Opinion Poll by INSA and YouGov, 13–17 September 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 26.0% 24.6–27.5% 24.2–28.0% 23.9–28.3% 23.2–29.1%
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 17.0% 15.9–18.4% 15.5–18.7% 15.2–19.0% 14.7–19.7%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 15.0% 13.9–16.2% 13.5–16.6% 13.3–16.9% 12.7–17.5%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 12.0% 11.0–13.1% 10.7–13.4% 10.4–13.7% 10.0–14.3%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 11.0% 10.0–12.1% 9.7–12.4% 9.5–12.7% 9.1–13.2%
Die Linke 9.2% 6.0% 5.3–6.9% 5.1–7.1% 4.9–7.3% 4.6–7.7%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 3.9% 3.4–4.6% 3.2–4.9% 3.0–5.0% 2.8–5.4%
Freie Wähler 0.0% 3.0% 2.5–3.6% 2.4–3.8% 2.2–4.0% 2.0–4.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 203 192–214 188–217 186–220 180–227
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 133 123–142 121–146 118–148 114–154
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 117 108–126 106–129 104–131 99–136
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 93 85–101 83–104 81–106 78–111
Alternative für Deutschland 94 86 78–93 75–96 73–99 70–103
Die Linke 69 46 41–53 39–54 0–56 0–60
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 33 29–38 28–40 27–42 26–45
Freie Wähler 0 0 0 0 0 0

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
153 0% 100% Last Result
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100%  
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 100%  
171 0% 100%  
172 0% 100%  
173 0% 100%  
174 0% 100%  
175 0% 100%  
176 0.1% 99.9%  
177 0.1% 99.9%  
178 0.1% 99.8%  
179 0% 99.7%  
180 0.2% 99.7%  
181 0.2% 99.5%  
182 0.6% 99.3%  
183 0.4% 98.8%  
184 0.5% 98%  
185 0.2% 98%  
186 0.9% 98%  
187 1.2% 97%  
188 2% 96%  
189 1.0% 94%  
190 0.7% 93%  
191 2% 92%  
192 2% 90%  
193 6% 89%  
194 1.3% 83%  
195 3% 81%  
196 0.7% 79%  
197 4% 78%  
198 5% 74%  
199 6% 69%  
200 3% 63%  
201 1.3% 60%  
202 7% 59%  
203 3% 52% Median
204 12% 49%  
205 3% 37%  
206 3% 34%  
207 2% 31%  
208 5% 29%  
209 4% 24%  
210 4% 20%  
211 0.9% 16%  
212 0.6% 15%  
213 4% 15%  
214 3% 10%  
215 2% 8%  
216 0.6% 6%  
217 0.3% 5%  
218 0.8% 5%  
219 1.0% 4%  
220 0.7% 3%  
221 0.6% 2%  
222 0.1% 2%  
223 0.2% 1.5%  
224 0.2% 1.3%  
225 0.5% 1.1%  
226 0.1% 0.6%  
227 0.1% 0.5%  
228 0% 0.5%  
229 0.1% 0.4%  
230 0.1% 0.4%  
231 0.1% 0.3%  
232 0% 0.2%  
233 0% 0.2%  
234 0% 0.2%  
235 0% 0.1%  
236 0% 0.1%  
237 0% 0.1%  
238 0% 0.1%  
239 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 99.9%  
111 0.1% 99.9%  
112 0.1% 99.8%  
113 0.2% 99.7%  
114 0.2% 99.6%  
115 0.4% 99.4%  
116 0.3% 98.9%  
117 0.3% 98.6%  
118 1.3% 98%  
119 0.7% 97%  
120 1.0% 96%  
121 0.9% 95%  
122 4% 94%  
123 2% 90%  
124 2% 88%  
125 6% 87%  
126 3% 81%  
127 4% 77%  
128 4% 74%  
129 6% 70%  
130 6% 64%  
131 3% 58%  
132 4% 55%  
133 6% 51% Median
134 8% 45%  
135 3% 37%  
136 3% 34%  
137 10% 31%  
138 2% 21%  
139 3% 20%  
140 2% 17%  
141 3% 14%  
142 2% 12%  
143 1.1% 10%  
144 2% 9%  
145 0.9% 6%  
146 1.2% 5%  
147 1.1% 4%  
148 0.7% 3%  
149 0.5% 2%  
150 0.3% 2%  
151 0.5% 1.4%  
152 0.2% 0.9%  
153 0.2% 0.7%  
154 0.2% 0.6%  
155 0.1% 0.3%  
156 0.1% 0.3%  
157 0% 0.2%  
158 0% 0.1%  
159 0% 0.1%  
160 0% 0.1%  
161 0% 0.1%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0%  
175 0% 0%  
176 0% 0%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0.1% 100%  
96 0% 99.9%  
97 0.1% 99.9%  
98 0.2% 99.8%  
99 0.1% 99.6%  
100 0.2% 99.5%  
101 0.8% 99.3%  
102 0.3% 98%  
103 0.6% 98%  
104 1.2% 98%  
105 0.7% 96%  
106 2% 96%  
107 3% 94%  
108 2% 91%  
109 6% 89%  
110 3% 83%  
111 5% 80%  
112 5% 75%  
113 4% 70%  
114 4% 66%  
115 6% 62%  
116 3% 55%  
117 7% 53% Median
118 9% 46%  
119 5% 37%  
120 6% 32%  
121 3% 25%  
122 3% 22%  
123 4% 19%  
124 2% 15%  
125 2% 13%  
126 1.4% 11%  
127 2% 9%  
128 1.5% 7%  
129 2% 5%  
130 0.8% 4%  
131 0.9% 3%  
132 0.5% 2%  
133 0.5% 2%  
134 0.2% 1.0%  
135 0.2% 0.8%  
136 0.2% 0.6%  
137 0.1% 0.5%  
138 0.1% 0.3%  
139 0.1% 0.2%  
140 0% 0.1%  
141 0% 0.1%  
142 0% 0.1%  
143 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0% 100%  
75 0.1% 99.9%  
76 0.1% 99.9%  
77 0.2% 99.7%  
78 0.3% 99.5%  
79 0.4% 99.2%  
80 0.9% 98.9% Last Result
81 1.1% 98%  
82 0.9% 97%  
83 2% 96%  
84 2% 94%  
85 4% 92%  
86 5% 89%  
87 4% 84%  
88 3% 80%  
89 10% 77%  
90 5% 67%  
91 4% 62%  
92 7% 58%  
93 5% 51% Median
94 6% 46%  
95 5% 40%  
96 6% 35%  
97 5% 29%  
98 5% 24%  
99 5% 19%  
100 2% 14%  
101 4% 12%  
102 2% 8%  
103 1.4% 6%  
104 1.4% 5%  
105 0.7% 4%  
106 0.8% 3%  
107 0.5% 2%  
108 0.4% 1.5%  
109 0.4% 1.1%  
110 0.1% 0.7%  
111 0.3% 0.6%  
112 0.1% 0.3%  
113 0.1% 0.2%  
114 0.1% 0.2%  
115 0% 0.1%  
116 0% 0.1%  
117 0% 0%  

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 99.9%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.1% 99.8%  
70 0.3% 99.7%  
71 0.4% 99.4%  
72 0.8% 99.1%  
73 1.0% 98%  
74 0.7% 97%  
75 2% 97%  
76 2% 95%  
77 2% 93%  
78 3% 91%  
79 5% 88%  
80 3% 83%  
81 6% 80%  
82 5% 74%  
83 5% 69%  
84 7% 64%  
85 5% 57%  
86 10% 52% Median
87 4% 43%  
88 7% 39%  
89 4% 32%  
90 8% 28%  
91 3% 20%  
92 4% 17%  
93 4% 13%  
94 2% 9% Last Result
95 2% 8%  
96 0.8% 6%  
97 1.3% 5%  
98 0.5% 4%  
99 1.2% 3%  
100 0.4% 2%  
101 0.4% 1.5%  
102 0.4% 1.1%  
103 0.2% 0.7%  
104 0.2% 0.5%  
105 0.1% 0.3%  
106 0.1% 0.2%  
107 0% 0.1%  
108 0% 0.1%  
109 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 4% 100%  
1 0% 96%  
2 0% 96%  
3 0% 96%  
4 0% 96%  
5 0% 96%  
6 0% 96%  
7 0% 96%  
8 0% 96%  
9 0% 96%  
10 0% 96%  
11 0% 96%  
12 0% 96%  
13 0% 96%  
14 0% 96%  
15 0% 96%  
16 0% 96%  
17 0% 96%  
18 0% 96%  
19 0% 96%  
20 0% 96%  
21 0% 96%  
22 0% 96%  
23 0% 96%  
24 0% 96%  
25 0% 96%  
26 0% 96%  
27 0% 96%  
28 0% 96%  
29 0% 96%  
30 0% 96%  
31 0% 96%  
32 0% 96%  
33 0% 96%  
34 0% 96%  
35 0% 96%  
36 0% 96%  
37 0% 96%  
38 0% 96%  
39 1.4% 96%  
40 3% 94%  
41 5% 92%  
42 5% 86%  
43 5% 82%  
44 14% 77%  
45 5% 63%  
46 8% 58% Median
47 7% 50%  
48 7% 43%  
49 9% 36%  
50 4% 27%  
51 6% 23%  
52 7% 17%  
53 3% 10%  
54 3% 7%  
55 2% 5%  
56 1.0% 3%  
57 0.8% 2%  
58 0.6% 2%  
59 0.3% 0.9%  
60 0.3% 0.6%  
61 0.1% 0.3%  
62 0.1% 0.2%  
63 0.1% 0.1%  
64 0% 0.1%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0% 100%  
24 0.1% 99.9%  
25 0.3% 99.8%  
26 0.6% 99.5%  
27 2% 98.9%  
28 3% 97%  
29 5% 94%  
30 7% 89%  
31 10% 82%  
32 14% 72%  
33 11% 58% Median
34 11% 47%  
35 12% 36%  
36 8% 24%  
37 5% 17%  
38 3% 11%  
39 3% 8%  
40 2% 5%  
41 0.8% 3%  
42 0.9% 3%  
43 0.7% 2%  
44 0.4% 1.1%  
45 0.3% 0.7%  
46 0.2% 0.4% Last Result
47 0.1% 0.2%  
48 0.1% 0.1%  
49 0% 0.1%  
50 0% 0%  

Freie Wähler

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Wähler page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 485 100% 473–497 470–503 467–517 461–528
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 461 100% 449–473 446–480 443–491 437–502
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 411 100% 399–425 396–431 394–438 387–454
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 374 98.7% 363–389 360–394 357–404 351–414
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 368 93% 357–382 353–387 350–393 343–404
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Die Linke 289 365 87% 352–375 346–380 339–383 330–387
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 344 13% 334–357 329–363 326–370 322–379
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 220 320 0.3% 307–331 304–335 300–339 294–354
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 295 0% 283–308 280–313 277–317 270–327
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 282 0% 270–295 267–300 264–304 258–316
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 258 0% 248–270 245–275 242–281 238–287
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 251 0% 240–264 237–269 234–272 228–279
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 248 0% 236–260 229–263 215–266 203–272

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
454 0% 100%  
455 0% 99.9%  
456 0% 99.9%  
457 0.1% 99.9%  
458 0% 99.8%  
459 0.1% 99.8%  
460 0.1% 99.7%  
461 0.2% 99.6%  
462 0.2% 99.5%  
463 0.2% 99.3%  
464 0.4% 99.1%  
465 0.5% 98.7%  
466 0.4% 98% Last Result
467 0.9% 98%  
468 0.4% 97%  
469 0.8% 96%  
470 2% 96%  
471 2% 94%  
472 1.1% 92%  
473 2% 91%  
474 2% 89%  
475 6% 87%  
476 3% 81%  
477 4% 78%  
478 2% 74%  
479 2% 72%  
480 3% 70%  
481 5% 67%  
482 2% 62%  
483 3% 60%  
484 5% 57%  
485 5% 52%  
486 8% 47% Median
487 3% 39%  
488 4% 36%  
489 2% 32%  
490 5% 30%  
491 2% 25%  
492 3% 22%  
493 1.1% 19%  
494 4% 18%  
495 2% 15%  
496 2% 12%  
497 2% 11%  
498 0.9% 9%  
499 0.7% 8%  
500 0.7% 7%  
501 0.7% 6%  
502 0.5% 6%  
503 0.1% 5%  
504 0.3% 5%  
505 0.5% 5%  
506 0.4% 4%  
507 0.1% 4%  
508 0.1% 4%  
509 0.2% 4%  
510 0.2% 3%  
511 0.1% 3%  
512 0.2% 3%  
513 0.2% 3%  
514 0.2% 3%  
515 0.1% 3%  
516 0.1% 3%  
517 0.5% 3%  
518 0.1% 2%  
519 0.3% 2%  
520 0% 2%  
521 0.3% 2%  
522 0.1% 1.3%  
523 0.2% 1.2%  
524 0.1% 1.0%  
525 0% 0.9%  
526 0.2% 0.8%  
527 0% 0.7%  
528 0.3% 0.6%  
529 0% 0.3%  
530 0.1% 0.3%  
531 0% 0.2%  
532 0% 0.2%  
533 0.1% 0.2%  
534 0% 0.1%  
535 0% 0.1%  
536 0% 0.1%  
537 0% 0.1%  
538 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 99.9%  
433 0.1% 99.9%  
434 0.1% 99.9%  
435 0.1% 99.8%  
436 0.1% 99.7%  
437 0.1% 99.6%  
438 0.1% 99.5%  
439 0.2% 99.3%  
440 0.6% 99.1%  
441 0.4% 98.5%  
442 0.4% 98%  
443 0.6% 98%  
444 1.2% 97%  
445 0.4% 96%  
446 2% 96%  
447 1.4% 94%  
448 1.0% 93%  
449 2% 92%  
450 3% 89%  
451 1.1% 86%  
452 2% 85%  
453 3% 83%  
454 5% 80%  
455 2% 75%  
456 5% 73%  
457 5% 68%  
458 2% 63%  
459 4% 61%  
460 6% 57%  
461 3% 51%  
462 5% 47% Median
463 6% 42%  
464 4% 37%  
465 3% 33%  
466 4% 30%  
467 3% 26%  
468 2% 23%  
469 4% 21%  
470 3% 17%  
471 1.1% 14%  
472 2% 12%  
473 1.0% 11%  
474 0.9% 10%  
475 0.6% 9%  
476 2% 8%  
477 0.5% 7%  
478 0.5% 6%  
479 0.5% 6% Last Result
480 0.3% 5%  
481 0.5% 5%  
482 0.2% 4%  
483 0.2% 4%  
484 0.2% 4%  
485 0.4% 4%  
486 0.2% 3%  
487 0.1% 3%  
488 0.2% 3%  
489 0.1% 3%  
490 0.2% 3%  
491 0.3% 3%  
492 0.2% 2%  
493 0.2% 2%  
494 0.2% 2%  
495 0.3% 2%  
496 0.1% 1.5%  
497 0.1% 1.4%  
498 0% 1.3%  
499 0.5% 1.2%  
500 0% 0.7%  
501 0.2% 0.7%  
502 0.1% 0.5%  
503 0% 0.5%  
504 0.1% 0.4%  
505 0% 0.3%  
506 0.1% 0.3%  
507 0% 0.2%  
508 0% 0.2%  
509 0% 0.1%  
510 0% 0.1%  
511 0% 0.1%  
512 0% 0.1%  
513 0% 0.1%  
514 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
300 0% 100% Last Result
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 99.9%  
382 0% 99.9%  
383 0% 99.9%  
384 0.1% 99.9%  
385 0.1% 99.8%  
386 0.1% 99.7%  
387 0.1% 99.5%  
388 0.3% 99.4%  
389 0.2% 99.1%  
390 0.3% 98.9%  
391 0.4% 98.6%  
392 0.3% 98%  
393 0.4% 98%  
394 1.0% 98%  
395 0.8% 97%  
396 1.4% 96%  
397 1.0% 94%  
398 2% 93%  
399 2% 91%  
400 1.4% 89%  
401 2% 88%  
402 3% 86%  
403 2% 83%  
404 2% 81%  
405 4% 79%  
406 3% 75%  
407 5% 72%  
408 3% 67%  
409 7% 64%  
410 5% 57%  
411 4% 52%  
412 4% 49%  
413 3% 45% Median
414 4% 42%  
415 4% 38%  
416 3% 34%  
417 5% 31%  
418 2% 26%  
419 4% 24%  
420 2% 20%  
421 1.5% 17%  
422 3% 16%  
423 0.8% 13%  
424 2% 12%  
425 0.7% 10%  
426 2% 10%  
427 0.6% 8%  
428 0.9% 7%  
429 0.5% 6%  
430 0.8% 6%  
431 0.7% 5%  
432 0.6% 4%  
433 0.4% 4%  
434 0.3% 4%  
435 0.1% 3%  
436 0.3% 3%  
437 0.2% 3%  
438 0.3% 3%  
439 0.6% 2%  
440 0.1% 2%  
441 0.1% 2%  
442 0.3% 2%  
443 0.1% 1.2%  
444 0.1% 1.2%  
445 0.1% 1.0%  
446 0.1% 0.9%  
447 0.1% 0.9%  
448 0% 0.8%  
449 0.1% 0.8%  
450 0% 0.7%  
451 0% 0.6%  
452 0% 0.6%  
453 0% 0.6%  
454 0.3% 0.5%  
455 0% 0.3%  
456 0.1% 0.2%  
457 0% 0.2%  
458 0% 0.1%  
459 0% 0.1%  
460 0% 0.1%  
461 0% 0.1%  
462 0% 0.1%  
463 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 99.9%  
346 0% 99.9%  
347 0.1% 99.9%  
348 0.1% 99.8%  
349 0% 99.7%  
350 0% 99.7%  
351 0.4% 99.6%  
352 0.1% 99.2%  
353 0.2% 99.1%  
354 0.2% 98.9%  
355 0.5% 98.7% Majority
356 0.4% 98%  
357 1.2% 98%  
358 0.5% 97%  
359 0.4% 96%  
360 1.1% 96%  
361 2% 95%  
362 0.9% 93%  
363 2% 92%  
364 1.2% 90%  
365 1.5% 88%  
366 5% 87%  
367 4% 82%  
368 1.0% 78%  
369 3% 77%  
370 7% 74%  
371 4% 67%  
372 3% 63%  
373 6% 60%  
374 4% 54%  
375 7% 50%  
376 3% 43% Median
377 2% 40%  
378 3% 38%  
379 5% 35%  
380 5% 30%  
381 2% 26%  
382 3% 24%  
383 2% 21%  
384 1.3% 18%  
385 3% 17%  
386 1.4% 14%  
387 1.5% 13%  
388 0.9% 11%  
389 2% 10%  
390 0.8% 8%  
391 0.9% 8%  
392 0.5% 7%  
393 0.4% 6% Last Result
394 0.9% 6%  
395 0.4% 5%  
396 0.3% 4%  
397 0.4% 4%  
398 0.3% 4%  
399 0.2% 3%  
400 0.2% 3%  
401 0.2% 3%  
402 0.1% 3%  
403 0.1% 3%  
404 0.2% 3%  
405 0.2% 2%  
406 0.2% 2%  
407 0.3% 2%  
408 0.5% 2%  
409 0% 1.3%  
410 0.2% 1.2%  
411 0% 1.1%  
412 0.2% 1.1%  
413 0.3% 0.9%  
414 0% 0.5%  
415 0.2% 0.5%  
416 0% 0.3%  
417 0.2% 0.3%  
418 0% 0.1%  
419 0% 0.1%  
420 0% 0.1%  
421 0% 0.1%  
422 0% 0.1%  
423 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 99.9%  
338 0% 99.9%  
339 0% 99.9%  
340 0.1% 99.8%  
341 0.1% 99.8%  
342 0.1% 99.7%  
343 0.2% 99.6%  
344 0.1% 99.3%  
345 0.2% 99.2%  
346 0.3% 99.0%  
347 0.2% 98.7%  
348 0.4% 98%  
349 0.4% 98%  
350 0.4% 98%  
351 0.8% 97%  
352 0.9% 96%  
353 1.2% 96%  
354 1.1% 94%  
355 2% 93% Majority
356 2% 92%  
357 4% 90%  
358 5% 86%  
359 4% 81%  
360 2% 77%  
361 4% 74%  
362 3% 71%  
363 1.1% 68%  
364 5% 66%  
365 1.2% 62%  
366 6% 60%  
367 2% 55%  
368 5% 53%  
369 2% 48% Median
370 2% 46%  
371 3% 44%  
372 3% 41%  
373 7% 39%  
374 4% 32%  
375 4% 28%  
376 4% 24%  
377 3% 20%  
378 3% 17%  
379 0.9% 14%  
380 2% 13%  
381 0.7% 11%  
382 1.3% 10%  
383 2% 9%  
384 0.6% 7%  
385 0.8% 6%  
386 0.5% 6%  
387 0.4% 5%  
388 0.5% 5%  
389 0.5% 4%  
390 0.7% 4%  
391 0.3% 3%  
392 0.2% 3%  
393 0.2% 3%  
394 0.3% 2%  
395 0.7% 2%  
396 0.2% 1.3%  
397 0.1% 1.1%  
398 0.1% 1.0%  
399 0.1% 0.9% Last Result
400 0.1% 0.8%  
401 0.1% 0.7%  
402 0.1% 0.6%  
403 0% 0.6%  
404 0.1% 0.5%  
405 0% 0.5%  
406 0.1% 0.4%  
407 0% 0.4%  
408 0% 0.3%  
409 0.1% 0.3%  
410 0.1% 0.3%  
411 0% 0.2%  
412 0% 0.1%  
413 0% 0.1%  
414 0% 0.1%  
415 0% 0.1%  
416 0% 0.1%  
417 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 99.9%  
320 0% 99.9%  
321 0% 99.9%  
322 0% 99.9%  
323 0% 99.9%  
324 0% 99.9%  
325 0% 99.8%  
326 0% 99.8%  
327 0% 99.8%  
328 0.2% 99.7%  
329 0% 99.6%  
330 0% 99.5%  
331 0% 99.5%  
332 0.1% 99.5%  
333 0.1% 99.4%  
334 0.4% 99.3%  
335 0.8% 98.9%  
336 0.2% 98%  
337 0.2% 98%  
338 0.1% 98%  
339 0.2% 98%  
340 0.2% 97%  
341 0.4% 97%  
342 0.2% 97%  
343 0.4% 97%  
344 0.3% 96%  
345 0.5% 96%  
346 1.0% 95%  
347 0.5% 94%  
348 0.6% 94%  
349 1.2% 93%  
350 0.4% 92%  
351 0.7% 92%  
352 1.2% 91%  
353 1.2% 90%  
354 2% 89%  
355 4% 87% Majority
356 3% 83%  
357 3% 80%  
358 3% 77%  
359 2% 74%  
360 1.0% 72%  
361 1.2% 71%  
362 2% 70%  
363 4% 67%  
364 7% 63%  
365 10% 56%  
366 5% 46% Median
367 7% 41%  
368 3% 34%  
369 2% 31%  
370 1.1% 30%  
371 2% 28%  
372 3% 26%  
373 4% 23%  
374 7% 20%  
375 3% 13%  
376 2% 10%  
377 1.4% 8%  
378 0.7% 6%  
379 0.3% 6%  
380 0.5% 5%  
381 0.9% 5%  
382 0.8% 4%  
383 1.3% 3%  
384 0.5% 2%  
385 0.7% 1.5%  
386 0.2% 0.8%  
387 0.1% 0.6%  
388 0.1% 0.5%  
389 0.1% 0.4%  
390 0.1% 0.3%  
391 0.1% 0.3%  
392 0.1% 0.2%  
393 0.1% 0.1%  
394 0% 0.1%  
395 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
315 0% 100%  
316 0.1% 99.9%  
317 0.1% 99.9%  
318 0.1% 99.8%  
319 0.1% 99.7%  
320 0.1% 99.7%  
321 0.1% 99.6%  
322 0.1% 99.5%  
323 0.2% 99.4%  
324 0.7% 99.2%  
325 0.5% 98.5%  
326 1.3% 98%  
327 0.8% 97%  
328 0.9% 96%  
329 0.5% 95%  
330 0.3% 95%  
331 0.7% 94%  
332 1.4% 94%  
333 2% 92%  
334 3% 90%  
335 7% 87%  
336 4% 80%  
337 3% 77%  
338 2% 74%  
339 1.1% 72%  
340 2% 70%  
341 3% 69%  
342 7% 66%  
343 5% 59%  
344 10% 54%  
345 7% 44% Median
346 4% 37%  
347 2% 33%  
348 1.2% 30%  
349 1.0% 29%  
350 2% 28%  
351 3% 26%  
352 3% 23%  
353 3% 20%  
354 4% 17%  
355 2% 13% Majority
356 1.2% 11%  
357 1.2% 10%  
358 0.7% 9%  
359 0.4% 8%  
360 1.2% 8%  
361 0.6% 7%  
362 0.5% 6%  
363 1.0% 6%  
364 0.5% 5%  
365 0.3% 4%  
366 0.4% 4%  
367 0.2% 3%  
368 0.4% 3%  
369 0.2% 3%  
370 0.1% 3%  
371 0.1% 2%  
372 0.2% 2%  
373 0.2% 2%  
374 0.8% 2%  
375 0.4% 1.1%  
376 0.1% 0.7%  
377 0.1% 0.6%  
378 0% 0.5%  
379 0% 0.5%  
380 0% 0.5%  
381 0.2% 0.4%  
382 0% 0.3%  
383 0% 0.2%  
384 0% 0.2%  
385 0% 0.2%  
386 0% 0.1%  
387 0% 0.1%  
388 0% 0.1%  
389 0% 0.1%  
390 0% 0.1%  
391 0% 0.1%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 99.9%  
290 0% 99.9%  
291 0.1% 99.9%  
292 0.1% 99.8%  
293 0.1% 99.7%  
294 0.1% 99.6%  
295 0.1% 99.5%  
296 0.2% 99.4%  
297 0.4% 99.2%  
298 0.4% 98.8%  
299 0.5% 98%  
300 0.6% 98%  
301 0.4% 97%  
302 0.7% 97%  
303 1.0% 96%  
304 1.3% 95%  
305 1.0% 94%  
306 2% 93%  
307 2% 91%  
308 2% 88%  
309 2% 86%  
310 1.4% 84%  
311 2% 83%  
312 3% 80%  
313 3% 77%  
314 4% 74%  
315 5% 70%  
316 6% 65%  
317 3% 60%  
318 2% 57%  
319 2% 54%  
320 7% 52% Median
321 6% 46%  
322 6% 39%  
323 4% 34%  
324 4% 30%  
325 5% 26%  
326 2% 21%  
327 2% 19%  
328 2% 17%  
329 2% 15%  
330 3% 13%  
331 1.4% 11%  
332 1.2% 9%  
333 1.1% 8%  
334 1.0% 7%  
335 1.0% 6%  
336 0.5% 5%  
337 0.7% 4%  
338 0.5% 4%  
339 0.7% 3%  
340 0.2% 2%  
341 0.4% 2%  
342 0.2% 2%  
343 0.3% 2%  
344 0.2% 1.3%  
345 0.1% 1.2%  
346 0.1% 1.0%  
347 0.1% 0.9%  
348 0.1% 0.9%  
349 0.1% 0.8%  
350 0% 0.7%  
351 0% 0.7%  
352 0% 0.7%  
353 0.1% 0.7%  
354 0.3% 0.6%  
355 0.1% 0.3% Majority
356 0.1% 0.2%  
357 0% 0.1%  
358 0% 0.1%  
359 0% 0.1%  
360 0% 0.1%  
361 0% 0.1%  
362 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
233 0% 100% Last Result
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 99.9%  
266 0.1% 99.9%  
267 0.1% 99.9%  
268 0.1% 99.8%  
269 0.1% 99.7%  
270 0.2% 99.7%  
271 0.1% 99.5%  
272 0.3% 99.4%  
273 0.4% 99.1%  
274 0.3% 98.7%  
275 0.5% 98%  
276 0.3% 98%  
277 1.1% 98%  
278 0.4% 96%  
279 0.7% 96%  
280 2% 95%  
281 0.9% 94%  
282 2% 93%  
283 1.2% 91%  
284 2% 90%  
285 2% 87%  
286 1.0% 86%  
287 5% 85%  
288 3% 80%  
289 3% 77%  
290 2% 74%  
291 7% 71%  
292 3% 64%  
293 8% 62%  
294 4% 54%  
295 2% 51%  
296 4% 49% Median
297 6% 45%  
298 4% 39%  
299 3% 36%  
300 4% 33%  
301 4% 29%  
302 2% 25%  
303 3% 23%  
304 4% 20%  
305 2% 17%  
306 2% 15%  
307 0.8% 13%  
308 4% 13%  
309 0.8% 9%  
310 2% 8%  
311 0.9% 7%  
312 0.7% 6%  
313 0.7% 5%  
314 0.9% 4%  
315 0.5% 4%  
316 0.3% 3%  
317 0.7% 3%  
318 0.4% 2%  
319 0.2% 2%  
320 0.1% 1.5%  
321 0.3% 1.3%  
322 0.1% 1.0%  
323 0.1% 0.9%  
324 0.1% 0.8%  
325 0.1% 0.7%  
326 0.1% 0.6%  
327 0.1% 0.5%  
328 0.1% 0.5%  
329 0.1% 0.4%  
330 0% 0.3%  
331 0.1% 0.3%  
332 0.1% 0.2%  
333 0% 0.2%  
334 0% 0.1%  
335 0% 0.1%  
336 0% 0.1%  
337 0% 0.1%  
338 0% 0.1%  
339 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 99.9%  
254 0% 99.9%  
255 0.1% 99.9%  
256 0.1% 99.8%  
257 0.1% 99.7%  
258 0.1% 99.6%  
259 0.2% 99.5%  
260 0.3% 99.3%  
261 0.2% 99.0%  
262 0.5% 98.8%  
263 0.4% 98%  
264 0.8% 98%  
265 0.6% 97%  
266 1.0% 97%  
267 1.1% 96%  
268 2% 94%  
269 1.0% 93%  
270 3% 92%  
271 3% 89%  
272 2% 86%  
273 3% 84%  
274 2% 81%  
275 2% 79%  
276 4% 77%  
277 5% 73%  
278 4% 68%  
279 3% 64%  
280 2% 61%  
281 4% 59%  
282 5% 54%  
283 2% 49% Median
284 8% 47%  
285 3% 39%  
286 4% 36%  
287 3% 32%  
288 4% 28%  
289 2% 24%  
290 2% 22%  
291 2% 19%  
292 2% 18%  
293 4% 16%  
294 0.9% 12%  
295 1.2% 11%  
296 1.1% 10%  
297 1.4% 8%  
298 0.9% 7%  
299 0.9% 6%  
300 0.5% 5%  
301 0.7% 5%  
302 0.4% 4%  
303 0.3% 4%  
304 0.8% 3%  
305 0.3% 2%  
306 0.3% 2%  
307 0.5% 2%  
308 0.1% 1.4%  
309 0.1% 1.3%  
310 0.1% 1.2%  
311 0.1% 1.0%  
312 0.1% 0.9%  
313 0% 0.8% Last Result
314 0.1% 0.8%  
315 0% 0.7%  
316 0.3% 0.6%  
317 0% 0.4%  
318 0% 0.3%  
319 0.1% 0.3%  
320 0% 0.2%  
321 0% 0.2%  
322 0% 0.1%  
323 0% 0.1%  
324 0% 0.1%  
325 0% 0.1%  
326 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 99.9%  
233 0% 99.9%  
234 0.1% 99.9%  
235 0.1% 99.8%  
236 0.1% 99.7%  
237 0.1% 99.6%  
238 0.3% 99.5%  
239 0.2% 99.2%  
240 0.5% 99.0%  
241 0.3% 98.5%  
242 0.8% 98%  
243 0.5% 97%  
244 1.3% 97%  
245 0.8% 96%  
246 1.2% 95%  
247 2% 94%  
248 2% 91%  
249 1.2% 89%  
250 4% 88%  
251 4% 84%  
252 2% 80%  
253 4% 78%  
254 6% 74%  
255 6% 68%  
256 4% 62%  
257 5% 58%  
258 7% 53%  
259 4% 46% Median
260 3% 42%  
261 4% 39%  
262 5% 34%  
263 3% 30%  
264 3% 27%  
265 3% 24%  
266 3% 21%  
267 3% 18%  
268 2% 15%  
269 2% 14%  
270 2% 12%  
271 0.9% 10%  
272 1.4% 9%  
273 0.6% 8%  
274 1.0% 7%  
275 0.9% 6%  
276 0.6% 5%  
277 0.4% 4%  
278 0.5% 4%  
279 0.5% 3%  
280 0.3% 3%  
281 0.5% 3%  
282 0.5% 2%  
283 0.2% 2%  
284 0.2% 2%  
285 0.1% 1.3%  
286 0.5% 1.2%  
287 0.2% 0.7%  
288 0.1% 0.4%  
289 0.1% 0.4%  
290 0% 0.3%  
291 0% 0.2%  
292 0% 0.2%  
293 0% 0.2%  
294 0% 0.1%  
295 0% 0.1%  
296 0% 0.1%  
297 0% 0.1%  
298 0% 0.1%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 99.9%  
224 0% 99.9%  
225 0% 99.9%  
226 0.1% 99.8%  
227 0.1% 99.8%  
228 0.1% 99.6%  
229 0.1% 99.5%  
230 0.4% 99.3%  
231 0.4% 98.9%  
232 0.4% 98.5%  
233 0.6% 98%  
234 0.6% 98%  
235 0.8% 97%  
236 0.9% 96%  
237 2% 95%  
238 2% 94%  
239 2% 92%  
240 1.4% 90%  
241 3% 89%  
242 2% 86%  
243 6% 84%  
244 3% 79%  
245 3% 76%  
246 2% 72%  
247 2% 70%  
248 6% 68%  
249 4% 62%  
250 6% 58%  
251 3% 52%  
252 2% 48% Median
253 4% 47%  
254 3% 42%  
255 6% 39%  
256 5% 33%  
257 2% 27%  
258 3% 25%  
259 3% 22%  
260 3% 19%  
261 2% 16%  
262 2% 14%  
263 0.8% 12%  
264 1.2% 11%  
265 2% 10%  
266 1.2% 8%  
267 1.3% 7%  
268 0.6% 6%  
269 0.8% 5%  
270 1.1% 4%  
271 0.5% 3%  
272 0.4% 3%  
273 0.4% 2%  
274 0.2% 2%  
275 0.2% 2%  
276 0.3% 1.5%  
277 0.3% 1.2%  
278 0.3% 0.9%  
279 0.2% 0.6%  
280 0.1% 0.4%  
281 0.1% 0.3%  
282 0.1% 0.3%  
283 0% 0.2%  
284 0% 0.2%  
285 0% 0.1%  
286 0% 0.1%  
287 0% 0.1%  
288 0% 0.1%  
289 0% 0.1%  
290 0% 0.1%  
291 0% 0.1%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0%  
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
196 0% 100%  
197 0% 99.9%  
198 0% 99.9%  
199 0% 99.9%  
200 0% 99.9%  
201 0% 99.9%  
202 0.1% 99.9%  
203 0.4% 99.7%  
204 0.2% 99.4%  
205 0% 99.2%  
206 0% 99.2%  
207 0.2% 99.1%  
208 0% 98.9%  
209 0.3% 98.9%  
210 0% 98.6%  
211 0% 98.6%  
212 0.2% 98.6%  
213 0.5% 98%  
214 0.3% 98%  
215 0.1% 98%  
216 0% 97%  
217 0.1% 97%  
218 0.1% 97%  
219 0.2% 97%  
220 0.2% 97%  
221 0.3% 97%  
222 0.1% 97% Last Result
223 0.2% 97%  
224 0.1% 96%  
225 0.2% 96%  
226 0.1% 96%  
227 0.2% 96%  
228 0.3% 96%  
229 0.5% 95%  
230 0.3% 95%  
231 0.7% 95%  
232 1.0% 94%  
233 0.7% 93%  
234 0.6% 92%  
235 0.8% 92%  
236 1.2% 91%  
237 3% 90%  
238 0.9% 86%  
239 4% 86%  
240 3% 81%  
241 2% 79%  
242 2% 77%  
243 3% 75%  
244 2% 72%  
245 4% 70%  
246 7% 67%  
247 4% 60%  
248 7% 56%  
249 3% 50% Median
250 4% 46%  
251 2% 42%  
252 3% 40%  
253 5% 37%  
254 4% 32%  
255 5% 28%  
256 5% 22%  
257 4% 18%  
258 2% 14%  
259 2% 12%  
260 1.3% 10%  
261 1.0% 9%  
262 2% 8%  
263 2% 6%  
264 1.0% 4%  
265 0.6% 3%  
266 0.5% 3%  
267 0.3% 2%  
268 0.5% 2%  
269 0.3% 2%  
270 0.2% 1.2%  
271 0.4% 1.0%  
272 0.3% 0.7%  
273 0.2% 0.4%  
274 0% 0.2%  
275 0% 0.2%  
276 0% 0.1%  
277 0% 0.1%  
278 0% 0.1%  
279 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations