Opinion Poll by Prorata, 24–27 November 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
![Voting Intentions Graph with voting intentions not yet produced](2020-11-27-Prorata.png)
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
22.7% |
44.2% |
43.0–45.4% |
42.6–45.8% |
42.3–46.1% |
41.8–46.7% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) |
26.6% |
29.4% |
28.3–30.5% |
28.0–30.8% |
27.7–31.1% |
27.2–31.7% |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) |
0.0% |
6.1% |
5.5–6.7% |
5.4–6.9% |
5.2–7.1% |
5.0–7.4% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) |
6.1% |
5.5% |
5.0–6.1% |
4.8–6.3% |
4.7–6.4% |
4.5–6.7% |
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) |
0.0% |
3.7% |
3.3–4.2% |
3.2–4.4% |
3.0–4.5% |
2.9–4.7% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
3.7% |
3.3–4.2% |
3.2–4.4% |
3.0–4.5% |
2.9–4.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
![Seats Graph with seats not yet produced](2020-11-27-Prorata-seats.png)
![Seating Plan Graph with seating plan not yet produced](2020-11-27-Prorata-seating-plan.png)
Confidence Intervals
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2020-11-27-Prorata-seats-pmf-νέαδημοκρατίαepp.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
42% |
100% |
|
10 |
58% |
58% |
Median |
11 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2020-11-27-Prorata-seats-pmf-συνασπισμόςριζοσπαστικήςαριστεράςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
85% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
7 |
15% |
15% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2020-11-27-Prorata-seats-pmf-κίνημααλλαγήςsd.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.5% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2020-11-27-Prorata-seats-pmf-κομμουνιστικόκόμμαελλάδαςni.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2020-11-27-Prorata-seats-pmf-ελληνικήλύσηecr.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
5% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
95% |
95% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2020-11-27-Prorata-seats-pmf-μέτωποευρωπαϊκήςρεαλιστικήςανυπακοήςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
5% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
95% |
95% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
![Coalitions Seats Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced](2020-11-27-Prorata-coalitions-seats.png)
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
5 |
10 |
0% |
9–10 |
9–10 |
9–10 |
9–10 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2020-11-27-Prorata-coalitions-seats-pmf-νδ.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
42% |
100% |
|
10 |
58% |
58% |
Median |
11 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Prorata
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 24–27 November 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 2726
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.81%