Opinion Poll by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, 7–9 September 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 25.0% 23.2–26.8% 22.8–27.4% 22.3–27.8% 21.5–28.7%
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 17.8% 16.3–19.5% 15.9–19.9% 15.5–20.3% 14.8–21.2%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 17.0% 15.5–18.6% 15.1–19.1% 14.7–19.5% 14.0–20.3%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 11.0% 9.8–12.4% 9.5–12.8% 9.2–13.2% 8.7–13.9%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 11.0% 9.8–12.4% 9.5–12.8% 9.2–13.2% 8.7–13.9%
Die Linke 9.2% 6.0% 5.2–7.1% 4.9–7.5% 4.7–7.7% 4.3–8.3%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 4.2% 3.4–5.1% 3.2–5.4% 3.1–5.6% 2.8–6.1%
Freie Wähler 0.0% 3.0% 2.4–3.9% 2.2–4.1% 2.1–4.3% 1.8–4.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 191 178–206 174–212 170–215 165–221
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 137 124–150 121–153 118–157 113–163
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 130 118–144 115–147 112–150 107–157
Alternative für Deutschland 94 85 75–96 73–99 71–101 66–107
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 85 75–96 72–99 70–102 65–107
Die Linke 69 46 39–54 0–56 0–59 0–63
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 36 30–42 28–44 27–46 24–50
Freie Wähler 0 0 0 0 0 0

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
153 0% 100% Last Result
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 99.9%  
160 0% 99.9%  
161 0.1% 99.9%  
162 0.1% 99.8%  
163 0.1% 99.7%  
164 0.1% 99.6%  
165 0.2% 99.5%  
166 0.2% 99.3%  
167 0.3% 99.1%  
168 0.3% 98.8%  
169 0.3% 98.5%  
170 0.9% 98%  
171 0.3% 97%  
172 0.6% 97%  
173 0.9% 96%  
174 0.7% 96%  
175 0.8% 95%  
176 2% 94%  
177 2% 92%  
178 1.4% 91%  
179 3% 89%  
180 2% 86%  
181 2% 84%  
182 4% 83%  
183 3% 79%  
184 3% 75%  
185 3% 73%  
186 4% 69%  
187 2% 66%  
188 6% 64%  
189 2% 57%  
190 2% 55%  
191 5% 53% Median
192 2% 48%  
193 2% 46%  
194 6% 44%  
195 2% 38%  
196 3% 37%  
197 6% 33%  
198 2% 28%  
199 3% 26%  
200 2% 22%  
201 3% 20%  
202 2% 18%  
203 2% 16%  
204 1.1% 14%  
205 0.7% 13%  
206 3% 12%  
207 0.8% 9%  
208 0.6% 8%  
209 1.3% 8%  
210 0.4% 6%  
211 0.4% 6%  
212 2% 6%  
213 0.2% 4%  
214 0.3% 4%  
215 2% 4%  
216 0.4% 2%  
217 0.2% 2%  
218 0.4% 1.4%  
219 0.2% 1.0%  
220 0.1% 0.8%  
221 0.2% 0.7%  
222 0.1% 0.5%  
223 0.1% 0.4%  
224 0.1% 0.4%  
225 0.1% 0.3%  
226 0% 0.3%  
227 0% 0.2%  
228 0% 0.2%  
229 0% 0.1%  
230 0% 0.1%  
231 0% 0.1%  
232 0% 0.1%  
233 0% 0.1%  
234 0% 0.1%  
235 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 99.9%  
109 0% 99.9%  
110 0.1% 99.9%  
111 0.1% 99.8%  
112 0.1% 99.7%  
113 0.2% 99.6%  
114 0.3% 99.4%  
115 0.3% 99.2%  
116 0.4% 98.9%  
117 0.4% 98%  
118 0.6% 98%  
119 0.7% 97%  
120 1.1% 97%  
121 1.2% 96%  
122 0.6% 95%  
123 3% 94%  
124 1.2% 91%  
125 2% 90%  
126 3% 88%  
127 2% 85%  
128 2% 83%  
129 5% 81%  
130 2% 76%  
131 5% 74%  
132 3% 69%  
133 4% 66%  
134 4% 62%  
135 2% 58%  
136 5% 56%  
137 4% 52% Median
138 3% 48%  
139 3% 45%  
140 5% 42%  
141 4% 37%  
142 4% 33%  
143 3% 29%  
144 5% 26%  
145 3% 21%  
146 2% 18%  
147 2% 16%  
148 2% 14%  
149 1.3% 12%  
150 3% 10%  
151 1.1% 8%  
152 1.2% 7%  
153 0.7% 5%  
154 1.1% 5%  
155 0.6% 4%  
156 0.4% 3%  
157 0.6% 3%  
158 0.2% 2%  
159 0.2% 2%  
160 0.5% 1.5%  
161 0.1% 1.0%  
162 0.1% 0.9%  
163 0.2% 0.7%  
164 0.1% 0.5%  
165 0.1% 0.4%  
166 0.1% 0.3%  
167 0% 0.2%  
168 0.1% 0.2%  
169 0% 0.1%  
170 0% 0.1%  
171 0% 0.1%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0%  
175 0% 0%  
176 0% 0%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 99.9%  
104 0.1% 99.9%  
105 0.1% 99.9%  
106 0.1% 99.7%  
107 0.1% 99.6%  
108 0.3% 99.5%  
109 0.4% 99.2%  
110 0.2% 98.8%  
111 0.5% 98.6%  
112 1.0% 98%  
113 0.7% 97%  
114 0.5% 96%  
115 1.4% 96%  
116 3% 95%  
117 1.4% 92%  
118 0.7% 90%  
119 5% 90%  
120 4% 85%  
121 3% 82%  
122 1.4% 78%  
123 3% 77%  
124 6% 73%  
125 2% 67%  
126 2% 65%  
127 6% 63%  
128 3% 57%  
129 2% 55%  
130 4% 53% Median
131 6% 49%  
132 3% 43%  
133 1.4% 40%  
134 4% 39%  
135 8% 35%  
136 2% 27%  
137 0.9% 25%  
138 3% 24%  
139 4% 21%  
140 3% 17%  
141 0.7% 15%  
142 2% 14%  
143 1.3% 12%  
144 1.3% 10%  
145 1.0% 9%  
146 2% 8%  
147 0.9% 6%  
148 0.3% 5%  
149 0.5% 4%  
150 2% 4%  
151 0.8% 2%  
152 0.1% 2%  
153 0.2% 1.4%  
154 0.4% 1.2%  
155 0.2% 0.8%  
156 0.1% 0.6%  
157 0.1% 0.5%  
158 0.1% 0.4%  
159 0.1% 0.4%  
160 0.1% 0.3%  
161 0.1% 0.2%  
162 0.1% 0.2%  
163 0% 0.1%  
164 0% 0.1%  
165 0% 0.1%  
166 0% 0.1%  
167 0% 0.1%  
168 0% 0%  

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 99.9%  
64 0.1% 99.9%  
65 0.2% 99.8%  
66 0.2% 99.6%  
67 0.2% 99.4%  
68 0.3% 99.2%  
69 0.4% 98.9%  
70 0.8% 98%  
71 1.0% 98%  
72 0.9% 97%  
73 2% 96%  
74 2% 94%  
75 2% 92%  
76 2% 90%  
77 4% 88%  
78 3% 83%  
79 2% 80%  
80 5% 78%  
81 6% 73%  
82 6% 67%  
83 4% 61%  
84 6% 57%  
85 5% 51% Median
86 4% 47%  
87 5% 42%  
88 3% 38%  
89 4% 35%  
90 4% 30%  
91 4% 26%  
92 4% 23%  
93 3% 18%  
94 2% 16% Last Result
95 2% 13%  
96 3% 12%  
97 0.9% 8%  
98 2% 7%  
99 2% 6%  
100 1.0% 4%  
101 0.6% 3%  
102 0.6% 2%  
103 0.6% 2%  
104 0.2% 1.1%  
105 0.2% 0.9%  
106 0.2% 0.7%  
107 0.2% 0.5%  
108 0.1% 0.3%  
109 0% 0.3%  
110 0.1% 0.2%  
111 0.1% 0.2%  
112 0% 0.1%  
113 0% 0.1%  
114 0% 0.1%  
115 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.1% 100%  
63 0.1% 99.9%  
64 0.1% 99.8%  
65 0.2% 99.7%  
66 0.2% 99.5%  
67 0.4% 99.3%  
68 0.3% 98.9%  
69 0.4% 98.6%  
70 1.4% 98%  
71 0.7% 97%  
72 2% 96%  
73 2% 94%  
74 0.9% 92%  
75 3% 92%  
76 3% 88%  
77 2% 85%  
78 4% 83%  
79 2% 80%  
80 5% 77% Last Result
81 6% 72%  
82 3% 66%  
83 7% 63%  
84 5% 56%  
85 2% 51% Median
86 4% 48%  
87 2% 44%  
88 5% 43%  
89 7% 38%  
90 1.4% 31%  
91 7% 29%  
92 4% 22%  
93 2% 19%  
94 4% 17%  
95 2% 13%  
96 2% 11%  
97 3% 9%  
98 0.5% 6%  
99 2% 5%  
100 0.5% 4%  
101 0.7% 3%  
102 1.0% 3%  
103 0.3% 2%  
104 0.4% 1.3%  
105 0.2% 0.9%  
106 0.1% 0.6%  
107 0.2% 0.5%  
108 0.1% 0.4%  
109 0.1% 0.3%  
110 0% 0.2%  
111 0.1% 0.2%  
112 0% 0.1%  
113 0% 0.1%  
114 0% 0.1%  
115 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 8% 100%  
1 0% 92%  
2 0% 92%  
3 0% 92%  
4 0% 92%  
5 0% 92%  
6 0% 92%  
7 0% 92%  
8 0% 92%  
9 0% 92%  
10 0% 92%  
11 0% 92%  
12 0% 92%  
13 0% 92%  
14 0% 92%  
15 0% 92%  
16 0% 92%  
17 0% 92%  
18 0% 92%  
19 0% 92%  
20 0% 92%  
21 0% 92%  
22 0% 92%  
23 0% 92%  
24 0% 92%  
25 0% 92%  
26 0% 92%  
27 0% 92%  
28 0% 92%  
29 0% 92%  
30 0% 92%  
31 0% 92%  
32 0% 92%  
33 0% 92%  
34 0% 92%  
35 0% 92%  
36 0% 92%  
37 0% 92%  
38 0.2% 92%  
39 2% 91%  
40 4% 89%  
41 7% 85%  
42 5% 79%  
43 9% 74%  
44 6% 65%  
45 5% 59%  
46 7% 54% Median
47 5% 47%  
48 4% 42%  
49 7% 37%  
50 4% 30%  
51 7% 27%  
52 3% 20%  
53 5% 17%  
54 3% 12%  
55 2% 9%  
56 2% 7%  
57 1.2% 5%  
58 0.8% 3%  
59 0.7% 3%  
60 0.4% 2%  
61 0.6% 1.5%  
62 0.2% 0.9%  
63 0.2% 0.7%  
64 0.2% 0.5%  
65 0.1% 0.2%  
66 0% 0.2%  
67 0% 0.1%  
68 0% 0.1%  
69 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.1% 100%  
23 0.1% 99.9%  
24 0.4% 99.8%  
25 0.5% 99.4%  
26 0.8% 98.9%  
27 1.4% 98%  
28 2% 97%  
29 3% 94%  
30 5% 91%  
31 5% 86%  
32 7% 81%  
33 6% 75%  
34 8% 69%  
35 9% 61%  
36 7% 52% Median
37 7% 45%  
38 5% 37%  
39 8% 32%  
40 6% 24%  
41 6% 19%  
42 5% 13%  
43 2% 8%  
44 2% 6%  
45 1.3% 4%  
46 0.8% 3% Last Result
47 1.0% 2%  
48 0.5% 1.3%  
49 0.3% 0.8%  
50 0.2% 0.5%  
51 0.1% 0.3%  
52 0.1% 0.2%  
53 0% 0.1%  
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0% 0.1%  
56 0% 0%  

Freie Wähler

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Wähler page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0% 0.1%  
5 0% 0.1%  
6 0% 0.1%  
7 0% 0.1%  
8 0% 0.1%  
9 0% 0.1%  
10 0% 0.1%  
11 0% 0.1%  
12 0% 0.1%  
13 0% 0.1%  
14 0% 0.1%  
15 0% 0.1%  
16 0% 0.1%  
17 0% 0.1%  
18 0% 0.1%  
19 0% 0.1%  
20 0% 0.1%  
21 0% 0.1%  
22 0% 0.1%  
23 0% 0.1%  
24 0% 0.1%  
25 0% 0.1%  
26 0% 0.1%  
27 0% 0.1%  
28 0% 0.1%  
29 0% 0.1%  
30 0% 0.1%  
31 0% 0.1%  
32 0% 0.1%  
33 0% 0.1%  
34 0% 0.1%  
35 0% 0.1%  
36 0% 0.1%  
37 0% 0.1%  
38 0% 0.1%  
39 0% 0.1%  
40 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 493 100% 478–513 475–525 470–532 464–543
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 449 100% 432–468 428–478 424–487 417–496
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 405 100% 391–425 388–432 383–444 375–451
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 387 99.7% 372–407 368–414 363–418 356–431
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 364 77% 347–382 343–391 340–396 331–406
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Die Linke 289 366 79% 348–382 341–386 336–390 324–397
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 343 21% 327–361 323–368 319–373 312–384
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 220 319 1.2% 304–340 302–346 299–350 289–362
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 302 0% 287–321 283–326 280–329 272–340
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 277 0% 260–292 256–299 252–304 247–312
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 258 0% 243–273 239–280 235–284 229–291
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 258 0% 243–275 238–279 235–283 228–293
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 237 0% 218–251 206–255 199–258 188–267

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
455 0% 100%  
456 0% 99.9%  
457 0% 99.9%  
458 0% 99.9%  
459 0.1% 99.9%  
460 0.1% 99.8%  
461 0.1% 99.7%  
462 0% 99.7%  
463 0.1% 99.6%  
464 0.2% 99.5%  
465 0.2% 99.4%  
466 0.2% 99.2% Last Result
467 0.2% 98.9%  
468 0.2% 98.8%  
469 0.5% 98.5%  
470 0.6% 98%  
471 0.7% 97%  
472 0.4% 97%  
473 0.4% 96%  
474 0.8% 96%  
475 1.4% 95%  
476 2% 94%  
477 1.1% 92%  
478 1.4% 91%  
479 0.9% 89%  
480 2% 88%  
481 1.3% 86%  
482 3% 85%  
483 3% 82%  
484 2% 79%  
485 2% 77%  
486 4% 75%  
487 2% 71%  
488 4% 68%  
489 1.3% 65%  
490 2% 63%  
491 5% 62%  
492 5% 56%  
493 4% 51%  
494 2% 47% Median
495 2% 46%  
496 3% 44%  
497 4% 41%  
498 4% 37%  
499 3% 33%  
500 2% 30%  
501 1.1% 28%  
502 3% 27%  
503 4% 25%  
504 2% 21%  
505 0.9% 19%  
506 2% 18%  
507 2% 17%  
508 1.1% 15%  
509 1.3% 14%  
510 0.4% 13%  
511 0.5% 12%  
512 0.5% 12%  
513 1.3% 11%  
514 0.8% 10%  
515 0.3% 9%  
516 0.5% 9%  
517 0.4% 8%  
518 0.2% 8%  
519 0.4% 8%  
520 0.2% 7%  
521 0.3% 7%  
522 1.1% 7%  
523 0.1% 5%  
524 0.2% 5%  
525 0.2% 5%  
526 0.8% 5%  
527 0.6% 4%  
528 0.3% 4%  
529 0.1% 3%  
530 0.2% 3%  
531 0.2% 3%  
532 0.9% 3%  
533 0.2% 2%  
534 0.1% 2%  
535 0.1% 2%  
536 0.4% 2%  
537 0.1% 1.2%  
538 0.2% 1.1%  
539 0.2% 0.9%  
540 0.1% 0.7%  
541 0% 0.6%  
542 0.1% 0.6%  
543 0.1% 0.5%  
544 0.1% 0.4%  
545 0% 0.3%  
546 0% 0.3%  
547 0% 0.3%  
548 0.1% 0.2%  
549 0% 0.2%  
550 0% 0.1%  
551 0% 0.1%  
552 0% 0.1%  
553 0% 0.1%  
554 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 99.9%  
410 0% 99.9%  
411 0% 99.9%  
412 0% 99.9%  
413 0% 99.8%  
414 0.1% 99.8%  
415 0.1% 99.7%  
416 0.1% 99.6%  
417 0.2% 99.5%  
418 0.2% 99.3%  
419 0.2% 99.1%  
420 0.3% 98.9%  
421 0.2% 98.6%  
422 0.4% 98%  
423 0.2% 98%  
424 0.5% 98%  
425 0.6% 97%  
426 0.5% 97%  
427 1.0% 96%  
428 1.0% 95%  
429 1.0% 94%  
430 0.6% 93%  
431 2% 93%  
432 2% 90%  
433 1.4% 88%  
434 1.4% 87%  
435 0.8% 86%  
436 3% 85%  
437 2% 82%  
438 2% 81%  
439 4% 79%  
440 3% 75%  
441 3% 72%  
442 2% 70%  
443 3% 67%  
444 2% 64%  
445 2% 63%  
446 2% 60%  
447 2% 58%  
448 3% 56%  
449 3% 53% Median
450 4% 49%  
451 3% 46%  
452 3% 43%  
453 3% 40%  
454 1.2% 37%  
455 3% 36%  
456 3% 33%  
457 3% 30%  
458 1.1% 27%  
459 3% 26%  
460 2% 23%  
461 1.4% 21%  
462 3% 20%  
463 3% 17%  
464 2% 14%  
465 0.6% 13%  
466 1.0% 12%  
467 0.9% 11%  
468 0.4% 10%  
469 0.7% 10%  
470 0.5% 9%  
471 0.5% 9%  
472 0.8% 8%  
473 1.2% 8%  
474 0.7% 6%  
475 0.1% 6%  
476 0.2% 5%  
477 0.3% 5%  
478 0.3% 5%  
479 0.3% 5% Last Result
480 0.2% 4%  
481 0.1% 4%  
482 0.6% 4%  
483 0.1% 3%  
484 0.4% 3%  
485 0.1% 3%  
486 0% 3%  
487 0.4% 3%  
488 0.2% 2%  
489 0.6% 2%  
490 0.1% 2%  
491 0.1% 2%  
492 0.6% 1.5%  
493 0.1% 0.9%  
494 0.1% 0.8%  
495 0.1% 0.7%  
496 0.1% 0.5%  
497 0.1% 0.5%  
498 0.1% 0.4%  
499 0% 0.3%  
500 0.1% 0.3%  
501 0% 0.2%  
502 0% 0.2%  
503 0% 0.1%  
504 0% 0.1%  
505 0% 0.1%  
506 0% 0.1%  
507 0% 0.1%  
508 0% 0.1%  
509 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
300 0% 100% Last Result
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 99.9%  
368 0% 99.9%  
369 0% 99.9%  
370 0% 99.9%  
371 0% 99.8%  
372 0.1% 99.8%  
373 0.1% 99.7%  
374 0.1% 99.6%  
375 0% 99.5%  
376 0.1% 99.5%  
377 0.1% 99.4%  
378 0.2% 99.3%  
379 0.3% 99.1%  
380 0.4% 98.8%  
381 0.4% 98%  
382 0.3% 98%  
383 0.2% 98%  
384 0.3% 97%  
385 0.3% 97%  
386 0.7% 97%  
387 0.9% 96%  
388 2% 95%  
389 2% 94%  
390 1.1% 92%  
391 1.3% 90%  
392 0.7% 89%  
393 1.4% 89%  
394 2% 87%  
395 2% 85%  
396 7% 83%  
397 2% 76%  
398 7% 74%  
399 2% 67%  
400 1.1% 65%  
401 3% 64%  
402 2% 61%  
403 4% 59%  
404 4% 56%  
405 2% 52%  
406 4% 50% Median
407 2% 46%  
408 2% 44%  
409 1.0% 42%  
410 2% 41%  
411 3% 39%  
412 2% 36%  
413 5% 35%  
414 2% 30%  
415 3% 28%  
416 1.4% 24%  
417 1.5% 23%  
418 1.0% 22%  
419 1.2% 21%  
420 0.8% 19%  
421 4% 19%  
422 0.8% 15%  
423 2% 14%  
424 0.6% 11%  
425 1.2% 11%  
426 0.5% 10%  
427 1.2% 9%  
428 0.9% 8%  
429 0.6% 7%  
430 0.6% 6%  
431 0.4% 6%  
432 0.5% 5%  
433 0.4% 5%  
434 0.3% 4%  
435 0.1% 4%  
436 0.3% 4%  
437 0.3% 4%  
438 0.2% 3%  
439 0.1% 3%  
440 0.2% 3%  
441 0.1% 3%  
442 0.1% 3%  
443 0.1% 3%  
444 0.1% 3%  
445 0.7% 2%  
446 0.1% 2%  
447 0.5% 2%  
448 0.3% 1.1%  
449 0.1% 0.8%  
450 0.2% 0.7%  
451 0% 0.5%  
452 0.1% 0.5%  
453 0.1% 0.4%  
454 0% 0.3%  
455 0% 0.2%  
456 0% 0.2%  
457 0% 0.2%  
458 0% 0.2%  
459 0% 0.1%  
460 0% 0.1%  
461 0% 0.1%  
462 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 99.9%  
349 0% 99.9%  
350 0% 99.9%  
351 0% 99.9%  
352 0.1% 99.9%  
353 0% 99.8%  
354 0.1% 99.8%  
355 0.1% 99.7% Majority
356 0.2% 99.6%  
357 0.1% 99.4%  
358 0% 99.3%  
359 0.4% 99.3%  
360 0.4% 98.9%  
361 0.3% 98.5%  
362 0.2% 98%  
363 0.7% 98%  
364 0.4% 97%  
365 0.2% 97%  
366 0.8% 97%  
367 0.9% 96%  
368 1.4% 95%  
369 0.3% 94%  
370 1.4% 93%  
371 2% 92%  
372 1.3% 90%  
373 0.5% 89%  
374 2% 89%  
375 2% 86%  
376 2% 84%  
377 3% 82%  
378 3% 80%  
379 3% 77%  
380 3% 75%  
381 2% 72%  
382 3% 70%  
383 6% 67%  
384 2% 62%  
385 2% 59%  
386 5% 57%  
387 4% 52%  
388 2% 48% Median
389 2% 46%  
390 4% 45%  
391 3% 41%  
392 2% 37%  
393 2% 35% Last Result
394 3% 33%  
395 2% 30%  
396 2% 28%  
397 2% 25%  
398 1.2% 24%  
399 3% 22%  
400 2% 20%  
401 2% 17%  
402 1.5% 15%  
403 1.4% 14%  
404 1.0% 13%  
405 0.5% 12%  
406 1.0% 11%  
407 0.8% 10%  
408 0.3% 9%  
409 0.8% 9%  
410 0.9% 8%  
411 0.6% 7%  
412 1.0% 7%  
413 0.2% 6%  
414 0.7% 5%  
415 0.2% 5%  
416 0.5% 4%  
417 1.0% 4%  
418 0.7% 3%  
419 0.1% 2%  
420 0.3% 2%  
421 0.1% 2%  
422 0.2% 2%  
423 0.1% 2%  
424 0.3% 1.4%  
425 0.1% 1.1%  
426 0.1% 1.0%  
427 0% 0.9%  
428 0.1% 0.9%  
429 0% 0.8%  
430 0.3% 0.8%  
431 0.1% 0.5%  
432 0% 0.4%  
433 0% 0.4%  
434 0.1% 0.4%  
435 0% 0.3%  
436 0.1% 0.3%  
437 0% 0.2%  
438 0% 0.2%  
439 0% 0.1%  
440 0% 0.1%  
441 0% 0.1%  
442 0% 0.1%  
443 0% 0.1%  
444 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 99.9%  
326 0% 99.9%  
327 0% 99.9%  
328 0% 99.9%  
329 0.1% 99.8%  
330 0.1% 99.8%  
331 0.3% 99.7%  
332 0% 99.4%  
333 0.1% 99.4%  
334 0.1% 99.3%  
335 0.3% 99.2%  
336 0.4% 98.9%  
337 0.2% 98%  
338 0.2% 98%  
339 0.2% 98%  
340 0.5% 98%  
341 1.4% 97%  
342 0.7% 96%  
343 0.5% 95%  
344 0.3% 95%  
345 1.3% 94%  
346 2% 93%  
347 1.5% 91%  
348 1.3% 89%  
349 0.3% 88%  
350 2% 88%  
351 2% 86%  
352 4% 84%  
353 2% 80%  
354 2% 78%  
355 2% 77% Majority
356 3% 75%  
357 5% 72%  
358 3% 67%  
359 1.1% 64%  
360 1.4% 63%  
361 5% 61%  
362 3% 57%  
363 3% 54%  
364 2% 51% Median
365 1.5% 48%  
366 2% 47%  
367 8% 45%  
368 4% 37%  
369 2% 34%  
370 1.1% 32%  
371 2% 31%  
372 2% 29%  
373 5% 27%  
374 1.1% 22%  
375 1.1% 21%  
376 0.7% 20%  
377 2% 19%  
378 3% 17%  
379 0.9% 14%  
380 0.8% 14%  
381 0.5% 13%  
382 3% 12%  
383 1.2% 10%  
384 0.7% 8%  
385 0.4% 8%  
386 0.3% 7%  
387 0.7% 7%  
388 0.6% 6%  
389 0.5% 6%  
390 0.2% 5%  
391 0.5% 5%  
392 1.1% 4%  
393 0.5% 3%  
394 0.2% 3%  
395 0.2% 3%  
396 0.1% 3%  
397 0.6% 2%  
398 0.2% 2%  
399 0.2% 1.5% Last Result
400 0.1% 1.3%  
401 0.2% 1.3%  
402 0.2% 1.1%  
403 0.1% 0.9%  
404 0.1% 0.8%  
405 0.1% 0.7%  
406 0.2% 0.6%  
407 0% 0.4%  
408 0.1% 0.4%  
409 0% 0.3%  
410 0% 0.3%  
411 0% 0.3%  
412 0% 0.2%  
413 0% 0.2%  
414 0% 0.2%  
415 0% 0.2%  
416 0% 0.2%  
417 0% 0.1%  
418 0% 0.1%  
419 0% 0.1%  
420 0% 0.1%  
421 0% 0.1%  
422 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 99.9%  
317 0% 99.9%  
318 0% 99.9%  
319 0% 99.9%  
320 0% 99.8%  
321 0.1% 99.8%  
322 0.1% 99.8%  
323 0.1% 99.7%  
324 0.1% 99.6%  
325 0% 99.5%  
326 0.1% 99.5%  
327 0.1% 99.4%  
328 0% 99.3%  
329 0% 99.3%  
330 0.1% 99.3%  
331 0.1% 99.2%  
332 0.2% 99.1%  
333 0.2% 99.0%  
334 0.7% 98.8%  
335 0.4% 98%  
336 1.3% 98%  
337 0.3% 96%  
338 0.4% 96%  
339 0.2% 96%  
340 0.2% 95%  
341 0.3% 95%  
342 0.3% 95%  
343 0.4% 95%  
344 0.3% 94%  
345 1.2% 94%  
346 0.5% 93%  
347 0.9% 92%  
348 2% 91%  
349 1.2% 89%  
350 2% 88%  
351 2% 86%  
352 1.3% 84%  
353 0.8% 83%  
354 3% 82%  
355 2% 79% Majority
356 1.2% 78%  
357 3% 77%  
358 3% 74%  
359 2% 70%  
360 3% 69%  
361 4% 66%  
362 3% 62%  
363 2% 59%  
364 4% 56%  
365 1.5% 52%  
366 3% 51%  
367 3% 47% Median
368 1.2% 44%  
369 4% 43%  
370 3% 39%  
371 2% 37%  
372 3% 34%  
373 4% 31%  
374 2% 27%  
375 3% 26%  
376 4% 23%  
377 1.2% 19%  
378 1.2% 18%  
379 3% 17%  
380 1.3% 14%  
381 0.8% 13%  
382 2% 12%  
383 0.8% 10%  
384 2% 9%  
385 2% 7%  
386 0.4% 5%  
387 0.5% 5%  
388 0.9% 4%  
389 0.7% 3%  
390 0.5% 3%  
391 0.4% 2%  
392 0.3% 2%  
393 0.3% 2%  
394 0.3% 1.3%  
395 0.2% 1.0%  
396 0.1% 0.8%  
397 0.2% 0.7%  
398 0.1% 0.5%  
399 0.1% 0.4%  
400 0.1% 0.3%  
401 0.1% 0.2%  
402 0% 0.2%  
403 0% 0.1%  
404 0% 0.1%  
405 0% 0.1%  
406 0% 0.1%  
407 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 99.9%  
305 0% 99.9%  
306 0% 99.9%  
307 0% 99.9%  
308 0.1% 99.8%  
309 0.1% 99.7%  
310 0.1% 99.7%  
311 0.1% 99.6%  
312 0.2% 99.5%  
313 0.1% 99.3%  
314 0.2% 99.2%  
315 0.3% 99.0%  
316 0.3% 98.7%  
317 0.3% 98%  
318 0.4% 98%  
319 0.5% 98%  
320 0.7% 97%  
321 0.9% 97%  
322 0.5% 96%  
323 0.4% 95%  
324 2% 95%  
325 2% 93%  
326 0.8% 91%  
327 2% 90%  
328 0.8% 88%  
329 1.3% 87%  
330 3% 86%  
331 1.2% 83%  
332 1.2% 82%  
333 4% 81%  
334 3% 77%  
335 2% 74%  
336 4% 73%  
337 3% 69%  
338 2% 65%  
339 3% 63%  
340 4% 61%  
341 1.2% 57%  
342 3% 55%  
343 3% 52% Median
344 1.5% 49%  
345 4% 48%  
346 2% 44%  
347 3% 41%  
348 4% 38%  
349 3% 34%  
350 2% 31%  
351 3% 29%  
352 3% 26%  
353 1.2% 23%  
354 2% 22%  
355 3% 21% Majority
356 0.8% 18%  
357 1.3% 17%  
358 2% 16%  
359 2% 14%  
360 1.2% 12%  
361 2% 11%  
362 0.9% 9%  
363 0.5% 8%  
364 1.2% 7%  
365 0.3% 6%  
366 0.4% 6%  
367 0.3% 5%  
368 0.3% 5%  
369 0.2% 5%  
370 0.2% 5%  
371 0.4% 4%  
372 0.3% 4%  
373 1.3% 4%  
374 0.4% 2%  
375 0.7% 2%  
376 0.2% 1.2%  
377 0.2% 1.0%  
378 0.1% 0.9%  
379 0.1% 0.8%  
380 0% 0.7%  
381 0% 0.7%  
382 0.1% 0.7%  
383 0.1% 0.6%  
384 0% 0.5%  
385 0.1% 0.5%  
386 0.1% 0.4%  
387 0.1% 0.3%  
388 0.1% 0.2%  
389 0% 0.2%  
390 0% 0.1%  
391 0% 0.1%  
392 0% 0.1%  
393 0% 0.1%  
394 0% 0.1%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 99.9%  
286 0.1% 99.9%  
287 0.1% 99.8%  
288 0.1% 99.8%  
289 0.2% 99.7%  
290 0.2% 99.5%  
291 0.1% 99.2%  
292 0.1% 99.1%  
293 0.2% 99.0%  
294 0.1% 98.8%  
295 0.1% 98.7%  
296 0.1% 98.6%  
297 0.4% 98%  
298 0.3% 98%  
299 0.4% 98%  
300 1.4% 97%  
301 0.8% 96%  
302 1.0% 95%  
303 2% 94%  
304 3% 92%  
305 0.9% 90%  
306 2% 89%  
307 2% 87%  
308 1.3% 85%  
309 0.3% 83%  
310 0.4% 83%  
311 2% 83%  
312 1.3% 81%  
313 1.3% 80%  
314 5% 78%  
315 9% 74%  
316 6% 65%  
317 3% 59%  
318 3% 56%  
319 3% 53%  
320 3% 50%  
321 2% 47% Median
322 1.1% 45%  
323 1.1% 44%  
324 0.8% 42%  
325 0.9% 42%  
326 2% 41%  
327 3% 39%  
328 3% 36%  
329 3% 34%  
330 3% 30%  
331 2% 27%  
332 6% 25%  
333 3% 19%  
334 1.1% 15%  
335 0.7% 14%  
336 2% 13%  
337 0.5% 12%  
338 0.5% 11%  
339 0.5% 11%  
340 1.1% 10%  
341 1.2% 9%  
342 0.6% 8%  
343 0.7% 7%  
344 0.8% 7%  
345 0.5% 6%  
346 0.6% 5%  
347 0.5% 5%  
348 0.6% 4%  
349 0.2% 4%  
350 2% 4%  
351 0.3% 2%  
352 0.2% 2%  
353 0.2% 2%  
354 0.2% 1.4%  
355 0.2% 1.2% Majority
356 0% 1.0%  
357 0% 1.0%  
358 0.1% 1.0%  
359 0.1% 0.9%  
360 0.1% 0.7%  
361 0.1% 0.6%  
362 0.2% 0.6%  
363 0.1% 0.4%  
364 0.1% 0.3%  
365 0% 0.2%  
366 0% 0.2%  
367 0.1% 0.2%  
368 0% 0.1%  
369 0% 0.1%  
370 0% 0.1%  
371 0% 0.1%  
372 0% 0.1%  
373 0% 0.1%  
374 0% 0.1%  
375 0% 0.1%  
376 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 99.9%  
266 0% 99.9%  
267 0% 99.9%  
268 0% 99.9%  
269 0.1% 99.8%  
270 0.1% 99.8%  
271 0.1% 99.7%  
272 0.1% 99.6%  
273 0.1% 99.5%  
274 0.2% 99.3%  
275 0.2% 99.2%  
276 0.2% 99.0%  
277 0.3% 98.7%  
278 0.4% 98%  
279 0.5% 98%  
280 0.4% 98%  
281 1.0% 97%  
282 0.6% 96%  
283 1.2% 96%  
284 1.2% 94%  
285 2% 93%  
286 0.6% 91%  
287 2% 91%  
288 0.9% 89%  
289 3% 88%  
290 2% 85%  
291 2% 84%  
292 4% 81%  
293 2% 78%  
294 2% 76%  
295 3% 73%  
296 1.2% 71%  
297 5% 69%  
298 3% 64%  
299 4% 61%  
300 2% 58%  
301 4% 55%  
302 2% 52%  
303 3% 50% Median
304 2% 46%  
305 3% 44%  
306 3% 41%  
307 2% 39%  
308 3% 36%  
309 2% 34%  
310 3% 32%  
311 2% 29%  
312 3% 27%  
313 2% 23% Last Result
314 2% 21%  
315 2% 20%  
316 0.8% 18%  
317 2% 17%  
318 2% 15%  
319 2% 13%  
320 0.6% 11%  
321 2% 11%  
322 0.5% 8%  
323 1.0% 8%  
324 0.5% 7%  
325 0.7% 6%  
326 2% 6%  
327 0.9% 4%  
328 0.5% 3%  
329 0.4% 3%  
330 0.2% 2%  
331 0.2% 2%  
332 0.3% 2%  
333 0.3% 2%  
334 0.3% 1.4%  
335 0.1% 1.1%  
336 0.1% 1.0%  
337 0.2% 0.8%  
338 0.1% 0.6%  
339 0% 0.6%  
340 0% 0.5%  
341 0.1% 0.5%  
342 0% 0.4%  
343 0% 0.4%  
344 0.1% 0.3%  
345 0.1% 0.3%  
346 0% 0.2%  
347 0% 0.2%  
348 0% 0.1%  
349 0% 0.1%  
350 0% 0.1%  
351 0% 0.1%  
352 0% 0.1%  
353 0% 0.1%  
354 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
233 0% 100% Last Result
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 99.9%  
241 0% 99.9%  
242 0% 99.9%  
243 0.1% 99.9%  
244 0% 99.8%  
245 0.1% 99.8%  
246 0.1% 99.7%  
247 0.2% 99.6%  
248 0.2% 99.3%  
249 0.4% 99.2%  
250 0.3% 98.8%  
251 0.5% 98%  
252 0.6% 98%  
253 0.7% 97%  
254 0.2% 97%  
255 0.9% 96%  
256 0.9% 95%  
257 1.0% 95%  
258 1.2% 94%  
259 2% 92%  
260 2% 91%  
261 2% 89%  
262 2% 87%  
263 2% 85%  
264 2% 83%  
265 3% 81%  
266 2% 78%  
267 2% 76%  
268 2% 74%  
269 2% 72%  
270 2% 70%  
271 1.3% 68%  
272 3% 67%  
273 2% 63%  
274 4% 62%  
275 4% 58%  
276 3% 54% Median
277 2% 51%  
278 4% 49%  
279 2% 45%  
280 4% 43%  
281 3% 39%  
282 2% 37%  
283 2% 35%  
284 2% 33%  
285 2% 31%  
286 3% 29%  
287 4% 25%  
288 2% 21%  
289 2% 19%  
290 3% 17%  
291 2% 14%  
292 2% 12%  
293 1.1% 10%  
294 1.2% 9%  
295 0.6% 8%  
296 0.5% 7%  
297 0.6% 7%  
298 0.7% 6%  
299 0.5% 5%  
300 0.3% 5%  
301 0.7% 4%  
302 0.3% 4%  
303 0.2% 3%  
304 0.7% 3%  
305 0.2% 2%  
306 0.2% 2%  
307 0.1% 2%  
308 0.2% 2%  
309 0.1% 2%  
310 0.6% 2%  
311 0.1% 1.0%  
312 0.6% 1.0%  
313 0% 0.4%  
314 0.1% 0.3%  
315 0% 0.3%  
316 0% 0.2%  
317 0% 0.2%  
318 0% 0.2%  
319 0% 0.1%  
320 0% 0.1%  
321 0% 0.1%  
322 0% 0.1%  
323 0% 0.1%  
324 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 99.9%  
222 0% 99.9%  
223 0% 99.9%  
224 0.1% 99.9%  
225 0.1% 99.8%  
226 0% 99.8%  
227 0.1% 99.7%  
228 0.1% 99.6%  
229 0.1% 99.6%  
230 0.2% 99.4%  
231 0.3% 99.2%  
232 0.3% 98.9%  
233 0.4% 98.6%  
234 0.3% 98%  
235 0.7% 98%  
236 0.7% 97%  
237 0.5% 96%  
238 0.7% 96%  
239 0.7% 95%  
240 0.8% 95%  
241 1.2% 94%  
242 2% 92%  
243 0.9% 91%  
244 3% 90%  
245 2% 87%  
246 0.8% 85%  
247 5% 84%  
248 2% 79%  
249 2% 77%  
250 2% 75%  
251 2% 72%  
252 2% 71%  
253 3% 68%  
254 4% 66%  
255 3% 62%  
256 2% 59%  
257 3% 57%  
258 5% 53% Median
259 2% 48%  
260 3% 47%  
261 3% 44%  
262 4% 41%  
263 3% 38%  
264 4% 35%  
265 3% 30%  
266 3% 28%  
267 3% 25%  
268 3% 21%  
269 2% 18%  
270 3% 17%  
271 2% 14%  
272 0.8% 12%  
273 2% 11%  
274 0.6% 9%  
275 1.0% 9%  
276 0.8% 8%  
277 0.7% 7%  
278 0.8% 6%  
279 0.2% 5%  
280 0.5% 5%  
281 0.8% 5%  
282 1.1% 4%  
283 0.2% 3%  
284 0.9% 3%  
285 0.2% 2%  
286 0.3% 2%  
287 0.2% 1.2%  
288 0.2% 1.0%  
289 0.1% 0.8%  
290 0.2% 0.7%  
291 0.1% 0.6%  
292 0.1% 0.5%  
293 0.1% 0.4%  
294 0.1% 0.4%  
295 0.1% 0.3%  
296 0% 0.2%  
297 0% 0.2%  
298 0% 0.2%  
299 0% 0.1%  
300 0% 0.1%  
301 0% 0.1%  
302 0% 0.1%  
303 0% 0.1%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0%  
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 99.9%  
222 0% 99.9%  
223 0% 99.9%  
224 0.1% 99.9%  
225 0.1% 99.8%  
226 0.1% 99.7%  
227 0.1% 99.6%  
228 0.1% 99.5%  
229 0.2% 99.5%  
230 0.2% 99.3%  
231 0.3% 99.1%  
232 0.5% 98.8%  
233 0.3% 98%  
234 0.3% 98%  
235 0.6% 98%  
236 0.5% 97%  
237 0.7% 97%  
238 1.0% 96%  
239 0.6% 95%  
240 1.3% 94%  
241 2% 93%  
242 0.9% 91%  
243 2% 90%  
244 0.7% 88%  
245 2% 87%  
246 2% 85%  
247 2% 84%  
248 3% 81%  
249 3% 78%  
250 3% 75%  
251 2% 73%  
252 3% 71%  
253 4% 69%  
254 4% 65%  
255 4% 61%  
256 3% 58%  
257 4% 54%  
258 5% 50% Median
259 3% 46%  
260 2% 42%  
261 1.4% 40%  
262 2% 39%  
263 3% 37%  
264 3% 34%  
265 5% 31%  
266 1.4% 26%  
267 2% 25%  
268 1.2% 23%  
269 2% 22%  
270 2% 20%  
271 2% 17%  
272 1.3% 15%  
273 1.2% 14%  
274 2% 12%  
275 1.4% 10%  
276 1.0% 9%  
277 2% 8%  
278 0.5% 6%  
279 0.6% 5%  
280 0.6% 5%  
281 0.9% 4%  
282 0.3% 3%  
283 0.7% 3%  
284 0.1% 2%  
285 0.4% 2%  
286 0.2% 2%  
287 0.1% 1.4%  
288 0.3% 1.3%  
289 0.2% 1.0%  
290 0.1% 0.8%  
291 0.1% 0.7%  
292 0.1% 0.6%  
293 0% 0.5%  
294 0% 0.5%  
295 0.1% 0.4%  
296 0.1% 0.4%  
297 0% 0.3%  
298 0.1% 0.3%  
299 0% 0.2%  
300 0% 0.2%  
301 0% 0.1%  
302 0% 0.1%  
303 0% 0.1%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
179 0% 100%  
180 0% 99.9%  
181 0% 99.9%  
182 0% 99.9%  
183 0% 99.9%  
184 0.1% 99.9%  
185 0% 99.7%  
186 0% 99.7%  
187 0.1% 99.6%  
188 0.1% 99.6%  
189 0% 99.5%  
190 0.2% 99.4%  
191 0% 99.3%  
192 0.1% 99.2%  
193 0.1% 99.2%  
194 0.1% 99.0%  
195 0.1% 99.0%  
196 1.2% 98.9%  
197 0.1% 98%  
198 0% 98%  
199 0.7% 98%  
200 0.3% 97%  
201 0.2% 97%  
202 0.2% 96%  
203 0.4% 96%  
204 0.1% 96%  
205 0.3% 96%  
206 0.4% 95%  
207 0.2% 95%  
208 0.3% 95%  
209 0.4% 95%  
210 0.2% 94%  
211 0.2% 94%  
212 0.7% 94%  
213 0.2% 93%  
214 0.4% 93%  
215 1.3% 92%  
216 0.2% 91%  
217 0.7% 91%  
218 0.8% 90%  
219 0.4% 89%  
220 0.8% 89%  
221 2% 88%  
222 3% 87% Last Result
223 0.8% 84%  
224 1.3% 83%  
225 2% 82%  
226 2% 79%  
227 1.4% 77%  
228 1.1% 76%  
229 4% 75%  
230 2% 71%  
231 1.3% 68%  
232 2% 67%  
233 3% 65%  
234 3% 63%  
235 6% 59%  
236 1.3% 53%  
237 8% 52% Median
238 2% 44%  
239 4% 42%  
240 3% 38%  
241 4% 36%  
242 5% 32%  
243 2% 27%  
244 1.4% 25%  
245 2% 24%  
246 2% 22%  
247 3% 20%  
248 2% 17%  
249 2% 15%  
250 1.4% 12%  
251 1.3% 11%  
252 1.1% 10%  
253 0.6% 8%  
254 1.0% 8%  
255 3% 7%  
256 0.5% 4%  
257 0.9% 4%  
258 0.4% 3%  
259 0.4% 2%  
260 0.3% 2%  
261 0.1% 2%  
262 0.2% 2%  
263 0.3% 1.4%  
264 0.2% 1.1%  
265 0.1% 0.9%  
266 0.1% 0.8%  
267 0.3% 0.7%  
268 0.2% 0.4%  
269 0% 0.2%  
270 0% 0.2%  
271 0% 0.1%  
272 0% 0.1%  
273 0% 0.1%  
274 0% 0.1%  
275 0% 0.1%  
276 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations