Opinion Poll by GPO for Παραπολιτικά, 19–20 January 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
![Voting Intentions Graph with voting intentions not yet produced](2021-01-20-GPO.png)
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
22.7% |
44.1% |
42.1–46.1% |
41.5–46.7% |
41.0–47.2% |
40.1–48.2% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) |
26.6% |
27.6% |
25.8–29.5% |
25.3–30.0% |
24.9–30.5% |
24.1–31.4% |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) |
0.0% |
7.3% |
6.3–8.5% |
6.1–8.8% |
5.8–9.1% |
5.4–9.7% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) |
6.1% |
7.2% |
6.2–8.4% |
6.0–8.7% |
5.7–9.0% |
5.3–9.6% |
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) |
0.0% |
4.7% |
3.9–5.7% |
3.7–6.0% |
3.6–6.2% |
3.2–6.7% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
3.6% |
2.9–4.5% |
2.8–4.7% |
2.6–5.0% |
2.3–5.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
![Seats Graph with seats not yet produced](2021-01-20-GPO-seats.png)
![Seating Plan Graph with seating plan not yet produced](2021-01-20-GPO-seating-plan.png)
Confidence Intervals
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-01-20-GPO-seats-pmf-νέαδημοκρατίαepp.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
9 |
48% |
99.7% |
|
10 |
52% |
52% |
Median |
11 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
Majority |
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-01-20-GPO-seats-pmf-συνασπισμόςριζοσπαστικήςαριστεράςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
11% |
100% |
|
6 |
85% |
89% |
Last Result, Median |
7 |
4% |
4% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-01-20-GPO-seats-pmf-κίνημααλλαγήςsd.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
62% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
38% |
38% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-01-20-GPO-seats-pmf-κομμουνιστικόκόμμαελλάδαςni.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
65% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
35% |
35% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-01-20-GPO-seats-pmf-ελληνικήλύσηecr.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.6% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.3% |
99.4% |
Median |
2 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-01-20-GPO-seats-pmf-μέτωποευρωπαϊκήςρεαλιστικήςανυπακοήςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
18% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
82% |
82% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
![Coalitions Seats Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced](2021-01-20-GPO-coalitions-seats.png)
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
5 |
10 |
0.3% |
9–10 |
9–10 |
9–10 |
9–10 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-01-20-GPO-coalitions-seats-pmf-νδ.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
9 |
48% |
99.7% |
|
10 |
52% |
52% |
Median |
11 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
Majority |
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: GPO
- Commissioner(s): Παραπολιτικά
- Fieldwork period: 19–20 January 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.37%