Opinion Poll by Kantar, 8–14 September 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 26.0% 24.6–27.5% 24.2–27.9% 23.9–28.2% 23.2–29.0%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 17.0% 15.8–18.3% 15.5–18.6% 15.2–18.9% 14.6–19.6%
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 16.3% 15.1–17.5% 14.8–17.9% 14.5–18.2% 14.0–18.8%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 12.0% 11.0–13.1% 10.7–13.4% 10.5–13.7% 10.0–14.3%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 11.0% 10.0–12.1% 9.8–12.4% 9.5–12.7% 9.1–13.2%
Die Linke 9.2% 6.0% 5.3–6.9% 5.1–7.1% 4.9–7.3% 4.6–7.8%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 3.8% 3.2–4.5% 3.0–4.7% 2.9–4.8% 2.7–5.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 200 188–211 186–214 183–217 178–224
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 130 121–140 118–143 116–145 112–151
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 125 116–134 113–137 111–139 107–145
Alternative für Deutschland 94 92 84–100 82–103 80–105 77–110
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 84 77–93 75–95 73–97 70–102
Die Linke 69 46 41–53 39–54 0–56 0–59
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 32 28–37 26–39 25–40 23–43

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
153 0% 100% Last Result
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100%  
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 100%  
171 0% 100%  
172 0% 100%  
173 0% 99.9%  
174 0.1% 99.9%  
175 0.1% 99.9%  
176 0.1% 99.8%  
177 0.1% 99.7%  
178 0.2% 99.6%  
179 0.2% 99.3%  
180 0.3% 99.1%  
181 0.4% 98.7%  
182 0.6% 98%  
183 0.9% 98%  
184 0.8% 97%  
185 1.0% 96%  
186 2% 95%  
187 2% 93%  
188 3% 92%  
189 2% 89%  
190 3% 87%  
191 3% 84%  
192 3% 81%  
193 4% 78%  
194 5% 74%  
195 3% 70%  
196 4% 67%  
197 5% 63%  
198 5% 58%  
199 3% 53%  
200 6% 50% Median
201 3% 44%  
202 4% 41%  
203 4% 37%  
204 5% 33%  
205 3% 27%  
206 4% 25%  
207 2% 21%  
208 4% 19%  
209 2% 15%  
210 3% 13%  
211 1.2% 10%  
212 2% 9%  
213 2% 7%  
214 1.2% 6%  
215 0.8% 5%  
216 0.8% 4%  
217 0.8% 3%  
218 0.7% 2%  
219 0.3% 2%  
220 0.2% 1.3%  
221 0.2% 1.1%  
222 0.2% 0.9%  
223 0.2% 0.7%  
224 0.1% 0.5%  
225 0.1% 0.4%  
226 0.1% 0.4%  
227 0.1% 0.3%  
228 0.1% 0.2%  
229 0% 0.2%  
230 0% 0.1%  
231 0% 0.1%  
232 0% 0.1%  
233 0% 0.1%  
234 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 99.9%  
109 0.1% 99.9%  
110 0.1% 99.8%  
111 0.1% 99.8%  
112 0.2% 99.6%  
113 0.3% 99.4%  
114 0.4% 99.1%  
115 0.6% 98.7%  
116 0.8% 98%  
117 1.2% 97%  
118 1.3% 96%  
119 2% 95%  
120 2% 93%  
121 3% 91%  
122 3% 88%  
123 4% 86%  
124 4% 82%  
125 5% 78%  
126 4% 73%  
127 6% 69%  
128 5% 63%  
129 5% 58%  
130 6% 53% Median
131 5% 48%  
132 6% 43%  
133 4% 37%  
134 5% 33%  
135 4% 28%  
136 4% 24%  
137 4% 20%  
138 3% 17%  
139 3% 13%  
140 2% 11%  
141 2% 9%  
142 1.5% 7%  
143 1.4% 5%  
144 1.0% 4%  
145 0.7% 3%  
146 0.5% 2%  
147 0.4% 2%  
148 0.4% 1.5%  
149 0.3% 1.0%  
150 0.2% 0.8%  
151 0.2% 0.6%  
152 0.1% 0.4%  
153 0.1% 0.3%  
154 0.1% 0.2%  
155 0.1% 0.2%  
156 0% 0.1%  
157 0% 0.1%  
158 0% 0.1%  
159 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 99.9%  
104 0.1% 99.9%  
105 0.1% 99.8%  
106 0.2% 99.7%  
107 0.2% 99.6%  
108 0.4% 99.4%  
109 0.6% 99.0%  
110 0.6% 98%  
111 0.9% 98%  
112 1.2% 97%  
113 1.5% 96%  
114 2% 94%  
115 2% 92%  
116 3% 90%  
117 3% 87%  
118 4% 84%  
119 4% 80%  
120 5% 77%  
121 5% 72%  
122 4% 66%  
123 5% 62%  
124 6% 57%  
125 5% 51% Median
126 6% 46%  
127 5% 40%  
128 5% 35%  
129 4% 31%  
130 4% 26%  
131 4% 22%  
132 3% 18%  
133 3% 15%  
134 2% 12%  
135 3% 10%  
136 1.4% 7%  
137 1.3% 6%  
138 1.2% 5%  
139 1.1% 3%  
140 0.6% 2%  
141 0.4% 2%  
142 0.3% 1.3%  
143 0.3% 1.0%  
144 0.2% 0.7%  
145 0.2% 0.6%  
146 0.1% 0.4%  
147 0.1% 0.3%  
148 0.1% 0.2%  
149 0% 0.2%  
150 0% 0.1%  
151 0% 0.1%  
152 0% 0.1%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0%  
175 0% 0%  
176 0% 0%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0% Last Result

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 99.9%  
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 0.1% 99.8%  
76 0.2% 99.7%  
77 0.2% 99.5%  
78 0.4% 99.3%  
79 0.7% 98.9%  
80 1.0% 98%  
81 2% 97%  
82 2% 96%  
83 2% 94%  
84 3% 91%  
85 3% 89%  
86 4% 85%  
87 4% 82%  
88 5% 77%  
89 6% 72%  
90 6% 66%  
91 6% 60%  
92 6% 54% Median
93 6% 48%  
94 5% 42% Last Result
95 7% 37%  
96 6% 31%  
97 5% 25%  
98 5% 20%  
99 3% 15%  
100 2% 12%  
101 2% 10%  
102 2% 8%  
103 1.3% 6%  
104 1.3% 4%  
105 0.8% 3%  
106 0.7% 2%  
107 0.4% 2%  
108 0.3% 1.2%  
109 0.2% 0.9%  
110 0.2% 0.6%  
111 0.2% 0.4%  
112 0.1% 0.3%  
113 0% 0.2%  
114 0% 0.1%  
115 0% 0.1%  
116 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 99.9%  
68 0.2% 99.9%  
69 0.2% 99.7%  
70 0.3% 99.6%  
71 0.6% 99.3%  
72 0.6% 98.7%  
73 1.2% 98%  
74 1.5% 97%  
75 2% 95%  
76 2% 93%  
77 4% 92%  
78 3% 88%  
79 4% 85%  
80 6% 80% Last Result
81 4% 74%  
82 7% 70%  
83 7% 63%  
84 7% 56% Median
85 5% 50%  
86 7% 44%  
87 5% 37%  
88 5% 32%  
89 6% 26%  
90 3% 20%  
91 4% 17%  
92 3% 13%  
93 2% 10%  
94 2% 8%  
95 1.4% 6%  
96 1.2% 5%  
97 0.8% 3%  
98 0.8% 2%  
99 0.4% 2%  
100 0.3% 1.2%  
101 0.3% 0.8%  
102 0.2% 0.6%  
103 0.2% 0.4%  
104 0.1% 0.2%  
105 0.1% 0.1%  
106 0% 0.1%  
107 0% 0.1%  
108 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100%  
1 0% 97%  
2 0% 97%  
3 0% 97%  
4 0% 97%  
5 0% 97%  
6 0% 97%  
7 0% 97%  
8 0% 97%  
9 0% 97%  
10 0% 97%  
11 0% 97%  
12 0% 97%  
13 0% 97%  
14 0% 97%  
15 0% 97%  
16 0% 97%  
17 0% 97%  
18 0% 97%  
19 0% 97%  
20 0% 97%  
21 0% 97%  
22 0% 97%  
23 0% 97%  
24 0% 97%  
25 0% 97%  
26 0% 97%  
27 0% 97%  
28 0% 97%  
29 0% 97%  
30 0% 97%  
31 0% 97%  
32 0% 97%  
33 0% 97%  
34 0% 97%  
35 0% 97%  
36 0% 97%  
37 0% 97%  
38 0.5% 97%  
39 2% 96%  
40 3% 94%  
41 5% 91%  
42 6% 86%  
43 7% 80%  
44 9% 74%  
45 7% 65%  
46 9% 57% Median
47 8% 49%  
48 9% 41%  
49 7% 32%  
50 6% 25%  
51 5% 19%  
52 4% 14%  
53 3% 10%  
54 2% 7%  
55 2% 5%  
56 1.1% 3%  
57 0.7% 2%  
58 0.5% 1.2%  
59 0.3% 0.8%  
60 0.2% 0.5%  
61 0.1% 0.2%  
62 0.1% 0.1%  
63 0% 0.1%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100%  
22 0.1% 99.9%  
23 0.3% 99.8%  
24 0.9% 99.5%  
25 1.3% 98.6%  
26 3% 97%  
27 5% 95%  
28 5% 90%  
29 10% 85%  
30 10% 75%  
31 10% 65%  
32 12% 56% Median
33 8% 44%  
34 10% 36%  
35 7% 26%  
36 6% 19%  
37 5% 13%  
38 3% 8%  
39 2% 6%  
40 1.3% 3%  
41 0.9% 2%  
42 0.5% 1.1%  
43 0.3% 0.6%  
44 0.2% 0.3%  
45 0.1% 0.2%  
46 0% 0.1% Last Result
47 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 486 100% 475–498 471–503 469–515 463–530
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 441 100% 429–454 425–458 422–466 417–480
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 414 100% 402–427 398–432 396–439 390–452
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 372 97% 359–385 356–390 353–396 347–407
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Die Linke 289 376 97% 363–388 357–391 353–394 342–399
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 356 56% 344–369 341–374 337–379 332–390
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 333 3% 321–346 318–352 315–356 310–367
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 220 329 2% 317–343 314–347 311–352 305–362
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 287 0% 275–300 272–304 269–309 264–317
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 284 0% 272–297 269–301 266–305 260–314
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 249 0% 238–261 234–265 232–269 226–277
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 246 0% 233–257 228–260 217–263 203–269
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 241 0% 230–254 227–258 225–261 219–269

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
457 0% 100%  
458 0% 99.9%  
459 0% 99.9%  
460 0.1% 99.9%  
461 0.1% 99.8%  
462 0.1% 99.7%  
463 0.1% 99.6%  
464 0.2% 99.4%  
465 0.2% 99.2%  
466 0.4% 99.0% Last Result
467 0.5% 98.6%  
468 0.5% 98%  
469 0.7% 98%  
470 1.0% 97%  
471 1.1% 96%  
472 2% 95%  
473 1.3% 93%  
474 2% 92%  
475 2% 90%  
476 2% 89%  
477 4% 87%  
478 3% 83%  
479 3% 80%  
480 3% 76%  
481 3% 73%  
482 3% 70%  
483 5% 67%  
484 5% 62%  
485 4% 57%  
486 4% 53%  
487 5% 49% Median
488 4% 44%  
489 4% 40%  
490 5% 36%  
491 3% 31%  
492 3% 28%  
493 4% 25%  
494 2% 21%  
495 4% 19%  
496 2% 15%  
497 2% 13%  
498 2% 11%  
499 1.2% 10%  
500 1.0% 8%  
501 1.1% 7%  
502 0.8% 6%  
503 0.6% 5%  
504 0.5% 5%  
505 0.2% 4%  
506 0.2% 4%  
507 0.3% 4%  
508 0.3% 4%  
509 0.1% 3%  
510 0.1% 3%  
511 0.1% 3%  
512 0.2% 3%  
513 0.1% 3%  
514 0.2% 3%  
515 0.2% 3%  
516 0% 2%  
517 0.1% 2%  
518 0.4% 2%  
519 0.2% 2%  
520 0.2% 2%  
521 0.1% 1.5%  
522 0% 1.4%  
523 0.1% 1.3%  
524 0.3% 1.2%  
525 0.1% 0.9%  
526 0.1% 0.8%  
527 0% 0.7%  
528 0% 0.7%  
529 0% 0.7%  
530 0.3% 0.6%  
531 0.1% 0.4%  
532 0% 0.2%  
533 0% 0.2%  
534 0% 0.2%  
535 0.1% 0.2%  
536 0% 0.1%  
537 0% 0.1%  
538 0% 0.1%  
539 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 99.9%  
412 0% 99.9%  
413 0% 99.9%  
414 0.1% 99.8%  
415 0.1% 99.8%  
416 0.1% 99.7%  
417 0.2% 99.5%  
418 0.2% 99.4%  
419 0.3% 99.2%  
420 0.3% 98.9%  
421 0.5% 98.6%  
422 0.6% 98%  
423 0.5% 97%  
424 1.2% 97%  
425 1.0% 96%  
426 0.9% 95%  
427 2% 94%  
428 2% 92%  
429 2% 90%  
430 2% 89%  
431 3% 86%  
432 2% 83%  
433 3% 81%  
434 4% 78%  
435 4% 75%  
436 3% 71%  
437 5% 68%  
438 5% 63%  
439 3% 58%  
440 5% 55%  
441 5% 51% Median
442 4% 46%  
443 3% 42%  
444 6% 39%  
445 2% 33%  
446 5% 31%  
447 2% 26%  
448 3% 24%  
449 2% 21%  
450 3% 19%  
451 3% 16%  
452 2% 13%  
453 1.2% 11%  
454 1.3% 10%  
455 1.2% 9%  
456 0.8% 7%  
457 0.9% 7%  
458 0.8% 6%  
459 0.5% 5%  
460 0.5% 4%  
461 0.3% 4%  
462 0.2% 4%  
463 0.3% 3%  
464 0.3% 3%  
465 0.2% 3%  
466 0.2% 3%  
467 0.1% 2%  
468 0.1% 2%  
469 0.1% 2%  
470 0.1% 2%  
471 0.2% 2%  
472 0.6% 2%  
473 0.1% 1.3%  
474 0.1% 1.2%  
475 0.1% 1.0%  
476 0.1% 0.9%  
477 0.1% 0.8%  
478 0.1% 0.8%  
479 0.1% 0.6% Last Result
480 0.1% 0.5%  
481 0% 0.4%  
482 0.1% 0.4%  
483 0% 0.4%  
484 0% 0.3%  
485 0% 0.3%  
486 0% 0.2%  
487 0.1% 0.2%  
488 0% 0.1%  
489 0% 0.1%  
490 0% 0.1%  
491 0% 0.1%  
492 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
300 0% 100% Last Result
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 99.9%  
385 0% 99.9%  
386 0% 99.9%  
387 0% 99.8%  
388 0.2% 99.8%  
389 0.1% 99.6%  
390 0.2% 99.5%  
391 0.2% 99.4%  
392 0.2% 99.2%  
393 0.5% 98.9%  
394 0.4% 98%  
395 0.5% 98%  
396 0.8% 98%  
397 0.7% 97%  
398 1.2% 96%  
399 1.1% 95%  
400 1.1% 94%  
401 2% 93%  
402 2% 90%  
403 2% 89%  
404 2% 86%  
405 2% 84%  
406 4% 82%  
407 3% 78%  
408 4% 76%  
409 4% 71%  
410 3% 67%  
411 4% 64%  
412 3% 60%  
413 4% 56%  
414 5% 53% Median
415 4% 48%  
416 5% 44%  
417 4% 39%  
418 3% 35%  
419 4% 32%  
420 4% 28%  
421 3% 24%  
422 2% 21%  
423 2% 19%  
424 3% 17%  
425 2% 14%  
426 2% 12%  
427 2% 11%  
428 1.0% 9%  
429 1.1% 8%  
430 0.9% 7%  
431 0.5% 6%  
432 0.9% 5%  
433 0.5% 5%  
434 0.5% 4%  
435 0.3% 4%  
436 0.2% 3%  
437 0.3% 3%  
438 0.3% 3%  
439 0.1% 3%  
440 0.2% 2%  
441 0.2% 2%  
442 0.2% 2%  
443 0.1% 2%  
444 0.1% 2%  
445 0.3% 2%  
446 0.1% 1.3%  
447 0.3% 1.2%  
448 0.1% 0.9%  
449 0.1% 0.8%  
450 0.1% 0.7%  
451 0.1% 0.7%  
452 0.1% 0.6%  
453 0.1% 0.5%  
454 0% 0.4%  
455 0% 0.3%  
456 0% 0.3%  
457 0% 0.2%  
458 0.1% 0.2%  
459 0% 0.2%  
460 0% 0.1%  
461 0% 0.1%  
462 0% 0.1%  
463 0% 0.1%  
464 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 99.9%  
343 0% 99.9%  
344 0.1% 99.9%  
345 0.1% 99.8%  
346 0.1% 99.7%  
347 0.1% 99.6%  
348 0.1% 99.5%  
349 0.1% 99.3%  
350 0.3% 99.2%  
351 0.4% 98.9%  
352 0.5% 98%  
353 0.6% 98%  
354 0.7% 97%  
355 1.1% 97% Majority
356 1.4% 96%  
357 2% 94%  
358 1.4% 93%  
359 1.5% 91%  
360 3% 90%  
361 2% 87%  
362 2% 85%  
363 3% 82%  
364 4% 79%  
365 3% 76%  
366 4% 73%  
367 3% 69%  
368 4% 66%  
369 3% 62%  
370 5% 59%  
371 3% 54% Median
372 3% 51%  
373 6% 48%  
374 5% 42%  
375 3% 37%  
376 3% 35%  
377 3% 31%  
378 3% 28%  
379 3% 25%  
380 3% 22%  
381 2% 18%  
382 2% 16%  
383 2% 14%  
384 2% 12%  
385 1.2% 10%  
386 1.2% 9%  
387 0.9% 8%  
388 0.9% 7%  
389 0.9% 6%  
390 0.6% 5%  
391 0.4% 5%  
392 0.6% 4%  
393 0.4% 3% Last Result
394 0.3% 3%  
395 0.3% 3%  
396 0.1% 3%  
397 0.3% 2%  
398 0.2% 2%  
399 0.3% 2%  
400 0.1% 2%  
401 0.2% 1.5%  
402 0.2% 1.3%  
403 0.2% 1.1%  
404 0.3% 1.0%  
405 0% 0.7%  
406 0.1% 0.7%  
407 0.1% 0.6%  
408 0% 0.5%  
409 0.1% 0.4%  
410 0.1% 0.3%  
411 0% 0.3%  
412 0% 0.2%  
413 0% 0.2%  
414 0% 0.1%  
415 0% 0.1%  
416 0% 0.1%  
417 0% 0.1%  
418 0% 0.1%  
419 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 99.9%  
333 0% 99.9%  
334 0% 99.9%  
335 0% 99.9%  
336 0% 99.9%  
337 0% 99.8%  
338 0.1% 99.8%  
339 0.1% 99.7%  
340 0% 99.7%  
341 0.1% 99.6%  
342 0.1% 99.5%  
343 0.1% 99.5%  
344 0.2% 99.4%  
345 0.1% 99.2%  
346 0.1% 99.0%  
347 0.1% 98.9%  
348 0.1% 98.8%  
349 0.2% 98.7%  
350 0.3% 98.5%  
351 0.1% 98%  
352 0.4% 98%  
353 0.4% 98%  
354 0.5% 97%  
355 0.4% 97% Majority
356 0.6% 96%  
357 0.8% 96%  
358 0.6% 95%  
359 0.7% 94%  
360 1.4% 94%  
361 1.3% 92%  
362 0.9% 91%  
363 2% 90%  
364 1.5% 88%  
365 3% 86%  
366 2% 83%  
367 2% 81%  
368 4% 79%  
369 4% 75%  
370 4% 72%  
371 2% 68%  
372 3% 66%  
373 5% 62%  
374 4% 58%  
375 3% 54%  
376 4% 51% Median
377 6% 47%  
378 4% 41%  
379 3% 37%  
380 4% 34%  
381 3% 30%  
382 4% 26%  
383 3% 23%  
384 3% 20%  
385 2% 16%  
386 2% 15%  
387 2% 12%  
388 2% 10%  
389 2% 8%  
390 1.3% 7%  
391 1.3% 5%  
392 0.8% 4%  
393 0.6% 3%  
394 0.7% 3%  
395 0.5% 2%  
396 0.4% 2%  
397 0.3% 1.2%  
398 0.3% 0.9%  
399 0.2% 0.6%  
400 0.1% 0.4%  
401 0.1% 0.3%  
402 0.1% 0.3%  
403 0.1% 0.2%  
404 0% 0.1%  
405 0% 0.1%  
406 0% 0.1%  
407 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 99.9%  
327 0% 99.9%  
328 0% 99.9%  
329 0.1% 99.8%  
330 0.1% 99.8%  
331 0.1% 99.6%  
332 0.2% 99.6%  
333 0.2% 99.4%  
334 0.2% 99.1%  
335 0.4% 98.9%  
336 0.6% 98.5%  
337 0.4% 98%  
338 0.7% 97%  
339 0.9% 97%  
340 0.8% 96%  
341 1.4% 95%  
342 2% 94%  
343 1.1% 92%  
344 2% 91%  
345 4% 89%  
346 2% 86%  
347 3% 84%  
348 3% 81%  
349 2% 78%  
350 3% 76%  
351 5% 73%  
352 3% 68%  
353 5% 66%  
354 6% 61%  
355 2% 56% Majority
356 4% 53%  
357 4% 49% Median
358 4% 45%  
359 4% 42%  
360 5% 38%  
361 3% 33%  
362 4% 30%  
363 4% 26%  
364 2% 22%  
365 3% 20%  
366 2% 17%  
367 2% 15%  
368 2% 13%  
369 1.4% 11%  
370 1.1% 9%  
371 1.1% 8%  
372 1.1% 7%  
373 0.8% 6%  
374 0.7% 5%  
375 0.6% 4%  
376 0.3% 4%  
377 0.6% 4%  
378 0.3% 3%  
379 0.2% 3%  
380 0.3% 2%  
381 0.4% 2%  
382 0.1% 2%  
383 0.2% 2%  
384 0.1% 1.4%  
385 0.2% 1.3%  
386 0.3% 1.1%  
387 0.1% 0.8%  
388 0.1% 0.7%  
389 0.1% 0.6%  
390 0.1% 0.6%  
391 0% 0.5%  
392 0.1% 0.4%  
393 0.1% 0.3%  
394 0.1% 0.3%  
395 0% 0.2%  
396 0% 0.2%  
397 0% 0.2%  
398 0% 0.1%  
399 0% 0.1% Last Result
400 0% 0.1%  
401 0% 0.1%  
402 0% 0.1%  
403 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 99.9%  
305 0% 99.9%  
306 0.1% 99.9%  
307 0.1% 99.8%  
308 0.1% 99.7%  
309 0.1% 99.7%  
310 0.2% 99.6%  
311 0.3% 99.4%  
312 0.3% 99.1%  
313 0.4% 98.8%  
314 0.5% 98%  
315 0.7% 98%  
316 0.6% 97%  
317 0.8% 97%  
318 1.3% 96%  
319 1.3% 95%  
320 2% 93%  
321 2% 92%  
322 2% 90%  
323 2% 88%  
324 2% 85%  
325 3% 84%  
326 3% 80%  
327 4% 77%  
328 3% 74%  
329 4% 70%  
330 3% 66%  
331 4% 63%  
332 6% 59%  
333 4% 53% Median
334 3% 49%  
335 4% 46%  
336 5% 42%  
337 3% 38%  
338 2% 34%  
339 4% 32%  
340 4% 28%  
341 4% 25%  
342 2% 21%  
343 2% 19%  
344 3% 17%  
345 1.5% 14%  
346 2% 12%  
347 0.9% 10%  
348 1.3% 9%  
349 1.4% 8%  
350 0.7% 6%  
351 0.6% 6%  
352 0.8% 5%  
353 0.6% 4%  
354 0.4% 4%  
355 0.5% 3% Majority
356 0.4% 3%  
357 0.4% 2%  
358 0.1% 2%  
359 0.3% 2%  
360 0.2% 1.5%  
361 0.1% 1.3%  
362 0.1% 1.2%  
363 0.1% 1.1%  
364 0.1% 1.0%  
365 0.2% 0.8%  
366 0.1% 0.6%  
367 0.1% 0.5%  
368 0.1% 0.5%  
369 0% 0.4%  
370 0.1% 0.3%  
371 0.1% 0.3%  
372 0% 0.2%  
373 0% 0.2%  
374 0% 0.1%  
375 0% 0.1%  
376 0% 0.1%  
377 0% 0.1%  
378 0% 0.1%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 99.9%  
300 0% 99.9%  
301 0.1% 99.9%  
302 0.1% 99.8%  
303 0.1% 99.8%  
304 0.1% 99.7%  
305 0.1% 99.6%  
306 0.3% 99.5%  
307 0.3% 99.2%  
308 0.3% 98.9%  
309 0.4% 98.6%  
310 0.5% 98%  
311 0.8% 98%  
312 0.7% 97%  
313 0.7% 96%  
314 1.0% 96%  
315 2% 95%  
316 1.4% 93%  
317 1.4% 91%  
318 2% 90%  
319 3% 88%  
320 2% 84%  
321 3% 82%  
322 4% 80%  
323 3% 76%  
324 4% 73%  
325 3% 69%  
326 4% 66%  
327 4% 62%  
328 4% 59%  
329 4% 54%  
330 4% 50% Median
331 5% 46%  
332 5% 42%  
333 3% 37%  
334 4% 34%  
335 3% 29%  
336 3% 26%  
337 3% 23%  
338 2% 20%  
339 2% 18%  
340 3% 16%  
341 1.5% 13%  
342 2% 12%  
343 1.5% 10%  
344 2% 9%  
345 1.1% 7%  
346 0.8% 6%  
347 0.6% 5%  
348 0.7% 5%  
349 0.4% 4%  
350 0.6% 3%  
351 0.2% 3%  
352 0.4% 3%  
353 0.3% 2%  
354 0.4% 2%  
355 0.2% 2% Majority
356 0.1% 1.4%  
357 0.1% 1.3%  
358 0.2% 1.1%  
359 0.1% 1.0%  
360 0.1% 0.9%  
361 0.3% 0.8%  
362 0.1% 0.5%  
363 0.1% 0.5%  
364 0% 0.4%  
365 0.1% 0.3%  
366 0.1% 0.3%  
367 0% 0.2%  
368 0% 0.2%  
369 0% 0.2%  
370 0% 0.1%  
371 0% 0.1%  
372 0% 0.1%  
373 0% 0.1%  
374 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 99.9%  
259 0% 99.9%  
260 0.1% 99.9%  
261 0.1% 99.8%  
262 0.1% 99.8%  
263 0.2% 99.7%  
264 0.2% 99.5%  
265 0.2% 99.3%  
266 0.3% 99.0%  
267 0.4% 98.7%  
268 0.5% 98%  
269 0.7% 98%  
270 0.8% 97%  
271 1.0% 96%  
272 1.4% 95%  
273 2% 94%  
274 2% 93%  
275 2% 91%  
276 2% 89%  
277 4% 87%  
278 3% 83%  
279 3% 80%  
280 3% 77%  
281 3% 74%  
282 3% 71%  
283 4% 68%  
284 3% 64%  
285 3% 61%  
286 4% 57%  
287 4% 53% Median
288 4% 49%  
289 5% 46%  
290 5% 41%  
291 4% 36%  
292 3% 32%  
293 4% 29%  
294 3% 25%  
295 3% 22%  
296 3% 19%  
297 2% 17%  
298 2% 14%  
299 2% 13%  
300 1.3% 11%  
301 2% 9%  
302 1.0% 7%  
303 1.1% 6%  
304 0.7% 5%  
305 0.5% 5%  
306 0.7% 4%  
307 0.5% 3%  
308 0.3% 3%  
309 0.3% 3%  
310 0.3% 2%  
311 0.4% 2%  
312 0.2% 2%  
313 0.4% 1.4% Last Result
314 0.1% 0.9%  
315 0.3% 0.8%  
316 0.1% 0.6%  
317 0.1% 0.5%  
318 0.1% 0.4%  
319 0.1% 0.4%  
320 0% 0.3%  
321 0% 0.3%  
322 0.1% 0.3%  
323 0% 0.2%  
324 0% 0.2%  
325 0% 0.1%  
326 0% 0.1%  
327 0% 0.1%  
328 0% 0.1%  
329 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
233 0% 100% Last Result
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 99.9%  
255 0% 99.9%  
256 0% 99.9%  
257 0.1% 99.9%  
258 0.1% 99.8%  
259 0.1% 99.7%  
260 0.2% 99.6%  
261 0.2% 99.4%  
262 0.2% 99.3%  
263 0.5% 99.0%  
264 0.4% 98.5%  
265 0.6% 98%  
266 0.7% 98%  
267 0.7% 97%  
268 0.8% 96%  
269 1.4% 95%  
270 2% 94%  
271 1.2% 92%  
272 2% 91%  
273 4% 89%  
274 1.2% 85%  
275 2% 84%  
276 4% 81%  
277 3% 78%  
278 3% 75%  
279 4% 71%  
280 4% 68%  
281 3% 63%  
282 5% 60%  
283 4% 55%  
284 2% 51% Median
285 4% 49%  
286 5% 44%  
287 3% 39%  
288 3% 36%  
289 6% 33%  
290 2% 27%  
291 2% 25%  
292 4% 23%  
293 2% 19%  
294 2% 16%  
295 2% 14%  
296 2% 12%  
297 0.7% 10%  
298 2% 9%  
299 2% 8%  
300 0.8% 6%  
301 0.7% 5%  
302 0.9% 4%  
303 0.6% 4%  
304 0.4% 3%  
305 0.4% 3%  
306 0.3% 2%  
307 0.2% 2%  
308 0.5% 2%  
309 0.2% 1.2%  
310 0.1% 1.0%  
311 0.2% 0.9%  
312 0.1% 0.7%  
313 0.1% 0.6%  
314 0% 0.5%  
315 0% 0.5%  
316 0.1% 0.4%  
317 0% 0.4%  
318 0.1% 0.3%  
319 0% 0.2%  
320 0.1% 0.2%  
321 0% 0.1%  
322 0% 0.1%  
323 0% 0.1%  
324 0% 0.1%  
325 0% 0.1%  
326 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 99.9%  
222 0% 99.9%  
223 0% 99.9%  
224 0.1% 99.8%  
225 0.1% 99.7%  
226 0.2% 99.6%  
227 0.2% 99.4%  
228 0.2% 99.3%  
229 0.4% 99.0%  
230 0.5% 98.6%  
231 0.5% 98%  
232 0.8% 98%  
233 0.8% 97%  
234 1.2% 96%  
235 1.4% 95%  
236 2% 93%  
237 2% 92%  
238 2% 90%  
239 3% 88%  
240 3% 86%  
241 3% 83%  
242 3% 79%  
243 3% 76%  
244 5% 73%  
245 4% 68%  
246 4% 64%  
247 4% 60%  
248 5% 56%  
249 3% 51% Median
250 3% 47%  
251 4% 45%  
252 4% 41%  
253 4% 36%  
254 3% 32%  
255 3% 29%  
256 5% 26%  
257 3% 22%  
258 3% 18%  
259 2% 16%  
260 2% 14%  
261 1.5% 11%  
262 2% 10%  
263 1.2% 8%  
264 2% 7%  
265 0.8% 5%  
266 0.7% 5%  
267 0.7% 4%  
268 0.5% 3%  
269 0.5% 3%  
270 0.4% 2%  
271 0.4% 2%  
272 0.2% 1.5%  
273 0.2% 1.3%  
274 0.1% 1.1%  
275 0.1% 0.9%  
276 0.2% 0.8%  
277 0.1% 0.6%  
278 0.1% 0.4%  
279 0.1% 0.4%  
280 0.1% 0.3%  
281 0.1% 0.2%  
282 0% 0.2%  
283 0% 0.1%  
284 0% 0.1%  
285 0% 0.1%  
286 0% 0.1%  
287 0% 0.1%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0%  
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
194 0% 100%  
195 0% 99.9%  
196 0% 99.9%  
197 0% 99.9%  
198 0.1% 99.9%  
199 0% 99.8%  
200 0% 99.8%  
201 0% 99.7%  
202 0.1% 99.7%  
203 0.3% 99.6%  
204 0.1% 99.3%  
205 0.1% 99.2%  
206 0.1% 99.2%  
207 0.1% 99.1%  
208 0.3% 99.1%  
209 0.1% 98.8%  
210 0% 98.7%  
211 0.1% 98.7%  
212 0.1% 98.6%  
213 0.4% 98.5%  
214 0.1% 98%  
215 0.1% 98%  
216 0.1% 98%  
217 0.5% 98%  
218 0.2% 97%  
219 0.1% 97%  
220 0.1% 97%  
221 0.2% 97%  
222 0.2% 97% Last Result
223 0.3% 97%  
224 0.2% 96%  
225 0.2% 96%  
226 0.4% 96%  
227 0.4% 95%  
228 0.6% 95%  
229 0.8% 94%  
230 0.7% 94%  
231 1.0% 93%  
232 2% 92%  
233 1.4% 90%  
234 2% 89%  
235 3% 86%  
236 2% 84%  
237 3% 82%  
238 4% 79%  
239 2% 75%  
240 5% 73%  
241 4% 69%  
242 2% 65%  
243 5% 62%  
244 4% 57%  
245 3% 54%  
246 6% 51% Median
247 3% 45%  
248 4% 42%  
249 5% 38%  
250 2% 33%  
251 4% 30%  
252 5% 26%  
253 2% 22%  
254 3% 20%  
255 4% 17%  
256 0.9% 13%  
257 3% 12%  
258 2% 9%  
259 0.8% 7%  
260 2% 7%  
261 1.0% 5%  
262 0.4% 4%  
263 1.0% 3%  
264 0.5% 2%  
265 0.3% 2%  
266 0.4% 1.3%  
267 0.2% 0.9%  
268 0.1% 0.7%  
269 0.2% 0.5%  
270 0.1% 0.3%  
271 0.1% 0.3%  
272 0.1% 0.2%  
273 0% 0.1%  
274 0% 0.1%  
275 0% 0.1%  
276 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 99.9%  
215 0% 99.9%  
216 0.1% 99.9%  
217 0.1% 99.8%  
218 0.1% 99.7%  
219 0.1% 99.6%  
220 0.2% 99.4%  
221 0.4% 99.3%  
222 0.3% 98.9%  
223 0.5% 98.6%  
224 0.5% 98%  
225 0.8% 98%  
226 1.3% 97%  
227 2% 95%  
228 1.1% 94%  
229 1.3% 93%  
230 2% 92%  
231 3% 90%  
232 2% 87%  
233 3% 84%  
234 2% 82%  
235 5% 79%  
236 5% 74%  
237 4% 70%  
238 3% 66%  
239 4% 63%  
240 5% 59%  
241 4% 53% Median
242 3% 49%  
243 5% 46%  
244 3% 40%  
245 5% 37%  
246 3% 32%  
247 3% 29%  
248 3% 26%  
249 3% 23%  
250 3% 20%  
251 3% 17%  
252 2% 14%  
253 2% 12%  
254 2% 11%  
255 2% 9%  
256 1.0% 7%  
257 0.9% 6%  
258 1.2% 5%  
259 0.8% 4%  
260 0.5% 3%  
261 0.5% 3%  
262 0.4% 2%  
263 0.5% 2%  
264 0.2% 2%  
265 0.3% 1.3%  
266 0.2% 1.0%  
267 0.1% 0.8%  
268 0.1% 0.7%  
269 0.1% 0.6%  
270 0.1% 0.4%  
271 0.1% 0.4%  
272 0% 0.3%  
273 0.1% 0.3%  
274 0.1% 0.2%  
275 0% 0.1%  
276 0% 0.1%  
277 0% 0.1%  
278 0% 0.1%  
279 0% 0.1%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations