Opinion Poll by Marc for Αlpha TV, 7–11 January 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
![Voting Intentions Graph with voting intentions not yet produced](2021-01-11-Marc.png)
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
22.7% |
48.3% |
46.3–50.3% |
45.7–50.9% |
45.2–51.4% |
44.3–52.4% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) |
26.6% |
25.0% |
23.4–26.9% |
22.9–27.4% |
22.5–27.8% |
21.7–28.7% |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) |
0.0% |
8.1% |
7.1–9.3% |
6.8–9.7% |
6.6–10.0% |
6.1–10.6% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) |
6.1% |
6.3% |
5.4–7.4% |
5.2–7.7% |
5.0–8.0% |
4.6–8.6% |
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) |
0.0% |
4.8% |
4.0–5.7% |
3.8–6.0% |
3.6–6.2% |
3.3–6.8% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
2.5% |
2.0–3.2% |
1.8–3.4% |
1.7–3.6% |
1.5–4.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
![Seats Graph with seats not yet produced](2021-01-11-Marc-seats.png)
![Seating Plan Graph with seating plan not yet produced](2021-01-11-Marc-seating-plan.png)
Confidence Intervals
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-01-11-Marc-seats-pmf-νέαδημοκρατίαepp.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
10 |
50% |
99.7% |
Median |
11 |
49% |
49% |
Majority |
12 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-01-11-Marc-seats-pmf-συνασπισμόςριζοσπαστικήςαριστεράςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
5 |
63% |
99.8% |
Median |
6 |
36% |
36% |
Last Result |
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-01-11-Marc-seats-pmf-κίνημααλλαγήςsd.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
15% |
100% |
|
2 |
85% |
85% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-01-11-Marc-seats-pmf-κομμουνιστικόκόμμαελλάδαςni.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
85% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
15% |
15% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-01-11-Marc-seats-pmf-ελληνικήλύσηecr.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.2% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.5% |
99.8% |
Median |
2 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-01-11-Marc-seats-pmf-μέτωποευρωπαϊκήςρεαλιστικήςανυπακοήςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
86% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
14% |
14% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
![Coalitions Seats Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced](2021-01-11-Marc-coalitions-seats.png)
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
5 |
10 |
49% |
10–11 |
10–11 |
10–11 |
10–11 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-01-11-Marc-coalitions-seats-pmf-νδ.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
10 |
50% |
99.7% |
Median |
11 |
49% |
49% |
Majority |
12 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Marc
- Commissioner(s): Αlpha TV
- Fieldwork period: 7–11 January 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 1010
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.66%