Opinion Poll by Metron Analysis for MEGA TV, 18–24 November 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
![Voting Intentions Graph with voting intentions not yet produced](2020-11-24-MetronAnalysis.png)
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
22.7% |
45.8% |
44.0–47.7% |
43.5–48.2% |
43.0–48.6% |
42.1–49.5% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) |
26.6% |
24.8% |
23.3–26.5% |
22.8–26.9% |
22.5–27.3% |
21.7–28.1% |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) |
0.0% |
8.0% |
7.0–9.1% |
6.8–9.4% |
6.6–9.6% |
6.1–10.2% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) |
6.1% |
6.3% |
5.5–7.3% |
5.3–7.6% |
5.1–7.8% |
4.7–8.3% |
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) |
0.0% |
5.5% |
4.7–6.4% |
4.5–6.7% |
4.3–6.9% |
4.0–7.4% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
3.8% |
3.2–4.6% |
3.0–4.9% |
2.9–5.1% |
2.6–5.5% |
Ένωση Κεντρώων (RE) |
0.6% |
1.4% |
1.1–2.0% |
1.0–2.1% |
0.9–2.3% |
0.7–2.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
![Seats Graph with seats not yet produced](2020-11-24-MetronAnalysis-seats.png)
![Seating Plan Graph with seating plan not yet produced](2020-11-24-MetronAnalysis-seating-plan.png)
Confidence Intervals
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2020-11-24-MetronAnalysis-seats-pmf-νέαδημοκρατίαepp.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
10% |
100% |
|
10 |
86% |
90% |
Median |
11 |
3% |
3% |
Majority |
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2020-11-24-MetronAnalysis-seats-pmf-συνασπισμόςριζοσπαστικήςαριστεράςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
5 |
76% |
99.9% |
Median |
6 |
23% |
23% |
Last Result |
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2020-11-24-MetronAnalysis-seats-pmf-κίνημααλλαγήςsd.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
18% |
100% |
|
2 |
82% |
82% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2020-11-24-MetronAnalysis-seats-pmf-κομμουνιστικόκόμμαελλάδαςni.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
92% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
8% |
8% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2020-11-24-MetronAnalysis-seats-pmf-ελληνικήλύσηecr.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.1% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2020-11-24-MetronAnalysis-seats-pmf-μέτωποευρωπαϊκήςρεαλιστικήςανυπακοήςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
6% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
94% |
94% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Ένωση Κεντρώων (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ένωση Κεντρώων (RE) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2020-11-24-MetronAnalysis-seats-pmf-ένωσηκεντρώωνre.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
![Coalitions Seats Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced](2020-11-24-MetronAnalysis-coalitions-seats.png)
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
5 |
10 |
3% |
9–10 |
9–10 |
9–11 |
9–11 |
Ένωση Κεντρώων (RE) |
0 |
0 |
0% |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2020-11-24-MetronAnalysis-coalitions-seats-pmf-νδ.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
10% |
100% |
|
10 |
86% |
90% |
Median |
11 |
3% |
3% |
Majority |
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Ένωση Κεντρώων (RE)
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2020-11-24-MetronAnalysis-coalitions-seats-pmf-εκ.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Metron Analysis
- Commissioner(s): MEGA TV
- Fieldwork period: 18–24 November 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 1205
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.84%