Opinion Poll by GMS, 1–6 September 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 25.0% 23.3–26.8% 22.8–27.3% 22.4–27.8% 21.6–28.7%
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 18.7% 17.2–20.4% 16.8–20.9% 16.4–21.3% 15.7–22.1%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 17.0% 15.6–18.6% 15.2–19.1% 14.8–19.5% 14.2–20.3%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 12.0% 10.7–13.4% 10.4–13.8% 10.1–14.1% 9.5–14.8%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 11.0% 9.8–12.3% 9.4–12.7% 9.2–13.0% 8.6–13.7%
Die Linke 9.2% 6.0% 5.1–7.1% 4.9–7.4% 4.7–7.6% 4.3–8.2%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 4.3% 3.6–5.2% 3.4–5.5% 3.2–5.7% 2.9–6.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 188 175–202 171–206 168–210 162–218
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 141 129–153 126–157 123–160 118–167
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 128 117–140 114–144 111–147 106–153
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 90 81–101 78–104 76–106 71–112
Alternative für Deutschland 94 82 73–93 71–95 69–98 65–104
Die Linke 69 45 38–53 0–55 0–57 0–61
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 36 30–42 28–44 27–46 25–50

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
153 0% 100% Last Result
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 99.9%  
157 0% 99.9%  
158 0.1% 99.9%  
159 0.1% 99.8%  
160 0.1% 99.8%  
161 0.1% 99.7%  
162 0.1% 99.6%  
163 0.2% 99.4%  
164 0.2% 99.2%  
165 0.3% 99.0%  
166 0.4% 98.7%  
167 0.5% 98%  
168 0.6% 98%  
169 0.7% 97%  
170 0.9% 97%  
171 1.0% 96%  
172 1.5% 95%  
173 1.4% 93%  
174 1.5% 92%  
175 2% 90%  
176 3% 89%  
177 2% 86%  
178 2% 84%  
179 3% 81%  
180 3% 79%  
181 2% 76%  
182 5% 73%  
183 3% 69%  
184 4% 65%  
185 4% 62%  
186 4% 58%  
187 4% 54%  
188 4% 50% Median
189 4% 46%  
190 3% 42%  
191 3% 39%  
192 3% 36%  
193 3% 33%  
194 4% 30%  
195 2% 26%  
196 3% 24%  
197 3% 21%  
198 2% 18%  
199 2% 16%  
200 3% 14%  
201 2% 12%  
202 1.4% 10%  
203 1.4% 9%  
204 1.1% 7%  
205 1.1% 6%  
206 0.7% 5%  
207 0.8% 5%  
208 0.5% 4%  
209 0.6% 3%  
210 0.5% 3%  
211 0.3% 2%  
212 0.3% 2%  
213 0.3% 2%  
214 0.2% 1.2%  
215 0.1% 1.0%  
216 0.2% 0.9%  
217 0.1% 0.7%  
218 0.2% 0.6%  
219 0.1% 0.5%  
220 0.1% 0.4%  
221 0.1% 0.3%  
222 0.1% 0.3%  
223 0% 0.2%  
224 0% 0.2%  
225 0.1% 0.1%  
226 0% 0.1%  
227 0% 0.1%  
228 0% 0.1%  
229 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 99.9%  
114 0% 99.9%  
115 0.1% 99.9%  
116 0.1% 99.8%  
117 0.2% 99.7%  
118 0.2% 99.5%  
119 0.2% 99.4%  
120 0.3% 99.1%  
121 0.4% 98.8%  
122 0.5% 98%  
123 0.5% 98%  
124 1.0% 97%  
125 1.0% 96%  
126 0.9% 95%  
127 2% 94%  
128 2% 93%  
129 2% 91%  
130 2% 89%  
131 3% 87%  
132 3% 84%  
133 3% 81%  
134 3% 78%  
135 4% 75%  
136 4% 72%  
137 4% 68%  
138 3% 64%  
139 4% 61%  
140 5% 57%  
141 4% 52% Median
142 4% 48%  
143 5% 44%  
144 4% 39%  
145 5% 36%  
146 3% 31%  
147 3% 28%  
148 4% 25%  
149 3% 21%  
150 2% 18%  
151 2% 16%  
152 2% 14%  
153 2% 11%  
154 1.2% 9%  
155 1.3% 8%  
156 1.4% 7%  
157 1.0% 6%  
158 0.8% 5%  
159 0.8% 4%  
160 0.6% 3%  
161 0.5% 2%  
162 0.4% 2%  
163 0.3% 1.4%  
164 0.2% 1.2%  
165 0.2% 0.9%  
166 0.2% 0.8%  
167 0.1% 0.6%  
168 0.1% 0.5%  
169 0.1% 0.4%  
170 0.1% 0.3%  
171 0.1% 0.2%  
172 0% 0.2%  
173 0% 0.1%  
174 0% 0.1%  
175 0% 0.1%  
176 0% 0.1%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 99.9%  
102 0% 99.9%  
103 0% 99.9%  
104 0.1% 99.8%  
105 0.1% 99.7%  
106 0.1% 99.6%  
107 0.3% 99.5%  
108 0.4% 99.2%  
109 0.3% 98.8%  
110 0.6% 98.6%  
111 0.6% 98%  
112 0.9% 97%  
113 1.1% 97%  
114 1.3% 95%  
115 1.4% 94%  
116 1.5% 93%  
117 2% 91%  
118 2% 89%  
119 3% 87%  
120 3% 84%  
121 5% 81%  
122 3% 77%  
123 4% 74%  
124 3% 69%  
125 3% 66%  
126 6% 63%  
127 3% 57%  
128 4% 54% Median
129 5% 50%  
130 6% 44%  
131 3% 39%  
132 4% 35%  
133 4% 32%  
134 3% 27%  
135 3% 25%  
136 3% 22%  
137 2% 19%  
138 4% 17%  
139 2% 13%  
140 1.3% 11%  
141 2% 10%  
142 1.4% 8%  
143 1.2% 6%  
144 1.0% 5%  
145 0.9% 4%  
146 0.5% 3%  
147 0.5% 3%  
148 0.6% 2%  
149 0.3% 2%  
150 0.4% 1.4%  
151 0.3% 1.1%  
152 0.2% 0.8%  
153 0.1% 0.6%  
154 0.1% 0.5%  
155 0.1% 0.3%  
156 0.1% 0.3%  
157 0.1% 0.2%  
158 0% 0.1%  
159 0% 0.1%  
160 0% 0.1%  
161 0% 0.1%  
162 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 0.1% 99.8%  
71 0.2% 99.7%  
72 0.3% 99.5%  
73 0.3% 99.2%  
74 0.5% 98.9%  
75 0.7% 98%  
76 1.0% 98%  
77 1.2% 97%  
78 2% 95%  
79 1.4% 94%  
80 2% 92% Last Result
81 3% 90%  
82 3% 87%  
83 4% 84%  
84 3% 80%  
85 3% 77%  
86 6% 74%  
87 6% 68%  
88 4% 62%  
89 4% 58%  
90 5% 54% Median
91 6% 49%  
92 6% 43%  
93 4% 37%  
94 4% 33%  
95 4% 29%  
96 4% 24%  
97 4% 20%  
98 3% 17%  
99 2% 14%  
100 2% 12%  
101 2% 10%  
102 2% 8%  
103 1.1% 6%  
104 1.0% 5%  
105 0.8% 4%  
106 0.8% 3%  
107 0.5% 2%  
108 0.5% 2%  
109 0.3% 1.3%  
110 0.3% 1.1%  
111 0.2% 0.8%  
112 0.2% 0.6%  
113 0.1% 0.4%  
114 0.1% 0.3%  
115 0.1% 0.2%  
116 0% 0.1%  
117 0% 0.1%  
118 0% 0.1%  
119 0% 0.1%  
120 0% 0%  

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100%  
61 0.1% 99.9%  
62 0.1% 99.9%  
63 0.1% 99.8%  
64 0.2% 99.7%  
65 0.2% 99.5%  
66 0.3% 99.3%  
67 0.6% 99.0%  
68 0.6% 98%  
69 0.9% 98%  
70 1.2% 97%  
71 2% 96%  
72 2% 94%  
73 3% 92%  
74 3% 90%  
75 3% 87%  
76 3% 83%  
77 4% 80%  
78 5% 76%  
79 4% 71%  
80 5% 67%  
81 7% 62%  
82 5% 55% Median
83 5% 50%  
84 6% 45%  
85 5% 40%  
86 5% 35%  
87 4% 29%  
88 4% 26%  
89 4% 22%  
90 3% 18%  
91 3% 15%  
92 2% 12%  
93 2% 10%  
94 2% 8% Last Result
95 1.5% 6%  
96 0.9% 5%  
97 1.0% 4%  
98 0.7% 3%  
99 0.5% 2%  
100 0.4% 2%  
101 0.3% 1.4%  
102 0.3% 1.1%  
103 0.2% 0.8%  
104 0.2% 0.6%  
105 0.1% 0.4%  
106 0.1% 0.3%  
107 0% 0.2%  
108 0% 0.1%  
109 0% 0.1%  
110 0% 0.1%  
111 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 8% 100%  
1 0% 92%  
2 0% 92%  
3 0% 92%  
4 0% 92%  
5 0% 92%  
6 0% 92%  
7 0% 92%  
8 0% 92%  
9 0% 92%  
10 0% 92%  
11 0% 92%  
12 0% 92%  
13 0% 92%  
14 0% 92%  
15 0% 92%  
16 0% 92%  
17 0% 92%  
18 0% 92%  
19 0% 92%  
20 0% 92%  
21 0% 92%  
22 0% 92%  
23 0% 92%  
24 0% 92%  
25 0% 92%  
26 0% 92%  
27 0% 92%  
28 0% 92%  
29 0% 92%  
30 0% 92%  
31 0% 92%  
32 0% 92%  
33 0% 92%  
34 0% 92%  
35 0% 92%  
36 0% 92%  
37 0.2% 92%  
38 3% 92%  
39 4% 89%  
40 5% 86%  
41 7% 81%  
42 6% 73%  
43 7% 67%  
44 6% 61%  
45 8% 54% Median
46 7% 47%  
47 7% 40%  
48 6% 33%  
49 5% 28%  
50 6% 23%  
51 4% 17%  
52 3% 14%  
53 2% 10%  
54 2% 8%  
55 2% 6%  
56 1.1% 4%  
57 0.8% 3%  
58 0.6% 2%  
59 0.5% 1.4%  
60 0.3% 0.9%  
61 0.2% 0.6%  
62 0.1% 0.4%  
63 0.1% 0.3%  
64 0.1% 0.2%  
65 0% 0.1%  
66 0% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100%  
23 0.1% 99.9%  
24 0.3% 99.8%  
25 0.5% 99.6%  
26 1.1% 99.0%  
27 2% 98%  
28 2% 96%  
29 3% 94%  
30 5% 92%  
31 6% 86%  
32 6% 80%  
33 9% 74%  
34 8% 65%  
35 6% 57%  
36 6% 51% Median
37 8% 44%  
38 9% 36%  
39 5% 27%  
40 5% 22%  
41 4% 16%  
42 3% 12%  
43 3% 9%  
44 2% 6%  
45 2% 5%  
46 1.1% 3% Last Result
47 0.7% 2%  
48 0.4% 1.3%  
49 0.3% 0.8%  
50 0.2% 0.5%  
51 0.1% 0.4%  
52 0.1% 0.2%  
53 0.1% 0.1%  
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 492 100% 478–509 474–521 470–531 463–541
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 454 100% 439–472 435–482 432–490 425–501
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 406 100% 391–424 387–431 383–439 376–450
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 395 100% 380–413 375–420 371–426 365–438
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 364 78% 349–381 345–388 341–394 334–406
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Die Linke 289 360 67% 343–375 337–379 330–383 319–390
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 349 33% 334–366 330–372 326–379 319–390
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 220 316 0.5% 301–332 297–339 293–345 286–354
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 305 0% 290–321 286–327 282–332 275–343
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 278 0% 264–294 259–299 255–304 249–316
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 267 0% 252–282 248–288 245–293 238–302
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 259 0% 245–275 241–280 238–284 231–294
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 232 0% 214–246 203–251 196–254 185–261

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
456 0% 100%  
457 0% 99.9%  
458 0% 99.9%  
459 0% 99.9%  
460 0% 99.8%  
461 0.1% 99.8%  
462 0.1% 99.7%  
463 0.1% 99.6%  
464 0.1% 99.5%  
465 0.2% 99.4%  
466 0.2% 99.2% Last Result
467 0.3% 99.0%  
468 0.4% 98.7%  
469 0.5% 98%  
470 0.6% 98%  
471 0.4% 97%  
472 0.7% 97%  
473 0.7% 96%  
474 1.2% 95%  
475 1.1% 94%  
476 0.9% 93%  
477 0.9% 92%  
478 2% 91%  
479 2% 89%  
480 3% 87%  
481 2% 84%  
482 2% 82%  
483 2% 80%  
484 2% 78%  
485 3% 76%  
486 3% 73%  
487 5% 70%  
488 3% 65%  
489 4% 63%  
490 4% 59%  
491 4% 55%  
492 3% 50%  
493 2% 47% Median
494 2% 45%  
495 3% 43%  
496 4% 40%  
497 4% 36%  
498 5% 32%  
499 2% 26%  
500 2% 25%  
501 2% 23%  
502 2% 21%  
503 2% 19%  
504 1.3% 17%  
505 1.4% 16%  
506 1.1% 15%  
507 1.2% 14%  
508 2% 12%  
509 0.8% 11%  
510 0.6% 10%  
511 0.4% 9%  
512 0.6% 9%  
513 0.6% 8%  
514 0.4% 8%  
515 0.4% 7%  
516 0.4% 7%  
517 0.3% 6%  
518 0.2% 6%  
519 0.3% 6%  
520 0.5% 6%  
521 0.2% 5%  
522 0.2% 5%  
523 0.5% 5%  
524 0.3% 4%  
525 0.2% 4%  
526 0.1% 4%  
527 0.2% 4%  
528 0.4% 3%  
529 0.3% 3%  
530 0.2% 3%  
531 0.6% 3%  
532 0.1% 2%  
533 0.1% 2%  
534 0.3% 2%  
535 0.2% 1.4%  
536 0.1% 1.2%  
537 0.2% 1.1%  
538 0% 0.8%  
539 0.2% 0.8%  
540 0.1% 0.6%  
541 0.1% 0.6%  
542 0.1% 0.5%  
543 0.2% 0.4%  
544 0% 0.3%  
545 0.1% 0.2%  
546 0% 0.1%  
547 0% 0.1%  
548 0% 0.1%  
549 0% 0.1%  
550 0% 0.1%  
551 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 99.9%  
419 0% 99.9%  
420 0% 99.9%  
421 0% 99.8%  
422 0.1% 99.8%  
423 0.1% 99.7%  
424 0.1% 99.6%  
425 0.2% 99.6%  
426 0.2% 99.4%  
427 0.2% 99.2%  
428 0.2% 99.0%  
429 0.4% 98.8%  
430 0.3% 98%  
431 0.4% 98%  
432 0.8% 98%  
433 0.8% 97%  
434 0.7% 96%  
435 0.9% 95%  
436 1.2% 95%  
437 1.0% 93%  
438 0.9% 92%  
439 2% 91%  
440 2% 90%  
441 1.3% 88%  
442 1.2% 86%  
443 3% 85%  
444 2% 83%  
445 3% 81%  
446 4% 78%  
447 2% 74%  
448 3% 72%  
449 3% 69%  
450 3% 66%  
451 5% 63%  
452 4% 58%  
453 3% 54%  
454 4% 51%  
455 4% 47% Median
456 3% 43%  
457 2% 41%  
458 3% 38%  
459 3% 35%  
460 3% 33%  
461 2% 30%  
462 2% 28%  
463 3% 25%  
464 2% 23%  
465 2% 21%  
466 2% 19%  
467 1.0% 17%  
468 1.4% 16%  
469 2% 14%  
470 1.1% 12%  
471 0.6% 11%  
472 0.8% 11%  
473 1.4% 10%  
474 0.6% 8%  
475 0.3% 8%  
476 0.4% 7%  
477 0.7% 7%  
478 0.4% 6%  
479 0.2% 6% Last Result
480 0.2% 6%  
481 0.3% 5%  
482 0.4% 5%  
483 0.4% 5%  
484 0.1% 4%  
485 0.3% 4%  
486 0.6% 4%  
487 0.6% 3%  
488 0% 3%  
489 0.1% 3%  
490 0.2% 3%  
491 0.6% 2%  
492 0.4% 2%  
493 0% 1.5%  
494 0.1% 1.4%  
495 0.2% 1.4%  
496 0.2% 1.2%  
497 0.1% 1.0%  
498 0% 0.8%  
499 0.1% 0.8%  
500 0.2% 0.7%  
501 0.1% 0.6%  
502 0% 0.4%  
503 0% 0.4%  
504 0.1% 0.4%  
505 0.1% 0.3%  
506 0.1% 0.2%  
507 0% 0.1%  
508 0% 0.1%  
509 0% 0.1%  
510 0% 0.1%  
511 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
300 0% 100% Last Result
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 99.9%  
369 0% 99.9%  
370 0% 99.9%  
371 0% 99.9%  
372 0.1% 99.8%  
373 0.1% 99.8%  
374 0.1% 99.7%  
375 0.1% 99.7%  
376 0.1% 99.5%  
377 0.2% 99.4%  
378 0.2% 99.3%  
379 0.3% 99.0%  
380 0.2% 98.7%  
381 0.4% 98.5%  
382 0.5% 98%  
383 0.5% 98%  
384 0.5% 97%  
385 0.8% 97%  
386 0.7% 96%  
387 0.9% 95%  
388 1.0% 94%  
389 1.4% 93%  
390 2% 92%  
391 2% 90%  
392 1.1% 89%  
393 2% 87%  
394 2% 85%  
395 3% 83%  
396 2% 80%  
397 3% 78%  
398 2% 76%  
399 4% 73%  
400 1.5% 69%  
401 4% 68%  
402 4% 64%  
403 2% 60%  
404 4% 59%  
405 4% 55%  
406 2% 50% Median
407 4% 48%  
408 3% 43%  
409 2% 41%  
410 4% 39%  
411 3% 35%  
412 3% 32%  
413 3% 29%  
414 2% 26%  
415 2% 25%  
416 2% 22%  
417 2% 20%  
418 2% 18%  
419 0.8% 16%  
420 1.5% 15%  
421 1.2% 14%  
422 1.4% 13%  
423 1.3% 11%  
424 0.6% 10%  
425 0.8% 9%  
426 0.7% 9%  
427 0.7% 8%  
428 0.6% 7%  
429 0.6% 7%  
430 0.6% 6%  
431 0.6% 5%  
432 0.3% 5%  
433 0.3% 4%  
434 0.5% 4%  
435 0.2% 4%  
436 0.5% 3%  
437 0.2% 3%  
438 0.2% 3%  
439 0.2% 3%  
440 0.2% 2%  
441 0.1% 2%  
442 0.5% 2%  
443 0.2% 2%  
444 0.1% 1.3%  
445 0.2% 1.2%  
446 0.2% 1.0%  
447 0.1% 0.8%  
448 0.1% 0.7%  
449 0% 0.6%  
450 0.1% 0.6%  
451 0.1% 0.4%  
452 0% 0.3%  
453 0% 0.3%  
454 0% 0.3%  
455 0.1% 0.2%  
456 0% 0.2%  
457 0% 0.1%  
458 0% 0.1%  
459 0% 0.1%  
460 0% 0.1%  
461 0% 0.1%  
462 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 99.9%  
358 0% 99.9%  
359 0% 99.9%  
360 0% 99.9%  
361 0.1% 99.8%  
362 0.1% 99.8%  
363 0.1% 99.7%  
364 0.1% 99.6%  
365 0.2% 99.5%  
366 0.1% 99.3%  
367 0.3% 99.2%  
368 0.3% 98.9%  
369 0.4% 98.7%  
370 0.4% 98%  
371 0.4% 98%  
372 0.6% 97%  
373 0.5% 97%  
374 0.7% 96%  
375 0.9% 96%  
376 0.9% 95%  
377 0.8% 94%  
378 1.4% 93%  
379 1.2% 92%  
380 2% 90%  
381 1.4% 89%  
382 3% 87%  
383 2% 85%  
384 2% 82%  
385 2% 81%  
386 3% 78%  
387 3% 76%  
388 3% 73%  
389 2% 70%  
390 3% 67%  
391 4% 65%  
392 2% 61%  
393 4% 59% Last Result
394 4% 55%  
395 4% 52% Median
396 3% 47%  
397 4% 44%  
398 3% 41%  
399 4% 38%  
400 3% 34%  
401 4% 32%  
402 2% 28%  
403 2% 26%  
404 2% 24%  
405 2% 22%  
406 2% 20%  
407 2% 18%  
408 1.3% 16%  
409 1.5% 15%  
410 1.3% 14%  
411 1.2% 12%  
412 0.9% 11%  
413 0.7% 10%  
414 1.0% 9%  
415 0.7% 8%  
416 0.7% 8%  
417 0.6% 7%  
418 0.5% 6%  
419 0.5% 6%  
420 0.8% 5%  
421 0.4% 5%  
422 0.2% 4%  
423 0.7% 4%  
424 0.6% 3%  
425 0.2% 3%  
426 0.1% 3%  
427 0.2% 2%  
428 0.2% 2%  
429 0.3% 2%  
430 0.4% 2%  
431 0.2% 1.4%  
432 0.1% 1.2%  
433 0.1% 1.1%  
434 0.2% 1.0%  
435 0.1% 0.8%  
436 0.1% 0.6%  
437 0% 0.6%  
438 0.1% 0.6%  
439 0.1% 0.4%  
440 0.1% 0.4%  
441 0% 0.3%  
442 0.1% 0.3%  
443 0% 0.2%  
444 0% 0.2%  
445 0% 0.2%  
446 0% 0.1%  
447 0% 0.1%  
448 0% 0.1%  
449 0% 0.1%  
450 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 99.9%  
328 0% 99.9%  
329 0% 99.9%  
330 0.1% 99.8%  
331 0% 99.8%  
332 0.1% 99.7%  
333 0.1% 99.7%  
334 0.1% 99.6%  
335 0.1% 99.5%  
336 0.1% 99.3%  
337 0.3% 99.2%  
338 0.3% 98.9%  
339 0.5% 98.6%  
340 0.4% 98%  
341 0.7% 98%  
342 0.4% 97%  
343 0.7% 97%  
344 0.8% 96%  
345 1.0% 95%  
346 0.9% 94%  
347 1.4% 93%  
348 1.4% 92%  
349 1.1% 91%  
350 2% 89%  
351 2% 88%  
352 3% 86%  
353 2% 83%  
354 3% 81%  
355 2% 78% Majority
356 2% 76%  
357 2% 74%  
358 3% 71%  
359 4% 69%  
360 3% 65%  
361 3% 62%  
362 3% 59%  
363 3% 56%  
364 5% 53%  
365 3% 49% Median
366 3% 46%  
367 4% 42%  
368 3% 38%  
369 2% 35%  
370 1.4% 33%  
371 3% 31%  
372 3% 29%  
373 3% 26%  
374 3% 23%  
375 1.4% 21%  
376 2% 19%  
377 2% 18%  
378 2% 16%  
379 1.1% 14%  
380 2% 13%  
381 1.2% 11%  
382 0.8% 10%  
383 0.7% 9%  
384 0.6% 8%  
385 0.7% 8%  
386 0.8% 7%  
387 0.7% 6%  
388 0.6% 5%  
389 0.4% 5%  
390 0.7% 5%  
391 0.3% 4%  
392 0.4% 4%  
393 0.2% 3%  
394 0.4% 3%  
395 0.3% 2%  
396 0.4% 2%  
397 0.1% 2%  
398 0.2% 2%  
399 0.1% 1.5% Last Result
400 0.1% 1.3%  
401 0.1% 1.2%  
402 0.2% 1.1%  
403 0.1% 0.9%  
404 0.1% 0.8%  
405 0.2% 0.7%  
406 0.1% 0.6%  
407 0% 0.5%  
408 0.1% 0.4%  
409 0.1% 0.4%  
410 0% 0.3%  
411 0.1% 0.2%  
412 0% 0.2%  
413 0% 0.1%  
414 0% 0.1%  
415 0% 0.1%  
416 0% 0.1%  
417 0% 0.1%  
418 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 99.9%  
309 0% 99.9%  
310 0% 99.9%  
311 0% 99.9%  
312 0% 99.9%  
313 0% 99.9%  
314 0% 99.8%  
315 0.1% 99.8%  
316 0% 99.7%  
317 0% 99.7%  
318 0.1% 99.6%  
319 0.1% 99.6%  
320 0.1% 99.5%  
321 0.1% 99.4%  
322 0.2% 99.3%  
323 0.1% 99.1%  
324 0.2% 99.0%  
325 0.2% 98.8%  
326 0.2% 98.6%  
327 0.1% 98%  
328 0.2% 98%  
329 0.5% 98%  
330 0.2% 98%  
331 0.3% 97%  
332 0.5% 97%  
333 0.4% 97%  
334 0.4% 96%  
335 0.3% 96%  
336 0.5% 95%  
337 0.8% 95%  
338 1.0% 94%  
339 0.7% 93%  
340 0.7% 93%  
341 0.8% 92%  
342 0.9% 91%  
343 1.2% 90%  
344 1.1% 89%  
345 1.3% 88%  
346 2% 87%  
347 2% 85%  
348 2% 83%  
349 2% 81%  
350 2% 80%  
351 2% 78%  
352 3% 75%  
353 3% 72%  
354 3% 70%  
355 3% 67% Majority
356 3% 64%  
357 4% 61%  
358 3% 57%  
359 3% 55%  
360 3% 51%  
361 5% 48% Median
362 3% 44%  
363 4% 41%  
364 2% 36%  
365 4% 34%  
366 3% 30%  
367 3% 27%  
368 2% 25%  
369 2% 22%  
370 3% 20%  
371 2% 17%  
372 2% 15%  
373 2% 13%  
374 2% 12%  
375 1.1% 10%  
376 2% 9%  
377 1.0% 7%  
378 0.9% 6%  
379 0.8% 5%  
380 0.9% 5%  
381 0.6% 4%  
382 0.4% 3%  
383 0.4% 3%  
384 0.6% 2%  
385 0.4% 2%  
386 0.2% 1.3%  
387 0.2% 1.1%  
388 0.2% 0.9%  
389 0.1% 0.7%  
390 0.1% 0.6%  
391 0.1% 0.5%  
392 0.1% 0.4%  
393 0.1% 0.3%  
394 0.1% 0.2%  
395 0% 0.1%  
396 0% 0.1%  
397 0% 0.1%  
398 0% 0.1%  
399 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 99.9%  
313 0% 99.9%  
314 0% 99.9%  
315 0.1% 99.9%  
316 0.1% 99.8%  
317 0.1% 99.7%  
318 0.1% 99.6%  
319 0.1% 99.5%  
320 0.1% 99.4%  
321 0.2% 99.3%  
322 0.2% 99.1%  
323 0.2% 98.9%  
324 0.4% 98.7%  
325 0.6% 98%  
326 0.4% 98%  
327 0.4% 97%  
328 0.6% 97%  
329 0.9% 96%  
330 0.8% 95%  
331 0.9% 95%  
332 1.0% 94%  
333 2% 93%  
334 1.1% 91%  
335 2% 90%  
336 2% 88%  
337 2% 87%  
338 2% 85%  
339 3% 83%  
340 2% 80%  
341 2% 78%  
342 3% 75%  
343 3% 73%  
344 4% 70%  
345 2% 66%  
346 4% 64%  
347 3% 59%  
348 5% 56%  
349 3% 52% Median
350 3% 49%  
351 3% 45%  
352 4% 43%  
353 3% 39%  
354 3% 36%  
355 3% 33% Majority
356 3% 30%  
357 3% 28%  
358 2% 25%  
359 2% 22%  
360 2% 20%  
361 2% 19%  
362 2% 17%  
363 2% 15%  
364 1.3% 13%  
365 1.1% 12%  
366 1.2% 11%  
367 0.9% 10%  
368 0.8% 9%  
369 0.7% 8%  
370 0.7% 7%  
371 1.0% 7%  
372 0.8% 6%  
373 0.5% 5%  
374 0.3% 5%  
375 0.4% 4%  
376 0.4% 4%  
377 0.5% 3%  
378 0.3% 3%  
379 0.2% 3%  
380 0.5% 2%  
381 0.2% 2%  
382 0.1% 2%  
383 0.2% 2%  
384 0.2% 1.4%  
385 0.2% 1.2%  
386 0.1% 1.0%  
387 0.2% 0.9%  
388 0.1% 0.7%  
389 0.1% 0.6%  
390 0.1% 0.5%  
391 0.1% 0.4%  
392 0% 0.4%  
393 0% 0.3%  
394 0.1% 0.3%  
395 0% 0.2%  
396 0% 0.2%  
397 0% 0.1%  
398 0% 0.1%  
399 0% 0.1%  
400 0% 0.1%  
401 0% 0.1%  
402 0% 0.1%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 99.9%  
280 0% 99.9%  
281 0% 99.9%  
282 0.1% 99.9%  
283 0.1% 99.8%  
284 0.1% 99.7%  
285 0.1% 99.7%  
286 0.2% 99.6%  
287 0.2% 99.4%  
288 0.2% 99.2%  
289 0.2% 99.0%  
290 0.3% 98.8%  
291 0.4% 98.5%  
292 0.6% 98%  
293 0.3% 98%  
294 0.6% 97%  
295 0.8% 97%  
296 0.8% 96%  
297 0.9% 95%  
298 0.8% 94%  
299 1.2% 93%  
300 1.4% 92%  
301 2% 91%  
302 2% 89%  
303 2% 87%  
304 2% 86%  
305 2% 84%  
306 2% 81%  
307 2% 79%  
308 3% 77%  
309 2% 73%  
310 3% 71%  
311 4% 68%  
312 4% 65%  
313 3% 61%  
314 4% 58%  
315 3% 54%  
316 3% 51% Median
317 5% 48%  
318 2% 44%  
319 3% 41%  
320 3% 38%  
321 3% 35%  
322 3% 31%  
323 2% 29%  
324 3% 26%  
325 2% 24%  
326 3% 22%  
327 2% 19%  
328 1.4% 17%  
329 1.3% 16%  
330 1.3% 14%  
331 2% 13%  
332 2% 11%  
333 0.9% 10%  
334 0.8% 9%  
335 0.8% 8%  
336 0.7% 7%  
337 0.9% 7%  
338 0.6% 6%  
339 0.5% 5%  
340 0.5% 5%  
341 0.5% 4%  
342 0.4% 4%  
343 0.2% 3%  
344 0.3% 3%  
345 0.5% 3%  
346 0.3% 2%  
347 0.3% 2%  
348 0.4% 2%  
349 0.1% 1.2%  
350 0.2% 1.1%  
351 0.1% 0.9%  
352 0.2% 0.8%  
353 0.1% 0.6%  
354 0.1% 0.5%  
355 0.1% 0.5% Majority
356 0.1% 0.4%  
357 0% 0.3%  
358 0% 0.3%  
359 0% 0.3%  
360 0% 0.2%  
361 0% 0.2%  
362 0.1% 0.2%  
363 0% 0.1%  
364 0% 0.1%  
365 0% 0.1%  
366 0% 0.1%  
367 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 99.9%  
269 0% 99.9%  
270 0% 99.9%  
271 0% 99.9%  
272 0.1% 99.8%  
273 0% 99.7%  
274 0.1% 99.7%  
275 0.1% 99.6%  
276 0.2% 99.5%  
277 0.1% 99.3%  
278 0.3% 99.2%  
279 0.3% 98.9%  
280 0.3% 98.6%  
281 0.3% 98%  
282 0.5% 98%  
283 0.5% 97%  
284 0.9% 97%  
285 0.7% 96%  
286 1.2% 95%  
287 2% 94%  
288 1.0% 93%  
289 1.3% 92%  
290 1.4% 90%  
291 1.3% 89%  
292 2% 88%  
293 2% 86%  
294 2% 83%  
295 3% 82%  
296 2% 78%  
297 3% 76%  
298 3% 73%  
299 3% 70%  
300 3% 67%  
301 4% 64%  
302 3% 61%  
303 4% 57%  
304 3% 53%  
305 3% 50% Median
306 3% 47%  
307 3% 44%  
308 3% 41%  
309 3% 38%  
310 1.5% 35%  
311 4% 33%  
312 2% 30%  
313 2% 28% Last Result
314 3% 25%  
315 2% 23%  
316 3% 20%  
317 2% 18%  
318 1.3% 16%  
319 2% 14%  
320 0.9% 13%  
321 2% 12%  
322 1.0% 10%  
323 1.2% 9%  
324 0.7% 7%  
325 0.8% 7%  
326 0.7% 6%  
327 1.0% 5%  
328 0.3% 4%  
329 0.6% 4%  
330 0.4% 3%  
331 0.4% 3%  
332 0.3% 3%  
333 0.3% 2%  
334 0.1% 2%  
335 0.2% 2%  
336 0.2% 2%  
337 0.1% 1.3%  
338 0.2% 1.2%  
339 0.1% 1.1%  
340 0.1% 0.9%  
341 0.2% 0.9%  
342 0.1% 0.7%  
343 0.1% 0.6%  
344 0.1% 0.5%  
345 0% 0.4%  
346 0.1% 0.4%  
347 0.1% 0.3%  
348 0.1% 0.3%  
349 0% 0.2%  
350 0.1% 0.2%  
351 0% 0.1%  
352 0% 0.1%  
353 0% 0.1%  
354 0% 0.1%  
355 0% 0% Majority

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
233 0% 100% Last Result
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 99.9%  
243 0% 99.9%  
244 0% 99.9%  
245 0% 99.9%  
246 0.1% 99.8%  
247 0.1% 99.7%  
248 0.1% 99.7%  
249 0.2% 99.6%  
250 0.1% 99.4%  
251 0.4% 99.2%  
252 0.2% 98.8%  
253 0.3% 98.6%  
254 0.5% 98%  
255 0.4% 98%  
256 0.5% 97%  
257 0.6% 97%  
258 0.6% 96%  
259 0.9% 96%  
260 0.9% 95%  
261 0.9% 94%  
262 2% 93%  
263 1.4% 91%  
264 2% 90%  
265 2% 88%  
266 2% 86%  
267 3% 84%  
268 2% 81%  
269 4% 79%  
270 4% 75%  
271 3% 71%  
272 2% 68%  
273 3% 66%  
274 3% 63%  
275 3% 60%  
276 3% 57%  
277 2% 54%  
278 4% 52% Median
279 3% 48%  
280 3% 45%  
281 3% 42%  
282 3% 39%  
283 3% 36%  
284 3% 33%  
285 3% 30%  
286 3% 27%  
287 2% 24%  
288 2% 22%  
289 3% 20%  
290 2% 18%  
291 2% 16%  
292 2% 14%  
293 2% 12%  
294 1.4% 10%  
295 1.2% 9%  
296 0.7% 8%  
297 0.8% 7%  
298 1.0% 6%  
299 0.5% 5%  
300 0.6% 5%  
301 0.8% 4%  
302 0.3% 3%  
303 0.4% 3%  
304 0.3% 3%  
305 0.3% 2%  
306 0.2% 2%  
307 0.3% 2%  
308 0.1% 1.4%  
309 0.2% 1.3%  
310 0.2% 1.1%  
311 0.1% 1.0%  
312 0.1% 0.9%  
313 0.1% 0.8%  
314 0.1% 0.7%  
315 0.1% 0.6%  
316 0.1% 0.5%  
317 0.1% 0.5%  
318 0.1% 0.4%  
319 0.1% 0.3%  
320 0% 0.2%  
321 0% 0.2%  
322 0% 0.1%  
323 0% 0.1%  
324 0% 0.1%  
325 0% 0.1%  
326 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 99.9%  
232 0% 99.9%  
233 0% 99.9%  
234 0% 99.9%  
235 0.1% 99.8%  
236 0.1% 99.8%  
237 0.2% 99.7%  
238 0.1% 99.5%  
239 0.2% 99.4%  
240 0.2% 99.2%  
241 0.2% 99.0%  
242 0.3% 98.8%  
243 0.4% 98%  
244 0.5% 98%  
245 0.4% 98%  
246 0.8% 97%  
247 0.6% 96%  
248 1.0% 96%  
249 1.0% 95%  
250 1.2% 94%  
251 1.1% 93%  
252 2% 92%  
253 2% 90%  
254 2% 88%  
255 1.1% 86%  
256 2% 85%  
257 3% 83%  
258 3% 80%  
259 2% 77%  
260 3% 74%  
261 3% 72%  
262 3% 68%  
263 3% 65%  
264 4% 62%  
265 5% 59%  
266 3% 54%  
267 3% 51% Median
268 3% 48%  
269 4% 44%  
270 3% 40%  
271 3% 37%  
272 3% 34%  
273 4% 31%  
274 3% 28%  
275 2% 24%  
276 3% 22%  
277 1.2% 20%  
278 2% 19%  
279 2% 16%  
280 2% 15%  
281 2% 13%  
282 2% 11%  
283 1.1% 10%  
284 0.9% 9%  
285 0.7% 8%  
286 1.3% 7%  
287 0.7% 6%  
288 0.6% 5%  
289 0.6% 5%  
290 0.4% 4%  
291 0.6% 4%  
292 0.3% 3%  
293 0.6% 3%  
294 0.2% 2%  
295 0.2% 2%  
296 0.2% 2%  
297 0.2% 1.3%  
298 0.1% 1.2%  
299 0.3% 1.1%  
300 0.1% 0.8%  
301 0.1% 0.7%  
302 0.1% 0.6%  
303 0.1% 0.5%  
304 0.1% 0.4%  
305 0% 0.3%  
306 0.1% 0.3%  
307 0% 0.2%  
308 0% 0.2%  
309 0% 0.1%  
310 0% 0.1%  
311 0% 0.1%  
312 0% 0.1%  
313 0% 0.1%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 99.9%  
225 0% 99.9%  
226 0% 99.9%  
227 0.1% 99.9%  
228 0.1% 99.8%  
229 0.1% 99.7%  
230 0.1% 99.6%  
231 0.1% 99.5%  
232 0.1% 99.4%  
233 0.2% 99.2%  
234 0.2% 99.0%  
235 0.4% 98.8%  
236 0.3% 98%  
237 0.5% 98%  
238 0.5% 98%  
239 1.1% 97%  
240 0.6% 96%  
241 0.7% 95%  
242 1.1% 95%  
243 1.2% 94%  
244 2% 92%  
245 2% 90%  
246 1.4% 89%  
247 2% 87%  
248 2% 85%  
249 3% 83%  
250 2% 81%  
251 2% 79%  
252 4% 77%  
253 3% 73%  
254 4% 69%  
255 3% 66%  
256 3% 63%  
257 4% 60%  
258 3% 56%  
259 4% 53% Median
260 2% 48%  
261 3% 46%  
262 5% 43%  
263 3% 38%  
264 3% 35%  
265 2% 33%  
266 2% 30%  
267 4% 28%  
268 3% 24%  
269 2% 21%  
270 2% 19%  
271 2% 18%  
272 2% 16%  
273 1.5% 14%  
274 1.3% 12%  
275 2% 11%  
276 0.9% 9%  
277 1.1% 8%  
278 1.1% 7%  
279 1.1% 6%  
280 0.8% 5%  
281 0.5% 4%  
282 0.6% 4%  
283 0.5% 3%  
284 0.4% 3%  
285 0.2% 2%  
286 0.3% 2%  
287 0.3% 2%  
288 0.2% 1.5%  
289 0.2% 1.3%  
290 0.1% 1.1%  
291 0.2% 1.0%  
292 0.2% 0.8%  
293 0.1% 0.7%  
294 0.1% 0.6%  
295 0% 0.5%  
296 0.1% 0.4%  
297 0.1% 0.3%  
298 0% 0.3%  
299 0.1% 0.2%  
300 0% 0.2%  
301 0% 0.2%  
302 0% 0.1%  
303 0% 0.1%  
304 0% 0.1%  
305 0% 0.1%  
306 0% 0.1%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0%  
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
173 0% 100%  
174 0% 99.9%  
175 0% 99.9%  
176 0% 99.9%  
177 0% 99.9%  
178 0% 99.9%  
179 0% 99.8%  
180 0% 99.8%  
181 0% 99.8%  
182 0.1% 99.7%  
183 0% 99.6%  
184 0.1% 99.6%  
185 0.1% 99.5%  
186 0.1% 99.5%  
187 0.1% 99.3%  
188 0.2% 99.2%  
189 0.1% 99.0%  
190 0.1% 98.9%  
191 0.3% 98.8%  
192 0.2% 98%  
193 0.2% 98%  
194 0.2% 98%  
195 0.4% 98%  
196 0.3% 98%  
197 0.4% 97%  
198 0.2% 97%  
199 0.3% 97%  
200 0.6% 96%  
201 0.3% 96%  
202 0.3% 95%  
203 0.1% 95%  
204 0.5% 95%  
205 0.3% 94%  
206 0.3% 94%  
207 0.4% 94%  
208 0.2% 93%  
209 0.5% 93%  
210 0.6% 93%  
211 0.6% 92%  
212 0.4% 92%  
213 0.8% 91%  
214 0.7% 90%  
215 0.8% 90%  
216 1.0% 89%  
217 1.1% 88%  
218 2% 87%  
219 1.4% 85%  
220 1.3% 84%  
221 2% 82%  
222 2% 81% Last Result
223 2% 79%  
224 3% 76%  
225 3% 73%  
226 2% 70%  
227 3% 69%  
228 3% 65%  
229 4% 62%  
230 4% 58%  
231 3% 54%  
232 3% 51%  
233 5% 48% Median
234 2% 43%  
235 4% 41%  
236 3% 36%  
237 3% 33%  
238 3% 30%  
239 3% 28%  
240 4% 25%  
241 2% 21%  
242 2% 19%  
243 2% 17%  
244 2% 15%  
245 2% 13%  
246 2% 12%  
247 1.3% 10%  
248 1.5% 8%  
249 1.1% 7%  
250 0.7% 6%  
251 0.9% 5%  
252 0.8% 4%  
253 0.6% 3%  
254 0.6% 3%  
255 0.4% 2%  
256 0.3% 2%  
257 0.3% 1.5%  
258 0.3% 1.2%  
259 0.2% 0.9%  
260 0.2% 0.7%  
261 0.1% 0.5%  
262 0.1% 0.4%  
263 0.1% 0.3%  
264 0.1% 0.3%  
265 0.1% 0.2%  
266 0% 0.1%  
267 0% 0.1%  
268 0% 0.1%  
269 0% 0.1%  
270 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations