Opinion Poll by Trend Research, 30 August–2 September 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 26.0% 24.3–27.8% 23.9–28.3% 23.5–28.7% 22.7–29.6%
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 16.2% 14.9–17.8% 14.5–18.2% 14.1–18.6% 13.5–19.3%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 15.0% 13.7–16.5% 13.3–16.9% 13.0–17.3% 12.4–18.0%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 13.0% 11.7–14.4% 11.4–14.8% 11.1–15.1% 10.5–15.8%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 12.0% 10.8–13.4% 10.5–13.8% 10.2–14.1% 9.6–14.8%
Die Linke 9.2% 7.0% 6.1–8.2% 5.9–8.5% 5.7–8.7% 5.2–9.3%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 3.8% 3.1–4.6% 2.9–4.9% 2.8–5.1% 2.5–5.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 195 184–209 180–214 177–215 172–223
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 123 113–134 109–137 107–140 102–146
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 114 104–124 100–128 98–130 93–136
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 98 88–109 87–111 83–114 79–119
Alternative für Deutschland 94 91 81–101 79–104 77–107 73–111
Die Linke 69 54 46–62 45–64 43–66 39–70
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 32 26–38 25–40 24–41 22–45

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
153 0% 100% Last Result
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100%  
166 0% 99.9%  
167 0.1% 99.9%  
168 0% 99.9%  
169 0.1% 99.8%  
170 0.1% 99.8%  
171 0.1% 99.7%  
172 0.1% 99.6%  
173 0.2% 99.5%  
174 0.5% 99.3%  
175 0.4% 98.8%  
176 0.8% 98%  
177 0.2% 98%  
178 0.1% 97%  
179 1.2% 97%  
180 2% 96%  
181 1.5% 94%  
182 1.1% 92%  
183 0.4% 91%  
184 1.3% 91%  
185 2% 90%  
186 2% 88%  
187 2% 86%  
188 4% 84%  
189 3% 80%  
190 4% 77%  
191 0.7% 74%  
192 2% 73%  
193 6% 71%  
194 7% 65%  
195 9% 58% Median
196 3% 49%  
197 0.4% 46%  
198 4% 46%  
199 5% 42%  
200 5% 37%  
201 4% 32%  
202 2% 28%  
203 2% 26%  
204 3% 24%  
205 1.3% 21%  
206 1.3% 20%  
207 3% 19%  
208 3% 15%  
209 2% 12%  
210 1.3% 10%  
211 0.2% 9%  
212 1.3% 8%  
213 2% 7%  
214 2% 5%  
215 0.7% 3%  
216 0.2% 2%  
217 0.2% 2%  
218 0.4% 2%  
219 0.2% 1.5%  
220 0.3% 1.3%  
221 0.2% 1.0%  
222 0.2% 0.8%  
223 0.2% 0.6%  
224 0% 0.4%  
225 0% 0.4%  
226 0.1% 0.4%  
227 0.1% 0.3%  
228 0.1% 0.2%  
229 0.1% 0.1%  
230 0% 0.1%  
231 0% 0.1%  
232 0% 0.1%  
233 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 99.9%  
99 0.1% 99.9%  
100 0.1% 99.8%  
101 0.1% 99.7%  
102 0.2% 99.6%  
103 0.3% 99.4%  
104 0.3% 99.1%  
105 0.4% 98.8%  
106 0.8% 98%  
107 0.6% 98%  
108 1.2% 97%  
109 0.9% 96%  
110 1.3% 95%  
111 2% 94%  
112 2% 92%  
113 3% 90%  
114 2% 87%  
115 4% 86%  
116 2% 81%  
117 4% 79%  
118 4% 75%  
119 4% 71%  
120 7% 67%  
121 4% 60%  
122 6% 56%  
123 4% 51% Median
124 5% 47%  
125 5% 41%  
126 3% 37%  
127 5% 34%  
128 2% 29%  
129 4% 26%  
130 2% 22%  
131 3% 19%  
132 3% 17%  
133 2% 14%  
134 3% 12%  
135 1.4% 9%  
136 2% 8%  
137 1.0% 6%  
138 0.9% 5%  
139 1.1% 4%  
140 0.5% 3%  
141 0.8% 2%  
142 0.2% 2%  
143 0.4% 1.3%  
144 0.2% 0.9%  
145 0.2% 0.7%  
146 0.2% 0.6%  
147 0.1% 0.4%  
148 0.1% 0.3%  
149 0% 0.2%  
150 0.1% 0.2%  
151 0% 0.1%  
152 0% 0.1%  
153 0% 0.1%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0%  
175 0% 0%  
176 0% 0%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 99.9%  
90 0% 99.9%  
91 0.1% 99.9%  
92 0.1% 99.8%  
93 0.2% 99.7%  
94 0.3% 99.5%  
95 0.3% 99.2%  
96 0.3% 98.9%  
97 0.5% 98.6%  
98 0.9% 98%  
99 1.0% 97%  
100 1.5% 96%  
101 1.1% 95%  
102 1.5% 94%  
103 2% 92%  
104 2% 90%  
105 3% 88%  
106 3% 85%  
107 3% 82%  
108 3% 79%  
109 4% 75%  
110 5% 72%  
111 6% 67%  
112 5% 61%  
113 4% 56%  
114 4% 51% Median
115 5% 48%  
116 5% 42%  
117 6% 37%  
118 4% 32%  
119 3% 27%  
120 3% 24%  
121 4% 21%  
122 4% 18%  
123 2% 14%  
124 2% 12%  
125 2% 10%  
126 1.4% 8%  
127 1.2% 7%  
128 1.4% 6%  
129 1.1% 4%  
130 0.7% 3%  
131 0.5% 2%  
132 0.3% 2%  
133 0.5% 2%  
134 0.3% 1.1%  
135 0.2% 0.8%  
136 0.1% 0.6%  
137 0.1% 0.4%  
138 0.1% 0.3%  
139 0.1% 0.2%  
140 0.1% 0.2%  
141 0% 0.1%  
142 0% 0.1%  
143 0% 0.1%  
144 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 99.9%  
76 0% 99.9%  
77 0% 99.9%  
78 0.2% 99.8%  
79 0.3% 99.6%  
80 0.2% 99.4% Last Result
81 0.1% 99.2%  
82 0.5% 99.0%  
83 1.2% 98.5%  
84 1.0% 97%  
85 0.4% 96%  
86 0.7% 96%  
87 3% 95%  
88 3% 92%  
89 2% 89%  
90 1.0% 87%  
91 4% 86%  
92 7% 82%  
93 4% 75%  
94 2% 71%  
95 3% 70%  
96 9% 67%  
97 8% 58%  
98 3% 51% Median
99 2% 48%  
100 7% 46%  
101 8% 39%  
102 5% 32%  
103 1.3% 27%  
104 3% 26%  
105 5% 23%  
106 4% 17%  
107 1.4% 13%  
108 0.9% 12%  
109 2% 11%  
110 3% 8%  
111 1.4% 6%  
112 0.3% 4%  
113 0.6% 4%  
114 1.2% 3%  
115 0.7% 2%  
116 0.2% 1.4%  
117 0.1% 1.2%  
118 0.3% 1.1%  
119 0.4% 0.8%  
120 0.1% 0.4%  
121 0% 0.3%  
122 0.1% 0.3%  
123 0.1% 0.2%  
124 0% 0.1%  
125 0% 0.1%  
126 0% 0%  

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100%  
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.1% 99.8%  
72 0.1% 99.7%  
73 0.2% 99.6%  
74 0.3% 99.4%  
75 0.4% 99.1%  
76 0.4% 98.7%  
77 0.8% 98%  
78 1.3% 97%  
79 2% 96%  
80 2% 94%  
81 2% 92%  
82 2% 90%  
83 3% 88%  
84 3% 85%  
85 3% 82%  
86 3% 79%  
87 5% 76%  
88 7% 71%  
89 6% 63%  
90 6% 57%  
91 5% 51% Median
92 4% 46%  
93 5% 42%  
94 4% 37% Last Result
95 3% 33%  
96 5% 30%  
97 4% 25%  
98 4% 21%  
99 4% 17%  
100 2% 13%  
101 2% 10%  
102 2% 8%  
103 1.4% 7%  
104 1.0% 5%  
105 0.6% 4%  
106 0.6% 4%  
107 0.8% 3%  
108 0.7% 2%  
109 0.4% 1.3%  
110 0.3% 0.9%  
111 0.2% 0.6%  
112 0.1% 0.5%  
113 0.1% 0.3%  
114 0% 0.2%  
115 0% 0.2%  
116 0% 0.1%  
117 0% 0.1%  
118 0% 0.1%  
119 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100%  
1 0% 99.7%  
2 0% 99.7%  
3 0% 99.7%  
4 0% 99.7%  
5 0% 99.7%  
6 0% 99.7%  
7 0% 99.7%  
8 0% 99.7%  
9 0% 99.7%  
10 0% 99.7%  
11 0% 99.7%  
12 0% 99.7%  
13 0% 99.7%  
14 0% 99.7%  
15 0% 99.7%  
16 0% 99.7%  
17 0% 99.7%  
18 0% 99.7%  
19 0% 99.7%  
20 0% 99.7%  
21 0% 99.7%  
22 0% 99.7%  
23 0% 99.7%  
24 0% 99.7%  
25 0% 99.7%  
26 0% 99.7%  
27 0% 99.7%  
28 0% 99.7%  
29 0% 99.7%  
30 0% 99.7%  
31 0% 99.7%  
32 0% 99.7%  
33 0% 99.7%  
34 0% 99.7%  
35 0% 99.7%  
36 0% 99.7%  
37 0% 99.7%  
38 0.1% 99.7%  
39 0.2% 99.7%  
40 0.2% 99.5%  
41 0.2% 99.3%  
42 0.5% 99.1%  
43 1.2% 98.5%  
44 2% 97%  
45 3% 95%  
46 5% 92%  
47 6% 88%  
48 5% 82%  
49 3% 77%  
50 3% 74%  
51 3% 71%  
52 5% 68%  
53 7% 63%  
54 8% 56% Median
55 10% 48%  
56 10% 37%  
57 7% 27%  
58 4% 20%  
59 2% 16%  
60 2% 14%  
61 2% 13%  
62 2% 11%  
63 2% 9%  
64 2% 7%  
65 2% 5%  
66 1.1% 3%  
67 0.6% 2%  
68 0.3% 1.1%  
69 0.1% 0.7% Last Result
70 0.1% 0.6%  
71 0.1% 0.5%  
72 0.1% 0.4%  
73 0.1% 0.2%  
74 0.1% 0.2%  
75 0% 0.1%  
76 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0.1% 100%  
21 0.3% 99.9%  
22 0.5% 99.6%  
23 1.1% 99.1%  
24 2% 98%  
25 2% 96%  
26 5% 94%  
27 5% 90%  
28 6% 85%  
29 8% 78%  
30 8% 70%  
31 11% 63%  
32 7% 52% Median
33 11% 45%  
34 6% 34%  
35 7% 28%  
36 6% 21%  
37 4% 15%  
38 4% 11%  
39 2% 8%  
40 2% 5%  
41 1.4% 4%  
42 0.7% 2%  
43 0.7% 2%  
44 0.3% 0.8%  
45 0.3% 0.6%  
46 0.1% 0.3% Last Result
47 0.1% 0.2%  
48 0% 0.1%  
49 0% 0.1%  
50 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 465 100% 452–480 448–483 445–487 438–494
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 450 100% 437–464 432–468 429–471 422–479
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 409 100% 395–423 391–427 387–431 380–438
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 368 88% 354–381 349–386 345–390 339–397
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Die Linke 289 365 81% 350–379 346–383 342–386 335–393
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 351 39% 338–366 333–370 330–374 323–381
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 344 19% 330–359 326–363 323–367 316–374
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 220 311 0% 296–325 292–329 289–333 282–340
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 295 0% 281–309 277–313 273–317 267–324
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 269 0% 255–283 251–287 248–291 242–298
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 253 0% 240–268 236–271 233–275 226–282
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 250 0% 236–266 234–268 231–270 221–280
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 246 0% 233–260 229–264 225–267 220–275

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 99.9%  
432 0% 99.9%  
433 0% 99.9%  
434 0.1% 99.9%  
435 0.1% 99.8%  
436 0.1% 99.7%  
437 0.2% 99.7%  
438 0.2% 99.5%  
439 0.2% 99.4%  
440 0.2% 99.2%  
441 0.3% 99.0%  
442 0.4% 98.8%  
443 0.3% 98%  
444 0.4% 98%  
445 0.6% 98%  
446 0.8% 97%  
447 0.8% 96%  
448 0.9% 96%  
449 1.2% 95%  
450 1.4% 93%  
451 1.0% 92%  
452 1.0% 91%  
453 2% 90%  
454 2% 88%  
455 2% 85%  
456 3% 84%  
457 3% 81%  
458 3% 78%  
459 2% 75%  
460 3% 73%  
461 3% 69%  
462 4% 66%  
463 3% 62%  
464 3% 59% Median
465 6% 56%  
466 3% 49% Last Result
467 3% 46%  
468 4% 43%  
469 4% 40%  
470 3% 36%  
471 3% 33%  
472 3% 30%  
473 3% 26%  
474 3% 23%  
475 2% 20%  
476 2% 18%  
477 2% 16%  
478 2% 13%  
479 1.2% 11%  
480 2% 10%  
481 2% 8%  
482 1.0% 7%  
483 1.0% 6%  
484 0.9% 5%  
485 0.9% 4%  
486 0.4% 3%  
487 0.4% 3%  
488 0.5% 2%  
489 0.4% 2%  
490 0.2% 1.2%  
491 0.2% 1.1%  
492 0.2% 0.9%  
493 0.1% 0.7%  
494 0.1% 0.6%  
495 0.1% 0.5%  
496 0.1% 0.4%  
497 0% 0.3%  
498 0% 0.3%  
499 0% 0.3%  
500 0% 0.2%  
501 0% 0.2%  
502 0% 0.2%  
503 0% 0.2%  
504 0% 0.1%  
505 0% 0.1%  
506 0% 0.1%  
507 0% 0.1%  
508 0% 0.1%  
509 0% 0.1%  
510 0% 0.1%  
511 0% 0.1%  
512 0% 0.1%  
513 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 99.9%  
416 0% 99.9%  
417 0% 99.9%  
418 0% 99.9%  
419 0.1% 99.8%  
420 0.1% 99.7%  
421 0.1% 99.6%  
422 0.1% 99.5%  
423 0.1% 99.4%  
424 0.2% 99.3%  
425 0.3% 99.1%  
426 0.4% 98.8%  
427 0.4% 98%  
428 0.4% 98%  
429 0.7% 98%  
430 0.4% 97%  
431 0.7% 96%  
432 0.8% 96%  
433 0.9% 95%  
434 1.3% 94%  
435 2% 93%  
436 1.1% 91%  
437 2% 90%  
438 2% 88%  
439 2% 87%  
440 2% 85%  
441 3% 82%  
442 3% 79%  
443 3% 77%  
444 4% 73%  
445 2% 69%  
446 4% 67%  
447 5% 63%  
448 4% 59% Median
449 4% 55%  
450 4% 51%  
451 3% 47%  
452 3% 44%  
453 3% 41%  
454 3% 37%  
455 4% 35%  
456 3% 31%  
457 3% 28%  
458 3% 25%  
459 2% 22%  
460 2% 19%  
461 3% 17%  
462 2% 15%  
463 2% 13%  
464 2% 11%  
465 2% 9%  
466 1.1% 7%  
467 1.0% 6%  
468 0.7% 5%  
469 0.6% 5%  
470 1.1% 4%  
471 0.6% 3%  
472 0.4% 2%  
473 0.3% 2%  
474 0.3% 2%  
475 0.2% 1.3%  
476 0.2% 1.1%  
477 0.2% 0.8%  
478 0.1% 0.7%  
479 0.1% 0.6% Last Result
480 0.1% 0.5%  
481 0.1% 0.4%  
482 0% 0.3%  
483 0% 0.3%  
484 0% 0.2%  
485 0% 0.2%  
486 0% 0.2%  
487 0% 0.2%  
488 0% 0.1%  
489 0% 0.1%  
490 0% 0.1%  
491 0% 0.1%  
492 0% 0.1%  
493 0% 0.1%  
494 0% 0.1%  
495 0% 0.1%  
496 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
300 0% 100% Last Result
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 99.9%  
374 0% 99.9%  
375 0% 99.9%  
376 0.1% 99.9%  
377 0% 99.8%  
378 0.1% 99.8%  
379 0.1% 99.7%  
380 0.1% 99.6%  
381 0.1% 99.5%  
382 0.2% 99.4%  
383 0.2% 99.2%  
384 0.4% 99.0%  
385 0.2% 98.6%  
386 0.4% 98%  
387 0.4% 98%  
388 0.8% 97%  
389 0.6% 97%  
390 0.9% 96%  
391 1.0% 95%  
392 1.1% 94%  
393 1.3% 93%  
394 1.4% 92%  
395 1.2% 90%  
396 2% 89%  
397 2% 87%  
398 2% 85%  
399 2% 83%  
400 2% 81%  
401 3% 79%  
402 2% 76%  
403 2% 73%  
404 4% 72%  
405 4% 68%  
406 4% 64%  
407 2% 60% Median
408 5% 58%  
409 4% 52%  
410 5% 49%  
411 4% 44%  
412 2% 40%  
413 5% 38%  
414 4% 33%  
415 2% 29%  
416 3% 27%  
417 3% 24%  
418 3% 21%  
419 2% 18%  
420 1.4% 16%  
421 2% 14%  
422 2% 13%  
423 2% 11%  
424 0.7% 9%  
425 1.4% 8%  
426 1.0% 7%  
427 0.9% 6%  
428 0.8% 5%  
429 0.6% 4%  
430 0.5% 3%  
431 0.7% 3%  
432 0.5% 2%  
433 0.2% 2%  
434 0.3% 1.5%  
435 0.3% 1.2%  
436 0.2% 0.9%  
437 0.1% 0.7%  
438 0.1% 0.6%  
439 0.1% 0.5%  
440 0.1% 0.4%  
441 0% 0.3%  
442 0% 0.3%  
443 0% 0.2%  
444 0% 0.2%  
445 0% 0.2%  
446 0% 0.1%  
447 0% 0.1%  
448 0% 0.1%  
449 0% 0.1%  
450 0% 0.1%  
451 0% 0.1%  
452 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 99.9%  
332 0% 99.9%  
333 0% 99.9%  
334 0% 99.9%  
335 0% 99.8%  
336 0.1% 99.8%  
337 0.1% 99.7%  
338 0.1% 99.6%  
339 0.1% 99.5%  
340 0.2% 99.4%  
341 0.3% 99.2%  
342 0.3% 99.0%  
343 0.3% 98.6%  
344 0.6% 98%  
345 0.4% 98%  
346 0.7% 97%  
347 0.6% 97%  
348 0.5% 96%  
349 1.0% 96%  
350 1.2% 95%  
351 0.9% 94%  
352 1.1% 93%  
353 1.5% 92%  
354 2% 90%  
355 2% 88% Majority
356 3% 86%  
357 2% 83%  
358 3% 81%  
359 4% 78%  
360 2% 73%  
361 3% 71%  
362 3% 69%  
363 2% 65%  
364 3% 63%  
365 3% 60%  
366 3% 58%  
367 3% 55% Median
368 3% 52%  
369 3% 48%  
370 4% 45%  
371 4% 41%  
372 4% 37%  
373 4% 33%  
374 3% 28%  
375 2% 26%  
376 3% 23%  
377 3% 20%  
378 2% 17%  
379 2% 15%  
380 2% 13%  
381 2% 12%  
382 1.2% 10%  
383 2% 9%  
384 1.0% 7%  
385 0.9% 6%  
386 0.9% 5%  
387 0.7% 4%  
388 0.4% 4%  
389 0.6% 3%  
390 0.4% 3%  
391 0.5% 2%  
392 0.4% 2%  
393 0.2% 1.4% Last Result
394 0.2% 1.2%  
395 0.2% 0.9%  
396 0.1% 0.7%  
397 0.1% 0.6%  
398 0.1% 0.4%  
399 0.1% 0.3%  
400 0% 0.3%  
401 0% 0.2%  
402 0% 0.2%  
403 0% 0.2%  
404 0% 0.1%  
405 0% 0.1%  
406 0% 0.1%  
407 0% 0.1%  
408 0% 0.1%  
409 0% 0.1%  
410 0% 0.1%  
411 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 99.9%  
325 0% 99.9%  
326 0% 99.9%  
327 0% 99.9%  
328 0% 99.9%  
329 0% 99.9%  
330 0% 99.8%  
331 0% 99.8%  
332 0.1% 99.8%  
333 0.1% 99.7%  
334 0.1% 99.6%  
335 0.1% 99.5%  
336 0.1% 99.4%  
337 0.2% 99.3%  
338 0.2% 99.1%  
339 0.3% 98.9%  
340 0.3% 98.7%  
341 0.4% 98%  
342 0.5% 98%  
343 0.7% 97%  
344 0.8% 97%  
345 0.7% 96%  
346 0.7% 95%  
347 2% 95%  
348 1.1% 93%  
349 2% 92%  
350 2% 90%  
351 2% 88%  
352 1.3% 86%  
353 2% 85%  
354 2% 83%  
355 2% 81% Majority
356 3% 79%  
357 3% 76%  
358 2% 74%  
359 4% 71%  
360 2% 67%  
361 3% 65%  
362 3% 62%  
363 4% 59% Median
364 4% 56%  
365 5% 51%  
366 6% 47%  
367 3% 40%  
368 3% 38%  
369 3% 35%  
370 4% 32%  
371 3% 28%  
372 4% 25%  
373 2% 21%  
374 2% 19%  
375 2% 17%  
376 2% 15%  
377 2% 13%  
378 2% 12%  
379 1.4% 10%  
380 1.2% 9%  
381 1.2% 8%  
382 1.1% 6%  
383 1.0% 5%  
384 0.5% 4%  
385 0.4% 4%  
386 0.7% 3%  
387 0.3% 2%  
388 0.8% 2%  
389 0.2% 1.4%  
390 0.3% 1.1%  
391 0.2% 0.8%  
392 0.1% 0.7%  
393 0.1% 0.6%  
394 0.1% 0.4%  
395 0.1% 0.3%  
396 0.1% 0.2%  
397 0% 0.2%  
398 0% 0.1%  
399 0% 0.1%  
400 0% 0.1%  
401 0% 0.1%  
402 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 99.9%  
317 0% 99.9%  
318 0% 99.9%  
319 0% 99.9%  
320 0.1% 99.8%  
321 0.1% 99.7%  
322 0.1% 99.7%  
323 0.2% 99.6%  
324 0.2% 99.4%  
325 0.1% 99.3%  
326 0.4% 99.1%  
327 0.3% 98.7%  
328 0.3% 98%  
329 0.5% 98%  
330 0.7% 98%  
331 0.4% 97%  
332 0.8% 96%  
333 0.9% 96%  
334 0.8% 95%  
335 0.9% 94%  
336 1.4% 93%  
337 1.1% 92%  
338 2% 91%  
339 2% 89%  
340 1.1% 87%  
341 2% 86%  
342 4% 84%  
343 1.2% 80%  
344 3% 79%  
345 4% 75%  
346 3% 72%  
347 3% 69%  
348 6% 66%  
349 3% 60%  
350 4% 57% Median
351 4% 53%  
352 4% 49%  
353 2% 45%  
354 4% 43%  
355 3% 39% Majority
356 2% 36%  
357 4% 34%  
358 3% 29%  
359 2% 27%  
360 3% 25%  
361 3% 22%  
362 2% 19%  
363 2% 17%  
364 3% 15%  
365 1.0% 13%  
366 2% 12%  
367 1.2% 9%  
368 1.3% 8%  
369 1.0% 7%  
370 1.2% 6%  
371 0.6% 5%  
372 0.8% 4%  
373 0.7% 3%  
374 0.4% 3%  
375 0.4% 2%  
376 0.5% 2%  
377 0.2% 1.3%  
378 0.2% 1.2%  
379 0.2% 1.0%  
380 0.2% 0.7%  
381 0.1% 0.6%  
382 0.1% 0.5%  
383 0.1% 0.4%  
384 0% 0.3%  
385 0.1% 0.3%  
386 0% 0.2%  
387 0% 0.2%  
388 0% 0.1%  
389 0% 0.1%  
390 0% 0.1%  
391 0% 0.1%  
392 0% 0.1%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 99.9%  
310 0% 99.9%  
311 0% 99.9%  
312 0% 99.9%  
313 0.1% 99.8%  
314 0.1% 99.8%  
315 0.1% 99.7%  
316 0.1% 99.6%  
317 0.1% 99.4%  
318 0.2% 99.3%  
319 0.3% 99.2%  
320 0.2% 98.9%  
321 0.8% 98.6%  
322 0.3% 98%  
323 0.7% 98%  
324 0.4% 97%  
325 0.5% 96%  
326 1.0% 96%  
327 1.1% 95%  
328 1.2% 94%  
329 1.2% 92%  
330 1.4% 91%  
331 2% 90%  
332 2% 88%  
333 2% 87%  
334 2% 85%  
335 2% 83%  
336 2% 81%  
337 4% 79%  
338 3% 75%  
339 4% 72%  
340 3% 68%  
341 3% 65%  
342 3% 62%  
343 6% 60%  
344 5% 53% Median
345 4% 49%  
346 4% 44%  
347 3% 41%  
348 3% 38%  
349 2% 35%  
350 4% 33%  
351 2% 29%  
352 3% 26%  
353 3% 24%  
354 2% 21%  
355 2% 19% Majority
356 2% 17%  
357 1.3% 15%  
358 2% 14%  
359 2% 12%  
360 2% 10%  
361 1.1% 8%  
362 2% 7%  
363 0.7% 5%  
364 0.7% 5%  
365 0.8% 4%  
366 0.7% 3%  
367 0.5% 3%  
368 0.4% 2%  
369 0.3% 2%  
370 0.3% 1.3%  
371 0.2% 1.1%  
372 0.2% 0.9%  
373 0.1% 0.7%  
374 0.1% 0.6%  
375 0.1% 0.5%  
376 0.1% 0.4%  
377 0.1% 0.3%  
378 0% 0.2%  
379 0% 0.2%  
380 0% 0.2%  
381 0% 0.1%  
382 0% 0.1%  
383 0% 0.1%  
384 0% 0.1%  
385 0% 0.1%  
386 0% 0.1%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 99.9%  
276 0% 99.9%  
277 0% 99.9%  
278 0.1% 99.9%  
279 0% 99.8%  
280 0.1% 99.8%  
281 0.1% 99.7%  
282 0.1% 99.6%  
283 0.2% 99.5%  
284 0.2% 99.3%  
285 0.2% 99.1%  
286 0.2% 98.9%  
287 0.4% 98.7%  
288 0.6% 98%  
289 0.7% 98%  
290 0.6% 97%  
291 0.7% 96%  
292 0.8% 96%  
293 1.2% 95%  
294 1.4% 94%  
295 2% 92%  
296 1.2% 91%  
297 1.4% 89%  
298 2% 88%  
299 2% 86%  
300 2% 84%  
301 2% 82%  
302 2% 80%  
303 2% 78%  
304 4% 76%  
305 3% 72%  
306 3% 69%  
307 3% 66%  
308 4% 63%  
309 3% 59% Median
310 5% 56%  
311 5% 51%  
312 4% 46%  
313 3% 42%  
314 3% 39%  
315 3% 36%  
316 3% 33%  
317 4% 30%  
318 3% 25%  
319 2% 22%  
320 2% 20%  
321 2% 18%  
322 2% 16%  
323 2% 14%  
324 1.4% 12%  
325 1.4% 10%  
326 0.9% 9%  
327 1.4% 8%  
328 1.4% 7%  
329 0.8% 5%  
330 0.7% 5%  
331 0.6% 4%  
332 0.4% 3%  
333 0.6% 3%  
334 0.5% 2%  
335 0.5% 2%  
336 0.2% 1.2%  
337 0.1% 1.0%  
338 0.2% 0.8%  
339 0.1% 0.7%  
340 0.1% 0.5%  
341 0.1% 0.4%  
342 0.1% 0.3%  
343 0% 0.2%  
344 0% 0.2%  
345 0% 0.2%  
346 0% 0.1%  
347 0% 0.1%  
348 0% 0.1%  
349 0% 0.1%  
350 0% 0.1%  
351 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
233 0% 100% Last Result
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 99.9%  
261 0% 99.9%  
262 0% 99.9%  
263 0.1% 99.9%  
264 0.1% 99.8%  
265 0.1% 99.7%  
266 0.1% 99.6%  
267 0.2% 99.5%  
268 0.2% 99.3%  
269 0.2% 99.1%  
270 0.2% 98.9%  
271 0.3% 98.8%  
272 0.5% 98%  
273 0.5% 98%  
274 0.5% 97%  
275 0.6% 97%  
276 0.8% 96%  
277 0.9% 96%  
278 1.5% 95%  
279 0.8% 93%  
280 1.5% 92%  
281 2% 91%  
282 2% 89%  
283 1.4% 87%  
284 2% 86%  
285 3% 84%  
286 3% 81%  
287 3% 78%  
288 3% 76%  
289 3% 73%  
290 3% 69%  
291 4% 66%  
292 4% 63%  
293 4% 59% Median
294 4% 55%  
295 4% 51%  
296 4% 48%  
297 3% 43%  
298 3% 40%  
299 3% 37%  
300 3% 34%  
301 2% 30%  
302 4% 28%  
303 2% 24%  
304 3% 22%  
305 3% 19%  
306 2% 17%  
307 1.3% 14%  
308 2% 13%  
309 2% 11%  
310 1.3% 10%  
311 1.2% 8%  
312 1.1% 7%  
313 1.0% 6%  
314 1.0% 5%  
315 0.7% 4%  
316 0.6% 3%  
317 0.4% 3%  
318 0.5% 2%  
319 0.3% 2%  
320 0.3% 1.4%  
321 0.2% 1.1%  
322 0.2% 0.9%  
323 0.2% 0.8%  
324 0.1% 0.6%  
325 0.1% 0.5%  
326 0.1% 0.4%  
327 0.1% 0.3%  
328 0.1% 0.2%  
329 0% 0.2%  
330 0% 0.1%  
331 0% 0.1%  
332 0% 0.1%  
333 0% 0.1%  
334 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 99.9%  
236 0% 99.9%  
237 0% 99.9%  
238 0% 99.8%  
239 0.1% 99.8%  
240 0.1% 99.7%  
241 0.1% 99.6%  
242 0.3% 99.5%  
243 0.1% 99.3%  
244 0.3% 99.1%  
245 0.3% 98.8%  
246 0.4% 98.5%  
247 0.3% 98%  
248 0.6% 98%  
249 0.6% 97%  
250 1.0% 97%  
251 1.2% 96%  
252 0.9% 95%  
253 0.9% 94%  
254 1.5% 93%  
255 2% 91%  
256 1.5% 89%  
257 3% 88%  
258 3% 85%  
259 2% 82%  
260 2% 81%  
261 3% 79%  
262 3% 76%  
263 4% 73%  
264 4% 69%  
265 4% 65%  
266 3% 62%  
267 3% 58%  
268 3% 55%  
269 3% 53% Median
270 4% 49%  
271 3% 45%  
272 5% 42%  
273 3% 37%  
274 3% 34%  
275 3% 31%  
276 3% 28%  
277 3% 25%  
278 4% 22%  
279 2% 19%  
280 2% 16%  
281 2% 14%  
282 2% 12%  
283 1.1% 11%  
284 2% 10%  
285 2% 8%  
286 0.9% 6%  
287 0.8% 5%  
288 0.8% 4%  
289 0.5% 4%  
290 0.3% 3%  
291 0.6% 3%  
292 0.3% 2%  
293 0.4% 2%  
294 0.4% 1.4%  
295 0.2% 1.0%  
296 0.2% 0.9%  
297 0.1% 0.7%  
298 0.1% 0.6%  
299 0.1% 0.4%  
300 0.1% 0.3%  
301 0.1% 0.2%  
302 0% 0.2%  
303 0% 0.1%  
304 0% 0.1%  
305 0% 0.1%  
306 0% 0.1%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 99.9%  
221 0% 99.9%  
222 0% 99.9%  
223 0% 99.8%  
224 0.1% 99.8%  
225 0.1% 99.7%  
226 0.1% 99.6%  
227 0.3% 99.5%  
228 0.2% 99.2%  
229 0.2% 99.1%  
230 0.3% 98.9%  
231 0.5% 98.6%  
232 0.4% 98%  
233 0.9% 98%  
234 0.8% 97%  
235 0.8% 96%  
236 0.7% 95%  
237 1.1% 95%  
238 1.0% 94%  
239 1.0% 93%  
240 3% 91%  
241 2% 89%  
242 2% 86%  
243 2% 84%  
244 2% 83%  
245 3% 81%  
246 3% 78%  
247 4% 75%  
248 5% 71%  
249 3% 66%  
250 2% 63%  
251 3% 60%  
252 3% 57%  
253 4% 54% Median
254 4% 49%  
255 4% 45%  
256 4% 41%  
257 3% 38%  
258 2% 34%  
259 3% 32%  
260 3% 29%  
261 4% 26%  
262 3% 22%  
263 3% 20%  
264 2% 17%  
265 2% 15%  
266 2% 13%  
267 1.1% 11%  
268 2% 10%  
269 1.4% 8%  
270 2% 7%  
271 0.7% 5%  
272 0.6% 5%  
273 0.7% 4%  
274 0.6% 3%  
275 0.6% 3%  
276 0.4% 2%  
277 0.3% 2%  
278 0.3% 1.3%  
279 0.2% 1.0%  
280 0.1% 0.8%  
281 0.2% 0.7%  
282 0.1% 0.5%  
283 0.1% 0.4%  
284 0.1% 0.3%  
285 0.1% 0.2%  
286 0% 0.2%  
287 0% 0.2%  
288 0% 0.1%  
289 0% 0.1%  
290 0% 0.1%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 99.9%  
209 0% 99.9%  
210 0% 99.9%  
211 0% 99.9%  
212 0% 99.9%  
213 0% 99.9%  
214 0% 99.9%  
215 0% 99.8%  
216 0% 99.8%  
217 0% 99.7%  
218 0% 99.7%  
219 0.1% 99.7%  
220 0.1% 99.6%  
221 0.1% 99.5%  
222 0.1% 99.4% Last Result
223 0.2% 99.3%  
224 0.1% 99.1%  
225 0.1% 99.0%  
226 0.1% 98.9%  
227 0.1% 98.7%  
228 0.1% 98.7%  
229 0.2% 98.5%  
230 0.5% 98%  
231 0.6% 98%  
232 0.8% 97%  
233 1.2% 96%  
234 2% 95%  
235 2% 93%  
236 3% 91%  
237 3% 88%  
238 2% 85%  
239 2% 83%  
240 2% 81%  
241 2% 80%  
242 1.4% 78%  
243 1.1% 77%  
244 1.1% 76%  
245 1.1% 75%  
246 2% 73%  
247 2% 72%  
248 6% 69%  
249 8% 64% Median
250 7% 56%  
251 5% 48%  
252 4% 44%  
253 6% 39%  
254 5% 34%  
255 5% 29%  
256 2% 24%  
257 1.2% 22%  
258 0.8% 20%  
259 0.9% 20%  
260 0.7% 19%  
261 0.8% 18%  
262 2% 17%  
263 2% 16%  
264 2% 14%  
265 2% 12%  
266 2% 10%  
267 2% 8%  
268 2% 6%  
269 1.2% 4%  
270 1.1% 3%  
271 0.6% 2%  
272 0.2% 1.5%  
273 0.2% 1.2%  
274 0.1% 1.0%  
275 0.1% 1.0%  
276 0.1% 0.9%  
277 0.1% 0.8%  
278 0.1% 0.7%  
279 0.1% 0.6%  
280 0.1% 0.5%  
281 0.1% 0.5%  
282 0.1% 0.3%  
283 0.1% 0.2%  
284 0% 0.1%  
285 0% 0.1%  
286 0% 0.1%  
287 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 99.9%  
214 0% 99.9%  
215 0% 99.9%  
216 0.1% 99.9%  
217 0.1% 99.8%  
218 0.1% 99.7%  
219 0.1% 99.7%  
220 0.1% 99.5%  
221 0.3% 99.4%  
222 0.1% 99.1%  
223 0.4% 99.0%  
224 0.3% 98.5%  
225 0.7% 98%  
226 0.5% 97%  
227 1.0% 97%  
228 0.6% 96%  
229 1.2% 95%  
230 0.9% 94%  
231 1.5% 93%  
232 1.5% 92%  
233 1.0% 90%  
234 2% 89%  
235 1.4% 87%  
236 2% 86%  
237 2% 83%  
238 3% 81%  
239 2% 78%  
240 3% 76%  
241 4% 73%  
242 4% 69%  
243 5% 65%  
244 3% 60%  
245 5% 57%  
246 4% 52% Median
247 5% 49%  
248 4% 43%  
249 5% 40%  
250 2% 35%  
251 3% 33%  
252 3% 30%  
253 3% 27%  
254 2% 24%  
255 2% 22%  
256 3% 20%  
257 2% 17%  
258 2% 15%  
259 1.3% 13%  
260 2% 11%  
261 1.0% 10%  
262 2% 9%  
263 1.1% 7%  
264 1.3% 6%  
265 0.9% 4%  
266 0.8% 4%  
267 0.3% 3%  
268 0.5% 2%  
269 0.4% 2%  
270 0.3% 2%  
271 0.3% 1.2%  
272 0.1% 0.9%  
273 0.2% 0.8%  
274 0.1% 0.6%  
275 0.1% 0.5%  
276 0.1% 0.4%  
277 0.1% 0.3%  
278 0% 0.2%  
279 0.1% 0.2%  
280 0% 0.1%  
281 0% 0.1%  
282 0% 0.1%  
283 0% 0.1%  
284 0% 0.1%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0%  
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations