Opinion Poll by Metron Analysis for Το Βήμα, 14–19 June 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
![Voting Intentions Graph with voting intentions not yet produced](2019-06-19-MetronAnalysis.png)
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
22.7% |
38.0% |
36.0–40.0% |
35.5–40.5% |
35.0–41.0% |
34.1–42.0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) |
26.6% |
29.5% |
27.7–31.4% |
27.2–31.9% |
26.7–32.4% |
25.9–33.3% |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) |
0.0% |
8.0% |
7.0–9.2% |
6.7–9.5% |
6.5–9.8% |
6.0–10.5% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) |
6.1% |
5.2% |
4.4–6.2% |
4.2–6.5% |
4.0–6.8% |
3.6–7.3% |
Χρυσή Αυγή (NI) |
9.4% |
3.3% |
2.7–4.1% |
2.5–4.4% |
2.3–4.6% |
2.1–5.0% |
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) |
0.0% |
2.8% |
2.2–3.6% |
2.1–3.8% |
1.9–4.0% |
1.7–4.4% |
Ένωση Κεντρώων (RE) |
0.6% |
2.5% |
2.0–3.3% |
1.8–3.5% |
1.7–3.7% |
1.5–4.1% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
2.4% |
1.9–3.2% |
1.7–3.4% |
1.6–3.6% |
1.4–3.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
![Seats Graph with seats not yet produced](2019-06-19-MetronAnalysis-seats.png)
Confidence Intervals
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2019-06-19-MetronAnalysis-seats-pmf-νέαδημοκρατίαepp.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
2% |
100% |
|
8 |
69% |
98% |
Median |
9 |
29% |
29% |
|
10 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2019-06-19-MetronAnalysis-seats-pmf-συνασπισμόςριζοσπαστικήςαριστεράςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
6 |
53% |
99.6% |
Last Result, Median |
7 |
47% |
47% |
|
8 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2019-06-19-MetronAnalysis-seats-pmf-κίνημααλλαγήςsd.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
13% |
100% |
|
2 |
86% |
87% |
Median |
3 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2019-06-19-MetronAnalysis-seats-pmf-κομμουνιστικόκόμμαελλάδαςni.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
92% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
8% |
8% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Χρυσή Αυγή (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Χρυσή Αυγή (NI) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2019-06-19-MetronAnalysis-seats-pmf-χρυσήαυγήni.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
33% |
100% |
|
1 |
67% |
67% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2019-06-19-MetronAnalysis-seats-pmf-ελληνικήλύσηecr.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
61% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
39% |
39% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Ένωση Κεντρώων (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ένωση Κεντρώων (RE) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2019-06-19-MetronAnalysis-seats-pmf-ένωσηκεντρώωνre.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
82% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
18% |
18% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2019-06-19-MetronAnalysis-seats-pmf-μέτωποευρωπαϊκήςρεαλιστικήςανυπακοήςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
89% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
11% |
11% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
![Coalitions Seats Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced](2019-06-19-MetronAnalysis-coalitions-seats.png)
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
5 |
8 |
0% |
8–9 |
8–9 |
8–9 |
7–9 |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) – Χρυσή Αυγή (NI) |
5 |
2 |
0% |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–3 |
Ένωση Κεντρώων (RE) |
0 |
0 |
0% |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2019-06-19-MetronAnalysis-coalitions-seats-pmf-νδ.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
2% |
100% |
|
8 |
69% |
98% |
Median |
9 |
29% |
29% |
|
10 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) – Χρυσή Αυγή (NI)
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2019-06-19-MetronAnalysis-coalitions-seats-pmf-κκε–χα.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
27% |
100% |
|
2 |
72% |
73% |
Median |
3 |
2% |
2% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Ένωση Κεντρώων (RE)
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2019-06-19-MetronAnalysis-coalitions-seats-pmf-εκ.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
82% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
18% |
18% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Metron Analysis
- Commissioner(s): Το Βήμα
- Fieldwork period: 14–19 June 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1001
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.57%