Opinion Poll by Alco for Open TV, 14–19 January 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
![Voting Intentions Graph with voting intentions not yet produced](2021-01-19-Alco.png)
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
22.7% |
44.2% |
42.2–46.2% |
41.6–46.8% |
41.1–47.3% |
40.2–48.3% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) |
26.6% |
27.1% |
25.3–29.0% |
24.9–29.5% |
24.4–29.9% |
23.6–30.8% |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) |
0.0% |
6.7% |
5.8–7.8% |
5.5–8.2% |
5.3–8.4% |
4.9–9.0% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) |
6.1% |
6.5% |
5.6–7.6% |
5.3–7.9% |
5.1–8.2% |
4.7–8.8% |
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) |
0.0% |
4.6% |
3.9–5.6% |
3.6–5.9% |
3.5–6.1% |
3.1–6.6% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
3.1% |
2.5–3.9% |
2.3–4.2% |
2.2–4.4% |
1.9–4.8% |
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
1.5% |
1.1–2.1% |
1.0–2.3% |
0.9–2.5% |
0.7–2.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
![Seats Graph with seats not yet produced](2021-01-19-Alco-seats.png)
![Seating Plan Graph with seating plan not yet produced](2021-01-19-Alco-seating-plan.png)
Confidence Intervals
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-01-19-Alco-seats-pmf-νέαδημοκρατίαepp.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
9 |
36% |
99.9% |
|
10 |
63% |
64% |
Median |
11 |
1.0% |
1.0% |
Majority |
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-01-19-Alco-seats-pmf-συνασπισμόςριζοσπαστικήςαριστεράςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
11% |
100% |
|
6 |
85% |
89% |
Last Result, Median |
7 |
4% |
4% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-01-19-Alco-seats-pmf-κίνημααλλαγήςsd.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
64% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
36% |
36% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-01-19-Alco-seats-pmf-κομμουνιστικόκόμμαελλάδαςni.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
72% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
28% |
28% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-01-19-Alco-seats-pmf-ελληνικήλύσηecr.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.3% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.5% |
99.7% |
Median |
2 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-01-19-Alco-seats-pmf-μέτωποευρωπαϊκήςρεαλιστικήςανυπακοήςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
40% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
60% |
60% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-01-19-Alco-seats-pmf-πλεύσηελευθερίαςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.9% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
![Coalitions Seats Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced](2021-01-19-Alco-coalitions-seats.png)
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
5 |
10 |
1.0% |
9–10 |
9–10 |
9–10 |
9–11 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-01-19-Alco-coalitions-seats-pmf-νδ.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
9 |
36% |
99.9% |
|
10 |
63% |
64% |
Median |
11 |
1.0% |
1.0% |
Majority |
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Alco
- Commissioner(s): Open TV
- Fieldwork period: 14–19 January 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.07%