
283 1.2% 20%  
284 2% 19%  
285 2% 17%  
286 4% 15%  
287 2% 11%  
288 1.1% 9%  
289 0.4% 8%  
290 0.4% 8%  
291 0.8% 7%  
292 1.3% 6%  
293 1.5% 5%  
294 1.0% 4%  
295 0.4% 3%  
296 0.2% 2%  
297 0.1% 2%  
298 0.2% 2%  
299 0.2% 2%  
300 0.5% 1.5%  
301 0.3% 1.0%  
302 0.1% 0.7%  
303 0.1% 0.6%  
304 0% 0.5%  
305 0% 0.4%  
306 0.1% 0.4%  
307 0.1% 0.3%  
308 0.1% 0.2%  
309 0% 0.2%  
310 0% 0.1%  
311 0% 0.1%  
312 0% 0.1%  
313 0% 0.1%  
314 0% 0.1%  
315 0% 0.1%  
316 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 99.9%  
219 0% 99.9%  
220 0% 99.9%  
221 0.1% 99.8%  
222 0.1% 99.8%  
223 0.1% 99.7%  
224 0.1% 99.6%  
225 0.1% 99.5%  
226 0.2% 99.4%  
227 0.2% 99.2%  
228 0.2% 99.0%  
229 0.3% 98.8%  
230 0.4% 98%  
231 0.4% 98%  
232 0.7% 98%  
233 0.7% 97%  
234 0.8% 96%  
235 0.7% 96%  
236 0.9% 95%  
237 0.9% 94%  
238 2% 93%  
239 1.3% 91%  
240 2% 90%  
241 2% 88%  
242 2% 86%  
243 3% 84%  
244 3% 82%  
245 2% 79%  
246 2% 77%  
247 3% 75%  
248 4% 72%  
249 3% 68%  
250 4% 66%  
251 4% 61%  
252 3% 57%  
253 3% 54%  
254 4% 51% Median
255 4% 47%  
256 3% 43%  
257 4% 40%  
258 3% 36%  
259 2% 33%  
260 3% 30%  
261 3% 28%  
262 3% 25%  
263 3% 22%  
264 2% 20%  
265 2% 17%  
266 2% 16%  
267 2% 14%  
268 1.3% 12%  
269 1.2% 10%  
270 1.4% 9%  
271 1.1% 8%  
272 0.9% 7%  
273 1.0% 6%  
274 0.7% 5%  
275 0.7% 4%  
276 0.5% 3%  
277 0.6% 3%  
278 0.4% 2%  
279 0.3% 2%  
280 0.4% 2%  
281 0.3% 1.2%  
282 0.2% 1.0%  
283 0.2% 0.8%  
284 0.1% 0.6%  
285 0.1% 0.5%  
286 0.1% 0.4%  
287 0.1% 0.3%  
288 0.1% 0.2%  
289 0% 0.2%  
290 0% 0.1%  
291 0% 0.1%  
292 0% 0.1%  
293 0% 0.1%  
294 0% 0.1%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0%  
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 99.9%  
219 0% 99.9%  
220 0% 99.9%  
221 0% 99.8%  
222 0.1% 99.8%  
223 0.1% 99.7%  
224 0.1% 99.6%  
225 0.1% 99.4%  
226 0.1% 99.3%  
227 0.2% 99.2%  
228 0.3% 99.0%  
229 0.4% 98.8%  
230 0.4% 98%  
231 0.5% 98%  
232 0.4% 98%  
233 0.8% 97%  
234 0.8% 96%  
235 1.2% 96%  
236 1.5% 94%  
237 1.0% 93%  
238 1.0% 92%  
239 1.4% 91%  
240 1.4% 89%  
241 2% 88%  
242 2% 86%  
243 2% 83%  
244 2% 81%  
245 2% 79%  
246 4% 77%  
247 2% 73%  
248 4% 71%  
249 3% 68%  
250 3% 65%  
251 3% 62%  
252 3% 59%  
253 5% 57%  
254 4% 51% Median
255 4% 47%  
256 3% 44%  
257 3% 41%  
258 3% 38%  
259 3% 34%  
260 4% 32%  
261 2% 28%  
262 2% 26%  
263 3% 24%  
264 3% 21%  
265 3% 19%  
266 2% 16%  
267 2% 14%  
268 1.2% 12%  
269 1.3% 11%  
270 2% 10%  
271 1.5% 8%  
272 1.2% 7%  
273 0.8% 5%  
274 0.7% 5%  
275 0.7% 4%  
276 0.6% 3%  
277 0.4% 3%  
278 0.4% 2%  
279 0.3% 2%  
280 0.2% 1.5%  
281 0.2% 1.3%  
282 0.3% 1.0%  
283 0.1% 0.7%  
284 0.2% 0.6%  
285 0.1% 0.4%  
286 0.1% 0.4%  
287 0.1% 0.3%  
288 0% 0.2%  
289 0% 0.2%  
290 0% 0.2%  
291 0% 0.1%  
292 0% 0.1%  
293 0% 0.1%  
294 0% 0.1%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
193 0% 100%  
194 0% 99.9%  
195 0% 99.9%  
196 0% 99.9%  
197 0% 99.9%  
198 0% 99.9%  
199 0% 99.9%  
200 0% 99.8%  
201 0% 99.8%  
202 0% 99.8%  
203 0% 99.8%  
204 0% 99.8%  
205 0% 99.8%  
206 0% 99.8%  
207 0% 99.7%  
208 0% 99.7%  
209 0.1% 99.7%  
210 0.1% 99.6%  
211 0.1% 99.6%  
212 0.1% 99.5%  
213 0.1% 99.4%  
214 0.2% 99.2%  
215 0.2% 99.0%  
216 0.3% 98.9%  
217 0.3% 98.6%  
218 0.3% 98%  
219 0.4% 98%  
220 0.4% 98%  
221 0.5% 97%  
222 0.8% 97% Last Result
223 0.6% 96%  
224 0.8% 95%  
225 1.0% 94%  
226 1.3% 93%  
227 1.1% 92%  
228 2% 91%  
229 2% 89%  
230 2% 87%  
231 3% 85%  
232 2% 82%  
233 3% 80%  
234 3% 77%  
235 3% 74%  
236 3% 71%  
237 3% 68%  
238 3% 65%  
239 3% 62%  
240 3% 59%  
241 3% 55%  
242 3% 53%  
243 3% 50% Median
244 5% 47%  
245 2% 42%  
246 3% 40%  
247 4% 37%  
248 2% 33%  
249 3% 31%  
250 3% 28%  
251 2% 24%  
252 4% 22%  
253 2% 18%  
254 2% 16%  
255 1.3% 14%  
256 1.4% 13%  
257 1.3% 11%  
258 2% 10%  
259 1.4% 8%  
260 0.9% 7%  
261 0.7% 6%  
262 1.0% 5%  
263 0.8% 4%  
264 0.5% 4%  
265 0.5% 3%  
266 0.5% 3%  
267 0.5% 2%  
268 0.3% 2%  
269 0.3% 1.4%  
270 0.2% 1.1%  
271 0.2% 0.8%  
272 0.1% 0.6%  
273 0.1% 0.5%  
274 0.1% 0.4%  
275 0.1% 0.3%  
276 0% 0.2%  
277 0% 0.2%  
278 0% 0.1%  
279 0% 0.1%  
280 0% 0.1%  
281 0% 0.1%  
282 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations