Opinion Poll by GMS, 8–13 September 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 25.0% 23.3–26.8% 22.8–27.4% 22.4–27.8% 21.6–28.7%
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 18.7% 17.2–20.4% 16.8–20.9% 16.4–21.3% 15.7–22.1%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 16.0% 14.5–17.5% 14.1–18.0% 13.8–18.4% 13.2–19.1%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 13.0% 11.7–14.4% 11.3–14.8% 11.0–15.2% 10.4–15.9%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 11.0% 9.8–12.3% 9.4–12.7% 9.2–13.1% 8.6–13.7%
Die Linke 9.2% 6.0% 5.1–7.1% 4.9–7.4% 4.7–7.6% 4.3–8.2%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 4.3% 3.6–5.2% 3.4–5.5% 3.2–5.7% 2.9–6.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 188 174–202 171–207 168–211 162–218
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 141 129–154 125–157 124–161 117–167
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 120 109–132 106–135 104–139 99–145
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 97 87–109 84–113 82–115 78–120
Alternative für Deutschland 94 82 73–93 70–97 68–99 65–104
Die Linke 69 45 38–53 0–56 0–57 0–61
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 36 30–42 28–44 27–46 25–50

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
153 0% 100% Last Result
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 99.9%  
157 0% 99.9%  
158 0% 99.9%  
159 0.1% 99.8%  
160 0.1% 99.8%  
161 0.1% 99.7%  
162 0.1% 99.6%  
163 0.2% 99.5%  
164 0.2% 99.3%  
165 0.2% 99.1%  
166 0.4% 98.8%  
167 0.4% 98%  
168 0.7% 98%  
169 0.9% 97%  
170 0.9% 96%  
171 1.1% 96%  
172 2% 94%  
173 1.5% 93%  
174 2% 91%  
175 2% 90%  
176 2% 88%  
177 2% 86%  
178 2% 85%  
179 2% 83%  
180 3% 80%  
181 3% 78%  
182 4% 75%  
183 3% 71%  
184 4% 68%  
185 4% 64%  
186 4% 60%  
187 5% 56%  
188 4% 52% Median
189 4% 48%  
190 2% 44%  
191 4% 41%  
192 3% 37%  
193 4% 34%  
194 3% 30%  
195 3% 27%  
196 2% 24%  
197 3% 22%  
198 2% 19%  
199 2% 17%  
200 2% 14%  
201 2% 12%  
202 1.3% 11%  
203 1.3% 10%  
204 1.2% 8%  
205 0.9% 7%  
206 0.9% 6%  
207 0.5% 5%  
208 0.8% 5%  
209 0.5% 4%  
210 0.7% 3%  
211 0.5% 3%  
212 0.4% 2%  
213 0.4% 2%  
214 0.2% 1.3%  
215 0.2% 1.1%  
216 0.2% 0.9%  
217 0.1% 0.7%  
218 0.1% 0.6%  
219 0.1% 0.5%  
220 0.1% 0.4%  
221 0% 0.3%  
222 0.1% 0.3%  
223 0% 0.2%  
224 0.1% 0.2%  
225 0% 0.1%  
226 0% 0.1%  
227 0% 0.1%  
228 0% 0.1%  
229 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 99.9%  
113 0% 99.9%  
114 0% 99.9%  
115 0% 99.9%  
116 0.1% 99.8%  
117 0.2% 99.7%  
118 0.3% 99.5%  
119 0.2% 99.2%  
120 0.2% 99.0%  
121 0.2% 98.7%  
122 0.3% 98%  
123 0.5% 98%  
124 1.1% 98%  
125 2% 97%  
126 2% 95%  
127 1.3% 93%  
128 2% 92%  
129 1.2% 90%  
130 2% 89%  
131 2% 88%  
132 3% 85%  
133 4% 82%  
134 4% 78%  
135 4% 75%  
136 3% 71%  
137 2% 67%  
138 4% 66%  
139 4% 62%  
140 5% 58%  
141 5% 52% Median
142 5% 48%  
143 5% 43%  
144 3% 38%  
145 2% 35%  
146 2% 33%  
147 3% 31%  
148 4% 28%  
149 5% 24%  
150 4% 19%  
151 2% 15%  
152 1.3% 13%  
153 1.3% 12%  
154 1.1% 10%  
155 1.3% 9%  
156 2% 8%  
157 2% 6%  
158 1.4% 5%  
159 0.4% 3%  
160 0.3% 3%  
161 0.3% 3%  
162 0.4% 2%  
163 0.5% 2%  
164 0.6% 2%  
165 0.3% 1.0%  
166 0.1% 0.7%  
167 0.1% 0.5%  
168 0.1% 0.5%  
169 0.1% 0.4%  
170 0.1% 0.3%  
171 0.1% 0.3%  
172 0.1% 0.2%  
173 0% 0.1%  
174 0% 0.1%  
175 0% 0.1%  
176 0% 0%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 99.9%  
95 0.1% 99.9%  
96 0.1% 99.8%  
97 0.1% 99.8%  
98 0.2% 99.7%  
99 0.2% 99.5%  
100 0.3% 99.3%  
101 0.3% 99.0%  
102 0.5% 98.7%  
103 0.6% 98%  
104 0.8% 98%  
105 1.1% 97%  
106 1.4% 96%  
107 1.4% 94%  
108 2% 93%  
109 3% 91%  
110 3% 89%  
111 3% 86%  
112 3% 83%  
113 4% 80%  
114 3% 77%  
115 4% 73%  
116 3% 69%  
117 4% 66%  
118 4% 62%  
119 4% 58%  
120 5% 54% Median
121 5% 49%  
122 5% 44%  
123 4% 40%  
124 4% 36%  
125 4% 31%  
126 4% 28%  
127 3% 24%  
128 3% 21%  
129 2% 18%  
130 2% 15%  
131 2% 13%  
132 2% 11%  
133 1.3% 9%  
134 1.5% 8%  
135 1.2% 6%  
136 0.9% 5%  
137 0.7% 4%  
138 0.9% 3%  
139 0.5% 3%  
140 0.4% 2%  
141 0.3% 2%  
142 0.4% 1.3%  
143 0.2% 0.9%  
144 0.1% 0.7%  
145 0.1% 0.6%  
146 0.1% 0.4%  
147 0.1% 0.3%  
148 0.1% 0.2%  
149 0% 0.2%  
150 0% 0.1%  
151 0% 0.1%  
152 0% 0.1%  
153 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 99.9%  
75 0.1% 99.9%  
76 0.1% 99.8%  
77 0.1% 99.7%  
78 0.2% 99.6%  
79 0.3% 99.4%  
80 0.4% 99.1% Last Result
81 0.6% 98.7%  
82 0.7% 98%  
83 1.2% 97%  
84 2% 96%  
85 2% 95%  
86 2% 93%  
87 3% 91%  
88 3% 88%  
89 3% 85%  
90 4% 82%  
91 4% 78%  
92 4% 75%  
93 4% 71%  
94 5% 67%  
95 4% 62%  
96 4% 58%  
97 4% 54% Median
98 5% 50%  
99 4% 45%  
100 4% 41%  
101 4% 37%  
102 4% 33%  
103 3% 29%  
104 3% 26%  
105 3% 23%  
106 3% 20%  
107 2% 17%  
108 3% 15%  
109 3% 12%  
110 2% 9%  
111 1.3% 7%  
112 1.1% 6%  
113 1.2% 5%  
114 0.9% 4%  
115 0.6% 3%  
116 0.6% 2%  
117 0.4% 2%  
118 0.4% 1.3%  
119 0.2% 0.9%  
120 0.2% 0.7%  
121 0.2% 0.5%  
122 0.1% 0.3%  
123 0.1% 0.2%  
124 0.1% 0.2%  
125 0% 0.1%  
126 0% 0.1%  
127 0% 0.1%  
128 0% 0%  

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100%  
61 0% 99.9%  
62 0.1% 99.9%  
63 0.1% 99.8%  
64 0.2% 99.7%  
65 0.3% 99.5%  
66 0.5% 99.2%  
67 0.6% 98.8%  
68 0.8% 98%  
69 1.2% 97%  
70 1.5% 96%  
71 1.5% 95%  
72 2% 93%  
73 2% 91%  
74 4% 89%  
75 4% 84%  
76 4% 80%  
77 4% 77%  
78 4% 73%  
79 5% 68%  
80 4% 64%  
81 5% 60%  
82 5% 55% Median
83 5% 49%  
84 4% 44%  
85 5% 41%  
86 4% 36%  
87 4% 32%  
88 3% 28%  
89 3% 25%  
90 4% 22%  
91 2% 17%  
92 3% 15%  
93 2% 12%  
94 2% 10% Last Result
95 1.4% 8%  
96 1.0% 6%  
97 1.4% 5%  
98 0.7% 4%  
99 1.1% 3%  
100 0.7% 2%  
101 0.3% 1.5%  
102 0.3% 1.1%  
103 0.2% 0.8%  
104 0.1% 0.6%  
105 0.2% 0.4%  
106 0.1% 0.2%  
107 0.1% 0.2%  
108 0% 0.1%  
109 0% 0.1%  
110 0% 0.1%  
111 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 8% 100%  
1 0% 92%  
2 0% 92%  
3 0% 92%  
4 0% 92%  
5 0% 92%  
6 0% 92%  
7 0% 92%  
8 0% 92%  
9 0% 92%  
10 0% 92%  
11 0% 92%  
12 0% 92%  
13 0% 92%  
14 0% 92%  
15 0% 92%  
16 0% 92%  
17 0% 92%  
18 0% 92%  
19 0% 92%  
20 0% 92%  
21 0% 92%  
22 0% 92%  
23 0% 92%  
24 0% 92%  
25 0% 92%  
26 0% 92%  
27 0% 92%  
28 0% 92%  
29 0% 92%  
30 0% 92%  
31 0% 92%  
32 0% 92%  
33 0% 92%  
34 0% 92%  
35 0% 92%  
36 0% 92%  
37 0.2% 92%  
38 3% 91%  
39 4% 89%  
40 6% 85%  
41 5% 79%  
42 6% 74%  
43 6% 69%  
44 7% 62%  
45 7% 56% Median
46 6% 49%  
47 6% 43%  
48 6% 36%  
49 6% 30%  
50 5% 25%  
51 4% 20%  
52 4% 16%  
53 2% 12%  
54 3% 10%  
55 2% 7%  
56 2% 5%  
57 1.0% 3%  
58 0.8% 2%  
59 0.5% 2%  
60 0.4% 1.1%  
61 0.3% 0.7%  
62 0.2% 0.4%  
63 0.1% 0.3%  
64 0.1% 0.2%  
65 0% 0.1%  
66 0% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.1% 100%  
23 0.1% 99.9%  
24 0.2% 99.8%  
25 0.5% 99.6%  
26 1.2% 99.1%  
27 1.2% 98%  
28 3% 97%  
29 3% 94%  
30 4% 91%  
31 7% 88%  
32 5% 80%  
33 9% 76%  
34 8% 67%  
35 7% 59%  
36 11% 53% Median
37 6% 42%  
38 7% 36%  
39 6% 29%  
40 5% 23%  
41 5% 18%  
42 3% 13%  
43 3% 10%  
44 2% 7%  
45 1.2% 5%  
46 1.2% 3% Last Result
47 0.6% 2%  
48 0.6% 2%  
49 0.4% 1.0%  
50 0.2% 0.6%  
51 0.2% 0.4%  
52 0.1% 0.2%  
53 0.1% 0.1%  
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 484 100% 470–504 465–511 463–516 456–535
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 462 100% 447–480 443–490 439–499 433–509
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 405 100% 390–424 386–433 382–439 375–451
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 394 100% 379–413 375–420 371–426 364–437
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 365 80% 349–383 345–389 341–395 334–405
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 357 57% 341–376 337–382 333–388 327–399
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Die Linke 289 352 43% 333–368 327–372 321–376 310–382
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 220 308 0.1% 293–325 289–331 285–336 278–345
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 297 0% 281–314 277–319 274–322 267–334
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 285 0% 270–303 266–309 262–313 256–324
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 274 0% 260–291 256–296 252–301 245–311
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 260 0% 245–276 241–281 238–285 231–295
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 232 0% 213–247 202–251 195–255 184–262

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
448 0% 100%  
449 0% 99.9%  
450 0% 99.9%  
451 0.1% 99.9%  
452 0.1% 99.8%  
453 0% 99.7%  
454 0% 99.7%  
455 0% 99.6%  
456 0.2% 99.6%  
457 0.3% 99.5%  
458 0.5% 99.1%  
459 0.4% 98.6%  
460 0.1% 98%  
461 0.1% 98%  
462 0.2% 98%  
463 0.8% 98%  
464 2% 97%  
465 2% 95%  
466 0.9% 94% Last Result
467 0.2% 93%  
468 0.3% 93%  
469 1.4% 92%  
470 3% 91%  
471 4% 88%  
472 3% 84%  
473 0.9% 81%  
474 0.3% 80%  
475 0.7% 80%  
476 3% 79%  
477 6% 76%  
478 5% 69%  
479 3% 65%  
480 0.7% 62%  
481 0.5% 61%  
482 2% 61%  
483 4% 58%  
484 5% 54%  
485 5% 49% Median
486 2% 45%  
487 0.4% 43%  
488 0.4% 42%  
489 3% 42%  
490 5% 39%  
491 5% 34%  
492 2% 30%  
493 1.0% 27%  
494 0.2% 26%  
495 1.2% 26%  
496 3% 25%  
497 3% 22%  
498 3% 19%  
499 1.0% 15%  
500 0.2% 14%  
501 0.3% 14%  
502 1.0% 14%  
503 2% 13%  
504 2% 11%  
505 0.7% 10%  
506 0.3% 9%  
507 0.2% 9%  
508 0.6% 9%  
509 0.9% 8%  
510 1.1% 7%  
511 1.0% 6%  
512 0.3% 5%  
513 0.3% 5%  
514 0.3% 4%  
515 0.8% 4%  
516 0.9% 3%  
517 0.6% 2%  
518 0.1% 2%  
519 0.2% 2%  
520 0.2% 1.4%  
521 0.2% 1.2%  
522 0.1% 1.0%  
523 0% 0.9%  
524 0% 0.9%  
525 0% 0.8%  
526 0% 0.8%  
527 0% 0.8%  
528 0% 0.8%  
529 0% 0.7%  
530 0% 0.7%  
531 0% 0.7%  
532 0.1% 0.7%  
533 0.1% 0.6%  
534 0% 0.5%  
535 0% 0.5%  
536 0.1% 0.5%  
537 0.1% 0.4%  
538 0.1% 0.3%  
539 0% 0.2%  
540 0% 0.2%  
541 0% 0.1%  
542 0% 0.1%  
543 0% 0.1%  
544 0% 0.1%  
545 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 99.9%  
427 0% 99.9%  
428 0% 99.9%  
429 0.1% 99.8%  
430 0.1% 99.8%  
431 0.1% 99.7%  
432 0.1% 99.6%  
433 0.1% 99.5%  
434 0.2% 99.4%  
435 0.2% 99.2%  
436 0.3% 99.0%  
437 0.3% 98.7%  
438 0.5% 98%  
439 0.4% 98%  
440 0.7% 97%  
441 0.5% 97%  
442 0.8% 96%  
443 0.9% 95%  
444 1.0% 95%  
445 1.1% 94%  
446 1.3% 93%  
447 1.4% 91%  
448 2% 90%  
449 2% 88%  
450 3% 87%  
451 2% 84%  
452 2% 82%  
453 3% 80%  
454 2% 76%  
455 4% 74%  
456 3% 70%  
457 3% 67%  
458 3% 65%  
459 3% 61%  
460 3% 59%  
461 4% 56%  
462 3% 52% Median
463 4% 49%  
464 4% 45%  
465 3% 41%  
466 3% 38%  
467 4% 36%  
468 3% 32%  
469 3% 29%  
470 2% 26%  
471 2% 25%  
472 2% 23%  
473 2% 20%  
474 2% 19%  
475 1.1% 17%  
476 2% 16%  
477 1.0% 14%  
478 1.2% 13%  
479 1.2% 12% Last Result
480 0.8% 11%  
481 0.6% 10%  
482 0.6% 9%  
483 0.5% 9%  
484 0.5% 8%  
485 0.6% 8%  
486 0.6% 7%  
487 0.4% 7%  
488 0.3% 6%  
489 0.5% 6%  
490 0.5% 5%  
491 0.4% 5%  
492 0.2% 4%  
493 0.2% 4%  
494 0.4% 4%  
495 0.2% 4%  
496 0.3% 3%  
497 0.1% 3%  
498 0.4% 3%  
499 0.2% 3%  
500 0.1% 2%  
501 0.5% 2%  
502 0.3% 2%  
503 0.1% 2%  
504 0.2% 1.4%  
505 0.3% 1.3%  
506 0.2% 0.9%  
507 0.1% 0.7%  
508 0.1% 0.6%  
509 0.1% 0.6%  
510 0.1% 0.4%  
511 0.1% 0.4%  
512 0% 0.3%  
513 0.1% 0.3%  
514 0.1% 0.2%  
515 0% 0.2%  
516 0% 0.1%  
517 0% 0.1%  
518 0% 0.1%  
519 0% 0.1%  
520 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
300 0% 100% Last Result
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 99.9%  
369 0% 99.9%  
370 0% 99.9%  
371 0% 99.9%  
372 0.1% 99.8%  
373 0.1% 99.7%  
374 0.1% 99.7%  
375 0.1% 99.6%  
376 0.2% 99.4%  
377 0.1% 99.3%  
378 0.2% 99.1%  
379 0.4% 98.9%  
380 0.3% 98.6%  
381 0.4% 98%  
382 0.4% 98%  
383 0.8% 97%  
384 0.7% 97%  
385 0.8% 96%  
386 0.7% 95%  
387 0.9% 95%  
388 1.3% 94%  
389 1.1% 92%  
390 2% 91%  
391 1.2% 89%  
392 2% 88%  
393 2% 86%  
394 2% 84%  
395 2% 82%  
396 3% 80%  
397 3% 77%  
398 2% 74%  
399 3% 72%  
400 3% 69%  
401 4% 66%  
402 2% 62%  
403 4% 60%  
404 3% 56%  
405 4% 53% Median
406 3% 49%  
407 3% 45%  
408 3% 43%  
409 3% 40%  
410 3% 37%  
411 3% 34%  
412 2% 32%  
413 2% 29%  
414 2% 27%  
415 2% 25%  
416 2% 22%  
417 2% 20%  
418 2% 19%  
419 2% 17%  
420 1.4% 16%  
421 1.1% 14%  
422 1.3% 13%  
423 0.7% 12%  
424 2% 11%  
425 0.7% 9%  
426 0.7% 9%  
427 0.5% 8%  
428 0.8% 7%  
429 0.6% 7%  
430 0.5% 6%  
431 0.2% 6%  
432 0.2% 5%  
433 0.7% 5%  
434 0.6% 4%  
435 0.4% 4%  
436 0.2% 3%  
437 0.1% 3%  
438 0.5% 3%  
439 0.3% 3%  
440 0.4% 2%  
441 0.1% 2%  
442 0.1% 2%  
443 0.1% 2%  
444 0.3% 2%  
445 0.3% 1.3%  
446 0.1% 1.0%  
447 0.1% 0.9%  
448 0% 0.8%  
449 0.2% 0.8%  
450 0.1% 0.6%  
451 0.2% 0.6%  
452 0% 0.4%  
453 0% 0.4%  
454 0.1% 0.4%  
455 0.1% 0.3%  
456 0.1% 0.2%  
457 0% 0.1%  
458 0% 0.1%  
459 0% 0.1%  
460 0% 0.1%  
461 0% 0.1%  
462 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 99.9%  
358 0% 99.9%  
359 0% 99.9%  
360 0% 99.9%  
361 0.1% 99.8%  
362 0.1% 99.7%  
363 0.1% 99.7%  
364 0.1% 99.6%  
365 0.1% 99.4%  
366 0.2% 99.3%  
367 0.3% 99.1%  
368 0.3% 98.8%  
369 0.3% 98.6%  
370 0.5% 98%  
371 0.4% 98%  
372 0.4% 97%  
373 0.8% 97%  
374 0.9% 96%  
375 1.0% 95%  
376 1.2% 94%  
377 1.1% 93%  
378 1.4% 92%  
379 1.5% 91%  
380 1.5% 89%  
381 2% 88%  
382 2% 86%  
383 3% 84%  
384 2% 81%  
385 3% 79%  
386 2% 77%  
387 2% 74%  
388 4% 72%  
389 3% 68%  
390 3% 65%  
391 3% 62%  
392 3% 59%  
393 3% 55% Last Result
394 3% 53% Median
395 3% 50%  
396 4% 46%  
397 3% 42%  
398 3% 40%  
399 3% 37%  
400 2% 34%  
401 3% 32%  
402 2% 29%  
403 2% 27%  
404 3% 25%  
405 2% 22%  
406 1.4% 20%  
407 2% 19%  
408 1.2% 16%  
409 2% 15%  
410 1.2% 13%  
411 0.9% 12%  
412 1.0% 11%  
413 0.9% 10%  
414 0.7% 9%  
415 0.9% 9%  
416 0.7% 8%  
417 0.5% 7%  
418 0.8% 7%  
419 0.7% 6%  
420 0.6% 5%  
421 0.4% 4%  
422 0.5% 4%  
423 0.2% 4%  
424 0.5% 3%  
425 0.2% 3%  
426 0.3% 3%  
427 0.2% 2%  
428 0.3% 2%  
429 0.2% 2%  
430 0.1% 2%  
431 0.1% 2%  
432 0.1% 1.5%  
433 0.4% 1.4%  
434 0.1% 0.9%  
435 0.1% 0.8%  
436 0.1% 0.7%  
437 0.1% 0.6%  
438 0% 0.5%  
439 0.1% 0.4%  
440 0.1% 0.4%  
441 0% 0.3%  
442 0.1% 0.3%  
443 0% 0.2%  
444 0% 0.2%  
445 0% 0.2%  
446 0% 0.1%  
447 0% 0.1%  
448 0% 0.1%  
449 0% 0.1%  
450 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 99.9%  
328 0% 99.9%  
329 0% 99.9%  
330 0% 99.8%  
331 0.1% 99.8%  
332 0.1% 99.7%  
333 0.1% 99.7%  
334 0.1% 99.6%  
335 0.1% 99.4%  
336 0.2% 99.3%  
337 0.3% 99.1%  
338 0.2% 98.8%  
339 0.3% 98.6%  
340 0.5% 98%  
341 0.5% 98%  
342 0.5% 97%  
343 0.6% 97%  
344 0.8% 96%  
345 0.9% 95%  
346 1.0% 94%  
347 1.1% 93%  
348 1.4% 92%  
349 1.3% 91%  
350 2% 90%  
351 1.4% 88%  
352 2% 86%  
353 3% 84%  
354 2% 82%  
355 2% 80% Majority
356 2% 78%  
357 4% 76%  
358 3% 72%  
359 3% 69%  
360 3% 67%  
361 3% 64%  
362 3% 60%  
363 3% 57%  
364 4% 54%  
365 2% 50% Median
366 3% 48%  
367 3% 44%  
368 2% 41%  
369 3% 39%  
370 3% 36%  
371 2% 33%  
372 3% 31%  
373 2% 28%  
374 2% 27%  
375 3% 24%  
376 2% 21%  
377 2% 20%  
378 1.2% 17%  
379 2% 16%  
380 1.3% 14%  
381 2% 13%  
382 0.6% 11%  
383 1.0% 10%  
384 0.7% 9%  
385 2% 9%  
386 0.5% 7%  
387 0.7% 7%  
388 0.6% 6%  
389 0.6% 5%  
390 0.4% 5%  
391 1.0% 4%  
392 0.4% 3%  
393 0.3% 3%  
394 0.1% 3%  
395 0.4% 3%  
396 0.3% 2%  
397 0.4% 2%  
398 0.2% 1.5%  
399 0.1% 1.3% Last Result
400 0.1% 1.2%  
401 0.2% 1.1%  
402 0.1% 0.9%  
403 0.2% 0.8%  
404 0.1% 0.6%  
405 0% 0.5%  
406 0.1% 0.5%  
407 0.1% 0.4%  
408 0% 0.3%  
409 0% 0.3%  
410 0% 0.2%  
411 0% 0.2%  
412 0% 0.2%  
413 0% 0.2%  
414 0% 0.1%  
415 0% 0.1%  
416 0% 0.1%  
417 0% 0.1%  
418 0% 0.1%  
419 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 99.9%  
320 0% 99.9%  
321 0% 99.9%  
322 0% 99.9%  
323 0.1% 99.8%  
324 0.1% 99.8%  
325 0.1% 99.7%  
326 0.1% 99.6%  
327 0.2% 99.5%  
328 0.1% 99.3%  
329 0.2% 99.2%  
330 0.3% 99.0%  
331 0.4% 98.7%  
332 0.4% 98%  
333 0.7% 98%  
334 0.6% 97%  
335 0.6% 96%  
336 0.7% 96%  
337 0.8% 95%  
338 1.2% 94%  
339 0.8% 93%  
340 2% 92%  
341 2% 91%  
342 2% 89%  
343 2% 87%  
344 2% 85%  
345 2% 83%  
346 2% 82%  
347 2% 80%  
348 3% 78%  
349 3% 75%  
350 4% 73%  
351 3% 69%  
352 3% 66%  
353 3% 63%  
354 4% 60%  
355 2% 57% Majority
356 3% 54% Median
357 2% 52%  
358 4% 49%  
359 4% 46%  
360 3% 42%  
361 3% 39%  
362 3% 36%  
363 2% 33%  
364 2% 30%  
365 2% 28%  
366 2% 27%  
367 2% 24%  
368 2% 22%  
369 2% 20%  
370 2% 18%  
371 2% 16%  
372 1.3% 15%  
373 1.0% 13%  
374 1.1% 12%  
375 0.9% 11%  
376 0.9% 10%  
377 1.3% 9%  
378 0.5% 8%  
379 0.9% 8%  
380 0.6% 7%  
381 0.6% 6%  
382 0.7% 5%  
383 0.3% 5%  
384 0.4% 4%  
385 0.4% 4%  
386 0.5% 4%  
387 0.3% 3%  
388 0.5% 3%  
389 0.2% 2%  
390 0.3% 2%  
391 0.2% 2%  
392 0.2% 2%  
393 0.1% 1.4%  
394 0.1% 1.3%  
395 0.1% 1.2%  
396 0.1% 1.0%  
397 0.1% 0.9%  
398 0.1% 0.8%  
399 0.2% 0.7%  
400 0.1% 0.5%  
401 0% 0.4%  
402 0% 0.3%  
403 0.1% 0.3%  
404 0% 0.2%  
405 0% 0.2%  
406 0% 0.2%  
407 0% 0.1%  
408 0% 0.1%  
409 0% 0.1%  
410 0% 0.1%  
411 0% 0.1%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 99.9%  
300 0% 99.9%  
301 0% 99.9%  
302 0% 99.9%  
303 0% 99.9%  
304 0% 99.8%  
305 0% 99.8%  
306 0.1% 99.8%  
307 0% 99.7%  
308 0% 99.7%  
309 0.1% 99.6%  
310 0.2% 99.5%  
311 0.1% 99.3%  
312 0.1% 99.2%  
313 0.1% 99.1%  
314 0.1% 99.0%  
315 0.1% 98.8%  
316 0.1% 98.7%  
317 0.2% 98.6%  
318 0.2% 98%  
319 0.3% 98%  
320 0.2% 98%  
321 0.5% 98%  
322 0.3% 97%  
323 0.5% 97%  
324 0.4% 96%  
325 0.4% 96%  
326 0.3% 96%  
327 0.7% 95%  
328 0.6% 95%  
329 0.6% 94%  
330 0.9% 93%  
331 0.5% 92%  
332 1.3% 92%  
333 0.9% 91%  
334 0.9% 90%  
335 1.1% 89%  
336 1.0% 88%  
337 1.3% 87%  
338 2% 85%  
339 2% 84%  
340 2% 82%  
341 2% 80%  
342 2% 78%  
343 2% 76%  
344 2% 73%  
345 2% 72%  
346 2% 70%  
347 3% 67%  
348 3% 64%  
349 3% 61%  
350 4% 58%  
351 4% 54%  
352 2% 51%  
353 3% 48% Median
354 2% 46%  
355 4% 43% Majority
356 3% 40%  
357 3% 37%  
358 3% 34%  
359 4% 31%  
360 3% 27%  
361 3% 25%  
362 2% 22%  
363 2% 20%  
364 2% 18%  
365 2% 17%  
366 2% 15%  
367 2% 13%  
368 2% 11%  
369 2% 9%  
370 0.8% 8%  
371 1.2% 7%  
372 0.8% 6%  
373 0.7% 5%  
374 0.6% 4%  
375 0.6% 4%  
376 0.7% 3%  
377 0.4% 2%  
378 0.4% 2%  
379 0.3% 1.3%  
380 0.2% 1.0%  
381 0.1% 0.8%  
382 0.2% 0.7%  
383 0.1% 0.5%  
384 0.1% 0.4%  
385 0.1% 0.3%  
386 0.1% 0.2%  
387 0% 0.2%  
388 0% 0.1%  
389 0% 0.1%  
390 0% 0.1%  
391 0% 0.1%  
392 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 99.9%  
272 0% 99.9%  
273 0% 99.9%  
274 0.1% 99.9%  
275 0% 99.8%  
276 0.1% 99.8%  
277 0.1% 99.7%  
278 0.2% 99.6%  
279 0.1% 99.4%  
280 0.3% 99.3%  
281 0.2% 99.1%  
282 0.3% 98.9%  
283 0.3% 98.6%  
284 0.6% 98%  
285 0.3% 98%  
286 0.7% 97%  
287 0.6% 97%  
288 0.7% 96%  
289 0.9% 95%  
290 0.8% 94%  
291 2% 94%  
292 1.2% 92%  
293 2% 91%  
294 2% 89%  
295 2% 87%  
296 2% 86%  
297 3% 84%  
298 2% 81%  
299 3% 79%  
300 2% 76%  
301 3% 73%  
302 2% 70%  
303 4% 69%  
304 3% 64%  
305 3% 62%  
306 2% 59%  
307 4% 56%  
308 2% 52% Median
309 4% 50%  
310 3% 45%  
311 4% 43%  
312 1.4% 39%  
313 5% 37%  
314 1.5% 32%  
315 3% 31%  
316 1.1% 27%  
317 3% 26%  
318 0.9% 23%  
319 4% 22%  
320 0.6% 18%  
321 3% 18%  
322 0.9% 15%  
323 2% 14%  
324 0.8% 12%  
325 2% 11%  
326 0.6% 10%  
327 1.5% 9%  
328 0.7% 7%  
329 0.9% 7%  
330 0.7% 6%  
331 0.5% 5%  
332 0.9% 5%  
333 0.4% 4%  
334 0.3% 3%  
335 0.5% 3%  
336 0.3% 3%  
337 0.3% 2%  
338 0.3% 2%  
339 0.2% 2%  
340 0.3% 1.4%  
341 0.1% 1.2%  
342 0.1% 1.0%  
343 0.1% 0.9%  
344 0.1% 0.8%  
345 0.2% 0.7%  
346 0.1% 0.5%  
347 0% 0.4%  
348 0.1% 0.3%  
349 0% 0.3%  
350 0% 0.2%  
351 0% 0.2%  
352 0% 0.2%  
353 0% 0.1%  
354 0% 0.1%  
355 0% 0.1% Majority
356 0% 0.1%  
357 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 99.9%  
261 0% 99.9%  
262 0.1% 99.9%  
263 0% 99.8%  
264 0.1% 99.8%  
265 0.1% 99.7%  
266 0.1% 99.7%  
267 0.1% 99.5%  
268 0.2% 99.4%  
269 0.2% 99.2%  
270 0.2% 99.0%  
271 0.3% 98.8%  
272 0.4% 98.5%  
273 0.4% 98%  
274 0.8% 98%  
275 0.9% 97%  
276 0.6% 96%  
277 0.7% 95%  
278 1.1% 95%  
279 1.5% 93%  
280 2% 92%  
281 2% 90%  
282 1.3% 88%  
283 1.4% 87%  
284 2% 86%  
285 2% 84%  
286 2% 82%  
287 2% 79%  
288 2% 77%  
289 2% 74%  
290 3% 72%  
291 3% 69%  
292 3% 66%  
293 3% 63%  
294 2% 60%  
295 3% 58%  
296 2% 55%  
297 4% 53% Median
298 2% 49%  
299 3% 47%  
300 3% 43%  
301 2% 41%  
302 2% 38%  
303 2% 36%  
304 3% 33%  
305 3% 30%  
306 2% 28%  
307 2% 25%  
308 2% 23%  
309 3% 21%  
310 2% 18%  
311 2% 16%  
312 2% 14%  
313 1.2% 12% Last Result
314 2% 11%  
315 2% 9%  
316 0.8% 8%  
317 1.1% 7%  
318 0.9% 6%  
319 0.8% 5%  
320 0.8% 4%  
321 0.7% 4%  
322 0.5% 3%  
323 0.3% 2%  
324 0.3% 2%  
325 0.2% 2%  
326 0.2% 2%  
327 0.3% 1.3%  
328 0.1% 1.1%  
329 0.1% 0.9%  
330 0% 0.8%  
331 0.1% 0.8%  
332 0.1% 0.7%  
333 0% 0.6%  
334 0.1% 0.6%  
335 0% 0.5%  
336 0% 0.4%  
337 0% 0.4%  
338 0% 0.3%  
339 0% 0.3%  
340 0.1% 0.3%  
341 0% 0.2%  
342 0% 0.2%  
343 0% 0.2%  
344 0% 0.1%  
345 0% 0.1%  
346 0% 0.1%  
347 0% 0.1%  
348 0% 0.1%  
349 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
233 0% 100% Last Result
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 99.9%  
250 0% 99.9%  
251 0% 99.9%  
252 0% 99.9%  
253 0.1% 99.8%  
254 0.1% 99.8%  
255 0.1% 99.7%  
256 0.1% 99.6%  
257 0.1% 99.4%  
258 0.2% 99.3%  
259 0.3% 99.1%  
260 0.4% 98.8%  
261 0.4% 98%  
262 0.5% 98%  
263 0.5% 97%  
264 0.6% 97%  
265 0.7% 96%  
266 0.7% 96%  
267 1.1% 95%  
268 1.0% 94%  
269 2% 93%  
270 1.3% 91%  
271 2% 89%  
272 2% 87%  
273 3% 86%  
274 2% 83%  
275 2% 81%  
276 2% 79%  
277 2% 77%  
278 3% 74%  
279 3% 72%  
280 2% 69%  
281 4% 66%  
282 3% 63%  
283 4% 60%  
284 3% 56%  
285 4% 53% Median
286 4% 49%  
287 3% 46%  
288 2% 43%  
289 3% 40%  
290 3% 37%  
291 3% 35%  
292 2% 32%  
293 2% 29%  
294 2% 27%  
295 3% 25%  
296 2% 22%  
297 2% 20%  
298 2% 19%  
299 2% 17%  
300 1.4% 15%  
301 1.1% 13%  
302 1.4% 12%  
303 2% 11%  
304 1.0% 9%  
305 0.9% 8%  
306 0.6% 8%  
307 0.9% 7%  
308 0.9% 6%  
309 0.8% 5%  
310 0.4% 4%  
311 0.6% 4%  
312 0.3% 3%  
313 0.6% 3%  
314 0.3% 2%  
315 0.2% 2%  
316 0.3% 2%  
317 0.2% 2%  
318 0.2% 1.4%  
319 0.1% 1.2%  
320 0.2% 1.1%  
321 0.1% 0.9%  
322 0.1% 0.9%  
323 0.2% 0.7%  
324 0.1% 0.6%  
325 0.1% 0.4%  
326 0.1% 0.4%  
327 0.1% 0.3%  
328 0% 0.2%  
329 0% 0.2%  
330 0% 0.2%  
331 0% 0.1%  
332 0% 0.1%  
333 0% 0.1%  
334 0% 0.1%  
335 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 99.9%  
240 0% 99.9%  
241 0% 99.9%  
242 0% 99.8%  
243 0.1% 99.8%  
244 0.1% 99.7%  
245 0.1% 99.6%  
246 0.2% 99.5%  
247 0.2% 99.3%  
248 0.1% 99.1%  
249 0.3% 99.0%  
250 0.4% 98.7%  
251 0.4% 98%  
252 0.6% 98%  
253 0.7% 97%  
254 0.8% 97%  
255 0.8% 96%  
256 0.8% 95%  
257 1.3% 94%  
258 1.1% 93%  
259 2% 92%  
260 2% 90%  
261 2% 88%  
262 2% 87%  
263 2% 85%  
264 2% 83%  
265 3% 81%  
266 3% 78%  
267 3% 75%  
268 4% 72%  
269 3% 68%  
270 3% 66%  
271 3% 62%  
272 3% 59%  
273 3% 56%  
274 3% 53% Median
275 3% 50%  
276 3% 46%  
277 3% 43%  
278 3% 40%  
279 4% 37%  
280 2% 34%  
281 3% 31%  
282 3% 28%  
283 2% 25%  
284 3% 24%  
285 3% 21%  
286 1.3% 18%  
287 1.4% 17%  
288 2% 16%  
289 2% 14%  
290 1.4% 11%  
291 1.2% 10%  
292 1.1% 9%  
293 0.9% 8%  
294 0.7% 7%  
295 0.8% 6%  
296 0.6% 5%  
297 0.5% 5%  
298 0.8% 4%  
299 0.4% 3%  
300 0.3% 3%  
301 0.4% 3%  
302 0.4% 2%  
303 0.2% 2%  
304 0.3% 2%  
305 0.1% 2%  
306 0.4% 1.4%  
307 0.2% 1.1%  
308 0.1% 0.8%  
309 0.1% 0.8%  
310 0.1% 0.7%  
311 0.1% 0.6%  
312 0.1% 0.5%  
313 0.1% 0.4%  
314 0% 0.3%  
315 0% 0.3%  
316 0.1% 0.2%  
317 0% 0.2%  
318 0% 0.1%  
319 0% 0.1%  
320 0% 0.1%  
321 0% 0.1%  
322 0% 0.1%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 99.9%  
225 0% 99.9%  
226 0.1% 99.9%  
227 0.1% 99.8%  
228 0% 99.8%  
229 0.1% 99.8%  
230 0.1% 99.7%  
231 0.2% 99.6%  
232 0.2% 99.4%  
233 0.1% 99.2%  
234 0.2% 99.1%  
235 0.4% 98.9%  
236 0.4% 98.6%  
237 0.6% 98%  
238 0.5% 98%  
239 0.4% 97%  
240 0.8% 97%  
241 1.5% 96%  
242 1.4% 94%  
243 1.1% 93%  
244 1.3% 92%  
245 2% 91%  
246 2% 89%  
247 2% 86%  
248 2% 85%  
249 2% 82%  
250 2% 81%  
251 3% 78%  
252 4% 76%  
253 2% 72%  
254 2% 69%  
255 3% 67%  
256 4% 65%  
257 3% 60%  
258 3% 57%  
259 2% 54% Median
260 4% 52%  
261 4% 48%  
262 4% 44%  
263 3% 40%  
264 3% 37%  
265 2% 34%  
266 4% 32%  
267 4% 28%  
268 2% 24%  
269 2% 22%  
270 2% 20%  
271 2% 18%  
272 2% 16%  
273 2% 14%  
274 1.0% 12%  
275 1.2% 11%  
276 1.3% 10%  
277 1.2% 9%  
278 0.9% 8%  
279 0.5% 7%  
280 0.8% 6%  
281 0.9% 5%  
282 0.9% 4%  
283 0.3% 4%  
284 0.3% 3%  
285 0.5% 3%  
286 0.4% 2%  
287 0.4% 2%  
288 0.2% 2%  
289 0.2% 1.5%  
290 0.2% 1.3%  
291 0.2% 1.1%  
292 0.2% 0.9%  
293 0.1% 0.7%  
294 0% 0.6%  
295 0.1% 0.6%  
296 0.1% 0.5%  
297 0.1% 0.4%  
298 0.1% 0.3%  
299 0% 0.3%  
300 0% 0.2%  
301 0.1% 0.2%  
302 0% 0.2%  
303 0% 0.1%  
304 0% 0.1%  
305 0% 0.1%  
306 0% 0.1%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0%  
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
174 0% 100%  
175 0% 99.9%  
176 0% 99.9%  
177 0% 99.9%  
178 0% 99.9%  
179 0% 99.8%  
180 0.1% 99.8%  
181 0% 99.7%  
182 0% 99.7%  
183 0.1% 99.6%  
184 0.1% 99.5%  
185 0.1% 99.5%  
186 0.2% 99.4%  
187 0.1% 99.2%  
188 0.3% 99.1%  
189 0.1% 98.8%  
190 0.3% 98.7%  
191 0.2% 98%  
192 0.2% 98%  
193 0.2% 98%  
194 0.2% 98%  
195 0.2% 98%  
196 0.2% 97%  
197 0.5% 97%  
198 0.3% 97%  
199 0.5% 96%  
200 0.2% 96%  
201 0.5% 96%  
202 0.4% 95%  
203 0.5% 95%  
204 0.3% 94%  
205 0.3% 94%  
206 0.2% 94%  
207 0.3% 93%  
208 0.3% 93%  
209 0.4% 93%  
210 0.6% 92%  
211 0.6% 92%  
212 0.5% 91%  
213 0.8% 91%  
214 0.6% 90%  
215 1.1% 89%  
216 1.1% 88%  
217 0.9% 87%  
218 1.4% 86%  
219 1.2% 85%  
220 1.4% 84%  
221 2% 82%  
222 2% 80% Last Result
223 3% 78%  
224 2% 76%  
225 2% 74%  
226 3% 72%  
227 2% 69%  
228 3% 67%  
229 4% 64%  
230 3% 60%  
231 4% 57%  
232 3% 53%  
233 4% 50% Median
234 4% 46%  
235 2% 42%  
236 4% 39%  
237 3% 35%  
238 2% 33%  
239 4% 30%  
240 2% 26%  
241 3% 24%  
242 3% 22%  
243 2% 19%  
244 2% 17%  
245 2% 15%  
246 2% 13%  
247 2% 11%  
248 1.2% 9%  
249 1.1% 8%  
250 1.0% 7%  
251 0.8% 6%  
252 1.2% 5%  
253 0.5% 4%  
254 0.5% 3%  
255 0.5% 3%  
256 0.3% 2%  
257 0.4% 2%  
258 0.3% 1.4%  
259 0.2% 1.1%  
260 0.2% 0.9%  
261 0.2% 0.7%  
262 0.1% 0.5%  
263 0.1% 0.4%  
264 0% 0.3%  
265 0.1% 0.2%  
266 0% 0.2%  
267 0% 0.1%  
268 0% 0.1%  
269 0% 0.1%  
270 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations