Opinion Poll by Infratest dimap, 13–15 September 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 26.0% 24.6–27.5% 24.2–27.9% 23.8–28.3% 23.2–29.0%
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 17.9% 16.7–19.3% 16.4–19.6% 16.1–20.0% 15.5–20.6%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 15.0% 13.9–16.2% 13.6–16.6% 13.3–16.9% 12.8–17.5%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 11.0% 10.0–12.1% 9.7–12.4% 9.5–12.7% 9.1–13.2%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 11.0% 10.0–12.1% 9.7–12.4% 9.5–12.7% 9.1–13.2%
Die Linke 9.2% 6.0% 5.3–6.9% 5.1–7.1% 4.9–7.3% 4.6–7.8%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 4.1% 3.5–4.8% 3.3–5.0% 3.2–5.2% 2.9–5.6%
Freie Wähler 0.0% 3.0% 2.5–3.6% 2.3–3.8% 2.2–4.0% 2.0–4.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 201 191–213 188–216 185–220 179–227
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 138 129–149 127–152 124–155 120–161
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 116 108–126 105–128 103–131 99–136
Alternative für Deutschland 94 85 79–93 77–95 75–97 69–103
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 85 78–94 76–96 73–98 70–103
Die Linke 69 47 41–53 40–55 0–56 0–60
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 36 30–40 29–41 28–42 27–47
Freie Wähler 0 0 0 0 0 0

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
153 0% 100% Last Result
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100%  
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 100%  
171 0% 100%  
172 0% 100%  
173 0% 100%  
174 0% 99.9%  
175 0% 99.9%  
176 0.1% 99.9%  
177 0.1% 99.8%  
178 0.1% 99.7%  
179 0.2% 99.6%  
180 0.2% 99.5%  
181 0.2% 99.2%  
182 0.5% 99.0%  
183 0.4% 98.6%  
184 0.6% 98%  
185 0.8% 98%  
186 0.6% 97%  
187 1.0% 96%  
188 1.3% 95%  
189 1.1% 94%  
190 3% 93%  
191 2% 90%  
192 3% 88%  
193 2% 85%  
194 3% 83%  
195 2% 80%  
196 7% 77%  
197 4% 71%  
198 4% 67%  
199 3% 63%  
200 5% 60%  
201 7% 55% Median
202 5% 48%  
203 4% 43%  
204 3% 39%  
205 4% 36%  
206 3% 32%  
207 6% 29%  
208 4% 23%  
209 2% 19%  
210 2% 17%  
211 2% 15%  
212 3% 13%  
213 2% 11%  
214 1.3% 9%  
215 1.4% 7%  
216 0.9% 6%  
217 0.4% 5%  
218 1.0% 5%  
219 0.6% 3%  
220 0.5% 3%  
221 0.6% 2%  
222 0.3% 2%  
223 0.3% 2%  
224 0.2% 1.2%  
225 0.2% 0.9%  
226 0.1% 0.7%  
227 0.2% 0.6%  
228 0% 0.4%  
229 0.1% 0.4%  
230 0.1% 0.3%  
231 0% 0.2%  
232 0.1% 0.2%  
233 0% 0.1%  
234 0% 0.1%  
235 0% 0.1%  
236 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 99.9%  
117 0% 99.9%  
118 0.1% 99.9%  
119 0.2% 99.8%  
120 0.2% 99.5%  
121 0.3% 99.4%  
122 0.4% 99.1%  
123 0.5% 98.6%  
124 0.9% 98%  
125 1.0% 97%  
126 0.9% 96%  
127 1.1% 95%  
128 3% 94%  
129 3% 92%  
130 2% 89%  
131 3% 87%  
132 5% 84%  
133 3% 79%  
134 5% 76%  
135 4% 71%  
136 4% 67%  
137 6% 63%  
138 8% 57% Median
139 3% 49%  
140 4% 46%  
141 6% 42%  
142 4% 36%  
143 6% 32%  
144 3% 26%  
145 2% 23%  
146 6% 21%  
147 3% 15%  
148 2% 13%  
149 1.3% 11%  
150 2% 9%  
151 1.5% 7%  
152 1.1% 6%  
153 1.1% 5%  
154 0.7% 4%  
155 0.5% 3%  
156 0.9% 2%  
157 0.4% 1.5%  
158 0.1% 1.1%  
159 0.2% 1.0%  
160 0.2% 0.7%  
161 0.1% 0.5%  
162 0.1% 0.4%  
163 0.1% 0.3%  
164 0% 0.2%  
165 0% 0.2%  
166 0% 0.1%  
167 0% 0.1%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0%  
175 0% 0%  
176 0% 0%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0.1% 99.9%  
97 0.1% 99.8%  
98 0.2% 99.7%  
99 0.3% 99.6%  
100 0.2% 99.3%  
101 0.6% 99.1%  
102 0.8% 98.5%  
103 0.5% 98%  
104 0.9% 97%  
105 2% 96%  
106 3% 95%  
107 2% 92%  
108 4% 91%  
109 2% 86%  
110 2% 84%  
111 5% 82%  
112 7% 77%  
113 4% 70%  
114 6% 65%  
115 6% 59%  
116 4% 53% Median
117 7% 49%  
118 6% 42%  
119 4% 36%  
120 3% 32%  
121 6% 29%  
122 3% 23%  
123 4% 20%  
124 4% 16%  
125 2% 12%  
126 2% 11%  
127 2% 8%  
128 1.5% 6%  
129 0.9% 5%  
130 0.8% 4%  
131 0.6% 3%  
132 0.5% 2%  
133 0.7% 2%  
134 0.3% 1.1%  
135 0.2% 0.8%  
136 0.2% 0.6%  
137 0.1% 0.5%  
138 0.1% 0.3%  
139 0.1% 0.2%  
140 0% 0.1%  
141 0% 0.1%  
142 0% 0.1%  
143 0% 0%  

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.1% 100%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 0.1% 99.8%  
69 0.3% 99.7%  
70 0.3% 99.4%  
71 0.3% 99.1%  
72 0.2% 98.8%  
73 0.4% 98.6%  
74 0.6% 98%  
75 0.6% 98%  
76 1.3% 97%  
77 2% 96%  
78 3% 93%  
79 4% 90%  
80 9% 87%  
81 11% 77%  
82 6% 67%  
83 7% 60%  
84 3% 54%  
85 5% 50% Median
86 3% 46%  
87 4% 43%  
88 4% 39%  
89 5% 35%  
90 7% 30%  
91 3% 23%  
92 7% 20%  
93 2% 12%  
94 3% 10% Last Result
95 2% 7%  
96 2% 5%  
97 0.7% 3%  
98 0.6% 2%  
99 0.4% 2%  
100 0.4% 1.5%  
101 0.3% 1.1%  
102 0.2% 0.8%  
103 0.2% 0.6%  
104 0.1% 0.5%  
105 0.2% 0.4%  
106 0.1% 0.2%  
107 0% 0.1%  
108 0% 0.1%  
109 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0% 100%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.2% 99.8%  
70 0.3% 99.6%  
71 0.3% 99.4%  
72 0.8% 99.1%  
73 0.9% 98%  
74 1.1% 97%  
75 1.1% 96%  
76 3% 95%  
77 2% 92%  
78 5% 91%  
79 4% 86%  
80 5% 82% Last Result
81 4% 77%  
82 7% 73%  
83 4% 66%  
84 9% 63%  
85 7% 54% Median
86 5% 47%  
87 6% 41%  
88 6% 36%  
89 5% 30%  
90 4% 25%  
91 6% 21%  
92 2% 15%  
93 3% 13%  
94 2% 10%  
95 2% 8%  
96 1.3% 6%  
97 1.1% 4%  
98 0.8% 3%  
99 1.1% 2%  
100 0.3% 1.3%  
101 0.3% 1.1%  
102 0.2% 0.8%  
103 0.1% 0.5%  
104 0.1% 0.4%  
105 0.1% 0.3%  
106 0.1% 0.2%  
107 0% 0.1%  
108 0.1% 0.1%  
109 0% 0.1%  
110 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100%  
1 0% 97%  
2 0% 97%  
3 0% 97%  
4 0% 97%  
5 0% 97%  
6 0% 97%  
7 0% 97%  
8 0% 97%  
9 0% 97%  
10 0% 97%  
11 0% 97%  
12 0% 97%  
13 0% 97%  
14 0% 97%  
15 0% 97%  
16 0% 97%  
17 0% 97%  
18 0% 97%  
19 0% 97%  
20 0% 97%  
21 0% 97%  
22 0% 97%  
23 0% 97%  
24 0% 97%  
25 0% 97%  
26 0% 97%  
27 0% 97%  
28 0% 97%  
29 0% 97%  
30 0% 97%  
31 0% 97%  
32 0% 97%  
33 0% 97%  
34 0% 97%  
35 0% 97%  
36 0% 97%  
37 0% 97%  
38 0.1% 97%  
39 1.4% 97%  
40 4% 95%  
41 4% 91%  
42 5% 87%  
43 5% 83%  
44 7% 77%  
45 8% 71%  
46 9% 63%  
47 9% 54% Median
48 7% 44%  
49 7% 37%  
50 8% 30%  
51 6% 22%  
52 4% 16%  
53 3% 12%  
54 2% 8%  
55 2% 6%  
56 2% 4%  
57 0.8% 2%  
58 0.6% 2%  
59 0.3% 0.9%  
60 0.2% 0.6%  
61 0.1% 0.3%  
62 0.1% 0.2%  
63 0.1% 0.1%  
64 0% 0.1%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 99.9%  
26 0.2% 99.9%  
27 0.8% 99.7%  
28 2% 98.9%  
29 5% 96%  
30 9% 92%  
31 9% 83%  
32 9% 73%  
33 4% 64%  
34 3% 60%  
35 3% 57%  
36 5% 54% Median
37 10% 50%  
38 9% 39%  
39 14% 31%  
40 8% 16%  
41 5% 8%  
42 2% 4%  
43 0.7% 2%  
44 0.3% 1.3%  
45 0.2% 1.0%  
46 0.2% 0.8% Last Result
47 0.2% 0.6%  
48 0.2% 0.4%  
49 0.1% 0.2%  
50 0% 0.1%  
51 0% 0%  

Freie Wähler

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Wähler page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 492 100% 480–504 477–509 475–518 469–536
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 461 100% 449–474 445–478 443–487 437–501
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 403 100% 392–415 387–420 385–427 378–442
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 375 98.6% 363–389 360–393 357–399 351–412
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 375 98.6% 364–389 360–394 357–399 351–411
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Die Linke 289 365 86% 352–376 346–380 342–383 329–389
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 344 14% 333–357 329–363 326–367 320–380
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 220 318 0.2% 306–330 302–335 299–339 293–350
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 291 0% 277–304 276–307 273–311 266–321
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 287 0% 275–299 272–303 268–308 263–318
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 260 0% 247–272 244–276 241–280 236–288
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 260 0% 248–271 245–275 242–279 235–288
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 248 0% 236–259 230–263 222–267 207–272

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
462 0% 100%  
463 0% 99.9%  
464 0% 99.9%  
465 0% 99.9%  
466 0.1% 99.8% Last Result
467 0.1% 99.8%  
468 0.2% 99.7%  
469 0.1% 99.5%  
470 0.2% 99.5%  
471 0.3% 99.2%  
472 0.5% 99.0%  
473 0.4% 98%  
474 0.5% 98%  
475 0.8% 98%  
476 0.5% 97%  
477 1.3% 96%  
478 1.2% 95%  
479 3% 94%  
480 2% 91%  
481 2% 89%  
482 4% 87%  
483 2% 83%  
484 2% 81%  
485 4% 79%  
486 2% 75%  
487 6% 73%  
488 2% 67%  
489 4% 65%  
490 5% 61%  
491 4% 56% Median
492 5% 51%  
493 4% 47%  
494 3% 42%  
495 7% 40%  
496 2% 32%  
497 3% 30%  
498 5% 27%  
499 2% 22%  
500 2% 20%  
501 3% 18%  
502 3% 15%  
503 2% 12%  
504 2% 10%  
505 2% 9%  
506 0.9% 7%  
507 0.6% 6%  
508 0.5% 6%  
509 0.5% 5%  
510 0.5% 5%  
511 0.3% 4%  
512 0.3% 4%  
513 0.2% 3%  
514 0.2% 3%  
515 0.2% 3%  
516 0.2% 3%  
517 0.1% 3%  
518 0.3% 3%  
519 0.1% 2%  
520 0.1% 2%  
521 0.1% 2%  
522 0% 2%  
523 0.1% 2%  
524 0.1% 2%  
525 0.3% 2%  
526 0% 2%  
527 0.2% 1.5%  
528 0.1% 1.3%  
529 0.1% 1.2%  
530 0.1% 1.1%  
531 0.1% 1.0%  
532 0.1% 0.9%  
533 0.1% 0.8%  
534 0.1% 0.8%  
535 0.1% 0.6%  
536 0.2% 0.6%  
537 0% 0.3%  
538 0% 0.3%  
539 0.1% 0.3%  
540 0% 0.2%  
541 0% 0.2%  
542 0.1% 0.2%  
543 0% 0.1%  
544 0% 0.1%  
545 0% 0.1%  
546 0% 0.1%  
547 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
431 0.1% 100%  
432 0% 99.9%  
433 0% 99.9%  
434 0.1% 99.8%  
435 0.1% 99.8%  
436 0.1% 99.7%  
437 0.2% 99.6%  
438 0.3% 99.4%  
439 0.3% 99.1%  
440 0.3% 98.8%  
441 0.5% 98.5%  
442 0.5% 98%  
443 1.0% 98%  
444 0.9% 96%  
445 0.7% 96%  
446 2% 95%  
447 1.0% 93%  
448 2% 92%  
449 3% 91%  
450 2% 88%  
451 2% 86%  
452 4% 84%  
453 3% 81%  
454 3% 77%  
455 4% 74%  
456 4% 70%  
457 2% 66%  
458 5% 64%  
459 2% 59%  
460 5% 56% Median
461 5% 51%  
462 4% 46%  
463 3% 42%  
464 4% 39%  
465 3% 34%  
466 3% 31%  
467 4% 28%  
468 5% 24%  
469 1.3% 19%  
470 3% 18%  
471 3% 15%  
472 0.8% 12%  
473 1.4% 12%  
474 2% 10%  
475 0.8% 8%  
476 0.7% 8%  
477 1.4% 7%  
478 0.6% 6%  
479 0.8% 5% Last Result
480 0.3% 4%  
481 0.3% 4%  
482 0.3% 4%  
483 0.2% 3%  
484 0.2% 3%  
485 0.2% 3%  
486 0.1% 3%  
487 0.1% 3%  
488 0.1% 2%  
489 0.2% 2%  
490 0.1% 2%  
491 0.2% 2%  
492 0.2% 2%  
493 0.1% 2%  
494 0.1% 2%  
495 0.1% 2%  
496 0.2% 1.5%  
497 0.1% 1.3%  
498 0.2% 1.1%  
499 0.2% 0.9%  
500 0.1% 0.7%  
501 0.1% 0.6%  
502 0% 0.5%  
503 0.1% 0.4%  
504 0.1% 0.4%  
505 0.1% 0.3%  
506 0% 0.2%  
507 0% 0.2%  
508 0% 0.2%  
509 0% 0.1%  
510 0% 0.1%  
511 0% 0.1%  
512 0% 0.1%  
513 0% 0.1%  
514 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
300 0% 100% Last Result
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 99.9%  
373 0% 99.9%  
374 0% 99.9%  
375 0% 99.9%  
376 0.1% 99.9%  
377 0.1% 99.7%  
378 0.2% 99.6%  
379 0.2% 99.4%  
380 0.1% 99.2%  
381 0.1% 99.1%  
382 0.1% 99.0%  
383 0.3% 98.9%  
384 0.5% 98.6%  
385 0.9% 98%  
386 1.4% 97%  
387 1.2% 96%  
388 1.5% 95%  
389 0.7% 93%  
390 0.6% 92%  
391 0.6% 92%  
392 2% 91%  
393 3% 89%  
394 4% 86%  
395 4% 81%  
396 4% 77%  
397 3% 73%  
398 3% 71%  
399 1.5% 68%  
400 2% 67%  
401 6% 65%  
402 7% 59% Median
403 6% 52%  
404 7% 45%  
405 2% 38%  
406 2% 36%  
407 2% 35%  
408 2% 32%  
409 4% 30%  
410 4% 26%  
411 3% 21%  
412 4% 18%  
413 2% 14%  
414 0.8% 11%  
415 0.5% 11%  
416 0.5% 10%  
417 0.5% 9%  
418 2% 9%  
419 1.4% 7%  
420 1.0% 6%  
421 0.7% 5%  
422 0.3% 4%  
423 0.3% 4%  
424 0.2% 4%  
425 0.3% 3%  
426 0.3% 3%  
427 0.3% 3%  
428 0.2% 2%  
429 0.3% 2%  
430 0% 2%  
431 0.2% 2%  
432 0.2% 2%  
433 0.3% 2%  
434 0.2% 1.3%  
435 0.1% 1.1%  
436 0.1% 1.0%  
437 0% 0.9%  
438 0.1% 0.9%  
439 0.1% 0.8%  
440 0.1% 0.8%  
441 0.2% 0.7%  
442 0.1% 0.5%  
443 0.1% 0.4%  
444 0% 0.3%  
445 0.1% 0.3%  
446 0% 0.2%  
447 0% 0.2%  
448 0% 0.1%  
449 0% 0.1%  
450 0% 0.1%  
451 0% 0.1%  
452 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 99.9%  
345 0% 99.9%  
346 0% 99.9%  
347 0% 99.9%  
348 0% 99.8%  
349 0.1% 99.8%  
350 0.1% 99.7%  
351 0.2% 99.6%  
352 0.2% 99.4%  
353 0.2% 99.3%  
354 0.5% 99.0%  
355 0.3% 98.6% Majority
356 0.4% 98%  
357 0.6% 98%  
358 0.7% 97%  
359 1.0% 97%  
360 0.9% 95%  
361 1.2% 95%  
362 1.1% 93%  
363 4% 92%  
364 2% 88%  
365 3% 86%  
366 2% 83%  
367 2% 81%  
368 3% 78%  
369 3% 75%  
370 2% 73%  
371 3% 70%  
372 3% 68%  
373 8% 65%  
374 3% 57%  
375 5% 53% Median
376 3% 49%  
377 3% 46%  
378 4% 44%  
379 4% 40%  
380 3% 36%  
381 5% 34%  
382 1.5% 29%  
383 5% 28%  
384 2% 22%  
385 2% 20%  
386 3% 18%  
387 2% 15%  
388 1.3% 13%  
389 2% 11%  
390 2% 10%  
391 0.8% 8%  
392 0.5% 7%  
393 2% 7% Last Result
394 0.5% 5%  
395 0.5% 4%  
396 0.3% 4%  
397 0.3% 4%  
398 0.6% 3%  
399 0.4% 3%  
400 0.3% 2%  
401 0.1% 2%  
402 0.1% 2%  
403 0.3% 2%  
404 0.2% 1.4%  
405 0.1% 1.2%  
406 0.1% 1.1%  
407 0.1% 1.0%  
408 0.1% 1.0%  
409 0.1% 0.9%  
410 0.1% 0.8%  
411 0.2% 0.7%  
412 0.1% 0.5%  
413 0% 0.5%  
414 0.1% 0.4%  
415 0% 0.4%  
416 0% 0.3%  
417 0.1% 0.3%  
418 0% 0.2%  
419 0% 0.2%  
420 0.1% 0.2%  
421 0% 0.1%  
422 0% 0.1%  
423 0% 0.1%  
424 0% 0.1%  
425 0% 0.1%  
426 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 99.9%  
346 0% 99.9%  
347 0% 99.9%  
348 0.1% 99.8%  
349 0.1% 99.8%  
350 0.1% 99.7%  
351 0.2% 99.6%  
352 0.2% 99.4%  
353 0.4% 99.2%  
354 0.2% 98.9%  
355 0.4% 98.6% Majority
356 0.6% 98%  
357 0.7% 98%  
358 0.5% 97%  
359 1.2% 96%  
360 1.2% 95%  
361 1.0% 94%  
362 1.0% 93%  
363 2% 92%  
364 2% 90%  
365 4% 88%  
366 3% 84%  
367 3% 82%  
368 4% 79%  
369 3% 75%  
370 3% 72%  
371 2% 69%  
372 5% 67%  
373 3% 61%  
374 4% 59%  
375 5% 55% Median
376 5% 49%  
377 4% 45%  
378 3% 41%  
379 3% 38%  
380 4% 35%  
381 2% 31%  
382 3% 28%  
383 5% 25%  
384 3% 20%  
385 1.4% 17%  
386 3% 16%  
387 2% 13%  
388 1.0% 11%  
389 1.2% 10%  
390 1.0% 9%  
391 1.0% 8%  
392 0.8% 7%  
393 0.9% 6%  
394 0.8% 5%  
395 0.6% 4%  
396 0.3% 4%  
397 0.6% 3%  
398 0.3% 3%  
399 0.2% 3% Last Result
400 0.2% 2%  
401 0.2% 2%  
402 0.3% 2%  
403 0.1% 2%  
404 0.1% 2%  
405 0.2% 1.4%  
406 0.3% 1.2%  
407 0% 1.0%  
408 0.2% 1.0%  
409 0.1% 0.7%  
410 0.1% 0.7%  
411 0.1% 0.6%  
412 0.1% 0.5%  
413 0.1% 0.4%  
414 0% 0.3%  
415 0% 0.3%  
416 0% 0.2%  
417 0.1% 0.2%  
418 0% 0.2%  
419 0% 0.1%  
420 0% 0.1%  
421 0% 0.1%  
422 0% 0.1%  
423 0% 0.1%  
424 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 99.9%  
321 0% 99.9%  
322 0% 99.9%  
323 0.1% 99.9%  
324 0% 99.8%  
325 0% 99.8%  
326 0.1% 99.8%  
327 0.1% 99.7%  
328 0% 99.6%  
329 0% 99.5%  
330 0.1% 99.5%  
331 0% 99.4%  
332 0.1% 99.4%  
333 0% 99.2%  
334 0.3% 99.2%  
335 0.3% 98.9%  
336 0.1% 98.6%  
337 0.1% 98.5%  
338 0.1% 98%  
339 0.2% 98%  
340 0.2% 98%  
341 0.2% 98%  
342 0.3% 98%  
343 0.6% 97%  
344 0.4% 97%  
345 0.6% 96%  
346 0.9% 96%  
347 0.5% 95%  
348 1.1% 94%  
349 0.8% 93%  
350 0.8% 93%  
351 1.0% 92%  
352 2% 91%  
353 1.2% 89%  
354 2% 88%  
355 2% 86% Majority
356 3% 83%  
357 3% 81%  
358 4% 78%  
359 4% 74%  
360 4% 70%  
361 3% 66%  
362 6% 63%  
363 4% 57%  
364 3% 54% Median
365 6% 51%  
366 4% 45%  
367 6% 41%  
368 5% 34%  
369 2% 29%  
370 4% 27%  
371 4% 24%  
372 3% 20%  
373 2% 17%  
374 2% 15%  
375 1.5% 13%  
376 2% 11%  
377 2% 9%  
378 1.1% 7%  
379 0.9% 6%  
380 0.7% 5%  
381 0.8% 5%  
382 0.8% 4%  
383 0.8% 3%  
384 0.4% 2%  
385 0.3% 2%  
386 0.5% 2%  
387 0.2% 1.1%  
388 0.2% 0.9%  
389 0.2% 0.7%  
390 0.1% 0.5%  
391 0.1% 0.4%  
392 0.1% 0.3%  
393 0.1% 0.2%  
394 0% 0.1%  
395 0% 0.1%  
396 0% 0.1%  
397 0% 0.1%  
398 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 99.9%  
314 0% 99.9%  
315 0% 99.9%  
316 0.1% 99.9%  
317 0.1% 99.8%  
318 0.1% 99.7%  
319 0.1% 99.6%  
320 0.2% 99.5%  
321 0.2% 99.3%  
322 0.2% 99.1%  
323 0.5% 98.9%  
324 0.3% 98%  
325 0.4% 98%  
326 0.8% 98%  
327 0.8% 97%  
328 0.8% 96%  
329 0.7% 95%  
330 0.9% 95%  
331 1.1% 94%  
332 2% 93%  
333 2% 91%  
334 1.5% 89%  
335 2% 87%  
336 2% 85%  
337 3% 83%  
338 4% 80%  
339 4% 76%  
340 2% 73%  
341 5% 71%  
342 6% 66%  
343 4% 59%  
344 6% 55% Median
345 3% 49%  
346 4% 46%  
347 6% 43%  
348 3% 37%  
349 4% 34%  
350 4% 30%  
351 4% 26%  
352 3% 22%  
353 3% 19%  
354 2% 17%  
355 2% 14% Majority
356 1.2% 12%  
357 2% 11%  
358 1.0% 9%  
359 0.8% 8%  
360 0.8% 7%  
361 1.1% 7%  
362 0.5% 6%  
363 0.9% 5%  
364 0.6% 4%  
365 0.4% 4%  
366 0.6% 3%  
367 0.3% 3%  
368 0.2% 2%  
369 0.2% 2%  
370 0.2% 2%  
371 0.1% 2%  
372 0.1% 2%  
373 0.1% 1.5%  
374 0.3% 1.4%  
375 0.3% 1.1%  
376 0% 0.8%  
377 0.1% 0.8%  
378 0% 0.6%  
379 0.1% 0.6%  
380 0% 0.5%  
381 0% 0.5%  
382 0.1% 0.4%  
383 0.1% 0.3%  
384 0% 0.2%  
385 0% 0.2%  
386 0.1% 0.2%  
387 0% 0.1%  
388 0% 0.1%  
389 0% 0.1%  
390 0% 0.1%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0.1% 99.9%  
289 0% 99.9%  
290 0% 99.9%  
291 0.2% 99.8%  
292 0.1% 99.6%  
293 0.1% 99.5%  
294 0.2% 99.4%  
295 0.2% 99.3%  
296 0.2% 99.1%  
297 0.4% 98.9%  
298 0.5% 98.5%  
299 0.7% 98%  
300 0.8% 97%  
301 0.6% 97%  
302 1.3% 96%  
303 1.0% 95%  
304 2% 94%  
305 1.4% 92%  
306 2% 91%  
307 2% 89%  
308 2% 87%  
309 2% 85%  
310 2% 82%  
311 6% 81%  
312 3% 74%  
313 5% 72%  
314 4% 67%  
315 4% 63%  
316 5% 59%  
317 2% 54% Median
318 5% 52%  
319 6% 47%  
320 3% 41%  
321 2% 38%  
322 5% 36%  
323 4% 30%  
324 2% 27%  
325 5% 25%  
326 2% 20%  
327 3% 18%  
328 1.1% 14%  
329 2% 13%  
330 3% 12%  
331 0.9% 9%  
332 0.8% 8%  
333 0.4% 7%  
334 2% 7%  
335 0.8% 5%  
336 0.8% 5%  
337 0.6% 4%  
338 0.4% 3%  
339 0.5% 3%  
340 0.3% 2%  
341 0.2% 2%  
342 0.1% 2%  
343 0.5% 2%  
344 0.2% 1.4%  
345 0.3% 1.2%  
346 0.2% 1.0%  
347 0.1% 0.8%  
348 0% 0.7%  
349 0% 0.7%  
350 0.2% 0.6%  
351 0% 0.5%  
352 0.1% 0.4%  
353 0% 0.3%  
354 0.1% 0.3%  
355 0% 0.2% Majority
356 0% 0.2%  
357 0% 0.1%  
358 0% 0.1%  
359 0% 0.1%  
360 0% 0.1%  
361 0% 0.1%  
362 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 99.9%  
262 0.1% 99.9%  
263 0.1% 99.8%  
264 0.1% 99.7%  
265 0.1% 99.7%  
266 0.2% 99.6%  
267 0.2% 99.4%  
268 0.2% 99.3%  
269 0.2% 99.1%  
270 0.3% 98.9%  
271 0.3% 98.6%  
272 0.4% 98%  
273 0.8% 98%  
274 1.1% 97%  
275 0.9% 96%  
276 3% 95%  
277 3% 92%  
278 1.4% 89%  
279 3% 88%  
280 2% 85%  
281 2% 83%  
282 3% 82%  
283 2% 79%  
284 2% 77%  
285 3% 75%  
286 3% 72%  
287 5% 69%  
288 5% 65%  
289 6% 59%  
290 3% 54% Median
291 7% 50%  
292 3% 43%  
293 4% 40%  
294 3% 36%  
295 4% 33%  
296 3% 28%  
297 2% 26%  
298 2% 24%  
299 2% 21%  
300 2% 20%  
301 1.2% 17%  
302 2% 16%  
303 4% 14%  
304 1.3% 10%  
305 2% 9%  
306 2% 7%  
307 1.0% 5%  
308 0.6% 4%  
309 0.6% 4%  
310 0.7% 3%  
311 0.2% 3%  
312 0.3% 2%  
313 0.2% 2% Last Result
314 0.1% 2%  
315 0.2% 2%  
316 0.3% 1.4%  
317 0.1% 1.2%  
318 0.1% 1.0%  
319 0.1% 0.9%  
320 0.1% 0.8%  
321 0.2% 0.7%  
322 0.1% 0.5%  
323 0% 0.4%  
324 0.1% 0.4%  
325 0.1% 0.2%  
326 0% 0.2%  
327 0% 0.2%  
328 0% 0.2%  
329 0% 0.1%  
330 0% 0.1%  
331 0% 0.1%  
332 0% 0.1%  
333 0% 0.1%  
334 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
233 0% 100% Last Result
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 99.9%  
258 0% 99.9%  
259 0% 99.9%  
260 0% 99.8%  
261 0.2% 99.8%  
262 0.1% 99.6%  
263 0.3% 99.6%  
264 0.1% 99.3%  
265 0.1% 99.2%  
266 0.4% 99.1%  
267 0.4% 98.7%  
268 0.7% 98%  
269 1.0% 97%  
270 0.7% 97%  
271 0.6% 96%  
272 2% 95%  
273 0.9% 93%  
274 2% 93%  
275 2% 90%  
276 2% 89%  
277 2% 86%  
278 4% 84%  
279 3% 80%  
280 5% 77%  
281 2% 72%  
282 4% 70%  
283 3% 66%  
284 3% 63%  
285 4% 60%  
286 4% 56% Median
287 6% 52%  
288 1.5% 46%  
289 3% 44%  
290 6% 41%  
291 3% 35%  
292 6% 32%  
293 4% 26%  
294 3% 22%  
295 1.2% 19%  
296 2% 18%  
297 1.1% 15%  
298 3% 14%  
299 1.4% 11%  
300 1.4% 9%  
301 1.2% 8%  
302 1.3% 7%  
303 0.8% 6%  
304 0.6% 5%  
305 0.6% 4%  
306 0.5% 4%  
307 0.4% 3%  
308 0.4% 3%  
309 0.2% 2%  
310 0.3% 2%  
311 0.2% 2%  
312 0.1% 1.4%  
313 0.2% 1.3%  
314 0.1% 1.1%  
315 0.1% 1.0%  
316 0.1% 0.9%  
317 0.1% 0.7%  
318 0.1% 0.6%  
319 0.1% 0.5%  
320 0% 0.4%  
321 0.1% 0.3%  
322 0% 0.3%  
323 0% 0.2%  
324 0.1% 0.2%  
325 0% 0.1%  
326 0% 0.1%  
327 0% 0.1%  
328 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 99.9%  
231 0% 99.9%  
232 0% 99.9%  
233 0.1% 99.9%  
234 0.1% 99.8%  
235 0.1% 99.7%  
236 0.2% 99.6%  
237 0.1% 99.4%  
238 0.5% 99.3%  
239 0.4% 98.8%  
240 0.6% 98%  
241 0.9% 98%  
242 0.7% 97%  
243 0.9% 96%  
244 1.1% 95%  
245 2% 94%  
246 1.4% 93%  
247 3% 91%  
248 1.1% 89%  
249 2% 88%  
250 4% 85%  
251 4% 81%  
252 3% 77%  
253 3% 74%  
254 2% 72%  
255 3% 69%  
256 5% 66%  
257 4% 61%  
258 3% 57%  
259 2% 55% Median
260 6% 53%  
261 7% 47%  
262 3% 40%  
263 2% 37%  
264 3% 35%  
265 5% 31%  
266 2% 26%  
267 3% 24%  
268 2% 21%  
269 3% 19%  
270 2% 17%  
271 4% 15%  
272 1.4% 11%  
273 2% 10%  
274 1.4% 8%  
275 1.3% 7%  
276 1.0% 5%  
277 0.7% 4%  
278 0.5% 4%  
279 0.3% 3%  
280 0.4% 3%  
281 0.4% 2%  
282 0.5% 2%  
283 0.4% 2%  
284 0.2% 1.2%  
285 0.2% 1.0%  
286 0.1% 0.8%  
287 0.1% 0.6%  
288 0.1% 0.6%  
289 0.1% 0.5%  
290 0.1% 0.4%  
291 0.1% 0.4%  
292 0.1% 0.3%  
293 0% 0.3%  
294 0% 0.2%  
295 0.1% 0.2%  
296 0% 0.1%  
297 0% 0.1%  
298 0% 0.1%  
299 0% 0.1%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
230 0% 100%  
231 0.1% 99.9%  
232 0% 99.9%  
233 0.1% 99.8%  
234 0.1% 99.8%  
235 0.2% 99.7%  
236 0.1% 99.5%  
237 0.2% 99.3%  
238 0.3% 99.1%  
239 0.5% 98.8%  
240 0.3% 98%  
241 0.5% 98%  
242 0.5% 98%  
243 0.8% 97%  
244 1.1% 96%  
245 0.8% 95%  
246 2% 94%  
247 1.2% 93%  
248 2% 92%  
249 2% 90%  
250 4% 88%  
251 2% 85%  
252 3% 83%  
253 3% 80%  
254 4% 77%  
255 4% 73%  
256 3% 69%  
257 8% 66%  
258 4% 58%  
259 3% 54% Median
260 8% 51%  
261 2% 43%  
262 4% 40%  
263 3% 36%  
264 5% 33%  
265 5% 29%  
266 3% 24%  
267 4% 21%  
268 3% 17%  
269 0.9% 15%  
270 2% 14%  
271 2% 12%  
272 1.1% 10%  
273 1.1% 9%  
274 1.5% 8%  
275 1.2% 6%  
276 0.6% 5%  
277 0.6% 4%  
278 0.7% 4%  
279 0.5% 3%  
280 0.3% 2%  
281 0.2% 2%  
282 0.2% 2%  
283 0.3% 2%  
284 0.3% 1.4%  
285 0.2% 1.0%  
286 0.2% 0.8%  
287 0.1% 0.7%  
288 0.1% 0.5%  
289 0.1% 0.4%  
290 0% 0.4%  
291 0% 0.3%  
292 0.1% 0.3%  
293 0% 0.2%  
294 0.1% 0.2%  
295 0% 0.1%  
296 0% 0.1%  
297 0% 0.1%  
298 0% 0.1%  
299 0% 0.1%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0%  
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
196 0% 100%  
197 0% 99.9%  
198 0.1% 99.9%  
199 0% 99.9%  
200 0% 99.8%  
201 0% 99.8%  
202 0% 99.8%  
203 0.1% 99.8%  
204 0.1% 99.7%  
205 0% 99.6%  
206 0.1% 99.6%  
207 0.1% 99.5%  
208 0% 99.5%  
209 0.1% 99.4%  
210 0.3% 99.4%  
211 0.1% 99.1%  
212 0.1% 99.0%  
213 0.1% 98.9%  
214 0.1% 98.9%  
215 0.3% 98.8%  
216 0.1% 98%  
217 0.1% 98%  
218 0.2% 98%  
219 0.2% 98%  
220 0.2% 98%  
221 0.1% 98%  
222 0.2% 98% Last Result
223 0.2% 97%  
224 0.3% 97%  
225 0.5% 97%  
226 0.2% 97%  
227 0.3% 96%  
228 0.3% 96%  
229 0.6% 96%  
230 0.4% 95%  
231 0.6% 95%  
232 1.0% 94%  
233 0.5% 93%  
234 0.7% 93%  
235 1.1% 92%  
236 2% 91%  
237 1.3% 89%  
238 1.4% 87%  
239 4% 86%  
240 2% 82%  
241 2% 80%  
242 2% 78%  
243 5% 76%  
244 8% 71%  
245 2% 62%  
246 3% 60%  
247 5% 57%  
248 4% 52% Median
249 4% 48%  
250 4% 44%  
251 6% 40%  
252 4% 34%  
253 3% 30%  
254 2% 27%  
255 5% 24%  
256 5% 19%  
257 2% 14%  
258 2% 13%  
259 1.4% 11%  
260 1.4% 9%  
261 0.8% 8%  
262 1.2% 7%  
263 1.4% 6%  
264 0.5% 4%  
265 0.9% 4%  
266 0.3% 3%  
267 0.4% 3%  
268 0.6% 2%  
269 0.7% 2%  
270 0.3% 1.1%  
271 0.2% 0.8%  
272 0.1% 0.6%  
273 0.1% 0.5%  
274 0.1% 0.4%  
275 0.1% 0.2%  
276 0% 0.1%  
277 0% 0.1%  
278 0% 0.1%  
279 0% 0.1%  
280 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations