Opinion Poll by Metron Analysis, 1–5 July 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
![Voting Intentions Graph with voting intentions not yet produced](2019-07-05-MetronAnalysis.png)
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
22.7% |
40.0% |
38.4–41.7% |
37.9–42.2% |
37.5–42.6% |
36.7–43.4% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) |
26.6% |
28.0% |
26.5–29.6% |
26.1–30.0% |
25.8–30.4% |
25.1–31.2% |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) |
0.0% |
7.7% |
6.9–8.7% |
6.7–9.0% |
6.5–9.2% |
6.1–9.7% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) |
6.1% |
5.5% |
4.8–6.4% |
4.6–6.6% |
4.5–6.8% |
4.1–7.3% |
Χρυσή Αυγή (NI) |
9.4% |
4.5% |
3.9–5.3% |
3.7–5.5% |
3.5–5.7% |
3.2–6.1% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
4.0% |
3.4–4.8% |
3.2–5.0% |
3.1–5.2% |
2.9–5.5% |
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) |
0.0% |
3.0% |
2.5–3.6% |
2.3–3.8% |
2.2–4.0% |
2.0–4.3% |
Ένωση Κεντρώων (RE) |
0.6% |
1.5% |
1.2–2.0% |
1.1–2.2% |
1.0–2.3% |
0.9–2.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
![Seats Graph with seats not yet produced](2019-07-05-MetronAnalysis-seats.png)
Confidence Intervals
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2019-07-05-MetronAnalysis-seats-pmf-νέαδημοκρατίαepp.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
28% |
100% |
|
9 |
72% |
72% |
Median |
10 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2019-07-05-MetronAnalysis-seats-pmf-συνασπισμόςριζοσπαστικήςαριστεράςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
2% |
100% |
|
6 |
91% |
98% |
Last Result, Median |
7 |
7% |
7% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2019-07-05-MetronAnalysis-seats-pmf-κίνημααλλαγήςsd.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
23% |
100% |
|
2 |
77% |
77% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2019-07-05-MetronAnalysis-seats-pmf-κομμουνιστικόκόμμαελλάδαςni.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
98% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
2% |
2% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Χρυσή Αυγή (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Χρυσή Αυγή (NI) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2019-07-05-MetronAnalysis-seats-pmf-χρυσήαυγήni.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
1 |
99.7% |
99.7% |
Median |
2 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2019-07-05-MetronAnalysis-seats-pmf-μέτωποευρωπαϊκήςρεαλιστικήςανυπακοήςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
2% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
98% |
98% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2019-07-05-MetronAnalysis-seats-pmf-ελληνικήλύσηecr.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
57% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
43% |
43% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Ένωση Κεντρώων (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ένωση Κεντρώων (RE) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2019-07-05-MetronAnalysis-seats-pmf-ένωσηκεντρώωνre.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
![Coalitions Seats Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced](2019-07-05-MetronAnalysis-coalitions-seats.png)
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
5 |
9 |
0% |
8–9 |
8–9 |
8–9 |
8–9 |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) – Χρυσή Αυγή (NI) |
5 |
2 |
0% |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2–3 |
Ένωση Κεντρώων (RE) |
0 |
0 |
0% |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2019-07-05-MetronAnalysis-coalitions-seats-pmf-νδ.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
28% |
100% |
|
9 |
72% |
72% |
Median |
10 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) – Χρυσή Αυγή (NI)
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2019-07-05-MetronAnalysis-coalitions-seats-pmf-κκε–χα.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
2 |
98% |
99.8% |
Median |
3 |
2% |
2% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Ένωση Κεντρώων (RE)
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2019-07-05-MetronAnalysis-coalitions-seats-pmf-εκ.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Metron Analysis
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 1–5 July 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1449
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.43%