Opinion Poll by Prorata, 24–29 April 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
![Voting Intentions Graph with voting intentions not yet produced](2020-04-29-Prorata.png)
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
22.7% |
46.0% |
44.7–47.3% |
44.4–47.6% |
44.0–48.0% |
43.4–48.6% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) |
26.6% |
28.0% |
26.9–29.2% |
26.6–29.5% |
26.3–29.8% |
25.7–30.4% |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) |
0.0% |
6.0% |
5.4–6.7% |
5.3–6.8% |
5.1–7.0% |
4.9–7.3% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) |
6.1% |
6.0% |
5.4–6.7% |
5.3–6.8% |
5.1–7.0% |
4.9–7.3% |
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) |
0.0% |
5.0% |
4.5–5.6% |
4.3–5.8% |
4.2–5.9% |
4.0–6.2% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
3.0% |
2.6–3.5% |
2.5–3.6% |
2.4–3.7% |
2.2–4.0% |
Χρυσή Αυγή (NI) |
9.4% |
2.0% |
1.7–2.4% |
1.6–2.5% |
1.5–2.6% |
1.4–2.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
![Seats Graph with seats not yet produced](2020-04-29-Prorata-seats.png)
![Seating Plan Graph with seating plan not yet produced](2020-04-29-Prorata-seating-plan.png)
Confidence Intervals
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2020-04-29-Prorata-seats-pmf-νέαδημοκρατίαepp.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
10 |
93% |
99.5% |
Median |
11 |
7% |
7% |
Majority |
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2020-04-29-Prorata-seats-pmf-συνασπισμόςριζοσπαστικήςαριστεράςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
6 |
91% |
99.9% |
Last Result, Median |
7 |
9% |
9% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2020-04-29-Prorata-seats-pmf-κίνημααλλαγήςsd.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
80% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
20% |
20% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2020-04-29-Prorata-seats-pmf-κομμουνιστικόκόμμαελλάδαςni.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
86% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
14% |
14% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2020-04-29-Prorata-seats-pmf-ελληνικήλύσηecr.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.5% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2020-04-29-Prorata-seats-pmf-μέτωποευρωπαϊκήςρεαλιστικήςανυπακοήςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
50% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
50% |
50% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Χρυσή Αυγή (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Χρυσή Αυγή (NI) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2020-04-29-Prorata-seats-pmf-χρυσήαυγήni.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.9% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Coalitions
![Coalitions Seats Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced](2020-04-29-Prorata-coalitions-seats.png)
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
5 |
10 |
7% |
10 |
10–11 |
10–11 |
9–11 |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) – Χρυσή Αυγή (NI) |
5 |
1 |
0% |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2020-04-29-Prorata-coalitions-seats-pmf-νδ.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
10 |
93% |
99.5% |
Median |
11 |
7% |
7% |
Majority |
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) – Χρυσή Αυγή (NI)
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2020-04-29-Prorata-coalitions-seats-pmf-κκε–χα.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
86% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
14% |
14% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Prorata
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 24–29 April 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 2500
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.67%