Opinion Poll by Interview, 24–26 June 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
![Voting Intentions Graph with voting intentions not yet produced](2019-06-26-Interview.png)
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
22.7% |
39.1% |
37.2–41.1% |
36.6–41.7% |
36.1–42.2% |
35.2–43.1% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) |
26.6% |
28.5% |
26.7–30.3% |
26.2–30.9% |
25.7–31.3% |
24.9–32.3% |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) |
0.0% |
7.3% |
6.3–8.4% |
6.0–8.7% |
5.8–9.0% |
5.4–9.6% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) |
6.1% |
5.2% |
4.4–6.2% |
4.1–6.5% |
4.0–6.7% |
3.6–7.2% |
Χρυσή Αυγή (NI) |
9.4% |
4.6% |
3.8–5.5% |
3.6–5.8% |
3.4–6.1% |
3.1–6.6% |
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) |
0.0% |
4.5% |
3.7–5.4% |
3.5–5.7% |
3.4–5.9% |
3.0–6.4% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
2.8% |
2.2–3.6% |
2.1–3.8% |
1.9–4.0% |
1.7–4.4% |
Ένωση Κεντρώων (RE) |
0.6% |
1.7% |
1.3–2.3% |
1.2–2.5% |
1.1–2.7% |
0.9–3.0% |
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
1.1% |
0.8–1.6% |
0.7–1.8% |
0.6–2.0% |
0.5–2.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
![Seats Graph with seats not yet produced](2019-06-26-Interview-seats.png)
Confidence Intervals
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2019-06-26-Interview-seats-pmf-νέαδημοκρατίαepp.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
8 |
44% |
99.9% |
|
9 |
55% |
56% |
Median |
10 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2019-06-26-Interview-seats-pmf-συνασπισμόςριζοσπαστικήςαριστεράςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
2% |
100% |
|
6 |
75% |
98% |
Last Result, Median |
7 |
23% |
23% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2019-06-26-Interview-seats-pmf-κίνημααλλαγήςsd.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
30% |
100% |
|
2 |
70% |
70% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2019-06-26-Interview-seats-pmf-κομμουνιστικόκόμμαελλάδαςni.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
96% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
4% |
4% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Χρυσή Αυγή (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Χρυσή Αυγή (NI) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2019-06-26-Interview-seats-pmf-χρυσήαυγήni.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
1 |
98.5% |
99.7% |
Median |
2 |
1.2% |
1.2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2019-06-26-Interview-seats-pmf-ελληνικήλύσηecr.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.7% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
98.8% |
99.3% |
Median |
2 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2019-06-26-Interview-seats-pmf-μέτωποευρωπαϊκήςρεαλιστικήςανυπακοήςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
59% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
41% |
41% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Ένωση Κεντρώων (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ένωση Κεντρώων (RE) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2019-06-26-Interview-seats-pmf-ένωσηκεντρώωνre.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.4% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2019-06-26-Interview-seats-pmf-πλεύσηελευθερίαςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
![Coalitions Seats Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced](2019-06-26-Interview-coalitions-seats.png)
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
5 |
9 |
0% |
8–9 |
8–9 |
8–9 |
8–10 |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) – Χρυσή Αυγή (NI) |
5 |
2 |
0% |
2 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
Ένωση Κεντρώων (RE) |
0 |
0 |
0% |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0–1 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2019-06-26-Interview-coalitions-seats-pmf-νδ.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
8 |
44% |
99.9% |
|
9 |
55% |
56% |
Median |
10 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) – Χρυσή Αυγή (NI)
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2019-06-26-Interview-coalitions-seats-pmf-κκε–χα.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
2 |
95% |
99.7% |
Median |
3 |
5% |
5% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Ένωση Κεντρώων (RE)
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2019-06-26-Interview-coalitions-seats-pmf-εκ.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.4% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Interview
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 24–26 June 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1005
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.18%