Opinion Poll by Metron Analysis for MEGA TV, 22–27 May 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
![Voting Intentions Graph with voting intentions not yet produced](2020-05-27-MetronAnalysis.png)
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
22.7% |
49.6% |
47.8–51.5% |
47.2–52.0% |
46.8–52.5% |
45.9–53.3% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) |
26.6% |
25.7% |
24.2–27.4% |
23.7–27.9% |
23.3–28.3% |
22.6–29.1% |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) |
0.0% |
6.3% |
5.5–7.3% |
5.3–7.6% |
5.1–7.9% |
4.7–8.4% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) |
6.1% |
5.7% |
4.9–6.6% |
4.7–6.9% |
4.5–7.1% |
4.1–7.6% |
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) |
0.0% |
3.2% |
2.6–3.9% |
2.4–4.1% |
2.3–4.3% |
2.1–4.7% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
3.1% |
2.5–3.8% |
2.4–4.0% |
2.2–4.2% |
2.0–4.6% |
Χρυσή Αυγή (NI) |
9.4% |
2.0% |
1.6–2.6% |
1.4–2.8% |
1.3–3.0% |
1.2–3.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
![Seats Graph with seats not yet produced](2020-05-27-MetronAnalysis-seats.png)
![Seating Plan Graph with seating plan not yet produced](2020-05-27-MetronAnalysis-seating-plan.png)
Confidence Intervals
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2020-05-27-MetronAnalysis-seats-pmf-νέαδημοκρατίαepp.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
18% |
100% |
|
11 |
79% |
82% |
Median, Majority |
12 |
4% |
4% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2020-05-27-MetronAnalysis-seats-pmf-συνασπισμόςριζοσπαστικήςαριστεράςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
35% |
100% |
|
6 |
65% |
65% |
Last Result, Median |
7 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2020-05-27-MetronAnalysis-seats-pmf-κίνημααλλαγήςsd.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
77% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
23% |
23% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2020-05-27-MetronAnalysis-seats-pmf-κομμουνιστικόκόμμαελλάδαςni.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
93% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
7% |
7% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2020-05-27-MetronAnalysis-seats-pmf-ελληνικήλύσηecr.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
37% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
63% |
63% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2020-05-27-MetronAnalysis-seats-pmf-μέτωποευρωπαϊκήςρεαλιστικήςανυπακοήςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
46% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
54% |
54% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Χρυσή Αυγή (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Χρυσή Αυγή (NI) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2020-05-27-MetronAnalysis-seats-pmf-χρυσήαυγήni.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
98% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
2% |
2% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Coalitions
![Coalitions Seats Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced](2020-05-27-MetronAnalysis-coalitions-seats.png)
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
5 |
11 |
82% |
10–11 |
10–11 |
10–12 |
10–12 |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) – Χρυσή Αυγή (NI) |
5 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2020-05-27-MetronAnalysis-coalitions-seats-pmf-νδ.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
18% |
100% |
|
11 |
79% |
82% |
Median, Majority |
12 |
4% |
4% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) – Χρυσή Αυγή (NI)
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2020-05-27-MetronAnalysis-coalitions-seats-pmf-κκε–χα.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
92% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
8% |
8% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Metron Analysis
- Commissioner(s): MEGA TV
- Fieldwork period: 22–27 May 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 1201
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.72%