Opinion Poll by Opinion Poll, 25–28 November 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
![Voting Intentions Graph with voting intentions not yet produced](2019-11-28-OpinionPoll.png)
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
22.7% |
49.0% |
47.0–50.9% |
46.4–51.5% |
46.0–52.0% |
45.0–52.9% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) |
26.6% |
27.8% |
26.1–29.6% |
25.6–30.1% |
25.2–30.6% |
24.4–31.5% |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) |
0.0% |
6.4% |
5.5–7.5% |
5.3–7.8% |
5.1–8.1% |
4.7–8.6% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) |
6.1% |
6.2% |
5.4–7.3% |
5.1–7.6% |
4.9–7.9% |
4.5–8.4% |
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) |
0.0% |
5.4% |
4.6–6.4% |
4.4–6.7% |
4.2–6.9% |
3.8–7.4% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
3.6% |
3.0–4.5% |
2.8–4.7% |
2.6–4.9% |
2.3–5.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
![Seats Graph with seats not yet produced](2019-11-28-OpinionPoll-seats.png)
![Seating Plan Graph with seating plan not yet produced](2019-11-28-OpinionPoll-seating-plan.png)
Confidence Intervals
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2019-11-28-OpinionPoll-seats-pmf-νέαδημοκρατίαepp.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
30% |
100% |
|
11 |
69% |
70% |
Median, Majority |
12 |
1.0% |
1.0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2019-11-28-OpinionPoll-seats-pmf-συνασπισμόςριζοσπαστικήςαριστεράςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
4% |
100% |
|
6 |
88% |
96% |
Last Result, Median |
7 |
8% |
8% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2019-11-28-OpinionPoll-seats-pmf-κίνημααλλαγήςsd.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
80% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
20% |
20% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2019-11-28-OpinionPoll-seats-pmf-κομμουνιστικόκόμμαελλάδαςni.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
85% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
15% |
15% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2019-11-28-OpinionPoll-seats-pmf-ελληνικήλύσηecr.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
98% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
2% |
2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2019-11-28-OpinionPoll-seats-pmf-μέτωποευρωπαϊκήςρεαλιστικήςανυπακοήςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
12% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
88% |
88% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
![Coalitions Seats Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced](2019-11-28-OpinionPoll-coalitions-seats.png)
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
5 |
11 |
70% |
10–11 |
10–11 |
10–11 |
10–12 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2019-11-28-OpinionPoll-coalitions-seats-pmf-νδ.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
30% |
100% |
|
11 |
69% |
70% |
Median, Majority |
12 |
1.0% |
1.0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Opinion Poll
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 25–28 November 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1058
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.62%