Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 13.6% | 12.0–15.2% | 11.5–15.7% | 11.1–16.1% | 10.2–16.9% |
| 19–21 May 2025 | Opinion Poll Action 24 |
13.4% | 11.9–15.0% | 11.6–15.4% | 11.2–15.9% | 10.6–16.6% |
| 12–15 May 2025 | Metron Analysis Mega TV |
14.1% | 12.7–15.6% | 12.3–16.0% | 12.0–16.4% | 11.4–17.1% |
| 12–15 May 2025 | Marc Πρώτο ΘΕΜΑ |
13.5% | 12.2–15.0% | 11.8–15.5% | 11.5–15.8% | 10.9–16.6% |
| 6–11 May 2025 | Interview Political |
14.2% | 13.1–15.4% | 12.8–15.8% | 12.6–16.1% | 12.1–16.7% |
| 28 April–3 May 2025 | Alco Alpha TV |
12.3% | 10.9–13.9% | 10.5–14.4% | 10.2–14.8% | 9.5–15.6% |
| 28 April–2 May 2025 | Opinion Poll Action 24 |
13.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28–30 April 2025 | GPO Παραπολιτικά |
14.2% | 12.8–15.8% | 12.4–16.3% | 12.0–16.7% | 11.4–17.5% |
| 25–28 April 2025 | Pulse RC ΣΚΑΪ |
13.2% | 11.9–14.7% | 11.5–15.1% | 11.2–15.5% | 10.6–16.2% |
| 24–28 April 2025 | Interview Politic.gr |
13.2% | 12.2–14.3% | 11.9–14.6% | 11.6–14.9% | 11.2–15.5% |
| 7–9 April 2025 | MRB Open TV |
12.4% | 11.0–14.1% | 10.6–14.5% | 10.2–14.9% | 9.6–15.8% |
| 2–8 April 2025 | Metron Analysis Mega TV |
12.6% | 11.3–14.0% | 10.9–14.4% | 10.6–14.8% | 10.1–15.5% |
| 4–8 April 2025 | Interview Political |
12.4% | 11.3–13.7% | 11.0–14.0% | 10.7–14.3% | 10.2–14.9% |
| 4–7 April 2025 | Real Polls Protagon |
10.2% | 9.2–11.3% | 8.9–11.6% | 8.7–11.8% | 8.3–12.4% |
| 3–7 April 2025 | Prorata Attica TV |
13.5% | 12.1–15.1% | 11.7–15.5% | 11.4–15.9% | 10.8–16.7% |
| 31 March–4 April 2025 | GPO Παραπολιτικά |
14.6% | 13.2–16.2% | 12.8–16.7% | 12.4–17.1% | 11.8–17.9% |
| 27 March–1 April 2025 | Marc ANT1 |
13.0% | 11.7–14.5% | 11.3–14.9% | 11.0–15.3% | 10.4–16.0% |
| 21–26 March 2025 | Interview Politic.gr |
12.4% | 11.3–13.6% | 11.0–13.9% | 10.7–14.2% | 10.2–14.8% |
| 18–19 March 2025 | GPO Παραπολιτικά |
15.6% | 14.1–17.2% | 13.7–17.7% | 13.3–18.1% | 12.6–18.9% |
| 16–18 March 2025 | Pulse RC ΣΚΑΪ |
14.3% | 12.9–15.8% | 12.5–16.2% | 12.2–16.6% | 11.6–17.4% |
| 14–18 March 2025 | Opinion Poll Action 24 |
14.3% | 12.8–16.0% | 12.4–16.4% | 12.1–16.8% | 11.4–17.7% |
| 12–18 March 2025 | Metron Analysis Mega TV |
14.3% | 13.0–15.9% | 12.6–16.3% | 12.3–16.7% | 11.7–17.4% |
| 12–16 March 2025 | Alco Alpha TV |
14.0% | 12.5–15.7% | 12.1–16.2% | 11.7–16.6% | 11.1–17.5% |
| 10–12 March 2025 | Interview Politic.gr |
13.1% | 12.1–14.2% | 11.9–14.4% | 11.7–14.7% | 11.2–15.2% |
| 6–10 March 2025 | GPO Flash |
17.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–6 March 2025 | MRB Open TV |
15.4% | 13.8–17.2% | 13.3–17.7% | 13.0–18.2% | 12.2–19.0% |
| 1–4 March 2025 | GPO Star TV |
17.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–24 February 2025 | Pulse RC ΣΚΑΪ |
15.3% | 13.9–16.9% | 13.5–17.3% | 13.2–17.7% | 12.5–18.5% |
| 20–24 February 2025 | Prorata Attica TV |
16.6% | 15.1–18.3% | 14.6–18.7% | 14.3–19.1% | 13.6–20.0% |
| 19–24 February 2025 | Interview Politic.gr |
13.5% | 12.6–14.4% | 12.4–14.7% | 12.2–14.9% | 11.8–15.4% |
| 12–18 February 2025 | Metron Analysis Mega TV |
14.6% | 13.3–16.1% | 12.9–16.6% | 12.6–16.9% | 11.9–17.7% |
| 11–16 February 2025 | Alco Alpha TV |
15.6% | 10.7–13.7% | 10.3–14.2% | 10.0–14.6% | 9.3–15.4% |
| 10–14 February 2025 | GPO Παραπολιτικά |
17.6% | 16.0–19.3% | 15.6–19.8% | 15.2–20.2% | 14.5–21.1% |
| 30 January–4 February 2025 | Interview Political |
14.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27–29 January 2025 | MRB Open TV |
16.4% | 14.8–18.3% | 14.4–18.8% | 14.0–19.3% | 13.2–20.2% |
| 28–29 January 2025 | GPO Παραπολιτικά |
18.9% | 17.3–20.7% | 16.9–21.2% | 16.5–21.7% | 15.7–22.6% |
| 20–22 January 2025 | GPO Star TV |
19.2% | 17.7–20.9% | 17.3–21.3% | 16.9–21.7% | 16.2–22.5% |
| 19–21 January 2025 | Pulse RC ΣΚΑΪ |
15.4% | 13.9–17.0% | 13.5–17.4% | 13.2–17.8% | 12.6–18.6% |
| 15–21 January 2025 | Metron Analysis Mega TV |
17.4% | 16.0–19.0% | 15.6–19.5% | 15.2–19.9% | 14.5–20.7% |
| 14–20 January 2025 | Interview Politic.gr |
16.0% | 15.1–17.0% | 14.8–17.3% | 14.6–17.5% | 14.2–18.0% |
| 15–19 January 2025 | Alco Alpha TV |
16.4% | 14.8–18.2% | 14.4–18.7% | 14.0–19.1% | 13.3–20.0% |
| 8–10 January 2025 | Opinion Poll Action 24 |
17.4% | 15.8–19.2% | 15.4–19.7% | 15.0–20.2% | 14.2–21.1% |
| 7–10 January 2025 | Marc ANT1 |
17.9% | 16.4–19.5% | 16.0–20.0% | 15.7–20.4% | 15.0–21.2% |
| 16–23 December 2024 | Palmos Analysis Ελεύθερος Τύπος |
16.4% | 14.8–18.1% | 14.4–18.5% | 14.1–19.0% | 13.4–19.8% |
| 15–17 December 2024 | Pulse RC ΣΚΑΪ |
16.7% | 15.2–18.3% | 14.8–18.8% | 14.4–19.2% | 13.7–20.0% |
| 11–17 December 2024 | Metron Analysis Mega TV |
17.4% | 16.0–19.0% | 15.6–19.4% | 15.3–19.8% | 14.6–20.6% |
| 11–16 December 2024 | Interview Politic.gr |
16.3% | 15.3–17.3% | 15.1–17.6% | 14.9–17.8% | 14.4–18.4% |
| 11–13 December 2024 | Opinion Poll Manifesto |
18.6% | 17.0–20.5% | 16.5–21.0% | 16.1–21.5% | 15.3–22.4% |
| 4–13 December 2024 | MRB |
17.5% | 16.4–18.8% | 16.0–19.2% | 15.7–19.5% | 15.2–20.1% |
| 9–13 December 2024 | GPO Παραπολιτικά |
19.8% | 18.1–21.6% | 17.7–22.1% | 17.3–22.6% | 16.5–23.5% |
| 3–9 December 2024 | Prorata Attica TV |
18.3% | 16.8–20.0% | 16.3–20.4% | 16.0–20.9% | 15.3–21.7% |
| 25–28 November 2024 | Marc Πρώτο ΘΕΜΑ |
18.6% | 17.0–20.3% | 16.6–20.7% | 16.2–21.2% | 15.5–22.0% |
| 24–26 November 2024 | Pulse RC ΣΚΑΪ |
17.1% | 15.6–18.7% | 15.1–19.2% | 14.8–19.6% | 14.1–20.5% |
| 20–26 November 2024 | Metron Analysis Mega TV |
18.8% | 17.4–20.4% | 17.0–20.8% | 16.7–21.2% | 16.0–22.0% |
| 21–25 November 2024 | Interview Politic.gr |
17.0% | 16.1–18.0% | 15.8–18.3% | 15.6–18.5% | 15.2–19.0% |
| 18–22 November 2024 | GPO Παραπολιτικά |
20.7% | 19.0–22.5% | 18.5–23.1% | 18.1–23.5% | 17.3–24.5% |
| 11–15 November 2024 | GPO Παραπολιτικά |
20.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–12 November 2024 | Opinion Poll Action 24 |
20.4% | 18.8–22.2% | 18.4–22.7% | 18.0–23.1% | 17.2–24.0% |
| 22–26 October 2024 | Marc ANT1 |
19.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–23 October 2024 | MRB Open TV |
18.2% | 16.6–20.1% | 16.1–20.7% | 15.7–21.1% | 14.9–22.1% |
| 16–22 October 2024 | Metron Analysis Mega TV |
19.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–21 October 2024 | Interview Politic.gr |
15.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 15–19 October 2024 | Alco Alpha TV |
17.9% | 16.3–19.8% | 15.8–20.4% | 15.4–20.8% | 14.6–21.7% |
| 14–16 October 2024 | GPO Star TV |
17.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26 September–2 October 2024 | Metron Analysis Mega TV |
17.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30 September–2 October 2024 | MRB Open TV |
15.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 29 September–1 October 2024 | Pulse RC ΣΚΑΪ |
15.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–28 September 2024 | Palmos Analysis Tvxs.gr |
18.2% | 16.6–20.1% | 16.1–20.6% | 15.7–21.0% | 15.0–21.9% |
| 24–27 September 2024 | Opinion Poll Action 24 |
16.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–23 September 2024 | Metron Analysis Mega TV |
15.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–23 September 2024 | Interview Politic.gr |
17.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–21 September 2024 | Prorata Attica TV |
15.3% | 13.9–17.0% | 13.5–17.5% | 13.1–17.9% | 12.4–18.7% |
| 13–18 September 2024 | MRB Open TV |
15.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–16 September 2024 | Pulse RC ΣΚΑΪ |
16.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–14 September 2024 | Alco Alpha TV |
16.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–11 September 2024 | Data RC Peloponnisos |
16.5% | 15.0–18.3% | 14.6–18.8% | 14.2–19.2% | 13.5–20.1% |
| 4–10 September 2024 | Metron Analysis Mega TV |
15.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–10 September 2024 | GPO Star TV |
14.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–6 September 2024 | Interview Political |
14.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27–30 August 2024 | Opinion Poll Action 24 |
15.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26–30 August 2024 | MRB Open TV |
13.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–26 August 2024 | Interview Politic.gr |
14.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27 June–4 July 2024 | MRB | 13.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21 June–1 July 2024 | Metron Analysis Mega TV |
12.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–28 June 2024 | Κάπα Research | 13.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–19 June 2024 | GPO Star TV |
14.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 5% | 99.0% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 14% | 94% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 27% | 80% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 30% | 53% | Median |
| 14.5–15.5% | 17% | 23% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 5% | 6% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 3 | 3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| 19–21 May 2025 | Opinion Poll Action 24 |
3 | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 2–4 |
| 12–15 May 2025 | Metron Analysis Mega TV |
3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–4 |
| 12–15 May 2025 | Marc Πρώτο ΘΕΜΑ |
3 | 3 | 3 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| 6–11 May 2025 | Interview Political |
3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3–4 |
| 28 April–3 May 2025 | Alco Alpha TV |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 28 April–2 May 2025 | Opinion Poll Action 24 |
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| 28–30 April 2025 | GPO Παραπολιτικά |
3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 25–28 April 2025 | Pulse RC ΣΚΑΪ |
3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2–3 |
| 24–28 April 2025 | Interview Politic.gr |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 7–9 April 2025 | MRB Open TV |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 2–8 April 2025 | Metron Analysis Mega TV |
3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| 4–8 April 2025 | Interview Political |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 4–7 April 2025 | Real Polls Protagon |
2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 3–7 April 2025 | Prorata Attica TV |
3 | 3 | 3–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| 31 March–4 April 2025 | GPO Παραπολιτικά |
3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 27 March–1 April 2025 | Marc ANT1 |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 |
| 21–26 March 2025 | Interview Politic.gr |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 18–19 March 2025 | GPO Παραπολιτικά |
3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 16–18 March 2025 | Pulse RC ΣΚΑΪ |
3 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 14–18 March 2025 | Opinion Poll Action 24 |
3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 12–18 March 2025 | Metron Analysis Mega TV |
3 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–4 |
| 12–16 March 2025 | Alco Alpha TV |
3 | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 2–4 |
| 10–12 March 2025 | Interview Politic.gr |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 6–10 March 2025 | GPO Flash |
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| 4–6 March 2025 | MRB Open TV |
3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 1–4 March 2025 | GPO Star TV |
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| 21–24 February 2025 | Pulse RC ΣΚΑΪ |
3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 20–24 February 2025 | Prorata Attica TV |
4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–5 |
| 19–24 February 2025 | Interview Politic.gr |
3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 12–18 February 2025 | Metron Analysis Mega TV |
3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–4 |
| 11–16 February 2025 | Alco Alpha TV |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 |
| 10–14 February 2025 | GPO Παραπολιτικά |
4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–5 |
| 30 January–4 February 2025 | Interview Political |
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| 27–29 January 2025 | MRB Open TV |
4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 28–29 January 2025 | GPO Παραπολιτικά |
4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 3–5 |
| 20–22 January 2025 | GPO Star TV |
4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| 19–21 January 2025 | Pulse RC ΣΚΑΪ |
3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 15–21 January 2025 | Metron Analysis Mega TV |
4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 14–20 January 2025 | Interview Politic.gr |
3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 15–19 January 2025 | Alco Alpha TV |
4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 8–10 January 2025 | Opinion Poll Action 24 |
4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| 7–10 January 2025 | Marc ANT1 |
4 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–5 |
| 16–23 December 2024 | Palmos Analysis Ελεύθερος Τύπος |
4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 15–17 December 2024 | Pulse RC ΣΚΑΪ |
4 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 11–17 December 2024 | Metron Analysis Mega TV |
4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–5 |
| 11–16 December 2024 | Interview Politic.gr |
4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 11–13 December 2024 | Opinion Poll Manifesto |
4 | 4 | 4 | 4–5 | 3–5 |
| 4–13 December 2024 | MRB |
4 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 9–13 December 2024 | GPO Παραπολιτικά |
4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| 3–9 December 2024 | Prorata Attica TV |
4 | 4 | 4–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| 25–28 November 2024 | Marc Πρώτο ΘΕΜΑ |
4 | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 3–5 |
| 24–26 November 2024 | Pulse RC ΣΚΑΪ |
4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–5 |
| 20–26 November 2024 | Metron Analysis Mega TV |
4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 3–5 |
| 21–25 November 2024 | Interview Politic.gr |
4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 18–22 November 2024 | GPO Παραπολιτικά |
5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| 11–15 November 2024 | GPO Παραπολιτικά |
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| 7–12 November 2024 | Opinion Poll Action 24 |
5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| 22–26 October 2024 | Marc ANT1 |
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| 21–23 October 2024 | MRB Open TV |
4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 3–5 |
| 16–22 October 2024 | Metron Analysis Mega TV |
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| 16–21 October 2024 | Interview Politic.gr |
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| 15–19 October 2024 | Alco Alpha TV |
4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–5 |
| 14–16 October 2024 | GPO Star TV |
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| 26 September–2 October 2024 | Metron Analysis Mega TV |
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| 30 September–2 October 2024 | MRB Open TV |
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| 29 September–1 October 2024 | Pulse RC ΣΚΑΪ |
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| 24–28 September 2024 | Palmos Analysis Tvxs.gr |
4 | 4 | 4–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| 24–27 September 2024 | Opinion Poll Action 24 |
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| 13–23 September 2024 | Metron Analysis Mega TV |
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| 19–23 September 2024 | Interview Politic.gr |
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| 16–21 September 2024 | Prorata Attica TV |
3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 13–18 September 2024 | MRB Open TV |
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| 13–16 September 2024 | Pulse RC ΣΚΑΪ |
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| 9–14 September 2024 | Alco Alpha TV |
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| 2–11 September 2024 | Data RC Peloponnisos |
3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 4–10 September 2024 | Metron Analysis Mega TV |
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| 8–10 September 2024 | GPO Star TV |
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| 2–6 September 2024 | Interview Political |
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| 27–30 August 2024 | Opinion Poll Action 24 |
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| 26–30 August 2024 | MRB Open TV |
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| 21–26 August 2024 | Interview Politic.gr |
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| 27 June–4 July 2024 | MRB | |||||
| 21 June–1 July 2024 | Metron Analysis Mega TV |
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| 25–28 June 2024 | Κάπα Research | |||||
| 17–19 June 2024 | GPO Star TV |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 7% | 100% | |
| 3 | 85% | 93% | Median |
| 4 | 8% | 8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |