Opinion Poll by INSA and YouGov, 6–10 September 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 26.0% 24.4–27.8% 24.0–28.2% 23.6–28.7% 22.8–29.5%
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 16.2% 14.9–17.7% 14.5–18.1% 14.2–18.5% 13.6–19.2%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 15.0% 13.7–16.4% 13.4–16.9% 13.1–17.2% 12.5–17.9%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 13.0% 11.8–14.4% 11.5–14.8% 11.2–15.1% 10.6–15.8%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 11.0% 9.9–12.3% 9.6–12.7% 9.3–13.0% 8.8–13.6%
Die Linke 9.2% 6.0% 5.2–7.0% 5.0–7.3% 4.8–7.5% 4.4–8.0%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 3.7% 3.1–4.6% 2.9–4.8% 2.8–5.0% 2.5–5.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 202 189–215 185–220 182–224 177–231
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 126 115–137 112–141 110–144 105–150
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 117 106–128 103–131 101–134 97–140
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 101 92–111 89–115 87–117 82–123
Alternative für Deutschland 94 86 77–95 74–98 72–101 68–106
Die Linke 69 46 40–53 0–56 0–58 0–62
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 32 27–38 26–40 25–42 22–45

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
153 0% 100% Last Result
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100%  
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 100%  
171 0% 99.9%  
172 0% 99.9%  
173 0.1% 99.9%  
174 0.1% 99.8%  
175 0.1% 99.7%  
176 0.1% 99.7%  
177 0.2% 99.5%  
178 0.3% 99.3%  
179 0.2% 99.0%  
180 0.3% 98.8%  
181 0.4% 98.5%  
182 0.8% 98%  
183 0.6% 97%  
184 0.9% 97%  
185 0.9% 96%  
186 1.3% 95%  
187 2% 94%  
188 1.4% 92%  
189 1.2% 90%  
190 2% 89%  
191 2% 87%  
192 2% 85%  
193 3% 83%  
194 2% 80%  
195 3% 78%  
196 5% 75%  
197 4% 70%  
198 3% 65%  
199 3% 63%  
200 4% 60%  
201 6% 56%  
202 3% 50% Median
203 4% 47%  
204 3% 43%  
205 5% 40%  
206 4% 35%  
207 3% 31%  
208 2% 29%  
209 2% 26%  
210 4% 24%  
211 3% 20%  
212 2% 18%  
213 2% 16%  
214 2% 13%  
215 2% 12%  
216 1.0% 9%  
217 0.8% 8%  
218 0.9% 7%  
219 1.2% 6%  
220 1.0% 5%  
221 0.7% 4%  
222 0.5% 4%  
223 0.5% 3%  
224 0.4% 3%  
225 0.4% 2%  
226 0.2% 2%  
227 0.2% 2%  
228 0.2% 1.4%  
229 0.4% 1.2%  
230 0.1% 0.7%  
231 0.1% 0.6%  
232 0.1% 0.5%  
233 0.1% 0.4%  
234 0% 0.3%  
235 0% 0.2%  
236 0% 0.2%  
237 0% 0.2%  
238 0% 0.1%  
239 0% 0.1%  
240 0% 0.1%  
241 0% 0.1%  
242 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 99.9%  
102 0.1% 99.9%  
103 0.1% 99.8%  
104 0.1% 99.7%  
105 0.2% 99.6%  
106 0.2% 99.4%  
107 0.3% 99.2%  
108 0.4% 98.8%  
109 0.6% 98%  
110 0.8% 98%  
111 0.9% 97%  
112 1.2% 96%  
113 1.4% 95%  
114 1.5% 93%  
115 2% 92%  
116 3% 90%  
117 2% 87%  
118 4% 85%  
119 4% 81%  
120 4% 77%  
121 5% 74%  
122 3% 69%  
123 4% 65%  
124 5% 62%  
125 3% 57%  
126 5% 53% Median
127 6% 49%  
128 3% 43%  
129 7% 40%  
130 4% 34%  
131 4% 30%  
132 4% 26%  
133 3% 22%  
134 3% 19%  
135 3% 16%  
136 2% 13%  
137 2% 11%  
138 1.1% 9%  
139 2% 8%  
140 1.4% 6%  
141 1.1% 5%  
142 0.8% 4%  
143 0.7% 3%  
144 0.5% 3%  
145 0.4% 2%  
146 0.5% 2%  
147 0.2% 1.1%  
148 0.2% 0.9%  
149 0.2% 0.7%  
150 0.1% 0.5%  
151 0.1% 0.4%  
152 0.1% 0.3%  
153 0.1% 0.2%  
154 0.1% 0.2%  
155 0% 0.1%  
156 0% 0.1%  
157 0% 0.1%  
158 0% 0.1%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0%  
175 0% 0%  
176 0% 0%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 99.9%  
94 0.1% 99.9%  
95 0.1% 99.8%  
96 0.2% 99.7%  
97 0.3% 99.5%  
98 0.2% 99.3%  
99 0.6% 99.1%  
100 0.5% 98%  
101 1.0% 98%  
102 0.8% 97%  
103 1.2% 96%  
104 2% 95%  
105 1.1% 93%  
106 2% 92%  
107 3% 90%  
108 2% 86%  
109 4% 84%  
110 3% 80%  
111 6% 77%  
112 3% 72%  
113 4% 69%  
114 5% 65%  
115 4% 59%  
116 5% 55%  
117 4% 50% Median
118 7% 46%  
119 4% 39%  
120 3% 35%  
121 5% 32%  
122 3% 27%  
123 5% 24%  
124 2% 19%  
125 3% 17%  
126 2% 14%  
127 1.3% 12%  
128 2% 11%  
129 2% 8%  
130 1.4% 7%  
131 0.8% 5%  
132 0.6% 4%  
133 0.7% 4%  
134 0.7% 3%  
135 0.8% 2%  
136 0.4% 2%  
137 0.3% 1.1%  
138 0.2% 0.9%  
139 0.2% 0.7%  
140 0.1% 0.5%  
141 0.1% 0.4%  
142 0.1% 0.3%  
143 0% 0.2%  
144 0% 0.1%  
145 0% 0.1%  
146 0% 0.1%  
147 0% 0.1%  
148 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0% 100%  
79 0.1% 99.9%  
80 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
81 0.1% 99.8%  
82 0.2% 99.6%  
83 0.2% 99.4%  
84 0.4% 99.2%  
85 0.6% 98.8%  
86 0.6% 98%  
87 1.2% 98%  
88 1.0% 96%  
89 1.2% 95%  
90 2% 94%  
91 2% 92%  
92 2% 90%  
93 3% 88%  
94 3% 85%  
95 5% 83%  
96 4% 78%  
97 5% 74%  
98 4% 69%  
99 4% 65%  
100 6% 60%  
101 6% 54% Median
102 3% 49%  
103 5% 45%  
104 5% 40%  
105 4% 34%  
106 6% 31%  
107 4% 24%  
108 3% 21%  
109 3% 18%  
110 3% 15%  
111 2% 12%  
112 2% 10%  
113 1.4% 8%  
114 1.5% 7%  
115 1.4% 5%  
116 0.8% 4%  
117 0.8% 3%  
118 0.6% 2%  
119 0.4% 2%  
120 0.3% 1.3%  
121 0.2% 1.0%  
122 0.2% 0.8%  
123 0.1% 0.6%  
124 0.1% 0.5%  
125 0.1% 0.4%  
126 0.1% 0.3%  
127 0.1% 0.2%  
128 0% 0.1%  
129 0% 0.1%  
130 0% 0%  

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 99.9%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.1% 99.8%  
68 0.2% 99.6%  
69 0.3% 99.4%  
70 0.4% 99.1%  
71 0.5% 98.7%  
72 0.8% 98%  
73 0.9% 97%  
74 2% 96%  
75 2% 95%  
76 2% 93%  
77 4% 91%  
78 4% 87%  
79 3% 83%  
80 4% 80%  
81 4% 76%  
82 4% 72%  
83 7% 68%  
84 4% 61%  
85 4% 57%  
86 9% 53% Median
87 5% 44%  
88 5% 39%  
89 4% 34%  
90 4% 30%  
91 3% 26%  
92 5% 23%  
93 3% 18%  
94 3% 15% Last Result
95 3% 12%  
96 2% 9%  
97 2% 7%  
98 1.2% 6%  
99 0.9% 5%  
100 0.9% 4%  
101 0.8% 3%  
102 0.5% 2%  
103 0.5% 1.5%  
104 0.2% 1.0%  
105 0.2% 0.8%  
106 0.1% 0.6%  
107 0.1% 0.4%  
108 0.1% 0.3%  
109 0.1% 0.2%  
110 0% 0.1%  
111 0% 0.1%  
112 0% 0.1%  
113 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 7% 100%  
1 0% 93%  
2 0% 93%  
3 0% 93%  
4 0% 93%  
5 0% 93%  
6 0% 93%  
7 0% 93%  
8 0% 93%  
9 0% 93%  
10 0% 93%  
11 0% 93%  
12 0% 93%  
13 0% 93%  
14 0% 93%  
15 0% 93%  
16 0% 93%  
17 0% 93%  
18 0% 93%  
19 0% 93%  
20 0% 93%  
21 0% 93%  
22 0% 93%  
23 0% 93%  
24 0% 93%  
25 0% 93%  
26 0% 93%  
27 0% 93%  
28 0% 93%  
29 0% 93%  
30 0% 93%  
31 0% 93%  
32 0% 93%  
33 0% 93%  
34 0% 93%  
35 0% 93%  
36 0% 93%  
37 0% 93%  
38 0.1% 93%  
39 2% 93%  
40 4% 91%  
41 4% 87%  
42 5% 83%  
43 5% 78%  
44 8% 73%  
45 10% 66%  
46 8% 56% Median
47 6% 48%  
48 6% 42%  
49 5% 36%  
50 7% 31%  
51 6% 24%  
52 5% 18%  
53 3% 13%  
54 2% 10%  
55 2% 8%  
56 2% 6%  
57 2% 4%  
58 1.0% 3%  
59 0.5% 2%  
60 0.5% 1.4%  
61 0.2% 0.8%  
62 0.2% 0.6%  
63 0.2% 0.4%  
64 0.1% 0.2%  
65 0.1% 0.1%  
66 0% 0.1%  
67 0% 0.1%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0.1% 100%  
21 0.1% 99.9%  
22 0.3% 99.8%  
23 0.8% 99.5%  
24 1.2% 98.7%  
25 2% 98%  
26 4% 95%  
27 4% 92%  
28 6% 88%  
29 8% 82%  
30 8% 73%  
31 10% 65%  
32 9% 56% Median
33 8% 47%  
34 8% 39%  
35 8% 31%  
36 5% 23%  
37 5% 18%  
38 4% 13%  
39 3% 9%  
40 2% 6%  
41 2% 4%  
42 1.0% 3%  
43 0.8% 2%  
44 0.4% 1.1%  
45 0.3% 0.7%  
46 0.2% 0.4% Last Result
47 0.1% 0.2%  
48 0.1% 0.1%  
49 0% 0.1%  
50 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 476 100% 463–493 459–503 455–513 449–523
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 461 100% 447–477 443–487 440–497 433–507
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 419 100% 405–436 401–444 398–453 391–463
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 376 97% 361–393 358–400 354–407 348–416
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 360 68% 346–376 341–382 338–390 331–401
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Die Linke 289 364 79% 348–379 342–382 334–385 325–392
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 345 21% 330–361 327–367 324–375 317–384
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 220 318 0.6% 304–334 300–340 297–346 290–355
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 303 0% 289–319 285–324 281–329 275–339
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 275 0% 261–290 257–295 254–300 248–309
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 259 0% 245–274 243–279 239–285 232–293
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 247 0% 230–261 221–265 213–269 201–276
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 244 0% 230–259 227–264 224–268 218–276

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
441 0% 100%  
442 0% 99.9%  
443 0% 99.9%  
444 0% 99.9%  
445 0.1% 99.9%  
446 0% 99.8%  
447 0.1% 99.8%  
448 0.1% 99.7%  
449 0.2% 99.6%  
450 0.2% 99.4%  
451 0.2% 99.2%  
452 0.2% 99.0%  
453 0.3% 98.8%  
454 0.4% 98%  
455 0.6% 98%  
456 0.6% 97%  
457 0.8% 97%  
458 1.0% 96%  
459 0.8% 95%  
460 1.0% 94%  
461 2% 93%  
462 2% 92%  
463 1.4% 90%  
464 2% 89%  
465 2% 86%  
466 3% 85% Last Result
467 3% 82%  
468 3% 79%  
469 2% 76%  
470 5% 74%  
471 2% 69%  
472 3% 66%  
473 5% 64%  
474 3% 58%  
475 3% 55%  
476 5% 52%  
477 2% 47% Median
478 4% 45%  
479 4% 41%  
480 2% 37%  
481 2% 35%  
482 4% 33%  
483 3% 28%  
484 3% 26%  
485 2% 23%  
486 2% 20%  
487 1.1% 18%  
488 2% 17%  
489 0.8% 15%  
490 2% 14%  
491 0.9% 12%  
492 0.8% 11%  
493 1.0% 10%  
494 0.6% 9%  
495 0.6% 9%  
496 0.5% 8%  
497 0.4% 8%  
498 0.4% 7%  
499 0.4% 7%  
500 0.4% 6%  
501 0.3% 6%  
502 0.3% 6%  
503 0.5% 5%  
504 0.2% 5%  
505 0.3% 5%  
506 0.2% 4%  
507 0.2% 4%  
508 0.1% 4%  
509 0.3% 4%  
510 0.3% 3%  
511 0.2% 3%  
512 0.3% 3%  
513 0.2% 3%  
514 0.2% 2%  
515 0.4% 2%  
516 0.3% 2%  
517 0.1% 2%  
518 0.3% 1.5%  
519 0.2% 1.1%  
520 0.1% 0.9%  
521 0.1% 0.8%  
522 0.1% 0.7%  
523 0.2% 0.6%  
524 0.1% 0.4%  
525 0.1% 0.3%  
526 0.1% 0.3%  
527 0% 0.2%  
528 0% 0.2%  
529 0% 0.1%  
530 0% 0.1%  
531 0% 0.1%  
532 0% 0.1%  
533 0% 0.1%  
534 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 99.9%  
428 0% 99.9%  
429 0% 99.9%  
430 0.1% 99.8%  
431 0.1% 99.8%  
432 0.1% 99.7%  
433 0.1% 99.6%  
434 0.2% 99.5%  
435 0.2% 99.3%  
436 0.2% 99.0%  
437 0.4% 98.8%  
438 0.3% 98%  
439 0.6% 98%  
440 0.6% 98%  
441 0.8% 97%  
442 0.7% 96%  
443 0.7% 95%  
444 1.1% 95%  
445 1.4% 94%  
446 1.2% 92%  
447 1.3% 91%  
448 2% 90%  
449 2% 88%  
450 2% 86%  
451 3% 84%  
452 2% 82%  
453 3% 80%  
454 4% 77%  
455 3% 73%  
456 3% 70%  
457 3% 66%  
458 4% 63%  
459 4% 59%  
460 4% 55%  
461 4% 52% Median
462 4% 48%  
463 4% 44%  
464 3% 41%  
465 3% 37%  
466 3% 35%  
467 3% 32%  
468 3% 29%  
469 3% 26%  
470 2% 23%  
471 2% 21%  
472 2% 19%  
473 2% 17%  
474 1.1% 14%  
475 0.8% 13%  
476 1.5% 12%  
477 1.1% 11%  
478 0.6% 10%  
479 0.8% 9% Last Result
480 0.6% 8%  
481 0.4% 8%  
482 0.6% 7%  
483 0.6% 7%  
484 0.4% 6%  
485 0.3% 6%  
486 0.3% 5%  
487 0.5% 5%  
488 0.1% 5%  
489 0.4% 4%  
490 0.5% 4%  
491 0.1% 4%  
492 0.1% 4%  
493 0.4% 3%  
494 0.2% 3%  
495 0.1% 3%  
496 0.3% 3%  
497 0.3% 3%  
498 0.1% 2%  
499 0.3% 2%  
500 0.5% 2%  
501 0.1% 1.4%  
502 0.1% 1.3%  
503 0.4% 1.3%  
504 0.2% 0.9%  
505 0% 0.7%  
506 0.1% 0.7%  
507 0.1% 0.6%  
508 0.1% 0.5%  
509 0% 0.4%  
510 0.1% 0.4%  
511 0.1% 0.3%  
512 0% 0.2%  
513 0.1% 0.2%  
514 0% 0.1%  
515 0% 0.1%  
516 0% 0.1%  
517 0% 0.1%  
518 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
300 0% 100% Last Result
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 99.9%  
385 0% 99.9%  
386 0% 99.9%  
387 0% 99.8%  
388 0.1% 99.8%  
389 0.1% 99.8%  
390 0.1% 99.7%  
391 0.1% 99.5%  
392 0.2% 99.4%  
393 0.1% 99.2%  
394 0.2% 99.1%  
395 0.5% 98.8%  
396 0.2% 98%  
397 0.5% 98%  
398 0.7% 98%  
399 0.5% 97%  
400 0.8% 96%  
401 0.9% 96%  
402 1.0% 95%  
403 1.1% 94%  
404 2% 93%  
405 2% 91%  
406 0.9% 89%  
407 2% 88%  
408 3% 86%  
409 2% 83%  
410 4% 82%  
411 3% 78%  
412 2% 75%  
413 2% 73%  
414 5% 71%  
415 2% 66%  
416 4% 64%  
417 4% 60%  
418 2% 56%  
419 4% 54%  
420 5% 50% Median
421 3% 45%  
422 3% 42%  
423 3% 39%  
424 3% 36%  
425 3% 33%  
426 2% 30%  
427 4% 28%  
428 2% 24%  
429 2% 22%  
430 3% 20%  
431 1.3% 18%  
432 1.4% 16%  
433 2% 15%  
434 0.8% 12%  
435 0.9% 12%  
436 1.1% 11%  
437 0.9% 10%  
438 0.9% 9%  
439 1.0% 8%  
440 0.5% 7%  
441 0.3% 6%  
442 0.3% 6%  
443 0.6% 6%  
444 0.5% 5%  
445 0.4% 5%  
446 0.2% 4%  
447 0.4% 4%  
448 0.3% 4%  
449 0.3% 3%  
450 0.4% 3%  
451 0.1% 3%  
452 0.1% 3%  
453 0.3% 3%  
454 0.1% 2%  
455 0.2% 2%  
456 0.3% 2%  
457 0.5% 2%  
458 0.1% 1.1%  
459 0.1% 1.0%  
460 0.2% 0.9%  
461 0.1% 0.7%  
462 0.1% 0.6%  
463 0.1% 0.6%  
464 0.1% 0.5%  
465 0% 0.4%  
466 0.1% 0.4%  
467 0.1% 0.3%  
468 0% 0.2%  
469 0% 0.2%  
470 0% 0.2%  
471 0% 0.1%  
472 0% 0.1%  
473 0% 0.1%  
474 0% 0.1%  
475 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 99.9%  
341 0% 99.9%  
342 0% 99.9%  
343 0% 99.9%  
344 0.1% 99.8%  
345 0.1% 99.8%  
346 0.1% 99.7%  
347 0.1% 99.6%  
348 0.2% 99.5%  
349 0.2% 99.3%  
350 0.2% 99.1%  
351 0.2% 98.9%  
352 0.4% 98.7%  
353 0.4% 98%  
354 0.9% 98%  
355 0.4% 97% Majority
356 0.7% 97%  
357 0.8% 96%  
358 0.8% 95%  
359 1.3% 94%  
360 1.3% 93%  
361 2% 92%  
362 1.1% 90%  
363 2% 89%  
364 2% 86%  
365 1.3% 85%  
366 3% 83%  
367 3% 81%  
368 3% 78%  
369 3% 75%  
370 5% 72%  
371 3% 67%  
372 3% 65%  
373 2% 62%  
374 5% 60%  
375 4% 55%  
376 4% 51% Median
377 3% 48%  
378 3% 44%  
379 2% 41%  
380 2% 39%  
381 3% 36%  
382 4% 33%  
383 3% 29%  
384 2% 26%  
385 3% 23%  
386 1.1% 21%  
387 2% 20%  
388 1.5% 18%  
389 2% 17%  
390 2% 14%  
391 1.4% 13%  
392 1.1% 11%  
393 1.4% 10% Last Result
394 0.6% 9%  
395 0.8% 8%  
396 0.6% 8%  
397 0.6% 7%  
398 0.6% 6%  
399 0.6% 6%  
400 0.6% 5%  
401 0.7% 4%  
402 0.3% 4%  
403 0.1% 4%  
404 0.2% 3%  
405 0.1% 3%  
406 0.4% 3%  
407 0.7% 3%  
408 0.6% 2%  
409 0.1% 1.4%  
410 0.1% 1.4%  
411 0% 1.3%  
412 0% 1.2%  
413 0.2% 1.2%  
414 0.2% 1.0%  
415 0.3% 0.8%  
416 0.1% 0.5%  
417 0% 0.5%  
418 0% 0.4%  
419 0% 0.4%  
420 0.1% 0.4%  
421 0.1% 0.4%  
422 0.1% 0.3%  
423 0.1% 0.2%  
424 0% 0.1%  
425 0% 0.1%  
426 0% 0.1%  
427 0% 0.1%  
428 0% 0.1%  
429 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 99.9%  
325 0% 99.9%  
326 0% 99.9%  
327 0% 99.9%  
328 0.1% 99.8%  
329 0.1% 99.8%  
330 0.1% 99.7%  
331 0.2% 99.6%  
332 0.2% 99.5%  
333 0.2% 99.3%  
334 0.2% 99.1%  
335 0.3% 98.8%  
336 0.4% 98.5%  
337 0.3% 98%  
338 0.5% 98%  
339 0.7% 97%  
340 0.6% 97%  
341 1.0% 96%  
342 1.2% 95%  
343 1.2% 94%  
344 1.1% 93%  
345 1.4% 92%  
346 2% 90%  
347 2% 89%  
348 2% 87%  
349 2% 85%  
350 3% 83%  
351 2% 80%  
352 3% 78%  
353 3% 75%  
354 4% 72%  
355 4% 68% Majority
356 3% 64%  
357 3% 61%  
358 3% 58%  
359 3% 55%  
360 4% 52% Median
361 4% 49%  
362 4% 45%  
363 4% 41%  
364 3% 37%  
365 3% 34%  
366 2% 31%  
367 2% 29%  
368 2% 26%  
369 2% 24%  
370 2% 22%  
371 2% 20%  
372 2% 17%  
373 1.4% 16%  
374 2% 14%  
375 2% 13%  
376 1.2% 11%  
377 0.6% 10%  
378 1.2% 9%  
379 0.7% 8%  
380 0.8% 7%  
381 0.5% 6%  
382 0.8% 6%  
383 0.4% 5%  
384 0.5% 5%  
385 0.2% 4%  
386 0.5% 4%  
387 0.4% 3%  
388 0.1% 3%  
389 0.3% 3%  
390 0.3% 3%  
391 0.3% 2%  
392 0.1% 2%  
393 0.2% 2%  
394 0.4% 2%  
395 0.2% 1.2%  
396 0% 1.0%  
397 0.1% 0.9%  
398 0.1% 0.8%  
399 0.1% 0.7% Last Result
400 0% 0.7%  
401 0.2% 0.6%  
402 0.1% 0.5%  
403 0% 0.4%  
404 0% 0.3%  
405 0.1% 0.3%  
406 0.1% 0.2%  
407 0% 0.1%  
408 0% 0.1%  
409 0% 0.1%  
410 0% 0.1%  
411 0% 0.1%  
412 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 99.9%  
314 0% 99.9%  
315 0% 99.9%  
316 0% 99.9%  
317 0% 99.9%  
318 0% 99.9%  
319 0% 99.8%  
320 0% 99.8%  
321 0.1% 99.8%  
322 0% 99.7%  
323 0.1% 99.7%  
324 0.1% 99.6%  
325 0.1% 99.5%  
326 0.2% 99.5%  
327 0.3% 99.3%  
328 0.1% 99.0%  
329 0.1% 98.9%  
330 0.2% 98.8%  
331 0.2% 98.6%  
332 0.2% 98%  
333 0.3% 98%  
334 0.4% 98%  
335 0.2% 97%  
336 0.3% 97%  
337 0.2% 97%  
338 0.4% 97%  
339 0.3% 96%  
340 0.4% 96%  
341 0.5% 96%  
342 1.1% 95%  
343 0.6% 94%  
344 0.7% 93%  
345 1.2% 93%  
346 0.7% 91%  
347 0.8% 91%  
348 2% 90%  
349 1.2% 88%  
350 1.4% 87%  
351 2% 86%  
352 1.4% 84%  
353 2% 83%  
354 2% 80%  
355 2% 79% Majority
356 3% 77%  
357 3% 74%  
358 3% 71%  
359 4% 68%  
360 4% 64%  
361 2% 60%  
362 4% 58%  
363 3% 53%  
364 2% 50%  
365 5% 48% Median
366 4% 42%  
367 4% 39%  
368 2% 35%  
369 3% 33%  
370 3% 30%  
371 2% 27%  
372 3% 25%  
373 2% 22%  
374 2% 20%  
375 2% 18%  
376 2% 16%  
377 2% 13%  
378 1.4% 12%  
379 2% 10%  
380 1.4% 8%  
381 2% 7%  
382 1.2% 5%  
383 0.5% 4%  
384 0.9% 4%  
385 0.5% 3%  
386 0.3% 2%  
387 0.5% 2%  
388 0.3% 1.4%  
389 0.2% 1.1%  
390 0.3% 0.9%  
391 0.1% 0.7%  
392 0.1% 0.6%  
393 0.1% 0.4%  
394 0.1% 0.4%  
395 0.1% 0.3%  
396 0% 0.2%  
397 0.1% 0.2%  
398 0% 0.1%  
399 0% 0.1%  
400 0% 0.1%  
401 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 99.9%  
311 0% 99.9%  
312 0.1% 99.9%  
313 0% 99.8%  
314 0.1% 99.8%  
315 0.1% 99.7%  
316 0.1% 99.6%  
317 0.1% 99.6%  
318 0.1% 99.4%  
319 0.3% 99.3%  
320 0.2% 99.1%  
321 0.3% 98.9%  
322 0.5% 98.6%  
323 0.3% 98%  
324 0.5% 98%  
325 0.9% 97%  
326 0.5% 96%  
327 1.2% 96%  
328 2% 95%  
329 1.4% 93%  
330 2% 92%  
331 1.4% 90%  
332 2% 88%  
333 2% 87%  
334 2% 84%  
335 2% 82%  
336 2% 80%  
337 3% 78%  
338 2% 75%  
339 3% 73%  
340 3% 70%  
341 2% 67%  
342 4% 65%  
343 4% 61%  
344 5% 58%  
345 2% 52% Median
346 3% 50%  
347 4% 47%  
348 2% 42%  
349 4% 40%  
350 4% 36%  
351 3% 32%  
352 3% 29%  
353 3% 26%  
354 2% 23%  
355 2% 21% Majority
356 2% 20%  
357 1.4% 17%  
358 2% 16%  
359 1.4% 14%  
360 1.2% 13%  
361 2% 12%  
362 0.8% 10%  
363 0.7% 9%  
364 1.2% 9%  
365 0.7% 7%  
366 0.6% 7%  
367 1.1% 6%  
368 0.5% 5%  
369 0.4% 4%  
370 0.3% 4%  
371 0.4% 4%  
372 0.2% 3%  
373 0.3% 3%  
374 0.2% 3%  
375 0.4% 3%  
376 0.3% 2%  
377 0.2% 2%  
378 0.2% 2%  
379 0.2% 1.4%  
380 0.1% 1.2%  
381 0.1% 1.1%  
382 0.3% 1.0%  
383 0.2% 0.7%  
384 0.1% 0.5%  
385 0.1% 0.5%  
386 0.1% 0.4%  
387 0% 0.3%  
388 0.1% 0.3%  
389 0% 0.2%  
390 0% 0.2%  
391 0% 0.2%  
392 0% 0.1%  
393 0% 0.1%  
394 0% 0.1%  
395 0% 0.1%  
396 0% 0.1%  
397 0% 0.1%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 99.9%  
285 0% 99.9%  
286 0% 99.9%  
287 0% 99.8%  
288 0.1% 99.8%  
289 0.2% 99.7%  
290 0.2% 99.5%  
291 0.2% 99.4%  
292 0.2% 99.2%  
293 0.2% 99.0%  
294 0.3% 98.9%  
295 0.5% 98.5%  
296 0.5% 98%  
297 0.4% 98%  
298 0.9% 97%  
299 0.7% 96%  
300 1.3% 96%  
301 0.8% 94%  
302 1.1% 93%  
303 1.2% 92%  
304 2% 91%  
305 2% 89%  
306 2% 87%  
307 2% 84%  
308 2% 83%  
309 1.5% 80%  
310 3% 79%  
311 3% 75%  
312 2% 72%  
313 2% 70%  
314 4% 68%  
315 4% 64%  
316 4% 60%  
317 4% 55%  
318 3% 51%  
319 3% 49% Median
320 4% 46%  
321 4% 41%  
322 3% 37%  
323 3% 35%  
324 2% 32%  
325 3% 30%  
326 2% 27%  
327 3% 24%  
328 1.3% 21%  
329 2% 20%  
330 2% 17%  
331 2% 16%  
332 1.2% 14%  
333 1.2% 12%  
334 1.4% 11%  
335 1.0% 10%  
336 1.4% 9%  
337 0.7% 7%  
338 0.8% 7%  
339 0.5% 6%  
340 0.5% 5%  
341 0.3% 5%  
342 0.6% 4%  
343 0.5% 4%  
344 0.2% 3%  
345 0.4% 3%  
346 0.3% 3%  
347 0.2% 2%  
348 0.6% 2%  
349 0.4% 2%  
350 0.1% 1.3%  
351 0.3% 1.2%  
352 0.1% 0.9%  
353 0.1% 0.8%  
354 0.1% 0.7%  
355 0.1% 0.6% Majority
356 0.1% 0.5%  
357 0.1% 0.4%  
358 0% 0.4%  
359 0.1% 0.3%  
360 0% 0.3%  
361 0% 0.2%  
362 0% 0.2%  
363 0% 0.2%  
364 0% 0.1%  
365 0.1% 0.1%  
366 0% 0.1%  
367 0% 0.1%  
368 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
233 0% 100% Last Result
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 99.9%  
269 0% 99.9%  
270 0% 99.9%  
271 0% 99.9%  
272 0.1% 99.8%  
273 0.1% 99.7%  
274 0.1% 99.7%  
275 0.1% 99.5%  
276 0.2% 99.4%  
277 0.2% 99.2%  
278 0.3% 99.0%  
279 0.5% 98.7%  
280 0.4% 98%  
281 0.6% 98%  
282 0.7% 97%  
283 0.6% 97%  
284 0.6% 96%  
285 1.4% 95%  
286 1.0% 94%  
287 1.3% 93%  
288 1.3% 92%  
289 1.5% 90%  
290 1.0% 89%  
291 2% 88%  
292 3% 86%  
293 2% 83%  
294 2% 81%  
295 2% 79%  
296 5% 77%  
297 3% 72%  
298 2% 69%  
299 4% 67%  
300 4% 63%  
301 3% 59%  
302 4% 57%  
303 4% 52% Median
304 4% 48%  
305 3% 45%  
306 3% 42%  
307 3% 38%  
308 3% 35%  
309 4% 32%  
310 3% 28%  
311 3% 26%  
312 3% 23%  
313 2% 20%  
314 2% 18%  
315 2% 16%  
316 2% 15%  
317 1.3% 13%  
318 1.3% 12%  
319 1.0% 10%  
320 1.4% 9%  
321 1.0% 8%  
322 0.7% 7%  
323 0.8% 6%  
324 0.8% 5%  
325 0.5% 5%  
326 0.5% 4%  
327 0.6% 4%  
328 0.2% 3%  
329 0.5% 3%  
330 0.2% 2%  
331 0.3% 2%  
332 0.2% 2%  
333 0.2% 2%  
334 0.3% 2%  
335 0.3% 1.2%  
336 0.1% 0.9%  
337 0.1% 0.8%  
338 0.1% 0.7%  
339 0.1% 0.6%  
340 0.1% 0.5%  
341 0.1% 0.4%  
342 0.1% 0.3%  
343 0% 0.3%  
344 0.1% 0.2%  
345 0% 0.2%  
346 0% 0.2%  
347 0% 0.1%  
348 0% 0.1%  
349 0% 0.1%  
350 0% 0.1%  
351 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 99.9%  
242 0% 99.9%  
243 0% 99.9%  
244 0% 99.9%  
245 0.1% 99.8%  
246 0.1% 99.7%  
247 0.1% 99.6%  
248 0.2% 99.5%  
249 0.2% 99.3%  
250 0.2% 99.1%  
251 0.2% 98.9%  
252 0.3% 98.6%  
253 0.6% 98%  
254 0.6% 98%  
255 0.7% 97%  
256 0.8% 96%  
257 1.0% 96%  
258 1.0% 95%  
259 2% 94%  
260 1.2% 92%  
261 2% 91%  
262 2% 89%  
263 1.4% 88%  
264 3% 86%  
265 3% 83%  
266 3% 80%  
267 2% 77%  
268 3% 74%  
269 3% 72%  
270 4% 69%  
271 4% 64%  
272 2% 61%  
273 4% 58%  
274 3% 54%  
275 3% 51% Median
276 4% 48%  
277 5% 44%  
278 3% 40%  
279 3% 37%  
280 2% 34%  
281 3% 32%  
282 4% 28%  
283 2% 24%  
284 3% 23%  
285 1.4% 20%  
286 2% 18%  
287 2% 17%  
288 2% 15%  
289 2% 13%  
290 1.3% 11%  
291 1.1% 10%  
292 1.2% 9%  
293 1.1% 8%  
294 0.8% 7%  
295 1.0% 6%  
296 0.7% 5%  
297 0.3% 4%  
298 0.7% 4%  
299 0.4% 3%  
300 0.5% 3%  
301 0.2% 2%  
302 0.4% 2%  
303 0.2% 2%  
304 0.3% 1.5%  
305 0.4% 1.2%  
306 0.1% 0.8%  
307 0.1% 0.7%  
308 0.1% 0.6%  
309 0.1% 0.5%  
310 0.1% 0.4%  
311 0.1% 0.3%  
312 0% 0.3%  
313 0% 0.3% Last Result
314 0% 0.2%  
315 0% 0.2%  
316 0% 0.2%  
317 0% 0.1%  
318 0% 0.1%  
319 0% 0.1%  
320 0% 0.1%  
321 0% 0.1%  
322 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 99.9%  
227 0% 99.9%  
228 0% 99.9%  
229 0.1% 99.9%  
230 0.1% 99.8%  
231 0.1% 99.7%  
232 0.1% 99.6%  
233 0.1% 99.5%  
234 0.1% 99.4%  
235 0.2% 99.3%  
236 0.3% 99.1%  
237 0.4% 98.7%  
238 0.8% 98%  
239 0.7% 98%  
240 0.4% 97%  
241 0.6% 96%  
242 0.8% 96%  
243 1.0% 95%  
244 2% 94%  
245 3% 92%  
246 1.5% 90%  
247 1.4% 88%  
248 2% 87%  
249 1.4% 85%  
250 3% 84%  
251 4% 81%  
252 3% 77%  
253 3% 74%  
254 3% 71%  
255 2% 68%  
256 3% 66%  
257 4% 64%  
258 5% 59%  
259 5% 54% Median
260 4% 50%  
261 2% 46%  
262 2% 43%  
263 3% 42%  
264 6% 38%  
265 3% 32%  
266 4% 29%  
267 2% 26%  
268 2% 23%  
269 2% 21%  
270 1.5% 20%  
271 2% 18%  
272 2% 16%  
273 2% 13%  
274 1.3% 11%  
275 0.9% 10%  
276 0.7% 9%  
277 1.0% 8%  
278 1.3% 7%  
279 1.1% 6%  
280 0.6% 5%  
281 0.6% 4%  
282 0.4% 4%  
283 0.4% 3%  
284 0.3% 3%  
285 0.4% 3%  
286 0.3% 2%  
287 0.5% 2%  
288 0.2% 1.3%  
289 0.1% 1.1%  
290 0.1% 1.0%  
291 0.1% 0.9%  
292 0.3% 0.8%  
293 0.1% 0.5%  
294 0.1% 0.5%  
295 0.1% 0.4%  
296 0% 0.3%  
297 0% 0.3%  
298 0% 0.2%  
299 0% 0.2%  
300 0% 0.1%  
301 0% 0.1%  
302 0% 0.1%  
303 0% 0.1%  
304 0% 0.1%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
191 0% 100%  
192 0% 99.9%  
193 0% 99.9%  
194 0% 99.9%  
195 0% 99.9%  
196 0% 99.9%  
197 0% 99.8%  
198 0.1% 99.8%  
199 0.1% 99.7%  
200 0.1% 99.7%  
201 0.2% 99.6%  
202 0.2% 99.4%  
203 0.2% 99.2%  
204 0.1% 99.0%  
205 0.1% 98.9%  
206 0.1% 98.8%  
207 0.1% 98.7%  
208 0.3% 98.6%  
209 0.1% 98%  
210 0.2% 98%  
211 0.2% 98%  
212 0.3% 98%  
213 0.5% 98%  
214 0.4% 97%  
215 0.2% 97%  
216 0.2% 97%  
217 0.2% 96%  
218 0.4% 96%  
219 0.4% 96%  
220 0.3% 95%  
221 0.3% 95%  
222 0.3% 95% Last Result
223 0.5% 94%  
224 0.2% 94%  
225 0.3% 94%  
226 0.4% 93%  
227 0.5% 93%  
228 0.6% 93%  
229 1.0% 92%  
230 1.0% 91%  
231 0.8% 90%  
232 1.1% 89%  
233 1.3% 88%  
234 1.0% 87%  
235 2% 86%  
236 2% 84%  
237 2% 83%  
238 3% 80%  
239 2% 78%  
240 3% 76%  
241 3% 73%  
242 4% 70%  
243 2% 66%  
244 2% 64%  
245 3% 62%  
246 4% 59%  
247 5% 55%  
248 4% 50% Median
249 4% 46%  
250 4% 42%  
251 4% 38%  
252 3% 35%  
253 2% 31%  
254 3% 29%  
255 2% 26%  
256 3% 24%  
257 3% 21%  
258 3% 18%  
259 2% 15%  
260 2% 13%  
261 1.5% 11%  
262 2% 9%  
263 1.1% 8%  
264 1.2% 7%  
265 0.8% 6%  
266 0.9% 5%  
267 0.6% 4%  
268 0.7% 3%  
269 0.6% 3%  
270 0.4% 2%  
271 0.4% 2%  
272 0.2% 1.2%  
273 0.1% 0.9%  
274 0.1% 0.8%  
275 0.2% 0.7%  
276 0.1% 0.5%  
277 0.1% 0.4%  
278 0.1% 0.2%  
279 0% 0.2%  
280 0% 0.1%  
281 0% 0.1%  
282 0% 0.1%  
283 0% 0.1%  
284 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 99.9%  
213 0% 99.9%  
214 0% 99.9%  
215 0.1% 99.8%  
216 0.1% 99.7%  
217 0.1% 99.6%  
218 0.2% 99.5%  
219 0.2% 99.3%  
220 0.3% 99.1%  
221 0.3% 98.9%  
222 0.4% 98.6%  
223 0.3% 98%  
224 0.6% 98%  
225 0.5% 97%  
226 1.0% 97%  
227 0.8% 96%  
228 2% 95%  
229 2% 93%  
230 2% 91%  
231 2% 90%  
232 1.3% 88%  
233 2% 86%  
234 2% 84%  
235 3% 82%  
236 2% 79%  
237 4% 77%  
238 3% 72%  
239 3% 69%  
240 4% 66%  
241 4% 62%  
242 3% 59%  
243 4% 56%  
244 4% 52% Median
245 4% 48%  
246 3% 45%  
247 3% 41%  
248 3% 39%  
249 4% 36%  
250 4% 32%  
251 3% 28%  
252 4% 25%  
253 3% 22%  
254 3% 19%  
255 1.5% 17%  
256 2% 15%  
257 1.3% 13%  
258 2% 12%  
259 1.4% 10%  
260 1.2% 9%  
261 1.1% 8%  
262 0.7% 7%  
263 0.8% 6%  
264 0.8% 5%  
265 0.7% 4%  
266 0.6% 4%  
267 0.4% 3%  
268 0.3% 3%  
269 0.4% 2%  
270 0.5% 2%  
271 0.2% 2%  
272 0.1% 1.4%  
273 0.2% 1.2%  
274 0.2% 1.0%  
275 0.1% 0.8%  
276 0.2% 0.7%  
277 0.1% 0.5%  
278 0% 0.4%  
279 0% 0.3%  
280 0.1% 0.3%  
281 0% 0.2%  
282 0% 0.2%  
283 0% 0.2%  
284 0% 0.1%  
285 0% 0.1%  
286 0% 0.1%  
287 0% 0.1%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0%  
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations