Opinion Poll by Metron Analysis for MEGA TV, 23–29 September 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
![Voting Intentions Graph with voting intentions not yet produced](2020-09-29-MetronAnalysis.png)
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
22.7% |
47.9% |
46.1–49.8% |
45.6–50.3% |
45.1–50.8% |
44.2–51.6% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) |
26.6% |
25.5% |
24.0–27.2% |
23.5–27.7% |
23.2–28.1% |
22.4–28.9% |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) |
0.0% |
6.9% |
6.1–7.9% |
5.8–8.2% |
5.6–8.5% |
5.2–9.0% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) |
6.1% |
5.9% |
5.1–6.9% |
4.9–7.1% |
4.7–7.4% |
4.4–7.9% |
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) |
0.0% |
5.7% |
5.0–6.7% |
4.7–7.0% |
4.6–7.2% |
4.2–7.7% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
3.4% |
2.8–4.2% |
2.7–4.4% |
2.5–4.6% |
2.3–5.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
![Seats Graph with seats not yet produced](2020-09-29-MetronAnalysis-seats.png)
![Seating Plan Graph with seating plan not yet produced](2020-09-29-MetronAnalysis-seating-plan.png)
Confidence Intervals
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2020-09-29-MetronAnalysis-seats-pmf-νέαδημοκρατίαepp.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
10 |
62% |
99.6% |
Median |
11 |
37% |
37% |
Majority |
12 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2020-09-29-MetronAnalysis-seats-pmf-συνασπισμόςριζοσπαστικήςαριστεράςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
51% |
100% |
Median |
6 |
49% |
49% |
Last Result |
7 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2020-09-29-MetronAnalysis-seats-pmf-κίνημααλλαγήςsd.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
71% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
29% |
29% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2020-09-29-MetronAnalysis-seats-pmf-κομμουνιστικόκόμμαελλάδαςni.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
96% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
4% |
4% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2020-09-29-MetronAnalysis-seats-pmf-ελληνικήλύσηecr.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
97% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
3% |
3% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2020-09-29-MetronAnalysis-seats-pmf-μέτωποευρωπαϊκήςρεαλιστικήςανυπακοήςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
21% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
79% |
79% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
![Coalitions Seats Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced](2020-09-29-MetronAnalysis-coalitions-seats.png)
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
5 |
10 |
37% |
10–11 |
10–11 |
10–11 |
10–11 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2020-09-29-MetronAnalysis-coalitions-seats-pmf-νδ.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
10 |
62% |
99.6% |
Median |
11 |
37% |
37% |
Majority |
12 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Metron Analysis
- Commissioner(s): MEGA TV
- Fieldwork period: 23–29 September 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 1202
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.49%