Opinion Poll by Marc for ANT1, 2–4 July 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
![Voting Intentions Graph with voting intentions not yet produced](2019-07-04-Marc.png)
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
22.7% |
38.9% |
37.2–40.6% |
36.8–41.0% |
36.4–41.5% |
35.6–42.3% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) |
26.6% |
27.5% |
26.0–29.1% |
25.6–29.5% |
25.2–29.9% |
24.5–30.6% |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) |
0.0% |
7.0% |
6.2–8.0% |
6.0–8.2% |
5.8–8.5% |
5.4–8.9% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) |
6.1% |
5.5% |
4.8–6.4% |
4.6–6.6% |
4.5–6.8% |
4.1–7.3% |
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) |
0.0% |
3.9% |
3.3–4.6% |
3.1–4.9% |
3.0–5.0% |
2.7–5.4% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
3.7% |
3.1–4.4% |
2.9–4.6% |
2.8–4.8% |
2.6–5.2% |
Χρυσή Αυγή (NI) |
9.4% |
3.6% |
3.0–4.3% |
2.9–4.5% |
2.8–4.7% |
2.5–5.1% |
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
1.9% |
1.5–2.5% |
1.4–2.6% |
1.3–2.8% |
1.1–3.1% |
Ένωση Κεντρώων (RE) |
0.6% |
1.2% |
0.9–1.7% |
0.8–1.8% |
0.7–1.9% |
0.6–2.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
![Seats Graph with seats not yet produced](2019-07-04-Marc-seats.png)
Confidence Intervals
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2019-07-04-Marc-seats-pmf-νέαδημοκρατίαepp.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
8 |
43% |
99.9% |
|
9 |
57% |
57% |
Median |
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2019-07-04-Marc-seats-pmf-συνασπισμόςριζοσπαστικήςαριστεράςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
5% |
100% |
|
6 |
91% |
95% |
Last Result, Median |
7 |
5% |
5% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2019-07-04-Marc-seats-pmf-κίνημααλλαγήςsd.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
65% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
35% |
35% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2019-07-04-Marc-seats-pmf-κομμουνιστικόκόμμαελλάδαςni.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
98% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
2% |
2% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2019-07-04-Marc-seats-pmf-ελληνικήλύσηecr.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
3% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
97% |
97% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2019-07-04-Marc-seats-pmf-μέτωποευρωπαϊκήςρεαλιστικήςανυπακοήςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
6% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
94% |
94% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Χρυσή Αυγή (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Χρυσή Αυγή (NI) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2019-07-04-Marc-seats-pmf-χρυσήαυγήni.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
9% |
100% |
|
1 |
91% |
91% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2019-07-04-Marc-seats-pmf-πλεύσηελευθερίαςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.5% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Ένωση Κεντρώων (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ένωση Κεντρώων (RE) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2019-07-04-Marc-seats-pmf-ένωσηκεντρώωνre.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
![Coalitions Seats Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced](2019-07-04-Marc-coalitions-seats.png)
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
5 |
9 |
0% |
8–9 |
8–9 |
8–9 |
8–9 |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) – Χρυσή Αυγή (NI) |
5 |
2 |
0% |
2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–3 |
Ένωση Κεντρώων (RE) |
0 |
0 |
0% |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2019-07-04-Marc-coalitions-seats-pmf-νδ.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
8 |
43% |
99.9% |
|
9 |
57% |
57% |
Median |
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) – Χρυσή Αυγή (NI)
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2019-07-04-Marc-coalitions-seats-pmf-κκε–χα.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
8% |
100% |
|
2 |
90% |
92% |
Median |
3 |
2% |
2% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Ένωση Κεντρώων (RE)
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2019-07-04-Marc-coalitions-seats-pmf-εκ.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Marc
- Commissioner(s): ANT1
- Fieldwork period: 2–4 July 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1412
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.02%