Opinion Poll by MRB for Star, 27 November–11 December 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
![Voting Intentions Graph with voting intentions not yet produced](2020-12-11-MRB.png)
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
22.7% |
44.9% |
43.5–46.3% |
43.1–46.7% |
42.7–47.1% |
42.1–47.8% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) |
26.6% |
27.2% |
25.9–28.5% |
25.6–28.9% |
25.3–29.2% |
24.7–29.8% |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) |
0.0% |
7.9% |
7.2–8.7% |
7.0–9.0% |
6.8–9.2% |
6.5–9.6% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) |
6.1% |
5.9% |
5.3–6.6% |
5.1–6.8% |
4.9–7.0% |
4.7–7.4% |
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) |
0.0% |
4.8% |
4.2–5.5% |
4.1–5.7% |
3.9–5.8% |
3.7–6.2% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
3.7% |
3.2–4.3% |
3.1–4.5% |
3.0–4.6% |
2.7–4.9% |
Χρυσή Αυγή (NI) |
9.4% |
1.2% |
0.9–1.6% |
0.9–1.7% |
0.8–1.8% |
0.7–2.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
![Seats Graph with seats not yet produced](2020-12-11-MRB-seats.png)
![Seating Plan Graph with seating plan not yet produced](2020-12-11-MRB-seating-plan.png)
Confidence Intervals
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2020-12-11-MRB-seats-pmf-νέαδημοκρατίαepp.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
26% |
100% |
|
10 |
73% |
74% |
Median |
11 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Majority |
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2020-12-11-MRB-seats-pmf-συνασπισμόςριζοσπαστικήςαριστεράςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
14% |
100% |
|
6 |
86% |
86% |
Last Result, Median |
7 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2020-12-11-MRB-seats-pmf-κίνημααλλαγήςsd.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
45% |
100% |
|
2 |
55% |
55% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2020-12-11-MRB-seats-pmf-κομμουνιστικόκόμμαελλάδαςni.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
99.7% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2020-12-11-MRB-seats-pmf-ελληνικήλύσηecr.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.8% |
99.9% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2020-12-11-MRB-seats-pmf-μέτωποευρωπαϊκήςρεαλιστικήςανυπακοήςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
14% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
86% |
86% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Χρυσή Αυγή (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Χρυσή Αυγή (NI) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2020-12-11-MRB-seats-pmf-χρυσήαυγήni.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Coalitions
![Coalitions Seats Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced](2020-12-11-MRB-coalitions-seats.png)
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
5 |
10 |
0.1% |
9–10 |
9–10 |
9–10 |
9–10 |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) – Χρυσή Αυγή (NI) |
5 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2020-12-11-MRB-coalitions-seats-pmf-νδ.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
26% |
100% |
|
10 |
73% |
74% |
Median |
11 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Majority |
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) – Χρυσή Αυγή (NI)
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2020-12-11-MRB-coalitions-seats-pmf-κκε–χα.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
99.7% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: MRB
- Commissioner(s): Star
- Fieldwork period: 27 November–11 December 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 2000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.76%