Opinion Poll by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, 14–16 September 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 25.0% 23.6–26.6% 23.2–27.0% 22.8–27.4% 22.2–28.1%
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 17.9% 16.6–19.2% 16.2–19.6% 15.9–20.0% 15.3–20.6%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 16.0% 14.8–17.3% 14.5–17.7% 14.2–18.0% 13.6–18.7%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 11.0% 10.0–12.2% 9.7–12.5% 9.5–12.8% 9.0–13.3%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 11.0% 10.0–12.2% 9.7–12.5% 9.5–12.8% 9.0–13.3%
Die Linke 9.2% 6.0% 5.2–6.9% 5.0–7.1% 4.8–7.3% 4.5–7.8%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 4.1% 3.5–4.9% 3.3–5.1% 3.2–5.3% 2.9–5.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 194 183–206 180–210 177–214 172–220
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 139 128–149 125–152 124–155 119–161
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 124 115–134 112–138 110–140 105–145
Alternative für Deutschland 94 86 78–94 75–97 73–99 70–104
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 86 77–94 75–97 73–99 70–104
Die Linke 69 46 40–53 39–55 0–57 0–60
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 35 30–41 29–43 28–44 26–47

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
153 0% 100% Last Result
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100%  
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 99.9%  
168 0% 99.9%  
169 0.1% 99.8%  
170 0.1% 99.8%  
171 0.1% 99.7%  
172 0.2% 99.5%  
173 0.3% 99.3%  
174 0.3% 99.1%  
175 0.5% 98.8%  
176 0.5% 98%  
177 0.6% 98%  
178 1.0% 97%  
179 1.1% 96%  
180 0.9% 95%  
181 2% 94%  
182 2% 92%  
183 2% 90%  
184 3% 89%  
185 3% 86%  
186 2% 83%  
187 5% 81%  
188 4% 76%  
189 3% 72%  
190 6% 69%  
191 3% 63%  
192 4% 60%  
193 6% 56%  
194 4% 50% Median
195 5% 46%  
196 5% 41%  
197 3% 36%  
198 3% 33%  
199 4% 30%  
200 2% 26%  
201 3% 23%  
202 3% 21%  
203 2% 18%  
204 3% 16%  
205 2% 13%  
206 2% 11%  
207 2% 10%  
208 1.0% 8%  
209 1.3% 7%  
210 0.9% 6%  
211 0.9% 5%  
212 0.8% 4%  
213 0.4% 3%  
214 0.7% 3%  
215 0.4% 2%  
216 0.2% 1.5%  
217 0.3% 1.2%  
218 0.2% 0.9%  
219 0.1% 0.7%  
220 0.2% 0.6%  
221 0.1% 0.5%  
222 0.1% 0.4%  
223 0.1% 0.3%  
224 0% 0.2%  
225 0% 0.2%  
226 0% 0.2%  
227 0% 0.1%  
228 0% 0.1%  
229 0% 0.1%  
230 0% 0.1%  
231 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
114 0% 100%  
115 0.1% 99.9%  
116 0.1% 99.9%  
117 0.1% 99.8%  
118 0.1% 99.7%  
119 0.2% 99.6%  
120 0.4% 99.3%  
121 0.4% 99.0%  
122 0.3% 98.6%  
123 0.6% 98%  
124 1.2% 98%  
125 2% 97%  
126 1.3% 95%  
127 1.1% 93%  
128 3% 92%  
129 3% 90%  
130 4% 87%  
131 3% 83%  
132 2% 81%  
133 3% 79%  
134 5% 76%  
135 6% 70%  
136 4% 64%  
137 4% 61%  
138 4% 56%  
139 8% 52% Median
140 6% 45%  
141 4% 38%  
142 2% 34%  
143 4% 33%  
144 5% 29%  
145 6% 24%  
146 2% 18%  
147 2% 16%  
148 2% 14%  
149 2% 12%  
150 2% 9%  
151 2% 7%  
152 0.8% 5%  
153 0.9% 5%  
154 0.9% 4%  
155 0.6% 3%  
156 0.3% 2%  
157 0.3% 2%  
158 0.5% 2%  
159 0.3% 1.0%  
160 0.2% 0.8%  
161 0.2% 0.6%  
162 0.1% 0.4%  
163 0.1% 0.3%  
164 0% 0.2%  
165 0% 0.2%  
166 0% 0.1%  
167 0% 0.1%  
168 0% 0.1%  
169 0% 0.1%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0%  
175 0% 0%  
176 0% 0%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 99.9%  
103 0.1% 99.9%  
104 0.1% 99.8%  
105 0.2% 99.7%  
106 0.3% 99.5%  
107 0.3% 99.1%  
108 0.4% 98.9%  
109 0.7% 98%  
110 0.8% 98%  
111 1.0% 97%  
112 1.3% 96%  
113 2% 95%  
114 2% 93%  
115 3% 91%  
116 3% 88%  
117 4% 84%  
118 5% 81%  
119 4% 76%  
120 4% 72%  
121 5% 68%  
122 5% 63%  
123 5% 58%  
124 4% 54% Median
125 5% 49%  
126 5% 44%  
127 6% 39%  
128 5% 33%  
129 4% 28%  
130 4% 24%  
131 3% 20%  
132 2% 16%  
133 3% 14%  
134 1.5% 11%  
135 3% 10%  
136 1.4% 7%  
137 0.9% 6%  
138 1.0% 5%  
139 1.2% 4%  
140 0.6% 3%  
141 0.5% 2%  
142 0.4% 2%  
143 0.4% 1.3%  
144 0.3% 0.9%  
145 0.2% 0.6%  
146 0.1% 0.5%  
147 0.1% 0.3%  
148 0.1% 0.3%  
149 0.1% 0.2%  
150 0% 0.1%  
151 0% 0.1%  
152 0% 0.1%  
153 0% 0%  

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0% 100%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.2% 99.8%  
70 0.2% 99.5%  
71 0.3% 99.4%  
72 0.7% 99.1%  
73 0.9% 98%  
74 1.1% 97%  
75 1.3% 96%  
76 2% 95%  
77 3% 93%  
78 3% 90%  
79 3% 87%  
80 4% 84%  
81 6% 80%  
82 6% 74%  
83 6% 68%  
84 4% 62%  
85 6% 58%  
86 9% 52% Median
87 5% 43%  
88 5% 37%  
89 3% 32%  
90 5% 29%  
91 6% 24%  
92 4% 19%  
93 2% 15%  
94 2% 12% Last Result
95 3% 10%  
96 1.4% 7%  
97 1.4% 5%  
98 0.9% 4%  
99 0.8% 3%  
100 0.8% 2%  
101 0.4% 1.5%  
102 0.3% 1.1%  
103 0.2% 0.8%  
104 0.2% 0.6%  
105 0.1% 0.4%  
106 0.1% 0.3%  
107 0.1% 0.2%  
108 0% 0.1%  
109 0% 0.1%  
110 0% 0.1%  
111 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0% 100%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.2% 99.8%  
70 0.2% 99.5%  
71 0.5% 99.3%  
72 0.5% 98.9%  
73 0.9% 98%  
74 1.1% 97%  
75 2% 96%  
76 2% 94%  
77 3% 92%  
78 2% 89%  
79 4% 87%  
80 3% 83% Last Result
81 6% 80%  
82 5% 74%  
83 5% 69%  
84 5% 64%  
85 6% 59%  
86 7% 52% Median
87 8% 45%  
88 5% 37%  
89 5% 31%  
90 4% 26%  
91 4% 22%  
92 4% 18%  
93 3% 14%  
94 2% 12%  
95 2% 9%  
96 2% 8%  
97 1.5% 6%  
98 1.5% 4%  
99 0.8% 3%  
100 0.6% 2%  
101 0.3% 2%  
102 0.5% 1.3%  
103 0.2% 0.8%  
104 0.2% 0.6%  
105 0.1% 0.4%  
106 0.1% 0.3%  
107 0.1% 0.2%  
108 0.1% 0.1%  
109 0% 0.1%  
110 0% 0.1%  
111 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 5% 100%  
1 0% 95%  
2 0% 95%  
3 0% 95%  
4 0% 95%  
5 0% 95%  
6 0% 95%  
7 0% 95%  
8 0% 95%  
9 0% 95%  
10 0% 95%  
11 0% 95%  
12 0% 95%  
13 0% 95%  
14 0% 95%  
15 0% 95%  
16 0% 95%  
17 0% 95%  
18 0% 95%  
19 0% 95%  
20 0% 95%  
21 0% 95%  
22 0% 95%  
23 0% 95%  
24 0% 95%  
25 0% 95%  
26 0% 95%  
27 0% 95%  
28 0% 95%  
29 0% 95%  
30 0% 95%  
31 0% 95%  
32 0% 95%  
33 0% 95%  
34 0% 95%  
35 0% 95%  
36 0% 95%  
37 0% 95%  
38 0% 95%  
39 2% 95%  
40 4% 93%  
41 5% 90%  
42 5% 85%  
43 6% 80%  
44 8% 74%  
45 8% 66%  
46 10% 58% Median
47 8% 49%  
48 8% 41%  
49 6% 33%  
50 6% 27%  
51 5% 22%  
52 5% 16%  
53 3% 11%  
54 3% 8%  
55 2% 6%  
56 1.4% 4%  
57 0.8% 3%  
58 0.6% 2%  
59 0.4% 1.1%  
60 0.3% 0.7%  
61 0.2% 0.4%  
62 0.1% 0.2%  
63 0.1% 0.1%  
64 0% 0.1%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0% 100%  
24 0.1% 99.9%  
25 0.2% 99.9%  
26 0.6% 99.6%  
27 1.0% 99.0%  
28 2% 98%  
29 3% 96%  
30 5% 93%  
31 4% 88%  
32 7% 84%  
33 11% 77%  
34 8% 66%  
35 8% 58% Median
36 11% 50%  
37 10% 39%  
38 6% 29%  
39 6% 23%  
40 6% 17%  
41 3% 11%  
42 3% 8%  
43 2% 5%  
44 1.4% 3%  
45 0.8% 2%  
46 0.5% 1.2% Last Result
47 0.3% 0.7%  
48 0.2% 0.4%  
49 0.1% 0.2%  
50 0.1% 0.1%  
51 0% 0.1%  
52 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 492 100% 480–505 477–512 473–527 467–537
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 453 100% 441–467 438–474 434–487 428–497
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 403 100% 391–418 387–425 384–432 378–444
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 385 99.8% 370–398 367–404 365–410 359–423
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 368 91% 355–382 351–388 348–395 342–406
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Die Linke 289 363 80% 350–377 344–380 338–383 327–390
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 346 20% 332–359 329–365 326–371 319–382
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 220 318 0.3% 305–332 302–337 299–342 292–353
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 299 0% 285–312 282–317 279–321 274–332
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 279 0% 267–293 264–298 261–303 255–313
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 260 0% 247–273 244–278 240–282 235–291
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 260 0% 247–273 244–277 241–281 235–290
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 239 0% 226–253 218–256 209–259 195–264

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
461 0% 100%  
462 0% 99.9%  
463 0% 99.9%  
464 0% 99.9%  
465 0.1% 99.8%  
466 0.2% 99.7% Last Result
467 0.1% 99.6%  
468 0.1% 99.5%  
469 0.3% 99.4%  
470 0.5% 99.1%  
471 0.2% 98.6%  
472 0.2% 98%  
473 0.8% 98%  
474 1.1% 97%  
475 0.4% 96%  
476 0.8% 96%  
477 2% 95%  
478 2% 93%  
479 0.4% 91%  
480 2% 91%  
481 4% 89%  
482 2% 84%  
483 0.9% 82%  
484 4% 82%  
485 5% 78%  
486 3% 73%  
487 1.3% 70%  
488 5% 69%  
489 7% 64%  
490 2% 57%  
491 2% 55%  
492 8% 54% Median
493 6% 46%  
494 2% 40%  
495 2% 38%  
496 7% 36%  
497 4% 30%  
498 1.2% 25%  
499 2% 24%  
500 5% 22%  
501 2% 18%  
502 0.6% 16%  
503 2% 15%  
504 3% 13%  
505 0.7% 10%  
506 0.5% 10%  
507 1.4% 9%  
508 1.1% 8%  
509 0.4% 7%  
510 0.3% 6%  
511 0.6% 6%  
512 0.3% 5%  
513 0.1% 5%  
514 0.2% 5%  
515 0.3% 5%  
516 0.3% 4%  
517 0.1% 4%  
518 0.1% 4%  
519 0.2% 4%  
520 0.1% 4%  
521 0.3% 4%  
522 0.1% 3%  
523 0.1% 3%  
524 0.2% 3%  
525 0.1% 3%  
526 0.2% 3%  
527 0.1% 3%  
528 0.8% 2%  
529 0.1% 2%  
530 0.2% 2%  
531 0.1% 1.3%  
532 0.3% 1.2%  
533 0.1% 0.9%  
534 0.1% 0.8%  
535 0.1% 0.7%  
536 0.1% 0.6%  
537 0.1% 0.5%  
538 0% 0.4%  
539 0.1% 0.4%  
540 0.1% 0.3%  
541 0.1% 0.3%  
542 0% 0.2%  
543 0% 0.1%  
544 0% 0.1%  
545 0% 0.1%  
546 0% 0.1%  
547 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 99.9%  
423 0% 99.9%  
424 0% 99.9%  
425 0.1% 99.8%  
426 0.1% 99.8%  
427 0.1% 99.7%  
428 0.2% 99.6%  
429 0.2% 99.4%  
430 0.2% 99.3%  
431 0.3% 99.1%  
432 0.4% 98.7%  
433 0.5% 98%  
434 0.4% 98%  
435 0.6% 97%  
436 0.7% 97%  
437 1.0% 96%  
438 1.4% 95%  
439 0.9% 94%  
440 1.4% 93%  
441 2% 91%  
442 2% 89%  
443 3% 86%  
444 2% 84%  
445 3% 82%  
446 4% 79%  
447 3% 76%  
448 3% 72%  
449 5% 70%  
450 3% 65%  
451 6% 62%  
452 5% 57%  
453 3% 51%  
454 4% 48% Median
455 4% 44%  
456 3% 40%  
457 4% 37%  
458 4% 33%  
459 2% 29%  
460 4% 27%  
461 3% 23%  
462 3% 20%  
463 2% 17%  
464 2% 15%  
465 1.4% 13%  
466 1.4% 12%  
467 1.1% 11%  
468 1.1% 9%  
469 0.6% 8%  
470 0.6% 8%  
471 0.9% 7%  
472 0.6% 6%  
473 0.3% 6%  
474 0.5% 5%  
475 0.3% 5%  
476 0.3% 5%  
477 0.2% 4%  
478 0.2% 4%  
479 0.2% 4% Last Result
480 0.2% 4%  
481 0.2% 3%  
482 0.2% 3%  
483 0.1% 3%  
484 0.2% 3%  
485 0.1% 3%  
486 0.1% 3%  
487 0.2% 3%  
488 0.6% 2%  
489 0.1% 2%  
490 0.1% 2%  
491 0.2% 1.5%  
492 0.1% 1.3%  
493 0.1% 1.1%  
494 0.1% 1.1%  
495 0.2% 0.9%  
496 0.1% 0.7%  
497 0.2% 0.6%  
498 0.1% 0.4%  
499 0.1% 0.4%  
500 0.1% 0.3%  
501 0% 0.3%  
502 0% 0.2%  
503 0% 0.2%  
504 0.1% 0.2%  
505 0% 0.1%  
506 0% 0.1%  
507 0% 0.1%  
508 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
300 0% 100% Last Result
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 99.9%  
373 0% 99.9%  
374 0% 99.9%  
375 0.1% 99.8%  
376 0.1% 99.8%  
377 0.1% 99.7%  
378 0.1% 99.6%  
379 0.2% 99.5%  
380 0.3% 99.3%  
381 0.3% 99.0%  
382 0.3% 98.7%  
383 0.6% 98%  
384 0.6% 98%  
385 0.8% 97%  
386 0.7% 96%  
387 1.0% 96%  
388 1.3% 95%  
389 1.0% 93%  
390 1.0% 92%  
391 2% 91%  
392 3% 89%  
393 2% 86%  
394 2% 84%  
395 3% 82%  
396 3% 79%  
397 5% 76%  
398 3% 71%  
399 2% 68%  
400 4% 66%  
401 6% 62%  
402 4% 56%  
403 3% 52%  
404 3% 49% Median
405 6% 47%  
406 4% 41%  
407 4% 37%  
408 3% 34%  
409 3% 31%  
410 4% 28%  
411 2% 24%  
412 3% 22%  
413 2% 19%  
414 2% 17%  
415 2% 16%  
416 2% 14%  
417 2% 12%  
418 1.1% 10%  
419 0.8% 9%  
420 0.9% 8%  
421 0.8% 7%  
422 0.9% 7%  
423 0.4% 6%  
424 0.3% 5%  
425 0.4% 5%  
426 0.6% 5%  
427 0.4% 4%  
428 0.2% 4%  
429 0.2% 3%  
430 0.2% 3%  
431 0.2% 3%  
432 0.7% 3%  
433 0.2% 2%  
434 0.1% 2%  
435 0.2% 2%  
436 0.2% 2%  
437 0.2% 2%  
438 0.1% 1.3%  
439 0.2% 1.2%  
440 0.1% 1.0%  
441 0.2% 0.9%  
442 0.1% 0.7%  
443 0.1% 0.6%  
444 0.1% 0.5%  
445 0.1% 0.5%  
446 0% 0.4%  
447 0.1% 0.4%  
448 0.1% 0.3%  
449 0% 0.2%  
450 0% 0.2%  
451 0% 0.1%  
452 0% 0.1%  
453 0% 0.1%  
454 0% 0.1%  
455 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 99.9%  
352 0% 99.9%  
353 0% 99.9%  
354 0% 99.8%  
355 0.1% 99.8% Majority
356 0.1% 99.7%  
357 0.1% 99.7%  
358 0.1% 99.6%  
359 0.1% 99.5%  
360 0.1% 99.4%  
361 0.2% 99.3%  
362 0.3% 99.0%  
363 0.4% 98.8%  
364 0.6% 98%  
365 1.1% 98%  
366 1.5% 97%  
367 2% 95%  
368 1.2% 93%  
369 2% 92%  
370 2% 90%  
371 2% 88%  
372 2% 86%  
373 3% 84%  
374 2% 82%  
375 2% 80%  
376 2% 78%  
377 2% 76%  
378 2% 73%  
379 2% 71%  
380 2% 69%  
381 3% 67%  
382 4% 64%  
383 3% 60%  
384 5% 57% Median
385 6% 52%  
386 5% 46%  
387 6% 41%  
388 4% 35%  
389 6% 31%  
390 4% 26%  
391 2% 21%  
392 2% 19%  
393 2% 17% Last Result
394 2% 15%  
395 1.2% 14%  
396 1.3% 12%  
397 0.7% 11%  
398 1.3% 10%  
399 0.7% 9%  
400 0.6% 8%  
401 0.8% 8%  
402 0.6% 7%  
403 0.9% 6%  
404 0.7% 6%  
405 0.6% 5%  
406 0.5% 4%  
407 0.4% 4%  
408 0.4% 3%  
409 0.5% 3%  
410 0.3% 3%  
411 0.2% 2%  
412 0.2% 2%  
413 0.2% 2%  
414 0.2% 2%  
415 0.1% 1.5%  
416 0.1% 1.4%  
417 0.1% 1.3%  
418 0.2% 1.2%  
419 0.1% 1.1%  
420 0.1% 1.0%  
421 0.1% 0.9%  
422 0.2% 0.8%  
423 0.2% 0.6%  
424 0% 0.5%  
425 0.1% 0.4%  
426 0.1% 0.3%  
427 0.1% 0.3%  
428 0% 0.2%  
429 0% 0.2%  
430 0% 0.1%  
431 0% 0.1%  
432 0% 0.1%  
433 0% 0.1%  
434 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 99.9%  
337 0.1% 99.9%  
338 0.1% 99.9%  
339 0.1% 99.8%  
340 0.1% 99.7%  
341 0.1% 99.7%  
342 0.1% 99.5%  
343 0.2% 99.4%  
344 0.3% 99.2%  
345 0.3% 99.0%  
346 0.3% 98.6%  
347 0.4% 98%  
348 0.7% 98%  
349 0.7% 97%  
350 0.9% 96%  
351 0.9% 96%  
352 0.9% 95%  
353 1.4% 94%  
354 1.3% 92%  
355 2% 91% Majority
356 2% 89%  
357 3% 87%  
358 3% 84%  
359 2% 82%  
360 3% 79%  
361 3% 76%  
362 4% 73%  
363 3% 69%  
364 5% 66%  
365 3% 61%  
366 5% 58%  
367 3% 53%  
368 4% 50% Median
369 4% 47%  
370 4% 43%  
371 4% 39%  
372 3% 35%  
373 2% 32%  
374 4% 30%  
375 3% 26%  
376 2% 23%  
377 2% 21%  
378 2% 19%  
379 3% 17%  
380 2% 14%  
381 1.3% 11%  
382 0.7% 10%  
383 1.3% 9%  
384 1.1% 8%  
385 0.6% 7%  
386 0.5% 6%  
387 0.7% 6%  
388 0.6% 5%  
389 0.4% 5%  
390 0.4% 4%  
391 0.3% 4%  
392 0.2% 3%  
393 0.3% 3%  
394 0.3% 3%  
395 0.3% 3%  
396 0.1% 2%  
397 0.5% 2%  
398 0.1% 2%  
399 0.3% 2% Last Result
400 0.1% 1.3%  
401 0.2% 1.2%  
402 0.2% 1.0%  
403 0.1% 0.8%  
404 0.1% 0.7%  
405 0.1% 0.7%  
406 0.1% 0.6%  
407 0% 0.5%  
408 0.2% 0.4%  
409 0% 0.3%  
410 0% 0.2%  
411 0.1% 0.2%  
412 0% 0.2%  
413 0% 0.1%  
414 0% 0.1%  
415 0% 0.1%  
416 0% 0.1%  
417 0% 0.1%  
418 0% 0.1%  
419 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 99.9%  
318 0% 99.9%  
319 0% 99.9%  
320 0% 99.9%  
321 0% 99.9%  
322 0% 99.8%  
323 0% 99.8%  
324 0.1% 99.8%  
325 0.1% 99.7%  
326 0% 99.6%  
327 0.1% 99.6%  
328 0.1% 99.5%  
329 0.1% 99.4%  
330 0.1% 99.3%  
331 0.1% 99.2%  
332 0.1% 99.1%  
333 0.3% 99.0%  
334 0.2% 98.7%  
335 0.3% 98.5%  
336 0.2% 98%  
337 0.3% 98%  
338 0.3% 98%  
339 0.2% 97%  
340 0.3% 97%  
341 0.6% 97%  
342 0.3% 96%  
343 0.8% 96%  
344 0.6% 95%  
345 0.5% 95%  
346 0.9% 94%  
347 0.9% 93%  
348 1.0% 92%  
349 0.9% 91%  
350 1.4% 90%  
351 2% 89%  
352 2% 87%  
353 3% 86%  
354 3% 83%  
355 2% 80% Majority
356 3% 78%  
357 2% 75%  
358 2% 73%  
359 5% 71%  
360 4% 66%  
361 4% 62%  
362 5% 57%  
363 3% 53%  
364 3% 50% Median
365 3% 46%  
366 3% 43%  
367 4% 40%  
368 4% 36%  
369 4% 32%  
370 3% 28%  
371 4% 25%  
372 2% 22%  
373 2% 20%  
374 2% 18%  
375 2% 15%  
376 2% 13%  
377 2% 11%  
378 2% 9%  
379 1.0% 7%  
380 1.1% 6%  
381 0.7% 5%  
382 0.8% 4%  
383 0.9% 3%  
384 0.6% 2%  
385 0.4% 2%  
386 0.4% 1.4%  
387 0.3% 1.1%  
388 0.2% 0.8%  
389 0.1% 0.6%  
390 0.1% 0.5%  
391 0.1% 0.4%  
392 0.1% 0.3%  
393 0.1% 0.2%  
394 0% 0.1%  
395 0% 0.1%  
396 0% 0.1%  
397 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 99.9%  
315 0% 99.9%  
316 0.1% 99.9%  
317 0.1% 99.8%  
318 0.1% 99.7%  
319 0.1% 99.6%  
320 0.1% 99.5%  
321 0.2% 99.4%  
322 0.3% 99.2%  
323 0.4% 98.9%  
324 0.4% 98.6%  
325 0.6% 98%  
326 0.9% 98%  
327 0.8% 97%  
328 0.7% 96%  
329 1.1% 95%  
330 1.0% 94%  
331 2% 93%  
332 2% 91%  
333 2% 89%  
334 2% 87%  
335 2% 85%  
336 2% 82%  
337 2% 80%  
338 4% 78%  
339 3% 75%  
340 4% 72%  
341 4% 68%  
342 4% 64%  
343 3% 60%  
344 3% 57%  
345 3% 54%  
346 3% 50% Median
347 5% 47%  
348 4% 43%  
349 4% 38%  
350 5% 34%  
351 2% 29%  
352 2% 27%  
353 3% 25%  
354 2% 22%  
355 3% 20% Majority
356 3% 17%  
357 2% 14%  
358 2% 13%  
359 1.4% 11%  
360 0.9% 10%  
361 1.0% 9%  
362 0.9% 8%  
363 0.9% 7%  
364 0.5% 6%  
365 0.6% 5%  
366 0.8% 5%  
367 0.3% 4%  
368 0.6% 4%  
369 0.3% 3%  
370 0.2% 3%  
371 0.3% 3%  
372 0.3% 2%  
373 0.2% 2%  
374 0.3% 2%  
375 0.2% 1.5%  
376 0.3% 1.3%  
377 0.1% 1.0%  
378 0.1% 0.9%  
379 0.1% 0.8%  
380 0.1% 0.7%  
381 0.1% 0.6%  
382 0.1% 0.5%  
383 0% 0.4%  
384 0.1% 0.4%  
385 0.1% 0.3%  
386 0% 0.2%  
387 0% 0.2%  
388 0% 0.2%  
389 0% 0.1%  
390 0% 0.1%  
391 0% 0.1%  
392 0% 0.1%  
393 0% 0.1%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 99.9%  
288 0% 99.9%  
289 0% 99.9%  
290 0.1% 99.8%  
291 0.1% 99.7%  
292 0.2% 99.6%  
293 0.1% 99.5%  
294 0.2% 99.3%  
295 0.4% 99.1%  
296 0.2% 98.7%  
297 0.4% 98%  
298 0.5% 98%  
299 0.8% 98%  
300 0.6% 97%  
301 0.8% 96%  
302 1.4% 95%  
303 1.4% 94%  
304 2% 93%  
305 2% 91%  
306 2% 89%  
307 3% 88%  
308 3% 85%  
309 2% 82%  
310 3% 80%  
311 3% 77%  
312 3% 73%  
313 3% 70%  
314 4% 67%  
315 5% 63%  
316 3% 58%  
317 4% 55%  
318 4% 51% Median
319 4% 47%  
320 3% 43%  
321 3% 40%  
322 3% 37%  
323 4% 34%  
324 2% 30%  
325 3% 27%  
326 3% 24%  
327 3% 21%  
328 2% 18%  
329 2% 16%  
330 2% 15%  
331 1.3% 12%  
332 1.4% 11%  
333 1.0% 9%  
334 1.3% 8%  
335 1.1% 7%  
336 0.7% 6%  
337 0.6% 5%  
338 0.6% 5%  
339 0.4% 4%  
340 0.4% 4%  
341 0.5% 3%  
342 0.4% 3%  
343 0.4% 2%  
344 0.2% 2%  
345 0.2% 2%  
346 0.3% 1.5%  
347 0.1% 1.2%  
348 0.1% 1.1%  
349 0.1% 1.0%  
350 0.1% 0.9%  
351 0.2% 0.8%  
352 0.1% 0.6%  
353 0.1% 0.5%  
354 0.1% 0.4%  
355 0% 0.3% Majority
356 0% 0.3%  
357 0.1% 0.3%  
358 0.1% 0.2%  
359 0% 0.1%  
360 0% 0.1%  
361 0% 0.1%  
362 0% 0.1%  
363 0% 0.1%  
364 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 99.9%  
268 0% 99.9%  
269 0% 99.8%  
270 0.1% 99.8%  
271 0.1% 99.8%  
272 0.1% 99.7%  
273 0.1% 99.6%  
274 0.2% 99.5%  
275 0.2% 99.4%  
276 0.2% 99.2%  
277 0.4% 98.9%  
278 0.6% 98.5%  
279 0.6% 98%  
280 0.8% 97%  
281 2% 97%  
282 1.5% 95%  
283 2% 94%  
284 2% 92%  
285 2% 90%  
286 2% 88%  
287 2% 86%  
288 3% 84%  
289 2% 81%  
290 3% 79%  
291 2% 77%  
292 2% 74%  
293 2% 72%  
294 4% 71%  
295 3% 67%  
296 3% 64%  
297 4% 61%  
298 4% 57% Median
299 4% 53%  
300 6% 49%  
301 5% 43%  
302 5% 38%  
303 4% 33%  
304 4% 29%  
305 4% 24%  
306 3% 20%  
307 1.4% 18%  
308 2% 16%  
309 1.3% 14%  
310 2% 13%  
311 1.0% 11%  
312 1.0% 10%  
313 0.9% 9% Last Result
314 1.4% 8%  
315 0.7% 7%  
316 0.6% 6%  
317 0.7% 5%  
318 1.1% 5%  
319 0.5% 4%  
320 0.6% 3%  
321 0.4% 3%  
322 0.2% 2%  
323 0.2% 2%  
324 0.2% 2%  
325 0.1% 2%  
326 0.1% 1.4%  
327 0.1% 1.2%  
328 0.1% 1.1%  
329 0.2% 1.0%  
330 0.1% 0.8%  
331 0.1% 0.7%  
332 0.1% 0.6%  
333 0.1% 0.5%  
334 0% 0.4%  
335 0.1% 0.3%  
336 0.1% 0.2%  
337 0% 0.2%  
338 0.1% 0.1%  
339 0% 0.1%  
340 0% 0.1%  
341 0% 0.1%  
342 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
233 0% 100% Last Result
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 99.9%  
250 0% 99.9%  
251 0% 99.9%  
252 0.1% 99.8%  
253 0.1% 99.7%  
254 0.1% 99.7%  
255 0.2% 99.5%  
256 0.2% 99.4%  
257 0.2% 99.2%  
258 0.3% 99.0%  
259 0.5% 98.7%  
260 0.6% 98%  
261 0.8% 98%  
262 0.8% 97%  
263 0.9% 96%  
264 1.1% 95%  
265 1.3% 94%  
266 2% 93%  
267 2% 91%  
268 1.4% 89%  
269 2% 88%  
270 2% 86%  
271 2% 84%  
272 3% 82%  
273 4% 78%  
274 4% 75%  
275 3% 70%  
276 5% 67%  
277 5% 62%  
278 5% 57%  
279 5% 52%  
280 5% 47% Median
281 4% 42%  
282 4% 39%  
283 3% 35%  
284 3% 32%  
285 3% 28%  
286 2% 26%  
287 2% 23%  
288 2% 22%  
289 3% 20%  
290 2% 17%  
291 2% 15%  
292 2% 13%  
293 1.1% 11%  
294 1.1% 10%  
295 1.2% 8%  
296 0.8% 7%  
297 0.8% 6%  
298 0.8% 6%  
299 0.5% 5%  
300 0.4% 4%  
301 0.9% 4%  
302 0.4% 3%  
303 0.6% 3%  
304 0.3% 2%  
305 0.2% 2%  
306 0.2% 2%  
307 0.2% 1.4%  
308 0.1% 1.2%  
309 0.1% 1.1%  
310 0.1% 1.0%  
311 0.3% 0.9%  
312 0.1% 0.6%  
313 0% 0.5%  
314 0.1% 0.5%  
315 0.1% 0.4%  
316 0.1% 0.3%  
317 0.1% 0.2%  
318 0% 0.2%  
319 0% 0.1%  
320 0% 0.1%  
321 0% 0.1%  
322 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 99.9%  
231 0% 99.9%  
232 0.1% 99.9%  
233 0.1% 99.8%  
234 0.2% 99.7%  
235 0.1% 99.6%  
236 0.2% 99.4%  
237 0.2% 99.3%  
238 0.5% 99.1%  
239 0.6% 98.6%  
240 0.6% 98%  
241 0.6% 97%  
242 0.7% 97%  
243 1.0% 96%  
244 1.5% 95%  
245 1.5% 94%  
246 2% 92%  
247 1.3% 91%  
248 2% 89%  
249 2% 87%  
250 3% 85%  
251 2% 82%  
252 2% 80%  
253 3% 77%  
254 3% 75%  
255 4% 71%  
256 3% 68%  
257 4% 64%  
258 4% 60%  
259 4% 57%  
260 4% 53% Median
261 4% 49%  
262 6% 45%  
263 3% 39%  
264 7% 36%  
265 3% 30%  
266 4% 26%  
267 2% 23%  
268 2% 20%  
269 2% 18%  
270 2% 16%  
271 2% 14%  
272 1.5% 12%  
273 1.2% 10%  
274 1.4% 9%  
275 0.9% 7%  
276 0.9% 7%  
277 0.6% 6%  
278 0.9% 5%  
279 0.5% 4%  
280 0.5% 4%  
281 0.5% 3%  
282 0.4% 3%  
283 0.4% 2%  
284 0.3% 2%  
285 0.2% 2%  
286 0.2% 1.3%  
287 0.2% 1.1%  
288 0.2% 1.0%  
289 0.1% 0.8%  
290 0.1% 0.7%  
291 0.1% 0.6%  
292 0.2% 0.5%  
293 0% 0.3%  
294 0.1% 0.3%  
295 0% 0.2%  
296 0% 0.2%  
297 0% 0.1%  
298 0% 0.1%  
299 0% 0.1%  
300 0% 0.1%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 99.9%  
231 0.1% 99.9%  
232 0.1% 99.8%  
233 0.1% 99.8%  
234 0.1% 99.7%  
235 0.1% 99.6%  
236 0.1% 99.5%  
237 0.3% 99.3%  
238 0.4% 99.0%  
239 0.3% 98.6%  
240 0.5% 98%  
241 0.7% 98%  
242 0.6% 97%  
243 1.1% 96%  
244 2% 95%  
245 1.1% 94%  
246 2% 93%  
247 2% 91%  
248 2% 89%  
249 2% 87%  
250 3% 85%  
251 2% 83%  
252 3% 81%  
253 3% 78%  
254 4% 74%  
255 3% 71%  
256 4% 68%  
257 4% 64%  
258 3% 60%  
259 4% 57%  
260 6% 53% Median
261 4% 46%  
262 3% 42%  
263 4% 40%  
264 5% 35%  
265 2% 30%  
266 3% 28%  
267 4% 25%  
268 3% 21%  
269 2% 18%  
270 2% 16%  
271 2% 14%  
272 1.4% 12%  
273 2% 10%  
274 1.0% 9%  
275 0.9% 8%  
276 1.0% 7%  
277 1.4% 6%  
278 0.6% 5%  
279 0.5% 4%  
280 0.5% 3%  
281 0.4% 3%  
282 0.3% 2%  
283 0.4% 2%  
284 0.2% 2%  
285 0.2% 1.5%  
286 0.2% 1.3%  
287 0.2% 1.1%  
288 0.2% 0.8%  
289 0.1% 0.7%  
290 0.1% 0.5%  
291 0.1% 0.4%  
292 0% 0.4%  
293 0.1% 0.3%  
294 0% 0.3%  
295 0.1% 0.2%  
296 0% 0.2%  
297 0% 0.2%  
298 0% 0.1%  
299 0% 0.1%  
300 0% 0.1%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0%  
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
186 0% 100%  
187 0% 99.9%  
188 0% 99.9%  
189 0% 99.9%  
190 0% 99.9%  
191 0.1% 99.8%  
192 0% 99.8%  
193 0.1% 99.8%  
194 0.1% 99.7%  
195 0.2% 99.6%  
196 0.1% 99.4%  
197 0.1% 99.3%  
198 0.1% 99.3%  
199 0.1% 99.1%  
200 0.1% 99.1%  
201 0.2% 98.9%  
202 0.1% 98.8%  
203 0.2% 98.7%  
204 0.2% 98%  
205 0.2% 98%  
206 0.2% 98%  
207 0.1% 98%  
208 0.2% 98%  
209 0.3% 98%  
210 0.3% 97%  
211 0.2% 97%  
212 0.2% 97%  
213 0.2% 97%  
214 0.4% 96%  
215 0.2% 96%  
216 0.2% 96%  
217 0.3% 96%  
218 0.3% 95%  
219 0.4% 95%  
220 0.4% 95%  
221 0.6% 94%  
222 0.4% 94% Last Result
223 0.5% 93%  
224 0.9% 93%  
225 1.0% 92%  
226 1.0% 91%  
227 1.4% 90%  
228 1.5% 88%  
229 2% 87%  
230 2% 85%  
231 2% 83%  
232 2% 81%  
233 3% 79%  
234 5% 76%  
235 3% 71%  
236 5% 67%  
237 5% 62%  
238 5% 57%  
239 3% 52%  
240 4% 49% Median
241 3% 45%  
242 4% 42%  
243 4% 38%  
244 4% 34%  
245 3% 30%  
246 3% 27%  
247 3% 24%  
248 2% 21%  
249 2% 19%  
250 2% 17%  
251 2% 15%  
252 2% 13%  
253 2% 11%  
254 2% 9%  
255 2% 7%  
256 1.4% 5%  
257 0.7% 4%  
258 0.7% 3%  
259 0.5% 3%  
260 0.5% 2%  
261 0.4% 2%  
262 0.3% 1.1%  
263 0.2% 0.8%  
264 0.2% 0.6%  
265 0.1% 0.4%  
266 0.1% 0.3%  
267 0.1% 0.3%  
268 0% 0.2%  
269 0.1% 0.2%  
270 0% 0.1%  
271 0% 0.1%  
272 0% 0.1%  
273 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations