Opinion Poll by Metron Analysis for Mega TV, 18–24 May 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
![Voting Intentions Graph with voting intentions not yet produced](2021-05-24-MetronAnalysis.png)
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
22.7% |
43.1% |
41.3–44.9% |
40.8–45.5% |
40.3–45.9% |
39.4–46.8% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) |
26.6% |
25.5% |
24.0–27.2% |
23.5–27.7% |
23.2–28.1% |
22.4–28.9% |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) |
0.0% |
7.6% |
6.7–8.6% |
6.4–8.9% |
6.2–9.2% |
5.8–9.8% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) |
6.1% |
6.7% |
5.9–7.8% |
5.7–8.0% |
5.5–8.3% |
5.1–8.8% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
6.0% |
5.2–7.0% |
5.0–7.2% |
4.8–7.5% |
4.4–8.0% |
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) |
0.0% |
5.1% |
4.3–6.0% |
4.1–6.2% |
4.0–6.5% |
3.6–6.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
![Seats Graph with seats not yet produced](2021-05-24-MetronAnalysis-seats.png)
![Seating Plan Graph with seating plan not yet produced](2021-05-24-MetronAnalysis-seating-plan.png)
Confidence Intervals
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-05-24-MetronAnalysis-seats-pmf-νέαδημοκρατίαepp.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
9 |
65% |
99.6% |
Median |
10 |
35% |
35% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-05-24-MetronAnalysis-seats-pmf-συνασπισμόςριζοσπαστικήςαριστεράςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
47% |
100% |
|
6 |
53% |
53% |
Last Result, Median |
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-05-24-MetronAnalysis-seats-pmf-κίνημααλλαγήςsd.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
27% |
100% |
|
2 |
73% |
73% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-05-24-MetronAnalysis-seats-pmf-κομμουνιστικόκόμμαελλάδαςni.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
72% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
28% |
28% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-05-24-MetronAnalysis-seats-pmf-μέτωποευρωπαϊκήςρεαλιστικήςανυπακοήςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
94% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
6% |
6% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-05-24-MetronAnalysis-seats-pmf-ελληνικήλύσηecr.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.7% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
![Coalitions Seats Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced](2021-05-24-MetronAnalysis-coalitions-seats.png)
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
5 |
9 |
0% |
9–10 |
9–10 |
9–10 |
9–10 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-05-24-MetronAnalysis-coalitions-seats-pmf-νδ.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
9 |
65% |
99.6% |
Median |
10 |
35% |
35% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Metron Analysis
- Commissioner(s): Mega TV
- Fieldwork period: 18–24 May 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 1202
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.55%