Opinion Poll by Allensbach, 1–7 September 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 27.0% 25.5–28.7% 25.0–29.2% 24.6–29.6% 23.9–30.4%
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 20.3% 18.9–21.9% 18.5–22.3% 18.2–22.7% 17.6–23.4%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 15.5% 14.3–16.9% 13.9–17.3% 13.6–17.6% 13.0–18.3%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 11.0% 9.9–12.2% 9.6–12.5% 9.4–12.8% 8.9–13.4%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 9.5% 8.6–10.7% 8.3–11.0% 8.0–11.3% 7.6–11.9%
Die Linke 9.2% 6.0% 5.2–6.9% 5.0–7.2% 4.8–7.4% 4.4–7.9%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 4.7% 4.0–5.5% 3.8–5.8% 3.6–6.0% 3.3–6.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 203 191–216 188–220 185–223 179–231
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 153 142–164 139–168 136–171 132–177
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 115 106–127 104–131 102–134 98–139
Alternative für Deutschland 94 82 74–91 72–94 70–96 66–101
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 72 64–81 62–83 60–85 57–89
Die Linke 69 46 39–52 0–54 0–56 0–58
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 38 33–45 31–47 30–48 28–52

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
153 0% 100% Last Result
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100%  
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 100%  
171 0% 100%  
172 0% 100%  
173 0% 99.9%  
174 0% 99.9%  
175 0% 99.9%  
176 0.1% 99.9%  
177 0.1% 99.8%  
178 0.1% 99.7%  
179 0.2% 99.6%  
180 0.2% 99.4%  
181 0.3% 99.2%  
182 0.3% 98.9%  
183 0.5% 98.6%  
184 0.5% 98%  
185 0.6% 98%  
186 0.9% 97%  
187 1.0% 96%  
188 1.1% 95%  
189 2% 94%  
190 2% 92%  
191 2% 91%  
192 2% 88%  
193 2% 87%  
194 3% 84%  
195 3% 82%  
196 3% 78%  
197 3% 76%  
198 4% 72%  
199 3% 68%  
200 4% 65%  
201 4% 61%  
202 3% 57%  
203 3% 53% Median
204 4% 50%  
205 3% 46%  
206 5% 43%  
207 4% 38%  
208 3% 34%  
209 4% 30%  
210 3% 26%  
211 3% 23%  
212 3% 20%  
213 2% 17%  
214 2% 15%  
215 2% 13%  
216 2% 11%  
217 1.4% 9%  
218 1.4% 7%  
219 0.8% 6%  
220 0.9% 5%  
221 1.0% 4%  
222 0.6% 3%  
223 0.5% 3%  
224 0.4% 2%  
225 0.2% 2%  
226 0.2% 2%  
227 0.1% 1.3%  
228 0.3% 1.2%  
229 0.2% 0.9%  
230 0.1% 0.7%  
231 0.2% 0.5%  
232 0.1% 0.4%  
233 0% 0.3%  
234 0% 0.3%  
235 0% 0.3%  
236 0% 0.2%  
237 0.1% 0.2%  
238 0% 0.1%  
239 0% 0.1%  
240 0% 0.1%  
241 0% 0.1%  
242 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 99.9%  
128 0.1% 99.9%  
129 0.1% 99.8%  
130 0.1% 99.8%  
131 0.2% 99.7%  
132 0.2% 99.5%  
133 0.2% 99.3%  
134 0.4% 99.1%  
135 0.4% 98.6%  
136 0.8% 98%  
137 0.7% 97%  
138 1.2% 97%  
139 1.2% 96%  
140 1.3% 94%  
141 2% 93%  
142 2% 91%  
143 3% 89%  
144 2% 86%  
145 4% 84%  
146 4% 80%  
147 3% 76%  
148 4% 73%  
149 3% 69%  
150 5% 66%  
151 4% 60%  
152 4% 56%  
153 6% 52% Median
154 4% 46%  
155 5% 42%  
156 5% 38%  
157 3% 33%  
158 4% 29%  
159 3% 25%  
160 4% 22%  
161 2% 19%  
162 2% 16%  
163 3% 14%  
164 2% 11%  
165 2% 10%  
166 1.2% 8%  
167 1.2% 6%  
168 1.1% 5%  
169 1.0% 4%  
170 0.5% 3%  
171 0.6% 3%  
172 0.4% 2%  
173 0.4% 2%  
174 0.3% 1.3%  
175 0.2% 1.0%  
176 0.1% 0.8%  
177 0.2% 0.7%  
178 0.1% 0.4%  
179 0.1% 0.3%  
180 0.1% 0.3%  
181 0% 0.2%  
182 0.1% 0.1%  
183 0% 0.1%  
184 0% 0.1%  
185 0% 0.1%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 99.9%  
95 0.1% 99.9%  
96 0.1% 99.8%  
97 0.1% 99.7%  
98 0.3% 99.6%  
99 0.4% 99.3%  
100 0.5% 98.9%  
101 0.8% 98%  
102 0.9% 98%  
103 1.0% 97%  
104 1.5% 96%  
105 2% 94%  
106 3% 92%  
107 3% 89%  
108 3% 86%  
109 4% 83%  
110 3% 79%  
111 5% 76%  
112 6% 71%  
113 6% 65%  
114 5% 59%  
115 5% 54% Median
116 5% 49%  
117 5% 44%  
118 5% 39%  
119 4% 34%  
120 4% 30%  
121 4% 26%  
122 3% 22%  
123 3% 20%  
124 3% 17%  
125 2% 14%  
126 2% 12%  
127 2% 11%  
128 2% 9%  
129 1.1% 7%  
130 1.0% 6%  
131 1.1% 5%  
132 0.7% 4%  
133 0.8% 4%  
134 0.7% 3%  
135 0.4% 2%  
136 0.4% 2%  
137 0.4% 1.4%  
138 0.2% 0.9%  
139 0.2% 0.7%  
140 0.2% 0.5%  
141 0.1% 0.3%  
142 0.1% 0.2%  
143 0.1% 0.1%  
144 0% 0.1%  
145 0% 0.1%  
146 0% 0%  

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 99.9%  
64 0.1% 99.9%  
65 0.1% 99.8%  
66 0.2% 99.6%  
67 0.4% 99.5%  
68 0.5% 99.1%  
69 0.8% 98.6%  
70 1.1% 98%  
71 1.1% 97%  
72 2% 96%  
73 3% 94%  
74 3% 91%  
75 2% 88%  
76 3% 85%  
77 5% 82%  
78 6% 77%  
79 5% 71%  
80 5% 66%  
81 6% 61%  
82 7% 56% Median
83 8% 48%  
84 4% 40%  
85 4% 36%  
86 7% 32%  
87 5% 26%  
88 4% 21%  
89 3% 18%  
90 3% 15%  
91 3% 12%  
92 2% 9%  
93 2% 7%  
94 1.1% 5% Last Result
95 0.9% 4%  
96 1.1% 3%  
97 0.5% 2%  
98 0.6% 2%  
99 0.4% 1.2%  
100 0.2% 0.8%  
101 0.2% 0.6%  
102 0.1% 0.4%  
103 0.1% 0.3%  
104 0.1% 0.2%  
105 0% 0.1%  
106 0% 0.1%  
107 0% 0.1%  
108 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0% 100%  
54 0.1% 99.9%  
55 0.1% 99.9%  
56 0.2% 99.8%  
57 0.3% 99.6%  
58 0.5% 99.4%  
59 0.7% 98.9%  
60 0.9% 98%  
61 1.2% 97%  
62 2% 96%  
63 2% 94%  
64 3% 92%  
65 3% 89%  
66 5% 86%  
67 4% 81%  
68 5% 77%  
69 5% 72%  
70 7% 67%  
71 5% 60%  
72 6% 54% Median
73 6% 48%  
74 7% 42%  
75 4% 35%  
76 5% 30%  
77 5% 25%  
78 5% 21%  
79 3% 16%  
80 3% 13% Last Result
81 2% 10%  
82 2% 8%  
83 1.4% 6%  
84 1.3% 4%  
85 0.9% 3%  
86 0.6% 2%  
87 0.4% 2%  
88 0.4% 1.1%  
89 0.3% 0.7%  
90 0.2% 0.5%  
91 0.1% 0.3%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 6% 100%  
1 0% 94%  
2 0% 94%  
3 0% 94%  
4 0% 94%  
5 0% 94%  
6 0% 94%  
7 0% 94%  
8 0% 94%  
9 0% 94%  
10 0% 94%  
11 0% 94%  
12 0% 94%  
13 0% 94%  
14 0% 94%  
15 0% 94%  
16 0% 94%  
17 0% 94%  
18 0% 94%  
19 0% 94%  
20 0% 94%  
21 0% 94%  
22 0% 94%  
23 0% 94%  
24 0% 94%  
25 0% 94%  
26 0% 94%  
27 0% 94%  
28 0% 94%  
29 0% 94%  
30 0% 94%  
31 0% 94%  
32 0% 94%  
33 0% 94%  
34 0% 94%  
35 0% 94%  
36 0% 94%  
37 0.1% 94%  
38 2% 94%  
39 3% 92%  
40 4% 89%  
41 5% 85%  
42 6% 80%  
43 6% 74%  
44 8% 68%  
45 9% 60%  
46 8% 51% Median
47 10% 43%  
48 9% 33%  
49 5% 24%  
50 4% 19%  
51 3% 15%  
52 3% 11%  
53 2% 9%  
54 2% 6%  
55 1.4% 4%  
56 1.3% 3%  
57 0.7% 2%  
58 0.4% 0.9%  
59 0.2% 0.5%  
60 0.1% 0.3%  
61 0.1% 0.2%  
62 0% 0.1%  
63 0% 0.1%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.1% 100%  
27 0.2% 99.9%  
28 0.4% 99.7%  
29 0.8% 99.3%  
30 1.4% 98.6%  
31 3% 97%  
32 3% 94%  
33 6% 92%  
34 5% 86%  
35 10% 81%  
36 6% 71%  
37 11% 64%  
38 8% 54% Median
39 8% 46%  
40 7% 38%  
41 7% 31%  
42 6% 24%  
43 5% 18%  
44 3% 14%  
45 3% 10%  
46 2% 7% Last Result
47 2% 5%  
48 1.1% 4%  
49 1.0% 2%  
50 0.6% 1.5%  
51 0.4% 0.9%  
52 0.2% 0.5%  
53 0.1% 0.3%  
54 0.1% 0.2%  
55 0% 0.1%  
56 0% 0.1%  
57 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 509 100% 497–524 494–535 491–545 485–556
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 466 100% 453–481 449–488 446–495 440–511
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 391 100% 378–406 374–415 371–422 364–430
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 394 100% 381–409 377–415 374–421 367–434
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 379 99.2% 365–395 362–401 359–409 353–420
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Die Linke 289 364 79% 349–377 344–381 338–384 326–390
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 345 21% 332–360 328–365 325–371 319–383
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 220 319 0.6% 306–333 302–340 299–346 292–355
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 306 0% 294–323 291–329 288–334 282–343
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 276 0% 261–289 258–293 255–298 249–309
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 273 0% 260–287 257–291 254–295 248–310
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 263 0% 250–277 247–282 244–285 238–295
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 249 0% 231–260 223–264 213–267 202–273

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
466 0% 100% Last Result
467 0% 100%  
468 0% 100%  
469 0% 100%  
470 0% 100%  
471 0% 100%  
472 0% 100%  
473 0% 100%  
474 0% 100%  
475 0% 100%  
476 0% 100%  
477 0% 100%  
478 0% 100%  
479 0% 99.9%  
480 0% 99.9%  
481 0% 99.9%  
482 0.1% 99.8%  
483 0.1% 99.8%  
484 0.1% 99.7%  
485 0.1% 99.6%  
486 0.1% 99.4%  
487 0.3% 99.3%  
488 0.3% 99.0%  
489 0.5% 98.8%  
490 0.4% 98%  
491 0.6% 98%  
492 1.1% 97%  
493 0.9% 96%  
494 1.3% 95%  
495 0.9% 94%  
496 2% 93%  
497 2% 91%  
498 2% 89%  
499 2% 87%  
500 2% 86%  
501 3% 84%  
502 5% 81%  
503 3% 76%  
504 3% 73%  
505 3% 70%  
506 4% 67%  
507 5% 63%  
508 4% 58%  
509 4% 53% Median
510 4% 50%  
511 3% 45%  
512 5% 43%  
513 4% 37%  
514 2% 34%  
515 4% 31%  
516 3% 27%  
517 3% 24%  
518 2% 21%  
519 2% 19%  
520 2% 17%  
521 2% 15%  
522 1.3% 13%  
523 1.2% 12%  
524 1.0% 10%  
525 0.8% 9%  
526 0.8% 9%  
527 0.5% 8%  
528 0.4% 7%  
529 0.3% 7%  
530 0.6% 7%  
531 0.2% 6%  
532 0.2% 6%  
533 0.1% 6%  
534 0.4% 5%  
535 0.1% 5%  
536 0.2% 5%  
537 0.2% 5%  
538 0.4% 5%  
539 0.1% 4%  
540 0.2% 4%  
541 0.3% 4%  
542 0.2% 4%  
543 0.1% 3%  
544 0.2% 3%  
545 0.6% 3%  
546 0.1% 2%  
547 0.2% 2%  
548 0.2% 2%  
549 0.5% 2%  
550 0% 1.5%  
551 0.2% 1.4%  
552 0.2% 1.2%  
553 0.2% 1.0%  
554 0% 0.8%  
555 0.1% 0.8%  
556 0.2% 0.6%  
557 0.1% 0.4%  
558 0% 0.4%  
559 0% 0.3%  
560 0.1% 0.3%  
561 0% 0.2%  
562 0% 0.1%  
563 0% 0.1%  
564 0% 0.1%  
565 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 99.9%  
435 0% 99.9%  
436 0.1% 99.9%  
437 0.1% 99.8%  
438 0.1% 99.7%  
439 0.1% 99.7%  
440 0.1% 99.6%  
441 0.3% 99.4%  
442 0.3% 99.1%  
443 0.2% 98.9%  
444 0.3% 98.6%  
445 0.5% 98%  
446 0.5% 98%  
447 0.8% 97%  
448 1.0% 96%  
449 0.8% 95%  
450 0.9% 95%  
451 1.1% 94%  
452 1.4% 93%  
453 2% 91%  
454 2% 89%  
455 3% 87%  
456 2% 84%  
457 2% 82%  
458 2% 80%  
459 2% 78%  
460 3% 75%  
461 4% 72%  
462 4% 68%  
463 3% 64%  
464 3% 61%  
465 4% 58%  
466 5% 54% Median
467 5% 50%  
468 4% 44%  
469 4% 40%  
470 2% 36%  
471 2% 34%  
472 3% 33%  
473 4% 30%  
474 3% 26%  
475 4% 23%  
476 2% 19%  
477 2% 18%  
478 2% 16%  
479 2% 14% Last Result
480 2% 12%  
481 1.4% 10%  
482 0.7% 9%  
483 0.7% 8%  
484 0.4% 7%  
485 0.6% 7%  
486 0.7% 6%  
487 0.5% 6%  
488 0.6% 5%  
489 0.4% 5%  
490 0.4% 4%  
491 0.2% 4%  
492 0.2% 4%  
493 0.5% 3%  
494 0.2% 3%  
495 0.4% 3%  
496 0.2% 2%  
497 0.1% 2%  
498 0.1% 2%  
499 0.2% 2%  
500 0.2% 2%  
501 0.1% 2%  
502 0.2% 1.5%  
503 0% 1.3%  
504 0.1% 1.3%  
505 0.1% 1.2%  
506 0.2% 1.1%  
507 0.1% 0.8%  
508 0.1% 0.8%  
509 0% 0.7%  
510 0% 0.7%  
511 0.2% 0.6%  
512 0.1% 0.4%  
513 0.1% 0.4%  
514 0% 0.3%  
515 0% 0.2%  
516 0% 0.2%  
517 0.1% 0.2%  
518 0% 0.1%  
519 0% 0.1%  
520 0% 0.1%  
521 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
300 0% 100% Last Result
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 99.9%  
359 0% 99.9%  
360 0.1% 99.9%  
361 0.1% 99.8%  
362 0.1% 99.8%  
363 0.1% 99.6%  
364 0.1% 99.5%  
365 0.2% 99.4%  
366 0.1% 99.2%  
367 0.2% 99.0%  
368 0.3% 98.8%  
369 0.4% 98%  
370 0.3% 98%  
371 0.8% 98%  
372 0.6% 97%  
373 0.7% 96%  
374 0.9% 96%  
375 1.2% 95%  
376 1.2% 94%  
377 1.5% 92%  
378 2% 91%  
379 2% 89%  
380 2% 87%  
381 2% 85%  
382 3% 83%  
383 3% 80%  
384 3% 76%  
385 4% 74%  
386 3% 70%  
387 4% 66%  
388 4% 62%  
389 4% 59%  
390 3% 55% Median
391 4% 51%  
392 4% 47%  
393 4% 43%  
394 3% 39%  
395 4% 36%  
396 4% 32%  
397 3% 29%  
398 3% 26%  
399 2% 22%  
400 2% 20%  
401 2% 18%  
402 2% 16%  
403 0.8% 14%  
404 1.5% 13%  
405 0.7% 12%  
406 1.0% 11%  
407 0.8% 10%  
408 0.7% 9%  
409 0.6% 8%  
410 0.6% 8%  
411 0.6% 7%  
412 0.4% 7%  
413 0.5% 6%  
414 0.4% 6%  
415 0.6% 5%  
416 0.3% 5%  
417 0.4% 5%  
418 0.3% 4%  
419 0.5% 4%  
420 0.3% 3%  
421 0.4% 3%  
422 0.5% 3%  
423 0.2% 2%  
424 0.2% 2%  
425 0.3% 2%  
426 0.4% 1.4%  
427 0.2% 1.0%  
428 0.1% 0.8%  
429 0.1% 0.7%  
430 0.2% 0.6%  
431 0.1% 0.3%  
432 0% 0.2%  
433 0% 0.2%  
434 0% 0.2%  
435 0% 0.1%  
436 0% 0.1%  
437 0% 0.1%  
438 0% 0.1%  
439 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 99.9%  
362 0% 99.9%  
363 0% 99.9%  
364 0.1% 99.8%  
365 0.1% 99.8%  
366 0.1% 99.7%  
367 0.1% 99.6%  
368 0.2% 99.4%  
369 0.2% 99.2%  
370 0.2% 99.1%  
371 0.4% 98.9%  
372 0.5% 98.5%  
373 0.5% 98%  
374 0.6% 98%  
375 0.7% 97%  
376 0.8% 96%  
377 1.2% 95%  
378 1.5% 94%  
379 1.2% 93%  
380 2% 92%  
381 2% 90%  
382 2% 88%  
383 2% 86%  
384 2% 84%  
385 3% 82%  
386 3% 80%  
387 4% 77%  
388 3% 74%  
389 4% 71%  
390 4% 67%  
391 3% 63%  
392 5% 60%  
393 3% 55%  
394 3% 52% Median
395 4% 49%  
396 3% 45%  
397 4% 42%  
398 2% 37%  
399 3% 35% Last Result
400 3% 32%  
401 3% 29%  
402 3% 26%  
403 2% 23%  
404 2% 20%  
405 3% 18%  
406 2% 15%  
407 1.4% 14%  
408 2% 12%  
409 1.0% 11%  
410 1.4% 10%  
411 0.8% 8%  
412 0.9% 7%  
413 0.5% 6%  
414 0.7% 6%  
415 0.4% 5%  
416 0.7% 5%  
417 0.4% 4%  
418 0.3% 4%  
419 0.4% 3%  
420 0.3% 3%  
421 0.4% 3%  
422 0.2% 2%  
423 0.3% 2%  
424 0.1% 2%  
425 0.1% 2%  
426 0.1% 1.5%  
427 0.1% 1.3%  
428 0.1% 1.2%  
429 0.1% 1.1%  
430 0.1% 1.0%  
431 0.1% 0.9%  
432 0.1% 0.8%  
433 0% 0.7%  
434 0.2% 0.6%  
435 0.1% 0.4%  
436 0% 0.3%  
437 0.1% 0.3%  
438 0% 0.2%  
439 0% 0.2%  
440 0% 0.1%  
441 0% 0.1%  
442 0% 0.1%  
443 0% 0.1%  
444 0% 0.1%  
445 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 99.9%  
348 0% 99.9%  
349 0.1% 99.9%  
350 0% 99.8%  
351 0.1% 99.8%  
352 0.1% 99.7%  
353 0.2% 99.6%  
354 0.2% 99.4%  
355 0.3% 99.2% Majority
356 0.3% 98.9%  
357 0.4% 98.6%  
358 0.5% 98%  
359 0.6% 98%  
360 0.9% 97%  
361 1.1% 96%  
362 1.3% 95%  
363 2% 94%  
364 1.0% 92%  
365 1.4% 91%  
366 2% 90%  
367 1.2% 88%  
368 2% 86%  
369 4% 84%  
370 2% 80%  
371 4% 79%  
372 5% 75%  
373 3% 70%  
374 4% 67%  
375 3% 64%  
376 3% 61%  
377 3% 58%  
378 3% 54% Median
379 4% 51%  
380 3% 47%  
381 3% 44%  
382 4% 41%  
383 4% 37%  
384 3% 33%  
385 3% 30%  
386 3% 27%  
387 2% 24%  
388 3% 22%  
389 2% 19%  
390 2% 18%  
391 1.0% 16%  
392 2% 15%  
393 1.4% 13% Last Result
394 1.0% 12%  
395 1.3% 11%  
396 0.9% 9%  
397 1.1% 8%  
398 0.8% 7%  
399 0.7% 6%  
400 0.7% 6%  
401 0.3% 5%  
402 0.4% 5%  
403 0.3% 4%  
404 0.3% 4%  
405 0.3% 4%  
406 0.3% 3%  
407 0.2% 3%  
408 0.3% 3%  
409 0.4% 3%  
410 0.2% 2%  
411 0.2% 2%  
412 0.2% 2%  
413 0.2% 2%  
414 0.1% 1.4%  
415 0.1% 1.3%  
416 0.2% 1.2%  
417 0.1% 1.0%  
418 0.1% 0.9%  
419 0.2% 0.8%  
420 0.1% 0.6%  
421 0.1% 0.5%  
422 0.1% 0.4%  
423 0% 0.3%  
424 0% 0.2%  
425 0% 0.2%  
426 0% 0.2%  
427 0% 0.2%  
428 0% 0.1%  
429 0% 0.1%  
430 0% 0.1%  
431 0% 0.1%  
432 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 99.9%  
316 0% 99.9%  
317 0% 99.9%  
318 0% 99.9%  
319 0% 99.9%  
320 0% 99.9%  
321 0% 99.8%  
322 0% 99.8%  
323 0% 99.8%  
324 0.1% 99.7%  
325 0% 99.7%  
326 0.1% 99.6%  
327 0.1% 99.5%  
328 0.2% 99.4%  
329 0.1% 99.2%  
330 0.2% 99.1%  
331 0.1% 99.0%  
332 0.1% 98.8%  
333 0.1% 98.7%  
334 0.2% 98.6%  
335 0.1% 98%  
336 0.3% 98%  
337 0.2% 98%  
338 0.4% 98%  
339 0.3% 97%  
340 0.3% 97%  
341 0.6% 97%  
342 0.6% 96%  
343 0.4% 95%  
344 0.8% 95%  
345 0.8% 94%  
346 0.9% 93%  
347 1.0% 93%  
348 1.3% 92%  
349 1.4% 90%  
350 2% 89%  
351 2% 87%  
352 2% 85%  
353 2% 82%  
354 2% 80%  
355 2% 79% Majority
356 2% 77%  
357 3% 74%  
358 5% 71%  
359 3% 66%  
360 4% 63%  
361 3% 59%  
362 2% 56%  
363 3% 54%  
364 3% 51% Median
365 5% 48%  
366 5% 44%  
367 4% 38%  
368 3% 35%  
369 3% 32%  
370 3% 29%  
371 3% 26%  
372 1.5% 23%  
373 3% 22%  
374 3% 19%  
375 2% 16%  
376 3% 14%  
377 3% 11%  
378 1.1% 8%  
379 0.8% 7%  
380 1.0% 6%  
381 0.6% 5%  
382 0.8% 5%  
383 1.1% 4%  
384 0.8% 3%  
385 0.3% 2%  
386 0.3% 2%  
387 0.3% 1.3%  
388 0.2% 1.0%  
389 0.2% 0.8%  
390 0.2% 0.6%  
391 0.1% 0.5%  
392 0.1% 0.4%  
393 0.1% 0.3%  
394 0.1% 0.2%  
395 0% 0.1%  
396 0% 0.1%  
397 0% 0.1%  
398 0% 0.1%  
399 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 99.9%  
313 0% 99.9%  
314 0% 99.9%  
315 0.1% 99.9%  
316 0.1% 99.8%  
317 0.1% 99.7%  
318 0.1% 99.6%  
319 0.2% 99.5%  
320 0.2% 99.4%  
321 0.2% 99.2%  
322 0.3% 99.0%  
323 0.3% 98.7%  
324 0.3% 98%  
325 0.8% 98%  
326 1.1% 97%  
327 0.8% 96%  
328 0.6% 95%  
329 1.0% 95%  
330 0.8% 94%  
331 1.1% 93%  
332 3% 92%  
333 3% 89%  
334 2% 86%  
335 3% 84%  
336 3% 81%  
337 1.5% 78%  
338 3% 77%  
339 3% 74%  
340 3% 71%  
341 3% 68%  
342 4% 65%  
343 5% 62%  
344 5% 56%  
345 3% 52% Median
346 3% 49%  
347 2% 46%  
348 3% 44%  
349 4% 41%  
350 3% 37%  
351 5% 34%  
352 3% 29%  
353 2% 26%  
354 2% 23%  
355 2% 21% Majority
356 2% 20%  
357 2% 18%  
358 2% 15%  
359 2% 13%  
360 1.4% 11%  
361 1.3% 10%  
362 1.0% 8%  
363 0.9% 7%  
364 0.8% 7%  
365 0.8% 6%  
366 0.4% 5%  
367 0.6% 5%  
368 0.6% 4%  
369 0.3% 3%  
370 0.3% 3%  
371 0.4% 3%  
372 0.2% 2%  
373 0.3% 2%  
374 0.1% 2%  
375 0.2% 2%  
376 0.1% 1.4%  
377 0.1% 1.3%  
378 0.1% 1.2%  
379 0.2% 1.0%  
380 0.1% 0.9%  
381 0.2% 0.8%  
382 0.1% 0.6%  
383 0.1% 0.5%  
384 0% 0.4%  
385 0.1% 0.3%  
386 0% 0.3%  
387 0% 0.2%  
388 0% 0.2%  
389 0% 0.2%  
390 0% 0.1%  
391 0% 0.1%  
392 0% 0.1%  
393 0% 0.1%  
394 0% 0.1%  
395 0% 0.1%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 99.9%  
287 0% 99.9%  
288 0% 99.9%  
289 0% 99.8%  
290 0.1% 99.8%  
291 0.1% 99.7%  
292 0.2% 99.6%  
293 0.1% 99.5%  
294 0.2% 99.3%  
295 0.3% 99.2%  
296 0.2% 98.8%  
297 0.3% 98.6%  
298 0.4% 98%  
299 0.6% 98%  
300 0.9% 97%  
301 0.7% 96%  
302 0.7% 96%  
303 1.3% 95%  
304 2% 94%  
305 2% 92%  
306 2% 90%  
307 2% 88%  
308 3% 86%  
309 3% 83%  
310 2% 81%  
311 4% 79%  
312 4% 75%  
313 3% 71%  
314 3% 68%  
315 4% 66%  
316 4% 62%  
317 3% 58%  
318 3% 55% Median
319 4% 52%  
320 3% 48%  
321 5% 45%  
322 3% 40%  
323 2% 37%  
324 4% 34%  
325 3% 31%  
326 3% 28%  
327 2% 24%  
328 3% 22%  
329 3% 19%  
330 2% 16%  
331 1.4% 14%  
332 2% 13%  
333 1.2% 11%  
334 1.1% 10%  
335 0.9% 9%  
336 0.9% 8%  
337 0.8% 7%  
338 0.6% 6%  
339 0.4% 6%  
340 0.5% 5%  
341 0.5% 5%  
342 0.5% 4%  
343 0.3% 4%  
344 0.4% 3%  
345 0.4% 3%  
346 0.5% 3%  
347 0.2% 2%  
348 0.3% 2%  
349 0.1% 2%  
350 0.2% 1.4%  
351 0.1% 1.2%  
352 0.2% 1.1%  
353 0.1% 0.9%  
354 0.2% 0.8%  
355 0.1% 0.6% Majority
356 0.1% 0.5%  
357 0.1% 0.4%  
358 0% 0.3%  
359 0% 0.3%  
360 0% 0.2%  
361 0% 0.2%  
362 0% 0.2%  
363 0% 0.1%  
364 0% 0.1%  
365 0% 0.1%  
366 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 99.9%  
277 0% 99.9%  
278 0% 99.9%  
279 0.1% 99.8%  
280 0.1% 99.8%  
281 0.1% 99.7%  
282 0.1% 99.6%  
283 0.3% 99.5%  
284 0.2% 99.2%  
285 0.4% 99.0%  
286 0.3% 98.6%  
287 0.6% 98%  
288 0.6% 98%  
289 1.0% 97%  
290 1.0% 96%  
291 1.5% 95%  
292 1.3% 94%  
293 2% 92%  
294 3% 91%  
295 2% 88%  
296 3% 86%  
297 2% 83%  
298 5% 81%  
299 3% 77%  
300 3% 73%  
301 3% 71%  
302 4% 67%  
303 3% 63%  
304 5% 60%  
305 4% 55%  
306 3% 51% Median
307 3% 48%  
308 3% 45%  
309 4% 41%  
310 2% 37%  
311 3% 35%  
312 3% 32%  
313 2% 29% Last Result
314 2% 27%  
315 2% 25%  
316 2% 23%  
317 2% 21%  
318 2% 18%  
319 1.5% 16%  
320 2% 15%  
321 1.3% 13%  
322 1.3% 12%  
323 1.2% 11%  
324 1.2% 9%  
325 0.8% 8%  
326 0.9% 8%  
327 0.8% 7%  
328 0.6% 6%  
329 0.9% 5%  
330 0.5% 4%  
331 0.4% 4%  
332 0.5% 4%  
333 0.5% 3%  
334 0.3% 3%  
335 0.3% 2%  
336 0.2% 2%  
337 0.2% 2%  
338 0.3% 2%  
339 0.1% 1.2%  
340 0.2% 1.1%  
341 0.2% 0.9%  
342 0.1% 0.7%  
343 0.1% 0.6%  
344 0.1% 0.5%  
345 0.1% 0.4%  
346 0% 0.3%  
347 0% 0.2%  
348 0% 0.2%  
349 0% 0.2%  
350 0% 0.1%  
351 0% 0.1%  
352 0% 0.1%  
353 0% 0.1%  
354 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
233 0% 100% Last Result
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 99.9%  
243 0% 99.9%  
244 0.1% 99.9%  
245 0.1% 99.8%  
246 0.1% 99.8%  
247 0.1% 99.7%  
248 0.1% 99.6%  
249 0.2% 99.5%  
250 0.1% 99.3%  
251 0.3% 99.2%  
252 0.3% 98.9%  
253 0.4% 98.6%  
254 0.6% 98%  
255 0.6% 98%  
256 0.8% 97%  
257 1.0% 96%  
258 1.0% 95%  
259 2% 94%  
260 2% 93%  
261 2% 91%  
262 2% 90%  
263 2% 88%  
264 3% 86%  
265 2% 83%  
266 2% 81%  
267 2% 79%  
268 2% 77%  
269 3% 74%  
270 3% 72%  
271 3% 69%  
272 3% 66%  
273 3% 63%  
274 3% 60%  
275 4% 57% Median
276 5% 53%  
277 3% 49%  
278 4% 46%  
279 5% 42%  
280 3% 36%  
281 4% 33%  
282 3% 30%  
283 5% 26%  
284 2% 22%  
285 3% 19%  
286 1.5% 16%  
287 2% 15%  
288 2% 13%  
289 0.9% 10%  
290 1.2% 9%  
291 1.5% 8%  
292 1.0% 7%  
293 0.9% 6%  
294 0.8% 5%  
295 0.7% 4%  
296 0.4% 3%  
297 0.5% 3%  
298 0.5% 3%  
299 0.3% 2%  
300 0.3% 2%  
301 0.1% 1.4%  
302 0.1% 1.3%  
303 0.1% 1.2%  
304 0.1% 1.1%  
305 0.2% 1.0%  
306 0.1% 0.8%  
307 0.1% 0.6%  
308 0% 0.5%  
309 0% 0.5%  
310 0.1% 0.5%  
311 0.1% 0.4%  
312 0.1% 0.4%  
313 0.1% 0.3%  
314 0% 0.2%  
315 0% 0.1%  
316 0% 0.1%  
317 0% 0.1%  
318 0% 0.1%  
319 0% 0.1%  
320 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 99.9%  
243 0% 99.9%  
244 0.1% 99.9%  
245 0.1% 99.8%  
246 0.1% 99.8%  
247 0.1% 99.7%  
248 0.2% 99.6%  
249 0.2% 99.4%  
250 0.2% 99.2%  
251 0.2% 99.0%  
252 0.5% 98.8%  
253 0.5% 98%  
254 0.6% 98%  
255 0.6% 97%  
256 1.0% 97%  
257 1.3% 96%  
258 2% 94%  
259 0.8% 93%  
260 2% 92%  
261 3% 90%  
262 2% 87%  
263 2% 85%  
264 3% 84%  
265 4% 81%  
266 3% 76%  
267 2% 73%  
268 3% 71%  
269 6% 68%  
270 3% 63%  
271 2% 60%  
272 4% 57%  
273 4% 53% Median
274 4% 50%  
275 2% 45%  
276 3% 43%  
277 5% 40%  
278 3% 35%  
279 2% 32%  
280 2% 30%  
281 3% 27%  
282 3% 24%  
283 2% 21%  
284 2% 19%  
285 3% 16%  
286 2% 13%  
287 2% 12%  
288 1.5% 10%  
289 1.5% 8%  
290 1.4% 7%  
291 0.8% 6%  
292 0.7% 5%  
293 0.7% 4%  
294 0.7% 3%  
295 0.4% 3%  
296 0.2% 2%  
297 0.3% 2%  
298 0.3% 2%  
299 0.2% 1.4%  
300 0.1% 1.2%  
301 0.1% 1.1%  
302 0.1% 1.0%  
303 0.1% 0.9%  
304 0% 0.9%  
305 0% 0.8%  
306 0.1% 0.8%  
307 0% 0.7%  
308 0.1% 0.7%  
309 0.1% 0.6%  
310 0.1% 0.5%  
311 0.1% 0.4%  
312 0% 0.3%  
313 0% 0.3%  
314 0% 0.2%  
315 0.1% 0.2%  
316 0% 0.2%  
317 0% 0.1%  
318 0% 0.1%  
319 0% 0.1%  
320 0% 0.1%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0%  
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 99.9%  
233 0% 99.9%  
234 0% 99.9%  
235 0.1% 99.8%  
236 0.1% 99.8%  
237 0.1% 99.7%  
238 0.2% 99.6%  
239 0.1% 99.4%  
240 0.3% 99.2%  
241 0.3% 99.0%  
242 0.4% 98.7%  
243 0.6% 98%  
244 0.7% 98%  
245 0.8% 97%  
246 0.9% 96%  
247 1.0% 95%  
248 2% 94%  
249 2% 92%  
250 2% 91%  
251 2% 89%  
252 2% 87%  
253 2% 85%  
254 3% 83%  
255 3% 80%  
256 3% 77%  
257 3% 74%  
258 3% 71%  
259 4% 68%  
260 4% 64%  
261 4% 61%  
262 4% 57%  
263 4% 53% Median
264 3% 49%  
265 4% 46%  
266 4% 42%  
267 3% 38%  
268 4% 35%  
269 3% 32%  
270 3% 28%  
271 3% 25%  
272 2% 22%  
273 3% 20%  
274 2% 17%  
275 2% 15%  
276 2% 13%  
277 2% 11%  
278 1.4% 9%  
279 1.1% 8%  
280 1.1% 7%  
281 0.6% 6%  
282 0.8% 5%  
283 0.9% 4%  
284 0.6% 4%  
285 0.4% 3%  
286 0.2% 2%  
287 0.3% 2%  
288 0.3% 2%  
289 0.3% 2%  
290 0.3% 1.3%  
291 0.2% 1.0%  
292 0.1% 0.8%  
293 0.1% 0.7%  
294 0.1% 0.7%  
295 0.1% 0.5%  
296 0.1% 0.4%  
297 0.1% 0.4%  
298 0% 0.2%  
299 0% 0.2%  
300 0% 0.2%  
301 0% 0.2%  
302 0% 0.1%  
303 0% 0.1%  
304 0% 0.1%  
305 0% 0.1%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
193 0% 100%  
194 0% 99.9%  
195 0% 99.9%  
196 0% 99.9%  
197 0% 99.9%  
198 0% 99.8%  
199 0.1% 99.8%  
200 0.1% 99.7%  
201 0.1% 99.6%  
202 0.1% 99.6%  
203 0.1% 99.5%  
204 0.1% 99.3%  
205 0.1% 99.2%  
206 0.2% 99.1%  
207 0.2% 98.9%  
208 0.3% 98.7%  
209 0.1% 98%  
210 0.1% 98%  
211 0.3% 98%  
212 0.2% 98%  
213 0.2% 98%  
214 0.3% 97%  
215 0.3% 97%  
216 0.2% 97%  
217 0.2% 97%  
218 0.2% 96%  
219 0.2% 96%  
220 0.2% 96%  
221 0.3% 96%  
222 0.4% 95% Last Result
223 0.4% 95%  
224 0.4% 95%  
225 0.2% 94%  
226 0.2% 94%  
227 0.3% 94%  
228 0.9% 94%  
229 0.9% 93%  
230 2% 92%  
231 0.9% 90%  
232 0.6% 89%  
233 0.6% 89%  
234 1.1% 88%  
235 1.4% 87%  
236 3% 86%  
237 2% 83%  
238 2% 81%  
239 2% 79%  
240 2% 77%  
241 2% 75%  
242 2% 73%  
243 3% 71%  
244 4% 69%  
245 3% 65%  
246 4% 61%  
247 4% 57%  
248 3% 53%  
249 3% 50% Median
250 3% 48%  
251 3% 45%  
252 6% 42%  
253 4% 36%  
254 8% 33%  
255 3% 25%  
256 2% 23%  
257 2% 21%  
258 3% 19%  
259 4% 17%  
260 3% 13%  
261 2% 9%  
262 1.3% 7%  
263 0.6% 6%  
264 0.8% 5%  
265 0.8% 5%  
266 1.0% 4%  
267 1.0% 3%  
268 0.5% 2%  
269 0.2% 1.2%  
270 0.2% 0.9%  
271 0.1% 0.8%  
272 0.1% 0.6%  
273 0.2% 0.5%  
274 0.1% 0.4%  
275 0.1% 0.2%  
276 0% 0.2%  
277 0% 0.1%  
278 0% 0.1%  
279 0% 0.1%  
280 0% 0.1%  
281 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations