Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 13.8% 12.2–15.4% 11.8–15.9% 11.4–16.4% 10.6–17.3%
10–14 June 2025 Alco
Alpha TV		 13.0% 11.5–14.7% 11.1–15.2% 10.7–15.6% 10.1–16.4%
10–13 June 2025 GPO
Παραπολιτικά		 14.8% 13.3–16.5% 12.9–16.9% 12.6–17.3% 11.9–18.2%
4–9 June 2025 Interview
Political		 14.1% 13.0–15.3% 12.7–15.7% 12.5–15.9% 12.0–16.5%
2–5 June 2025 Opinion Poll
Libre		 13.6% 12.1–15.3% 11.7–15.8% 11.4–16.2% 10.7–17.0%
30 May–3 June 2025 GPO
Star TV		 14.3% 13.0–15.8% 12.6–16.2% 12.3–16.6% 11.7–17.3%
29 May–3 June 2025 Alco
Epikaira.gr		 12.4% 11.0–14.0% 10.7–14.4% 10.3–14.8% 9.7–15.6%
26–28 May 2025 MRB
Open TV		 13.2% 11.7–14.9% 11.3–15.4% 11.0–15.8% 10.3–16.6%
24–27 May 2025 Pulse RC
ΣΚΑΪ		 13.7% 12.3–15.2% 12.0–15.6% 11.6–15.9% 11.0–16.7%
21–26 May 2025 Interview
Politic.gr		 15.2% 14.1–16.4% 13.8–16.8% 13.6–17.1% 13.1–17.6%
19–21 May 2025 Opinion Poll
Action 24		 13.4% 11.9–15.0% 11.6–15.4% 11.2–15.9% 10.6–16.6%
12–15 May 2025 Metron Analysis
Mega TV		 14.1% 12.7–15.6% 12.3–16.0% 12.0–16.4% 11.4–17.1%
12–15 May 2025 Marc
Πρώτο ΘΕΜΑ		 13.5% 12.2–15.0% 11.8–15.5% 11.5–15.8% 10.9–16.6%
6–11 May 2025 Interview
Political		 14.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
28 April–3 May 2025 Alco
Alpha TV		 12.3% 10.9–13.9% 10.5–14.4% 10.2–14.8% 9.5–15.6%
28 April–2 May 2025 Opinion Poll
Action 24		 13.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
28–30 April 2025 GPO
Παραπολιτικά		 14.2% 12.8–15.8% 12.4–16.3% 12.0–16.7% 11.4–17.5%
25–28 April 2025 Pulse RC
ΣΚΑΪ		 13.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–28 April 2025 Interview
Politic.gr		 13.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–9 April 2025 MRB
Open TV		 12.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–8 April 2025 Metron Analysis
Mega TV		 12.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–8 April 2025 Interview
Political		 12.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–7 April 2025 Real Polls
Protagon		 10.2% 9.2–11.3% 8.9–11.6% 8.7–11.8% 8.3–12.4%
3–7 April 2025 Prorata
Attica TV		 13.5% 12.1–15.1% 11.7–15.5% 11.4–15.9% 10.8–16.7%
31 March–4 April 2025 GPO
Παραπολιτικά		 14.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27 March–1 April 2025 Marc
ANT1		 13.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–26 March 2025 Interview
Politic.gr		 12.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–19 March 2025 GPO
Παραπολιτικά		 15.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–18 March 2025 Pulse RC
ΣΚΑΪ		 14.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–18 March 2025 Opinion Poll
Action 24		 14.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–18 March 2025 Metron Analysis
Mega TV		 14.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–16 March 2025 Alco
Alpha TV		 14.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–12 March 2025 Interview
Politic.gr		 13.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–10 March 2025 GPO
Flash		 17.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–6 March 2025 MRB
Open TV		 15.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–4 March 2025 GPO
Star TV		 17.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–24 February 2025 Pulse RC
ΣΚΑΪ		 15.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–24 February 2025 Prorata
Attica TV		 16.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19–24 February 2025 Interview
Politic.gr		 13.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–18 February 2025 Metron Analysis
Mega TV		 14.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–16 February 2025 Alco
Alpha TV		 15.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–14 February 2025 GPO
Παραπολιτικά		 17.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
30 January–4 February 2025 Interview
Political		 14.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27–29 January 2025 MRB
Open TV		 16.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
28–29 January 2025 GPO
Παραπολιτικά		 18.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–22 January 2025 GPO
Star TV		 19.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19–21 January 2025 Pulse RC
ΣΚΑΪ		 15.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
15–21 January 2025 Metron Analysis
Mega TV		 17.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–20 January 2025 Interview
Politic.gr		 16.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
15–19 January 2025 Alco
Alpha TV		 16.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–10 January 2025 Opinion Poll
Action 24		 17.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–10 January 2025 Marc
ANT1		 17.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–23 December 2024 Palmos Analysis
Ελεύθερος Τύπος		 16.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
15–17 December 2024 Pulse RC
ΣΚΑΪ		 16.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–17 December 2024 Metron Analysis
Mega TV		 17.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–16 December 2024 Interview
Politic.gr		 16.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–13 December 2024 Opinion Poll
Manifesto		 18.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–13 December 2024 MRB
17.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–13 December 2024 GPO
Παραπολιτικά		 19.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–9 December 2024 Prorata
Attica TV		 18.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
25–28 November 2024 Marc
Πρώτο ΘΕΜΑ		 18.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–26 November 2024 Pulse RC
ΣΚΑΪ		 17.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–26 November 2024 Metron Analysis
Mega TV		 18.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–25 November 2024 Interview
Politic.gr		 17.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–22 November 2024 GPO
Παραπολιτικά		 20.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–15 November 2024 GPO
Παραπολιτικά		 20.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–12 November 2024 Opinion Poll
Action 24		 20.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22–26 October 2024 Marc
ANT1		 19.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–23 October 2024 MRB
Open TV		 18.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–22 October 2024 Metron Analysis
Mega TV		 19.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–21 October 2024 Interview
Politic.gr		 15.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
15–19 October 2024 Alco
Alpha TV		 17.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–16 October 2024 GPO
Star TV		 17.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26 September–2 October 2024 Metron Analysis
Mega TV		 17.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
30 September–2 October 2024 MRB
Open TV		 15.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
29 September–1 October 2024 Pulse RC
ΣΚΑΪ		 15.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–28 September 2024 Palmos Analysis
Tvxs.gr		 18.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–27 September 2024 Opinion Poll
Action 24		 16.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
13–23 September 2024 Metron Analysis
Mega TV		 15.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19–23 September 2024 Interview
Politic.gr		 17.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–21 September 2024 Prorata
Attica TV		 15.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
13–18 September 2024 MRB
Open TV		 15.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
13–16 September 2024 Pulse RC
ΣΚΑΪ		 16.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–14 September 2024 Alco
Alpha TV		 16.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–11 September 2024 Data RC
Peloponnisos		 16.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–10 September 2024 Metron Analysis
Mega TV		 15.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–10 September 2024 GPO
Star TV		 14.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–6 September 2024 Interview
Political		 14.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27–30 August 2024 Opinion Poll
Action 24		 15.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–30 August 2024 MRB
Open TV		 13.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–26 August 2024 Interview
Politic.gr		 14.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27 June–4 July 2024 MRB 13.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21 June–1 July 2024 Metron Analysis
Mega TV		 12.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
25–28 June 2024 Κάπα Research 13.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
17–19 June 2024 GPO
Star TV		 14.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D).

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 0% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 0% 100%  
6.5–7.5% 0% 100%  
7.5–8.5% 0% 100%  
8.5–9.5% 0% 100%  
9.5–10.5% 0.4% 100%  
10.5–11.5% 3% 99.6%  
11.5–12.5% 12% 97%  
12.5–13.5% 26% 85%  
13.5–14.5% 31% 58% Median
14.5–15.5% 19% 27%  
15.5–16.5% 7% 9%  
16.5–17.5% 2% 2%  
17.5–18.5% 0.3% 0.3%  
18.5–19.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 3 3–4 2–4 2–4 2–4
10–14 June 2025 Alco
Alpha TV		 3 2–3 2–3 2–4 2–4
10–13 June 2025 GPO
Παραπολιτικά		 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
4–9 June 2025 Interview
Political		 3 3 3 3–4 3–4
2–5 June 2025 Opinion Poll
Libre		 3 3 3–4 2–4 2–4
30 May–3 June 2025 GPO
Star TV		 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
29 May–3 June 2025 Alco
Epikaira.gr		 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
26–28 May 2025 MRB
Open TV		 3 2–3 2–3 2–4 2–4
24–27 May 2025 Pulse RC
ΣΚΑΪ		 3 3 3 3–4 2–4
21–26 May 2025 Interview
Politic.gr		 3 3 3–4 3–4 3–4
19–21 May 2025 Opinion Poll
Action 24		 3 3 3 3–4 2–4
12–15 May 2025 Metron Analysis
Mega TV		 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 2–4
12–15 May 2025 Marc
Πρώτο ΘΕΜΑ		 3 3 3 2–4 2–4
6–11 May 2025 Interview
Political		          
28 April–3 May 2025 Alco
Alpha TV		 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
28 April–2 May 2025 Opinion Poll
Action 24		          
28–30 April 2025 GPO
Παραπολιτικά		 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
25–28 April 2025 Pulse RC
ΣΚΑΪ		          
24–28 April 2025 Interview
Politic.gr		          
7–9 April 2025 MRB
Open TV		          
2–8 April 2025 Metron Analysis
Mega TV		          
4–8 April 2025 Interview
Political		          
4–7 April 2025 Real Polls
Protagon		 2 2 2–3 2–3 2–3
3–7 April 2025 Prorata
Attica TV		 3 3 3–4 2–4 2–4
31 March–4 April 2025 GPO
Παραπολιτικά		          
27 March–1 April 2025 Marc
ANT1		          
21–26 March 2025 Interview
Politic.gr		          
18–19 March 2025 GPO
Παραπολιτικά		          
16–18 March 2025 Pulse RC
ΣΚΑΪ		          
14–18 March 2025 Opinion Poll
Action 24		          
12–18 March 2025 Metron Analysis
Mega TV		          
12–16 March 2025 Alco
Alpha TV		          
10–12 March 2025 Interview
Politic.gr		          
6–10 March 2025 GPO
Flash		          
4–6 March 2025 MRB
Open TV		          
1–4 March 2025 GPO
Star TV		          
21–24 February 2025 Pulse RC
ΣΚΑΪ		          
20–24 February 2025 Prorata
Attica TV		          
19–24 February 2025 Interview
Politic.gr		          
12–18 February 2025 Metron Analysis
Mega TV		          
11–16 February 2025 Alco
Alpha TV		          
10–14 February 2025 GPO
Παραπολιτικά		          
30 January–4 February 2025 Interview
Political		          
27–29 January 2025 MRB
Open TV		          
28–29 January 2025 GPO
Παραπολιτικά		          
20–22 January 2025 GPO
Star TV		          
19–21 January 2025 Pulse RC
ΣΚΑΪ		          
15–21 January 2025 Metron Analysis
Mega TV		          
14–20 January 2025 Interview
Politic.gr		          
15–19 January 2025 Alco
Alpha TV		          
8–10 January 2025 Opinion Poll
Action 24		          
7–10 January 2025 Marc
ANT1		          
16–23 December 2024 Palmos Analysis
Ελεύθερος Τύπος		          
15–17 December 2024 Pulse RC
ΣΚΑΪ		          
11–17 December 2024 Metron Analysis
Mega TV		          
11–16 December 2024 Interview
Politic.gr		          
11–13 December 2024 Opinion Poll
Manifesto		          
4–13 December 2024 MRB
         
9–13 December 2024 GPO
Παραπολιτικά		          
3–9 December 2024 Prorata
Attica TV		          
25–28 November 2024 Marc
Πρώτο ΘΕΜΑ		          
24–26 November 2024 Pulse RC
ΣΚΑΪ		          
20–26 November 2024 Metron Analysis
Mega TV		          
21–25 November 2024 Interview
Politic.gr		          
18–22 November 2024 GPO
Παραπολιτικά		          
11–15 November 2024 GPO
Παραπολιτικά		          
7–12 November 2024 Opinion Poll
Action 24		          
22–26 October 2024 Marc
ANT1		          
21–23 October 2024 MRB
Open TV		          
16–22 October 2024 Metron Analysis
Mega TV		          
16–21 October 2024 Interview
Politic.gr		          
15–19 October 2024 Alco
Alpha TV		          
14–16 October 2024 GPO
Star TV		          
26 September–2 October 2024 Metron Analysis
Mega TV		          
30 September–2 October 2024 MRB
Open TV		          
29 September–1 October 2024 Pulse RC
ΣΚΑΪ		          
24–28 September 2024 Palmos Analysis
Tvxs.gr		          
24–27 September 2024 Opinion Poll
Action 24		          
13–23 September 2024 Metron Analysis
Mega TV		          
19–23 September 2024 Interview
Politic.gr		          
16–21 September 2024 Prorata
Attica TV		          
13–18 September 2024 MRB
Open TV		          
13–16 September 2024 Pulse RC
ΣΚΑΪ		          
9–14 September 2024 Alco
Alpha TV		          
2–11 September 2024 Data RC
Peloponnisos		          
4–10 September 2024 Metron Analysis
Mega TV		          
8–10 September 2024 GPO
Star TV		          
2–6 September 2024 Interview
Political		          
27–30 August 2024 Opinion Poll
Action 24		          
26–30 August 2024 MRB
Open TV		          
21–26 August 2024 Interview
Politic.gr		          
27 June–4 July 2024 MRB          
21 June–1 July 2024 Metron Analysis
Mega TV		          
25–28 June 2024 Κάπα Research          
17–19 June 2024 GPO
Star TV		          

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D).

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 7% 100%  
3 80% 93% Median
4 13% 13%  
5 0% 0%