Opinion Poll by Opinion Poll, 15–19 February 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
![Voting Intentions Graph with voting intentions not yet produced](2021-02-19-OpinionPoll.png)
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
22.7% |
46.3% |
44.2–48.3% |
43.7–48.9% |
43.2–49.4% |
42.2–50.3% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) |
26.6% |
25.1% |
23.4–26.9% |
22.9–27.5% |
22.5–27.9% |
21.7–28.8% |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) |
0.0% |
8.8% |
7.7–10.0% |
7.4–10.4% |
7.2–10.7% |
6.7–11.3% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) |
6.1% |
6.6% |
5.7–7.7% |
5.4–8.0% |
5.2–8.3% |
4.8–8.9% |
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) |
0.0% |
5.5% |
4.7–6.5% |
4.4–6.8% |
4.2–7.1% |
3.9–7.6% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
3.8% |
3.1–4.7% |
2.9–4.9% |
2.8–5.2% |
2.5–5.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
![Seats Graph with seats not yet produced](2021-02-19-OpinionPoll-seats.png)
![Seating Plan Graph with seating plan not yet produced](2021-02-19-OpinionPoll-seating-plan.png)
Confidence Intervals
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-02-19-OpinionPoll-seats-pmf-νέαδημοκρατίαepp.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
11% |
100% |
|
10 |
83% |
89% |
Median |
11 |
6% |
6% |
Majority |
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-02-19-OpinionPoll-seats-pmf-συνασπισμόςριζοσπαστικήςαριστεράςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
5 |
74% |
99.7% |
Median |
6 |
26% |
26% |
Last Result |
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-02-19-OpinionPoll-seats-pmf-κίνημααλλαγήςsd.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
9% |
100% |
|
2 |
91% |
91% |
Median |
3 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-02-19-OpinionPoll-seats-pmf-κομμουνιστικόκόμμαελλάδαςni.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
91% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
9% |
9% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-02-19-OpinionPoll-seats-pmf-ελληνικήλύσηecr.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.2% |
99.9% |
Median |
2 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-02-19-OpinionPoll-seats-pmf-μέτωποευρωπαϊκήςρεαλιστικήςανυπακοήςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
14% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
86% |
86% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
![Coalitions Seats Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced](2021-02-19-OpinionPoll-coalitions-seats.png)
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
5 |
10 |
6% |
9–10 |
9–11 |
9–11 |
9–11 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-02-19-OpinionPoll-coalitions-seats-pmf-νδ.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
11% |
100% |
|
10 |
83% |
89% |
Median |
11 |
6% |
6% |
Majority |
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Opinion Poll
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 15–19 February 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 1003
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.47%